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The social foundations of racial inequalities in arrest over the life course and in changing times 在不断变化的时代,种族不平等现象在整个生命过程中的社会基础
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12374
Robert J. Sampson, Roland Neil

Although racial disparities in criminal justice contact are long-standing and the subject of continuing public debate, few studies have linked early-life social conditions to racial disparities in arrest over the life course and in changing times. In this article, we advance and test a theoretical model of racial inequality in long-term arrest histories on a representative sample of nearly 1,000 individuals from multiple birth cohorts in the Project on Human Development in Chicago Neighborhoods. Large Black–White disparities in arrests from ages 10 to 40 arise from racial inequalities in exposure to cumulative childhood advantages and disadvantages rather than from race-specific effects. Smaller but meaningful Hispanic–White gaps follow a similar pattern, and the same explanations of racial disparities hold across different offense types and across birth cohorts who came of age at different times during 1995 to 2021. These findings indicate that inequalities in early-life structural factors, which themselves are historically shaped, trigger processes of cumulative advantage and disadvantage that produce racial disparities in arrests over the life course and that persist across different points in contemporary history.

尽管刑事司法接触中的种族差异由来已久,也是公众持续讨论的主题,但很少有研究将生命早期的社会条件与生命过程中和不断变化的时代中的逮捕种族差异联系起来。在这篇文章中,我们以芝加哥街区人类发展项目(Project on Human Development in Chicago Neighborhoods)中多个出生队列的近千名代表性样本为研究对象,推进并验证了长期逮捕史中种族不平等的理论模型。从 10 岁到 40 岁,黑人和白人在逮捕记录上的巨大差异来自于种族在童年累积的优势和劣势方面的不平等,而不是种族特有的影响。西班牙裔与白人之间的差距虽然较小,但却具有重要意义,而且在不同的犯罪类型中,以及在 1995 年至 2021 年期间处于不同年龄段的出生组群中,对种族差异的解释也是相同的。这些研究结果表明,生命早期结构性因素的不平等(这些因素本身是由历史形成的)引发了优势和劣势的累积过程,在整个生命过程中产生了逮捕方面的种族差异,并且在当代历史的不同时期持续存在。
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引用次数: 0
Reframing the debate on legal financial obligations and crime: How accruing monetary sanctions impacts recidivism 重构关于法定财务义务和犯罪的辩论:累积金钱制裁如何影响累犯行为
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12375
Michael Ostermann, Nathan W. Link, Jordan M. Hyatt

Legal financial obligations (LFOs) associated with justice system involvement are increasingly a focus for policymakers and researchers seeking to understand sources of inequality and the factors that promote successful reentry. These conversations often rely on an assumption that LFOs are associated with or may even drive higher rates of recidivism. The empirical research in this area, however, has not kept up with the growing strength of these claims. This study reports findings that may offer a new perspective and contribute to an evidence-based debate. Multisourced administrative data on all individuals released from carceral supervision in an East Coast state (N = 21,301) over 3 years are used to examine the complex relationship between criminal justice debt and reoffending. We detail the results of survival analyses estimating the impact of these debts on various forms of recidivism. Broadly, we find that even though the relationship between case-level LFO assessments and future offending did not reach statistical significance, the association with the cumulative effect of monetary sanctions over the life course did. Furthermore, the impact of LFO debt is greater for certain racial groups, supporting theoretical and practical inquiries into factors informing structural disadvantage. Implications for policy and future research are considered.

与司法系统参与相关的法定财务义务(LFOs)日益成为政策制定者和研究人员的关注焦点,他们试图了解不平等的根源以及促进成功重返社会的因素。这些讨论往往基于这样一种假设,即法律经济义务与较高的累犯率相关联,甚至可能导致较高的累犯率。然而,这一领域的实证研究并没有跟上这些说法日益增强的力度。本研究报告的发现可能会提供一个新的视角,并有助于基于证据的辩论。本研究使用了东海岸某州 3 年内所有从监禁监管中释放人员(N = 21,301 人)的多源行政数据,以研究刑事司法债务与再犯罪之间的复杂关系。我们详细介绍了估算这些债务对各种形式累犯影响的生存分析结果。总体而言,我们发现,尽管个案层面的 LFO 评估与未来犯罪之间的关系未达到统计显著性,但与整个生命过程中金钱制裁的累积效应之间的关系却达到了统计显著性。此外,LFO 债务对某些种族群体的影响更大,这支持了对结构性不利因素的理论和实践探索。研究还考虑了对政策和未来研究的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Macro-historical influences, cohort dynamics, and the (in)stability of the age–crime distribution: The case of the Republic of Korea 宏观历史影响、组群动态和犯罪年龄分布的(不)稳定性:大韩民国的案例
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12373
Byunggu Kang, Matt Vogel

Crime is often considered a behavior of teenagers and young adults, peaking in adolescence, and declining with age. A growing body of research, however, has demonstrated that the age–crime relationship is neither universal, as the contours of the age–crime distribution vary across countries, nor uniform, as it varies over time. We argue that the dynamics of the age–crime relationship can best be understood through a lens situating birth cohorts within the broader sociohistorical contexts in which they enter their formative years. We apply this framework to the Republic of Korea, a country that has experienced rapid demographic transitions accompanied by decades of economic development and social upheaval after the Korean War. Our findings suggest that the age–crime distribution in Korea has shifted substantially since the mid-1970s, moving from the quintessential age–crime curve characteristic of Western countries to one in which the modal age at arrest is now concentrated in middle age. We find that much of this change can be attributed to the aging of a specific birth cohort—the 86 generation—whose members were dually disadvantaged by being born during a fertility boom and entering young adulthood during the pro-democracy student movements in the 1980s.

犯罪通常被认为是青少年和年轻成年人的行为,在青春期达到顶峰,并随着年龄的增长而下降。然而,越来越多的研究表明,年龄与犯罪的关系既不具有普遍性,因为不同国家的年龄与犯罪的分布轮廓各不相同;也不具有统一性,因为它随着时间的推移而变化。我们认为,要理解年龄与犯罪之间的动态关系,最好从一个视角出发,将出生组群置于他们进入成长期的更广泛的社会历史背景中。我们将这一框架应用于大韩民国,该国经历了快速的人口结构转型,同时在朝鲜战争后经历了数十年的经济发展和社会动荡。我们的研究结果表明,自 20 世纪 70 年代中期以来,韩国的犯罪年龄分布发生了重大变化,从西方国家特有的典型犯罪年龄曲线转变为现在被捕年龄集中在中年的曲线。我们发现,这种变化在很大程度上可归因于特定出生组群--"86 世代"--的老龄化。"86 世代 "的成员在生育高峰期出生,又在 20 世纪 80 年代民主学生运动期间步入青年期,因此处于双重不利地位。
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引用次数: 0
Firearms, policy, and intimate partner homicide: A structural and disaggregated examination of Black, Latina, and White female victimization 枪支、政策和亲密伴侣杀人案:对黑人、拉丁裔和白人女性受害情况的结构性分类研究
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12372
Andrew C. Gray, Katherine Kafonek, Karen F. Parker

Intimate partner homicide (IPH) continues to be a form of violence disproportionately affecting women in the United States, and access to firearms can greatly increase the likelihood that intimate partner violence becomes lethal. In response to concerns about firearms violence and their prevalence in IPH incidents specifically, states have passed restrictive firearms laws and policies. In this study, we provide an analysis of female IPH victimization disaggregated by race/ethnicity that incorporates state-level firearms legislation. Our analytical approach is informed by intersectionality and accounts for other key intimate partner violence policies and structural predictors. We find that the relationship between firearms legislation and IPH varies in magnitude and direction across specific race/ethnicity female victimization groups. As such, our findings provide support for an intersectional framework in that restrictive firearms laws are not consistently associated with lower levels of IPH when incidents are disaggregated by gender and race/ethnicity.

在美国,亲密伴侣杀人(IPH)仍然是一种对妇女造成严重影响的暴力形式,而获得枪支会大大增加亲密伴侣暴力致死的可能性。为了回应人们对枪支暴力以及枪支在亲密伴侣暴力事件中普遍存在的担忧,各州纷纷通过了限制枪支的法律和政策。在本研究中,我们结合各州的枪支立法,对按种族/民族分列的女性亲密伴侣暴力受害情况进行了分析。我们的分析方法以交叉性为基础,并考虑了其他关键的亲密伴侣暴力政策和结构性预测因素。我们发现,在特定种族/民族的女性受害群体中,枪支立法与亲密伴侣暴力之间的关系在程度和方向上都有所不同。因此,我们的研究结果为交叉性框架提供了支持,即当事件按性别和种族/民族分类时,限制性枪支法并不总是与较低水平的 IPH 相关联。
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引用次数: 0
Creating a minority threat: Assessing the spillover effect of local immigrant detention on Hispanic arrests 制造少数民族威胁:评估当地移民拘留对西班牙裔被捕者的溢出效应
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12367
Ashley N. Muchow

Amid punitive shifts in crime and immigration control during the 1980s and 1990s, Hispanic individuals comprised a growing share of the population confined in U.S. prisons and jails. Although it is widely acknowledged that the nation's wars on crime and drugs contributed to higher rates of minority arrest, limited empirical research has examined whether the merging of immigration control with criminal justice practice during this period intensified these disparities. This article uses county-level arrest data from California between 1980 and 2004 to investigate whether intergovernmental service agreements (IGSAs) leasing jail space for immigrant detention increased rates of Hispanic arrest. Employing a quasi-experimental design that leverages the staggered adoption of IGSAs across counties, this study finds that these agreements increased rates of Hispanic arrest but had no discernible impact on arrest rates for White or Black residents. Supplemental analyses reveal that these increases were driven by misdemeanor arrests and were particularly pronounced in counties where the Hispanic population comprised between 11 and 22 percent. These findings suggest that IGSAs may trigger minority threat concerns that increase arrests, shedding additional light on Hispanic representation in the criminal justice system.

20 世纪 80 年代和 90 年代,在犯罪和移民控制的惩罚性转变中,西语裔美国人在美国监狱和囚禁人口中所占的比例越来越大。尽管人们普遍认为,国家对犯罪和毒品的战争导致了少数族裔被捕率的上升,但对这一时期移民控制与刑事司法实践的结合是否加剧了这些差异的实证研究却十分有限。本文利用 1980 年至 2004 年间加利福尼亚州的县级逮捕数据,调查政府间服务协议(IGSA)是否会增加西语裔被捕率。本研究采用准实验设计,利用各县交错采用政府间服务协议的特点,发现这些协议提高了西班牙裔居民的逮捕率,但对白人或黑人居民的逮捕率没有明显影响。补充分析表明,这些增长是由轻罪逮捕推动的,在西班牙裔人口占 11% 至 22% 的县尤其明显。这些研究结果表明,综合全面安全评估可能会引发对少数族裔威胁的担忧,从而增加逮捕人数,并进一步揭示了西班牙裔在刑事司法系统中的代表性。
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引用次数: 0
Pulling back the veil of darkness: A proposed road map to disentangle racial disparities in traffic stops, a research note 揭开黑暗的面纱:研究报告:消除交通拦截中种族差异的拟议路线图
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12366
Jedidiah L. Knode, Scott E. Wolfe, Travis M. Carter

The veil of darkness (VOD) is a practical and rigorous methodology for examining racial disparities in police traffic stop behavior. Past research, however, has been littered with methodological inconsistencies inhibiting cross-study comparison and decisions regarding policy. Accordingly, we clarify four aspects of its implementation: 1) coding daylight, our treatment condition; 2) constructing an intertwilight period; 3) accounting for seasonal differences in driving or patrol patterns; and 4) modeling VOD multivariable regression equations. We discuss the theoretical and practical implications of methodological decisions as they pertain to the method's functionality as a natural experiment. Furthermore, we propose a novel weighting procedure to account for seasonal driving population differences. We examined more than 50,000 traffic stops conducted by Michigan State Police during 2021 to demonstrate our suggested framework for future analyses.

黑暗面纱(VOD)是一种实用而严谨的方法,用于研究警察拦截交通行为中的种族差异。然而,过去的研究在方法上存在诸多不一致之处,妨碍了跨研究比较和政策决策。因此,我们从四个方面对该方法的实施进行了说明:1)对日光(我们的处理条件)进行编码;2)构建黄昏间时段;3)考虑驾驶或巡逻模式的季节性差异;4)建立 VOD 多变量回归方程模型。我们讨论了方法决定的理论和实践意义,因为它们涉及到该方法作为自然实验的功能。此外,我们还提出了一种新的加权程序,以考虑季节性驾驶人群的差异。我们研究了密歇根州警方在 2021 年期间进行的 50,000 多次交通拦截,以展示我们建议的未来分析框架。
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引用次数: 0
Urban greenspace and neighborhood crime 城市绿地与邻里犯罪
IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12365
James C. Wo, Ethan M. Rogers

Urban greenspace (UGS) has been recently linked to public safety. Criminologists, however, have been largely absent from the discussion about this association, despite having important theoretical tools and empirical findings to contribute. In the current study, we review the prominent criminological perspectives that may be used to explain the association between UGS and crime. Furthermore, we draw from prior work to extend beyond the question of whether UGS affects crime to the more crucial question of when it does. Using a sample of block groups in Washington, D.C., we examine the association between two measures of UGS—tree canopy coverage and noncanopy vegetation coverage—and violent and property crime. We also assess the moderating effects of antecedents to social disorganization (poverty and homeownership) on the association between UGS and crime. Our results suggest that both types of UGS are associated with fewer crimes, even while controlling for a range of criminogenic factors. The effects of tree canopy coverage appear to be crime general, while the effects of noncanopy vegetation coverage only apply to violent crime. The effects of tree canopy, however, are weaker in communities characterized by high levels of poverty and low levels of homeownership.

城市绿地(UGS)最近与公共安全联系在一起。然而,尽管犯罪学家拥有重要的理论工具和实证研究成果,但他们在很大程度上并没有参与有关这种关联的讨论。在本研究中,我们回顾了可用于解释 UGS 与犯罪之间联系的著名犯罪学观点。此外,我们还借鉴了之前的研究成果,从 UGS 是否会影响犯罪的问题延伸到更关键的问题,即何时会影响犯罪。我们以华盛顿特区的街区为样本,研究了 UGS 的两个测量指标--树冠覆盖率和非树冠植被覆盖率--与暴力犯罪和财产犯罪之间的关联。我们还评估了社会无序化的前因(贫困和房屋所有权)对 UGS 与犯罪之间关系的调节作用。我们的结果表明,即使在控制了一系列犯罪因素的情况下,两种类型的 UGS 都与较少的犯罪有关。树冠覆盖率的影响似乎具有犯罪的普遍性,而非树冠植被覆盖率的影响仅适用于暴力犯罪。不过,在贫困率高和住房拥有率低的社区,树冠的影响较弱。
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引用次数: 0
Degrees of difference: Do college credentials earned behind bars improve labor market outcomes? 差异程度:在狱中获得的大学文凭能改善劳动力市场的结果吗?
IF 5.8 1区 社会学 Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12364
Abby Ballou

It is widely held that providing postsecondary education programs to incarcerated individuals will improve postrelease labor market outcomes. Little research evidence exists, however, to support this view. To test the effect of postsecondary carceral education credentials on employer perceptions of hireability, the current study uses a factorial design to survey a sample of employers nationwide (N = 2,538). Employers were presented with résumés of fictional applicants applying to a job as a customer service representative at a large call center. The résumés randomized education credentials earned while incarcerated. Results indicate that employers were significantly more willing to interview applicants with postsecondary education credentials relative to applicants with only a General Educational Development (GED) diploma. Although Black applicants who had earned a sub-baccalaureate certificate saw improvements in hireability relative to GED holders, Black applicants who had earned a bachelor's degree did not. In contrast, White applicants benefited both from sub-baccalaureate certificates and bachelor's degrees. Results from a mediation analysis suggest that these credentials signal important information to employers about applicant attributes and that improved perceptions of applicant ability and likelihood to reoffend drive the overall effect. Implications for future research and policy are explored.

人们普遍认为,为被监禁者提供中学后教育计划将改善释放后的劳动力市场成果。然而,支持这一观点的研究证据却很少。为了检验中学后监禁教育证书对雇主可雇佣性看法的影响,本研究采用因子设计,对全国范围内的雇主(N = 2,538)进行了抽样调查。研究人员向雇主展示了应聘大型呼叫中心客服代表职位的虚构求职者的简历。简历中随机列出了在监禁期间获得的教育证书。结果表明,与只有普通教育发展(GED)文凭的求职者相比,雇主明显更愿意面试拥有高等教育文凭的求职者。虽然与普通教育文凭持有者相比,获得副学士学位证书的黑人求职者的可雇佣性有所提高,但获得学士学位的黑人求职者的可雇佣性并没有提高。与此相反,白人申请者从学士学位证书和学士学位中都能获益。中介分析的结果表明,这些证书向雇主传递了有关申请者特质的重要信息,而对申请者能力和再犯罪可能性看法的改善则推动了整体效果的提高。本文探讨了对未来研究和政策的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Homicides involving Black victims are less likely to be cleared in the United States 在美国,涉及黑人受害者的凶杀案不太可能被排除嫌疑
IF 5.8 1区 社会学 Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12362
Gian Maria Campedelli

Does a victim's race explain variation in the likelihood of homicide clearance? Attempts to address this issue date back to the 1970s. Yet, despite its theoretical and policy relevance, we lack a comprehensive and clear empirical answer to this critical question. Here, I causally focus on this problem by investigating racial disparity in homicide clearance in the United States, exploiting two sources covering the 1991–2020 period: the Murder Accountability Project data set (N = 522,278) and the National Incident-Based Reporting System data set (N = 98,677). I primarily analyze these sources by employing exact matching to achieve perfect covariate balance and subsequently isolate the effect of race on the probability of clearance. For comparative purposes, I also use regression adjustment without matching obtaining complementary estimates. I demonstrate that the likelihood of clearance is 3.4 to 4.8 percent lower for homicides involving Black victims, depending on the sampling and estimation approach. In addition, I empirically show that this race effect is slightly higher for males and that racial disparity has moderately but significantly increased over time. These findings contribute to the extensive amount of evidence on discrimination affecting Black individuals in the administration of justice in the United States, calling for structural efforts to reduce this divide.

受害者的种族能否解释凶杀案破案可能性的差异?解决这一问题的尝试可以追溯到 20 世纪 70 年代。然而,尽管这一问题在理论和政策上都具有相关性,但我们却缺乏对这一关键问题的全面而明确的实证答案。在此,笔者通过调查美国凶杀案破案率的种族差异,利用两个涵盖 1991-2020 年的数据来源:谋杀问责项目数据集(N = 522278)和国家事件报告系统数据集(N = 98677),从因果关系上关注这一问题。我主要通过精确匹配来分析这些数据源,以实现完美的协变量平衡,然后分离出种族对破案概率的影响。为了进行比较,我还使用了不匹配的回归调整,以获得补充估计值。我证明,根据不同的抽样和估计方法,涉及黑人受害者的凶杀案的破案概率要低 3.4% 到 4.8%。此外,我还通过实证研究表明,这种种族效应对男性的影响略高,而且随着时间的推移,种族差异有适度但显著的增加。这些发现为美国司法中影响黑人个人的歧视提供了大量证据,呼吁采取结构性措施来减少这种鸿沟。
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引用次数: 0
When police pull back: Neighborhood‐level effects of de‐policing on violent and property crime, a research note 当警察撤离时:解除警力对暴力犯罪和财产犯罪的街区级影响,研究说明
IF 5.8 1区 社会学 Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.1111/1745-9125.12363
Justin Nix, Jessica Huff, Scott E. Wolfe, D. Pyrooz, Scott M. Mourtgos
Many U.S. cities witnessed both de‐policing and increased crime in 2020, yet whether the former contributed to the latter remains unclear. Indeed, much of what is known about the effects of proactive policing on crime comes from studies that evaluated highly focused interventions atypical of day‐to‐day policing, used cities as the unit of analysis, or could not rule out endogeneity. This study addresses each of these issues, thereby advancing the evidence base concerning the effects of policing on crime. Leveraging two exogenous shocks presented by the onset of the coronavirus 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic and social unrest after the murder of George Floyd, we evaluated the effects of sudden and sustained reductions in high‐discretion policing on crime at the neighborhood level in Denver, Colorado. Multilevel models accounting for trends in prior police activity, neighborhood structure, seasonality, and population mobility revealed mixed results. On the one hand, large‐scale reductions in stops and drug‐related arrests were associated with significant increases in violent and property crimes, respectively. On the other hand, fewer disorder arrests did not affect crime. These results were not universal across neighborhoods. We discuss the implications of these findings in light of debates concerning the appropriate role of policing in the 21st century.
2020 年,美国许多城市都出现了治安减弱和犯罪率上升的情况,但前者是否导致了后者的发生仍不清楚。事实上,有关主动警务对犯罪影响的大部分已知研究都来自于对非典型日常警务的高度集中干预措施的评估、以城市为分析单位或无法排除内生性的研究。本研究解决了这些问题,从而推进了警务对犯罪影响的证据基础。利用 2019 年冠状病毒(COVID-19)大流行和乔治-弗洛伊德谋杀案后的社会动荡这两种外生冲击,我们评估了科罗拉多州丹佛市在邻里层面突然和持续减少高度谨慎的治安管理对犯罪的影响。考虑到先前警务活动趋势、邻里结构、季节性和人口流动性的多层次模型显示了好坏参半的结果。一方面,大规模减少拦截和与毒品有关的逮捕分别与暴力犯罪和财产犯罪的显著增加有关。另一方面,较少的无序逮捕并不影响犯罪率。这些结果在各个社区并不普遍。我们将根据 21 世纪警务工作的适当角色这一争论来讨论这些发现的意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Criminology
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