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Placing machine learning into the hermeneutic circle: a combined computational-interpretive method for text analysis 将机器学习纳入诠释学范畴:文本分析的计算-诠释结合方法
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-09-15 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00335-4
Scott Robert Patterson, Vincent Pouliot

Scholars are increasingly turning to machine learning text analysis (MLTA) to make sense of world politics, but the question of how computational power and interpretive expertise should work together remains underexplored. This gap stems from a lack of engagement between those who treat text as data to be computed and those who approach it as language to be interpreted. In this article, we bridge this divide by proposing a methodology that cycles between computational analysis and interpretive moments, placing machine learning within the hermeneutic circle. We argue that by iterating between these dual tasks, researchers can harness the strengths of both approaches, reducing the dimensionality of text while preserving its pragmatic structure of meaning. To illustrate our approach, we apply it to the UN General Debate Corpus (UNGDC), demonstrating how machine learning can identify coherent rhetorical intervals that are then interpreted using expert knowledge. Our primary objective is pedagogical, but our application also highlights the potential empirical payoffs of combining MLTA and interpretive analysis in the era of big data.

越来越多的学者开始利用机器学习文本分析(MLTA)来理解世界政治,但对于计算能力和解释性专业知识应如何共同发挥作用的问题仍未充分探讨。这一鸿沟源于将文本视为需要计算的数据的学者与将文本视为需要解释的语言的学者之间缺乏交流。在本文中,我们提出了一种在计算分析和诠释时刻之间循环的方法,将机器学习置于诠释学的圈子内,从而弥合了这一鸿沟。我们认为,通过在这双重任务之间反复进行,研究人员可以利用这两种方法的优势,降低文本的维度,同时保留其意义的实用结构。为了说明我们的方法,我们将其应用于联合国一般性辩论语料库(UNGDC),展示机器学习如何识别连贯的修辞区间,然后利用专家知识对其进行解读。我们的主要目标是教学,但我们的应用也凸显了在大数据时代将 MLTA 与解释性分析相结合的潜在经验回报。
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引用次数: 0
Translating global norms on crime to schools: analysing textbook lessons on the trafficking of humans in the United States, Nigeria and Germany 将全球犯罪准则转化为学校准则:分析美国、尼日利亚和德国有关人口贩运的教科书课程
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00334-5
Soeren Meier, Anja P. Jakobi

How are global norms translated to school settings across countries? Schools teach global norms, but how exactly these norms are presented in this setting is rarely analysed. In this article, we compare how human trafficking, a global crime defined at the UN level, is depicted in more than a hundred textbooks for secondary schools in the United States, Nigeria and Germany. Human trafficking is linked to a multitude of different criminal activities, ranging from child trafficking to modern slavery, organ trafficking, and forced prostitution, each with varying implications regarding underlying social problems and possible counter-efforts. What textbooks depict concerning global norms on global crime thus differs substantially across countries, underlining arguments of norm research on translation and hybridity. We show how textbooks translate global normative debates to the school context in a way that shows some commonalities but also significant national variations, for example, regarding where exploitation occurs, what exactly constitutes trafficking, and how it relates to slavery. These findings raise questions on common normative understandings regarding crime and current and future threat perceptions.

全球准则如何在各国的学校环境中得到体现?学校教授全球准则,但很少分析这些准则在学校环境中的具体表现。在本文中,我们比较了美国、尼日利亚和德国的一百多本中学教科书是如何描述人口贩运这一联合国定义的全球性犯罪的。人口贩运与多种不同的犯罪活动有关,从贩运儿童到现代奴隶制、器官贩运和强迫卖淫,每种犯罪活动对潜在的社会问题和可能的应对措施都有不同的影响。因此,不同国家的教科书对有关全球犯罪的全球规范的描述大相径庭,这凸显了规范研究中有关翻译和混合性的论点。我们展示了教科书是如何将全球规范性辩论转化到学校环境中的,其中既有一些共性,也有显著的国家差异,例如,关于剥削发生的地点、人口贩运的确切构成要素以及它与奴隶制的关系。这些发现提出了有关犯罪的共同规范性理解以及当前和未来的威胁感等问题。
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引用次数: 0
Strangers from the middle of nowhere? Manaf Halbouni’s Monument and the politics of proximity 来自偏远地区的陌生人?马纳夫-哈尔布尼的纪念碑与邻近政治
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00332-7
Christine Unrau

In February 2017, Syrian-German artist Manaf Halbouni set up three upright bus wrecks at a central square of Dresden, thereby recalling a scene from the war-torn city of Aleppo, from which thousands were fleeing. The work of art, entitled Monument, was one of many controversial occasions on which emotions were mobilised in conflicts over migration. This paper deploys the concept of crafting emotional proximity and distance as a way to shift debates on whether emotions should be mobilised in conflicts over migration towards a closer engagement with how this can be done and what the ethical and political implications are. I suggest a methodological framework which combines a focus on the aesthetic, pragmatic and ethical/political aspects. By applying the approach to Monument, I argue that the material presence and physical proximity of the work of art disrupted the carefully crafted categories of ‘inside’ and ‘outside’ which characterise the concept of world order held by sections of the local population and catalysed by far-right activists. So whether or not Monument contributed to crafting stronger emotional proximity with refugees, it claimed public space and exposed world views of exclusivity and inequality which may otherwise have remained below the surface.

2017年2月,叙利亚籍德国艺术家马纳夫-哈尔布尼(Manaf Halbouni)在德累斯顿市中心广场设置了三辆直立的巴士残骸,以此重现战火纷飞的阿勒颇市的场景,成千上万的人从那里逃离。这件名为 "纪念碑"(Monument)的艺术作品是在移民冲突中调动情绪的众多争议事件之一。本文运用了 "精心制作的情感亲疏远近 "这一概念,将关于是否应在移民冲突中调动情感的争论转移到如何调动情感及其伦理和政治影响上来。我提出了一个方法论框架,将美学、实用和伦理/政治方面的重点结合起来。通过将这一方法应用于《纪念碑》,我认为艺术作品的物质存在和物理接近性打破了精心制作的 "内部 "和 "外部 "的分类,而这正是当地部分人口所持有的世界秩序概念的特征,并受到极右翼活动家的催化。因此,无论《纪念碑》是否有助于与难民建立更紧密的情感联系,它都占据了公共空间,并揭示了排他性和不平等的世界观,而这些世界观可能还停留在表面之下。
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引用次数: 0
When structural factors that cause interethnic violence work in favour of peace: The story of Baljvine, a warless Bosnian-Herzegovinian peace mosaic 当导致种族间暴力的结构性因素有利于和平时:巴尔伊万的故事--一个没有战争的波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那和平马赛克
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00331-8
Faris Kočan, Janja Vuga Beršnak, Rok Zupančič

In this paper, we analyse the dynamics of interethnic relations in Baljvine, a village in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), where local Bosniaks and Serbs did not resort to interethnic violence that otherwise marked most of BiH during the last war. Drawing on structural factors that shed light on the dynamics of relations in post-conflict societies where interethnic violence occurred, the aim is to explain why and how bloodshed was prevented in Baljvine during the last war. To achieve this, we employ a multi-method research approach, combining qualitative observation with participation and interviews with the villagers. The results show that intersubjective motivations and a set of smaller coincidences in Baljvine affected structural factors and resulted in avoidance of interethnic violence. This enabled us to coin the concept of “peace mosaic” to demonstrate how several smaller pieces have to align in a community to allow it to remain peaceful. The key contribution is in advancing the argument that the structural factors that explain interethnic violence can also work in favour of peace.

巴尔伊万是波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那(波黑)的一个村庄,在上次战争期间,当地的波什尼亚克族人和塞族人并没有像波黑大部分地区那样诉诸种族间暴力,本文将分析巴尔伊万种族间关系的动态。结构性因素揭示了发生种族间暴力的冲突后社会中的关系动态,我们的目的是解释为什么以及如何在上次战争期间阻止了巴利维内的流血事件。为此,我们采用了多种研究方法,将定性观察与村民的参与和访谈相结合。研究结果表明,巴尔伊万的主体间动机和一系列较小的巧合影响了结构性因素,并导致了种族间暴力的避免。因此,我们提出了 "和平马赛克 "的概念,以说明一个社区要保持和平,必须要有几个较小的因素相互配合。我们的主要贡献在于提出了一个论点,即解释种族间暴力的结构性因素也可以促进和平。
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引用次数: 0
Forum-shifting from above and below: international stratification and the fragmentation of the nuclear non-proliferation regime complex 自上而下的论坛转移:国际分层与核不扩散机制的支离破碎
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00330-9
Caroline Fehl

Since the adoption of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), the order founded on the treaty has evolved into an increasingly fragmented regime complex. Fragmentation has resulted from forum-shifting initiated both at the top and at the bottom of the nuclear hierarchy: both the United States, with varying partners, and coalitions of small-and medium-sized non-nuclear states have repeatedly moved rule-making on nuclear issues to fora outside the NPT, adding partly conflicting institutions to the complex. To understand this dynamic, I propose a sociological perspective that highlights states’ positional struggles in a multidimensionally stratified international society. Drawing on Bourdieusian global fields theory, I argue that both dominant and weak states use forum-shifting to manipulate exchange rates between different (material, institutional and social) forms of capital they possess. Thus, they seek to protect their positions in global hierarchies within and beyond the nuclear field when they perceive these hierarchies as being challenged by material or institutional power shifts.

自《不扩散核武器条约》(NPT)通过以来,建立在该条约基础上的秩序已演变成一个日益支离破碎的制度综合体。分裂的原因是核等级制度的顶层和底层都开始转移论坛:美国与不同的合作伙伴以及中小型无核国家联盟都一再将核问题的规则制定转移到《不扩散条约》之外的论坛,为这一综合体增加了部分相互冲突的机构。为了理解这一动态,我提出了一个社会学视角,强调各国在多维分层的国际社会中的地位之争。借鉴布尔迪厄斯(Bourdieusian)的全球领域理论,我认为,无论是主导国还是弱国,都会利用论坛转移来操纵它们所拥有的不同(物质、制度和社会)资本形式之间的汇率。因此,当它们认为核领域内外的全球等级制度受到物质或制度权力转移的挑战时,它们就会寻求保护自己在这些等级制度中的地位。
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引用次数: 0
Salient discourses in international society: When and how have United Nations global conferences acted as catalysts? 国际社会的重要论述:联合国全球会议何时以及如何发挥了催化剂的作用?
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00324-7
Catherine Hecht, Jens Steffek

Salient discourses shape the way actors perceive and engage in global politics. How and to what extent terminology becomes salient in international society, however, is not well understood. This article investigates one potential source of discursive change: global conferences convened by the United Nations (UN). Conceptually, we combine insights from scholarship on discursive shifts with an emphasis on how salient terms become in a given venue and points in time, in order to better understand when and to what extent a discursive shift is sustained. Quantitative analysis of all speeches in the UN General Assembly (UNGA) General Debate between 1970 and 2020 robustly illustrates correspondence between UN global conferences and shifts in the salience of core terms by means of two independent indicators and interrupted time series analysis. We identify three significant discursive shifts following UN global conferences with wide and puzzling variation in their trajectories: sustainable development, social development, and gender (equality). To understand this variation, we qualitatively investigate scope conditions of discursive shifts and salience of these and several related terms. Our findings include that differences in terms’ versatility and formal institutionalisation correspond with their rise and fall in salience after global conferences.

突出的论述决定了行动者看待和参与全球政治的方式。然而,人们对术语如何以及在多大程度上成为国际社会中的突出术语还不甚了解。本文研究了话语变化的一个潜在来源:联合国(UN)召开的全球会议。从概念上讲,我们结合了有关话语转变的学术见解,强调了术语在特定场所和时间点上的显著性,以便更好地理解话语转变何时以及在多大程度上得以持续。通过对 1970 年至 2020 年联合国大会(UNGA)一般性辩论的所有发言进行定量分析,利用两个独立指标和间断时间序列分析,有力地说明了联合国全球会议与核心术语显著性变化之间的对应关系。我们确定了联合国全球会议后三个重要的话语转变,其轨迹差异巨大,令人费解:可持续发展、社会发展和性别(平等)。为了理解这种差异,我们对话语转变的范围条件以及这些术语和一些相关术语的显著性进行了定性研究。我们的研究结果包括:术语的通用性和正式制度化的差异与它们在全球会议后显著性的上升和下降相对应。
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引用次数: 0
Constructing a sustainable ‘tomorrow’: iconic architecture and progressive neoliberal place-making in Rio de Janeiro’s ‘Little Africa’ 构建可持续发展的 "明天":里约热内卢 "小非洲 "的标志性建筑和渐进式新自由主义场所建设
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-16 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00327-4
Kevin Funk

Rio de Janeiro’s long-marginalised, majority Afro-descendant old port area, home to the remains of the Americas’ largest slave disembarkation wharf and Brazil’s first favela, has been subjected to recurring elite-led ‘revitalisation’ projects. A contemporary plan, Porto Maravilha (Marvelous Port), seeks to address the region’s decline through a culture-led, public-private development scheme that refashions this space as a tourist and residential hub. Based on participant-observation, interviews with protagonists, and discursive analysis of official texts, this article analyses the most spectacular addition to Rio’s previously derelict waterfront—the grandiosely titled Museu do Amanhã (Museum of Tomorrow)—to demonstrate how efforts to neoliberalise space, within this postcolonial and settler-colonial urban context and beyond, are increasingly given a progressive twist. Drawing from Leslie Sklair’s pathbreaking analysis of the political economy of architectural ‘iconicity’, I interrogate the socio-spatial dimensions of the Museum as a starchitect-designed and utopian site that promotes sustainability and community empowerment, but simultaneously cultivates a market-friendly ethos. Invoking Nancy Fraser, I argue that the Museum represents an emblematic case of ‘progressive neoliberal place-making.’ Through analysing global city-making processes in Rio’s ‘Little Africa’, this article addresses longstanding lacunae in IPE and IR related to the centrality of race and colonialism in global capitalism.

里约热内卢的老港口区长期被边缘化,非洲裔占多数,这里有美洲最大的奴隶上岸码头遗迹和巴西第一个贫民窟,由精英主导的 "振兴 "项目在这里一再上演。一项名为 Porto Maravilha(奇妙港口)的当代计划试图通过一项文化主导的公私合作发展计划来解决该地区的衰落问题,将这一空间重新打造为旅游和居住中心。本文基于对参与者的观察、对主人公的访谈以及对官方文本的话语分析,分析了里约之前荒废的滨水区最壮观的新增项目--冠以宏伟称号的明日博物馆(Museu do Amanhã)--以展示在这一后殖民地和殖民定居者的城市背景及其他背景下,新自由主义空间化的努力是如何被赋予越来越多的进步色彩的。借鉴莱斯利-斯克莱尔(Leslie Sklair)对建筑 "标志性 "政治经济学的开创性分析,我对博物馆的社会空间维度进行了探讨,博物馆是一个由建筑师设计的乌托邦式场所,它促进了可持续性和社区赋权,但同时也培养了一种市场友好型的精神。我援引南希-弗雷泽(Nancy Fraser)的观点,认为博物馆是 "进步的新自由主义场所营造 "的典型案例。通过分析里约 "小非洲 "的全球城市建设过程,本文探讨了 IPE 和 IR 中与全球资本主义中种族和殖民主义的中心地位相关的长期空白。
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引用次数: 0
A selective right to rule: interventions and authority certifications in Libya 有选择的统治权:利比亚的干预和权力认证
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-16 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00325-6
Debora Valentina Malito

Failures in rebuilding states have generally been studied in terms of localised, sectarian strife, with little comprehension of how external interventions alter state authority. Yet, how do international interventions contribute to authority-making? I argue that authority certifications hold a twofold cure/poisoning potential producing a selective right to rule. By analysing the politics of recognition in the Libyan conflict between 2011 and 2016, this article unpacks mechanisms of legitimacy certification and decertification throughout three stages of international intervention (regime change, democratisation, and mediation). Certifications, I argue, promote a simulacrum of sovereignty by legitimising domestic forces, who then utilise certification to enhance their claim to power. By combining a focus on recognition politics with a process-oriented perspective on the mechanics of authority-making, I advance the notion of certification as a tool for political re-ordering. Theoretically, I define a selective right to rule as an externally filtered entitlement resulting from certification practices that shape complex power struggles. Empirically, I demonstrate how certification systems further divided and split Libya after 2011. While NATO’s involvement dispersed the military strength essential for regime change, UN-led democratisation and mediation efforts fueled an institutional limbo that aided rival military and political powers, bolstering divergent authority claims.

重建国家的失败通常是从局部的宗派纷争角度进行研究的,很少有人了解外部干预是如何改变国家权威的。然而,国际干预如何促进权威的形成?我认为,权威认证具有双重治疗/毒化潜力,可产生选择性的统治权。通过分析 2011 年至 2016 年利比亚冲突中的承认政治,本文解读了国际干预三个阶段(政权更迭、民主化和调解)的合法性认证和取消认证机制。我认为,认证通过使国内势力合法化来促进主权的模拟,而国内势力则利用认证来加强其权力主张。通过将对认可政治的关注与对权威制造机制的过程导向视角相结合,我提出了认证作为政治秩序重构工具的概念。从理论上讲,我将选择性统治权定义为一种经过外部过滤的权利,这种权利来自于塑造复杂权力斗争的认证实践。在经验方面,我展示了认证体系如何在 2011 年后进一步分裂利比亚。北约的介入分散了政权更迭所必需的军事力量,而联合国领导的民主化和调停努力则助长了制度性的僵局,从而帮助了对立的军事和政治力量,加强了不同的权力主张。
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引用次数: 0
Technology in the quest for status: the Russian leadership’s artificial intelligence narrative 追求地位的技术:俄罗斯领导层的人工智能叙事
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-16 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-023-00322-1
Anna Nadibaidze

The gap between Russia’s aspirations to become a global leader in artificial intelligence (AI) and its potential to do so has become increasingly more visible, especially following the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. I examine the mismatch between the Russian leadership’s AI narrative and the country’s technological capabilities via the lens of Russia’s quest for great power status and ontological security. Connecting literatures on status-seeking, ontological security, and narratives in International Relations, I show the need to scrutinise narratives surrounding technology, especially AI technologies and their associated ambiguities, as part of how states deal with the constant uncertainty about recognition of their self-perceived identity. Based on an analysis of textual and visual documents collected via open-access sources, I find that the Russian official AI narrative embeds three of the elements forming Russia’s conception of a great power, namely the ability to compete, modernise, and attain technological sovereignty. It features a plot where the state is the main protagonist leading Russia towards AI leadership despite the obstacles it is facing. Although the official rhetoric does not match the reality of Russian capabilities, the narrative is used as a cognitive tool in the quest for identity during times of uncertainty.

俄罗斯希望成为全球人工智能(AI)领导者的愿望与其潜力之间的差距日益明显,尤其是在 2022 年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰之后。我从俄罗斯对大国地位和本体安全的追求这一视角来审视俄罗斯领导层的人工智能论述与该国技术能力之间的不匹配。我将国际关系中有关地位追求、本体论安全和叙事的文献联系起来,说明有必要仔细研究围绕技术的叙事,尤其是人工智能技术及其相关的模糊性,这是国家如何应对其自我认知身份认可的持续不确定性的一部分。基于对通过公开渠道收集到的文字和视觉文件的分析,我发现俄罗斯官方的人工智能叙事包含了构成俄罗斯大国概念的三个要素,即竞争能力、现代化和实现技术主权。在这一叙事中,国家是主角,尽管面临重重障碍,但仍引领俄罗斯走向人工智能领导地位。虽然官方言论与俄罗斯的现实能力并不相符,但在不确定时期,这种叙事被用作寻求身份认同的认知工具。
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引用次数: 0
Survival and status in the liberal international order: the grantors of recognition 自由国际秩序中的生存与地位:承认的给予者
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1057/s41268-024-00323-8
Jan Hornat

This article focuses on the supply side of status recognition in the liberal international order (LIO). The order’s liberal milieu breeds hierarchies among states, which in turn generate certain exigencies for recognition. Although states receive ‘thin’ recognition, the order fails to structurally acknowledge their worth, value and uniqueness, or ‘thick’ recognition. This inconsistency lies at the heart of the order’s recognition regime and serves as a source of frustration and revisionism. Since recognition needs are not saturated systemically, an opening emerges for non-systemic grants of recognition, which are mostly conferred by a select core of liberal states. I unpack the said inconsistency in the LIO’s recognition regime and concentrate on the production of non-systemic grants of recognition and their practical implications. I identify the non-systemic grants of recognition as an effective, yet problematic characteristic of the recognition regime because they further exacerbate hierarchies based on a specific understanding of merit. In operationalizing the process of status recognition in the particular milieu of the LIO, the piece introduces a heuristic framework for qualitatively assessing the perceived functional worth of states and provides empirical examples.

本文重点探讨自由国际秩序(LIO)中地位承认的供应方问题。自由国际秩序的环境造就了国家之间的等级制度,而等级制度又产生了某些对承认的需求。虽然国家得到了 "薄 "承认,但国际秩序却未能从结构上承认它们的价值、独特性或 "厚 "承认。这种不一致性是该秩序承认制度的核心,也是挫折感和修正主义的根源。由于对承认的需求没有系统性的饱和,因此出现了非系统性承认的机会,而这种承认大多是由选定的核心自由主义国家授予的。我解读了 LIO 承认体系中的上述不一致性,并集中探讨了非体系性承认的产生及其实际影响。我认为非制度性的承认是承认制度的一个有效但有问题的特点,因为它们进一步加剧了基于对功绩的特定理解的等级制度。在 LIO 的特殊环境中,在对地位承认过程进行操作时,文章引入了一个启发式框架,用于定性评估国家的功能价值,并提供了经验性实例。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of International Relations and Development
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