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Stock Market Liquidity and the Rights Offer Paradox 股票市场流动性与配股悖论
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-03-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1359094
Edith Ginglinger, Laure Koenig-Matsoukis, Fabrice Riva
This paper examines the impact of market liquidity on seasoned equity offerings (SEO) characteristics in France. We find that, besides blockholders’ takeup, liquidity is an important determinant of SEO flotation method choice. We document higher direct equity offering flotation costs, but also improved stock market liquidity after public offerings and standby rights relative to uninsured rights. After controlling for endogeneity in the choice of SEO flotation method, we find that pure public offerings and standby rights are comparable in terms of direct costs and liquidity improvement. Our results provide new insights as to why firms choose public offerings despite apparently higher costs.
本文考察了法国市场流动性对经验丰富的股权发行(SEO)特征的影响。研究发现,除股东持股比例外,流动性也是影响SEO上市方式选择的重要因素。我们记录了更高的直接股权发行发行成本,但也改善了公开发行和备用权利后的股票市场流动性相对于未保险的权利。在对SEO上市方式选择的内生性进行控制后,我们发现纯公开发行与备用配股在直接成本和流动性改善方面具有可比性。我们的研究结果提供了新的见解,为什么公司选择公开募股,尽管明显更高的成本。
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引用次数: 34
The Ten Commandments for Managing Value-at-Risk under the Basel II Accord 根据巴塞尔协议II管理风险价值的十诫
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-03-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1356803
J. Jimenez-Martin, M. McAleer, Teodosio Pérez Amaral
Under the Basel II Accord, banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) are required to communicate their daily market risk estimates to the relevant national monetary authority at the beginning of each trading day, using one of a variety of Value-at-Risk (VaR) models to measure risk. The purpose of this paper is to provide a simple explanation and a set of prescriptions for managing VaR under the Basel II Accord. The commandments deal with understanding the Basel II colours, understanding the risk model before choosing, varying the choice of risk model, avoiding the green zone and being willing to violate, incurring large violations, stopping before the red zone, avoiding frequent violations, avoiding the estimation of large portfolios, aggregating portfolios into a single index, and interpreting commandments sensibly as guidelines.
根据《巴塞尔协议II》,银行和其他认可接受存款机构(adi)必须在每个交易日开始时,使用各种风险价值(VaR)模型中的一种来衡量风险,向相关国家货币当局通报其每日市场风险估计。本文的目的是提供一个简单的解释和一套在巴塞尔协议下管理风险投资的处方。戒律涉及理解巴塞尔协议II的颜色,在选择之前理解风险模型,改变风险模型的选择,避免绿色区域并愿意违反,招致大规模违规,在红色区域之前停止,避免频繁违规,避免估计大型投资组合,将投资组合汇总为单个指数,以及将戒律合理地解释为指导方针。
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引用次数: 44
From Subprime Loans to Subprime Growth? Evidence for the Euro Area 从次级贷款到次级增长?欧元区的证据
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-03-01 DOI: 10.5089/9781451872163.001.A001
M. Čihák, Petya Koeva Brooks
The global financial crisis has highlighted the potential of financial conditions for influencing real economic activity. We examine the linkages between the financial and real sectors in the euro area, finding that (i) bank loan supply responds negatively to declines in bank soundness; (ii) a cutback in bank loan supply has a negative impact on economic activity; (iii) a positive shock to the corporate bond spread lowers industrial output; and (iv) risk indicators for the banking, corporate, and public sectors show an improvement beginning in 2002-03, followed by a major deterioration since 2007. These estimates imply that the currently estimated bank losses would subtract some 2 percentage points from the euro area output (but with considerable uncertainty around the estimates).
全球金融危机凸显了金融状况影响实体经济活动的潜力。我们研究了欧元区金融和实体部门之间的联系,发现(i)银行贷款供应对银行稳健性的下降呈负反应;(ii)银行贷款供应减少对经济活动产生负面影响;(3)对公司债息差的正面冲击降低了工业产出;(iv)银行、企业和公共部门的风险指标显示,2002-03年开始有所改善,随后自2007年以来严重恶化。这些估计表明,目前估计的银行损失将使欧元区的产出减少约2个百分点(但估计存在相当大的不确定性)。
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引用次数: 22
Dynamics of the Term Structure of UK Interest Rates 英国利率期限结构的动态
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1366980
F. Bianchi, H. Mumtaz, Paolo Surico
This paper models the evolution of monetary policy, the term structure of interest rates and the UK economy across policy regimes. We model the interaction between the macroeconomy and the term structure using a time-varying VAR model augmented with the factors from the yield curve. Our results suggest that the level, slope and curvature factors display substantial time variation, with the level factor moving closely with measures of inflation expectations. Our estimates indicate a large decline in the volatility of both yield curve and macroeconomic variables around 1992, when the United Kingdom first adopted an inflation-targeting regime. During the inflation-targeting regime, monetary policy shocks have been more muted and inflation expectations have been lower than in the pre-1992 era. The link between the macroeconomy and the yield curve has also changed over time, with fluctuations in the level factor becoming less important for inflation after the Bank of England independence in 1997. Policy rates appear to have responded more systematically to inflation and unemployment in the current regime. We use our time-varying macro-finance model to revisit the evidence on the expectations hypothesis.
本文模拟了货币政策、利率期限结构和英国经济在不同政策体制下的演变。我们利用一个时变VAR模型,加上收益率曲线上的因素,来模拟宏观经济和期限结构之间的相互作用。我们的研究结果表明,水平、斜率和曲率因素表现出实质性的时间变化,水平因素与通胀预期的措施密切相关。我们的估计表明,收益率曲线和宏观经济变量的波动性在1992年前后大幅下降,当时英国首次采用通货膨胀目标制。在通货膨胀目标制下,货币政策冲击相对较小,通胀预期也低于1992年以前的水平。随着时间的推移,宏观经济与收益率曲线之间的联系也发生了变化,在1997年英国央行(Bank of England)独立后,水平因素的波动对通胀的影响变得不那么重要了。在当前体制下,政策利率似乎对通胀和失业率做出了更为系统的反应。我们使用时变宏观金融模型来重新审视预期假设的证据。
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引用次数: 18
The Information Content of Abnormal Trading Volume 异常交易量的信息含量
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5957.2010.02197.x
E. Bajo
This paper investigates the way in which abnormal trading volume reveals new information to market participants. It is generally thought that trading volume is an efficient proxy for information flow and enhances the information set of investors. However, no research has related the presence of abnormal trading volume to firm characteristics, such as ownership and governance structure, which also have a theoretical link to information quality. I find strong excess returns around extreme trading levels, which are only moderately attributable to information disclosure. Moreover, these returns are not caused by liquidity fluctuations since prices do not reverse over the following period. In contrast, there is evidence of price momentum, suggesting that traders can implement successful portfolio strategies based on observation of current volumes. Copyright (c) 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
本文研究了异常交易量向市场参与者揭示新信息的方式。一般认为,交易量是信息流动的有效代理,增强了投资者的信息集。然而,没有研究将异常交易量的存在与公司特征(如所有权和治理结构)联系起来,这些特征也与信息质量有理论联系。我发现在极端交易水平附近有很强的超额回报,这与信息披露只有适度的关系。此外,这些回报不是由流动性波动引起的,因为价格在随后一段时间内不会逆转。相比之下,有证据表明价格势头强劲,这表明交易员可以根据对当前交易量的观察实施成功的投资组合策略。版权所有(c) 2010布莱克威尔出版有限公司
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引用次数: 39
Financial Advisors: A Case of Babysitters? 财务顾问:一个保姆的案例?
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1360440
A. Hackethal, M. Haliassos, T. Jappelli
We use two data sets, one from a large brokerage and another from a major bank, to ask: (i) whether financial advisors are more likely to be matched with poorer, uninformed investors or with richer and experienced investors; (ii) how advised accounts actually perform relative to self-managed accounts; (iii) whether the contribution of independent and bank advisors is similar. We find that advised accounts offer on average lower net returns and inferior risk-return tradeoffs (Sharpe ratios). Trading costs contribute to outcomes, as advised accounts feature higher turnover, consistent with commissions being the main source of advisor income. Results are robust to controlling for investor and local area characteristics. The results apply with stronger force to bank advisors than to independent financial advisors, consistent with greater limitations on bank advisory services.
我们使用两个数据集,一个来自大型经纪公司,另一个来自大型银行,来询问:(i)财务顾问是更有可能与贫穷、不知情的投资者匹配,还是更有可能与富有、有经验的投资者匹配;(ii)相对于自我管理账户,建议账户的实际表现如何;(iii)独立顾问和银行顾问的贡献是否相似。我们发现,建议账户提供平均较低的净回报和较差的风险回报权衡(夏普比率)。交易成本对结果有贡献,因为建议账户具有更高的营业额,与佣金是顾问收入的主要来源一致。结果对控制投资者和地区特征具有鲁棒性。与独立财务顾问相比,这些结果更适用于银行顾问,这与银行咨询服务的更大限制是一致的。
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引用次数: 380
European Financial Market Integration: A Closer Look at Government Bonds in Eurozone Countries 欧洲金融市场一体化:欧元区国家政府债券近观
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1431346
S. Weber
The European Union made a number of steps not least of them the introduction of a common currency to foster the integration of the European financial markets. A number of papers have tried to gauge the degree of integration for various financial markets looking at the convergence of interest rates. A common finding is that government bond markets are quite well integrated. In this paper stochastic Kernel density estimates are used to take a closer look at the dynamics that drive the process of interest rate convergence. The main finding is that countries with large initial deviations from the mean interest rate do indeed converge. Interestingly the candidates least suspected namely the countries initially with interest rates at the mean level show a pattern of slight divergence.
欧洲联盟采取了一系列步骤,其中最重要的是引入一种共同货币,以促进欧洲金融市场的一体化。许多论文试图通过利率趋同来衡量不同金融市场的一体化程度。一个普遍的发现是,政府债券市场整合得相当好。在本文中,随机核密度估计被用来更仔细地观察驱动利率收敛过程的动力学。主要发现是,初始利率与平均利率偏差较大的国家确实趋同。有趣的是,最不值得怀疑的候选者,即最初利率处于平均水平的国家,表现出了轻微的分化模式。
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引用次数: 12
The German Banking System and the Global Financial Crisis: Causes, Developments and Policy Responses 德国银行体系与全球金融危机:起因、发展与政策应对
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-02-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1365813
Hans-H. Bleuel
Germany’s banking sector has been severely hit by the global financial crisis. In a German context as of February, 2009, this paper reviews briefly the structure of the banking industry, quantifies effects of the crisis on banks and surveys responses of economic policy. It is argued that policy design needs to enhance transparency and enforce the liability principle. In addition, economic policy should not eclipse principles of competition policy.
德国银行业受到全球金融危机的严重打击。在2009年2月的德国背景下,本文简要回顾了银行业的结构,量化了危机对银行的影响,并调查了经济政策的反应。认为政策设计需要提高透明度和执行责任原则。此外,经济政策不应掩盖竞争政策的原则。
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引用次数: 5
Alpha and Beta of Long/Short Equity Hedge Funds: A Study of Swedish and International Funds 多/空股票对冲基金的Alpha和Beta:瑞典和国际基金的研究
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-02-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1424501
M. Haglund
As shown in the literature, delivering alpha over time and in different market environments is very difficult and relatively few managers have the ability to do so. Empirical analysis has shown that the main drivers of return for Long/Short Equity hedge funds are a stock market factor and the spread between small- and large capitalization stocks. We find that Swedish Long/Short Equity hedge funds outperformed their international peers during the financial crisis in June 2007 - December 2008 but underperformed during the previous equity bull market April 2003 - May 2007. The reason for this is found to be a lower beta to the broad equity market for Swedish funds. Funds started during 2004 - 2005 operated with a higher beta to the Swedish stock market during the equity bear market compared to funds started before April 2003. Our regression model can explain 65% of the returns of the funds during the bear market period and the stock market is the only statistically significant factor. The capability to generate alpha is found to be limited and concentrated to the equity bull market.
正如文献所示,在不同的市场环境中,随着时间的推移交付alpha是非常困难的,相对而言,很少有经理有能力做到这一点。实证分析表明,多/空股票对冲基金收益的主要驱动因素是股市因素和小盘股与大盘股之间的价差。我们发现,瑞典的多/空股票对冲基金在2007年6月至2008年12月的金融危机期间表现优于国际同行,但在2003年4月至2007年5月的上一次股市牛市期间表现不佳。其原因被认为是瑞典基金相对于整体股票市场的贝塔系数较低。与2003年4月之前启动的基金相比,2004 - 2005年期间启动的基金在股票熊市期间对瑞典股市的贝塔系数更高。我们的回归模型可以解释熊市期间65%的基金收益,股票市场是唯一具有统计学意义的因素。产生α的能力被发现是有限的,并且集中在股市牛市。
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引用次数: 0
Remarks Regarding the Development of Factoring In Romania 关于罗马尼亚保理业务发展的评论
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-02-21 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1347427
Duca Ioana
Factoring is a means of financing businesses which is less known in Romania. Due to a poor dissemination in the local business environment, the legislative insufficiency, of a lack of consistent and attractive offers in the field, but also to other factors which we will analyze in this paper, the term is as unfamiliar as the term of "leasing" was ten or twelve years ago. The increase and diversification of the banks' product range, but also to that of the non-banking financial institutions and the harmonization with the world trend will naturally lead to adopting factoring as a frequent financing technique for the small and medium-sized enterprises in our country, as a viable alternative to the classical short-term credits. This paper explores the characteristics and the evolution of the factoring market in Romania.
保理是一种在罗马尼亚鲜为人知的企业融资手段。由于在当地的商业环境传播不佳,立法不完善,在该领域缺乏一致和有吸引力的报价,以及我们将在本文中分析的其他因素,这个术语就像十年前或十二年前的“租赁”一词一样陌生。随着银行和非银行金融机构产品范围的增加和多样化,以及与世界趋势的接轨,保理业务自然会成为我国中小企业常用的融资方式,成为传统短期信贷的一种可行选择。本文探讨了罗马尼亚保理市场的特点及其演变。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
European Journal of Finance
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