Matthew W. Jones, Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle A. Burton, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Maria Lucia F. Barbosa, Esther Brambleby, Andrew J. Hartley, Anna Lombardi, Guilherme Mataveli, Joe R. McNorton, Fiona R. Spuler, Jakob B. Wessel, John T. Abatzoglou, Liana O. Anderson, Niels Andela, Sally Archibald, Dolors Armenteras, Eleanor Burke, Rachel Carmenta, Emilio Chuvieco, Hamish Clarke, Stefan H. Doerr, Paulo M. Fernandes, Louis Giglio, Douglas S. Hamilton, Stijn Hantson, Sarah Harris, Piyush Jain, Crystal A. Kolden, Tiina Kurvits, Seppe Lampe, Sarah Meier, Stacey New, Mark Parrington, Morgane M. G. Perron, Yuquan Qu, Natasha S. Ribeiro, Bambang H. Saharjo, Jesus San-Miguel-Ayanz, Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Veerachai Tanpipat, Guido R. van der Werf, Sander Veraverbeke, Gavriil Xanthopoulos
<strong>Abstract.</strong> Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society and the environment. However, our understanding of the global distribution of extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage and regional research concentration. This inaugural State of Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying extreme events from the March 2023–February 2024 fire season. We assess the causes, predictability, and attribution of these events to climate change and land use, and forecast future risks under different climate scenarios. During the 2023–24 fire season, 3.9 million km<sup>2</sup> burned globally, slightly below the average of previous seasons, but fire carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totaling 2.4 Pg C. This was driven by record emissions in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times the average) and dampened by reduced activity in African savannahs. Notable events included record-breaking wildfire extent and emissions in Canada, the largest recorded wildfire in the European Union (Greece), drought-driven fires in western Amazonia and northern parts of South America, and deadly fires in Hawai’i (100 deaths) and Chile (131 deaths). Over 232,000 people were evacuated in Canada alone, highlighting the severity of human impact. Our analyses revealed that multiple drivers were needed to cause areas of extreme fire activity. In Canada and Greece a combination of high fire weather and an abundance of dry fuels increased the probability of fires by 4.5-fold and 1.9–4.1-fold, respectively, whereas fuel load and direct human suppression often modulated areas with anomalous burned area. The fire season in Canada was predictable three months in advance based on the fire weather index, whereas events in Greece and Amazonia had shorter predictability horizons. Formal attribution analyses indicated that the probability of extreme events has increased significantly due to anthropogenic climate change, with a 2.9–3.6-fold increase in likelihood of high fire weather in Canada and a 20.0–28.5-fold increase in Amazonia. By the end of the century, events of similar magnitude are projected to occur 2.22–9.58 times more frequently in Canada under high emission scenarios. Without mitigation, regions like Western Amazonia could see up to a 2.9-fold increase in extreme fire events. For the 2024–25 fire season, seasonal forecasts highlight moderate positive anomalies in fire weather for parts of western Canada and South America, but no clear signal for extreme anomalies is present in the forecast. This report represents our first annual effort to catalogue extreme wildfire events, explain their occurrence, and predict future risks. By consolidating state-of-the-art wildfire science and delivering key insights relevant to policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, and land managers, we aim to enhance society’s resilien
{"title":"State of Wildfires 2023–24","authors":"Matthew W. Jones, Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle A. Burton, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Maria Lucia F. Barbosa, Esther Brambleby, Andrew J. Hartley, Anna Lombardi, Guilherme Mataveli, Joe R. McNorton, Fiona R. Spuler, Jakob B. Wessel, John T. Abatzoglou, Liana O. Anderson, Niels Andela, Sally Archibald, Dolors Armenteras, Eleanor Burke, Rachel Carmenta, Emilio Chuvieco, Hamish Clarke, Stefan H. Doerr, Paulo M. Fernandes, Louis Giglio, Douglas S. Hamilton, Stijn Hantson, Sarah Harris, Piyush Jain, Crystal A. Kolden, Tiina Kurvits, Seppe Lampe, Sarah Meier, Stacey New, Mark Parrington, Morgane M. G. Perron, Yuquan Qu, Natasha S. Ribeiro, Bambang H. Saharjo, Jesus San-Miguel-Ayanz, Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Veerachai Tanpipat, Guido R. van der Werf, Sander Veraverbeke, Gavriil Xanthopoulos","doi":"10.5194/essd-2024-218","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-218","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society and the environment. However, our understanding of the global distribution of extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage and regional research concentration. This inaugural State of Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying extreme events from the March 2023–February 2024 fire season. We assess the causes, predictability, and attribution of these events to climate change and land use, and forecast future risks under different climate scenarios. During the 2023–24 fire season, 3.9 million km<sup>2</sup> burned globally, slightly below the average of previous seasons, but fire carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totaling 2.4 Pg C. This was driven by record emissions in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times the average) and dampened by reduced activity in African savannahs. Notable events included record-breaking wildfire extent and emissions in Canada, the largest recorded wildfire in the European Union (Greece), drought-driven fires in western Amazonia and northern parts of South America, and deadly fires in Hawai’i (100 deaths) and Chile (131 deaths). Over 232,000 people were evacuated in Canada alone, highlighting the severity of human impact. Our analyses revealed that multiple drivers were needed to cause areas of extreme fire activity. In Canada and Greece a combination of high fire weather and an abundance of dry fuels increased the probability of fires by 4.5-fold and 1.9–4.1-fold, respectively, whereas fuel load and direct human suppression often modulated areas with anomalous burned area. The fire season in Canada was predictable three months in advance based on the fire weather index, whereas events in Greece and Amazonia had shorter predictability horizons. Formal attribution analyses indicated that the probability of extreme events has increased significantly due to anthropogenic climate change, with a 2.9–3.6-fold increase in likelihood of high fire weather in Canada and a 20.0–28.5-fold increase in Amazonia. By the end of the century, events of similar magnitude are projected to occur 2.22–9.58 times more frequently in Canada under high emission scenarios. Without mitigation, regions like Western Amazonia could see up to a 2.9-fold increase in extreme fire events. For the 2024–25 fire season, seasonal forecasts highlight moderate positive anomalies in fire weather for parts of western Canada and South America, but no clear signal for extreme anomalies is present in the forecast. This report represents our first annual effort to catalogue extreme wildfire events, explain their occurrence, and predict future risks. By consolidating state-of-the-art wildfire science and delivering key insights relevant to policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, and land managers, we aim to enhance society’s resilien","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141315735","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Federica Foglini, Marzia Rovere, Renato Tonielli, Giorgio Castellan, Mariacristina Prampolini, Francesca Budillon, Marco Cuffaro, Gabriella Di Martino, Valentina Grande, Sara Innangi, Maria Filomena Loreto, Leonardo Langone, Fantina Madricardo, Alessandra Mercorella, Paolo Montagna, Camilla Palmiotto, Claudio Pellegrini, Antonio Petrizzo, Lorenzo Petracchini, Alessandro Remia, Marco Sacchi, Daphnie Sanchez Galvez, Anna Nora Tassetti, Fabio Trincardi
Abstract. High-resolution bathymetry provides critical information to marine geoscientists. Bathymetric big data help characterise the seafloor and its benthic habitats, understand sedimentary records, and support the development of offshore engineering infrastructures. From September 27th to October 20th, 2022, the new CNR Research Vessel GAIA BLU explored the seafloor of the Naples and Pozzuoli Gulfs, and the Amalfi coastal area (Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy) from 50 to more than 2000 m water depth, acquiring about 5000 km2 of multi beam echosounder data. This area is particularly vulnerable to abrupt changes driven by the dynamics of several volcanic complexes, active in the area, and by human-induced impacts reflecting the proximity to the highly populated and touristic coastal area of Naples and nearby famous islands. For these reasons, the seafloor of the area needs to be known and constantly monitored. The digital bathymetric data previously available are restricted to the shallow highly dynamic area of the Gulf of Naples and appear fragmented as they were acquired in successive years, with different goals thereby using a variety of devices, with markedly different spatial resolutions. In this paper, we present bathymetric maps of the Gulf of Naples and adjacent slope basins at unprecedented resolution using three state-of-the-art multi beam echosounders. These high-resolution data highlight the technological advances of geophysical surveys achieved over the last 20 years and contribute to assessing the most dynamic areas where changes in the seafloor over time can be quantified. The new digital multi-resolution bathymetric products are openly accessible via Marine Geosciences Data System MGDS (refer to section Data Availability, Table 8, for datasets and products DOIs), perfectly matching the FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable and Reusable) and Open Science Principles.
{"title":"A new multi-resolution bathymetric dataset of the Gulf of Naples (Italy) from complementary multi-beam echosounders","authors":"Federica Foglini, Marzia Rovere, Renato Tonielli, Giorgio Castellan, Mariacristina Prampolini, Francesca Budillon, Marco Cuffaro, Gabriella Di Martino, Valentina Grande, Sara Innangi, Maria Filomena Loreto, Leonardo Langone, Fantina Madricardo, Alessandra Mercorella, Paolo Montagna, Camilla Palmiotto, Claudio Pellegrini, Antonio Petrizzo, Lorenzo Petracchini, Alessandro Remia, Marco Sacchi, Daphnie Sanchez Galvez, Anna Nora Tassetti, Fabio Trincardi","doi":"10.5194/essd-2024-135","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-135","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> High-resolution bathymetry provides critical information to marine geoscientists. Bathymetric big data help characterise the seafloor and its benthic habitats, understand sedimentary records, and support the development of offshore engineering infrastructures. From September 27<sup>th</sup> to October 20<sup>th</sup>, 2022, the new CNR Research Vessel GAIA BLU explored the seafloor of the Naples and Pozzuoli Gulfs, and the Amalfi coastal area (Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy) from 50 to more than 2000 m water depth, acquiring about 5000 km<sup>2</sup> of multi beam echosounder data. This area is particularly vulnerable to abrupt changes driven by the dynamics of several volcanic complexes, active in the area, and by human-induced impacts reflecting the proximity to the highly populated and touristic coastal area of Naples and nearby famous islands. For these reasons, the seafloor of the area needs to be known and constantly monitored. The digital bathymetric data previously available are restricted to the shallow highly dynamic area of the Gulf of Naples and appear fragmented as they were acquired in successive years, with different goals thereby using a variety of devices, with markedly different spatial resolutions. In this paper, we present bathymetric maps of the Gulf of Naples and adjacent slope basins at unprecedented resolution using three state-of-the-art multi beam echosounders. These high-resolution data highlight the technological advances of geophysical surveys achieved over the last 20 years and contribute to assessing the most dynamic areas where changes in the seafloor over time can be quantified. The new digital multi-resolution bathymetric products are openly accessible via Marine Geosciences Data System MGDS (refer to section Data Availability, Table 8, for datasets and products DOIs), perfectly matching the FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable and Reusable) and Open Science Principles.","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"38 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141315741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-12DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-2717-2024
Karam Mansour, Stefano Decesari, Darius Ceburnis, Jurgita Ovadnevaite, Lynn M. Russell, Marco Paglione, Laurent Poulain, Shan Huang, Colin O'Dowd, Matteo Rinaldi
Abstract. Accurate long-term marine-derived biogenic sulfur aerosol concentrations at high spatial and temporal resolutions are critical for a wide range of studies, including climatology, trend analysis, and model evaluation; this information is also imperative for the accurate investigation of the contribution of marine-derived biogenic sulfur aerosol concentrations to the aerosol burden, for the elucidation of their radiative impacts, and to provide boundary conditions for regional models. By applying machine learning algorithms, we constructed the first publicly available daily gridded dataset of in situ-produced biogenic methanesulfonic acid (MSA) and non-sea-salt sulfate (nss-SO4=) concentrations covering the North Atlantic. The dataset is of high spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) and spans 25 years (1998–2022), far exceeding what observations alone could achieve both spatially and temporally. The machine learning models were generated by combining in situ observations of sulfur aerosol data from Mace Head Atmospheric Research Station, located on the west coast of Ireland, and from the North Atlantic Aerosols and Marine Ecosystems Study (NAAMES) cruises in the northwestern Atlantic with the constructed sea-to-air dimethylsulfide flux (FDMS) and ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis datasets. To determine the optimal method for regression, we employed five machine learning model types: support vector machines, decision tree, regression ensemble, Gaussian process regression, and artificial neural networks. A comparison of the mean absolute error (MAE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R2) revealed that Gaussian process regression (GPR) was the most effective algorithm, outperforming the other models with respect to simulating the biogenic MSA and nss-SO4= concentrations. For predicting daily MSA (nss-SO4=), GPR displayed the highest R2 value of 0.86 (0.72) and the lowest MAE of 0.014 (0.10) µg m−3. GPR partial dependence analysis suggests that the relationships between predictors and MSA and nss-SO4= concentrations are complex rather than linear. Using the GPR algorithm, we produced a high-resolution daily dataset of in situ-produced biogenic MSA and nss-SO4= sea-level concentrations over the North Atlantic, which we named “In-situ Produced Biogenic Methanesulfonic Acid and Sulfate over the North Atlantic” (IPB-MSA&SO4). The obtained IPB-MSA&SO4 data allowed us to analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of MSA and nss-SO4= as well as the ratio between them (MSA:nss-SO4=). A comparison with the existing Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service ECMWF Atmospheric Composition Reanalysis 4 (CAMS-EAC4) reanalysis suggested that our high-resolution dataset reproduces the spatial and temporal patterns of the biogenic sulfur aerosol concentration with high accuracy and has high consistency with independent measurements in the Atlantic Ocean. IPB-MSA&SO4 is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.17632/j8bzd5dvpx.1 (Mansour et al., 2023b)
{"title":"IPB-MSA&SO4: a daily 0.25° resolution dataset of in situ-produced biogenic methanesulfonic acid and sulfate over the North Atlantic during 1998–2022 based on machine learning","authors":"Karam Mansour, Stefano Decesari, Darius Ceburnis, Jurgita Ovadnevaite, Lynn M. Russell, Marco Paglione, Laurent Poulain, Shan Huang, Colin O'Dowd, Matteo Rinaldi","doi":"10.5194/essd-16-2717-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-2717-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Accurate long-term marine-derived biogenic sulfur aerosol concentrations at high spatial and temporal resolutions are critical for a wide range of studies, including climatology, trend analysis, and model evaluation; this information is also imperative for the accurate investigation of the contribution of marine-derived biogenic sulfur aerosol concentrations to the aerosol burden, for the elucidation of their radiative impacts, and to provide boundary conditions for regional models. By applying machine learning algorithms, we constructed the first publicly available daily gridded dataset of in situ-produced biogenic methanesulfonic acid (MSA) and non-sea-salt sulfate (nss-SO4=) concentrations covering the North Atlantic. The dataset is of high spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) and spans 25 years (1998–2022), far exceeding what observations alone could achieve both spatially and temporally. The machine learning models were generated by combining in situ observations of sulfur aerosol data from Mace Head Atmospheric Research Station, located on the west coast of Ireland, and from the North Atlantic Aerosols and Marine Ecosystems Study (NAAMES) cruises in the northwestern Atlantic with the constructed sea-to-air dimethylsulfide flux (FDMS) and ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis datasets. To determine the optimal method for regression, we employed five machine learning model types: support vector machines, decision tree, regression ensemble, Gaussian process regression, and artificial neural networks. A comparison of the mean absolute error (MAE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R2) revealed that Gaussian process regression (GPR) was the most effective algorithm, outperforming the other models with respect to simulating the biogenic MSA and nss-SO4= concentrations. For predicting daily MSA (nss-SO4=), GPR displayed the highest R2 value of 0.86 (0.72) and the lowest MAE of 0.014 (0.10) µg m−3. GPR partial dependence analysis suggests that the relationships between predictors and MSA and nss-SO4= concentrations are complex rather than linear. Using the GPR algorithm, we produced a high-resolution daily dataset of in situ-produced biogenic MSA and nss-SO4= sea-level concentrations over the North Atlantic, which we named “In-situ Produced Biogenic Methanesulfonic Acid and Sulfate over the North Atlantic” (IPB-MSA&SO4). The obtained IPB-MSA&SO4 data allowed us to analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of MSA and nss-SO4= as well as the ratio between them (MSA:nss-SO4=). A comparison with the existing Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service ECMWF Atmospheric Composition Reanalysis 4 (CAMS-EAC4) reanalysis suggested that our high-resolution dataset reproduces the spatial and temporal patterns of the biogenic sulfur aerosol concentration with high accuracy and has high consistency with independent measurements in the Atlantic Ocean. IPB-MSA&SO4 is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.17632/j8bzd5dvpx.1 (Mansour et al., 2023b)","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141309043","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Michael Morando, Jonathan Magasin, Shunyan Cheung, Matthew M. Mills, Jonathan P. Zehr, Kendra A. Turk-Kubo
Abstract. Marine nitrogen (N) fixation is a globally significant biogeochemical process carried out by a specialized group of prokaryotes (diazotrophs), yet our understanding of their ecology is constantly evolving. Although marine dinitrogen (N2)-fixation is often ascribed to cyanobacterial diazotrophs, indirect evidence suggests that non-cyanobacterial diazotrophs (NCDs) might also be important. One widely used approach for understanding diazotroph diversity and biogeography is polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-amplification of a portion of the nifH gene, which encodes a structural component of the N2-fixing enzyme complex, nitrogenase. An array of bioinformatic tools exists to process nifH amplicon data, however, the lack of standardized practices has hindered cross-study comparisons. This has led to a missed opportunity to more thoroughly assess diazotroph biogeography, diversity, and their potential contributions to the marine N cycle. To address these knowledge gaps a bioinformatic workflow was designed that standardizes the processing of nifH amplicon datasets originating from high-throughput sequencing (HTS). Multiple datasets are efficiently and consistently processed with a specialized DADA2 pipeline to identify amplicon sequence variants (ASVs). A series of customizable post-pipeline stages then detect and discard spurious nifH sequences and annotate the subsequent quality-filtered nifH ASVs using multiple reference databases and classification approaches. This newly developed workflow was used to reprocess nearly all publicly available nifH amplicon HTS datasets from marine studies, and to generate a comprehensive nifH ASV database containing 7909 ASVs aggregated from 21 studies that represent the diazotrophic populations in the global ocean. For each sample, the database includes physical and chemical metadata obtained from the Simons Collaborative Marine Atlas Project (CMAP). Here we demonstrate the utility of this database for revealing global biogeographical patterns of prominent diazotroph groups and highlight the influence of sea surface temperature. The workflow and nifH ASV database provide a robust framework for studying marine N2 fixation and diazotrophic diversity captured by nifH amplicon HTS. Future datasets that target understudied ocean regions can be added easily, and users can tune parameters and studies included for their specific focus. The workflow and database are available, respectively, in GitHub (https://github.com/jdmagasin/nifH-ASV-workflow; Morando et al., 2024) and Figshare (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.23795943.v1; Morando et al., 2024).
摘要海洋固氮（N）是一个具有全球意义的生物地球化学过程，由一组专门的原核生物（重氮营养体）进行，但我们对其生态学的了解却在不断发展。尽管海洋二氮（N2）固定过程通常是由蓝藻重氮营养体完成的，但间接证据表明，非蓝藻重氮营养体（NCD）可能也很重要。为了解重氮营养体的多样性和生物地理学，一种广泛使用的方法是聚合酶链式反应（PCR）--扩增 nifH 基因的一部分。目前有一系列生物信息学工具可用于处理 nifH 扩增子数据，但由于缺乏标准化方法，妨碍了跨研究比较。这导致我们错失了更全面地评估重氮营养生物地理学、多样性及其对海洋氮循环的潜在贡献的机会。为了填补这些知识空白，我们设计了一套生物信息学工作流程，对源自高通量测序（HTS）的 nifH 扩增子数据集进行标准化处理。利用专门的 DADA2 管道对多个数据集进行高效一致的处理，以识别扩增子序列变异（ASV）。然后，一系列可定制的后管道阶段会检测并剔除虚假的 nifH 序列，并利用多个参考数据库和分类方法对随后经过质量过滤的 nifH ASV 进行注释。这个新开发的工作流程被用于重新处理海洋研究中几乎所有公开的 nifH 扩增子 HTS 数据集，并生成一个全面的 nifH ASV 数据库，其中包含从 21 项研究中汇总的 7909 个 ASV，这些研究代表了全球海洋中的重氮营养种群。对于每个样本，数据库都包含从西蒙斯海洋图集合作项目（CMAP）中获得的物理和化学元数据。在此，我们展示了该数据库在揭示全球主要重氮营养群生物地理模式方面的实用性，并强调了海面温度的影响。该工作流程和 nifH ASV 数据库为研究海洋 N2 固定和 nifH 扩增子 HTS 捕获的重氮营养体多样性提供了一个强大的框架。未来，针对研究不足的海洋区域的数据集可以很容易地添加进来，用户可以根据自己的具体侧重点调整参数和研究内容。工作流程和数据库可分别在 GitHub (https://github.com/jdmagasin/nifH-ASV-workflow; Morando et al., 2024) 和 Figshare (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.23795943.v1; Morando et al., 2024) 上查阅。
{"title":"Global biogeography of N2-fixing microbes: nifH amplicon database and analytics workflow","authors":"Michael Morando, Jonathan Magasin, Shunyan Cheung, Matthew M. Mills, Jonathan P. Zehr, Kendra A. Turk-Kubo","doi":"10.5194/essd-2024-163","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-163","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Marine nitrogen (N) fixation is a globally significant biogeochemical process carried out by a specialized group of prokaryotes (diazotrophs), yet our understanding of their ecology is constantly evolving. Although marine dinitrogen (N<sub>2</sub>)-fixation is often ascribed to cyanobacterial diazotrophs, indirect evidence suggests that non-cyanobacterial diazotrophs (NCDs) might also be important. One widely used approach for understanding diazotroph diversity and biogeography is polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-amplification of a portion of the <em>nifH</em> gene, which encodes a structural component of the N<sub>2</sub>-fixing enzyme complex, nitrogenase. An array of bioinformatic tools exists to process <em>nifH</em> amplicon data, however, the lack of standardized practices has hindered cross-study comparisons. This has led to a missed opportunity to more thoroughly assess diazotroph biogeography, diversity, and their potential contributions to the marine N cycle. To address these knowledge gaps a bioinformatic workflow was designed that standardizes the processing of <em>nifH</em> amplicon datasets originating from high-throughput sequencing (HTS). Multiple datasets are efficiently and consistently processed with a specialized DADA2 pipeline to identify amplicon sequence variants (ASVs). A series of customizable post-pipeline stages then detect and discard spurious <em>nifH</em> sequences and annotate the subsequent quality-filtered <em>nifH</em> ASVs using multiple reference databases and classification approaches. This newly developed workflow was used to reprocess nearly all publicly available <em>nifH</em> amplicon HTS datasets from marine studies, and to generate a comprehensive <em>nifH</em> ASV database containing 7909 ASVs aggregated from 21 studies that represent the diazotrophic populations in the global ocean. For each sample, the database includes physical and chemical metadata obtained from the Simons Collaborative Marine Atlas Project (CMAP). Here we demonstrate the utility of this database for revealing global biogeographical patterns of prominent diazotroph groups and highlight the influence of sea surface temperature. The workflow and <em>nifH</em> ASV database provide a robust framework for studying marine N<sub>2</sub> fixation and diazotrophic diversity captured by <em>nifH</em> amplicon HTS. Future datasets that target understudied ocean regions can be added easily, and users can tune parameters and studies included for their specific focus. The workflow and database are available, respectively, in GitHub (https://github.com/jdmagasin/nifH-ASV-workflow; Morando et al., 2024) and Figshare (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.23795943.v1; Morando et al., 2024).","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141309115","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-11DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-2543-2024
Hanqin Tian, Naiqing Pan, Rona L. Thompson, Josep G. Canadell, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Pierre Regnier, Eric A. Davidson, Michael Prather, Philippe Ciais, Marilena Muntean, Shufen Pan, Wilfried Winiwarter, Sönke Zaehle, Feng Zhou, Robert B. Jackson, Hermann W. Bange, Sarah Berthet, Zihao Bian, Daniele Bianchi, Alexander F. Bouwman, Erik T. Buitenhuis, Geoffrey Dutton, Minpeng Hu, Akihiko Ito, Atul K. Jain, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Fortunat Joos, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Paul B. Krummel, Xin Lan, Angela Landolfi, Ronny Lauerwald, Ya Li, Chaoqun Lu, Taylor Maavara, Manfredi Manizza, Dylan B. Millet, Jens Mühle, Prabir K. Patra, Glen P. Peters, Xiaoyu Qin, Peter Raymond, Laure Resplandy, Judith A. Rosentreter, Hao Shi, Qing Sun, Daniele Tonina, Francesco N. Tubiello, Guido R. van der Werf, Nicolas Vuichard, Junjie Wang, Kelley C. Wells, Luke M. Western, Chris Wilson, Jia Yang, Yuanzhi Yao, Yongfa You, Qing Zhu
Abstract. Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a long-lived potent greenhouse gas and stratospheric ozone-depleting substance that has been accumulating in the atmosphere since the preindustrial period. The mole fraction of atmospheric N2O has increased by nearly 25 % from 270 ppb (parts per billion) in 1750 to 336 ppb in 2022, with the fastest annual growth rate since 1980 of more than 1.3 ppb yr−1 in both 2020 and 2021. According to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR6), the relative contribution of N2O to the total enhanced effective radiative forcing of greenhouse gases was 6.4 % for 1750–2022. As a core component of our global greenhouse gas assessments coordinated by the Global Carbon Project (GCP), our global N2O budget incorporates both natural and anthropogenic sources and sinks and accounts for the interactions between nitrogen additions and the biogeochemical processes that control N2O emissions. We use bottom-up (BU: inventory, statistical extrapolation of flux measurements, and process-based land and ocean modeling) and top-down (TD: atmospheric measurement-based inversion) approaches. We provide a comprehensive quantification of global N2O sources and sinks in 21 natural and anthropogenic categories in 18 regions between 1980 and 2020. We estimate that total annual anthropogenic N2O emissions have increased 40 % (or 1.9 Tg N yr−1) in the past 4 decades (1980–2020). Direct agricultural emissions in 2020 (3.9 Tg N yr−1, best estimate) represent the large majority of anthropogenic emissions, followed by other direct anthropogenic sources, including fossil fuel and industry, waste and wastewater, and biomass burning (2.1 Tg N yr−1), and indirect anthropogenic sources (1.3 Tg N yr−1) . For the year 2020, our best estimate of total BU emissions for natural and anthropogenic sources was 18.5 (lower–upper bounds: 10.6–27.0) Tg N yr−1, close to our TD estimate of 17.0 (16.6–17.4) Tg N yr−1. For the 2010–2019 period, the annual BU decadal-average emissions for both natural and anthropogenic sources were 18.2 (10.6–25.9) Tg N yr−1 and TD emissions were 17.4 (15.8–19.20) Tg N yr−1. The once top emitter Europe has reduced its emissions by 31 % since the 1980s, while those of emerging economies have grown, making China the top emitter since the 2010s. The observed atmospheric N2O concentrations in recent years have exceeded projected levels under all scenarios in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), underscoring the importance of reducing anthropogenic N2O emissions. To evaluate mitigation efforts and contribute to the Global Stocktake of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, we propose the establishment of a global network for monitoring and modeling N2O from the surface through to the stratosphere. The data presented in this work can be downloaded from https://doi.org/10.18160/RQ8P-2Z4R (Tian et al., 2023).
{"title":"Global nitrous oxide budget (1980–2020)","authors":"Hanqin Tian, Naiqing Pan, Rona L. Thompson, Josep G. Canadell, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Pierre Regnier, Eric A. Davidson, Michael Prather, Philippe Ciais, Marilena Muntean, Shufen Pan, Wilfried Winiwarter, Sönke Zaehle, Feng Zhou, Robert B. Jackson, Hermann W. Bange, Sarah Berthet, Zihao Bian, Daniele Bianchi, Alexander F. Bouwman, Erik T. Buitenhuis, Geoffrey Dutton, Minpeng Hu, Akihiko Ito, Atul K. Jain, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Fortunat Joos, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Paul B. Krummel, Xin Lan, Angela Landolfi, Ronny Lauerwald, Ya Li, Chaoqun Lu, Taylor Maavara, Manfredi Manizza, Dylan B. Millet, Jens Mühle, Prabir K. Patra, Glen P. Peters, Xiaoyu Qin, Peter Raymond, Laure Resplandy, Judith A. Rosentreter, Hao Shi, Qing Sun, Daniele Tonina, Francesco N. Tubiello, Guido R. van der Werf, Nicolas Vuichard, Junjie Wang, Kelley C. Wells, Luke M. Western, Chris Wilson, Jia Yang, Yuanzhi Yao, Yongfa You, Qing Zhu","doi":"10.5194/essd-16-2543-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-2543-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a long-lived potent greenhouse gas and stratospheric ozone-depleting substance that has been accumulating in the atmosphere since the preindustrial period. The mole fraction of atmospheric N2O has increased by nearly 25 % from 270 ppb (parts per billion) in 1750 to 336 ppb in 2022, with the fastest annual growth rate since 1980 of more than 1.3 ppb yr−1 in both 2020 and 2021. According to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR6), the relative contribution of N2O to the total enhanced effective radiative forcing of greenhouse gases was 6.4 % for 1750–2022. As a core component of our global greenhouse gas assessments coordinated by the Global Carbon Project (GCP), our global N2O budget incorporates both natural and anthropogenic sources and sinks and accounts for the interactions between nitrogen additions and the biogeochemical processes that control N2O emissions. We use bottom-up (BU: inventory, statistical extrapolation of flux measurements, and process-based land and ocean modeling) and top-down (TD: atmospheric measurement-based inversion) approaches. We provide a comprehensive quantification of global N2O sources and sinks in 21 natural and anthropogenic categories in 18 regions between 1980 and 2020. We estimate that total annual anthropogenic N2O emissions have increased 40 % (or 1.9 Tg N yr−1) in the past 4 decades (1980–2020). Direct agricultural emissions in 2020 (3.9 Tg N yr−1, best estimate) represent the large majority of anthropogenic emissions, followed by other direct anthropogenic sources, including fossil fuel and industry, waste and wastewater, and biomass burning (2.1 Tg N yr−1), and indirect anthropogenic sources (1.3 Tg N yr−1) . For the year 2020, our best estimate of total BU emissions for natural and anthropogenic sources was 18.5 (lower–upper bounds: 10.6–27.0) Tg N yr−1, close to our TD estimate of 17.0 (16.6–17.4) Tg N yr−1. For the 2010–2019 period, the annual BU decadal-average emissions for both natural and anthropogenic sources were 18.2 (10.6–25.9) Tg N yr−1 and TD emissions were 17.4 (15.8–19.20) Tg N yr−1. The once top emitter Europe has reduced its emissions by 31 % since the 1980s, while those of emerging economies have grown, making China the top emitter since the 2010s. The observed atmospheric N2O concentrations in recent years have exceeded projected levels under all scenarios in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), underscoring the importance of reducing anthropogenic N2O emissions. To evaluate mitigation efforts and contribute to the Global Stocktake of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, we propose the establishment of a global network for monitoring and modeling N2O from the surface through to the stratosphere. The data presented in this work can be downloaded from https://doi.org/10.18160/RQ8P-2Z4R (Tian et al., 2023).","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"38 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141308946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-10DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-2701-2024
Juan M. Socuellamos, Raquel Rodriguez Monje, Matthew D. Lebsock, Ken B. Cooper, Robert M. Beauchamp, Arturo Umeyama
Abstract. The Eastern Pacific Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment (EPCAPE) was a year-round campaign conducted by the US Department of Energy at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, CA, USA, with a focus on characterizing atmospheric processes at a coastal location. The ground-based prototype of a new Ka-, W-, and G-band (35.75, 94.88, and 238.8 GHz) profiling atmospheric radar, named CloudCube, which was developed at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, took part in the experiment during 6 weeks in March and April 2023. This article describes the unique data sets that were obtained during the field campaign from a variety of marine clouds and light precipitation. These are, to the best of the authors' knowledge, the first observations of atmospheric clouds using simultaneous multifrequency measurements including 238.8 GHz. These data sets therefore provide an exceptional opportunity to study and analyze hydrometeors with diameters in the millimeter- and submillimeter size range that can be used to better understand cloud and precipitation structure, formation, and evolution. The data sets referenced in this article are intended to provide a complete, extensive, and high-quality collection of G-band data in the form of Doppler spectra and Doppler moments. In addition, Ka-band and W-band reflectivity and Ka-, W-, and G-band reflectivity ratio profiles are included for several cases of interest on 6 different days. The data sets can be found at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10076227 (Socuellamos et al., 2024).
摘要东太平洋云雾气溶胶降水实验（EPCAPE）是美国能源部在美国加利福尼亚州拉霍亚斯克里普斯海洋学研究所开展的一项全年活动，重点是描述沿海地区的大气过程特征。喷气推进实验室开发的新型 Ka 波段、W 波段和 G 波段（35.75、94.88 和 238.8 千兆赫）剖面大气雷达（名为 CloudCube）的地基原型参与了 2023 年 3 月和 4 月为期 6 周的实验。本文介绍了在实地活动期间从各种海洋云层和小降水中获得的独特数据集。据作者所知，这是首次使用包括 238.8 GHz 在内的多频同步测量对大气云层进行观测。因此，这些数据集为研究和分析直径在毫米和亚毫米范围内的水介质提供了难得的机会，可用于更好地了解云和降水的结构、形成和演变。本文引用的数据集旨在以多普勒光谱和多普勒矩的形式提供完整、广泛和高质量的 G 波段数据集。此外，还包括 6 个不同天的 Ka 波段和 W 波段反射率以及 Ka、W 和 G 波段反射率比剖面图。数据集见 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10076227（Socuellamos 等，2024 年）。
{"title":"Multifrequency radar observations of marine clouds during the EPCAPE campaign","authors":"Juan M. Socuellamos, Raquel Rodriguez Monje, Matthew D. Lebsock, Ken B. Cooper, Robert M. Beauchamp, Arturo Umeyama","doi":"10.5194/essd-16-2701-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-2701-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The Eastern Pacific Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment (EPCAPE) was a year-round campaign conducted by the US Department of Energy at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, CA, USA, with a focus on characterizing atmospheric processes at a coastal location. The ground-based prototype of a new Ka-, W-, and G-band (35.75, 94.88, and 238.8 GHz) profiling atmospheric radar, named CloudCube, which was developed at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, took part in the experiment during 6 weeks in March and April 2023. This article describes the unique data sets that were obtained during the field campaign from a variety of marine clouds and light precipitation. These are, to the best of the authors' knowledge, the first observations of atmospheric clouds using simultaneous multifrequency measurements including 238.8 GHz. These data sets therefore provide an exceptional opportunity to study and analyze hydrometeors with diameters in the millimeter- and submillimeter size range that can be used to better understand cloud and precipitation structure, formation, and evolution. The data sets referenced in this article are intended to provide a complete, extensive, and high-quality collection of G-band data in the form of Doppler spectra and Doppler moments. In addition, Ka-band and W-band reflectivity and Ka-, W-, and G-band reflectivity ratio profiles are included for several cases of interest on 6 different days. The data sets can be found at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10076227 (Socuellamos et al., 2024).","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141298908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Abstract.Exceptional precision and excellent resolution reconstruction of sea surface currents are beneficial for exploring complex oceanic dynamic processes. Normally, this required physical inversion models for global or regional oceans are constructed to reconstruct oceanic currents. These models are based on the analysis of sea surface geostrophic and Ekman currents derived from satellite observations of sea level and wind stress fields. Nevertheless, the presence of various typical dynamic processes in marine environments, such as mesoscale eddies and small-scale waves, continues to pose challenges in accurately reconstructing oceanic currents. Meanwhile, any product of surface current that neglects the contribution of wave motion would, at best, be incomplete. Therefore, in this paper, we introduce an accurate sea surface current product at a depth of 15 m, named GEST (Geostrophic-Ekman-Stokes-Tide). This product is produced by a multi-scale dynamics-informed neural network that learns the intricate representation of concealed characteristics in Ekman, geostrophic currents, wave-induced Stokes drift, and TPXO9 tidal currents. Its structure design is predicated upon the intricate coupling relationships between various ocean surface components and the veritable currents discerned by the deployment of drift buoys, with each ocean surface component correlating to discrete physical processes. Compared with the prevailing product, the GEST confers an elevation in precision by approximately 9.2 cm/s over the traditional multinomial fitting method, 10.4 cm/s beyond the OSCAR, and 8.81 cm/s surpassing GlobCurrent.
{"title":"GEST: Accurate global ocean surface current reconstruction withmulti-scale dynamics-informed neural network","authors":"Linyao Ge, Guiyu Wang, Baoxiang Huang, Chuanchuan Cao, Xiaoyan Chen, Ge Chen","doi":"10.5194/essd-2024-190","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-190","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> <span>Exceptional precision and excellent resolution reconstruction of sea surface currents are beneficial for exploring complex oceanic dynamic processes. Normally, this required physical inversion models for global or regional oceans are constructed to reconstruct oceanic currents. These models are based on the analysis of sea surface geostrophic and Ekman currents derived from satellite observations of sea level and wind stress fields. Nevertheless, the presence of various typical dynamic processes in marine environments, such as mesoscale eddies and small-scale waves, continues to pose challenges in accurately reconstructing oceanic currents. Meanwhile, any product of surface current that neglects the contribution of wave motion would, at best, be incomplete. Therefore, in this paper, we introduce an accurate sea surface current product at a depth of 15 m, named GEST (Geostrophic-Ekman-Stokes-Tide). This product is produced by a multi-scale dynamics-informed neural network that learns the intricate representation of concealed characteristics in Ekman, geostrophic currents, wave-induced Stokes drift, and TPXO9 tidal currents. Its structure design is predicated upon the intricate coupling relationships between various ocean surface components and the veritable currents discerned by the deployment of drift buoys, with each ocean surface component correlating to discrete physical processes. Compared with the prevailing product, the GEST confers an elevation in precision by approximately 9.2 cm/s over the traditional multinomial fitting method, 10.4 cm/s beyond the OSCAR, and 8.81 cm/s surpassing GlobCurrent.</span>","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"82 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141298899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Marielle Saunois, Adrien Martinez, Benjamin Poulter, Zhen Zhang, Peter Raymond, Pierre Regnier, Joseph G. Canadell, Robert B. Jackson, Prabir K. Patra, Philippe Bousquet, Philippe Ciais, Edward J. Dlugokencky, Xin Lan, George H. Allen, David Bastviken, David J. Beerling, Dmitry A. Belikov, Donald R. Blake, Simona Castaldi, Monica Crippa, Bridget R. Deemer, Fraser Dennison, Giuseppe Etiope, Nicola Gedney, Lena Höglund-Isaksson, Meredith A. Holgerson, Peter O. Hopcroft, Gustaf Hugelius, Akihito Ito, Atul K. Jain, Rajesh Janardanan, Matthew S. Johnson, Thomas Kleinen, Paul Krummel, Ronny Lauerwald, Tingting Li, Xiangyu Liu, Kyle C. McDonald, Joe R. Melton, Jens Mühle, Jurek Müller, Fabiola Murguia-Flores, Yosuke Niwa, Sergio Noce, Shufen Pan, Robert J. Parker, Changhui Peng, Michel Ramonet, William J. Riley, Gerard Rocher-Ros, Judith A. Rosentreter, Motoki Sasakawa, Arjo Segers, Steven J. Smith, Emily H. Stanley, Joel Thanwerdas, Hanquin Tian, Aki Tsuruta, Francesco N. Tubiello, Thomas S. Weber, Guido van der Werf, Doug E. Worthy, Yi Xi, Yukio Yoshida, Wenxin Zhang, Bo Zheng, Qing Zhu, Qiuan Zhu, Qianlai Zhuang
<strong>Abstract.</strong> Understanding and quantifying the global methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) budget is important for assessing realistic pathways to mitigate climate change. Emissions and atmospheric concentrations of CH<sub>4</sub> continue to increase, maintaining CH<sub>4</sub> as the second most important human-influenced greenhouse gas in terms of climate forcing after carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>). The relative importance of CH<sub>4</sub> compared to CO<sub>2</sub> for temperature change is related to its shorter atmospheric lifetime, stronger radiative effect, and acceleration in atmospheric growth rate over the past decade, the causes of which are still debated. Two major challenges in reducing uncertainties in the factors explaining the well-observed atmospheric growth rate arise from diverse, geographically overlapping CH<sub>4</sub> sources and from the uncertain magnitude and temporal change in the destruction of CH<sub>4</sub> by short-lived and highly variable hydroxyl radicals (OH). To address these challenges, we have established a consortium of multi-disciplinary scientists under the umbrella of the Global Carbon Project to improve, synthesise and update the global CH<sub>4 </sub>budget regularly and to stimulate new research on the methane cycle. Following Saunois et al. (2016, 2020), we present here the third version of the living review paper dedicated to the decadal CH<sub>4</sub> budget, integrating results of top-down CH<sub>4</sub> emission estimates (based on in-situ and greenhouse gas observing satellite (GOSAT) atmospheric observations and an ensemble of atmospheric inverse-model results) and bottom-up estimates (based on process-based models for estimating land-surface emissions and atmospheric chemistry, inventories of anthropogenic emissions, and data-driven extrapolations). We present a budget for the most recent 2010–2019 calendar decade (the latest period for which full datasets are available), for the previous decade of 2000–2009 and for the year 2020. The revision of the bottom-up budget in this edition benefits from important progress in estimating inland freshwater emissions, with better accounting of emissions from lakes and ponds, reservoirs, and streams and rivers. This budget also reduces double accounting across freshwater and wetland emissions and, for the first time, includes an estimate of the potential double accounting that still exists (average of 23 Tg CH<sub>4</sub> yr<sup>-1</sup>). Bottom-up approaches show that the combined wetland and inland freshwater emissions average 248 [159–369] Tg CH<sub>4</sub> yr<sup>-1 </sup>for the 2010–2019 decade. Natural fluxes are perturbed by human activities through climate, eutrophication, and land use. In this budget, we also estimate, for the first time, this anthropogenic component contributing to wetland and inland freshwater emissions. Newly available gridded products also allowed us to derive an almost complete latitudinal and regional budget based on
{"title":"Global Methane Budget 2000–2020","authors":"Marielle Saunois, Adrien Martinez, Benjamin Poulter, Zhen Zhang, Peter Raymond, Pierre Regnier, Joseph G. Canadell, Robert B. Jackson, Prabir K. Patra, Philippe Bousquet, Philippe Ciais, Edward J. Dlugokencky, Xin Lan, George H. Allen, David Bastviken, David J. Beerling, Dmitry A. Belikov, Donald R. Blake, Simona Castaldi, Monica Crippa, Bridget R. Deemer, Fraser Dennison, Giuseppe Etiope, Nicola Gedney, Lena Höglund-Isaksson, Meredith A. Holgerson, Peter O. Hopcroft, Gustaf Hugelius, Akihito Ito, Atul K. Jain, Rajesh Janardanan, Matthew S. Johnson, Thomas Kleinen, Paul Krummel, Ronny Lauerwald, Tingting Li, Xiangyu Liu, Kyle C. McDonald, Joe R. Melton, Jens Mühle, Jurek Müller, Fabiola Murguia-Flores, Yosuke Niwa, Sergio Noce, Shufen Pan, Robert J. Parker, Changhui Peng, Michel Ramonet, William J. Riley, Gerard Rocher-Ros, Judith A. Rosentreter, Motoki Sasakawa, Arjo Segers, Steven J. Smith, Emily H. Stanley, Joel Thanwerdas, Hanquin Tian, Aki Tsuruta, Francesco N. Tubiello, Thomas S. Weber, Guido van der Werf, Doug E. Worthy, Yi Xi, Yukio Yoshida, Wenxin Zhang, Bo Zheng, Qing Zhu, Qiuan Zhu, Qianlai Zhuang","doi":"10.5194/essd-2024-115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-115","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Understanding and quantifying the global methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) budget is important for assessing realistic pathways to mitigate climate change. Emissions and atmospheric concentrations of CH<sub>4</sub> continue to increase, maintaining CH<sub>4</sub> as the second most important human-influenced greenhouse gas in terms of climate forcing after carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>). The relative importance of CH<sub>4</sub> compared to CO<sub>2</sub> for temperature change is related to its shorter atmospheric lifetime, stronger radiative effect, and acceleration in atmospheric growth rate over the past decade, the causes of which are still debated. Two major challenges in reducing uncertainties in the factors explaining the well-observed atmospheric growth rate arise from diverse, geographically overlapping CH<sub>4</sub> sources and from the uncertain magnitude and temporal change in the destruction of CH<sub>4</sub> by short-lived and highly variable hydroxyl radicals (OH). To address these challenges, we have established a consortium of multi-disciplinary scientists under the umbrella of the Global Carbon Project to improve, synthesise and update the global CH<sub>4 </sub>budget regularly and to stimulate new research on the methane cycle. Following Saunois et al. (2016, 2020), we present here the third version of the living review paper dedicated to the decadal CH<sub>4</sub> budget, integrating results of top-down CH<sub>4</sub> emission estimates (based on in-situ and greenhouse gas observing satellite (GOSAT) atmospheric observations and an ensemble of atmospheric inverse-model results) and bottom-up estimates (based on process-based models for estimating land-surface emissions and atmospheric chemistry, inventories of anthropogenic emissions, and data-driven extrapolations). We present a budget for the most recent 2010–2019 calendar decade (the latest period for which full datasets are available), for the previous decade of 2000–2009 and for the year 2020. The revision of the bottom-up budget in this edition benefits from important progress in estimating inland freshwater emissions, with better accounting of emissions from lakes and ponds, reservoirs, and streams and rivers. This budget also reduces double accounting across freshwater and wetland emissions and, for the first time, includes an estimate of the potential double accounting that still exists (average of 23 Tg CH<sub>4</sub> yr<sup>-1</sup>). Bottom-up approaches show that the combined wetland and inland freshwater emissions average 248 [159–369] Tg CH<sub>4</sub> yr<sup>-1 </sup>for the 2010–2019 decade. Natural fluxes are perturbed by human activities through climate, eutrophication, and land use. In this budget, we also estimate, for the first time, this anthropogenic component contributing to wetland and inland freshwater emissions. Newly available gridded products also allowed us to derive an almost complete latitudinal and regional budget based on","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141264763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rajesh Kumar, Piyush Bhardwaj, Cenlin He, Jennifer Boehnert, Forrest Lacey, Stefano Alessandrini, Kevin Sampson, Matthew Casali, Scott Swerdlin, Olga Wilhelmi, Gabriele G. Pfister, Benjamin Gaubert, Helen Worden
Abstract. We present a 14-year 12-km hourly air quality dataset created by assimilating satellite observations of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and carbon monoxide (CO) in an air quality model to fill gaps in the contiguous United States (CONUS) air quality monitoring network and help air quality managers understand long-term changes in county level air quality. Specifically, we assimilate the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) AOD and the Measurement of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT) CO observations in the Community Multiscale Air Quality Model (CMAQ) every day from 01 Jan 2005 to 31 Dec 2018 to produce this dataset. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulated meteorological fields are used to drive CMAQ offline and to generate meteorology dependent anthropogenic emissions. Both the weather and air quality (surface fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone) simulations are subjected to a comprehensive evaluation against multi-platform observations to establish the credibility of our dataset and characterize its uncertainties. We show that our dataset captures regional hourly, seasonal, and interannual variability in meteorology very well across the CONUS. The correlation coefficient between the observed and simulated surface ozone and PM2.5 concentrations for different Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) defined regions across CONUS are 0.77–0.91 and 0.49–0.79, respectively. The mean bias and root mean squared error for modeled ozone are 3.7–6.8 ppbv and 7–9 ppbv, respectively, while the corresponding values for PM2.5 are -0.9–5.6 µg/m3 and 3.0–8.3 µg/m3, respectively. We estimate that annual CONUS averaged maximum daily 8-hour average (MDA8) ozone and PM2.5 trends are -0.30 ppb/year and -0.24 μg/m3/year, respectively. Wintertime MDA8 ozone shows an increasing but statistically insignificant trend at several sites. We also found a decreasing trend in the 95th percentile of MDA8 ozone but an increasing trend in the 5th percentile. Most of the sites in the Pacific Northwest show an increasing but statistically insignificant trend during summer. An ArcGIS air quality dashboard has been developed to enable easy visualization and interpretation of county level air quality measures and trends by stakeholders, and a Python-based Streamlit application has been developed to allow the download of the air quality data in simplified text and graphic formats.
{"title":"A long-term high-resolution air quality reanalysis with public facing air quality dashboard over the Contiguous United States (CONUS)","authors":"Rajesh Kumar, Piyush Bhardwaj, Cenlin He, Jennifer Boehnert, Forrest Lacey, Stefano Alessandrini, Kevin Sampson, Matthew Casali, Scott Swerdlin, Olga Wilhelmi, Gabriele G. Pfister, Benjamin Gaubert, Helen Worden","doi":"10.5194/essd-2024-180","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-180","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> We present a 14-year 12-km hourly air quality dataset created by assimilating satellite observations of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and carbon monoxide (CO) in an air quality model to fill gaps in the contiguous United States (CONUS) air quality monitoring network and help air quality managers understand long-term changes in county level air quality. Specifically, we assimilate the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) AOD and the Measurement of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT) CO observations in the Community Multiscale Air Quality Model (CMAQ) every day from 01 Jan 2005 to 31 Dec 2018 to produce this dataset. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulated meteorological fields are used to drive CMAQ offline and to generate meteorology dependent anthropogenic emissions. Both the weather and air quality (surface fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) and ozone) simulations are subjected to a comprehensive evaluation against multi-platform observations to establish the credibility of our dataset and characterize its uncertainties. We show that our dataset captures regional hourly, seasonal, and interannual variability in meteorology very well across the CONUS. The correlation coefficient between the observed and simulated surface ozone and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations for different Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) defined regions across CONUS are 0.77–0.91 and 0.49–0.79, respectively. The mean bias and root mean squared error for modeled ozone are 3.7–6.8 ppbv and 7–9 ppbv, respectively, while the corresponding values for PM<sub>2.5</sub> are -0.9–5.6 µg/m<sup>3</sup> and 3.0–8.3 µg/m<sup>3</sup>, respectively. We estimate that annual CONUS averaged maximum daily 8-hour average (MDA8) ozone and PM<sub>2.5</sub> trends are -0.30 ppb/year and -0.24 μg/m<sup>3</sup>/year, respectively. Wintertime MDA8 ozone shows an increasing but statistically insignificant trend at several sites. We also found a decreasing trend in the 95<sup>th</sup> percentile of MDA8 ozone but an increasing trend in the 5<sup>th</sup> percentile. Most of the sites in the Pacific Northwest show an increasing but statistically insignificant trend during summer. An ArcGIS air quality dashboard has been developed to enable easy visualization and interpretation of county level air quality measures and trends by stakeholders, and a Python-based Streamlit application has been developed to allow the download of the air quality data in simplified text and graphic formats.","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141264760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-05DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-2625-2024
Piers M. Forster, Chris Smith, Tristram Walsh, William F. Lamb, Robin Lamboll, Bradley Hall, Mathias Hauser, Aurélien Ribes, Debbie Rosen, Nathan P. Gillett, Matthew D. Palmer, Joeri Rogelj, Karina von Schuckmann, Blair Trewin, Myles Allen, Robbie Andrew, Richard A. Betts, Alex Borger, Tim Boyer, Jiddu A. Broersma, Carlo Buontempo, Samantha Burgess, Chiara Cagnazzo, Lijing Cheng, Pierre Friedlingstein, Andrew Gettelman, Johannes Gütschow, Masayoshi Ishii, Stuart Jenkins, Xin Lan, Colin Morice, Jens Mühle, Christopher Kadow, John Kennedy, Rachel E. Killick, Paul B. Krummel, Jan C. Minx, Gunnar Myhre, Vaishali Naik, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Sophie Szopa, Peter Thorne, Mahesh V. M. Kovilakam, Elisa Majamäki, Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen, Margreet van Marle, Rachel M. Hoesly, Robert Rohde, Dominik Schumacher, Guido van der Werf, Russell Vose, Kirsten Zickfeld, Xuebin Zhang, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, Panmao Zhai
Abstract. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5–10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles. We follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, the Earth's energy imbalance, surface temperature changes, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort, grounded in an open-data, open-science approach, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11388387, Smith et al., 2024a). As they are traceable to IPCC report methods, they can be trusted by all parties involved in UNFCCC negotiations and help convey wider understanding of the latest knowledge of the climate system and its direction of travel. The indicators show that, for the 2014–2023 decade average, observed warming was 1.19 [1.06 to 1.30] °C, of which 1.19 [1.0 to 1.4] °C was human-induced. For the single-year average, human-induced warming reached 1.31 [1.1 to 1.7] °C in 2023 relative to 1850–1900. The best estimate is below the 2023-observed warming record of 1.43 [1.32 to 1.53] °C, indicating a substantial contribution of internal variability in the 2023 record. Human-induced warming has been increasing at a rate that is unprecedented in the instrumental record, reaching 0.26 [0.2–0.4] °C per decade over 2014–2023. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of net greenhouse gas emissions being at a persistent high of 53±5.4 Gt CO2e yr−1 over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that the rate of increase in CO2 emissions over the last decade has slowed compared to the 2000s, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for some of the indicators presented here.
{"title":"Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence","authors":"Piers M. Forster, Chris Smith, Tristram Walsh, William F. Lamb, Robin Lamboll, Bradley Hall, Mathias Hauser, Aurélien Ribes, Debbie Rosen, Nathan P. Gillett, Matthew D. Palmer, Joeri Rogelj, Karina von Schuckmann, Blair Trewin, Myles Allen, Robbie Andrew, Richard A. Betts, Alex Borger, Tim Boyer, Jiddu A. Broersma, Carlo Buontempo, Samantha Burgess, Chiara Cagnazzo, Lijing Cheng, Pierre Friedlingstein, Andrew Gettelman, Johannes Gütschow, Masayoshi Ishii, Stuart Jenkins, Xin Lan, Colin Morice, Jens Mühle, Christopher Kadow, John Kennedy, Rachel E. Killick, Paul B. Krummel, Jan C. Minx, Gunnar Myhre, Vaishali Naik, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Sophie Szopa, Peter Thorne, Mahesh V. M. Kovilakam, Elisa Majamäki, Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen, Margreet van Marle, Rachel M. Hoesly, Robert Rohde, Dominik Schumacher, Guido van der Werf, Russell Vose, Kirsten Zickfeld, Xuebin Zhang, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, Panmao Zhai","doi":"10.5194/essd-16-2625-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-2625-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5–10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles. We follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, the Earth's energy imbalance, surface temperature changes, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort, grounded in an open-data, open-science approach, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11388387, Smith et al., 2024a). As they are traceable to IPCC report methods, they can be trusted by all parties involved in UNFCCC negotiations and help convey wider understanding of the latest knowledge of the climate system and its direction of travel. The indicators show that, for the 2014–2023 decade average, observed warming was 1.19 [1.06 to 1.30] °C, of which 1.19 [1.0 to 1.4] °C was human-induced. For the single-year average, human-induced warming reached 1.31 [1.1 to 1.7] °C in 2023 relative to 1850–1900. The best estimate is below the 2023-observed warming record of 1.43 [1.32 to 1.53] °C, indicating a substantial contribution of internal variability in the 2023 record. Human-induced warming has been increasing at a rate that is unprecedented in the instrumental record, reaching 0.26 [0.2–0.4] °C per decade over 2014–2023. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of net greenhouse gas emissions being at a persistent high of 53±5.4 Gt CO2e yr−1 over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that the rate of increase in CO2 emissions over the last decade has slowed compared to the 2000s, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for some of the indicators presented here.","PeriodicalId":48747,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Science Data","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":11.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141251662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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