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From Hero to Zero: The case of Silicon Valley Bank 从英雄到零:硅谷银行案例
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2023.106138
Lai Van Vo , Huong Thi Thu Le

This paper examines the factors contributing to the rapid collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, once regarded as one of the best banks. We show that the bank invested heavily in debt securities during a period of low interest rates, and the subsequent surge in interest rates in 2022 resulted in significant unrealized losses. Additionally, the bank's deposits were heavily concentrated among a small group of venture capitalists, which increased the likelihood of a bank run. Furthermore, the bank held less equity capital and had an inefficient risk management system, exacerbating the impact of the risk. Overall, the mismanagement of assets and liabilities led to the bank’s failure.

本文考察了导致硅谷银行迅速倒闭的因素,硅谷银行曾被认为是最好的银行之一。我们表明,该银行在低利率时期大量投资于债务证券,随后在2022年利率飙升导致了重大的未实现损失。此外,银行的存款严重集中在一小群风险资本家手中,这增加了银行挤兑的可能性。此外,银行持有的权益资本较少,风险管理体系效率低下,加剧了风险的影响。总的来说,资产和负债管理不善导致了银行的倒闭。
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引用次数: 0
Board independence and analysts' forecast accuracy: R&D perspective 董事会独立性与分析师预测准确性:R&D视角
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2023.106136
Anisur Rahman , Bakhtear Talukdar , Zaifeng Steve Fan

Research and development (R&D) activities are essential for firm growth and profitability. However, R&D activities also exacerbate information complexity in the financial markets. Therefore, the accuracy of earnings forecasts suffers when R&D expenses are high. This study aims to examine whether board independence can mitigate the adverse effect of high R&D expenditure on analysts' forecasts. Using a sample of 11,645 annual observations from 1997 to 2016, we find that board independence improves analysts' forecast accuracy for R&D-intensive firms. The improvement is more pronounced in firms with low analyst coverage and powerful CEOs. These results are robust with an alternative measure of information asymmetry, a dynamic generalized method of moments (GMM) model and a quasi-natural experiment based on the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 to address endogeneity concerns.

研究和发展(R&D)活动是企业成长和盈利的必要条件。然而,研发活动也加剧了金融市场的信息复杂性。因此,当研发费用较高时,收益预测的准确性就会受到影响。本研究旨在检验董事会独立性是否可以减轻高研发支出对分析师预测的不利影响。利用1997年至2016年11,645个年度观察样本,我们发现董事会独立性提高了分析师对研发密集型公司的预测准确性。这种改善在分析师覆盖率低、ceo权力大的公司中更为明显。这些结果与信息不对称的替代测量、动态广义矩量法(GMM)模型和基于2002年萨班斯-奥克斯利法案的准自然实验相一致,以解决内生性问题。
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引用次数: 0
Monetary policy, funding liquidity, and undisbursed loans in Indonesia: The bank lending channel revisited 印度尼西亚的货币政策、资金流动性和未支付贷款:重新审视银行贷款渠道
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2023.106134
Wahyoe Soedarmono , Iman Gunadi , Sudiro Pambudi , Tika Nurhayati

This paper extends the literature on the bank lending channel by assessing the interplay between monetary policy and funding liquidity in affecting undisbursed loans. Using a sample of Indonesian banks, our empirical findings highlight that a higher monetary policy interest rate increases undisbursed loan growth, suggesting that the bank lending channel affects borrower decisions. Furthermore, we find that banks with higher funding liquidity exhibit lower undisbursed loan growth in response to contractionary monetary policy. However, the role of funding liquidity in reducing undisbursed loans due to a higher monetary policy interest rate is more pronounced for weakly capitalized banks and small banks. On one hand, this paper emphasizes the role of funding liquidity, particularly for weakly capitalized banks and small banks, in maintaining financial intermediation during the implementation of contractionary monetary policy. On the other hand, we also emphasize that the effectiveness of the bank lending channel is mainly driven by highly capitalized banks and large banks.

本文通过评估货币政策和资金流动性在影响未发放贷款方面的相互作用,扩展了有关银行贷款渠道的文献。利用印尼银行的样本,我们的实证研究结果强调,较高的货币政策利率会增加未支付贷款的增长,这表明银行贷款渠道影响借款人的决策。此外,我们发现资金流动性较高的银行在紧缩货币政策下表现出较低的未支付贷款增长。然而,由于较高的货币政策利率,资金流动性在减少未支付贷款方面的作用对资本薄弱的银行和小银行更为明显。一方面,本文强调了资金流动性,特别是资本薄弱的银行和小银行在实施紧缩货币政策期间维持金融中介的作用。另一方面,我们也强调银行贷款渠道的有效性主要是由资本雄厚的银行和大银行推动的。
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引用次数: 1
Competitive advantage and firm, industry, and country effects: An asset pricing perspective 竞争优势与企业、行业和国家效应:一个资产定价的视角
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2023.106137
Tobias Kohls , Ferdinand Mager , Tobias Regele

We examine the relation between competitive advantage, its underlying drivers, and abnormal stock returns. We use a comprehensive global dataset covering 22 years. To measure competitive advantage, we use the cash flow return-on-investment (CFROI®) metric, which allows for consistent comparisons across industries, countries, and periods. We find a positive relation between competitive advantage and stock returns after controlling for common risk factors. Industry-based advantages are more important than resource-based advantages in explaining abnormal stock returns in developed markets. This result contrasts with most studies in strategic management, which mostly base their analysis on accounting-based profitability metrics. Country effects play a minor role.

我们研究了竞争优势、其潜在驱动因素和股票异常收益之间的关系。我们使用了覆盖22年的综合全球数据集。为了衡量竞争优势,我们使用现金流投资回报率(CFROI®)指标,该指标允许跨行业、国家和时期进行一致的比较。在控制了常见的风险因素后,我们发现竞争优势与股票收益呈正相关。在解释发达市场股票异常收益时,产业优势比资源优势更为重要。这一结果与大多数战略管理研究形成对比,这些研究大多基于基于会计的盈利能力指标进行分析。国家效应起着次要作用。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Assessment of the Welfare Impacts of the Rising Global Price of Food: The Case of Haiti 全球食品价格上涨对福利影响的实证评估:以海地为例
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1992.06.02.511
David Forgenie, N. Khoiriyah, Xiaoling Zhu, Doppy Roy Nendissa, Meera Mahase-Forgenie, A. Sa’diyah, E. F. Elbaar
Global food price inflation has serious implication toward welfare and food and nutrition security in developing countries where most of the population are classified as low-income and are net-food importers. Haiti is one such nation which depend heavily on trade for food, making them extremely vulnerable to global food price increase. This study aims to investigate the welfare impact of rising global prices of imported food on Haitian consumers using annual data from 1980-2021. The LA-AIDS model was employed to estimate Hicksian price and income elasticities for the five major imported food categories, and compensating variation was used to assess the welfare impacts of rising global food prices on Haitian consumers. The study finds that all imported food categories were import price inelastic, except for meat which was price elastic. Cross-price elasticities indicated substitution and complementary relationships between various pairs of imported food categories. Income elasticities showed that demand for cereals and dairy was income inelastic, while demand for meat, vegetable oil, and sugar was income elastic. The welfare exercise revealed that price increases between 2006-2008, 2010-2013, and 2020-2021 resulted in welfare losses of around US$223.91 million, US$89.33 million, and US$458.50 million, respectively. It was also discovered that imported cereals and vegetable oil accounted for most of the lost welfare during the study periods. The results of this study provide valuable information for policymakers to develop policy intervention strategies that aims to safeguard the welfare of Haitian consumers.
全球粮食价格上涨对发展中国家的福利、粮食和营养安全具有严重影响,因为发展中国家的大多数人口属于低收入和粮食净进口国。海地就是这样一个严重依赖粮食贸易的国家,这使他们极易受到全球粮食价格上涨的影响。本研究旨在利用1980-2021年的年度数据,调查全球进口食品价格上涨对海地消费者福利的影响。采用LA-AIDS模型估计了五种主要进口食品类别的希克斯价格和收入弹性,并使用补偿变异来评估全球食品价格上涨对海地消费者的福利影响。研究发现,除了肉类具有价格弹性外,所有进口食品类别都具有进口价格弹性。交叉价格弹性表明不同进口食品类别对之间存在替代和互补关系。收入弹性表明,对谷物和乳制品的需求是非收入弹性的,而对肉类、植物油和糖的需求是收入弹性的。福利调查显示,2006-2008年、2010-2013年和2020-2021年期间的价格上涨分别导致约2.2391亿美元、8933万美元和4.5850亿美元的福利损失。研究还发现,在研究期间,进口谷物和植物油占福利损失的大部分。本研究的结果为决策者制定政策干预策略以保障海地消费者的福利提供了有价值的信息。
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引用次数: 1
Household Transfer to Family in Indonesia: The Parental Role Model 印尼家庭向家庭的转移:父母的榜样
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1992.06.02.508
Apoh Ibrahim Saragih, Sukamdi ., Elan Satriawan, E. Pangaribowo
In this paper, we study the impact of parental transfer on the behavior of their next generation’s transfer using corrected data from Indonesian Family Life Surveys (household size), and an inter generations pairing method based on the demonstration effect theory. Our findings support the existence of parental role models, particularly transfers given to family members living outside households (parents, siblings or children). Specifically, the transfer decision of adults living independently from their origin household is positively affected by their membership in the origin household. This parental role model exists after controlling endogeneity problems contained in the role model estimation framework. This finding empirically confirms the vital role of parents in preserving altruism in society.
本文利用印度尼西亚家庭生活调查(家庭规模)的修正数据,采用基于示范效应理论的代际配对方法,研究了父母迁移对下一代迁移行为的影响。我们的研究结果支持父母角色榜样的存在,特别是对生活在家庭之外的家庭成员(父母、兄弟姐妹或子女)的转移。具体而言,独立生活的成年人的转移决策受到其在原家庭成员身份的积极影响。这种父母角色榜样是在控制了角色榜样估计框架中的内生性问题后才存在的。这一发现从经验上证实了父母在维护社会利他主义方面的重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship Between Regulatory Interest and Market Interest Rates in Vietnam: Quantitative Analysis Perspective 越南监管利率与市场利率的关系:定量分析视角
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1992.06.02.503
Nguyen Thi Van Anh, Nguyen Ngọc Tung, Dinh Le Quynh Thu, Trương Thị Ánh Tuyết
The article studies the relationship between regulatory interest and market interest rates in Vietnam from 2015 – 2022. This relationship has been mentioned in many theories and empirical studies in different countries and in different periods. In order to explain it, the research team collected data on the refinancing rate – which represents the regulatory interest rates and lending rates – representing the market interest rates from 2005 to 2022. The data is collected quarterly and analyzed using Eviews8 software to build a linear regression model showing the relationship between regulatory interest rates and market interest rates during the research period. In this article, the research team divides the research period into three phases: 2005Q1 – 2011Q4, 2012Q1 – 2016Q4, 2017Q1 – 2022Q4. The results of the linear regression model show that for the period 2005Q1 – 2011Q4, when the regulatory interest rate increases by 1%, the market interest rate increases by 1%, the market interest rate increases by 0.7326%; for the period 2012Q1 – 2016Q4, when the regulatory interest rate increases by 1%, the market interest rate increases by 0.5943%; for the period 2017Q1-2022Q4, when the regulatory interest rate increases by 1%, the market interest rate increases by 0.2269%. This shows a positive relationship of regulatory interest rate and market interest rate. In addition, for the period 2012Q1-2016Q4, the research team added trend variables and for the period 2017Q1-2022Q4 the research team added trend variables and dummy variables to the regression model. It also proves that the market interest rate in the research period is governed by the trend and volatility of the economy. From the research results, the research team made several exchanges and discussions to improve the effectiveness of the interest rate management policy in order to achieve the goal of stabilizing the macro economy and supporting economic growth.
本文研究了越南2015 - 2022年监管利率与市场利率的关系。这种关系在不同国家、不同时期的许多理论和实证研究中都有提及。为了解释这一现象,研究小组收集了2005年至2022年代表监管利率的再融资利率和代表市场利率的贷款利率的数据。数据按季度收集,使用Eviews8软件进行分析,建立研究期间监管利率与市场利率关系的线性回归模型。在本文中,研究团队将研究周期分为三个阶段:2005Q1 - 2011Q4, 2012Q1 - 2016Q4, 2017Q1 - 2022Q4。线性回归模型结果显示,2005年q1 - 2011年q4期间,监管利率每上调1%,市场利率每上调1%,市场利率上调0.7326%;2012Q1 - 2016Q4期间,监管利率每上升1%,市场利率上升0.5943%;2017Q1-2022Q4期间,监管利率每上升1%,市场利率上升0.2269%。这表明监管利率与市场利率呈正相关关系。此外,在2012Q1-2016Q4期间,研究团队增加了趋势变量,在2017Q1-2022Q4期间,研究团队在回归模型中增加了趋势变量和虚拟变量。这也证明了研究期间的市场利率受经济走势和波动的支配。从研究结果来看,研究团队就提高利率管理政策的有效性进行了多次交流和探讨,以达到稳定宏观经济、支持经济增长的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Fraudulent Financial Reporting and Fraud Pentagon: Case Study on Indonesia Stock Exchange 虚假财务报告和欺诈五角大楼:对印度尼西亚证券交易所的案例研究
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1992.06.02.507
Abdul Hafiz Tanjung, Elvina Fitriani
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引用次数: 0
Social Capital Resource Attributes Affecting Performance in Deposit-taking Savings and Credit Co-operatives in Kenya 社会资本资源属性对肯尼亚储蓄信用合作社绩效的影响
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1992.06.02.510
Lydiah Wanjiru Kabue, J. Kilika, Paul M. Waithaka
The paper reports the findings of research on the role of social capital resource attributes on the performance of deposit-taking savings and credit co-operative societies in a developing country context. The research was premised on the logic of the resource-based view that postulates that resources are the basis of performance variances across firms in the same industry. In addition, the study constructs are supported by the institutional theory and the social capital theory. Three attributes of social capital resources, specifically networking, reputation, and culture, were used to operationalize the construct. Data was obtained from representatives of functional areas involved in strategic decision-making in 38 deposit-taking SACCOs in Nairobi, Kenya. Data was collected using a 5-point Likert scale questionnaire whose computed Cronbach's alpha score showed that the instrument was reliable and internally consistent at above α=0.9. The study recorded a response rate of 71%. The study found that the three attributes of social capital are embedded in the deposit-taking SACCOs to a high extent and contribute towards improved performance of the deposit-taking SACCOs by explaining 51.3% of the variation of performance. The findings contribute towards explaining the strategic management process through which the components of social capital contribute towards the performance of the sampled organizations and raise several implications on relevant strategic management practices suitable to create and sustain social capital resources for enhanced organizational performance.
本文报告了在发展中国家背景下社会资本资源属性对吸收存款的储蓄和信用合作社绩效的作用的研究结果。该研究以资源基础观点的逻辑为前提,该观点假定资源是同一行业中不同公司绩效差异的基础。此外,研究结构还得到了制度理论和社会资本理论的支持。社会资本资源的三个属性,特别是网络、声誉和文化,被用来运作这个结构。数据是从肯尼亚内罗毕38个吸收存款的SACCOs参与战略决策的职能领域的代表那里获得的。使用李克特5分制问卷收集数据,经计算的Cronbach's alpha分数显示该工具可靠且内部一致,α=0.9以上。该研究记录的应答率为71%。研究发现,社会资本的三种属性高度嵌入到吸收存款的上市公司中,并对吸收存款的上市公司的绩效改善做出了贡献,解释了51.3%的绩效变化。研究结果有助于解释战略管理过程,通过这一过程,社会资本的组成部分对抽样组织的绩效做出了贡献,并对相关的战略管理实践提出了一些启示,这些实践适合于创造和维持社会资本资源,以提高组织绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Nonlinear Impact of Financial Leverage on Profits: Case of Listed Companies in Vietnam 财务杠杆对利润的非线性影响:以越南上市公司为例
IF 3.8 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1992.06.02.506
Bui Thi Ngoc, Pham Kieu Trang
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引用次数: 1
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