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Religiosity and electoral turnout among Muslims in Western Europe 西欧穆斯林的宗教信仰与选举投票率
IF 3.2 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000334
Rachel Kollar, Nella Geurts, Niels Spierings
Investigating the relationship between Islamic religiosity and electoral participation amongst Muslim citizens in Western Europe, this study combines insights from the sociology of religion and Islamic studies with political behavior literature thus creating an improved theoretical framework and a richer empirical understanding surrounding the electoral participation of religious minorities. First, we theorize about three underlying dimensions of Islamic religiosity: frequency of mosque attendance, religious identification, and frequency of prayer. Subsequently, we consider how the religiosity–voting relationship is bolstered or hindered by hostile national environments such as more exclusionary policies and practices (e.g., veil banning or exclusionary citizenship laws). Empirically, we use a unique dataset that harmonizes five European surveys, resulting in a sample size of just under 8,000 European Muslims. Using multi-level techniques, we find, contrary to research on majority religiosity, that communal religiosity is unrelated to electoral participation. However, individual religiosity bolsters voting in particular among the second generation. Opposite to our expectation, we find that hostile environments do not seem to lead to different impacts of Islamic religiosity within Western Europe. Our results support the taking of a more fine-grained approach when measuring religiosity and also highlight how the impact varies across genders and generations.
本研究调查了西欧穆斯林公民的伊斯兰宗教信仰与选举参与之间的关系,将宗教社会学和伊斯兰研究的见解与政治行为文献相结合,从而围绕宗教少数群体的选举参与问题建立了一个更好的理论框架和更丰富的实证认识。首先,我们对伊斯兰宗教信仰的三个基本维度进行了理论分析:参加清真寺活动的频率、宗教认同和祈祷频率。随后,我们考虑了宗教信仰与投票之间的关系是如何被敌对的国家环境(如更具排斥性的政策和做法(如禁止戴面纱或排斥性的公民法))所促进或阻碍的。 在实证研究中,我们使用了一个独特的数据集,该数据集协调了五项欧洲调查,得出的样本量略低于 8000 名欧洲穆斯林。利用多层次技术,我们发现,与有关多数人宗教信仰的研究相反,群体宗教信仰与选举参与无关。然而,个人宗教信仰会促进投票,尤其是在第二代中。与我们的预期相反,我们发现在西欧,敌对的环境似乎并没有导致伊斯兰宗教信仰的不同影响。我们的研究结果支持在衡量宗教信仰时采取更精细的方法,同时也强调了宗教信仰对不同性别和不同世代的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Parliamentary questions as an intra-coalition control mechanism in mixed regimes 议会质询作为混合政权的联盟内部控制机制
1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000322
Sebastian Block
Abstract Research on intra-coalition control shows that monitoring increases with the ideological distance between coalition partners. However, the focus of scholarship has been primarily on parliamentary regimes, not mixed regimes. In mixed regimes, intra-coalition control becomes more complex due to a dual executive. Parties must simultaneously monitor each other and the directly elected Head of Executive (HoE). This article examines intra-coalition control in mixed regimes by analyzing parliamentary questions from 21 German city councils. The German local level resembles a mixed regime. The executive consists of the coalition cabinet supported by the council majority and the directly elected mayor as the HoE. The results show that the division of governmental responsibilities affects intra-coalition control. When a coalition party is aligned with the HoE, the balance of power within the coalition is affected, and the other partners intensify controlling the aligned party. Additionally, policy divisiveness and issue salience are driving factors for intra-coalition control.
摘要对联盟内部控制的研究表明,随着联盟伙伴之间意识形态距离的增加,监控也随之增加。然而,学术研究的焦点主要集中在议会制政体,而不是混合政体。在混合政权中,由于双重执行者,联盟内部的控制变得更加复杂。各党派必须同时互相监督,并监督直接选举的行政首长。本文通过分析21个德国城市议会的议会问题来考察混合政权中的联盟内部控制。德国地方政府类似于一个混合政权。行政部门由议会多数支持的联合内阁和直接选举产生的市长组成。结果表明,政府责任分工影响联盟内部控制。当一个联合政党与HoE结盟时,联盟内部的权力平衡受到影响,其他伙伴加强对结盟政党的控制。此外,政策分歧和问题突出性是联盟内部控制的驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Control from the core? The impact of cabinet committees on ministers’ legislative activity 从核心控制?内阁委员会对部长立法活动的影响
1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000310
Peter Heyn Nielsen
Abstract Ministers may be powerful policy initiators, but they are not equally powerful. Cabinet control mechanisms have become a crucial part of cabinet governance, which can serve to contain agency loss and consequently constrain ministers in the policymaking process. However, empirical studies have not focused on the impact of such control mechanisms on individual ministers’ political outcomes. I turn attention to certain cabinet committees as intra-cabinet control mechanisms and argue that members of these enjoy a policymaking advantage compared to nonmembers. Analyzing ministers’ number of laws proposed to parliament in Denmark from 1975 to 2022, I look beyond parties as unitary actors and provide evidence for this causal relationship. Membership of the Economic Committee increases ministers’ legislative activity. Thus, even within parties in cabinet, ministers have unequal possibilities to act as policy-seeking. These findings offer new insights into political parties in governments, cabinet governance, policymaking, and legislative processes.
部长们可能是强有力的政策发起者,但他们的权力并不相同。内阁控制机制已成为内阁治理的重要组成部分,它可以遏制机构损失,从而在决策过程中约束部长。然而,实证研究并未关注这种控制机制对部长个人政治结果的影响。我将注意力转向作为内阁内部控制机制的某些内阁委员会,并认为与非成员相比,这些委员会的成员享有决策优势。分析了1975年至2022年丹麦部长们向议会提出的法律数量,我超越了政党作为单一行动者的视角,并为这种因果关系提供了证据。经济委员会的成员资格增加了部长们的立法活动。因此,即使在内阁的政党内部,部长们也有不平等的可能性作为政策寻求者。这些发现为政府中的政党、内阁治理、政策制定和立法程序提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Varieties of clientelism across political parties: new measures of patron–client relationships 跨政党的各种庇护主义:赞助人-客户关系的新措施
1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000309
Masaaki Higashijima, Hidekuni Washida
Abstract Recent research on clientelism has focused on the varieties of clientelism. They suggest that clientelistic exchanges differ in terms of the expected length of iterations, whereby politicians deliver benefits to voters in exchange for political support. Using newly collected V-Party data (1,844 political parties from 165 countries, 1970–2019), we identify two prominent types of clientelism that recent studies have suggested: relational clientelism and single-shot clientelism. By demonstrating that our measures of clientelism outperform existing cross-national indices, we suggest that it is important to unpack clientelistic linkages at the party level to grasp the fine-grained differences in clientelism across parties within states. We then apply our measures to the analysis of the relationship between economic development and clientelism, one of the major topics in the clientelism study. Our analysis finds that relational clientelism persists even in relatively developed countries, whereas the effect of economic development on single-shot clientelism has a curvilinear relationship. Our applications of the new measures of clientelism also show that the gap in clientelistic practices between ruling and opposition parties varies depending on the types of clientelism, tenure lengths of incumbents, and the degree of political centralization.
摘要近年来对裙带关系的研究主要集中在裙带关系的种类上。他们认为,裙带关系的交换在迭代的预期长度方面有所不同,即政治家向选民提供利益以换取政治支持。利用新收集的V-Party数据(来自165个国家的1844个政党,1970年至2019年),我们确定了最近研究表明的两种突出的clientelism类型:关系clientelism和单次clientelism。通过证明我们对庇护主义的衡量优于现有的跨国指数,我们建议,重要的是要在政党层面上解开庇护主义联系,以掌握各州内政党之间庇护主义的细微差异。然后,我们将这些措施应用于分析经济发展与裙带关系之间的关系,这是裙带关系研究的主要主题之一。我们的分析发现,即使在相对发达的国家,关系clientelism仍然存在,而经济发展对一次性clientelism的影响呈曲线关系。我们对裙带关系新衡量标准的应用还表明,执政党和反对党之间裙带关系实践的差距取决于裙带关系的类型、现任者的任期长短和政治集中化程度。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing deliberative reform in a parliamentary system: prospects for recursive representation 推进议会制的协商改革:递归代表制的前景
1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000292
Nardine Alnemr, Selen A. Ercan, Nick Vlahos, John S. Dryzek, Andrew Leigh, Michael Neblo
Abstract Recent theories of democratic representation push beyond ‘minimalist’ notions that only rely on periodic elections to connect officials and constituents. For example, Jane Mansbridge (2019) calls for ‘recursive representation’, which seeks ongoing, two-way interaction between representatives and their constituents. Given the scale and complexity of modern representative democracies, how can such ambitious proposals be translated into practice? We analyze two Deliberative Town Halls (DTHs) convened with a Federal Member of Australian Parliament in 2020 to discuss a complex issue, mitochondrial donation, ahead of a parliamentary debate and conscience vote on this issue. Drawing on interviews with participants, we argue that democratic innovations such as DTHs can contribute to realizing recursive representation when three criteria are met: authenticity, inclusion, and impact. We discuss the significance of each criterion and the role of DTHs in advancing recursive representation in a parliamentary system.
最近的民主代表制理论超越了仅仅依靠定期选举来联系官员和选民的“极简主义”概念。例如,简·曼斯布里奇(2019)呼吁“递归代表”,即寻求代表与其选民之间持续的双向互动。考虑到现代代议制民主的规模和复杂性,如何将这些雄心勃勃的提议转化为实践?我们分析了2020年与澳大利亚议会联邦议员召开的两次审议市政厅(DTHs),在就此问题进行议会辩论和良心投票之前,讨论了一个复杂的问题——线粒体捐赠。根据对参与者的访谈,我们认为,当满足三个标准:真实性、包容性和影响力时,DTHs等民主创新可以有助于实现递归代表性。我们讨论了每个标准的意义和DTHs在议会制中推进递归代表的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Popularity and powers: comparing public opinion on presidents in semi-presidential and presidential regimes 声望与权力:半总统制与总统制总统的民意比较
1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000280
Maarika Kujanen
Abstract The role of the president varies between political systems, and so does public opinion on presidents. One of the most evident factors distinguishing presidents in different systems is the constitutional strength of the presidency, which should impact how presidents are perceived by the people. Public opinion on presidents has mainly been studied in the context of classical presidential regimes such as the USA and Latin American countries, and we lack systematic empirical research on presidential popularity in other regime types and in the context of the presidents’ constitutional powers. This article addresses this research gap by analysing whether the level of presidential powers explain variation in presidential popularity across different constitutional settings. Drawing on public opinion surveys and relevant contextual data from 15 countries, the results show that a higher level of presidential popularity is associated with weaker presidency and that the impact of the economy and electoral cycle is conditioned by the level of presidential powers.
在不同的政治制度下,总统的角色各不相同,公众对总统的看法也各不相同。区分不同体制下的总统的最明显因素之一是总统的宪法权力,这应该会影响人民对总统的看法。对总统民意的研究主要是在美国和拉美等经典总统制国家背景下进行的,而对其他政体类型的总统民意以及总统宪法权力背景下的总统民意缺乏系统的实证研究。本文通过分析总统权力水平是否解释了不同宪法背景下总统受欢迎程度的变化,解决了这一研究缺口。根据来自15个国家的民意调查和相关背景数据,研究结果显示,总统支持率越高,其执政能力越弱,经济和选举周期的影响取决于总统权力的水平。
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引用次数: 0
‘Place’ does matter for populist radical right sentiment, but how? Evidence from Germany “地方”对民粹主义激进右翼情绪很重要,但如何影响呢?来自德国的证据
1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000279
Kai Arzheimer, Theresa Bernemann
Abstract The notion of ‘place’ has become a central concern in research on the populist radical right (PRR), but scholars seem to have different things in mind when talking about how geography affects individual political attitudes. In our paper, we therefore aim to structure the debate on the impact of place and to understand exactly how place affects PRR attitudes (nativism, right-wing authoritarianism, and populism). Conceptually, we identify four potentially relevant aspects of ‘place’ that underpin much of the current literature: place-related attitudes (localism and resentment), place-specific living conditions, socio-demographic composition, and characteristics unique to a particular place, i.e., its local history and culture. We also discuss how these aspects are related and how they may interact. Empirically, we assess the relative importance of these four aspects of place for PRR sentiment in Germany, a country that is particularly well suited to this type of analysis. Using fine-grained geocoded survey data collected prior to the 2017 election, we find that (1) there is considerable spatial variation and clustering in PRR attitudes, (2) a place’s socio-demographic composition and (3) place resentment account for much of this, while (4) localism has weaker effects. We find (5) no relevant interaction between localism and place resentment, (6) no substantial evidence that mediation through place-related attitudes leads to an underestimation of the other aspects, and (7) no evidence for effects of the unique culture or history of the places we studied. Moreover, (8) location in the former GDR still has a substantial impact, whereas (9) other place-specific conditions (deprivation, demographic decline, migration, rurality) that could be addressed by policy interventions have no or rather weak effects. We conclude that PRR sentiment in ‘places that don’t matter’ results also, though by no means exclusively, from a lack of recognition.
“地方”的概念已经成为民粹主义激进右翼(PRR)研究的中心问题,但在谈论地理如何影响个人政治态度时,学者们似乎有不同的想法。因此,在我们的论文中,我们的目标是构建关于地点影响的辩论,并准确理解地点如何影响PRR态度(本土主义、右翼威权主义和民粹主义)。从概念上讲,我们确定了支撑当前许多文献的“地方”的四个潜在相关方面:与地方相关的态度(地方主义和怨恨),特定地方的生活条件,社会人口构成,以及特定地方的独特特征,即当地的历史和文化。我们还讨论了这些方面是如何关联的,以及它们如何相互作用。根据经验,我们评估了这四个方面对德国PRR情绪的相对重要性,德国是一个特别适合这种分析的国家。使用2017年大选前收集的细粒度地理编码调查数据,我们发现:(1)PRR态度存在相当大的空间差异和聚集性,(2)一个地方的社会人口构成和(3)地方怨恨占了很大一部分,而(4)地方主义的影响较弱。我们发现(5)地方主义和地方怨恨之间没有相关的相互作用,(6)没有实质性证据表明通过地方相关态度进行调解会导致对其他方面的低估,(7)没有证据表明我们研究的地方的独特文化或历史的影响。此外,(8)前德意志民主共和国的地理位置仍然具有重大影响,而(9)可以通过政策干预解决的其他地方特定条件(贫困、人口下降、移民、农村)没有或相当微弱的影响。我们的结论是,“不重要的地方”的PRR情绪也会导致缺乏认可,但绝不是唯一的原因。
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引用次数: 0
Partisan districting and the adoption of proportional representation: gerrymandering and its discontents 党派划分和比例代表制的采用:不公正的选区划分及其不满
IF 3.2 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000267
P. Emmenegger, A. Walter
Electoral engineering strategies in majoritarian electoral systems, in particular the possibility to contain insurgent parties by manipulating electoral districts for partisan gain, are key determinants of parties’ positions on the adoption of proportional representation (PR). Providing both qualitative and quantitative evidence, this paper demonstrates that partisan districting can be an effective strategy to protect incumbent parties’ dominant political positions. In addition, it shows how insurgent parties push for the adoption of PR to end the practice of partisan districting. Finally, it demonstrates that incumbents – in the face of increasing electoral threats – cling to the existing majoritarian system if partisan districting allows them to influence vote-seat distortions in their favor. Together, these findings suggest that the possibility to contain insurgent parties by means of partisan districting is an important but overlooked alternative to the adoption of PR. Moreover, by demonstrating that vote-seat distortions moderate the relationship between district-level electoral threats and legislators’ support for PR adoption, this paper offers an important corrective to Stein Rokkan’s influential electoral threat thesis.
多数选举制度中的选举工程策略,特别是通过操纵选区以获取党派利益来遏制叛乱政党的可能性,是政党在采用比例代表制方面立场的关键决定因素。本文提供了定性和定量的证据,证明党派划分是保护现任政党主导政治地位的有效策略。此外,它还展示了叛乱政党如何推动采用公共关系来结束党派划分的做法。最后,它表明,面对日益严重的选举威胁,如果党派划分允许现任者影响有利于他们的投票席位扭曲,他们就会坚持现有的多数制。总之,这些研究结果表明,通过党派划分来遏制叛乱政党的可能性是采用PR的一个重要但被忽视的替代方案。此外,通过证明投票席位扭曲缓和了区级选举威胁与立法者支持采用PR之间的关系,本文对斯坦·罗坎颇具影响力的选举威胁论进行了重要的修正。
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引用次数: 0
When do voters perceive intra-party conflict? A democratic life cycle perspective 选民什么时候察觉到党内冲突?民主生命周期视角
IF 3.2 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000243
Tristan Klingelhöfer, Jochen Müller
Political parties commonly experience internal disagreements. Recently, evidence is accumulating that outright internal discord makes a party much less attractive to voters. However, we do not understand well when citizens perceive a party to be internally conflicted in the first place. We here explain citizens’ perceptions from a democratic life cycle perspective: Factors related to the periodic conduct of elections induce higher levels of intra-party conflict and make it more visible to citizens. To test this argument, we combine survey data on citizens’ perceptions of political parties in Germany spanning 16 years with indicators moderating (the visibility of) intra-party conflict. The analysis shows that citizens perceive more internal conflict when parties are heterogenous, when they are governing, when election day is distant, and when electoral losses accumulate. This demonstrates the recurring patterns in citizens’ perceptions of political parties and suggests self-reinforcing dynamics between citizen assessments and election outcomes.
政党内部通常存在分歧。最近,越来越多的证据表明,彻底的内部不和使一个政党对选民的吸引力大大降低。然而,当公民一开始就认为一个政党内部存在冲突时,我们并不十分理解。我们在这里从民主生命周期的角度解释公民的看法:与定期举行选举有关的因素会引发更高程度的党内冲突,并使其更容易被公民看到。为了检验这一论点,我们将16年来德国公民对政党看法的调查数据与缓和(可见性)党内冲突的指标相结合。分析表明,当政党异质、执政、选举日遥远以及选举损失累积时,公民会感受到更多的内部冲突。这表明了公民对政党看法的反复模式,并表明公民评估和选举结果之间存在自我强化的动态。
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引用次数: 0
Some differences, many similarities: comparing Europe’s responses to the 1973 oil crisis and the 2022 gas crisis 一些差异,许多相似之处:比较欧洲对1973年石油危机和2022年天然气危机的反应
IF 3.2 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.1017/s1755773923000255
L. Schramm
Scholars of European integration are primarily interested in explaining change and variation over time. Indeed, given that integration has progressed over 50 years and competences have been transferred to the European level in policy fields, including energy, fast and coordinated action in the face of a major external threat might have been anticipated. Yet, as this article documents, member states struggled to establish a cohesive and solidary European response to the 2022 gas crisis, just as they had failed to cooperate effectively during the 1973 oil crisis. Building on recent literature on European polity development and integration through crises, this article argues that differences in national crisis affectedness and energy structures hampered cooperation. Such asymmetries became particularly visible on the part of France and Germany, the Union’s two largest member states, who could have provided regional political leadership. Consequently, both the 1973 and 2022 energy crises led to very limited steps in European integration and collectively suboptimal policy outcomes, such as high energy prices and uneven access to energy resources.
欧洲一体化的学者主要对解释随时间的变化和变化感兴趣。事实上,鉴于一体化已经取得了50多年的进展,包括能源在内的政策领域的权限已经转移到欧洲层面,在面临重大外部威胁时可能会采取快速协调的行动。然而,正如本文所记录的那样,成员国努力建立一个团结一致的欧洲应对2022年天然气危机的措施,就像它们在1973年石油危机期间未能有效合作一样。基于最近关于欧洲政治在危机中发展和一体化的文献,本文认为,国家危机影响和能源结构的差异阻碍了合作。这种不对称在欧盟最大的两个成员国法国和德国身上尤为明显,这两个国家本可以发挥地区政治领导作用。因此,1973年和2022年的能源危机都导致了欧洲一体化的步骤非常有限,并导致了集体次优的政策结果,如能源价格高和能源资源获取不均衡。
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引用次数: 1
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European Political Science Review
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