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Unravelling the pastoralist paradox – preferences for land tenure security and flexibility in Kenya 解开牧民悖论——肯尼亚对土地保有权保障和灵活性的偏好
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-19 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000298
G. Bostedt, Erlend Dancke Sandorf, S. Mureithi, Deborah Muricho
In this paper, we use a discrete choice experiment conducted among pastoralists in four different semi-arid counties in Kenya characterized by different land tenure regimes to analyze how pastoralists make tradeoffs between tenure security and grazing flexibility – the so-called pastoralist paradox. Results show that there is one group of respondents who are desperate for change and seem to prefer either group or private title deeds to their current situation. A second, smaller group has strong preferences for the status quo, which could be driven by their relatively short migration distances. Concerning index-based livestock insurance, the basis risk suffered by insured pastoralists due to underprediction is high, but willingness to pay (WTP) for livestock insurance should still be high enough to ensure maximum uptake, leaving current low uptakes hard to explain. The worry about climate change is high but does not translate into increased WTP for more secure tenure or formal livestock insurance.
在本文中,我们对肯尼亚四个不同土地权制的半干旱县的牧民进行了离散选择实验,以分析牧民如何在权制安全和放牧灵活性之间进行权衡——即所谓的牧民悖论。结果显示,有一组受访者迫切希望改变,似乎更喜欢团体或私人产权契约,而不是他们的现状。第二,人数较少的群体对现状有强烈的偏好,这可能是由于他们相对较短的迁移距离所驱动的。就基于指数的牲畜保险而言,被保险牧民因预估不足而遭受的基本风险很高,但对牲畜保险的支付意愿(WTP)仍应足够高,以确保最大程度的吸收,这使得目前的低吸收率难以解释。人们对气候变化的担忧很高,但这并没有转化为WTP的增加,从而获得更有保障的使用权或正式的牲畜保险。
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引用次数: 0
Greenhouse gases mitigation: global externalities and short-termism 减缓温室气体排放:全球外部性和短期主义
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-13 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000249
Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, Behnaz Minooei Fard, W. Semmler
Policies designed to control greenhouse gases imply domestic tradeoffs and international externalities, which lead to both domestic and international conflicts, influencing their feasibility and implementations. Our paper investigates two quantitative aspects within this debate. We intend to quantify the impact of: (a) the internalization of international externalities; and (b) the damage associated with a short-term view of climate policies. In this respect, we adopt the innovative (in this field) idea of model predictive control to formalize moving-horizon policy strategies and, thus, to build counterfactuals characterized by a different horizon for all policymakers.
旨在控制温室气体的政策意味着国内权衡和国际外部性,这会导致国内和国际冲突,影响其可行性和实施。我们的论文研究了这场辩论中的两个数量方面。我们打算量化以下方面的影响:(a)国际外部性的内部化;以及(b)对气候政策的短期看法所造成的损害。在这方面,我们采用了模型预测控制的创新思想(在该领域),以形式化动态范围政策策略,从而为所有决策者建立以不同范围为特征的反事实。
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引用次数: 1
Disclosure of enterprises' environmental violations: evidence from Chinese public supervision 企业环境违法行为披露:来自中国公众监督的证据
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000304
Beibei Shi, Fei Yang, Rong Kang
Environmental violation by enterprises is a common problem in environmental management worldwide. To restrict enterprises' environmental pollution behaviors, China has implemented a public supervision system based on environmental information publicity, which guides the public to participate in environmental governance and supervises enterprises' environmental pollution behaviors. This study exploits a quasi-natural experiment based on the disclosure policy of the Pollution Information Transparency Index in China from 2008 and the difference-in-differences method to evaluate the disclosure effect of public supervision on enterprises' environmental violations, and to examine its environmental benefits and their realization path. We find that the public supervision system is conducive to the disclosure of enterprises' environmental violations. At the same time, public supervision has achieved the expected environmental benefits, mainly realized by reducing enterprises' output to reduce polluting emissions, and this mechanism is more obvious for high-polluting enterprises.
企业环境违法是世界范围内环境管理中的一个普遍问题。为了约束企业的环境污染行为,中国实施了以环境信息公开为基础的公众监督制度,引导公众参与环境治理,监督企业的环境污染物行为。本研究基于2008年以来中国污染信息透明度指数的披露政策和差异中的差异法,采用准自然实验来评估公众监督对企业环境违法行为的披露效果,并考察其环境效益及其实现路径。我们发现,公众监督制度有利于企业环境违法行为的公开。同时,公众监督实现了预期的环境效益,主要通过降低企业产量来减少污染排放来实现,而这种机制在高污染企业中更为明显。
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引用次数: 1
Reducing carbon footprint by replacing generators with solar PV systems: a contingent valuation study in Lagos, Nigeria 通过用太阳能光伏系统取代发电机来减少碳足迹:尼日利亚拉各斯的一项偶然评估研究
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000316
Eleanya Nduka
Nigeria is endowed with abundant sunshine year-round; thus, solar PV would solve the environmental problems associated with petrol-powered generators. However, it is unclear whether households are willing to transition. Thus, we analyze households’ willingness to pay (WTP) for solar PV under four scenarios: (i) WTP when a solar PV is complemented with a generator, (ii) WTP when a solar PV completely displaces a generator, (iii) WTP when a solar PV is complemented with a generator, plus a subsidy, and (iv) WTP when a solar PV completely displaces a generator, given a subsidy. We find that WTP for solar PV is higher when it can displace generators completely. Subsidy plus monthly rather than upfront payment would scale up the adoption of solar PV by about 6 per cent. Furthermore, the cost benefit analysis results show that solar PV investment is profitable. Thus, there is a need to implement policies aimed at scaling up the energy transition.
尼日利亚全年阳光充足;因此,太阳能光伏发电将解决与汽油发电机相关的环境问题。然而,目前尚不清楚家庭是否愿意转型。因此,我们分析了四种情况下家庭对太阳能光伏的支付意愿(WTP):(i)当太阳能光伏与发电机互补时的WTP,(ii)太阳能光伏完全取代发电机时的WTP,(iii)当太阳能PV与发电机互补并加上补贴时的WT普,以及(iv)在补贴的情况下,太阳能光伏完全替代发电机的WTP。我们发现,当太阳能光伏发电能够完全取代发电机时,其WTP更高。补贴加上每月而不是预付款,将使太阳能光伏的采用率提高约6%。此外,成本效益分析结果表明,太阳能光伏投资是有利可图的。因此,有必要执行旨在扩大能源转型的政策。
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引用次数: 2
Modeling farmers' preference and willingness to pay for improved climate services in Rwanda 模拟卢旺达农民为改善气候服务付费的偏好和意愿
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000286
A. Tesfaye, J. Hansen, D. Kagabo, E. Birachi, M. Radeny, D. Solomon
This study aims to understand how Rwandan farmers value the improved characteristics of climate services introduced to them in a choice experiment setting. Data were collected from 1,525 household heads in November 2019. A random parameters logit model was used to analyze the data. Results suggest that Rwandan farmers value forecast accuracy, dissemination through a combination of extension agents and the Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture process, and bundling with market price information. This study suggests that to improve agricultural management planning and food security of farmers through the provision of climate services, these services need to be accurate, user-tailored, and accessible.
本研究旨在了解卢旺达农民如何评价在选择性实验环境中向他们介绍的气候服务的改进特性。2019年11月,从1525户户主那里收集了数据。采用随机参数logit模型对数据进行分析。结果表明,卢旺达农民重视预测的准确性,通过推广机构和参与式农业综合气候服务过程的结合传播,以及与市场价格信息捆绑在一起。这项研究表明,要通过提供气候服务来改善农业管理规划和农民的粮食安全,这些服务需要准确、适合用户并易于获取。
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引用次数: 0
Background risk and risk-taking – evidence from the field 背景风险和冒险行为——来自实地的证据
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000274
Linda Kleemann, Marie-Catherine Riekhof

Most decisions involving risk are not taken in isolation. In addition to the risk from that decision, other independent, so-called ‘background’ risks, are considered. Our research adds to the growing evidence that this background risk influences risk-taking. We report results from a repeated lab-in-the-field investment task with Senegalese fishers in the presence of background risk related to their fishing income and their health. Our measure of background risk is the monthly wind condition. Without controls, we find that fishers act on average intemperately. Adding controls, we find that the impact of background risk on risk-taking—measured as the investment in the investment task—depends on the boat size of the fishers. When dividing the sample according to wealth, we find temperate behavior for the relatively poorer group and intemperate behavior that depends on boat lengths for the relatively richer group. Our results show the interrelations between background risk and context factors.

大多数涉及风险的决策都不是孤立地做出的。除了该决定的风险之外,还考虑了其他独立的、所谓的“背景”风险。我们的研究进一步证明,这种背景风险会影响冒险行为。我们报告了塞内加尔渔民在存在与其渔业收入和健康相关的背景风险的情况下进行的重复实验室现场投资任务的结果。我们衡量背景风险的标准是每月的风况。在没有控制的情况下,我们发现渔民的行为一般都是不节制的。加入控制因素后,我们发现背景风险对风险承担的影响(以投资任务中的投资来衡量)取决于渔民渔船的大小。当根据财富划分样本时,我们发现相对贫穷的群体有节制的行为,而相对富裕的群体则有不节制的行为,这取决于船的长度。我们的研究结果显示了背景风险和环境因素之间的相互关系。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19, climate shocks, and food security linkages: evidence and perceptions from smallholder farming communities in Tanzania 2019冠状病毒病、气候冲击和粮食安全联系:来自坦桑尼亚小农社区的证据和看法
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000225
Violet Lasdun, Aurélie P. Harou, C. Magomba, Aika Aku
Insights on the indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are critical for designing and implementing policies to alleviate the food security burden it may have caused, and for bolstering rural communities against similar macroeconomic shocks in the future. Yet estimating the causal effects of the pandemic is difficult due to its ubiquitous nature and entanglement with other shocks. In this descriptive study, we combine high-resolution satellite imagery to control for plot-level rainfall with household socio-economic panel data from 2014, 2016, 2019 and 2020, to differentiate the effect of the pandemic from climatic shocks on food security in Morogoro, Tanzania. We find evidence of decreased incomes, increased prices of staple foods, and increased food insecurity in 2020 relative to previous years, and link these changes to the pandemic by asking households about their perceptions of COVID-19. Respondents overwhelmingly attribute economic hardships to the pandemic, with perceived impacts differing by asset level.
深入了解2019冠状病毒病大流行的间接影响,对于制定和实施减轻疫情可能造成的粮食安全负担的政策,以及帮助农村社区抵御未来类似的宏观经济冲击,都至关重要。然而,由于大流行的普遍性和与其他冲击的纠缠性,很难估计其因果影响。在这项描述性研究中,我们将高分辨率卫星图像与2014年、2016年、2019年和2020年的家庭社会经济面板数据相结合,以区分疫情与气候冲击对坦桑尼亚莫罗戈罗粮食安全的影响。我们发现,与前几年相比,2020年将出现收入下降、主食价格上涨和粮食不安全状况加剧的迹象,并通过询问家庭对COVID-19的看法,将这些变化与疫情联系起来。受访者绝大多数将经济困难归因于疫情,其感知到的影响因资产水平而异。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of weather shocks on employment outcomes: evidence from South Africa 天气冲击对就业结果的影响:来自南非的证据
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000237
Harriet Brookes Gray, Vis Taraz, Simon D. Halliday

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme weather events, such as drought and heat waves. In this paper, we assess the impact of drought and high temperatures on the employment outcomes of working-age individuals in South Africa between 2008 and 2017. We merge high-resolution weather data with detailed individual-level survey data on labor market outcomes, and estimate causal impacts using a fixed effects framework. We find that increases in the occurrence of drought reduce overall employment. These effects are concentrated in the tertiary sector, amongst informal workers, and in provinces with a higher reliance on tourism. Taken together, our results suggest that the impacts of climate change will be felt unequally by South Africa's workers.

气候变化正在增加极端天气事件的频率,如干旱和热浪。在本文中,我们评估了干旱和高温对2008年至2017年南非工作年龄个人就业结果的影响。我们将高分辨率天气数据与劳动力市场结果的详细个人调查数据合并,并使用固定效应框架估计因果影响。我们发现,干旱发生的增加减少了总体就业。这些影响主要集中在第三部门、非正规工人和高度依赖旅游业的省份。综上所述,我们的研究结果表明,气候变化对南非工人的影响是不平等的。
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引用次数: 0
EDE volume 27 issue 5 Cover and Front matter EDE第27卷第5期封面和封面
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000250
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引用次数: 0
Lasting impact on health from natural disasters, potential mechanisms and mitigating effects 自然灾害对健康的持久影响、潜在机制和缓解效果
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x2200016x
Gaurav Dhamija, Gitanjali Sen
Exposure to extreme shocks in early life is found to have a lasting impact in adulthood. Exploiting the variation in exposure measured by age and intensity of an earthquake, we evaluate the impact of a 7.7 MW earthquake in Gujarat, India, on the health stock of children who were in utero or below three years. Using the India Human Development Survey data from 2004–05 and earthquake intensity data, we find an affected girl child to be shorter by at least 2.5 cm at the age of 3–6 years. The earthquake seems to have destroyed the household infrastructures and health facilities, affecting the expecting mothers and newborn children. The households using services to meet nutritional needs of children and pregnant women seem to be least affected. Our findings recommend faster reconstruction activities and highlight the importance of universal healthcare and nutritional delivery services to mitigate the impacts of early-life shocks.
人们发现,早年遭受极端冲击会对成年产生持久影响。利用按年龄和地震强度测量的暴露量变化,我们评估了印度古吉拉特邦7.7兆瓦地震对子宫内或三岁以下儿童健康状况的影响。利用2004年至2005年印度人类发展调查数据和地震强度数据,我们发现受影响的女童在3-6岁时至少矮2.5厘米。地震似乎摧毁了家庭基础设施和卫生设施,影响了孕妇和新生儿。使用服务来满足儿童和孕妇营养需求的家庭似乎受到的影响最小。我们的研究结果建议加快重建活动,并强调普及医疗保健和营养提供服务的重要性,以减轻早期生活冲击的影响。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Environment and Development Economics
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