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Robust Contracting Under Distributional Uncertainty 分布不确定性下的鲁棒收缩
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-28 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12780
Jiangtao Li, Kexin Wang

We study contract design when the principal has limited information about the output distributions induced by the agent's actions. In a baseline model where only the means are known, we show that increasing affine contracts are robustly optimal. The mean restrictions accommodate a wide range of output distributions, including extreme cases that help establish this optimality. We then extend the analysis to environments with additional constraints on the distributions. Our main result shows that the robust optimality of increasing affine contracts persists even when the principal knows more—for example, that each action induces a distribution with full support.

我们研究了当委托人对由代理人行为引起的产出分布信息有限时的契约设计。在只知道均值的基线模型中,我们表明增加仿射契约是鲁棒最优的。平均值限制适用于广泛的输出分布,包括有助于建立这种最优性的极端情况。然后,我们将分析扩展到对发行版有附加约束的环境。我们的主要结果表明,增加仿射契约的鲁棒最优性即使在主体知道更多的情况下仍然存在,例如,每个动作都会引起一个完全支持的分布。
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引用次数: 0
Bargaining Foundations for Price Taking in Matching Markets 匹配市场中价格接受的议价基础
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12776
Matthew Elliott, Eduard Talamàs

Agents make noncontractible investments before bargaining over who matches with whom and their terms of trade. An agent is a price taker when her investments do not change her potential partners' payoffs. This incentivizes socially optimal investments. Across a variety of noncooperative bargaining models featuring dynamic entry, we show that everyone necessarily becomes a price taker as the discount factor goes to 1 if there is a minimal amount of competition always present in the market. If this condition is not satisfied, dynamic entry need not create enough competition to guarantee price taking even if agents are arbitrarily patient.

在协商谁与谁匹配以及他们的贸易条件之前,代理人会进行非合同投资。当代理人的投资不会改变其潜在合作伙伴的收益时,代理人就是价格接受者。这激励了社会最优投资。通过多种具有动态进入特征的非合作议价模型,我们表明,如果市场上总是存在最小数量的竞争,那么当折扣因子趋于1时,每个人都必然成为价格接受者。如果这个条件不满足,动态进入就不需要产生足够的竞争来保证价格接受,即使代理商有任意的耐心。
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引用次数: 0
ISSUE INFORMATION - JIP 发布信息-跳跃
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12714
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引用次数: 0
Recombinant Innovation, Novel Ideas, and the Start of Nobel Prize–Winning Work 重组创新,新颖的想法,和诺贝尔获奖工作的开始
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12768
John C. Ham, Brian Quistorff, Bruce A. Weinberg

We draw on a recombinant view of innovation, where being in a new location and/or multiple locations leads to exposure to novel combinations of ideas that increase the creativity of top scientists. Using a rich, unique data set we helped assemble, we estimate the empirical relationship between being in a new location and/or multiple locations and the expected interval before an eventual Nobel laureate (ENL) commences their prize-winning work. We find that being in a new location and in multiple locations are substantially and significantly associated with a shorter expected interval before ENLs commence their prize-winning work.

我们借鉴了重组创新的观点,即在一个新的地方和/或多个地方可以接触到新的想法组合,从而提高顶尖科学家的创造力。使用我们帮助收集的丰富而独特的数据集,我们估计了在一个新地点和/或多个地点与最终诺贝尔奖获得者(ENL)开始他们的获奖工作之前的预期间隔之间的经验关系。我们发现,在一个新的地方和多个地方,在enl开始他们的获奖工作之前的预期间隔更短,这在本质上和显著相关。
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引用次数: 0
Life-Cycle Wage Growth and Internal Migration 生命周期工资增长与内部迁移
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12775
Alberto Rivera-Padilla

I document new facts on life-cycle wage growth within three countries: Brazil, Mexico, and the United States. In every case, I find that experience–wage profiles are steeper in rich states. Differences in education and industry mix can account for a large share of the covariance between income and profile steepness in both developing countries, while differences in occupations are key in every case. Using a general equilibrium model, I estimate meaningful productivity gains from inducing migration to places with better learning environment and find that migration costs are important in explaining cross-country differences in life-cycle wage growth.

我记录了三个国家(巴西、墨西哥和美国)生命周期工资增长的新事实。在每一种情况下,我都发现经验-工资曲线在富裕的州更为陡峭。在这两个发展中国家,教育和行业组合的差异可以解释收入和轮廓陡度之间协方差的很大一部分,而职业的差异在任何情况下都是关键。使用一般均衡模型,我估计了通过诱导迁移到具有更好学习环境的地方而获得的有意义的生产率收益,并发现迁移成本在解释生命周期工资增长的跨国差异方面很重要。
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引用次数: 0
The Unemployment-Risk Channel in Business-Cycle Fluctuations 经济周期波动中的失业风险通道
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12773
Tobias Broer, Jeppe Druedahl, Karl Harmenberg, Erik Öberg

The unemployment-risk channel (URC) amplifies an initial contraction through a reduction in consumption demand by workers who fear unemployment. Crucial for this are the dynamics of job separations and firm hiring. In US data, the job-finding rate responds slower to identified macroeconomic shocks than the separation rate, but accounts for a similar share of the unemployment response. We calibrate a tractable heterogeneous-agent new-Keynesian model with endogenous separations and sluggish vacancy creation to match these facts. The share of output fluctuations due to the URC is twice as large as in a standard model with exogenous separations and free entry.

失业风险通道(URC)通过担心失业的工人减少消费需求来放大最初的收缩。对这一点至关重要的是离职和公司招聘的动态。在美国的数据中,与离职率相比,求职率对确定的宏观经济冲击的反应较慢,但在失业反应中所占的份额相似。我们用内生分离和缓慢的空缺创造校准了一个可处理的异质代理新凯恩斯模型来匹配这些事实。URC造成的产出波动份额是具有外生分离和自由进入的标准模型的两倍。
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引用次数: 0
Home and School in the Development of Children 儿童发展中的家庭与学校
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-28 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12774
Francesco Agostinelli, Morteza Saharkhiz, Matthew Wiswall

We develop an empirical framework integrating Child Development and Education Production Function literature. It accounts for classroom and parental influences, skill measurement issues, and cognitive/noncognitive interactions. Both home and school investments shape children's skills by kindergarten, with low-skill children benefiting most from improvements. While classrooms are generally more productive, reducing disparities in home investments is more effective in closing income-related skill gaps. This stems from greater inequality in home investments than in school quality across socioeconomic groups.

我们开发了一个整合儿童发展和教育生产函数文献的实证框架。它解释了课堂和父母的影响、技能测量问题和认知/非认知互动。从幼儿园开始,家庭和学校的投资都会塑造孩子的技能,低技能的孩子从改善中受益最多。虽然教室通常更有成效,但减少家庭投资方面的差距在缩小与收入相关的技能差距方面更有效。这源于不同社会经济群体在住房投资方面的不平等大于学校质量方面的不平等。
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引用次数: 0
The Fed's Discount Window in “Normal” Times “正常”时期美联储的贴现窗口
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12772
Huberto M. Ennis, Elizabeth Klee

We study banks' use of the Fed's discount window during a time of relative calm in financial markets. We merge transaction-level data on discount window borrowings with quarterly bank balance sheet information between 2010 and 2019. We develop a model of the borrowing decisions of banks and contrast its implications with the data. In line with the model, we find that discount window borrowing is tightly linked to the composition of banks' balance sheets. Importantly, banks holding less reserves are more likely to borrow from the discount window, as are banks with more expensive and fragile liabilities, and less marketable collateral.

我们研究了银行在金融市场相对平静时期对美联储贴现窗口的使用。我们将贴现窗口借款的交易级数据与2010年至2019年的季度银行资产负债表信息合并。我们开发了一个银行借贷决策的模型,并将其与数据进行了对比。根据模型,我们发现贴现窗口借款与银行资产负债表的构成密切相关。重要的是,持有较少准备金的银行更有可能从贴现窗口借款,负债更昂贵、更脆弱、抵押品更少的银行也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Social Preferences Over Taste-Based Inequality 品味不平等的社会偏好
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12770
Rachelle Cohen, Amnon Maltz, Yuval Ofek-Shanny

Many economic allocation decisions involve subjective judgment. This judgment may be perceived as fair when needs are considered but may seem unjust in cases of personal-taste discrimination. In an experimental impartial-spectator design, we explore perceptions of taste-based inequality and compare them to attitudes toward inequalities grounded in objective procedures, namely, merit and luck. We find that while taste-based inequality is perceived distinctly, it is treated as unfair, similar to luck and unlike merit. Additionally, our work suggests that the perception of merit as more fair than luck is primarily driven by individuals with above-average income.

许多经济分配决策涉及主观判断。当考虑到需求时,这种判断可能被认为是公平的,但在个人品味歧视的情况下,这种判断可能看起来不公平。在一个实验性的公正旁观者设计中,我们探索了基于品味的不平等的看法,并将其与基于客观程序(即功绩和运气)的不平等态度进行了比较。我们发现,尽管人们明显感觉到基于品味的不平等,但它被认为是不公平的,类似于运气,而不同于功绩。此外,我们的研究表明,认为优点比运气更公平的观念主要是由收入高于平均水平的个人驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer Bankruptcy, Mortgage Default, and Labor Supply 消费者破产、抵押贷款违约和劳动力供应
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1111/iere.12771
Wenli Li, Costas Meghir, Florian Oswald

We specify and estimate a life-cycle model of consumption, housing demand, and labor supply in an environment where individuals can file for bankruptcy and/or default on their mortgages in the presence of house price shock, income shock, and catastrophic expenditure events. A key feature of the model is that individuals differ by education, which dictates their income process and preference. We estimate the model using data on credit reports and mortgages combined with Census data. Our model demonstrates that current bankruptcy and foreclosure laws have significant distributional impact. Specifically, Chapter 7 bankruptcy benefits low educated individuals but imposes large welfare costs on those with high education. Chapter 13 bankruptcy also benefits the low education group and affects the high education group little. Recourse laws, by contrast, are costly to low education groups, but beneficial to the high education group.

在房价冲击、收入冲击和灾难性支出事件存在的情况下,个人可以申请破产和/或拖欠抵押贷款,我们指定并估计了消费、住房需求和劳动力供给的生命周期模型。该模型的一个关键特征是,个人受教育程度不同,这决定了他们的收入过程和偏好。我们使用信用报告和抵押贷款数据以及人口普查数据来估计模型。我们的模型表明,当前的破产法和止赎法具有显著的分配影响。具体来说,破产法第7章使受教育程度低的个人受益,但对受教育程度高的人施加了巨大的福利成本。第13章破产对低学历群体也有利,对高学历群体影响不大。相比之下,追索权法律对低学历群体来说代价高昂,但对高学历群体有利。
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International Economic Review
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