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The value of legal recourse in sovereign bond markets: Evidence from Argentina 主权债券市场中法律追索权的价值:阿根廷的证据
IF 1.2 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12384
Sebastian M. Saiegh, Glen Biglaiser

If sovereign immunity waivers and clauses calling for litigation abroad reduce the risk of expropriation, bonds governed by foreign law should, ceteris paribus, trade at a premium compared to bonds issued under domestic law. In 2020, Argentina exchanged a panoply of bonds with different currencies, maturity and coupon structure for pairs of bonds that are identical except for their governing law. We leverage these “twin” bonds to identify the effect of legal jurisdiction on sovereign debt prices. Our findings indicate that foreign-law bonds consistently trade at higher prices and are primarily held by long-term investors. These results suggest that market participants price certain legal terms (e.g., governing law) in sovereign debt, and investors expect to face less credit risk under bonds governed by foreign law, either due to a lower risk of selective default or higher recovery rate in foreign courts.

如果放弃主权豁免权和要求在国外提起诉讼的条款降低了征用风险,那么与根据国内法发行的债券相比,受外国法管辖的债券在交易时应比国内法管辖的债券溢价。2020 年,阿根廷将不同币种、期限和票息结构的一系列债券换成了除适用法律外完全相同的成对债券。我们利用这些 "孪生 "债券来确定法律管辖权对主权债务价格的影响。我们的研究结果表明,外国法债券的交易价格一直较高,而且主要由长期投资者持有。这些结果表明,市场参与者会对主权债务中的某些法律条款(如准据法)进行定价,投资者预期受外国法律管辖的债券面临的信用风险较小,原因可能是选择性违约风险较低或在外国法院的追偿率较高。
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引用次数: 0
A statistical approach to law school citation rankings 法学院引文排名的统计方法
IF 1.2 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12381
Joshua Fischman

Citation rankings have emerged as a popular approach to ranking the scholarly impact of law faculties. This paper develops a statistical approach for inferring faculty quality from citation counts and determining when differences among law schools are significant. Statistical tests demonstrate that the distribution of citations within faculties closely follows the lognormal distribution, subject to small adjustments. This suggests a simple test for comparing faculties: whether they could be drawn from lognormal distributions with the same log mean. Under this approach, the geometric mean of citations is the most efficient measure for summarizing faculty quality. Using citation data collected from HeinOnline, this article provides a citation ranking for 195 law schools in the United States. Most differences between peer schools are statistically insignificant, and confidence intervals on citation ranks are extremely wide. Except for the highest-ranked faculties, citation rankings provide little information on the relative quality of faculties.

引文排名已成为法学院学术影响力排名的一种流行方法。本文开发了一种统计方法,用于从引用次数推断法学院的师资质量,并确定法学院之间的差异何时显著。统计测试表明,院系内部的引文分布密切遵循对数正态分布,但会有微小的调整。这为比较院系提供了一个简单的测试方法:是否可以从对数正态分布中得出具有相同对数平均值的院系。根据这种方法,引文的几何平均数是概括教师质量的最有效的衡量标准。本文利用从 HeinOnline 收集到的引用数据,对美国 195 所法学院进行了引用排名。同行学校之间的大多数差异在统计上并不显著,引用排名的置信区间也非常宽。除了排名最高的院系外,引文排名几乎不能提供院系相对质量的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Does the 1L curriculum make a difference? 1L 课程有区别吗?
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12383
David A. Hyman, Jing Liu, Joshua C. Teitelbaum

Georgetown Law's Curriculum B (also known as Section 3) offers a unique opportunity to study an alternative 1L curriculum. The standard 1L curriculum has been around for decades and is still offered at the vast majority of US law schools. Leaders in the legal academy often talk about experimenting with the 1L curriculum, but hardly anyone does it. Georgetown Law has. We study whether Georgetown's Curriculum B yields measurable differences in student outcomes. Our empirical design leverages the fact that enrollment in Curriculum B is done by lottery when it is oversubscribed—meaning our study is effectively a randomized controlled trial. We measure treatment effects of Curriculum B by comparing outcomes of students who received the treatment (Curriculum B) with outcomes of students who received the placebo (Curriculum A) but wanted the treatment. Because students in both the treatment and control groups elected to enroll in Curriculum B, our empirical design overcomes the issue of selection bias. We find that taking Curriculum B decreases students' performance in two business law electives (Corporations and Securities Regulation) and reduces the rate at which they graduate with Latin honors. In addition, we find that it increases students' propensity to take certain public law electives and decreases their propensity to take certain business law electives. We further find that taking Curriculum B decreases students' likelihood of working in the private sector (law firm or business/industry), increases their likelihood of working in the public sector (government or public interest) or doing a judicial clerkship, and reduces their average annual salary. At the same, however, we find no statistically significant effects on other outcomes, including students' cumulative grade point average, their chances of passing the bar exam or being employed 10 months after graduation, or their rate or amount of alumni giving.

乔治城法学院的课程 B(也称为 Section 3)提供了学习另一种 1L 课程的独特机会。标准的 1L 课程已经存在了几十年,绝大多数美国法学院仍在使用。法学院的领导者经常谈论对 1L 课程进行实验,但几乎没有人这样做。乔治城法学院已经这样做了。我们研究了乔治城法学院的 B 课程是否在学生成绩方面产生了可衡量的差异。我们的实证设计利用了这样一个事实:当课程 B 超额招收时,学生可以通过抽签的方式入学,这意味着我们的研究实际上是一项随机对照试验。我们通过比较接受治疗(课程 B)的学生与接受安慰剂(课程 A)但希望接受治疗的学生的结果,来衡量课程 B 的治疗效果。由于治疗组和对照组的学生都选择参加课程 B,我们的实证设计克服了选择偏差的问题。我们发现,选修课程 B 会降低学生在两门商法选修课(《公司法》和《证券法规》)中的成绩,并降低他们以拉丁文优等成绩毕业的比率。此外,我们还发现,选修课程 B 增加了学生选修某些公法选修课的倾向,降低了他们选修某些商法选修课的倾向。我们还发现,选修课程 B 会降低学生在私营部门(律师事务所或企业/行业)工作的可能性,增加他们在公共部门(政府或公共利益部门)工作或担任司法书记员的可能性,并降低他们的平均年薪。但与此同时,我们发现对其他结果,包括学生的累积平均学分绩点、通过律师资格考试的几率或毕业 10 个月后就业的几率,以及校友捐赠的比例或金额,都没有统计学意义上的显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Lawyers' legal aid participation: A qualitative and quantitative analysis 律师参与法律援助:定性和定量分析
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12385
Ching-fang Hsu, Ivan Kan-hsueh Chiang, Yun-chien Chang

This article develops a framework to understand the legal profession's participation in providing services to indigent clients. Our theory is based on two factors: whether lawyers have successful practices, and whether the legal aid delivered to indigent clients is free or below market price. Pro bono signals moral high ground in the profession. Conversely, a regime in which legal assistance is provided at a discounted market price (“low bono”), an under-explored area in the literature, attracts less competitive attorneys, and doing legal aid cases is perceived as signifying incompetence in one's professional capacity. Using a unique, comprehensive data set on all legal aid lawyers in Taiwan (nearly 4000), two nationwide attorney surveys, and 143 in-depth interviews with practicing lawyers across the country, we offer the first comprehensive empirical analysis of legal aid lawyers and explain that the design of a legal aid regime attracts lawyers of different hemispheres into the endeavor.

本文建立了一个框架来理解法律界参与为贫困当事人提供服务的情况。我们的理论基于两个因素:律师的执业是否成功,以及向贫困当事人提供的法律援助是否免费或低于市场价格。无偿服务标志着律师行业的道德制高点。反之,以市场折扣价("低公益")提供法律援助的制度(这是文献中未充分探讨的一个领域)会吸引竞争力较弱的律师,而办理法律援助案件则被视为个人专业能力不足的标志。我们利用台湾所有法律援助律师(近 4000 名)的独特、全面的数据集、两次全国律师调查以及对全国执业律师的 143 次深入访谈,首次对法律援助律师进行了全面的实证分析,并解释了法律援助制度的设计吸引了不同半球的律师参与其中。
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引用次数: 0
Rankings without U.S. News: A revealed preference approach to evaluating law schools 没有 U.S. News 的排名:评估法学院的揭示偏好法
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12380
Jesse Rothstein, Albert Yoon

Since their inception in 1989, the U.S. News & World Report law school rankings have influenced how schools, students, and the legal profession itself think about legal education. In the Fall of 2022, however, several of the most selective law schools formally withdrew from the annual rankings. In so doing, these schools laid bare longstanding criticisms of the rankings' questionable criteria and opaque methodology. While the long-term effect of this boycott remains to be seen, school rankings are likely here to stay. In this Article we design a more informative approach to rankings, based on actual decisions students make. Using individual-level data provided by the Law School Admissions Council (LSAC), we analyze the universe of applicants to U.S. law schools for the period 1988 through 2017. In so doing, we are the first to create a revealed preference ranking based solely on where applicants matriculate given offers of admission. Our approach relies neither on potentially faulty data collection from schools nor arbitrary decisions about which factors to emphasize in rankings, thereby minimizing the scope for manipulation. It also allows us to quantify the magnitude of differences in preferences among schools and to test their statistical significance. Matriculants reveal a strong preference for a handful of the most selective schools; outside of the top tier, however, matriculants do not appear to draw meaningful distinctions between schools ranked adjacently or even near to each other. While existing school rankings sow more confusion than clarity, our analysis provides a rigorous and transparent alternative, and a blueprint for redesigning school rankings.

自 1989 年创立以来,《美国新闻与世界报道》法学院排名一直影响着学校、学生和法律界对法律教育的看法。然而,2022 年秋季,几所最具选择性的法学院正式退出了年度排名。这样一来,这些学校将长期以来对排名标准有问题和排名方法不透明的批评暴露无遗。虽然这种抵制行为的长期影响还有待观察,但学校排名很可能会继续存在。在本文中,我们将根据学生做出的实际决定,为排名设计一种更有参考价值的方法。利用法学院招生委员会(LSAC)提供的个人层面的数据,我们分析了 1988 年至 2017 年期间美国法学院的申请者群体。在此过程中,我们首次建立了一个揭示性偏好排名,该排名完全基于申请人在获得录取通知书后的就读院校。我们的方法既不依赖于从学校收集的可能有误的数据,也不依赖于在排名中强调哪些因素的武断决定,从而最大限度地缩小了操纵的范围。同时,我们还可以量化不同学校之间的偏好差异,并检验其统计意义。预科生对少数几所最具选择性的学校表现出强烈的偏好;然而,在排名靠前的学校之外,预科生似乎并不会对排名相邻甚至相近的学校进行有意义的区分。虽然现有的学校排名造成的混乱多于清晰,但我们的分析提供了一个严谨而透明的替代方案,以及重新设计学校排名的蓝图。
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引用次数: 0
Litigation with negative expected value suits: An experimental analysis 负期望值诉讼:实验分析
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12382
Cary Deck, Paul Pecorino, Michael Solomon

The existence of lawsuits providing plaintiffs a negative expected value (NEV) at trial has important theoretical implications for signaling models of litigation. The signaling equilibrium possible when there are no NEV suits breaks down because plaintiffs with NEV suits do not have a credible threat to proceed to trial, which undermines the ability to signal type. Using a laboratory experiment, we analyze behavior with and without the possibility of NEV suits. Absent NEV suits, behavior largely follows predicted patterns. However, the possibility of NEV suits is not found to cause the signaling equilibrium to unravel or to cause the dispute rate to increase. Plaintiffs only drop NEV lawsuits three-fourths of the time, the rejection rate by defendants for revealing demands rises less than predicted and, contra theory, the rejection rate on demands in the semi-pooling range remains unchanged.

在审判中为原告提供负期望值(NEV)的诉讼的存在对诉讼信号模型具有重要的理论意义。当不存在负期望值诉讼时,信号均衡就会破裂,因为有负期望值诉讼的原告没有进入审判的可信威胁,这就削弱了信号类型的能力。通过实验室实验,我们分析了存在和不存在NEV诉讼可能性时的行为。在没有NEV诉讼的情况下,行为基本上遵循预测的模式。然而,我们并未发现NEV诉讼的可能性会导致信号平衡失衡或争议率上升。原告只在四分之三的情况下放弃NEV诉讼,被告对揭示性要求的拒绝率上升幅度低于预测,而且与理论相反,对半合议范围内要求的拒绝率保持不变。
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引用次数: 0
The role of character-based personal mitigation in sentencing judgments 基于性格的个人减刑在量刑判决中的作用
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12376
Ian K. Belton, Mandeep K. Dhami

Personal mitigating factors (PMFs) such as good character, remorse and addressing addiction help sentencers evaluate an offender's past, present and future behavior. We analyzed data from the 2011–2014 Crown Court Sentencing Surveys in England and Wales to examine the relationship between these PMFs and custodial sentences passed on assault and burglary offenses, controlling for other sentencing relevant factors. Beyond revealing the distribution and co-occurrence of the three PMFs, it was found that good character, remorse and addressing addiction all had a significant mitigating effect. The effects of addressing addiction were the strongest of the three across both offense types, while good character had a stronger effect on burglary than assault. In addition, some mitigating factors appear to be underweighted when they occur together. We consider the implications of these findings for sentencing policy and practice.

个人减刑因素(PMFs),如品行端正、悔过自新和戒除毒瘾,有助于判刑者评估罪犯过去、现在和未来的行为。我们分析了英格兰和威尔士 2011-2014 年刑事法庭量刑调查的数据,在控制其他量刑相关因素的情况下,研究了这些个人减刑因素与袭击罪和入室盗窃罪的监禁判决之间的关系。除了揭示三种 PMF 的分布和共存情况外,研究还发现,良好的品格、悔恨和戒除毒瘾都具有显著的减刑效果。在这三种因素中,戒除毒瘾对两种犯罪类型的影响最大,而良好品格对入室盗窃罪的影响要大于伤害罪。此外,当某些减刑因素同时出现时,它们的权重似乎较低。我们考虑了这些发现对量刑政策和实践的影响。
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引用次数: 0
“They don't let us speak”: Gender, collegiality, and interruptions in deliberations in the Brazilian Supreme Court "他们不让我们发言":巴西最高法院审议中的性别、合议和中断
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12379
Diego Werneck Arguelhes, Juliana Cesario Alvim, Rafaela Nogueira, Henrique Wang

In this paper, we examine a database containing court rulings and debates (acórdãos) of the Brazilian Supreme Court (“STF”) spanning from 1999 to 2018. Our objective is to analyze the relationship between gender and how judges behave when interacting with each other. Specifically, we investigate whether female judges are more likely to be interrupted by their colleagues during oral debates. Our data are built on real-time public interactions between the judges, as recorded in the Court's transcripts. The results show that female STF judges are interrupted more often than their male counterparts. While male judges display no specific effects, all three female judges in our data display a very significant and positive probability of being interrupted, as compared to their male colleagues participating in the same deliberations. These results show that, even in institutions designed to protect rights of political minorities, including women, gender dynamics, stereotypes and hierarchies can affect the functioning of courts in visible ways, with potential impacts on the rest of the judiciary and the legal profession. They also suggest that merely increasing the number of female judges, without addressing underlying gender dynamics and procedural rules in the judicial decision-making process, is insufficient to tackle the disadvantages women face within those institutions.

在本文中,我们研究了一个包含巴西最高法院("STF")从 1999 年到 2018 年的法院判决和辩论(acórdãos)的数据库。我们的目标是分析性别与法官在互动时的行为方式之间的关系。具体来说,我们研究女法官在口头辩论时是否更容易被同事打断。我们的数据基于法院记录誊本中记录的法官之间的实时公开互动。结果显示,STF 的女法官比男法官更常被打断。虽然男性法官没有表现出特定的影响,但我们数据中的所有三位女法官与参加相同评议的男性同事相比,被打断的概率都非常显著且呈正数。这些结果表明,即使在旨在保护包括女性在内的政治少数群体权利的机构中,性别动态、陈规定型观念和等级制度也会以明显的方式影响法院的运作,并对司法机构的其他部门和法律界产生潜在影响。他们还建议,仅仅增加女法官的人数,而不解决司法决策过程中潜在的性别动态和程序规则,不足以解决妇女在这些机构中面临的不利处境。
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引用次数: 0
Bargaining power in the market for intellectual property: Evidence from licensing contract terms 知识产权市场的议价能力:来自许可合同条款的证据
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12374
Gaurav Kankanhalli, Alan Kwan

We study a novel database of intellectual property (IP) licensing agreements sourced from filings made by publicly listed corporations, a large fraction of which firms (initially) disclose with redacted terms. In contrast to the benchmark that IP quality alone determines the pricing of IP, we argue that bargaining power between licensing counterparties plays a critical role in explaining several patterns in observed royalty rates. Licensors with differentiated technology and high market power charge higher royalty rates, while larger-than-rival licensees pay lower royalty rates. Licensors command premium royalty rates for contract exclusivity, especially in competitive markets. Finally, we employ this framework and setting to understand the pricing implications of nondisclosure: licensors redact payment terms when they transact at lower royalty rates, consistent with preserving bargaining power for future negotiations. Our findings offer a new explanation for innovator secrecy and have several practical takeaways for transfer pricing and patent litigation.

我们研究了一个新颖的知识产权(IP)许可协议数据库,该数据库来源于上市公司的申报文件,其中大部分公司(最初)披露的条款都是经过编辑的。与仅由知识产权质量决定知识产权定价的基准不同,我们认为许可对手之间的讨价还价能力在解释所观察到的专利使用费率的几种模式中起着至关重要的作用。拥有差异化技术和高市场影响力的许可方收取的专利使用费较高,而规模大于竞争对手的被许可方支付的专利使用费较低。许可人因合同排他性而收取较高的专利使用费,尤其是在竞争激烈的市场中。最后,我们利用这一框架和背景来理解不披露对定价的影响:当许可人以较低的特许权使用费进行交易时,他们会对支付条款进行编辑,以保持未来谈判的议价能力。我们的研究结果为创新者保密提供了一种新的解释,并对转让定价和专利诉讼有一些实际启示。
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引用次数: 0
Consent searches and underestimation of compliance: Robustness to type of search, consequences of search, and demographic sample 同意搜索和低估合规性:搜索类型、搜索后果和人口统计样本的稳健性
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12375
Roseanna Sommers, Vanessa K. Bohns

Most police searches today are authorized by citizens' consent, rather than probable cause or reasonable suspicion. The main constitutional limitation on so-called “consent searches” is the voluntariness test: whether a reasonable person would have felt free to refuse the officer's request to conduct the search. We investigate whether this legal inquiry is subject to a systematic bias whereby uninvolved decision-makers overstate the voluntariness of consent and underestimate the psychological pressure individuals feel to comply. We find evidence for a robust bias extending to requests, tasks, and populations that have not been examined previously. Across three pre-registered experiments, we approached participants (“Experiencers”) with intrusive search requests and measured their behavioral compliance and self-reported feelings of psychological freedom. Another group of participants (“Forecasters”) reported whether they would comply if hypothetically placed in the same situation. Study 1 investigated participants' willingness to allow experimenters access to their unlocked personal smartphones in order to read through the search histories on their web browsers—a private sphere where many individuals feel they have something to hide. Results revealed that whereas 27% of Forecasters reported they would permit such a search, 92% of Experiencers complied when asked. Study 2 replicated this underestimation-of-compliance effect when individuals were asked to permit a search of their purses, backpacks, and other bags—traditional searches not eligible for the heightened legal protection extended to digital devices. Study 3 replicated the gap between Forecasters' projections and Experiencers' behavior in a more representative sample, and found it persists even when participants' predictions are incentivized monetarily.

如今,大多数警方搜查都是经公民同意授权的,而不是有正当理由或合理怀疑。对所谓 "同意搜查 "的主要宪法限制是自愿性测试:一个合理的人是否会认为可以自由地拒绝警官进行搜查的要求。我们调查了这一法律调查是否存在系统性偏差,即未参与调查的决策者高估了同意的自愿性,低估了个人感受到的遵从的心理压力。我们发现,有证据表明,在请求、任务和人群中都存在以前未曾研究过的严重偏差。在三个预先登记的实验中,我们向参与者("体验者")提出了侵扰性搜索请求,并测量了他们的行为顺从性和自我报告的心理自由感。另一组参与者("预测者")则报告了如果假设他们处于同样的情况下是否会遵守要求。研究 1 调查了参与者是否愿意让实验人员访问他们未上锁的个人智能手机,以便阅读他们网页浏览器上的搜索历史记录--许多人认为他们在这一私人领域有所隐瞒。结果显示,27% 的预测者表示他们会允许这样的搜索,而 92% 的体验者在被问及时都表示同意。研究 2 复制了这种低估遵从效应,即要求个人允许对其钱包、背包和其他包袋进行搜查--传统的搜查不符合数字设备所享有的更高法律保护。研究 3 在一个更具代表性的样本中复制了预测者的预测与体验者的行为之间的差距,并发现即使参与者的预测受到金钱激励,这种差距依然存在。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Empirical Legal Studies
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