Statistical Analysis and Data Mining最新文献

This paper presents a detailed survival analysis for chronic kidney disease (CKD). The analysis is based on the EHR data comprising almost two decades of clinical observations collected at New York-Presbyterian, a large hospital in New York City with one of the oldest electronic health records in the United States. Our survival analysis approach centers around Bayesian multiresolution hazard modeling, with an objective to capture the changing hazard of CKD over time, adjusted for patient clinical covariates and kidney-related laboratory tests. Special attention is paid to statistical issues common to all EHR data, such as cohort definition, missing data and censoring, variable selection, and potential for joint survival and longitudinal modeling, all of which are discussed alone and within the EHR CKD context.

Identifying genetic variants associated with complex disease in high-dimensional data is a challenging problem, and complicated etiologies such as gene-gene interactions are often ignored in analyses. The data-mining method Random Forests (RF) can handle high-dimensions; however, in high-dimensional data, RF is not an effective filter for identifying risk factors associated with the disease trait via complex genetic models such as gene-gene interactions without strong marginal components. Here we propose an extension called Weighted Random Forests (wRF), which incorporates tree-level weights to emphasize more accurate trees in prediction and calculation of variable importance. We demonstrate through simulation and application to data from a genetic study of addiction that wRF can outperform RF in high-dimensional data, although the improvements are modest and limited to situations with effect sizes that are larger than what is realistic in genetics of complex disease. Thus, the current implementation of wRF is unlikely to improve detection of relevant predictors in high-dimensional genetic data, but may be applicable in other situations where larger effect sizes are anticipated.

An important task in personalized medicine is to predict disease risk based on a person's genome, e.g. on a large number of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) make SNP and phenotype data available to researchers. A critical question for researchers is how to best predict disease risk. Penalized regression equipped with variable selection, such as LASSO and SCAD, is deemed to be promising in this setting. However, the sparsity assumption taken by the LASSO, SCAD and many other penalized regression techniques may not be applicable here: it is now hypothesized that many common diseases are associated with many SNPs with small to moderate effects. In this article, we use the GWAS data from the Wellcome Trust Case Control Consortium (WTCCC) to investigate the performance of various unpenalized and penalized regression approaches under true sparse or non-sparse models. We find that in general penalized regression outperformed unpenalized regression; SCAD, TLP and LASSO performed best for sparse models, while elastic net regression was the winner, followed by ridge, TLP and LASSO, for non-sparse models.

High-dimensional data common in genomics, proteomics, and chemometrics often contains complicated correlation structures. Recently, partial least squares (PLS) and Sparse PLS methods have gained attention in these areas as dimension reduction techniques in the context of supervised data analysis. We introduce a framework for Regularized PLS by solving a relaxation of the SIMPLS optimization problem with penalties on the PLS loadings vectors. Our approach enjoys many advantages including flexibility, general penalties, easy interpretation of results, and fast computation in high-dimensional settings. We also outline extensions of our methods leading to novel methods for non-negative PLS and generalized PLS, an adoption of PLS for structured data. We demonstrate the utility of our methods through simulations and a case study on proton Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR) spectroscopy data.

Joint analyses of high-throughput datasets generate the need to assess the association between two long lists of p-values. In such p-value lists, the vast majority of the features are insignificant. Ideally contributions of features that are null in both tests should be minimized. However, by random chance their p-values are uniformly distributed between zero and one, and weak correlations of the p-values may exist due to inherent biases in the high-throughput technology used to generate the multiple datasets. Rank-based agreement test may capture such unwanted effects. Testing contingency tables generated using hard cutoffs may be sensitive to arbitrary threshold choice. We develop a novel method based on feature-level concordance using local false discovery rate. The association score enjoys straight-forward interpretation. The method shows higher statistical power to detect association between p-value lists in simulation. We demonstrate its utility using real data analysis. The R implementation of the method is available at http://userwww.service.emory.edu/~tyu8/AAPL/.

Finding optimal parameters for simulating biological systems is usually a very difficult and expensive task in systems biology. Brute force searching is infeasible in practice because of the huge (often infinite) search space. In this article, we propose predicting the parameters efficiently by learning the relationship between system outputs and parameters using regression. However, the conventional parametric regression models suffer from two issues, thus are not applicable to this problem. First, restricting the regression function as a certain fixed type (e.g. linear, polynomial, etc.) introduces too strong assumptions that reduce the model flexibility. Second, conventional regression models fail to take into account the fact that a fixed parameter value may correspond to multiple different outputs due to the stochastic nature of most biological simulations, and the existence of a potentially large number of other factors that affect the simulation outputs. We propose a novel approach based on a Gaussian process model that addresses the two issues jointly. We apply our approach to a tumor vessel growth model and the feedback Wright-Fisher model. The experimental results show that our method can predict the parameter values of both of the two models with high accuracy.

Estimation of multiple directed graphs becomes challenging in the presence of inhomogeneous data, where directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are used to represent causal relations among random variables. To infer causal relations among variables, we estimate multiple DAGs given a known ordering in Gaussian graphical models. In particular, we propose a constrained maximum likelihood method with nonconvex constraints over elements and element-wise differences of adjacency matrices, for identifying the sparseness structure as well as detecting structural changes over adjacency matrices of the graphs. Computationally, we develop an efficient algorithm based on augmented Lagrange multipliers, the difference convex method, and a novel fast algorithm for solving convex relaxation subproblems. Numerical results suggest that the proposed method performs well against its alternatives for simulated and real data.

Multiple response regression is a useful regression technique to model multiple response variables using the same set of predictor variables. Most existing methods for multiple response regression are designed for modeling homogeneous data. In many applications, however, one may have heterogeneous data where the samples are divided into multiple groups. Our motivating example is a cancer dataset where the samples belong to multiple cancer subtypes. In this paper, we consider modeling the data coming from a mixture of several Gaussian distributions with known group labels. A naive approach is to split the data into several groups according to the labels and model each group separately. Although it is simple, this approach ignores potential common structures across different groups. We propose new penalized methods to model all groups jointly in which the common and unique structures can be identified. The proposed methods estimate the regression coefficient matrix, as well as the conditional inverse covariance matrix of response variables. Asymptotic properties of the proposed methods are explored. Through numerical examples, we demonstrate that both estimation and prediction can be improved by modeling all groups jointly using the proposed methods. An application to a glioblastoma cancer dataset reveals some interesting common and unique gene relationships across different cancer subtypes.