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Journal of Quantitative Criminology最新文献

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A Natural Experiment to Test the Effect of Sanction Certainty and Celerity on Substance-Impaired Driving: North Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety Program. 测试制裁确定性和快速性对药物受损驾驶影响的自然实验:北达科他州的全天候清醒计划。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-09-01 Epub Date: 2020-05-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-020-09458-6
Greg Midgette, Beau Kilmer, Nancy Nicosia, Paul Heaton

Objectives: Evaluate the deterrent effect of a program that increases the certainty and celerity of sanction for arrestees ordered to abstain from alcohol and other drugs on substance-impaired driving arrests.

Methods: We examine participant compliance with orders to abstain from alcohol and other drug use via breathalyzer, body-worn continuous alcohol monitoring (CAM) devices, transdermal drug patches, and urinalyses. We then evaluate the impact of the 24/7 Sobriety program on substance-impaired driving arrests. Using variation across counties in the timing of program implementation in North Dakota as a natural experiment, we use differences-in-differences fixed effects Poisson regressions to measure the program's effect on county-level arrests for substance-impaired driving.

Results: Over half of participants ordered to abstain from substance use complete 24/7 Sobriety without a detected substance use event. At the county level, the program is associated with a 9 percent reduction in substance-impaired driving arrests after accounting for the impact of oil exploration in the Bakken region, law enforcement intensity, alcohol availability, whether the state's large universities were in session, and socio-demographic characteristics.

Conclusions: The results suggest frequent monitoring combined with increased sanction celerity deters substance use-involved crime. While the results are generally consistent with an earlier study of 24/7 Sobriety in another state, differences in the study outcome measures and implementation choices across states make direct comparisons difficult. More can be learned by conducting randomized controlled trials that vary time on program, testing technology, and/or level of sanction.

目标:评估一项计划的威慑效果:评估一项计划的威慑效果,该计划提高了对被勒令戒酒和禁用其他药物的被捕者进行处罚的确定性和快速性,从而减少了因药物受损而导致的驾驶逮捕:我们通过呼气式酒精检测仪、随身携带的连续酒精监测(CAM)设备、透皮药物贴片和尿液分析,检查参与者遵守戒酒令和其他药物使用令的情况。然后,我们将评估全天候清醒计划对药物受损驾驶逮捕的影响。利用北达科他州各县在计划实施时间上的差异作为自然实验,我们使用差异固定效应泊松回归法来衡量该计划对县级药物受损驾驶逮捕率的影响:超过半数被勒令禁药的参与者在完成 "全天候清醒 "计划后没有发生被检测到的药物使用事件。在县一级,在考虑了巴肯地区石油勘探的影响、执法强度、酒精供应、州内大型大学是否开学以及社会人口特征后,该计划与药物受损驾驶逮捕率下降 9% 相关:结论:研究结果表明,频繁的监控与更快的制裁相结合,可以遏制与药物使用有关的犯罪。虽然研究结果与早先在另一个州进行的 "全天候清醒 "研究结果基本一致,但由于各州的研究结果衡量标准和实施选择不同,因此很难进行直接比较。通过开展随机对照试验,改变项目时间、测试技术和/或处罚水平,可以了解到更多信息。
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引用次数: 0
Hate in Word and Deed: The Temporal Association Between Online and Offline Islamophobia 言语和行为中的仇恨:线上和线下伊斯兰恐惧症之间的时间关联
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09530-9
Susann Wiedlitzka, G. Prati, Rupert Brown, Josh T Smith, M. Walters
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引用次数: 3
Is There a Long-Term Criminogenic Effect of the Exposure to a Paternal Conviction During Upbringing? An Analysis of Full Siblings Using Swedish Register Data 在成长过程中暴露于父亲的信念是否有长期的犯罪影响?利用瑞典登记资料分析全兄妹
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09529-2
Fredrik Sivertsson, Christoffer Carlsson, Andreas Hoherz
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引用次数: 1
Familial Clustering of Trends in Aggression 攻击倾向的家族聚类
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-08-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09523-8
Camiel M. van der Laan, S. V. D. van de Weijer, M. Nivard, D. Boomsma
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引用次数: 3
The Importance of Importance Sampling: Exploring Methods of Sampling from Alternatives in Discrete Choice Models of Crime Location Choice 重要性抽样的重要性:探讨犯罪地点选择离散选择模型的抽样方法
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-07-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09526-5
Sophie Curtis-Ham, W. Bernasco, O. Medvedev, D. Polaschek
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引用次数: 4
Statistical Power and Search Intensity Bias in Hit Rates Tests of Discrimination 判别命中率测试中的统计能力和搜索强度偏差
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-07-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09520-x
Alex Lundberg
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引用次数: 0
Restricting Arranged Marriage Opportunities for Danish Minority Youth: Implications for Criminal Convictions 限制丹麦少数民族青年包办婚姻的机会:对刑事定罪的启示
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09521-w
L. H. Andersen, S. H. Andersen, P. Skov
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引用次数: 1
Street Light Outages, Public Safety and Crime Attraction 路灯停电、公共安全和吸引犯罪
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-07-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09519-4
Aaron Chalfin, Jacob Kaplan, Michael LaForest
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引用次数: 7
Moral Rules, Self-Control, and School Context: Additional Evidence on Situational Action Theory from 28 Countries 道德规范、自我控制和学校环境:来自28个国家的情境行动理论的额外证据
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09503-y
Matthew Kafafian, Ekaterina V. Botchkovar, I. Marshall
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引用次数: 5
Impulsivity or Discounting? Evaluating the Influence of Individual Differences in Temporal Orientation on Offending 冲动还是折扣?评价时间取向的个体差异对犯罪行为的影响
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10940-021-09518-5
Chae M. Jaynes, Richard K. Moule, James T Hubbell, M. R. Santos
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Quantitative Criminology
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