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So different and yet so alike: A comparative analysis of firms' connectedness in the stock and corporate bond markets 如此不同,却又如此相似:股票市场和公司债券市场中公司关联性的比较分析
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12488
Renaud Beaupain, Stephanie Heck

We study firms' return and volatility connectedness in the stock and corporate bond markets. Our approach to capturing firm-specific return and volatility time series in the corporate bond market is based on a repeat-sales index at the firm level. Measuring the pairwise connectedness of firms, we show that the two markets share similar dynamics in the connectedness of their firms. Firms tend to cluster within their own sectors and ties between firms in the corporate bond market are proportionally weaker. Financial firms play a critical role in the propagation of shocks, but this role differs markedly in the two markets.

我们研究股票市场和公司债券市场中公司回报率和波动率的关联性。我们基于公司层面的重复销售指数来捕捉公司债券市场中特定公司的收益和波动时间序列。通过衡量企业的成对关联度,我们发现两个市场的企业关联度具有相似的动态性。企业倾向于在自己的行业内集聚,而公司债券市场中企业之间的联系则相对较弱。金融公司在冲击的传播中发挥着关键作用,但这一作用在两个市场中存在明显差异。
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引用次数: 0
Spillovers of PE investments PE 投资的溢出效应
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-26 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12492
Huynh S. Truong, Uwe Walz

We investigate a potential primary effect of leveraged buyouts (LBOs) by private equity (PE) on peers in the same industry using data on US public-to-private LBO transactions between 1985 and 2016. We use a network-based instrumental variable approach to account for potential endogeneity concerns. Our findings indicate that the LBOs by PEs matter for peer firms' performance and corporate strategy relative to nonpeer firms. Our study supports a learning factor hypothesis, but we find no evidence to support the conjecture that peers lose due to the increased competitiveness of the LBO target.

我们利用 1985 年至 2016 年间美国公转私的杠杆收购交易数据,研究了私募股权(PE)杠杆收购(LBO)对同行业同行的潜在主要影响。我们使用基于网络的工具变量方法来考虑潜在的内生性问题。我们的研究结果表明,相对于非同行企业,PE 的 LBO 对同行企业的业绩和公司战略有影响。我们的研究支持学习因素假说,但没有发现证据支持同行企业因 LBO 目标企业竞争力增强而蒙受损失的猜想。
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引用次数: 0
Benefit corporation certification and financial performance: Capital structure matters 福利公司认证和财务业绩:资本结构问题
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-14 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12489
Özlem Asma-Arikan, Onur Kemal Tosun

We are examining the impact of benefit corporation certification on the profitability of UK companies, taking into account their capital structure. We contribute to the literature that scrutinizes the financial ramifications of Benefit Corporation Certification. Analyzing UK Certified Benefit Corporations (CBCs) and their noncertified counterparts using a difference-in-differences analysis, we find that the performance of CBCs with a capital structure heavily weighted towards debt declines in comparison to non-CBCs, using Return on Assets as a measure of financial performance. Conversely, the performance of CBCs with a capital structure primarily composed of equity is comparable to that of non-CBCs.

考虑到英国公司的资本结构,我们正在研究福利公司认证对其盈利能力的影响。我们为研究福利公司认证的财务影响的文献做出了贡献。通过使用差异分析法对英国的认证福利公司(CBCs)和未获认证的同类公司进行分析,我们发现,以资产回报率作为财务业绩的衡量标准,资本结构中债务比重较大的 CBCs 的业绩与未获认证的 CBCs 相比有所下降。相反,资本结构主要由股权构成的商业公司的业绩与非商业公司相当。
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引用次数: 0
A success dressed as a failure? Evidence from post-IPO withdrawal outcomes in Europe 披着失败外衣的成功?欧洲首次公开募股后退出结果的证据
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12487
Pia Helbing, Brian M. Lucey

What happens to companies that file for an initial public offering (IPO), but withdraw and do not list? How long does the post-IPO outcome take? These questions are investigated by analysing market, firm and offer characteristics of 334 withdrawn IPOs in Europe between 2001 and 2015. The majority of withdrawn IPOs is engaged in M&A, only few file for a second time IPO. These post-IPO withdrawal outcomes happen shortly after the IPO filing. Private equity and venture capital-backed firms are more frequently engaging in M&A or trading. The evidence suggests that the IPO may be used as a marketing mechanism, being one of several alternatives of exit.

申请首次公开募股 (IPO) 但撤回申请且未上市的公司会怎样?上市后的结果需要多长时间?通过分析 2001 年至 2015 年间欧洲 334 家撤回首次公开募股的公司的市场、公司和发行特征,我们对这些问题进行了研究。大多数撤回的 IPO 都在进行并购,只有极少数申请第二次 IPO。这些首次公开募股后撤回的结果发生在首次公开募股申请后不久。私募股权和风险投资支持的公司更频繁地参与 M&A 或交易。证据表明,首次公开募股可能被用作一种营销机制,是退出的几种选择之一。
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引用次数: 0
Mortgage rates and credit risk: Evidence from mortgage pools 抵押贷款利率和信贷风险:来自抵押贷款池的证据
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12486
Gaetano Antinolfi, Celso Brunetti, Jay Im

In the 1990s, securitised subprime loans supported the growth of mortgage lending. We study the evolution of initial mortgage rates as a function of loan and borrower characteristics during 1992–2015. We compare the evolution of initial rates on securitised subprime mortgages with rates of prime privately securitised mortgages, mortgages securitised by government-sponsored enterprises, and nonsecuritised mortgages. Starting in 2003 the risk premium on subprime loans decreases until it disappears at the onset of the Global Financial Crisis. We find that loading factors on subprime rates are cointegrated with delinquencies and house price movements, providing evidence of the important role of the subprime market.

20 世纪 90 年代,证券化次级贷款支持了抵押贷款的增长。我们研究了 1992-2015 年间作为贷款和借款人特征函数的初始抵押贷款利率的演变。我们比较了证券化次级抵押贷款初始利率与优质私人证券化抵押贷款、政府资助企业证券化抵押贷款和非证券化抵押贷款初始利率的演变。从 2003 年开始,次级贷款的风险溢价下降,直到全球金融危机爆发时才消失。我们发现,次级贷款利率的加载因子与拖欠贷款和房价变动存在协整关系,这为次级贷款市场的重要作用提供了证据。
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引用次数: 0
Can quantitative investment improve market efficiency?—Evidence from China 量化投资能否提高市场效率?
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12485
Ruiqing Hu, Wang Xiang, Weinan Zheng, Keyu Zhou

We investigate the impact of quantitative investment on market efficiency in China. We provide an illustrative model to show that quantitative investment enhances market efficiency. Empirically, we conduct both time-series and cross-sectional analysis. Regarding the time series dimension, we construct QuantDegree to measure the level of quantitative investment. We find that the performance of most anomalies decreases as QuantDegree increases. In the cross-sectional dimension, we sort stocks into portfolios based on quant fund holdings and traditional anomalies. We find the anomaly return is lower within the groups with higher quant fund holdings, a result further confirmed by Fama–MacBeth regressions.

我们研究了量化投资对中国市场效率的影响。我们提供了一个说明性模型,表明量化投资提高了市场效率。在实证方面,我们进行了时间序列和横截面分析。在时间序列维度上,我们构建了量化程度(QuantDegree)来衡量量化投资的水平。我们发现,随着 QuantDegree 的增加,大多数异常的表现都会下降。在横截面维度上,我们根据量化基金的持股情况和传统异常点将股票分类为投资组合。我们发现,在量化基金持有量较高的组别中,异常股的回报率较低,这一结果在法玛-麦贝斯回归中得到了进一步证实。
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引用次数: 0
Geopolitical risk and global green bond market growth 地缘政治风险与全球绿色债券市场增长
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12484
Charilaos Mertzanis, Imen Tebourbi

Using individual transaction data, we investigate how geopolitical risk influences green bond issuance across 73 countries during 2008–2021. We consider deal characteristics, as well as economic and institutional factors. We find a positive association between geopolitical risk and green bond issuance. The effect shows nonlinearity and time delays. Our findings remain robust after conducting sensitivity and endogeneity analysis. After decomposing the geopolitical risk index, we discover that all its components have positive correlations with green bond issuance. Lastly, our study highlights the crucial role of the underwriters' network and specific geopolitical jurisdictions as drivers for global green bond market expansion.

利用单个交易数据,我们研究了 2008-2021 年间地缘政治风险如何影响 73 个国家的绿色债券发行。我们考虑了交易特征以及经济和制度因素。我们发现地缘政治风险与绿色债券发行之间存在正相关。该效应表现出非线性和时间延迟。在进行了敏感性和内生性分析后,我们的研究结果依然稳健。在对地缘政治风险指数进行分解后,我们发现其所有组成部分都与绿色债券发行呈正相关关系。最后,我们的研究强调了承销商网络和特定地缘政治辖区作为全球绿色债券市场扩张驱动力的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Bond return predictability: Macro factors and machine learning methods 债券回报的可预测性:宏观因素和机器学习方法
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12483
Ying Jiang, Xiaoquan Liu, Yirong Liu, Fumin Zhu

We investigate the impact of macroeconomic variables on bond risk premia prediction via machine learning techniques. On the basis of Chinese treasury bonds from March 2006 to December 2022, we show that adding macroeconomic factors improves bond return forecasts and generates higher economic benefits to investors. This is achieved when the nonlinear relationship between macroeconomic variables and bond returns is modelled via machine learning methods. Furthermore, the importance of macroeconomic determinants changes along the yield curve. Our study sheds new light on the information contained in macroeconomic variables for treasury bond valuation and highlights the importance of utilizing appropriate machine learning methods.

我们通过机器学习技术研究了宏观经济变量对债券风险溢价预测的影响。在 2006 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月中国国债的基础上,我们发现加入宏观经济因素可以改善债券收益预测,并为投资者带来更高的经济效益。通过机器学习方法对宏观经济变量和债券收益之间的非线性关系进行建模,可以实现这一目标。此外,宏观经济决定因素的重要性会随着收益曲线的变化而变化。我们的研究为宏观经济变量中包含的国债估值信息提供了新的启示,并强调了利用适当的机器学习方法的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Issue Information: European Financial Management 2/2024 发行信息:欧洲财务管理 2/2024
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12433
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引用次数: 0
Spillover in higher-order moments across carbon and energy markets: A portfolio view 碳和能源市场高阶矩的溢出效应:组合观点
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1111/eufm.12482
Rizwan Ahmed, Elie Bouri, Seyedmehdi Hosseini, Syed J. Hussain Shahzad

Motivated by the occurrence of extreme events and nonnormality of returns, we examine the spillovers among the conditional volatility, skewness and (excess) kurtosis of European Union allowances (EUA), Brent oil, natural gas, coal, electricity and clean energy markets. The jointly estimated spillover index in the system of the three higher-order moments is notably high, exceeding the spillover index estimated for each individual moment separately. This suggests that spillovers across moments in the carbon-energy system are important for the sake of completeness of the spillover analysis, and should not be ignored. The performance of the portfolio improves after considering higher-order moments.

受极端事件的发生和收益率非正态性的影响,我们研究了欧盟配额(EUA)、布伦特石油、天然气、煤炭、电力和清洁能源市场的条件波动率、偏度和(超)峰度之间的溢出效应。在三个高阶矩的系统中,联合估算的溢出指数明显较高,超过了对每个单独矩的溢出指数估算。这表明,碳-能源系统中不同时刻的溢出效应对于溢出效应分析的完整性非常重要,不应被忽视。考虑高阶时刻后,投资组合的绩效有所改善。
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European Financial Management
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