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Central bank communication and macro information in analyst forecasts: Evidence from Chinese listed firms 分析师预测中的央行沟通和宏观信息:来自中国上市公司的证据
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12202
Dong Chen, Kun Liu, Lerong He

The paper examines how central bank communication affects the macro information in analyst forecasts. Using quarterly data of Chinese-listed firms from 2007 to 2018, we find that richer and more frequent central bank communication increases the macro information contained in analyst forecasts. This effect is realized through the employment of in-house economists by security firms. In addition, we document that the effect of central bank communication on macroeconomic information in analyst forecasts is more salient under a contractionary monetary policy regime, during a bear market, or when the economic policy is more uncertain. We also show that analyst forecasts are more sensitive to central bank communication when firms that they follow are state-owned enterprises, have larger leverage ratios, or are located in more developed regions. In addition, analyst forecasts are more susceptible to central bank communication when the communication is in an informal oral format, when the public has more trust in the credibility of the central bank communication, and when the central bank pays more attention to expectation management after 2010. Finally, we show that richer and more frequent central bank communication also improves the accuracy of analyst forecasts.

本文研究了央行沟通如何影响分析师预测中的宏观信息。利用2007年至2018年中国上市公司的季度数据,我们发现,更丰富、更频繁的央行沟通会增加分析师预测中包含的宏观信息。这一效应是通过证券公司聘用内部经济学家实现的。此外,我们还记录了央行沟通对分析师预测中宏观经济信息的影响,这种影响在紧缩性货币政策体制下、熊市期间或经济政策不确定性较高时更为突出。我们还发现,当分析师所跟踪的企业是国有企业、杠杆比率较大或位于较发达地区时,分析师的预测对央行沟通更为敏感。此外,当沟通采用非正式口头形式、公众更信任央行沟通的可信度以及央行在 2010 年后更重视预期管理时,分析师的预测更容易受到央行沟通的影响。最后,我们表明,更丰富、更频繁的央行沟通也会提高分析师预测的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
How does ESG performance impact corporate outward foreign direct investment? 环境、社会和公司治理绩效如何影响企业对外直接投资?
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12204
Xiali Wang, Kangjun Ren, Lanhua Li, Yuhao Qiao, Bao Wu

In recent decades, environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors have received increasing attention in the literature of corporate internationalization. While prior studies have extensively examined how ESG initiatives implemented in the host country enhance corporate international performance, less attention has been paid to the facilitating role of previously accumulated ESG performance in the internationalization process. Drawing on a sample of 2083 unique publicly listed Chinese firms from 2010 to 2019, we explore whether and how ESG performance promotes corporate outward foreign direct investment (OFDI). Our findings indicate a positive association between corporate ESG performance and both the propensity and scale of OFDI. We also identify financial constraints and corporate reputation as two mechanisms through which ESG performance influences OFDI. Our additional analysis suggests that the reputation-strengthening mechanism of ESG performance is more pronounced for family firms, whereas no significant difference is observed between family and nonfamily firms in terms of the financial mechanism. These findings have important implications for managers and policymakers seeking to promote sustainable development and internationalization.

近几十年来,环境、社会和治理(ESG)因素在企业国际化文献中受到越来越多的关注。以往的研究广泛考察了东道国实施的环境、社会和治理举措如何提升企业的国际绩效,但较少关注先前积累的环境、社会和治理绩效在企业国际化过程中的促进作用。我们以 2010 年至 2019 年间 2083 家中国上市公司为样本,探讨了环境、社会和公司治理绩效是否以及如何促进企业对外直接投资(OFDI)。我们的研究结果表明,企业环境、社会和治理绩效与对外直接投资的倾向和规模之间存在正相关。我们还发现,财务约束和企业声誉是环境、社会和公司治理绩效影响对外直接投资的两种机制。我们的补充分析表明,ESG绩效的声誉强化机制在家族企业中更为明显,而在财务机制方面,家族企业和非家族企业之间没有明显差异。这些发现对寻求促进可持续发展和国际化的管理者和决策者具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Tax avoidance and debt maturity in SMEs 中小企业的避税和债务到期问题
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12201
Juan Pedro Sánchez-Ballesta, José Yagüe

We investigate how tax avoidance affects the maturity structure of debt in firms where tax avoidance costs are presumably low, namely SMEs. Previous research has shown that creditors of listed tax-avoiding companies impose shorter maturities to more frequently reassess the tax avoidance risks in debt contracts. Using a sample of 110,690 firm-year observations of Spanish SMEs over the period 2007–2020, we examine the relationship between tax avoidance and debt maturity and the channels driving this relationship. We find that tax-avoiding SMEs show a longer debt maturity. This effect is stronger for SMEs with higher profitability, lower earnings management incentives, and higher reliability of financial reporting. We also find that tax avoidance reduces leverage and short-term debt, increases future cash flows, and decreases future cash flow volatility. Overall, these findings suggest that, unlike large firms, SMEs use cash tax savings to reduce leverage and short-term debt in their financial structure and that tax avoidance is positively valued by their lenders.

我们研究了避税如何影响避税成本较低的公司(即中小企业)的债务期限结构。以往的研究表明,避税上市公司的债权人会缩短债务期限,以便更频繁地重新评估债务合同中的避税风险。我们使用 2007-2020 年期间 110,690 个西班牙中小企业公司年观察样本,研究了避税与债务期限之间的关系以及推动这种关系的渠道。我们发现,避税的中小企业债务期限更长。对于盈利能力较强、盈利管理动机较低、财务报告可靠性较高的中小企业来说,这种效应更强。我们还发现,避税降低了杠杆率和短期债务,增加了未来现金流,并降低了未来现金流的波动性。总之,这些研究结果表明,与大型企业不同,中小企业利用现金节税来降低财务结构中的杠杆率和短期债务,而且其避税行为得到了贷款人的积极评价。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing corporate governance quality through mergers and acquisitions 通过并购提高公司治理质量
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12203
Tanveer Hussain, Lawrence Kryzanowski, Gilberto Loureiro, Muhammad Sufyan

This study examines whether the pre-deal target-bidder firm governance gap affects the bidder's postdeal change in governance quality. We estimate cross-sectional regressions using mergers and acquisitions from 2004 to 2016. We find that the bidder's firm-level governance improves for acquisitions where the target's governance quality is better than that of the bidder preacquisition. We attribute the results to reverse portability, suggesting that the predeal governance gap creates space for governance transfer, and bidders can adopt better governance of targets after the acquisition. Board independence, audit committee independence, CEO-Chairman separation, stock compensation, and equal treatment of minority shareholders serve as potential channels to demonstrate the bidder's higher governance after the acquisition. Our findings also reveal that bidders with governance improvement are also associated with higher operating performance. We extend the portability theory of Ellis et al. (2017) and suggest that governance can also travel from targets to bidders through mergers and acquisitions.

本研究探讨了交易前目标公司-竞购方公司治理差距是否会影响竞购方交易后治理质量的变化。我们利用 2004 年至 2016 年的并购案例进行了横截面回归估计。我们发现,如果目标公司的治理质量优于收购前的竞标者,则收购后竞标者的公司治理水平会提高。我们将这一结果归因于反向可移植性,即收购前的治理差距为治理转移创造了空间,竞购者可以在收购后对目标公司采取更好的治理。董事会的独立性、审计委员会的独立性、首席执行官与董事长的分离、股票薪酬以及小股东的平等待遇都是竞购者在收购后采取更高管治水平的潜在渠道。我们的研究结果还显示,治理水平提高的竞购者也会有更高的经营业绩。我们扩展了 Ellis 等人(2017 年)的可移植性理论,认为治理也可以通过并购从目标公司转移到竞购者。
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引用次数: 0
RETRACTED: Sustainable stakeholder participation planning on the basis of analysis of competing project interest 在分析项目利益冲突的基础上,制定可持续的利益相关者参与规划
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12198
Chandhini Sivalingam, Raju Ramaswamy

Sustainability has become more than just an aspiration in business. It has become an integral part of business strategy and decision-making. Organizations have realized that adhering to sustainability with its impact on multi-facets can drive business success. Long-term growth requires an understanding of the relationships between people and their surroundings. Engagement of stakeholders is essential for planning, designing, implementing, and ensuring the efficacy of programmes. Due to the requirement for sustainability and the engagement of a greater stakeholder range in project planning, the project plan complexity is growing. The lack of or insufficient engagement of stakeholders throughout the project life cycle, particularly in the early phases of implementation and planning, frequently has a detrimental effect on the intended project performance. Effective stakeholder engagement is essential to counterbalance the combined effects of a lack of contextual knowledge by stakeholders and a lack of support in the field. However, this integration encounters difficulties such as resource restrictions and competing stakeholder interests. To encourage stakeholder engagement with the initiatives, project resources may be allocated based on the relative importance of competing areas. This study intends to establish a Stakeholder Engagement Framework (SEF) to increase the effectiveness of stakeholder engagement in projects by systematically evaluating potential conflicts and integrating the perspectives of stakeholders and the project management team. To do this, we use fuzzy logic inputs to account for ambiguities throughout the project life cycle, as well as stakeholder theory, value-based management, matrix-based dependency modeling, and total quality management to provide a framework for stakeholder participation. Then we implement the suggested SEF methodology to organize stakeholder participation for a green building project. The suggested framework will promote stakeholder participation under long-term goals for project managers by identifying potential conflicts of interest.

这篇文章在正式同行评审完成前发表在《国际财务管理与amp; 会计》期刊上。
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引用次数: 0
Research on extended external reporting assurance: An update on recent developments 关于扩展外部报告保证的研究:最新进展情况
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12200
Elmar R. Venter, Joanna Krasodomska

We review the recent literature on the assurance of Extended External Reporting published since the review published in 2021 in the Journal of International Financial Management & Accounting. Our review includes 50 articles published between 2020 and August 2023 across 30 journals ranked A*, A, or B on the Australian Business Deans Council 2022 Journal Quality List. We find that the literature continues to be dominated by positivist studies investigating the determinants and consequences of assurance. Studies on determinants examine carbon assurance, ownership, governance, and institutional themes. The consequences studies included in our review examine reporting-related outcomes and investors' decisions. Other (qualitative) studies we reviewed examine issues such as assurance providers seeking meaning in their work and their attempts to promote assurance beyond merely a verification tool. We highlight several avenues for future research that could inform the work of standard setters and regulators.

我们回顾了《国际财务管理与会计杂志》(Journal of International Financial Management & Accounting)自 2021 年发表评论文章以来发表的有关扩展外部报告保证的最新文献。我们的综述包括 2020 年至 2023 年 8 月间发表的 50 篇文章,涉及 30 种期刊,这些期刊在澳大利亚商学院院长委员会 2022 年期刊质量排行榜上排名为 A*、A 或 B。我们发现,研究保证的决定因素和后果的实证主义研究仍占文献的主导地位。关于决定因素的研究探讨了碳保证、所有权、治理和机构主题。我们所审查的后果研究探讨了与报告相关的结果和投资者的决策。我们审查的其他(定性)研究探讨了保证提供者在其工作中寻求意义以及他们试图促进保证超越单纯的验证工具等问题。我们强调了未来研究的几个途径,可以为标准制定者和监管者的工作提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
The role of social relations in supply chain decision-making: Evidence from China 社会关系在供应链决策中的作用:来自中国的证据
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12199
Liu Lei, Xu Wei, Shen Yongjian

This study examines the extent to which firms in emerging markets build supply chains around social relationships. Most existing studies contend that companies decide who to buy (sell) products from (to) based on cost–benefit trade considerations of product quality, price, and other factors. We argue that companies make supply chain decisions around social relations to reduce possible risks. We empirically test this conjecture by using data from Chinese municipal party secretaries who served in different places from 2006 to 2017, and the primary customers of listed companies. The results show that after an official move from one jurisdiction to work in another, the firms in the latter jurisdiction will see an increase in customers from where the official previously served. Further investigation reveals that companies that are economically strong, face fierce competition, are state-owned, and are located in areas with low degrees of marketization are more likely to attract customers from the area where the official last served after the new municipal party secretary takes office. Making supply chain decisions based on the social relationships of the secretaries of the municipal party committees does not improve companies' profitability, but doing so will increase the turnover rate of accounts receivable and accounts received in advance.

本研究探讨了新兴市场的企业在多大程度上围绕社会关系建立供应链。现有的大多数研究认为,企业决定从谁那里购买(向谁出售)产品,是基于产品质量、价格和其他因素的成本效益贸易考虑。我们则认为,企业围绕社会关系做出供应链决策是为了降低可能的风险。我们利用 2006 年至 2017 年在不同地方任职的中国市委书记以及上市公司主要客户的数据,对这一猜想进行了实证检验。结果显示,官员从一个辖区调到另一个辖区工作后,后一个辖区的企业会看到来自该官员之前任职地的客户增加。进一步的调查显示,经济实力雄厚、面临激烈竞争、国有企业以及位于市场化程度低的地区的公司,在新市委书记上任后更有可能吸引来自该官员上任地区的客户。根据市委书记的社会关系做出供应链决策并不能提高企业的盈利能力,但这样做会提高应收账款和预收账款的周转率。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate risk disclosures in turbulent times: An international analysis in the global financial crisis 动荡时期的企业风险披露:全球金融危机中的国际分析
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12195
Kaouthar Lajili, Tie Mei Li, Lamia Chourou, Michael Dobler, Daniel Zéghal

Focusing on the global financial crisis period, this paper examines risk disclosure patterns and outcomes in a cross-country setting. We build on prior risk disclosure literature and draw upon institutional and agency-based theoretical lenses to investigate the nature, comprehensiveness, evolution, and quality of disclosed risk information for matched samples of manufacturing firms in the United States, Canada, Germany, and China (Chinese Hong Kong-listed firms). The results show a high degree of heterogeneity in risk disclosure behavior and volume among the sample firms attributed to both institutional differences and corporate reporting incentives in the study period. Furthermore, we document significant associations between risk proxies, risk disclosures, and firm market performance suggesting that corporate risk disclosures are potentially informative and useful to investors and other stakeholders. The paper highlights the important joint role of corporate incentives and legal institutions in interpreting and implementing accounting standards and stock exchange listing regulations around the world and during turbulent times.

本文以全球金融危机时期为重点,研究了跨国环境下的风险披露模式和结果。我们在以往风险披露文献的基础上,借鉴了基于机构和代理的理论视角,研究了美国、加拿大、德国和中国(中国香港上市公司)制造业公司匹配样本的风险信息披露的性质、全面性、演变和质量。研究结果表明,由于研究期间的制度差异和公司报告激励机制,样本公司的风险披露行为和数量存在高度异质性。此外,我们还记录了风险代用指标、风险披露和公司市场表现之间的重要关联,这表明公司风险披露可能为投资者和其他利益相关者提供信息和帮助。本文强调了在动荡时期,企业激励机制和法律制度在解释和实施全球会计准则和证券交易所上市法规方面的重要共同作用。
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引用次数: 0
Gambling culture and internal control extensiveness 赌博文化和内部控制的广泛性
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12197
Jianhua Tan, Jun Gao, Kam C. Chan

While cultural traits in a firm's location impact corporate operation, the role of local cultures on a firm's internal control effectiveness (ICE) remains unclear. Using data from a sample of Chinese firms from 2009 to 2019, we examine how the gambling culture in Chinese provinces where firms are located impacts the firms' ICE. We use per capita lottery sales of the provinces to proxy for gambling culture in China and find that firms raise their ICE in environments with strong gambling cultures. The results are robust to five components of ICE (control environment, risk assessment, control activity, information and communication, and internal monitoring), alternative metrics of gambling metrics, and after accounting for endogeneity. A mediating analysis also shows that firms in regions with a strong gambling culture engage in risky activities, which increases their ICE. Additional analyses suggest that the effect is more salient for firms with poor internal corporate governance, firms located in poor legal environments, firms with poor audit quality, or firms with more local external stakeholders, echoing that ICE and monitoring are partial substitutes.

虽然企业所在地的文化特征会影响企业运营,但当地文化对企业内部控制有效性(ICE)的作用仍不明确。利用 2009 年至 2019 年中国企业的样本数据,我们研究了企业所在省份的赌博文化如何影响企业的内部控制有效性。我们用各省的人均彩票销售额来代表中国的赌博文化,发现在赌博文化浓厚的环境中,企业会提高其内部控制评价。这一结果对 ICE 的五个组成部分(控制环境、风险评估、控制活动、信息与沟通以及内部监督)、赌博指标的替代指标以及考虑内生性因素都是稳健的。中介分析还表明,赌博文化浓厚地区的企业从事风险活动,从而增加了其 ICE。其他分析表明,对于内部公司治理较差的公司、法律环境较差的公司、审计质量较差的公司或当地外部利益相关者较多的公司来说,这种影响更为显著,这也说明内部控制和监督是部分替代品。
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引用次数: 0
The role of financial affiliates in tax avoidance by business groups: Evidence from Korea 金融关联公司在企业集团避税中的作用:韩国的证据
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12196
Haerin Shim

This study examines whether financial affiliates within a nonfinancial business group perform certain roles and functions in tax avoidance by other nonfinancial affiliates or the group as a whole. Financial institutions have tax-planning expertise and knowledge and thus may assist other affiliates of the same group in avoiding taxes. In addition, regulatory loopholes leave scope for tax avoidance involving financial affiliates. Using 10,659 firm-year observations from 866 nonfinancial listed firms affiliated with business groups in Korea over the period 2001–2019, I find that firms belonging to nonfinancial groups with financial affiliates exhibit higher levels of tax avoidance than those belonging to nonfinancial groups without financial affiliates. The same result is observed at the group-level tax avoidance as well as the firm-level tax avoidance. In addition, I provide evidence that KFTC-designated business groups subject to tighter regulation engage more in tax avoidance by utilizing financial affiliates in the blind spots of regulation and oversight, and that related-party transactions (i.e., intragroup transactions) are used as avenues for financial affiliates to help other affiliates in tax avoidance. This study is one of the first empirical studies to shed light on the role of financial affiliates of nonfinancial groups in tax planning.

本研究探讨了非金融企业集团中的金融关联公司是否在其他非金融关联公司或整个集团的避税过程中发挥了某些作用和功能。金融机构拥有税务筹划的专业技能和知识,因此可能会协助同一集团的其他关联公司避税。此外,监管漏洞也为金融关联公司的避税行为留下了空间。利用 2001-2019 年间韩国商业集团下属 866 家非金融上市企业的 10659 个企业年观察数据,我发现,与没有金融关联企业的非金融集团相比,有金融关联企业的非金融集团所属企业表现出更高的避税水平。在集团层面的避税和公司层面的避税都观察到了同样的结果。此外,我还提供了证据,证明韩国公平贸易委员会指定的受到更严格监管的企业集团在监管和监督的盲区利用金融关联公司进行避税,关联方交易(即集团内部交易)被用作金融关联公司帮助其他关联公司避税的渠道。本研究是首批揭示非金融集团金融关联公司在税收筹划中作用的实证研究之一。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of International Financial Management & Accounting
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