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ParEvo: A methodology for the exploration and evaluation of alternative futures ParEvo:一种探索和评估替代性期货的方法
3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-10 DOI: 10.1177/13563890231188743
Rick Davies, Tom Hobson, Lara Mani, Simon Beard
Evaluators’ main encounter with views of the future is in the form of theories of change, about how a programme will work to achieve a desired end, in a given context. These are typically focussed on specific relatively short-term futures, which are both desired and expected. But even in the short term, reality often involves unpredictable events which must be responded to. Other ways of thinking about the future may be helpful and complementary, notably those developed by foresight practitioners working in the field of futures studies. These pay more attention to a range of possible futures, rather than a single perspective. One way of exploring such futures is by using ParEvo.org, an online process that enables the participatory exploration of alternative futures. This article explains how the ParEvo process works, the theory informing its design, and its usage to date. Attention is given to three evaluation challenges, and methods to address them: (a) optimising exercise design, (b) analysis of immediate results and (c) identifying longer-term impacts. Two exercises undertaken by the Cambridge-based Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER) in 2021–2022 are used as illustrative examples.
评价人员对未来的看法主要是以变革理论的形式出现的,即在给定的背景下,一个方案将如何实现预期的目标。这些交易通常侧重于特定的相对短期的期货,既有期望的,也有预期的。但即使在短期内,现实也常常涉及不可预测的事件,必须对此作出反应。其他思考未来的方法可能是有益的和互补的,特别是那些在未来研究领域工作的远见实践者所开发的方法。它们更多地关注一系列可能的未来,而不是单一的观点。探索这种未来的一种方式是使用ParEvo.org,这是一个在线程序,可以让人们参与探索可选择的未来。本文解释了ParEvo过程是如何工作的,为其设计提供依据的理论,以及迄今为止的使用情况。关注三个评估挑战和解决它们的方法:(a)优化练习设计,(b)分析即时结果,(c)确定长期影响。本文以剑桥存在风险研究中心(CSER)在2021-2022年进行的两项研究为例进行了说明。
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引用次数: 0
French language abstracts 法语摘要
3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/13563890231185015
Restricted accessAbstractFirst published online July 13, 2023French language abstractsVolume 29, Issue 3https://doi.org/10.1177/13563890231185015
限制访问abstract首次在线发表于2023年7月13日法语摘要第29卷第3期https://doi.org/10.1177/13563890231185015
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引用次数: 0
Conducting focus groups in realist evaluation. 在现实主义评估中开展焦点小组。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-10-01 Epub Date: 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.1177/13563890221124637
Ana Manzano

Focus groups are valuable tools for evaluators to help stakeholders to clarify programme theories. In 1987, R.K. Merton, often attributed with the birth of focus groups, wrote about how these were 'being mercilessly misused'. In the 1940s, his team had conceived focus groups as tools for developing middle-range theory, but through their astonishing success focus groups have metamorphosed and are often an 'unchallenged' choice in many evaluation approaches, while their practice seems to provide a philosophically diverse picture. This article examines what knowledge focus group data generate, and how they support theory development. It starts with an overview of the history of focus groups, establishing a relationship between their emergence as a data collection method and the evaluation profession. Practical lessons for conducting groups in realist evaluation are suggested, while exploring how qualitative data can support programme and middle-range theory development using the example of realist evaluation.

焦点小组是评价人员帮助利益相关者澄清方案理论的宝贵工具。1987年,常被认为是焦点小组诞生者的默顿(R.K. Merton)写道,焦点小组是如何被“无情地滥用”的。在20世纪40年代,他的团队将焦点小组设想为发展中间理论的工具,但通过他们惊人的成功,焦点小组已经发生了变化,并且在许多评估方法中经常是一个“无可争议的”选择,而他们的实践似乎提供了一个哲学上多样化的画面。本文考察了焦点小组数据产生了什么知识,以及它们如何支持理论发展。它首先概述了焦点小组的历史,建立了焦点小组作为一种数据收集方法和评估专业之间的关系。提出了开展现实主义评价小组的实际经验教训,同时探讨了如何利用现实主义评价的例子,利用定性数据支持方案和中期理论发展。
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引用次数: 0
Politics of policy learning: Evaluating an experiment on free pricing arrangements in Dutch dental care. 政策学习的政治学:评估荷兰牙科保健免费定价安排的实验。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2018-01-01 Epub Date: 2018-01-19 DOI: 10.1177/1356389017750194
Martijn Felder, Hester van de Bovenkamp, Antoinette de Bont

In Dutch healthcare, new market mechanisms have been introduced on an experimental basis in an attempt to contain costs and improve quality. Informed by a constructivist approach, we demonstrate that such experiments are not neutral testing grounds. Drawing from semi-structured interviews and policy texts, we reconstruct an experiment on free pricing in dental care that turned into a critical example of market failure, influencing developments in other sectors. Our analysis, however, shows that (1) different market logics and (2) different experimental logics were reproduced simultaneously during the course of the experiment. We furthermore reveal how (3) evaluation and political life influenced which logics were reproduced and became taken as the lessons learned. We use these insights to discuss the role of evaluation in learning from policy experimentation and close with four questions that evaluators could ask to better understand what is learned from policy experiments, how, and why.

在荷兰的医疗保健领域,为了控制成本和提高质量,在试验基础上引入了新的市场机制。根据建构主义的方法,我们证明这样的实验不是中立的测试场所。根据半结构化访谈和政策文本,我们重建了牙科保健免费定价的实验,该实验后来成为市场失灵的一个重要例子,影响了其他部门的发展。然而,我们的分析表明(1)不同的市场逻辑和(2)不同的实验逻辑在实验过程中同时再现。我们进一步揭示(3)评价和政治生活如何影响哪些逻辑被复制并被作为经验教训。我们利用这些见解来讨论评估在从政策实验中学习中的作用,并以评估者可以提出的四个问题作为结束,以更好地理解从政策实验中学习到什么、如何学习以及为什么学习。
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引用次数: 3
Negotiating effectiveness in transnational advocacy evaluation. 跨国倡导评估中的谈判有效性。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2018-01-01 Epub Date: 2017-10-04 DOI: 10.1177/1356389017733210
Bodille Arensman, Margit van Wessel

International development organizations increasingly use advocacy as a strategy to pursue effectiveness. However, establishing the effectiveness of advocacy is problematic and dependent on the interpretations of the stakeholders involved, as well as the interactions between them. This article challenges the idea of objective and rational evaluation, showing that advocacy evaluation is an inherently political process in which space for interactions around methods, processes and results defines how effectiveness is interpreted, measured and presented. In addition, this article demonstrates how this space for interaction contributes to the quality and accuracy of evaluating advocacy effectiveness by providing room to explore and address the multiplicities of meaning around identifying, measuring and presenting outcomes.

国际发展组织越来越多地将宣传作为一种追求实效的战略。然而,建立倡导的有效性是有问题的,取决于所涉及的利益相关者的解释,以及他们之间的相互作用。本文挑战了客观和理性评估的概念,表明倡导评估本质上是一个政治过程,在这个过程中,围绕方法、过程和结果的互动空间决定了如何解释、衡量和呈现有效性。此外,本文还展示了这种互动空间如何通过提供空间来探索和解决围绕识别、衡量和呈现结果的意义的多样性,从而有助于评估倡导效果的质量和准确性。
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引用次数: 10
Strengthening patient-centred communication in rural Ugandan health centres: A theory-driven evaluation within a cluster randomized trial. 加强乌干达农村保健中心以病人为中心的沟通:聚类随机试验中的理论驱动评价。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2014-10-01 DOI: 10.1177/1356389014551484
Susan Nayiga, Deborah DiLiberto, Lilian Taaka, Christine Nabirye, Ane Haaland, Sarah G Staedke, Clare I R Chandler

This article describes a theory-driven evaluation of one component of an intervention to improve the quality of health care at Ugandan public health centres. Patient-centred services have been advocated widely, but such approaches have received little attention in Africa. A cluster randomized trial is evaluating population-level outcomes of an intervention with multiple components, including 'patient-centred services.' A process evaluation was designed within this trial to articulate and evaluate the implementation and programme theories of the intervention. This article evaluates one hypothesized mechanism of change within the programme theory: the impact of the Patient Centred Services component on health-worker communication. The theory-driven approach extended to evaluation of the outcome measures. The study found that the proximal outcome of patient-centred communication was rated 10 percent higher (p < 0.008) by care seekers consulting with the health workers who were at the intervention health centres compared with those at control health centres. This finding will strengthen interpretation of more distal trial outcomes.

这篇文章描述了一个理论驱动的评估干预的一个组成部分,以提高卫生保健质量在乌干达公共卫生中心。以病人为中心的服务得到了广泛提倡,但这种方法在非洲很少受到关注。一项集群随机试验正在评估包括“以患者为中心的服务”在内的多种干预措施在人群水平上的结果。在本试验中设计了一个过程评估,以阐明和评估干预的实施和方案理论。本文评估了规划理论中一个假设的变化机制:以患者为中心的服务对卫生工作者沟通的影响。理论驱动的方法扩展到结果测量的评估。研究发现,与对照组保健中心的保健工作者相比,与干预保健中心的保健工作者进行咨询的求助者对以病人为中心的沟通的最近结果的评价高出10% (p < 0.008)。这一发现将加强对远端试验结果的解释。
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引用次数: 16
Evaluation models and evaluation use. 评价模型和评价使用。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/1356389011430371
Damien Contandriopoulos, Astrid Brousselle

The use of evaluation results is at the core of evaluation theory and practice. Major debates in the field have emphasized the importance of both the evaluator's role and the evaluation process itself in fostering evaluation use. A recent systematic review of interventions aimed at influencing policy-making or organizational behavior through knowledge exchange offers a new perspective on evaluation use. We propose here a framework for better understanding the embedded relations between evaluation context, choice of an evaluation model and use of results. The article argues that the evaluation context presents conditions that affect both the appropriateness of the evaluation model implemented and the use of results.

评价结果的使用是评价理论和实践的核心。该领域的主要辩论强调了评价人员的作用和评价过程本身在促进评价使用方面的重要性。最近对旨在通过知识交流影响决策或组织行为的干预措施进行的系统审查为评价的使用提供了新的视角。我们在这里提出了一个框架,以便更好地理解评估环境、评估模型的选择和结果的使用之间的内在关系。本文认为,评价环境所呈现的条件既影响所实施评价模型的适当性,也影响结果的使用。
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引用次数: 0
Using Logic Analysis to Evaluate Knowledge Transfer Initiatives: The Case of the Research Collective on the Organization of Primary Care Services. 运用逻辑分析评估知识转移行动:以基层医疗服务组织研究团体为例。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2009-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1356389008101967
Astrid Brousselle, Damien Contandriopoulos, Marc Lemire

Models that shift more responsibility onto researchers for the process of incorporating research results into decision-making have greatly gained in popularity during the past two decades. This shift has created a new area of research to identify the best ways to transfer academic results into the organizational and political arenas. However, evaluating the utilization of information coming out of a knowledge transfer (KT) initiative remains an enormous challenge. This article demonstrates how logic analysis has proven to be a useful evaluation method to assess the utilization potential of KT initiatives. We present the case of the evaluation of the Research Collective on the Organization of Primary Care Services, an innovative experiment in knowledge synthesis and transfer. The conclusions focus not only on the utilization potential of results coming out of the Research Collective, but also on the theoretical framework used, in order to facilitate its application to the evaluation of other knowledge transfer initiatives.

在过去的二十年中,将更多的责任转移到研究人员身上,将研究结果纳入决策过程的模型已经大大流行起来。这种转变创造了一个新的研究领域,以确定将学术成果转移到组织和政治领域的最佳方式。然而,评估来自知识转移(KT)计划的信息的利用仍然是一个巨大的挑战。本文演示了逻辑分析是如何被证明是一种有用的评估方法来评估KT计划的利用潜力。我们提出了对初级保健服务组织的研究集体评估的案例,这是一个知识综合和转移的创新实验。这些结论不仅关注了研究集体结果的利用潜力,而且还关注了所使用的理论框架,以便将其应用于其他知识转移计划的评估。
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引用次数: 0
What Counts is not Falling … but Landing: Strategic Analysis: An Adapted Model for Implementation Evaluation. 重要的不是下降,而是着陆:战略分析:一个适用于实施评估的模型。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2004-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1356389004046292
Astrid Brousselle

Implementation evaluations, also called process evaluations, involve studying the development of programmes, and identifying and understanding their strengths and weaknesses. Undertaking an implementation evaluation offers insights into evaluation objectives, but does not help the researcher develop a research strategy. During the implementation analysis of the UNAIDS drug access initiative in Chile, the strategic analysis model developed by Crozier and Friedberg was used. However, a major incompatibility was noted between the procedure put forward by Crozier and Friedberg and the specific characteristics of the programme being evaluated. In this article, an adapted strategic analysis model for programme evaluation is proposed.

执行评价,也称为进程评价,涉及研究方案的制定,查明和了解方案的长处和短处。实施评估提供了对评估目标的见解,但并不能帮助研究人员制定研究策略。在对联合国艾滋病规划署药物获取倡议在智利的实施情况进行分析时,使用了Crozier和Friedberg开发的战略分析模型。但是,注意到Crozier和Friedberg提出的程序与正在评价的方案的具体特点之间有重大的不一致之处。本文提出了一种适用于项目评价的战略分析模型。
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引用次数: 0
Toward a theory of planned social change: alternative perspectives and ideas. 走向有计划的社会变革理论:不同的观点和想法。
IF 2.4 3区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 1978-01-01
R F Rich, G Zaltman
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引用次数: 0
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