Pub Date : 2026-02-10eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004906
Karine Alcala, Daniela Mariosa, Sara Jacobson, Claudia Coscia-Requena, Niki Dimou, Oskar Franklin, Richard M Martin, George Davey Smith, Marc J Gunter, Paul Brennan, Michael Pollak, Ryan Langdon, Mattias Johansson
Background: Excess body adiposity is an established cause of renal cancer, but underlying molecular pathways mediating this relationship remain unclear. This study aimed to systematically evaluate a panel of obesity-related risk factors as potential mediators in renal cancer etiology.
Methods and findings: We used two complementary approaches to evaluate obesity-related risk factors in renal cancer etiology: (i) direct risk factor assessment in longitudinal cohorts and (ii) genetically proxied risk factors through two-sample mendelian randomization (MR). Direct risk-factor association-analyses (i.e., cohort analyses) were based on the UK Biobank cohort study (472,337 cohort participants, including 1,382 incident renal cancer cases diagnosed during 5,586,414 person years of follow-up) and the Northern Sweden Health and Disease Study (NSHDS) for fasting insulin (204 pairs of cases and controls, ongoing recruitment and follow-up since 1985). We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to evaluate the association between risk factors and renal cancer risk with adjustment for age, sex, center of recruitment, education, smoking and alcohol drinking status. Two-sample MR analyses were based on a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of renal cancer (27,213 cases, 486,846 controls). We used the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) approach to estimate the association between risk factors and renal cancer risk. Mediation analyses were performed for traits displaying directionally consistent associations with renal cancer risk in both the cohort and MR analyses using the product method. We found consistent positive associations with renal cancer risk for fasting insulin (odds ratio per standard deviation increment [ORMR]: 2.24, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.19, 4.22; p = 0.01; hazard ratio per standard deviation increment [HRcohort]: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.02, 2.00; p = 0.04), triglycerides (ORMR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.17; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.38; p < 0.001), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (ORMR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.26; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.17; p < 0.001) and consistent inverse associations with renal cancer risk for sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG) (ORMR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.70, 0.90; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.58, 0.76; p < 0.001) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (ORMR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.88, 0.98; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.66, 0.77; p < 0.001). The main limitation of this study was that we had limited statistical power to evaluate some risk factors.
Conclusions: Our study highlights roles for fasting insulin, HDL cholesterol, DBP, triglycerides and SHBG in mediating the relationship between body adiposity and renal cancer risk.
{"title":"Systematic assessment of obesity-related risk factors in renal cancer etiology: A longitudinal risk and mendelian randomization analysis.","authors":"Karine Alcala, Daniela Mariosa, Sara Jacobson, Claudia Coscia-Requena, Niki Dimou, Oskar Franklin, Richard M Martin, George Davey Smith, Marc J Gunter, Paul Brennan, Michael Pollak, Ryan Langdon, Mattias Johansson","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004906","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004906","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Excess body adiposity is an established cause of renal cancer, but underlying molecular pathways mediating this relationship remain unclear. This study aimed to systematically evaluate a panel of obesity-related risk factors as potential mediators in renal cancer etiology.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We used two complementary approaches to evaluate obesity-related risk factors in renal cancer etiology: (i) direct risk factor assessment in longitudinal cohorts and (ii) genetically proxied risk factors through two-sample mendelian randomization (MR). Direct risk-factor association-analyses (i.e., cohort analyses) were based on the UK Biobank cohort study (472,337 cohort participants, including 1,382 incident renal cancer cases diagnosed during 5,586,414 person years of follow-up) and the Northern Sweden Health and Disease Study (NSHDS) for fasting insulin (204 pairs of cases and controls, ongoing recruitment and follow-up since 1985). We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to evaluate the association between risk factors and renal cancer risk with adjustment for age, sex, center of recruitment, education, smoking and alcohol drinking status. Two-sample MR analyses were based on a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of renal cancer (27,213 cases, 486,846 controls). We used the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) approach to estimate the association between risk factors and renal cancer risk. Mediation analyses were performed for traits displaying directionally consistent associations with renal cancer risk in both the cohort and MR analyses using the product method. We found consistent positive associations with renal cancer risk for fasting insulin (odds ratio per standard deviation increment [ORMR]: 2.24, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.19, 4.22; p = 0.01; hazard ratio per standard deviation increment [HRcohort]: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.02, 2.00; p = 0.04), triglycerides (ORMR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.17; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.38; p < 0.001), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (ORMR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.26; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.17; p < 0.001) and consistent inverse associations with renal cancer risk for sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG) (ORMR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.70, 0.90; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.58, 0.76; p < 0.001) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (ORMR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.88, 0.98; p < 0.001, HRcohort: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.66, 0.77; p < 0.001). The main limitation of this study was that we had limited statistical power to evaluate some risk factors.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our study highlights roles for fasting insulin, HDL cholesterol, DBP, triglycerides and SHBG in mediating the relationship between body adiposity and renal cancer risk.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004906"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12919923/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146159002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-09eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004900
Luke J Laffin, Steven E Nissen
Despite many antihypertensive options, uncontrolled hypertension remains pervasive. Aldosterone synthase inhibitors show robust blood pressure reductions and have the potential to reshape hypertension treatment, though cost and access may impact broad adoption.
{"title":"Aldosterone synthase inhibitors for hypertension: A breakthrough facing barriers to adoption.","authors":"Luke J Laffin, Steven E Nissen","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004900","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004900","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite many antihypertensive options, uncontrolled hypertension remains pervasive. Aldosterone synthase inhibitors show robust blood pressure reductions and have the potential to reshape hypertension treatment, though cost and access may impact broad adoption.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004900"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12885258/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146151033","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-09eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004749
David T W Lui, Carol H Y Fong, Xincheng Zou, Aimin Xu, Hung Fat Tse, Jean Woo, Tai Hing Lam, Yu Cho Woo, Bernard M Y Cheung, Edward Janus, Karen S L Lam, Kathryn C B Tan, Chi Ho Lee
Background: The Lancet Commission proposed an update in January 2025 on the definition of obesity which requires at least one anthropometric measurement in addition to body mass index (BMI) to confirm excess adiposity. Also, the presence of obesity-related organ dysfunction is used to differentiate between clinical and pre-clinical obesity. We evaluated how applying the Lancet Commission proposed definition of obesity, which required an additional anthropometric measurement to verify excess adiposity, would affect its prevalence, and its implications on the cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic health.
Methods and findings: We used two representative Chinese community-based cohorts and compared five categories of participants with (i) clinical obesity, (ii) preclinical obesity, (iii) BMI ≥25 kg/m2 without confirmed excess adiposity, (iv) overweight and (v) normal/underweight in the cross-sectional cohort for cardiometabolic risk profiles and in the longitudinal cohort for long-term cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes. In the cross-sectional cohort, the prevalence of obesity was 44.5% in men and 26.7% in women defined by the Asian BMI cutoff of ≥25.0 kg/m2, and decreased to 33.8% and 24.1%, respectively, using the Lancet Commission definition (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2 and elevated waist circumference). Applying the Lancet Commission definition would reclassify a portion of individuals who are initially classified as having obesity based on BMI criteria alone (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2) but with normal waist circumference to be non-obese (category iii). The individuals falling into category iii had an adverse cardiometabolic health profile which was intermediate among the five categories regarding insulin resistance and visceral adiposity (falling in between categories ii and iv). In the longitudinal cohort with a median follow-up of over 20 years, people with clinical obesity had the poorest cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes including all-cause mortality, whereas those reclassified as non-obese had an intermediate risk of adverse cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes among the five categories. The main limitation of the study was that all participants were Chinese and findings might not apply to other ethnic groups.
Conclusion: Adoption of the Lancet Commission definition would classify a small proportion of individuals with BMI of ≥25.0 kg/m2 as non-obese. People with clinical obesity identified by the revised criteria had the highest risks of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes including all-cause mortality, whereas individuals reclassified as non-obese had intermediate risks of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes between those in pre-clinical obesity and overweight categories.
{"title":"The impact of the Lancet Commission definition of obesity on its prevalence and implications on long-term cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes in East Asians: Observational study of two community-based cohorts.","authors":"David T W Lui, Carol H Y Fong, Xincheng Zou, Aimin Xu, Hung Fat Tse, Jean Woo, Tai Hing Lam, Yu Cho Woo, Bernard M Y Cheung, Edward Janus, Karen S L Lam, Kathryn C B Tan, Chi Ho Lee","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004749","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004749","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The Lancet Commission proposed an update in January 2025 on the definition of obesity which requires at least one anthropometric measurement in addition to body mass index (BMI) to confirm excess adiposity. Also, the presence of obesity-related organ dysfunction is used to differentiate between clinical and pre-clinical obesity. We evaluated how applying the Lancet Commission proposed definition of obesity, which required an additional anthropometric measurement to verify excess adiposity, would affect its prevalence, and its implications on the cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic health.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We used two representative Chinese community-based cohorts and compared five categories of participants with (i) clinical obesity, (ii) preclinical obesity, (iii) BMI ≥25 kg/m2 without confirmed excess adiposity, (iv) overweight and (v) normal/underweight in the cross-sectional cohort for cardiometabolic risk profiles and in the longitudinal cohort for long-term cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes. In the cross-sectional cohort, the prevalence of obesity was 44.5% in men and 26.7% in women defined by the Asian BMI cutoff of ≥25.0 kg/m2, and decreased to 33.8% and 24.1%, respectively, using the Lancet Commission definition (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2 and elevated waist circumference). Applying the Lancet Commission definition would reclassify a portion of individuals who are initially classified as having obesity based on BMI criteria alone (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2) but with normal waist circumference to be non-obese (category iii). The individuals falling into category iii had an adverse cardiometabolic health profile which was intermediate among the five categories regarding insulin resistance and visceral adiposity (falling in between categories ii and iv). In the longitudinal cohort with a median follow-up of over 20 years, people with clinical obesity had the poorest cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes including all-cause mortality, whereas those reclassified as non-obese had an intermediate risk of adverse cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes among the five categories. The main limitation of the study was that all participants were Chinese and findings might not apply to other ethnic groups.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Adoption of the Lancet Commission definition would classify a small proportion of individuals with BMI of ≥25.0 kg/m2 as non-obese. People with clinical obesity identified by the revised criteria had the highest risks of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes including all-cause mortality, whereas individuals reclassified as non-obese had intermediate risks of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic outcomes between those in pre-clinical obesity and overweight categories.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004749"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12904575/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146151190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-06eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004922
Jack Le Vance, Matthew Vaughan, Tanvi Bhatia, Leo Gurney, Victoria Hodgetts Morton, R Katie Morris
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Ultrasound is a common diagnostic modality in obstetrics to evaluate the fetal condition, frequently used in pregnant women classifying as high-risk. Modifications to guidelines, implementation of national initiatives, combined with an aging obstetric population has led to an increased number of high-risk patients. This places a substantial strain on outpatient obstetric services to accommodate the increased demand for serial antenatal ultrasound scans. Recent advancements in digital technology have enabled the swift innovation of teleultrasound development. The recent pandemic has also substantially influenced technological development, as obstetric services considered alternative solutions to healthcare provision standards. This review aims to assess whether teleultrasound is feasible, acceptable, diagnostically accurate, and cost-effective for antenatal care.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Clinical Trials (CENTRAL), Web of Science, and PubMed databases from inception to December 2025. Primary research studies evaluating the feasibility, diagnostic accuracy, clinical utility, educational utility, acceptability, and economic viability of antenatal teleultrasound usage were included. Random effects meta-analysis was used, and results were reported as pooled proportions or risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Diagnostic accuracy was further assessed using a hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic model. Of the 6,561 papers screened, 71 studies (60 clinical observational studies, five qualitative studies, four economic evaluation studies, and two randomized controlled trials) were included. Image transfer was feasible for both synchronous and asynchronous teleultrasound transmission, in a wide range of settings. Adequate technological infrastructure, including appropriate bandwidth and framerate requirements were vital factors for sufficient image quality and minimizing transmission delays. Visualizing gross fetal and placental structures using teleultrasound was frequently high; however, more specialized anatomy such as cardiac and neurological demonstrated lower visualization rates. Overall meta-analysis of 20 anatomical structures demonstrated teleultrasound is non-inferior at identification versus the reference standard RR 1.02 (95% CI [1.00,1.03]; n = 4 studies). Pooled diagnostic accuracy demonstrated excellent performance, with an AUC of 0.93 (n = 8 studies). The overall sensitivity was moderate at 0.70 (95% CI [0.44,0.84]), with a low false positive rate of 0.03 (95% CI [0.01,0.12]). There was evidence of educational and clinical utility for obstetric teleultrasound, particularly with novice users, demonstrating improved access to care in rural areas and low- and middle-income countries. Patient-operated telesonography demonstrated feasibility and high acceptability for performing basic fetal assessments. Three-dimens
背景:超声是产科评估胎儿状况的常用诊断方法,常用于高危孕妇。指南的修改、国家举措的实施以及产科人口的老龄化导致高危患者人数增加。这对门诊产科服务造成了很大的压力,以适应对连续产前超声扫描的需求增加。最近数字技术的进步使远程超声的发展迅速创新。最近的大流行病也对技术发展产生了重大影响,因为产科服务部门考虑了替代保健提供标准的解决办法。本综述旨在评估远程超声是否可行,可接受,诊断准确,以及具有成本效益的产前保健。方法和发现:我们检索了MEDLINE、Embase、Cochrane临床试验数据库(CENTRAL)、Web of Science和PubMed数据库,检索时间从成立到2025年12月。包括初步研究评估可行性,诊断准确性,临床效用,教育效用,可接受性和经济可行性的产前远程超声使用。采用随机效应荟萃分析,结果报告为合并比例或风险比(RR), 95%置信区间(CI)。诊断准确性进一步评估使用分级汇总的接收者工作特征模型。在筛选的6561篇论文中,纳入了71项研究(60项临床观察性研究、5项定性研究、4项经济评价研究和2项随机对照试验)。在广泛的设置下,图像传输在同步和异步远程超声传输中都是可行的。充分的技术基础设施,包括适当的带宽和帧率要求,是保证足够的图像质量和尽量减少传输延迟的关键因素。远端超声显示胎儿和胎盘大体结构的成功率较高;然而,更专业的解剖,如心脏和神经系统显示较低的可视化率。对20个解剖结构的综合荟萃分析表明,远程超声在鉴别上优于参考标准RR 1.02 (95% CI [1.00,1.03]; n = 4项研究)。综合诊断准确性表现优异,AUC为0.93 (n = 8项研究)。总体敏感性中等,为0.70 (95% CI[0.44,0.84]),假阳性率低,为0.03 (95% CI[0.01,0.12])。有证据表明,产科远程超声具有教育和临床用途,特别是对新手用户,这表明农村地区和低收入和中等收入国家获得护理的机会有所改善。患者操作的远程显像显示了可行性和高可接受性进行基本的胎儿评估。三维、四维和机器人远程超声没有突出二维扫描的优势。患者和医疗服务提供者的可接受性很高,提到了与满意度、信心、经济节约和平衡医疗公平相关的好处。远程超声的实施成本可能很高,但通常是由于每月的节省而产生的。高质量研究的代表性不足,表明需要进一步研究。远程超声系统明确的方法和技术能力的报告是主要的限制,证明难以充分复制研究。结论:本文综述了产科远程超声的潜在适用性和应用价值。这种新颖的护理模式是不断变化的,能够远程成像的新设备/系统具有临床和科学意义。目前,需要额外的高质量证据,特别是在临床背景下使用远程超声,同时确保足够的方法细节和一致的结果报告。
{"title":"Teleultrasound in obstetrics: A systematic review and meta-analysis.","authors":"Jack Le Vance, Matthew Vaughan, Tanvi Bhatia, Leo Gurney, Victoria Hodgetts Morton, R Katie Morris","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004922","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004922","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Ultrasound is a common diagnostic modality in obstetrics to evaluate the fetal condition, frequently used in pregnant women classifying as high-risk. Modifications to guidelines, implementation of national initiatives, combined with an aging obstetric population has led to an increased number of high-risk patients. This places a substantial strain on outpatient obstetric services to accommodate the increased demand for serial antenatal ultrasound scans. Recent advancements in digital technology have enabled the swift innovation of teleultrasound development. The recent pandemic has also substantially influenced technological development, as obstetric services considered alternative solutions to healthcare provision standards. This review aims to assess whether teleultrasound is feasible, acceptable, diagnostically accurate, and cost-effective for antenatal care.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Clinical Trials (CENTRAL), Web of Science, and PubMed databases from inception to December 2025. Primary research studies evaluating the feasibility, diagnostic accuracy, clinical utility, educational utility, acceptability, and economic viability of antenatal teleultrasound usage were included. Random effects meta-analysis was used, and results were reported as pooled proportions or risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Diagnostic accuracy was further assessed using a hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic model. Of the 6,561 papers screened, 71 studies (60 clinical observational studies, five qualitative studies, four economic evaluation studies, and two randomized controlled trials) were included. Image transfer was feasible for both synchronous and asynchronous teleultrasound transmission, in a wide range of settings. Adequate technological infrastructure, including appropriate bandwidth and framerate requirements were vital factors for sufficient image quality and minimizing transmission delays. Visualizing gross fetal and placental structures using teleultrasound was frequently high; however, more specialized anatomy such as cardiac and neurological demonstrated lower visualization rates. Overall meta-analysis of 20 anatomical structures demonstrated teleultrasound is non-inferior at identification versus the reference standard RR 1.02 (95% CI [1.00,1.03]; n = 4 studies). Pooled diagnostic accuracy demonstrated excellent performance, with an AUC of 0.93 (n = 8 studies). The overall sensitivity was moderate at 0.70 (95% CI [0.44,0.84]), with a low false positive rate of 0.03 (95% CI [0.01,0.12]). There was evidence of educational and clinical utility for obstetric teleultrasound, particularly with novice users, demonstrating improved access to care in rural areas and low- and middle-income countries. Patient-operated telesonography demonstrated feasibility and high acceptability for performing basic fetal assessments. Three-dimens","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004922"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12900445/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146133383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-05eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004920
Alvaro Schwalb, Peter J Dodd, Hannah M Rickman, César A Ugarte-Gil, Katherine C Horton, Rein M G J Houben
Background: Estimating the proportion of individuals currently infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is key for informing global health policies. Although a substantial portion of the global population exhibit tuberculous immunoreactivity, not all have a viable Mtb infection. Moreover, individuals with recent infections are at a higher risk of developing tuberculosis (TB). Here, we present estimates of the global burden of viable Mtb infection, using new insights into the natural history of TB.
Methods and findings: We constructed country-specific trends in annual risk of infection considering estimates of TB burden, immunoreactivity reversion, and age-specific mixing. We applied these trends to a deterministic mathematical model incorporating reinfection and self-clearance to estimate recent (within 2 years) and total viable Mtb infections. Empirical data on self-clearance are limited, so rates were informed by modelling estimates. In 2022, we estimated that 133.7 million people (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 104.0, 171.1) had a recent Mtb infection, representing 1.7% (95% UI: 1.3, 2.2) of the global population. In total, 288.9 million people (95% UI: 242.2, 342.7)-or 3.7% (95% UI: 3.1, 4.3) globally-were estimated to harbour a viable Mtb infection. Among those recently infected, 12.0% (95% UI: 11.4, 12.7) were children under 15 years of age. Most recent infections were found in the World Health Organization regions of South-East Asia (49.0%; 95% UI: 37.2, 62.4), the Western Pacific (19.7%; 95% UI: 12.6, 30.5), and Africa (17.9%; 95% UI: 12.9, 24.1). India, Indonesia, and China had the highest burden, with 39.1 million (95% UI: 18.0, 73.6), 12.0 million (95% UI: 5.8, 22.9), and 11.2 million (95% UI: 5.0, 25.5) people, respectively, recently infected with Mtb. Sensitivity analyses of varying self-clearance scenarios showed significant changes in global estimates of viable Mtb infection, particularly in total burden, with lower self-clearance rates. Overall uncertainty in the estimates was considerable, reflecting limitations in the underlying data informing key model parameters.
Conclusions: Our findings offer global burden estimates of viable Mtb infection and reveal a sizable population recently infected with Mtb and at high risk of progression to disease. New diagnostic tools that can detect individuals with viable Mtb-particularly those who would benefit from TB preventive therapy-are urgently needed.
{"title":"Estimating the global burden of viable Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection: A mathematical modelling study.","authors":"Alvaro Schwalb, Peter J Dodd, Hannah M Rickman, César A Ugarte-Gil, Katherine C Horton, Rein M G J Houben","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004920","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004920","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Estimating the proportion of individuals currently infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is key for informing global health policies. Although a substantial portion of the global population exhibit tuberculous immunoreactivity, not all have a viable Mtb infection. Moreover, individuals with recent infections are at a higher risk of developing tuberculosis (TB). Here, we present estimates of the global burden of viable Mtb infection, using new insights into the natural history of TB.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We constructed country-specific trends in annual risk of infection considering estimates of TB burden, immunoreactivity reversion, and age-specific mixing. We applied these trends to a deterministic mathematical model incorporating reinfection and self-clearance to estimate recent (within 2 years) and total viable Mtb infections. Empirical data on self-clearance are limited, so rates were informed by modelling estimates. In 2022, we estimated that 133.7 million people (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 104.0, 171.1) had a recent Mtb infection, representing 1.7% (95% UI: 1.3, 2.2) of the global population. In total, 288.9 million people (95% UI: 242.2, 342.7)-or 3.7% (95% UI: 3.1, 4.3) globally-were estimated to harbour a viable Mtb infection. Among those recently infected, 12.0% (95% UI: 11.4, 12.7) were children under 15 years of age. Most recent infections were found in the World Health Organization regions of South-East Asia (49.0%; 95% UI: 37.2, 62.4), the Western Pacific (19.7%; 95% UI: 12.6, 30.5), and Africa (17.9%; 95% UI: 12.9, 24.1). India, Indonesia, and China had the highest burden, with 39.1 million (95% UI: 18.0, 73.6), 12.0 million (95% UI: 5.8, 22.9), and 11.2 million (95% UI: 5.0, 25.5) people, respectively, recently infected with Mtb. Sensitivity analyses of varying self-clearance scenarios showed significant changes in global estimates of viable Mtb infection, particularly in total burden, with lower self-clearance rates. Overall uncertainty in the estimates was considerable, reflecting limitations in the underlying data informing key model parameters.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our findings offer global burden estimates of viable Mtb infection and reveal a sizable population recently infected with Mtb and at high risk of progression to disease. New diagnostic tools that can detect individuals with viable Mtb-particularly those who would benefit from TB preventive therapy-are urgently needed.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004920"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12893653/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146126843","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-05eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004925
Cameron M Gee, Angela Tsang, Miko McKenzie, Lise Belanger, Leanna Ritchie, Tamir Ailon, Charlotte Dandurand, Scott Paquette, Raphaële Charest-Morin, Nicolas Dea, John Street, Charles G Fisher, Jefferson Wilson, Anthony DiGiorgio, Jean-Marc Mac-Thiong, Sean Christie, Jamie Wilson, Christian Ricks, David Okonkwo, Brian K Kwon
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The hemodynamic management of acute spinal cord injury (SCI) aims to improve perfusion and mitigate ischemic secondary injury to the injured spinal cord, traditionally through the augmentation of mean arterial pressure (MAP). Recently, there has been interest in managing spinal cord perfusion pressure (SCPP)-the difference between MAP and intrathecal pressure (ITP) -after acute SCI. SCPP may be more physiologically relevant than MAP for neurologic recovery after traumatic SCI. Drainage of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) through a lumbar intrathecal catheter to reduce ITP and increase SCPP is commonly performed to reduce the risk of ischemic paralysis in thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (TAAA) surgery. We investigated a protocol for CSF drainage through intrathecal catheters to maintain SCPP ≥65 mmHg in participants with acute traumatic SCI. We sought to determine if managing SCPP was associated with better neurologic recovery compared to traditional MAP targets.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Fifty-eight participants with acute SCI (51 ± 19 years, 46M/12F) were enrolled across eight North American sites between August 2019 and May 2024 into this prospective single-arm multi-center clinical trial of CSF drainage for SCPP management (NCT03911492). Data were compared to data from a historical cohort of 86 participants (44 ± 19 years, 72M/14F) who had intrathecal catheters inserted for SCPP measurement only; these participants were managed according to conventional MAP guidelines with a target MAP of 85-90 mmHg (NCT01279811). MAP, ITP, SCPP, intrathecal waveform morphology, vasopressor use, and CSF drainage volume were reported for up to 7 days following SCI. Fifteen participants in the intervention group were lost to follow-up. Neurological assessments at enrollment and 6-months post-SCI were compared. The investigator team ended the trial when it was clear that adherence to the protocol was inconsistent across study sites. Participants managed according to the SCPP management protocol had an intrathecal catheter in place 138 hours (95% CI [129,147]) and 495cc (95% CI [350,641]) of CSF drained. No CSF was drained from seven participants. There were no significant differences in hemodynamic measures such as ITP and SCPP between groups, indicating that the SCPP management protocol did not alter the hemodynamic management. Subsequently, there were no differences in measures of neurological recovery between participants managed according to SCPP management protocol and conventional MAP guidelines (p = 0.897). Participants managed according to an SCPP target had more ITP waveform recordings noted as dampened or fully pulsatile suggesting a patent subarachnoid space (p = 0.006) and were administered vasopressors on fewer hourly observations (p = 0.004). Six reported adverse events were probably related to the intervention. Adherence to a protocol for managing SCPP through CSF drainage across multiple sites was chall
{"title":"Targeting spinal cord perfusion pressure in acute spinal cord injury through cerebrospinal fluid drainage: A prospective multi-center clinical trial.","authors":"Cameron M Gee, Angela Tsang, Miko McKenzie, Lise Belanger, Leanna Ritchie, Tamir Ailon, Charlotte Dandurand, Scott Paquette, Raphaële Charest-Morin, Nicolas Dea, John Street, Charles G Fisher, Jefferson Wilson, Anthony DiGiorgio, Jean-Marc Mac-Thiong, Sean Christie, Jamie Wilson, Christian Ricks, David Okonkwo, Brian K Kwon","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004925","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004925","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The hemodynamic management of acute spinal cord injury (SCI) aims to improve perfusion and mitigate ischemic secondary injury to the injured spinal cord, traditionally through the augmentation of mean arterial pressure (MAP). Recently, there has been interest in managing spinal cord perfusion pressure (SCPP)-the difference between MAP and intrathecal pressure (ITP) -after acute SCI. SCPP may be more physiologically relevant than MAP for neurologic recovery after traumatic SCI. Drainage of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) through a lumbar intrathecal catheter to reduce ITP and increase SCPP is commonly performed to reduce the risk of ischemic paralysis in thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (TAAA) surgery. We investigated a protocol for CSF drainage through intrathecal catheters to maintain SCPP ≥65 mmHg in participants with acute traumatic SCI. We sought to determine if managing SCPP was associated with better neurologic recovery compared to traditional MAP targets.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Fifty-eight participants with acute SCI (51 ± 19 years, 46M/12F) were enrolled across eight North American sites between August 2019 and May 2024 into this prospective single-arm multi-center clinical trial of CSF drainage for SCPP management (NCT03911492). Data were compared to data from a historical cohort of 86 participants (44 ± 19 years, 72M/14F) who had intrathecal catheters inserted for SCPP measurement only; these participants were managed according to conventional MAP guidelines with a target MAP of 85-90 mmHg (NCT01279811). MAP, ITP, SCPP, intrathecal waveform morphology, vasopressor use, and CSF drainage volume were reported for up to 7 days following SCI. Fifteen participants in the intervention group were lost to follow-up. Neurological assessments at enrollment and 6-months post-SCI were compared. The investigator team ended the trial when it was clear that adherence to the protocol was inconsistent across study sites. Participants managed according to the SCPP management protocol had an intrathecal catheter in place 138 hours (95% CI [129,147]) and 495cc (95% CI [350,641]) of CSF drained. No CSF was drained from seven participants. There were no significant differences in hemodynamic measures such as ITP and SCPP between groups, indicating that the SCPP management protocol did not alter the hemodynamic management. Subsequently, there were no differences in measures of neurological recovery between participants managed according to SCPP management protocol and conventional MAP guidelines (p = 0.897). Participants managed according to an SCPP target had more ITP waveform recordings noted as dampened or fully pulsatile suggesting a patent subarachnoid space (p = 0.006) and were administered vasopressors on fewer hourly observations (p = 0.004). Six reported adverse events were probably related to the intervention. Adherence to a protocol for managing SCPP through CSF drainage across multiple sites was chall","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004925"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12890222/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146126893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004635
Lisa J Douglas, Greg D Gamble, Jane E Harding, Deborah Samuel, Carl L Eagleton, Jane M Alsweiler, Trecia A Wouldes, Benjamin Thompson, Christopher J D McKinlay, Caroline A Crowther
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Optimal glycaemic targets for women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are unclear. The aim of this study was to compare maternal and child health 4.5 years after women with GDM had been randomised to use tight or less tight targets for glycaemic control during their pregnancy.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>The TARGET trial was a stepped-wedge, cluster-randomised trial conducted between May 29, 2015 and November 7, 2017 at 10 hospitals in New Zealand. All hospitals were initially allocated to use less tight glycaemic treatment targets (fasting plasma glucose (FPG) <5.5 mmol/L (<99 mg/dL), 1-hour <8.0 mmol/L (<144 mg/dL), 2 hour postprandial <7.0 mmol/L (<126 mg/dL)) for women with GDM and every 4 months two hospitals were randomised to use tighter targets (FPG ≤ 5.0 mmol/L (≤90 mg/dL), 1-hour ≤7.4 mmol/L (≤133 mg/dL), 2 hour postprandial ≤6.7 mmol/L) (≤121 mg/dL). Women with GDM, blinded to the targets in use, were eligible. The primary outcome was large for gestational age. This is a post-hoc follow-up study of the TARGET randomised trial, conducted from October 2020 to June 2022. We assessed 315/427 (74%) eligible mothers and 313/427 (73%) of their children. Primary outcomes were maternal glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and child body mass index (BMI) z-score. Secondary outcomes included maternal cardiometabolic risk, body size, and healthcare utilisation, and for the child, body size, vision, hearing, motor function, and behavioural outcomes. Data were collected from maternal and child health questionnaires, and their health records. Maternal HbA1c results were similar between tight and less tight glycaemic groups (40 mmol/mol standard deviation (SD) 12.6 versus 38 mmol/mol SD 8.8; adjusted mean difference (adjMD) 2.17 (95% confidence interval (CI) [-0.26, 4.60]; P = 0.080)). Child BMI z-scores were similar between groups (mean z-score 0.83 SD 1.72 versus 0.75 SD 1.48; adjMD 0.12 (95% CI [-0.24, 0.48]; P = 0.498)), although children in the tight glycaemic group were taller (107.8 cm SD 5.5 versus 106.0 cm SD 5.5; adjMD 1.83 (95% CI [0.58, 3.08]; P = 0.004)). Worse child outcomes were seen in the tight glycaemic group for coordination difficulties (31/109, 28.4% versus 21/118, 17.8%; adjusted relative risk (adjRR) 1.66 (95% CI [1.01, 2.73]; P = 0.044)), behaviour (likely on the autism spectrum 10/108, 9.3% versus 3/117, 2.6%; adjRR 3.67 (95% CI [1.02, 13.23]; P = 0.047)) and total difficulties scores from the strengths and difficulties questionnaire (mean score 8.4 SD 5.1 versus 6.8 SD 4.5; adjMD 1.75 (95% CI [0.51, 3.00]; P = 0.006)). The main limitation was the use of questionnaires rather than health professional assessments for some of the outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Tight compared to less tight glycaemic targets in women with GDM during pregnancy did not result in lower maternal HbA1c or lower child BMI z-scores 4.5 years later, and may be associated with adverse child mot
{"title":"Mother and child health 4.5 years after gestational diabetes mellitus managed using tight or less tight targets for glycaemic control: Post-hoc follow-up study of the TARGET trial.","authors":"Lisa J Douglas, Greg D Gamble, Jane E Harding, Deborah Samuel, Carl L Eagleton, Jane M Alsweiler, Trecia A Wouldes, Benjamin Thompson, Christopher J D McKinlay, Caroline A Crowther","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004635","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004635","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Optimal glycaemic targets for women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are unclear. The aim of this study was to compare maternal and child health 4.5 years after women with GDM had been randomised to use tight or less tight targets for glycaemic control during their pregnancy.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>The TARGET trial was a stepped-wedge, cluster-randomised trial conducted between May 29, 2015 and November 7, 2017 at 10 hospitals in New Zealand. All hospitals were initially allocated to use less tight glycaemic treatment targets (fasting plasma glucose (FPG) <5.5 mmol/L (<99 mg/dL), 1-hour <8.0 mmol/L (<144 mg/dL), 2 hour postprandial <7.0 mmol/L (<126 mg/dL)) for women with GDM and every 4 months two hospitals were randomised to use tighter targets (FPG ≤ 5.0 mmol/L (≤90 mg/dL), 1-hour ≤7.4 mmol/L (≤133 mg/dL), 2 hour postprandial ≤6.7 mmol/L) (≤121 mg/dL). Women with GDM, blinded to the targets in use, were eligible. The primary outcome was large for gestational age. This is a post-hoc follow-up study of the TARGET randomised trial, conducted from October 2020 to June 2022. We assessed 315/427 (74%) eligible mothers and 313/427 (73%) of their children. Primary outcomes were maternal glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and child body mass index (BMI) z-score. Secondary outcomes included maternal cardiometabolic risk, body size, and healthcare utilisation, and for the child, body size, vision, hearing, motor function, and behavioural outcomes. Data were collected from maternal and child health questionnaires, and their health records. Maternal HbA1c results were similar between tight and less tight glycaemic groups (40 mmol/mol standard deviation (SD) 12.6 versus 38 mmol/mol SD 8.8; adjusted mean difference (adjMD) 2.17 (95% confidence interval (CI) [-0.26, 4.60]; P = 0.080)). Child BMI z-scores were similar between groups (mean z-score 0.83 SD 1.72 versus 0.75 SD 1.48; adjMD 0.12 (95% CI [-0.24, 0.48]; P = 0.498)), although children in the tight glycaemic group were taller (107.8 cm SD 5.5 versus 106.0 cm SD 5.5; adjMD 1.83 (95% CI [0.58, 3.08]; P = 0.004)). Worse child outcomes were seen in the tight glycaemic group for coordination difficulties (31/109, 28.4% versus 21/118, 17.8%; adjusted relative risk (adjRR) 1.66 (95% CI [1.01, 2.73]; P = 0.044)), behaviour (likely on the autism spectrum 10/108, 9.3% versus 3/117, 2.6%; adjRR 3.67 (95% CI [1.02, 13.23]; P = 0.047)) and total difficulties scores from the strengths and difficulties questionnaire (mean score 8.4 SD 5.1 versus 6.8 SD 4.5; adjMD 1.75 (95% CI [0.51, 3.00]; P = 0.006)). The main limitation was the use of questionnaires rather than health professional assessments for some of the outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Tight compared to less tight glycaemic targets in women with GDM during pregnancy did not result in lower maternal HbA1c or lower child BMI z-scores 4.5 years later, and may be associated with adverse child mot","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004635"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12867249/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146114633","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004893
Dieudonné Mwamba Kazadi, Rosamund F Lewis, Pierre Akilimali, Danny Kalala, Maria Van Kerkhove, Chikwe Ihekweazu
While global interest in mpox may be waning, outbreaks, illness, and death continue across Africa and the world. Ending transmission requires a sustained global response that moves beyond reactive measures.
{"title":"The mpox epidemic is not over: Reducing disproportionate burden in Africa and persistent global risk require a sustained response.","authors":"Dieudonné Mwamba Kazadi, Rosamund F Lewis, Pierre Akilimali, Danny Kalala, Maria Van Kerkhove, Chikwe Ihekweazu","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004893","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004893","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While global interest in mpox may be waning, outbreaks, illness, and death continue across Africa and the world. Ending transmission requires a sustained global response that moves beyond reactive measures.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004893"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12867245/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146114622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-02eCollection Date: 2026-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004870
Rita Patel, Erik Lenguerrand, Yoav Ben-Shlomo, Jonathan French, Amar Rangan, Robin Brittain, Kevin Deere, Adrian Sayers, Ashley W Blom, Michael R Whitehouse, Andrew Judge
Background: Reducing health inequalities is of national importance. Total hip replacement (THR) is a commonly used elective surgical procedure. Few studies have examined area-level inequalities for a wide range of outcomes following THR. The aim of this study is to compare area-level socioeconomic differences in outcomes following primary THR surgery for osteoarthritis in England.
Methods and findings: This is a population-based prospective cohort study of the National Joint Registry (NJR). Data from the NJR were linked to national mortality, Hospital Episode Statistics and Patient Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs) databases for England from 2007 to 2017 with follow-up to 2023 for outcomes, for patients aged 50 years and over with osteoarthritis. Outcomes of 90-day mortality; 5-year revision rate; 6-month health complications; 1-year rehospitalisation and reoperation for orthopaedic indications; and patient-reported Oxford Hip Score (OHS), post-THR surgery were examined by area-level Index of Multiple Deprivation quintiles. Modified Poisson regression was adjusted for patient age, sex, body mass index, pre-operative physical state and comorbidity. Among 448,184 patients with primary THR, mean age was 70 years (standard deviation: 9 years) and 61% were women. Patients from the most deprived group were more likely to die within 90 days of the operation compared to the least deprived group (adjusted rate ratio, RR: 1.25 (95% confidence interval (CI) [1.07, 1.46]); adjusted risk difference, RD: 9 (95% CI [2, 16]) per 10,000. Similarly, those from the most deprived group were more likely to experience complications (RR: 1.26 (95% CI [1.21, 1.32]); RD: 1.14% (95% CI [0.92, 1.36])); be rehospitalised (RR: 1.16 (95% CI [1.14, 1.19]; RD: 2.78% (95% CI [2.39, 3.17])) or reoperated (RR: 1.23 (95% CI [1.13, 1.33]); RD: 0.31% (95% CI [0.19, 0.44])) and report poorer OHS (adjusted score: -2.97 (95% CI [-3.10, -2.84]) N = 200,522). There was no variation by deprivation level for THR revision rates at 5 years (RR: 1.02 (95% CI [0.94, 1.10]); RD: 0.02% (95% CI [-0.10, 0.15])). The main study limitations are the lack of complete PROMs data, and the exclusion of self-funded patients or those with private insurance for THR procedures in independent hospitals.
Conclusions: Inequalities in several outcomes after THR are present in England by area-level deprivation. These findings are useful to inform shared decision-making for patients deciding whether to undergo hip replacement and to benchmark the effectiveness of policies which aim to reduce health inequalities following THR.
背景:减少保健不平等对国家具有重要意义。全髋关节置换术是一种常用的选择性手术。很少有研究对THR后广泛结果的地区层面不平等进行调查。本研究的目的是比较英格兰原发性骨关节炎THR手术后结果的地区水平社会经济差异。方法和发现:这是一项基于人群的前瞻性队列研究,来自国家联合登记处(NJR)。来自NJR的数据与2007年至2017年英格兰的全国死亡率、医院事件统计和患者报告结果测量(PROMs)数据库相关联,并随访至2023年,随访对象为50岁及以上骨关节炎患者。90天死亡率结果;5年修正率;6个月健康并发症;因骨科指征再次住院1年并再次手术;和患者报告的牛津髋关节评分(OHS), thr手术后通过区域多重剥夺指数五分位数进行检查。修正泊松回归校正患者年龄、性别、体重指数、术前身体状况和合并症。在448184例原发性THR患者中,平均年龄为70岁(标准差:9岁),61%为女性。与最贫困组相比,最贫困组患者在手术后90天内死亡的可能性更大(调整后的比率比,RR: 1.25(95%可信区间(CI) [1.07, 1.46]);调整后的风险差异,RD: 9 (95% CI[2,16]) / 10,000。同样,来自最贫困组的患者更容易出现并发症(RR: 1.26 (95% CI [1.21, 1.32]);Rd: 1.14% (95% ci [0.92, 1.36]);再次住院(RR: 1.16 (95% CI [1.14, 1.19]; RD: 2.78% (95% CI[2.39, 3.17]))或再次手术(RR: 1.23 (95% CI [1.13, 1.33]);RD: 0.31% (95% CI[0.19, 0.44]))和报告较差的OHS(调整评分:-2.97 (95% CI [-3.10, -2.84]) N = 200,522)。剥夺程度对5年THR修订率没有影响(RR: 1.02 (95% CI [0.94, 1.10]);Rd: 0.02% (95% ci[-0.10, 0.15])。研究的主要局限性是缺乏完整的PROMs数据,并且排除了自费患者或在独立医院进行THR手术的私人保险患者。结论:在英格兰,由于地区水平的剥夺,THR后的几个结果存在不平等。这些发现有助于为患者决定是否接受髋关节置换术的共同决策提供信息,并对旨在减少THR后健康不平等的政策有效性进行基准测试。
{"title":"Social inequalities in patient outcomes after total hip replacement surgery for osteoarthritis in England: A population-based cohort study of the National Joint Registry.","authors":"Rita Patel, Erik Lenguerrand, Yoav Ben-Shlomo, Jonathan French, Amar Rangan, Robin Brittain, Kevin Deere, Adrian Sayers, Ashley W Blom, Michael R Whitehouse, Andrew Judge","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004870","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004870","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Reducing health inequalities is of national importance. Total hip replacement (THR) is a commonly used elective surgical procedure. Few studies have examined area-level inequalities for a wide range of outcomes following THR. The aim of this study is to compare area-level socioeconomic differences in outcomes following primary THR surgery for osteoarthritis in England.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>This is a population-based prospective cohort study of the National Joint Registry (NJR). Data from the NJR were linked to national mortality, Hospital Episode Statistics and Patient Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs) databases for England from 2007 to 2017 with follow-up to 2023 for outcomes, for patients aged 50 years and over with osteoarthritis. Outcomes of 90-day mortality; 5-year revision rate; 6-month health complications; 1-year rehospitalisation and reoperation for orthopaedic indications; and patient-reported Oxford Hip Score (OHS), post-THR surgery were examined by area-level Index of Multiple Deprivation quintiles. Modified Poisson regression was adjusted for patient age, sex, body mass index, pre-operative physical state and comorbidity. Among 448,184 patients with primary THR, mean age was 70 years (standard deviation: 9 years) and 61% were women. Patients from the most deprived group were more likely to die within 90 days of the operation compared to the least deprived group (adjusted rate ratio, RR: 1.25 (95% confidence interval (CI) [1.07, 1.46]); adjusted risk difference, RD: 9 (95% CI [2, 16]) per 10,000. Similarly, those from the most deprived group were more likely to experience complications (RR: 1.26 (95% CI [1.21, 1.32]); RD: 1.14% (95% CI [0.92, 1.36])); be rehospitalised (RR: 1.16 (95% CI [1.14, 1.19]; RD: 2.78% (95% CI [2.39, 3.17])) or reoperated (RR: 1.23 (95% CI [1.13, 1.33]); RD: 0.31% (95% CI [0.19, 0.44])) and report poorer OHS (adjusted score: -2.97 (95% CI [-3.10, -2.84]) N = 200,522). There was no variation by deprivation level for THR revision rates at 5 years (RR: 1.02 (95% CI [0.94, 1.10]); RD: 0.02% (95% CI [-0.10, 0.15])). The main study limitations are the lack of complete PROMs data, and the exclusion of self-funded patients or those with private insurance for THR procedures in independent hospitals.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Inequalities in several outcomes after THR are present in England by area-level deprivation. These findings are useful to inform shared decision-making for patients deciding whether to undergo hip replacement and to benchmark the effectiveness of policies which aim to reduce health inequalities following THR.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004870"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12863669/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146108186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The association between adiposity and increased liver cancer risk is well-recognized, yet underlying metabolic mechanisms require elucidation. This study aimed to identify metabolic mediators linking adiposity markers to liver cancer and assess their potential causality using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a 1:1 matched nested case-control study within a population-based and prospective cohort study-the Shanghai Men's Health Study (SMHS). The SMHS was initiated in 2002-2006, including 61,469 Chinese men aged 40-74 years, and has been followed up for over 20 years. Targeted metabolomic profiling was performed on baseline plasma samples. Associations between seven anthropometric measurements (body mass index [BMI], waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, waist-to-height ratio, a body shape index, hip circumference, and adult weight gain), 186 circulating metabolites, and liver cancer risk were assessed. Linear and conditional logistic regression model adjusted for multiple confounders (including smoking, alcohol drinking, physical activity, chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis, diabetes, etc.) were used. Pathway analysis and network analysis were conducted to explore the biological functions of these metabolites. Parallel mediation analysis was employed to quantify the mediating effects through metabolites. Subsequently, MR analysis was performed to investigate potential causal relationships. This study incorporated 322 incident liver cancer cases and 322 cancer-free controls. Participants diagnosed with liver cancer had higher proportions of seropositive hepatitis B surface antigen (63.7%) compared to their matched controls (6.2%). We identified 27 intermediate metabolites associated with both adiposity markers and liver cancer risk, which formed an interconnected functional network. Pyroglutamic acid demonstrated the most robust consistency, being significantly associated with seven anthropometric measurements (β per doubling with BMI = 0.17; 95% confidence interval [CI]: [0.09, 0.24]) and liver cancer (odds ratio per doubling = 1.56; 95% CI: [1.13, 2.15]). Pathway analysis highlighted significant alterations in energy, lipid, and amino acid metabolism. Specifically, Phenylalanine, tyrosine, and tryptophan biosynthesis showed the highest impact, suggesting a key role for aromatic amino acid metabolism. Parallel mediation analysis demonstrated significant indirect effects via intermediate metabolites for six of the seven anthropometric measurements, with the proportion mediated by the identified metabolite clusters reaching 0.16 (95% CI: [0.05, 0.29]) for BMI. MR analysis provided evidence supporting potential causality for 23 of 108 initially observed associations. The strongest association was observed between WC and oxoglutaric acid (βIVW per standard deviation = 0.31; 95% CI: [0.17, 0.43]). Notably, while the observational analysis suggeste
{"title":"Metabolomic insights into associations between adiposity markers and liver cancer risk: Results from a prospective cohort study and Mendelian randomization analysis.","authors":"Zhuo-Ying Li, Hong-Lan Li, Jing Wang, Qiu-Ming Shen, Yi-Xin Zou, Dan-Ni Yang, Yu-Ting Tan, Yong-Bing Xiang","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004910","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004910","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The association between adiposity and increased liver cancer risk is well-recognized, yet underlying metabolic mechanisms require elucidation. This study aimed to identify metabolic mediators linking adiposity markers to liver cancer and assess their potential causality using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a 1:1 matched nested case-control study within a population-based and prospective cohort study-the Shanghai Men's Health Study (SMHS). The SMHS was initiated in 2002-2006, including 61,469 Chinese men aged 40-74 years, and has been followed up for over 20 years. Targeted metabolomic profiling was performed on baseline plasma samples. Associations between seven anthropometric measurements (body mass index [BMI], waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, waist-to-height ratio, a body shape index, hip circumference, and adult weight gain), 186 circulating metabolites, and liver cancer risk were assessed. Linear and conditional logistic regression model adjusted for multiple confounders (including smoking, alcohol drinking, physical activity, chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis, diabetes, etc.) were used. Pathway analysis and network analysis were conducted to explore the biological functions of these metabolites. Parallel mediation analysis was employed to quantify the mediating effects through metabolites. Subsequently, MR analysis was performed to investigate potential causal relationships. This study incorporated 322 incident liver cancer cases and 322 cancer-free controls. Participants diagnosed with liver cancer had higher proportions of seropositive hepatitis B surface antigen (63.7%) compared to their matched controls (6.2%). We identified 27 intermediate metabolites associated with both adiposity markers and liver cancer risk, which formed an interconnected functional network. Pyroglutamic acid demonstrated the most robust consistency, being significantly associated with seven anthropometric measurements (β per doubling with BMI = 0.17; 95% confidence interval [CI]: [0.09, 0.24]) and liver cancer (odds ratio per doubling = 1.56; 95% CI: [1.13, 2.15]). Pathway analysis highlighted significant alterations in energy, lipid, and amino acid metabolism. Specifically, Phenylalanine, tyrosine, and tryptophan biosynthesis showed the highest impact, suggesting a key role for aromatic amino acid metabolism. Parallel mediation analysis demonstrated significant indirect effects via intermediate metabolites for six of the seven anthropometric measurements, with the proportion mediated by the identified metabolite clusters reaching 0.16 (95% CI: [0.05, 0.29]) for BMI. MR analysis provided evidence supporting potential causality for 23 of 108 initially observed associations. The strongest association was observed between WC and oxoglutaric acid (βIVW per standard deviation = 0.31; 95% CI: [0.17, 0.43]). Notably, while the observational analysis suggeste","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"23 2","pages":"e1004910"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12863527/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146108164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}