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Recent Bank Bailouts - Lessons to Learn When Patience is a Virtue 最近的银行救助——当耐心是一种美德时要吸取的教训
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-12-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1315523
Simona Mihai Yiannaki
Most recent bank bailouts lessons from a financial and economic policy perspective turn to be politicized. This paper keeps the focus on the effective implications of the most recent bank bailouts in the Western economy model. The common share of responsibility and bank recovery as target becomes null despite the real motives of the ongoing credit crisis. However there are some common issues shared by all these recent bank and financial institutions bailouts. Most of them relate to: global interconnections, economic downturn, liquidity boost, efficiency recovery, evade social costs, new opportunities for M&A, new risk management applications, oportunistic investment behaviour and patience.
从金融和经济政策的角度来看,最近大多数银行纾困的教训都变得政治化了。本文将重点放在西方经济模型中最近的银行救助的有效影响上。尽管当前信贷危机的真正动机是什么,但责任和银行复苏作为目标的共同份额变得毫无意义。然而,最近所有这些银行和金融机构的救助都有一些共同的问题。其中大多数涉及:全球互联互通、经济低迷、流动性提升、效率恢复、逃避社会成本、并购新机遇、新的风险管理应用、机会主义投资行为和耐心。
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引用次数: 7
UK Evidence on the Profitability and the Risk-Return Characteristics of Merger Arbitrage 并购套利的盈利能力和风险收益特征
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1108477
P. Sudarsanam, Dzung V. Nguyen
On a sample of 1105 UK cash and stock mergers over the period of 1987-2007, this study is the first to provide empirical evidence about the profitability and the risk-return characteristic of the merger arbitrage strategy in the UK market. Consistent with the findings in other markets, the UK merger arbitrage portfolios are profitable on risk-adjusted basis. The result is robust to a range of methods to control for risk. The most important contribution of this study is to show how takeover regulations can affect the risk-return characteristics of the merger arbitrage strategy. There is little evidence that the UK merger arbitrage portfolios exhibit any non-linear risk-return pattern. The finding is in line with restrictions imposed by the UK Takeover Code on the bidder's ability to renege on the bid. Combined with the US and Australian evidence under varying degree of such restrictions in these respective jurisdictions, the regulation impact is confirmed.
本研究以1987-2007年期间英国1105宗现金和股票并购为样本,首次提供了英国市场并购套利策略的盈利能力和风险回报特征的实证证据。与其它市场的调查结果一致,英国并购套利投资组合在风险调整基础上是盈利的。结果对一系列控制风险的方法具有鲁棒性。本研究最重要的贡献在于揭示了并购监管如何影响并购套利策略的风险收益特征。几乎没有证据表明,英国并购套利组合表现出任何非线性风险回报模式。这一发现符合英国《收购法》(Takeover Code)对竞标者反悔出价能力的限制。结合美国和澳大利亚在各自司法管辖区不同程度的此类限制下的证据,该法规的影响得到了证实。
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引用次数: 5
Funded Pensions and Intergenerational and International Risk Sharing in General Equilibrium 基金养老金与一般均衡中的代际和国际风险分担
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/J.JIMONFIN.2011.07.001
R. Beetsma, A. Bovenberg, W. Romp
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引用次数: 10
Efficient or Fortunate? The Impact of Environmental Economic Conditions on Co-Operative Banks 高效还是幸运?环境经济条件对合作银行的影响
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1376217
Franco Fiordelisi, Vincenzo Farina, Battaglia Francesca, Ornella Ricci
This paper analyses the cost and profit efficiency of Italian co-operative banks. These small financial institutions have homogeneous business model and their performance is strongly influenced by the economic conditions of their local markets. As recognised by various recent studies (Bos et al., 2008), the efficiency measurement has to account for the heterogeneity of environmental conditions. By using a sample of 2683 year observations collected between 2000 and 2005, we estimated cost and profit efficiency using the Stochastic Frontier Analysis and including various environmental variables accounting for disparities among Italian regions. Our results provide evidence that banks in the North-East of Italy are more cost efficient, taking advantage of a favourable environment, while banks in the South of Italy display a higher profit efficiency, probably due to lower competitive pressures.
本文分析了意大利合作银行的成本效率和利润效率。这些小型金融机构具有同质化的经营模式,其业绩受到当地市场经济状况的强烈影响。正如最近各种研究(Bos et al., 2008)所认识到的那样,效率测量必须考虑到环境条件的异质性。通过使用2000年至2005年间收集的2683年的观察样本,我们使用随机前沿分析估计了成本和利润效率,并考虑了意大利地区之间差异的各种环境变量。我们的结果提供了证据,表明意大利东北部的银行更具成本效益,利用了有利的环境,而意大利南部的银行表现出更高的利润效率,可能是由于竞争压力较低。
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引用次数: 1
Earnings Management and Audit Adjustments: An Empirical Study of IBEX 35 Constituents 盈余管理与审计调整:ibex35成分股的实证研究
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1374232
Oriol Amat
Doubts about the reliability of a company's qualitative financial disclosure increase market participant expectations from the auditor's report. The auditing process is supposed to serve as a monitoring device that reduces management incentives to manipulate reported earnings. Empirical research confirms that it could be an efficient device under some circumstances and recognizes that our estimates of the informativeness of audit reports are unavoidably biased (e.g., because of a client's anticipation of the auditing process). This empirical study supports the significant role of auditors in the financial market, in particular in the prevention of earnings management practice. We focus on earnings misstatements, which auditors correct with an adjustment, using a sample of past and current constituents of the benchmark market index in Spain, IBEX 35, and manually collected audit adjustments reported over the 1997-2004 period (42 companies, 336 annual reports, 75 earnings misstatements). Our findings confirm that companies more often overstate than understate their earnings. An investor may foresee earnings misreporting, as manipulators have a similar profile (e.g., more leveraged and with lower sales). However, he may receive valuable information from the audit adjustment on the size of earnings misstatement, which can be significantly large (i.e., material in almost all cases). We suggest that the magnitude of an audit adjustment depends, other things constant, on annual revenues and free cash levels. We also examine how the audit adjustment relates to the observed market price, trading volume and stock returns. Our findings are that earnings manipulators have a lower price and larger trading volume compared to their rivals. Their returns are positively associated with the magnitude of earnings misreporting, which is not consistent with the possible pricing of audit information.
对公司定性财务披露可靠性的怀疑增加了市场参与者对审计报告的期望。审计程序被认为是一种监控手段,可以减少管理层操纵报告收益的动机。实证研究证实,在某些情况下,它可能是一种有效的手段,并认识到我们对审计报告的信息量的估计不可避免地存在偏差(例如,由于客户对审计过程的预期)。该实证研究支持审计师在金融市场中的重要作用,特别是在预防盈余管理实践方面。我们使用西班牙基准市场指数IBEX 35的过去和当前成分样本,并手动收集1997-2004年期间报告的审计调整(42家公司,336份年度报告,75份盈利错报),重点关注审计师通过调整来纠正的盈利错报。我们的研究结果证实,企业往往夸大而非低估自己的收益。投资者可能会预见到错误的收益报告,因为操纵者有类似的情况(例如,杠杆率更高,销售额更低)。但是,他可能从审计调整中获得关于盈余错报规模的有价值的信息,这些信息可能非常大(即在几乎所有情况下都是重大的)。我们建议审计调整的幅度取决于年度收入和自由现金水平(其他因素不变)。我们还研究了审计调整与观察到的市场价格、交易量和股票回报之间的关系。我们的研究发现,与竞争对手相比,盈利操纵者的价格更低,交易量更大。他们的回报与盈余错报的程度呈正相关,这与审计信息的可能定价不一致。
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引用次数: 2
The Demand for Euromillions Lottery Tickets: An International Comparison 欧洲百万彩票的需求:一个国际比较
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-11-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1300436
P. Roger
We analyze the demand of the Euromillions lottery tickets, a European lotto-like game launched in 2004 and played simultaneously in nine countries with the same rules and the same draws. Using the effective price methodology, we show that price elasticities are very different across countries. Especially, Spain and Portugal exhibit a low price elasticity and high mean sales, meaning a low sensitivity to jackpot increases. On the contrary, Ireland and the United Kingdom exhibit very high long-run elasticities and a large sensitivity to jackpot variations. The interpretations of these results are linked to lower GDP in the two former countries and, for Spain, to the large development of syndication play, and to the bookmaking activities and the highly competitive betting market in Ireland and the UK. Moreover, we show that Spanish and Portuguese players pay a much higher effective price than UK gamblers, meaning that in a certain sense the former subsidize the latter.
我们分析了欧洲百万彩票的需求,欧洲百万彩票是2004年推出的一种类似于彩票的游戏,在9个国家同时使用相同的规则和相同的抽奖。使用有效价格方法,我们表明各国的价格弹性差异很大。特别是,西班牙和葡萄牙表现出低价格弹性和高平均销售额,这意味着对头奖增加的敏感度较低。相反,爱尔兰和英国表现出非常高的长期弹性和对头奖变化的高度敏感性。对这些结果的解释与两个前国家较低的GDP有关,对西班牙来说,与辛迪加游戏的大规模发展有关,与爱尔兰和英国的博彩活动和高度竞争的博彩市场有关。此外,我们还表明,西班牙和葡萄牙玩家支付的有效价格远高于英国赌徒,这意味着在某种意义上,前者补贴了后者。
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引用次数: 10
Rentabilidad y creación de valor de 121 empresas españolas hasta el 31 de octubre de 2008 (Shareholder Return of Spanish Companies in 2008) 截至2008年10月31日,121家西班牙公司的盈利能力和价值创造(2008年西班牙公司股东回报)
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-11-03 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1118287
Pablo Fernández, Vicente J. Bermejo
Spanish Abstract: En 2008 (hasta el 31 de octubre), la rentabilidad de la bolsa espanola fue -38%, solo hubo 3 empresas (entre 121) con rentabilidad positiva y 60 empresas tuvieron una rentabilidad inferior a -40%.Las 121 empresas destruyeron valor para sus accionistas por importe de €366 millardos.English Abstract: 118 companies out of 121 had negative return in 2008. In 2008, the 121 companies destroyed 366 billion euros (15 billion euros in 2007). The average return of the 125 companies was -39.6%.
摘要:2008年(截至10月31日),西班牙证券交易所的盈利能力为-38%,121家公司中只有3家盈利能力为正,60家公司盈利能力低于-40%。121家公司损失了3660亿欧元的股东价值。= =地理= =根据美国人口普查,该县的总面积为,其中土地和(1.0%)水。2008年,121家公司损失了3660亿欧元(2007年为150亿欧元)。= =地理= =根据美国人口普查局的数据,该县总面积为,其中土地和(1.0%)水。
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引用次数: 0
Does Smoothing in Pension Accounting Encourage Equity Investment in Corporate Pension Plans? Evidence from the U.K. 养老金会计平滑是否鼓励企业养老金计划股权投资?来自英国的证据。
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1405494
Shamin Mashruwala
I test whether the introduction of a new pension standard (FRS 17) in the U.K., which virtually eliminated the smoothing mechanisms in pension accounting, is associated with a reallocation of assets from equities to bonds in defined benefit pension plans. My findings indicate that sample firms reduced their equity allocation by about 8 percentage points, on average, after the passage of FRS 17. Further, the magnitude of the asset reallocation depends on the financial reporting effect of FRS 17, and is positively associated with: (i) the increase in reported pension underfunding, (ii) the expected future volatility of reported actuarial gains/losses, and (iii) the increase in reported pension expense. The systematic shift away from equities after FRS 17 indicates that the smoothing mechanisms in pension accounting encourage equity investment in pension plans by enabling firms to avoid the financial reporting costs of equity volatility. This paper contributes to the ongoing debate among standard setters about the economic consequences of smoothing in pension accounting.
我测试了英国新养老金标准(FRS 17)的引入是否与固定收益养老金计划中资产从股票到债券的再配置有关,该标准实际上消除了养老金会计中的平滑机制。我的研究结果表明,样本公司在财务报告准则第17号通过后,平均减少了约8个百分点的股权配置。此外,资产再配置的大小取决于财务报告准则第17号的财务报告效果,并与以下因素正相关:(i)报告的养老金资金不足的增加,(ii)报告的精算损益的预期未来波动,以及(iii)报告的养老金费用的增加。在美国财务报告准则第17号之后,从股票的系统性转移表明,养老金会计中的平滑机制通过使公司避免股票波动的财务报告成本,鼓励对养老金计划的股权投资。本文有助于标准制定者之间关于养老金会计平滑的经济后果的持续辩论。
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引用次数: 5
El descenso bursátil de 2008 (The Stock Market Crash of 2008) El descent bursátil de 2008(2008年股市崩盘)
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-10-29 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1291873
Pablo Fernández, Vicente J. Bermejo
Spanish Abstract: Este documento contempla con perspectiva historica el reciente descenso del IBEX 35 y de las acciones espanolas. El IBEX cayo un 50,4% desde su maximo historico (15.945,7 puntos el 8/nov/2007) hasta 7.905 puntos el 28/oct/2008. Pero el mayor descenso del IBEX (58%) se produjo entre el 6/mar/2000 (12.816,8 puntos) y el 1/oct/2002 (5.368,6 puntos).Por otro lado, el IGBM descendio un 72,9% entre abril de 1973 y abril de 1980 (el IGBM deflactado descendio un 92,6%).English Abstract: We analyze the movement of the IBEX 35 between December 1990 and October 2008, the movement of the IGBM between December 1940 and October 2008 and movement of the S&P 500 between January 1926 and October 2008.
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引用次数: 0
Women in the Boardroom and Their Impact on Governance and Performance 董事会中的女性及其对治理和绩效的影响
IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-10-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1107721
Renée B. Adams, Daniel Ferreira
We show that female directors have a significant impact on board inputs and firm outcomes. In a sample of US firms, we find that female directors have better attendance records than male directors, male directors have fewer attendance problems the more gender-diverse the board is, and women are more likely to join monitoring committees. These results suggest that gender-diverse boards allocate more effort to monitoring. Accordingly, we find that CEO turnover is more sensitive to stock performance and directors receive more equity-based compensation in firms with more gender-diverse boards. However, the average effect of gender diversity on firm performance is negative. This negative effect is driven by companies with fewer takeover defenses. Our results suggest that mandating gender quotas for directors can reduce firm value for well-governed firms.
研究表明,女性董事对董事会投入和公司绩效有显著影响。在美国公司的样本中,我们发现女性董事的出勤记录优于男性董事,董事会性别越多样化,男性董事的出勤问题就越少,女性更有可能加入监督委员会。这些结果表明,性别多元化的董事会在监督方面投入了更多精力。因此,我们发现,在董事会性别多元化程度更高的公司,CEO离职率对股票表现更为敏感,董事获得的股权薪酬也更多。然而,性别多样性对公司绩效的平均影响是负面的。这种负面影响是由收购防御较少的公司造成的。我们的研究结果表明,对于治理良好的公司来说,强制性的董事性别配额会降低公司价值。
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引用次数: 4422
期刊
European Journal of Finance
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