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Care Partner Engagement in Fall Risk Management Programs for Community-Dwelling Older People with Cognitive Impairment: A Systematic Review. 护理伙伴参与社区居住的认知障碍老年人跌倒风险管理项目:系统回顾。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-26 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S553910
Xiaoyi Zeng, Amelia Card, Namkee G Choi, Yuanjin Zhou

Background/purpose: Older people with cognitive impairment (CI) are at significantly higher fall risk compared to those without CI. Their care partners' engagement is critical to facilitate their participation and adherence in fall risk management (FRM) programs. This systematic review aims to synthesize terms and measures of care partner engagement (CPE) in FRM programs for community-dwelling older people with CI, facilitators and barriers to CPE, and promising CPE enhancement strategies.

Methods: We conducted a systematic search of eight databases and included relevant literature published between 1985 and 2024 through a manual search. Guided by a conceptual framework of CPE informed by existing literature, we conducted content analysis and thematic synthesis to address our research aims. We assessed the quality of included studies using the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool.

Results: Thirty-two studies were included in the synthesis. There was substantial heterogeneity of CPE terms and measures. CPE facilitators and barriers were summarized under three categories: older people with CI (eg, interest, health, and functional statuses), care partners (eg, motivation, perceived burden, caring relationships), and service providers or programs (eg, supportive instructors, service disruptions). CPE enhancement strategies (eg, tailored intervention content, provision of professional and social support) were summarized, with some (eg, using a discussion tool, providing flexible schedules) showing promising effects on CPE.

Conclusion: Our review synthesized the common practice of CPE in FRM programs for community-dwelling older people with CI and introduced a novel conceptual framework to clarify the multidimensional nature of CPE. Our findings emphasized the urgent need to develop consistent language and validated measures for describing and assessing CPE. This review has also identified important considerations, including facilitators, barriers, and promising strategies to enhance CPE in these programs, informing the development of effective care-partner-engaged FRM programs for older people with CI.

背景/目的:与没有认知障碍的老年人相比,有认知障碍的老年人摔倒的风险明显更高。他们的护理伙伴的参与对于促进他们参与和遵守跌倒风险管理(FRM)计划至关重要。本系统综述旨在综合社区居住的CI老年人FRM项目中护理伙伴参与(CPE)的术语和测量,CPE的促进因素和障碍,以及有希望的CPE增强策略。方法:系统检索8个数据库,采用人工检索的方法纳入1985 ~ 2024年间发表的相关文献。在现有文献的CPE概念框架的指导下,我们进行了内容分析和主题综合,以解决我们的研究目标。我们使用混合方法评估工具评估纳入研究的质量。结果:共纳入32项研究。CPE的条款和措施存在很大的异质性。CPE促进因素和障碍可归纳为三类:具有CI的老年人(如兴趣、健康和功能状态)、护理伙伴(如动机、感知负担、护理关系)和服务提供者或方案(如支持性指导员、服务中断)。总结了加强CPE的策略(如量身定制的干预内容、提供专业和社会支持),其中一些策略(如使用讨论工具、提供灵活的时间表)在CPE方面显示出良好的效果。结论:我们的综述综合了社区居住的CI老年人FRM项目中CPE的常见做法,并引入了一个新的概念框架来阐明CPE的多维性。我们的研究结果强调,迫切需要开发一致的语言和有效的措施来描述和评估CPE。本综述还确定了重要的考虑因素,包括促进因素、障碍和有希望的策略,以加强这些项目中的CPE,为开发有效的护理伙伴参与的老年CI FRM项目提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Aging and Intestinal Fibrosis: Mechanisms, Implications, and Therapeutic Strategies. 衰老和肠纤维化:机制、意义和治疗策略。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-26 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S542671
Yujie Shi, Han Zheng, Xiaxin Zhu, Jianyu Lv, Mi Zhou, Shuo Zhang

With the global aging population, the impact of aging on various organ systems is becoming increasingly significant. The gastrointestinal tract, a key site of immune activity and microbial colonization, undergoes functional decline that is closely associated with a range of intestinal and systemic diseases. While aging-related fibrosis has been extensively studied in organs such as the lungs, liver, heart, and kidneys, its role in intestinal fibrosis remains underexplored. This review discusses mechanisms by which aging may promote or increase the risk of intestinal fibrosis, including immunosenescence, cellular senescence, gut microbiota dysbiosis, and dysregulated growth factor signaling. Additionally, both traditional and emerging therapeutic strategies are summarized to guide future interventions.

随着全球人口老龄化,老龄化对人体各器官系统的影响日益显著。胃肠道是免疫活动和微生物定植的关键部位,其功能衰退与一系列肠道和全身性疾病密切相关。虽然在肺、肝、心和肾等器官中广泛研究了与衰老相关的纤维化,但其在肠纤维化中的作用仍未得到充分探讨。这篇综述讨论了衰老可能促进或增加肠道纤维化风险的机制,包括免疫衰老、细胞衰老、肠道微生物群失调和生长因子信号失调。此外,总结了传统和新兴的治疗策略,以指导未来的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Long-Term Bedridden Status as a Predictor of in-Hospital Mortality in Older Adults with Community-Acquired Pneumonia: A Retrospective Cohort Study. 长期卧床状态是社区获得性肺炎老年人住院死亡率的预测因素:一项回顾性队列研究
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-22 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S554154
Zheng Wang, Dong Wu

Background: Long-term bedridden elderly individuals face a high risk of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) amid China's aging population, yet the specific mortality impact remains insufficiently studied.

Objective: To compare the clinical characteristics and in-hospital mortality between long-term bedridden and ambulatory elderly patients with CAP, and to identify risk factors for mortality.

Methods: This retrospective study included 453 patients aged ≥75 years hospitalized with CAP from March 2016 to March 2019, divided into a bedridden group (n = 162) and a non-bedridden group (n = 291). Data on demographics, comorbidities, frailty (modified Frailty Index-5, mFI-5), functional status (Barthel Index), and laboratory parameters (eg, hs-CRP) were collected. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality.

Results: The bedridden group had a significantly higher mortality rate (27.16% vs 2.06%, P < 0.001) and elevated hs-CRP levels (40.2 ± 44.0 mg/L vs 19.9 ± 20.3 mg/L). Multivariate analysis identified bedridden status (OR = 11.99, 95% CI: 4.31-33.40), respiratory failure (OR = 6.80, 95% CI: 3.03-15.28), and renal dysfunction (elevated serum creatinine; OR = 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02) as independent risk factors for mortality.

Conclusion: Long-term bedridden status is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality in elderly CAP patients with inflammatory response potentially playing a critical role.

背景:在中国人口老龄化的背景下,长期卧床的老年人面临着社区获得性肺炎(CAP)的高风险,但具体的死亡率影响尚未得到充分的研究。目的:比较长期卧床和非卧床的老年CAP患者的临床特点和住院死亡率,并探讨死亡的危险因素。方法:回顾性研究纳入2016年3月至2019年3月住院的年龄≥75岁CAP患者453例,分为卧床组(n = 162)和非卧床组(n = 291)。收集人口统计学、合并症、虚弱(修改后的虚弱指数-5,mFI-5)、功能状态(Barthel指数)和实验室参数(如hs-CRP)的数据。采用Logistic回归分析确定住院死亡率的预测因素。结果:卧床组死亡率(27.16% vs 2.06%, P < 0.001)和hs-CRP水平升高(40.2±44.0 mg/L vs 19.9±20.3 mg/L)。多因素分析发现,卧床状态(OR = 11.99, 95% CI: 4.31-33.40)、呼吸衰竭(OR = 6.80, 95% CI: 3.03-15.28)和肾功能障碍(血清肌酐升高;OR = 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02)是死亡的独立危险因素。结论:长期卧床是老年CAP患者住院死亡率的独立预测因素,炎症反应可能起关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
External Validation of the Saga Fall-Related Injury Risk Model and Exploration of Common Factors in Multiple Hospitals: A Retrospective Observational Study. 多家医院Saga跌倒相关损伤风险模型的外部验证及共同因素的探索:一项回顾性观察研究
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S535293
Shizuka Yaita, Naoko E Katsuki, Risa Hirata, Eiji Nakatani, Midori Tokushima, Toru Oishi, Tomoyo Nishi, Masahiko Ezoe, Hitomi Shimada, Chihiro Saito, Kaori Amari, Kazuya Kurogi, Yoshimasa Oda, Maiko Ono, Mariko Yoshimura, Kiyoshi Shikino, Shun Yamashita, Yoshinori Tokushima, Hidetoshi Aihara, Masaki Tago

Purpose: The Saga Fall-related Injury Risk Model (SFIRM) was developed in an acute care hospital to predict fall-related injuries based on six factors upon admission: age, sex, emergency transport, medical referral letters, history of falls, and bedriddenness ranks. This study aims to validate the applicability of the model across various hospitals through external validation using data from multiple hospitals. Additionally, the common predictors of fall-related injuries across these hospitals were explored.

Patients and methods: This multicenter, retrospective, observational study included patients aged 20 years and older who were admitted to 8 hospitals (chronic-care, acute-care, and tertiary acute-care) between April 2018 and March 2021. A calculated sample size of patients was selected and the area under the curve (AUC) of the SFIRM was determined for fall-related injuries during hospitalization. Multivariate analyses were conducted for each hospital using the surveyed factors as covariates and fall-related injuries as outcomes. The significant factors associated with fall-related injuries were compared across hospitals.

Results: From 144,777 patients, 2376 were randomly sampled and analyzed. Among them, 51 patients (2.1%) experienced falls during hospitalization and 35 (1.5%) sustained fall-related injuries. The AUC of SFIRM was 0.617 (95% confidence interval 0.534-0.701). In multivariate analyses by hospital, age and bedriddenness ranks were significantly associated with fall-related injuries in five hospitals, whereas male sex, history of falls, and diabetes were significantly associated with fall-related injuries in four hospitals.

Conclusion: The SFIRM demonstrated low discrimination in a population from various hospitals. The predictive models for fall-related injuries require redevelopment and validation to suit various hospitals. In the multivariate analyses across hospitals, age, bedriddenness ranks, male sex, history of falls, and diabetes mellitus were common and significant factors associated with fall-related injuries. These factors are most favorable for developing a predictive model for fall-related injuries.

目的:在一家急症医院建立Saga跌倒相关伤害风险模型(SFIRM),根据入院时的六个因素预测跌倒相关伤害:年龄、性别、急诊转运、医疗转诊信、跌倒史和卧床等级。本研究旨在通过使用多家医院的数据进行外部验证,验证模型在不同医院之间的适用性。此外,对这些医院中与跌倒相关的伤害的共同预测因素进行了探讨。患者和方法:这项多中心、回顾性、观察性研究纳入了2018年4月至2021年3月期间入住8家医院(慢性护理、急性护理和三级急性护理)的20岁及以上患者。选择计算出的患者样本量,并确定住院期间跌倒相关损伤的SFIRM曲线下面积(AUC)。以调查因素为协变量,以跌倒相关损伤为结果,对各医院进行多变量分析。各医院比较了与跌倒相关的损伤相关的重要因素。结果:从144777例患者中随机抽取2376例进行分析。其中51例(2.1%)在住院期间发生跌倒,35例(1.5%)发生跌倒相关损伤。SFIRM的AUC为0.617(95%可信区间为0.534 ~ 0.701)。在医院的多变量分析中,五家医院的年龄和卧床等级与跌倒相关损伤显著相关,而四家医院的男性、跌倒史和糖尿病与跌倒相关损伤显著相关。结论:SFIRM在不同医院的人群中表现出低歧视。跌倒损伤的预测模型需要重新开发和验证,以适应不同的医院。在跨医院的多变量分析中,年龄、卧床等级、男性性别、跌倒史和糖尿病是与跌倒相关损伤相关的常见和重要因素。这些因素最有利于建立跌倒相关损伤的预测模型。
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引用次数: 0
Risk Factors and Prediction Model for Hypokalemia as a Complication in Older Adults with Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage. 老年人急性脑出血并发低钾血症的危险因素和预测模型。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S550753
Shanquan Jing, Lizhuang Zhang, Lifeng Xu

Objective: This study aimed to identify the key risk factors for hypokalemia in older adults with acute cerebral hemorrhage (ACH) and to develop a clinically practical risk predictive model based on logistic regression.

Methods: A total of 209 older adult ACH patients (age 60-82 years) treated at The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University from July 2022 to July 2024 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Patients were divided into two groups: hypokalemic (serum potassium < 3.5 mmol/L, n = 56) and normokalemic (serum potassium 3.5-5.5 mmol/L, n = 153). Clinical outcomes were compared, and logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for hypokalemia. A risk prediction model was constructed and presented as a nomogram. The diagnostic value of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results: Hypokalemia was associated with significantly higher in-hospital mortality, poorer functional outcomes, longer hospital stays, and more frequent neurological deterioration (all P < 0.05). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression identified female gender (OR=2.713), higher NIHSS scores at admission (OR=2.375), GFR ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR=2.316), and furosemide use > 20 mg/d (OR=2.351) as independent risk factors for hypokalemia. ROC analysis showed an area under the curve (AUC) for the multivariable predictive model of 0.859, which was superior to individual predictors.

Conclusion: Female gender, higher neurological deficit severity (NIHSS score), impaired renal function (GFR ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2), and use of furosemide > 20 mg/d are significant independent risk factors for hypokalemia in older adult ACH patients. Given its association with adverse outcomes, early prediction is crucial. The predictive model and corresponding nomogram provide a practical tool for identifying high-risk patients, facilitating timely intervention.

目的:探讨老年人急性脑出血(ACH)低钾血症的关键危险因素,建立临床实用的logistic回归风险预测模型。方法:选取2022年7月至2024年7月河北医科大学第一医院收治的209例老年ACH患者(60-82岁)进行回顾性队列研究。患者分为低钾血症组(血清钾< 3.5 mmol/L, n = 56)和正钾血症组(血清钾3.5 ~ 5.5 mmol/L, n = 153)。比较临床结果,并使用逻辑回归来确定低钾血症的危险因素。建立了风险预测模型,并以nomogram表示风险预测模型。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价模型的诊断价值。结果:低钾血症与较高的住院死亡率、较差的功能结局、较长的住院时间和更频繁的神经功能恶化相关(均P < 0.05)。单因素和多因素logistic回归分析发现,女性(OR=2.713)、入院时NIHSS评分较高(OR=2.375)、GFR≤60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR=2.316)、速尿使用> 20 mg/d (OR=2.351)是低钾血症的独立危险因素。ROC分析显示,多变量预测模型的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.859,优于单个预测因子。结论:女性、较高的神经功能缺损严重程度(NIHSS评分)、肾功能受损(GFR≤60 mL/min/1.73 m2)、使用速尿> 20 mg/d是老年成年ACH患者低钾血症的重要独立危险因素。鉴于其与不良后果的关联,早期预测至关重要。预测模型和相应的nomogram为识别高危患者,及时干预提供了实用的工具。
{"title":"Risk Factors and Prediction Model for Hypokalemia as a Complication in Older Adults with Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage.","authors":"Shanquan Jing, Lizhuang Zhang, Lifeng Xu","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S550753","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2147/CIA.S550753","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to identify the key risk factors for hypokalemia in older adults with acute cerebral hemorrhage (ACH) and to develop a clinically practical risk predictive model based on logistic regression.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 209 older adult ACH patients (age 60-82 years) treated at The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University from July 2022 to July 2024 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Patients were divided into two groups: hypokalemic (serum potassium < 3.5 mmol/L, n = 56) and normokalemic (serum potassium 3.5-5.5 mmol/L, n = 153). Clinical outcomes were compared, and logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for hypokalemia. A risk prediction model was constructed and presented as a nomogram. The diagnostic value of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Hypokalemia was associated with significantly higher in-hospital mortality, poorer functional outcomes, longer hospital stays, and more frequent neurological deterioration (all <i>P</i> < 0.05). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression identified female gender (OR=2.713), higher NIHSS scores at admission (OR=2.375), GFR ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup> (OR=2.316), and furosemide use > 20 mg/d (OR=2.351) as independent risk factors for hypokalemia. ROC analysis showed an area under the curve (AUC) for the multivariable predictive model of 0.859, which was superior to individual predictors.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Female gender, higher neurological deficit severity (NIHSS score), impaired renal function (GFR ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>), and use of furosemide > 20 mg/d are significant independent risk factors for hypokalemia in older adult ACH patients. Given its association with adverse outcomes, early prediction is crucial. The predictive model and corresponding nomogram provide a practical tool for identifying high-risk patients, facilitating timely intervention.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":"20 ","pages":"2153-2162"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2025-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12645948/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145641744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exploring and Comparing the Use of Large Language Models in Supporting Osteoporosis Health Consultations. 大语言模型在骨质疏松健康咨询中的应用探讨与比较
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S551572
Xin Li, Gen Li, Yue Zhao, Yixin Liang, Yuefu Dong, Jian Zhang

Purpose: To compare the medical accuracy and content comprehensiveness of three large language models (LLMs) in generating responses to frequently asked osteoporosis-related questions and to determine their potential role in clinical support.

Methods: Twenty-five questions covering six clinical domains were submitted to each model in isolated sessions. Five senior orthopedic physicians, each with over 25 years of clinical experience, independently rated the medical accuracy of each response using a 5-point Likert scale. Responses rated as "acceptable" or above were further evaluated for content comprehensiveness. Statistical analysis included the Kruskal-Wallis test and Dunn's post hoc test with Bonferroni correction.

Results: A total of 75 unique responses (25 questions × 3 models) were evaluated by five orthopedic experts, yielding 375 ratings. ChatGPT-4o achieved the highest accuracy score (median: 4.6; IQR: 4.4-4.8), significantly outperforming Gemini-2.5 Pro (p=0.039) and DeepSeek-R1 (p<0.001). For content comprehensiveness, both ChatGPT-4o and Gemini-2.5 Pro had a median score of 4.4, higher than DeepSeek-R1 (median: 4.2), though differences did not reach statistical significance (p=0.0536). Gemini-2.5 Pro was noted for its fluent and user-friendly language but lacked clinical depth in some responses. DeepSeek-R1, despite offering source citations, demonstrated greater inconsistency.

Conclusion: LLMs have clear potential as tools for patient education in osteoporosis. ChatGPT-4o demonstrated the most balanced and clinically reliable performance. Nonetheless, expert medical oversight remains essential to ensure safe and context-appropriate use in healthcare settings.

目的:比较三种大型语言模型(llm)在回答骨质疏松症相关常见问题时的医学准确性和内容全面性,并确定其在临床支持中的潜在作用。方法:在独立的会议中向每个模型提交了涵盖六个临床领域的25个问题。5位拥有超过25年临床经验的资深骨科医生使用5分李克特量表独立评估每个反应的医疗准确性。被评为“可接受”或以上的回答将进一步评估内容的全面性。统计分析采用Kruskal-Wallis检验和Dunn事后检验,并进行Bonferroni校正。结果:5位骨科专家共对75个独特的回答(25题× 3模型)进行了评估,得出375个评分。chatgpt - 40获得了最高的准确性评分(中位数:4.6;IQR: 4.4-4.8),显著优于Gemini-2.5 Pro (p=0.039)和DeepSeek-R1 (p)。结论:LLMs作为骨质疏松症患者教育工具具有明显的潜力。chatgpt - 40表现出最平衡和临床可靠的性能。尽管如此,专家医疗监督仍然是确保在卫生保健环境中安全和适合具体情况使用的必要条件。
{"title":"Exploring and Comparing the Use of Large Language Models in Supporting Osteoporosis Health Consultations.","authors":"Xin Li, Gen Li, Yue Zhao, Yixin Liang, Yuefu Dong, Jian Zhang","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S551572","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2147/CIA.S551572","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>To compare the medical accuracy and content comprehensiveness of three large language models (LLMs) in generating responses to frequently asked osteoporosis-related questions and to determine their potential role in clinical support.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Twenty-five questions covering six clinical domains were submitted to each model in isolated sessions. Five senior orthopedic physicians, each with over 25 years of clinical experience, independently rated the medical accuracy of each response using a 5-point Likert scale. Responses rated as \"acceptable\" or above were further evaluated for content comprehensiveness. Statistical analysis included the Kruskal-Wallis test and Dunn's post hoc test with Bonferroni correction.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 75 unique responses (25 questions × 3 models) were evaluated by five orthopedic experts, yielding 375 ratings. ChatGPT-4o achieved the highest accuracy score (median: 4.6; IQR: 4.4-4.8), significantly outperforming Gemini-2.5 Pro (p=0.039) and DeepSeek-R1 (p<0.001). For content comprehensiveness, both ChatGPT-4o and Gemini-2.5 Pro had a median score of 4.4, higher than DeepSeek-R1 (median: 4.2), though differences did not reach statistical significance (p=0.0536). Gemini-2.5 Pro was noted for its fluent and user-friendly language but lacked clinical depth in some responses. DeepSeek-R1, despite offering source citations, demonstrated greater inconsistency.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>LLMs have clear potential as tools for patient education in osteoporosis. ChatGPT-4o demonstrated the most balanced and clinically reliable performance. Nonetheless, expert medical oversight remains essential to ensure safe and context-appropriate use in healthcare settings.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":"20 ","pages":"2133-2143"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2025-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12646280/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145641734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Recurrence in Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation Post-Ablation. 非瓣膜性房颤消融后复发的Nomogram预测方法。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-20 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S557166
Yi Yu, Jin-Lan Chen, Guang-Yin Li, Shen-Shen Huang, Ting Wang, Xiao-Kai Li, Yi-Gang Li

Purpose: To utilize the developed nomogram for evaluating the risk of recurrence in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) and compare the model's performance with the APPLE, ATLAS, and Antwerp scores.

Patients and methods: 242 patients with NVAF requiring RFCA were enrolled. These patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n=169) and a validation cohort (n=73) according to 7:3. A nomogram was developed based on LAVI, RAVI, SII, NYHA classification, CHA2DS2-VASc score to estimate the risk of AF recurrence after RFCA. The APPLE, ATLAS, and Antwerp scores were calculated using the "pROC" package in R software. The AUC value of the nomogram compared with each of the three scores was evaluated using the DeLong test. The integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification index were calculated to compare the predictive performance of the nomogram against the scores in R software.

Results: The nomogram achieved significantly higher values with an AUC of 0.837 (95% CI: 0.774-0.899) in the training cohort and 0.895 (95% CI: 0.823-0.968) in the validation cohort (all P < 0.05) than the three scores. It also achieved better positive and negative predictive values, indicating enhanced discriminatory power. By integrating multidimensional parameters and optimizing risk stratification, it significantly reduced misjudgment rates. Furthermore, the model demonstrated a more balanced sensitivity-specificity profile and greater predictive stability than single-dimensional scores. It also provides more robust clinical decision support for predicting post-RFCA recurrence across diverse datasets.

Conclusion: The APPLE, ATLAS, and Antwerp scores all demonstrated effectiveness in predicting AF recurrence after RFCA in patients with NVAF. Among these established scoring systems, the APPLE score showed better performance compared to the other two. More importantly, our newly developed nomogram exhibited superior performance compared to all three existing scores, demonstrating a marked improvement in predicting the risk of AF recurrence. While our model represents a promising tool, it is still in the preliminary stage and requires further validation in larger, multi-center, prospective cohorts to confirm its generalizability.

目的:利用开发的nomogram(非瓣膜性心房颤动)射频导管消融(RFCA)后复发风险评估模型,并将其与APPLE、ATLAS和Antwerp评分进行比较。患者和方法:纳入242例需要RFCA的非瓣膜性房颤患者。将患者按7:3随机分为训练组(n=169)和验证组(n=73)。以LAVI、RAVI、SII、NYHA分级、CHA2DS2-VASc评分为基础,制作nomogram评估RFCA术后AF复发风险。使用R软件中的“pROC”包计算APPLE, ATLAS和Antwerp评分。使用DeLong检验评估nomogram与每一个分数的AUC值。计算综合判别改进和净重分类指数,将nomogram预测性能与R软件中的得分进行比较。结果:训练组的nomogram AUC为0.837 (95% CI: 0.774-0.899),验证组的AUC为0.895 (95% CI: 0.823-0.968) (P均< 0.05),均显著高于3种评分。正、负预测值也较好,表明歧视性增强。通过整合多维参数,优化风险分层,显著降低误判率。此外,该模型显示出比单一维度评分更平衡的敏感性-特异性特征和更高的预测稳定性。它还为预测不同数据集的rfca后复发提供了更强大的临床决策支持。结论:APPLE、ATLAS和Antwerp评分均可有效预测非瓣瓣性房颤患者RFCA后房颤复发。在这些已建立的评分系统中,APPLE评分比其他两种评分表现更好。更重要的是,与所有三个现有评分相比,我们新开发的nomogram表现出了优越的性能,在预测房颤复发风险方面显示出了显著的改善。虽然我们的模型代表了一个很有前途的工具,但它仍处于初步阶段,需要在更大的、多中心的前瞻性队列中进一步验证,以确认其普遍性。
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引用次数: 0
eGFR-ACR Risk Stratification of Rapid Kidney Function Decline Across Aging Phenotypes in Older Chinese Adults. eGFR-ACR在中国老年人中快速肾功能下降的风险分层
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-20 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S549212
Huaiwen Chang, Huaizhou You, Ye Yao, Yan Zheng, JianPing Mao, Yin Yao, Mengjing Wang, Xiaofeng Wang, Jing Chen

Objective: To develop an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) risk stratification for rapid kidney function decline across aging phenotypes in older adults.

Methods: We included 1539 older adults (486 healthy aging, 661 aging with comorbidities, 392 aging with CKD) from the Rugao Longevity and Aging Study and Huashan Hospital. Rapid decline was defined as a ≥30% decrease in eGFR over 2 years. We estimated adjusted incidence of rapid decline across baseline eGFR (≥90, 75-<90, 60-<75, <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) and ACR (<30 vs ≥30 mg/g) categories within each aging phenotype. We defined adjusted incidence rate of <5%, 5-7.5%, 7.5-15%, and >15% as no risk, low risk, moderate risk, and high risk, respectively. Random forests assessed the relative contribution of pre-specified eGFR and ACR categories.

Results: Mean ages were 77.7 ± 4.4, 78.0 ± 4.1, and 77.7 ± 5.5 years in healthy, comorbidity, and CKD cohort, respectively. Among healthy participants, the adjusted incidence remained in low risk when eGFR was between 60 and 75 mL/min/1.73 m2, but increased to moderate risk when eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. In the comorbidity cohort, a low risk classification was observed with ACR <30 mg/g and eGFR ≥75 mL/min/1.73 m2, or with ACR ≥30 mg/g and eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2, other combinations were associated with moderate risk. In the CKD cohort, moderate risk corresponded to ACR <30 mg/g with eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or ACR ≥30 mg/g with eGFR ≥75 mL/min/1.73 m2, while all other scenarios were classified as high risk. Random forest results corroborated that eGFR dominated discrimination in healthy aging, whereas ACR carried greater weight in comorbidity and CKD cohorts.

Conclusion: Phenotype-specific eGFR-ACR thresholds provide pragmatic risk stratification to guide targeted monitoring and earlier intervention in older adults.

目的:建立估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)和尿白蛋白-肌酐比(ACR)的风险分层在老年人快速肾功能下降的不同年龄表型。方法:我们纳入了来自如皋市长寿与衰老研究中心和华山医院的1539名老年人(486名健康老年人,661名合并合并症老年人,392名CKD老年人)。快速下降定义为2年内eGFR下降≥30%。我们估计了基线eGFR(≥90,75-2)和ACR(15%,分别为无风险、低风险、中风险和高风险)快速下降的调整发生率。随机森林评估了预先指定的eGFR和ACR类别的相对贡献。结果:健康、合并症和CKD组的平均年龄分别为77.7±4.4岁、78.0±4.1岁和77.7±5.5岁。在健康参与者中,当eGFR在60 - 75 mL/min/1.73 m2之间时,调整后的发病率保持在低风险,但当eGFR为2时,调整后的发病率增加到中等风险。在合并症队列中,ACR 2或ACR≥30 mg/g和eGFR≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2的合并症患者为低风险分类,其他合并症患者为中等风险。在CKD队列中,中度风险对应于ACR 2或ACR≥30mg /g, eGFR≥75ml /min/1.73 m2,而所有其他情况均被归类为高风险。随机森林结果证实,eGFR在健康老年人中占主导地位,而ACR在合并症和CKD队列中占有更大的权重。结论:表型特异性eGFR-ACR阈值可为老年人提供实用的风险分层,指导有针对性的监测和早期干预。
{"title":"eGFR-ACR Risk Stratification of Rapid Kidney Function Decline Across Aging Phenotypes in Older Chinese Adults.","authors":"Huaiwen Chang, Huaizhou You, Ye Yao, Yan Zheng, JianPing Mao, Yin Yao, Mengjing Wang, Xiaofeng Wang, Jing Chen","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S549212","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S549212","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To develop an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) risk stratification for rapid kidney function decline across aging phenotypes in older adults.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We included 1539 older adults (486 healthy aging, 661 aging with comorbidities, 392 aging with CKD) from the Rugao Longevity and Aging Study and Huashan Hospital. Rapid decline was defined as a ≥30% decrease in eGFR over 2 years. We estimated adjusted incidence of rapid decline across baseline eGFR (≥90, 75-<90, 60-<75, <60 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>) and ACR (<30 vs ≥30 mg/g) categories within each aging phenotype. We defined adjusted incidence rate of <5%, 5-7.5%, 7.5-15%, and >15% as no risk, low risk, moderate risk, and high risk, respectively. Random forests assessed the relative contribution of pre-specified eGFR and ACR categories.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Mean ages were 77.7 ± 4.4, 78.0 ± 4.1, and 77.7 ± 5.5 years in healthy, comorbidity, and CKD cohort, respectively. Among healthy participants, the adjusted incidence remained in low risk when eGFR was between 60 and 75 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, but increased to moderate risk when eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>. In the comorbidity cohort, a low risk classification was observed with ACR <30 mg/g and eGFR ≥75 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, or with ACR ≥30 mg/g and eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, other combinations were associated with moderate risk. In the CKD cohort, moderate risk corresponded to ACR <30 mg/g with eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup> or ACR ≥30 mg/g with eGFR ≥75 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, while all other scenarios were classified as high risk. Random forest results corroborated that eGFR dominated discrimination in healthy aging, whereas ACR carried greater weight in comorbidity and CKD cohorts.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Phenotype-specific eGFR-ACR thresholds provide pragmatic risk stratification to guide targeted monitoring and earlier intervention in older adults.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":"20 ","pages":"2105-2118"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12642800/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145606860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
MicroRNA-874-3p is a Potential Contributor to Primary Hyperparathyroidism-Induced Osteoporosis. MicroRNA-874-3p是原发性甲状旁腺功能亢进诱发骨质疏松症的潜在因素。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-18 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S538129
Kaiyuan Cheng, Ruifeng Bai, Minjuan Li, Yongjie Wei, Zhigang Li, Xian Zhao, Renwei Cao, Zhongyu Wang, Shen Tan, Yejun Zha, Xieyuan Jiang, Shuai Lu

Background: Dysregulation of microRNAs contributes to bone diseases. However, the microRNAs involved in primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT)-induced osteoporosis remain unknown.

Methods: The parathyroid tissue samples were obtained from PHPT patients with or without osteoporosis (n = 5/group) during parathyroid resection and subjected to high throughput microRNA sequencing. The differentially expressed microRNAs were identified and further verified using qRT-PCR. Alizarin Red Staining was performed to detected the osteogenic differentiation. Gain- and loss-of-function assays were performed to investigate the role of miR-874-3p, which was upregulated in PHPT patients with osteoporosis, in human mesenchymal stem cells (hMSCs) undergoing osteoblastic differentiation.

Results: We identified 32 significantly upregulated and 18 significantly downregulated microRNAs in PHPT patients with osteoporosis. miR-874-3p was increased in PHPT osteoporosis patients, meanwhile, miR-874-3p in parathyroid tissue and peripheral blood extracellular vesicles of PHPT osteoporosis mice were increased. The miR-874-3p level was remarkably elevated in hMSCs grown in osteogenic medium. Overexpression of miR-874-3p repressed the hMSC osteogenic differentiation and reduced the osteogenic marker expression in hMSCs, whereas miR-874-3p inhibitor showed a contrasting effect. The results of the dual luciferase reporting system showed that miR-874-3p could reduce the luciferase activity of wild-type FTO-WT-3 '-UTR. However, there was no significant change in the luciferase activity of the mutant compared with the control group.

Conclusion: MiR-874-3p might specifically binds to FTO suppress osteogenic differentiation of hMSCs, thereby contributing to the development of osteoporosis in PHPT patients.

背景:microRNAs的失调与骨疾病有关。然而,与原发性甲状旁腺功能亢进症(PHPT)引起的骨质疏松有关的microrna仍不清楚。方法:从伴有或不伴有骨质疏松的PHPT患者(n = 5/组)在甲状旁腺切除术中获取甲状旁腺组织样本,并进行高通量microRNA测序。鉴定差异表达的microrna并使用qRT-PCR进一步验证。茜素红染色检测成骨分化。我们进行了功能获得和功能丧失分析,以研究miR-874-3p在骨质疏松的PHPT患者中上调,在成骨细胞分化的人间充质干细胞(hMSCs)中的作用。结果:我们在PHPT骨质疏松患者中发现了32个显著上调的microrna和18个显著下调的microrna。miR-874-3p在PHPT骨质疏松患者中升高,同时,PHPT骨质疏松小鼠甲状旁腺组织和外周血细胞外囊泡中的miR-874-3p升高。在成骨培养基中培养的hMSCs中,miR-874-3p水平显著升高。过表达miR-874-3p抑制hMSC成骨分化,降低hMSC成骨标志物的表达,而miR-874-3p抑制剂则表现出相反的作用。双荧光素酶报告系统结果显示,miR-874-3p可以降低野生型FTO-WT-3′-UTR的荧光素酶活性。然而,与对照组相比,突变体的荧光素酶活性没有明显变化。结论:MiR-874-3p可能特异性结合FTO抑制hMSCs的成骨分化,从而促进了PHPT患者骨质疏松的发生。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning Based Prediction of Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury Risk in Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Patients. 基于机器学习的冠状动脉搭桥术术后急性肾损伤风险预测。
IF 3.7 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-15 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.2147/CIA.S543303
Yang Zhang, Dabei Cai, Ye Deng, Zhu Wang, Zhihan Zhang, Hu Zhang, Qingjie Wang, Shoujie Feng, Ling Sun, Jun Wei

Background: Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is key for severe coronary artery disease, but postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) may increase mortality and prolong hospital stays. Reliable models for early prediction of post-CABG AKI remain lacking.

Methods: Data of 520 CABG patients (September 2021-December 2024) from the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University were collected, and the patients were divided into a training group (70%, for model building) and a validation group (30%). Key variables were screened through Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, followed by the construction of six machine learning models: Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Logistic Regression (LR), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Softmax Regression, and Support Vector Machine (SVM). The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to quantify feature importance.

Results: The incidence of post-CABG AKI was 25.96%, and the median age of patients in the AKI group was significantly higher than that in the non-AKI group (66.09 ± 8.15 vs 64.32 ± 7.76, p = 0.025). In the training group, the XGBoost model using the top 5 important variables outperformed other models (Area Under the Curve [AUC] = 0.89, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.86-0.91), followed by the LightGBM model using the top 5 important variables and the RF model using the top 5 important variables (both had an AUC of 0.88; 95% CI: 0.85-0.90 and 0.85-0.91, respectively). In the validation group, the LR model using the top 15 important variables and the Softmax Regression model using the top 15 important variables maintained the highest stability (both had an AUC of 0.86, 95% CI: 0.79-0.92). SHAP analysis confirmed that estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), intraoperative epinephrine use and calcium levels were the top three predictive factors.

Conclusion: The machine learning models constructed in this study can effectively predict post-CABG AKI, facilitating early identification of high-risk patients.

背景:冠状动脉旁路移植术(CABG)是治疗重症冠状动脉疾病的关键,但术后急性肾损伤(AKI)可增加死亡率和延长住院时间。早期预测cabg后AKI的可靠模型仍然缺乏。方法:收集徐州医科大学附属医院520例CABG患者(2021年9月- 2024年12月)的数据,将患者分为训练组(70%,用于模型建立)和验证组(30%)。通过最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归筛选关键变量,然后构建随机森林(RF)、极限梯度增强(XGBoost)、逻辑回归(LR)、光梯度增强机(LightGBM)、Softmax回归和支持向量机(SVM) 6个机器学习模型。SHapley加性解释(SHAP)用于量化特征的重要性。结果:冠脉搭桥后AKI发生率为25.96%,AKI组患者中位年龄明显高于非AKI组(66.09±8.15 vs 64.32±7.76,p = 0.025)。在训练组中,使用前5个重要变量的XGBoost模型优于其他模型(曲线下面积[AUC] = 0.89, 95%置信区间[CI]: 0.86-0.91),其次是使用前5个重要变量的LightGBM模型和使用前5个重要变量的RF模型(AUC均为0.88,95% CI分别为0.85-0.90和0.85-0.91)。在验证组中,使用前15个重要变量的LR模型和使用前15个重要变量的Softmax回归模型保持最高的稳定性(AUC均为0.86,95% CI: 0.79-0.92)。SHAP分析证实估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR)、术中肾上腺素使用和钙水平是前三个预测因素。结论:本研究构建的机器学习模型可有效预测冠脉搭桥后AKI,有助于早期识别高危患者。
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引用次数: 0
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Clinical Interventions in Aging
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