Pub Date : 2025-12-18eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004826
Leigh F Johnson, Lise Jamieson, Mmamapudi Kubjane, Gesine Meyer-Rath
Background: High incidence rates of HIV, sexually transmitted infections (STIs), and teenage pregnancy are major challenges facing South Africa. The role of socio-economic factors in driving these incidence rates is complex, with high socio-economic status protecting against some risk behaviours (condomless sex, early sexual debut, and casual/transactional sex in females) but increasing other risk behaviours (e.g., male engagement in casual and commercial sex). We aimed to model the effect of socio-economic status, and associated economic strengthening interventions, in South Africa.
Methods and findings: We extended a previously-developed agent-based model of HIV, STIs, and fertility in South Africa to assess effects of education, employment, and per capita household income on sexual behaviours. We estimated these effects from literature and from calibration of the model to African randomized controlled trials of economic strengthening interventions. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated. We considered three intervention types, all targeting households with log per capita income below the national average: school support to reduce school dropout; vocational training for unemployed adults; and unconditional cash transfers. We estimate that low socio-economic status accounted for 13% of new HIV infections, 7% of incident STIs (gonorrhoea, chlamydia, and trichomoniasis) and 31% of teenage births in South Africa, over 2000-2020. However, because of uncertainties regarding effect sizes, confidence intervals around these PAFs are wide (1,50% for HIV; -1,19% for STIs; and 10,76% for teenage births). Over 2025-2040, none of the interventions are estimated to reduce HIV, STIs, or teenage births significantly, due to limited impact on secondary economic outcomes. The greatest impact would be that of school support on teenage births (a 5% reduction, 95% CI: -1,12%). Key limitations include the assumption of uniform STI treatment access across socio-economic strata, and the exclusion of possible socio-economic effects at a community level.
Conclusions: Although poverty is likely to be a significant driver of HIV, STIs, and teenage pregnancy in South Africa, precise quantification is challenging. Recently trialled economic strengthening interventions have insufficient impact on socio-economic status to reduce HIV and STIs significantly at a population level.
{"title":"Evaluation of economic strengthening in South Africa and its impact on HIV, sexually transmitted infections, and teenage births: A modelling study.","authors":"Leigh F Johnson, Lise Jamieson, Mmamapudi Kubjane, Gesine Meyer-Rath","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004826","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004826","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>High incidence rates of HIV, sexually transmitted infections (STIs), and teenage pregnancy are major challenges facing South Africa. The role of socio-economic factors in driving these incidence rates is complex, with high socio-economic status protecting against some risk behaviours (condomless sex, early sexual debut, and casual/transactional sex in females) but increasing other risk behaviours (e.g., male engagement in casual and commercial sex). We aimed to model the effect of socio-economic status, and associated economic strengthening interventions, in South Africa.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We extended a previously-developed agent-based model of HIV, STIs, and fertility in South Africa to assess effects of education, employment, and per capita household income on sexual behaviours. We estimated these effects from literature and from calibration of the model to African randomized controlled trials of economic strengthening interventions. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated. We considered three intervention types, all targeting households with log per capita income below the national average: school support to reduce school dropout; vocational training for unemployed adults; and unconditional cash transfers. We estimate that low socio-economic status accounted for 13% of new HIV infections, 7% of incident STIs (gonorrhoea, chlamydia, and trichomoniasis) and 31% of teenage births in South Africa, over 2000-2020. However, because of uncertainties regarding effect sizes, confidence intervals around these PAFs are wide (1,50% for HIV; -1,19% for STIs; and 10,76% for teenage births). Over 2025-2040, none of the interventions are estimated to reduce HIV, STIs, or teenage births significantly, due to limited impact on secondary economic outcomes. The greatest impact would be that of school support on teenage births (a 5% reduction, 95% CI: -1,12%). Key limitations include the assumption of uniform STI treatment access across socio-economic strata, and the exclusion of possible socio-economic effects at a community level.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Although poverty is likely to be a significant driver of HIV, STIs, and teenage pregnancy in South Africa, precise quantification is challenging. Recently trialled economic strengthening interventions have insufficient impact on socio-economic status to reduce HIV and STIs significantly at a population level.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004826"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12714221/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145783536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-17eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004651
Rylee McGonigle, Huseyin Naci, Maximilian Siebert, Michelle Ouvina, Alba Gutiérrez-Sacristán, Anita K Wagner, Florence T Bourgeois
Background: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has the authority to require that sponsors conduct pediatric studies for certain new drugs under the Pediatric Research Equity Act (PREA). Here, we evaluate the characteristics and completion of these studies and assess the addition of pediatric-specific evidence generated from these studies into drug labeling.
Methods and findings: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all novel drugs approved by the FDA from 2011 to 2023 with at least one pediatric study requirement issued under PREA. Study status and outcomes were followed through 31 December 2024. We assessed completion of pediatric studies; addition of pediatric prescribing information to drug labels; and deviations from FDA-projected timelines. Of 552 novel drugs approved by the FDA between 2011 and 2023, 179 (32.4%) were subject to pediatric study requirements under PREA. Thirteen were later discontinued, resulting in a final cohort of 166 drugs and 338 pediatric study requirements. About half (51.8%) of the studies assessed efficacy. Among 222 studies with due dates by 31 December 2024, only 24.3% were completed by the original deadline. Over half (56.8%) received extensions of original timelines, by an average of 2.9 years (SD 2.0). At 10 years after drug approval, while 92.0% of studies were expected to have been completed, 59.5% had been completed. Of the 117 drugs with studies due by 31 December 2024, 54.7% (n = 64) had pediatric labeling updated with results from required studies. The mean time to addition of pediatric approval was 5.7 years (SD 2.6), whereas labeling additions reflecting lack of pediatric safety or benefit took an average of 8.3 years (SD 3.3) (p < 0.001). While 90.4% of drugs were expected to have all pediatric studies completed by 10 years, only 52.8% had any labeling changes reflecting data from the PREA-mandated studies. A limitation of this study is that publicly available FDA data provide limited detail on study design, execution, and reasons for delays, preventing assessment of study rigor and the factors contributing to delayed completion.
Conclusions: PREA was implemented to advance pediatric drug research and fill a critical gap in pediatric labeling of new drugs. However, our findings reveal frequent delays in study completion and labeling updates, with just over half of labeling additions completed 10 years after drug approval. Strengthening reporting requirements and expanding the FDA's enforcement authority are essential to ensuring that children receive timely access to safe and effective therapies supported by high-quality evidence.
{"title":"Pediatric studies and labeling additions required by the U.S. FDA for novel drugs approved from 2011 to 2023: A retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Rylee McGonigle, Huseyin Naci, Maximilian Siebert, Michelle Ouvina, Alba Gutiérrez-Sacristán, Anita K Wagner, Florence T Bourgeois","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004651","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004651","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has the authority to require that sponsors conduct pediatric studies for certain new drugs under the Pediatric Research Equity Act (PREA). Here, we evaluate the characteristics and completion of these studies and assess the addition of pediatric-specific evidence generated from these studies into drug labeling.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We performed a retrospective cohort study of all novel drugs approved by the FDA from 2011 to 2023 with at least one pediatric study requirement issued under PREA. Study status and outcomes were followed through 31 December 2024. We assessed completion of pediatric studies; addition of pediatric prescribing information to drug labels; and deviations from FDA-projected timelines. Of 552 novel drugs approved by the FDA between 2011 and 2023, 179 (32.4%) were subject to pediatric study requirements under PREA. Thirteen were later discontinued, resulting in a final cohort of 166 drugs and 338 pediatric study requirements. About half (51.8%) of the studies assessed efficacy. Among 222 studies with due dates by 31 December 2024, only 24.3% were completed by the original deadline. Over half (56.8%) received extensions of original timelines, by an average of 2.9 years (SD 2.0). At 10 years after drug approval, while 92.0% of studies were expected to have been completed, 59.5% had been completed. Of the 117 drugs with studies due by 31 December 2024, 54.7% (n = 64) had pediatric labeling updated with results from required studies. The mean time to addition of pediatric approval was 5.7 years (SD 2.6), whereas labeling additions reflecting lack of pediatric safety or benefit took an average of 8.3 years (SD 3.3) (p < 0.001). While 90.4% of drugs were expected to have all pediatric studies completed by 10 years, only 52.8% had any labeling changes reflecting data from the PREA-mandated studies. A limitation of this study is that publicly available FDA data provide limited detail on study design, execution, and reasons for delays, preventing assessment of study rigor and the factors contributing to delayed completion.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>PREA was implemented to advance pediatric drug research and fill a critical gap in pediatric labeling of new drugs. However, our findings reveal frequent delays in study completion and labeling updates, with just over half of labeling additions completed 10 years after drug approval. Strengthening reporting requirements and expanding the FDA's enforcement authority are essential to ensuring that children receive timely access to safe and effective therapies supported by high-quality evidence.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004651"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12742784/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145776162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-16eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004793
Fahmida Tofail, Helen O Pitchik, Mahfuza Islam, Rizwana Khan, Abul K Shoab, Fahmida Akter, Shirina Aktar, Tarique M N Huda, Mahbubur Rahman, Peter J Winch, Stephen P Luby, Lia C H Fernald
<p><strong>Background: </strong>A previous cluster-randomized controlled trial in Bangladesh found that individual or combined water, handwashing, sanitation, and nutrition interventions during pregnancy and after birth improved developmental outcomes of children at 1 and 2 years of age. In this study, we aimed to determine if these intervention effects were sustained for children at school age.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Clusters of pregnant women were enrolled between May 31, 2012 and July 7, 2013 and block-randomized into chlorinated drinking water (W); improved sanitation (S); handwashing with soap (H); combined WSH; nutrition counseling and provision of lipid-based supplements (N); combined WSH + N, or a double-sized passive control arm (C) with no intervention visits (N = 5,551). The primary outcomes of the main trial after the 2-year intervention were 7-day diarrhea prevalence and length-for-age z-score, measured in 4,584 children of enrolled pregnant women. We conducted a post hoc, follow-up of all initially enrolled mothers and their children 5 years after intervention completion, when children were 7 years old. Primary outcomes were child cognition assessed using the Wechsler Pre and Primary Scale of Intelligence (WPPSI-IV), along with assessments of fine motor abilities, behavior, school achievement, and executive function; secondary outcomes were maternal mental health and stimulation in the home environment. We conducted intention-to-treat analyses using generalized linear models to calculate unadjusted and adjusted comparisons between each arm and the control group, accounting for block-level clustering. Between September 2019 and February 2021, we re-enrolled 4,175 households from all 720 original clusters, with the full set of child development assessments conducted on 3,833 children across 718 clusters. Children in the WSH + N, N, and S arms had improved cognitive scores on one or more domains compared to the control arm, with adjusted effect sizes between 0.10 (95%CI: 0.00, 0.20) and 0.15 (0.03, 0.27). Children in the W, H, N, WSH, and WSH + N arms demonstrated improved prosocial behaviors (adjusted effect sizes between 0.20 (0.07, 0.33) and 0.31 (0.16, 0.46)) and reduced difficult behaviors (adjusted effect sizes between -0.15 (-0.28, -0.01) and -0.31 (-0.45, -0.17)). No intervention effects were observed for fine motor, executive functioning, or school achievement outcomes. Maternal depressive symptoms were improved in the WSH + N, H, and N arms (adjusted effect sizes between -0.14 (-0.24, -0.03) and -0.21 (-0.31, -0.11)), and the stimulating home environment was improved in all intervention arms (adjusted effect sizes between 0.17 (0.01, 0.33) and 0.40 (0.25, 0.56)). Children whose families had higher wealth at baseline and those who were male tended to have larger effect sizes on the FSIQ. Data collection for this study was interrupted by a 6-month pause at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The main limit
{"title":"Effects of early water, sanitation, handwashing, and nutrition interventions on child development at school age: a follow-on study of a cluster-randomized trial in rural Bangladesh.","authors":"Fahmida Tofail, Helen O Pitchik, Mahfuza Islam, Rizwana Khan, Abul K Shoab, Fahmida Akter, Shirina Aktar, Tarique M N Huda, Mahbubur Rahman, Peter J Winch, Stephen P Luby, Lia C H Fernald","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004793","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004793","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>A previous cluster-randomized controlled trial in Bangladesh found that individual or combined water, handwashing, sanitation, and nutrition interventions during pregnancy and after birth improved developmental outcomes of children at 1 and 2 years of age. In this study, we aimed to determine if these intervention effects were sustained for children at school age.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Clusters of pregnant women were enrolled between May 31, 2012 and July 7, 2013 and block-randomized into chlorinated drinking water (W); improved sanitation (S); handwashing with soap (H); combined WSH; nutrition counseling and provision of lipid-based supplements (N); combined WSH + N, or a double-sized passive control arm (C) with no intervention visits (N = 5,551). The primary outcomes of the main trial after the 2-year intervention were 7-day diarrhea prevalence and length-for-age z-score, measured in 4,584 children of enrolled pregnant women. We conducted a post hoc, follow-up of all initially enrolled mothers and their children 5 years after intervention completion, when children were 7 years old. Primary outcomes were child cognition assessed using the Wechsler Pre and Primary Scale of Intelligence (WPPSI-IV), along with assessments of fine motor abilities, behavior, school achievement, and executive function; secondary outcomes were maternal mental health and stimulation in the home environment. We conducted intention-to-treat analyses using generalized linear models to calculate unadjusted and adjusted comparisons between each arm and the control group, accounting for block-level clustering. Between September 2019 and February 2021, we re-enrolled 4,175 households from all 720 original clusters, with the full set of child development assessments conducted on 3,833 children across 718 clusters. Children in the WSH + N, N, and S arms had improved cognitive scores on one or more domains compared to the control arm, with adjusted effect sizes between 0.10 (95%CI: 0.00, 0.20) and 0.15 (0.03, 0.27). Children in the W, H, N, WSH, and WSH + N arms demonstrated improved prosocial behaviors (adjusted effect sizes between 0.20 (0.07, 0.33) and 0.31 (0.16, 0.46)) and reduced difficult behaviors (adjusted effect sizes between -0.15 (-0.28, -0.01) and -0.31 (-0.45, -0.17)). No intervention effects were observed for fine motor, executive functioning, or school achievement outcomes. Maternal depressive symptoms were improved in the WSH + N, H, and N arms (adjusted effect sizes between -0.14 (-0.24, -0.03) and -0.21 (-0.31, -0.11)), and the stimulating home environment was improved in all intervention arms (adjusted effect sizes between 0.17 (0.01, 0.33) and 0.40 (0.25, 0.56)). Children whose families had higher wealth at baseline and those who were male tended to have larger effect sizes on the FSIQ. Data collection for this study was interrupted by a 6-month pause at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The main limit","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004793"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12707674/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145769726","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-11eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004851
Danny Maupin, Matt Spick, Nophar Geifman
Open research and data transparency are a bulwark against unethical activities, but can also introduce integrity risks. As with all public goods, freely available data can be exploited, and here we set out the case for the use of safeguarding practices.
{"title":"Safeguarding Open Science from exploitative practices.","authors":"Danny Maupin, Matt Spick, Nophar Geifman","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004851","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004851","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Open research and data transparency are a bulwark against unethical activities, but can also introduce integrity risks. As with all public goods, freely available data can be exploited, and here we set out the case for the use of safeguarding practices.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004851"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12697977/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145745339","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-11eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004828
Angela Y Chang, Emily K Johnson, Sarah Bolongaita, Kent Buse, Sarah J Hawkes, Omar Karlsson, Felicia M Knaul, Margaret E Kruk, Ole F Norheim, Osondu Ogbuoji, David Watkins, Dean T Jamison
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The answer to whether females or males have better health, and which sex is the more disadvantaged, has depended in part on the metric and how the inequality is measured. This study introduces a new method for analyzing and interpreting sex inequalities in health outcomes-defined as the avoidable sex differences in health outcomes-that is systematic and potentially more objective. For this paper, we focus on life expectancy at different ages.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We introduce the adjusted sex ratio as a measure of sex inequalities and determining sex disadvantage. First, we calculated the sex ratio of life expectancy at ages 0, 5, 15, 35, 50, and 70. To understand what is achievable under favorable conditions, we identified countries in the 5th percentile of the highest life expectancy for each sex and used these values as benchmarks, and calculated the sex ratio of these best-performing countries ("frontier"). We calculated the country- and age-specific adjusted sex ratio by dividing country sex ratios by frontier sex ratios. This assumes that theoretically, under the current risk and healthcare environments, females all over the world have the potential to live up to the life expectancy of the females in the frontier countries, and separately, all males to their male-specific frontier. An adjusted ratio of greater than one indicates male disadvantage, while below one indicates female disadvantage. To avoid overinterpreting small differences, we defined a narrow range around equality (ratio of 1) within which we do not label either sex as disadvantaged. Before adjustment, males in all countries (except two) and at all ages had lower life expectancy than females. After adjustment, between 13% (at age 0) and 33% (at age 70) of the 237 countries shift from male to female disadvantage in life expectancy. More than half of the countries remain male-disadvantaged, indicating that males are generally disadvantaged in terms of life expectancy in most countries, even after our adjustments. India and approximately half of the countries in the Middle East and North Africa, North Atlantic, sub-Saharan Africa, and Western Pacific and Southeast Asia show female disadvantage. The number of countries with female disadvantage rises with age, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and Western Pacific and Southeastern Asia. Central and Eastern Europe show substantial male disadvantage across nearly all ages, even with adjustment. Our frontier selection and buffer range are empirical choices, and other definitions could be equally valid. Although our sex-specific benchmarks use the best-performing countries for each sex, they are not meant to represent purely biological differences, as observed sex gaps in life expectancy may also reflect unmeasured genetic variation, environmental exposures, and their interactions with sex.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study provides a novel, potentially more objective m
{"title":"From sex differences to sex inequalities in life expectancy: A cross-country observational benchmarking analysis.","authors":"Angela Y Chang, Emily K Johnson, Sarah Bolongaita, Kent Buse, Sarah J Hawkes, Omar Karlsson, Felicia M Knaul, Margaret E Kruk, Ole F Norheim, Osondu Ogbuoji, David Watkins, Dean T Jamison","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004828","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004828","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The answer to whether females or males have better health, and which sex is the more disadvantaged, has depended in part on the metric and how the inequality is measured. This study introduces a new method for analyzing and interpreting sex inequalities in health outcomes-defined as the avoidable sex differences in health outcomes-that is systematic and potentially more objective. For this paper, we focus on life expectancy at different ages.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We introduce the adjusted sex ratio as a measure of sex inequalities and determining sex disadvantage. First, we calculated the sex ratio of life expectancy at ages 0, 5, 15, 35, 50, and 70. To understand what is achievable under favorable conditions, we identified countries in the 5th percentile of the highest life expectancy for each sex and used these values as benchmarks, and calculated the sex ratio of these best-performing countries (\"frontier\"). We calculated the country- and age-specific adjusted sex ratio by dividing country sex ratios by frontier sex ratios. This assumes that theoretically, under the current risk and healthcare environments, females all over the world have the potential to live up to the life expectancy of the females in the frontier countries, and separately, all males to their male-specific frontier. An adjusted ratio of greater than one indicates male disadvantage, while below one indicates female disadvantage. To avoid overinterpreting small differences, we defined a narrow range around equality (ratio of 1) within which we do not label either sex as disadvantaged. Before adjustment, males in all countries (except two) and at all ages had lower life expectancy than females. After adjustment, between 13% (at age 0) and 33% (at age 70) of the 237 countries shift from male to female disadvantage in life expectancy. More than half of the countries remain male-disadvantaged, indicating that males are generally disadvantaged in terms of life expectancy in most countries, even after our adjustments. India and approximately half of the countries in the Middle East and North Africa, North Atlantic, sub-Saharan Africa, and Western Pacific and Southeast Asia show female disadvantage. The number of countries with female disadvantage rises with age, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and Western Pacific and Southeastern Asia. Central and Eastern Europe show substantial male disadvantage across nearly all ages, even with adjustment. Our frontier selection and buffer range are empirical choices, and other definitions could be equally valid. Although our sex-specific benchmarks use the best-performing countries for each sex, they are not meant to represent purely biological differences, as observed sex gaps in life expectancy may also reflect unmeasured genetic variation, environmental exposures, and their interactions with sex.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study provides a novel, potentially more objective m","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004828"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12697978/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145745305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-09eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004827
Angela McLaughlin, Junine Toy, Vincent Montoya, Paul Sereda, Jason Trigg, Mark Hull, Chanson J Brumme, Rolando Barrios, Julio S G Montaner, Jeffrey B Joy
<p><strong>Background: </strong>HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) prevents infection when used during periods of risk, however, its population-level effectiveness is hindered by incomplete uptake, adherence, and retention. Since oral PrEP became available free-of-cost in British Columbia (BC), Canada, in January 2018, uptake has been rapid among eligible individuals, primarily comprising gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBM), however, its effectiveness against HIV acquisition across subpopulations alongside potential effects on baseline drug resistance have not been estimated. We evaluated individual and population-level impacts of PrEP on HIV drug resistance and transmission in phylogenetic clusters, representing groups of individuals linked by recent outbreaks, to elucidate heterogeneity in its effectiveness.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Using a retrospective cohort design, we evaluated the frequencies of baseline drug resistance mutations and membership in phylogenetic clusters among newly HIV diagnosed people who ever filled a prescription for HIV PrEP (i.e., PrEP users) in BC (n = 39) compared to non-PrEP users (n = 566) diagnosed from 2018 to 2022 in the BC Drug Treatment Program with at least one sequence available. Newly HIV diagnosed PrEP users were significantly more likely than newly diagnosed non-PrEP users to be included in phylogenetic clusters (chi-squared test, p = 0.0075) and carry baseline nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) resistance mutation M184I/V (Fisher's exact test, adjusted p-value = 0.025). Subsequently, we quantified the population-level impacts of widespread PrEP availability on transmission based on the effective reproduction number (Re), compared across key populations living with HIV in BC and active phylogenetic clusters with at least one new case since 2018. We applied simulations of active clusters' growth based on their empirically observed Re with or without estimated PrEP impacts to estimate diagnoses averted via PrEP across clusters, with non-clustered cases grouped together. Most diagnoses were averted in large and medium GBM-predominant clusters. In a Poisson model, clusters with fewer diagnoses averted were associated with having a higher median age and lower proportion of new diagnoses with PrEP use, adjusted for cluster size at the end of 2017 and proportion residing in Vancouver Coastal Health Authority. These results must be interpreted in light of uncertainty owing to incomplete sampling, the use of consensus genomes, phylogenetic inference, and the assumptions of counterfactual simulations.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We estimated that the oral PrEP program in BC from 2018 to 2022 averted approximately 20 new HIV diagnoses per year across phylogenetic clusters, while infrequently contributing to baseline drug resistance in instances where PrEP was inadvertently prescribed during acute infection or with incomplete adherence. These f
{"title":"Heterogeneous impacts of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) on drug resistance and phylogenetic cluster transmission dynamics in British Columbia, Canada: A retrospective cohort and simulation study.","authors":"Angela McLaughlin, Junine Toy, Vincent Montoya, Paul Sereda, Jason Trigg, Mark Hull, Chanson J Brumme, Rolando Barrios, Julio S G Montaner, Jeffrey B Joy","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004827","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004827","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) prevents infection when used during periods of risk, however, its population-level effectiveness is hindered by incomplete uptake, adherence, and retention. Since oral PrEP became available free-of-cost in British Columbia (BC), Canada, in January 2018, uptake has been rapid among eligible individuals, primarily comprising gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBM), however, its effectiveness against HIV acquisition across subpopulations alongside potential effects on baseline drug resistance have not been estimated. We evaluated individual and population-level impacts of PrEP on HIV drug resistance and transmission in phylogenetic clusters, representing groups of individuals linked by recent outbreaks, to elucidate heterogeneity in its effectiveness.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Using a retrospective cohort design, we evaluated the frequencies of baseline drug resistance mutations and membership in phylogenetic clusters among newly HIV diagnosed people who ever filled a prescription for HIV PrEP (i.e., PrEP users) in BC (n = 39) compared to non-PrEP users (n = 566) diagnosed from 2018 to 2022 in the BC Drug Treatment Program with at least one sequence available. Newly HIV diagnosed PrEP users were significantly more likely than newly diagnosed non-PrEP users to be included in phylogenetic clusters (chi-squared test, p = 0.0075) and carry baseline nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) resistance mutation M184I/V (Fisher's exact test, adjusted p-value = 0.025). Subsequently, we quantified the population-level impacts of widespread PrEP availability on transmission based on the effective reproduction number (Re), compared across key populations living with HIV in BC and active phylogenetic clusters with at least one new case since 2018. We applied simulations of active clusters' growth based on their empirically observed Re with or without estimated PrEP impacts to estimate diagnoses averted via PrEP across clusters, with non-clustered cases grouped together. Most diagnoses were averted in large and medium GBM-predominant clusters. In a Poisson model, clusters with fewer diagnoses averted were associated with having a higher median age and lower proportion of new diagnoses with PrEP use, adjusted for cluster size at the end of 2017 and proportion residing in Vancouver Coastal Health Authority. These results must be interpreted in light of uncertainty owing to incomplete sampling, the use of consensus genomes, phylogenetic inference, and the assumptions of counterfactual simulations.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We estimated that the oral PrEP program in BC from 2018 to 2022 averted approximately 20 new HIV diagnoses per year across phylogenetic clusters, while infrequently contributing to baseline drug resistance in instances where PrEP was inadvertently prescribed during acute infection or with incomplete adherence. These f","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004827"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12700434/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145716197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-09eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004849
Sami L Gottlieb, Helen Rees, Remco P H Peters
Asymptomatic transmission, inequitable access to diagnostics, and rising antimicrobial resistance are major barriers to controlling the bacterial sexually transmitted infections (STIs) gonorrhea, chlamydia, and syphilis. Developing vaccines against these infections has therefore become a key STI research priority, requiring innovative research, expedited clinical development, and increased investment.
{"title":"Vaccines to prevent bacterial sexually transmitted infections: Promise, progress, and public health potential.","authors":"Sami L Gottlieb, Helen Rees, Remco P H Peters","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004849","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004849","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Asymptomatic transmission, inequitable access to diagnostics, and rising antimicrobial resistance are major barriers to controlling the bacterial sexually transmitted infections (STIs) gonorrhea, chlamydia, and syphilis. Developing vaccines against these infections has therefore become a key STI research priority, requiring innovative research, expedited clinical development, and increased investment.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004849"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12688108/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145716268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-08eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004662
Anuja Dokras, Christos Coutifaris, Alan T Remaley, Nehal N Mehta, Martin P Playford, Allen R Kunselman, Christy C Stetter, William C Dodson, Richard S Legro
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The risk-to-benefit ratio of using combined oral contraceptive pills (COCPs) and/or metformin for comprehensive management of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) in women with obesity is unclear. As there is a lack of robust evidence on the impact of these first-line medications on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, we compared the effect of COCPs, metformin or both on prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in participants with hyperandrogenic PCOS and hypothesized that COCPs would increase prevalence of MetS while metformin would decrease prevalence of MetS.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a multicenter, double-blind, double-dummy, randomized trial (COMET-PCOS) in participants between ages ≥18 and ≤40 years and body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2 and ≤ 48 kg/m2 with hyperandrogenic PCOS (defined by the Rotterdam criteria). Participants were randomized 1:1:1 to 24 weeks of low-dose COCPs (20 μg ethinyl estradiol/0.15 mg desogestrol), metforminXR (2,000 mg), or both (Combined). The primary outcome, assessed by intention-to-treat analysis, was the effect of the different treatment groups on the prevalence of MetS at the end of study. The analytical model included site, race, and the presence or absence of MetS at the screening visit as covariates. The secondary outcomes included changes in each component of MetS (TG, HDL-C, BP, WC, and fasting glucose levels) over the study period. Of the 240 participants randomly assigned, 20 out of 79 in the COCP group, 16 out of 81 in the metformin group, and 17 out of 80 in the combined group dropped out of the study. A total of 169 participants (70.4%) completed the trial between January 2018 and June 2023 (mean age: 29.5 years; mean BMI: 35.6 kg/m2; 70% were White and 23% were Black). The overall prevalence of MetS was 31% at baseline and comparable across groups. At the end of the study, the prevalence of MetS was 26.2% (17/65) in the metformin group, 28.6% (17/59) in the Combined group, and 28.8% (17/59) in COCP group with no significant difference in trend of MetS prevalence between groups (adjusted p = 0.26). Waist circumference (mean change (MC) -2.23 cm; 95% CI [-3.98, -0.49]; p = 0.01), BMI (MC -0.49 kg/m2; 95% CI [-0.88, -0.10]; p = 0.01), and android fat mass measured by DXA (MC -167 g; 95% CI [-264, -71[; p < 0.001) decreased in the COCP group over the study period whilst there was no statistically significant changes in these parameters in the metformin only group when compared to baseline.. In the metformin and Combined groups, the majority of participants (>64%) reported diarrhea, while 24.1% in the COCP group reported uterine bleeding. The main methodologic limitation of the study is the potential lack of power to detect differences in secondary outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In participants with hyperandrogenic PCOS and overweight/obesity, low-dose COCPs effectively managed PCOS symptoms without increasing prevalence of MetS. Ou
背景:使用联合口服避孕药和/或二甲双胍综合治疗肥胖女性多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)的风险-效益比尚不清楚。由于缺乏关于这些一线药物对心血管疾病(CVD)风险影响的有力证据,我们比较了COCPs、二甲双胍或两者对高雄激素性PCOS患者代谢综合征(MetS)患病率的影响,并假设COCPs会增加MetS的患病率,而二甲双胍会降低MetS的患病率。方法和研究结果:我们对年龄≥18岁至≤40岁、体重指数(BMI)≥25 kg/m2和≤48 kg/m2伴有高雄激素性PCOS(由鹿特丹标准定义)的参与者进行了一项多中心、双盲、双虚拟、随机试验(COMET-PCOS)。参与者以1:1:1的比例随机分配至24周的低剂量cocp (20 μg炔雌醇/0.15 mg地孕酮)、二甲双胍xr (2,000 mg)或两者(联合)。通过意向治疗分析评估的主要结果是研究结束时不同治疗组对MetS患病率的影响。分析模型包括地点、种族和筛查时是否存在MetS作为协变量。次要结果包括研究期间代谢当量(TG、HDL-C、BP、WC和空腹血糖水平)各组成部分的变化。在随机分配的240名参与者中,COCP组的79人中有20人,二甲双胍组的81人中有16人,联合组的80人中有17人退出了研究。在2018年1月至2023年6月期间,共有169名参与者(70.4%)完成了试验(平均年龄:29.5岁;平均BMI: 35.6 kg/m2; 70%为白人,23%为黑人)。基线时met的总体患病率为31%,各组间具有可比性。研究结束时,二甲双胍组MetS患病率为26.2%(17/65),联合用药组为28.6% (17/59),COCP组为28.8%(17/59),组间MetS患病率趋势无显著差异(调整p = 0.26)。腰围(平均变化(MC) -2.23 cm;95% ci [-3.98, -0.49];p = 0.01), BMI (MC -0.49 kg/m2; 95% CI [-0.88, -0.10]; p = 0.01)和DXA测量的android脂肪量(MC -167 g; 95% CI [-264, -71]; p 64%)报告腹泻,而COCP组有24.1%报告子宫出血。该研究的主要方法学局限性是可能缺乏检测次要结局差异的能力。结论:在高雄激素性多囊卵巢综合征和超重/肥胖的参与者中,低剂量的cocp可以有效地控制多囊卵巢综合征症状,而不会增加MetS的患病率。我们的研究结果挑战了目前单独使用二甲双胍或与cocp一起使用以降低心脏代谢风险的做法。试验注册:临床试验。政府标识符:NCT03229057。
{"title":"Impact of combined hormonal contraceptives and metformin on metabolic syndrome in women with hyperandrogenic polycystic ovary syndrome and obesity: The COMET-PCOS randomized clinical trial.","authors":"Anuja Dokras, Christos Coutifaris, Alan T Remaley, Nehal N Mehta, Martin P Playford, Allen R Kunselman, Christy C Stetter, William C Dodson, Richard S Legro","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004662","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004662","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The risk-to-benefit ratio of using combined oral contraceptive pills (COCPs) and/or metformin for comprehensive management of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) in women with obesity is unclear. As there is a lack of robust evidence on the impact of these first-line medications on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, we compared the effect of COCPs, metformin or both on prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in participants with hyperandrogenic PCOS and hypothesized that COCPs would increase prevalence of MetS while metformin would decrease prevalence of MetS.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a multicenter, double-blind, double-dummy, randomized trial (COMET-PCOS) in participants between ages ≥18 and ≤40 years and body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2 and ≤ 48 kg/m2 with hyperandrogenic PCOS (defined by the Rotterdam criteria). Participants were randomized 1:1:1 to 24 weeks of low-dose COCPs (20 μg ethinyl estradiol/0.15 mg desogestrol), metforminXR (2,000 mg), or both (Combined). The primary outcome, assessed by intention-to-treat analysis, was the effect of the different treatment groups on the prevalence of MetS at the end of study. The analytical model included site, race, and the presence or absence of MetS at the screening visit as covariates. The secondary outcomes included changes in each component of MetS (TG, HDL-C, BP, WC, and fasting glucose levels) over the study period. Of the 240 participants randomly assigned, 20 out of 79 in the COCP group, 16 out of 81 in the metformin group, and 17 out of 80 in the combined group dropped out of the study. A total of 169 participants (70.4%) completed the trial between January 2018 and June 2023 (mean age: 29.5 years; mean BMI: 35.6 kg/m2; 70% were White and 23% were Black). The overall prevalence of MetS was 31% at baseline and comparable across groups. At the end of the study, the prevalence of MetS was 26.2% (17/65) in the metformin group, 28.6% (17/59) in the Combined group, and 28.8% (17/59) in COCP group with no significant difference in trend of MetS prevalence between groups (adjusted p = 0.26). Waist circumference (mean change (MC) -2.23 cm; 95% CI [-3.98, -0.49]; p = 0.01), BMI (MC -0.49 kg/m2; 95% CI [-0.88, -0.10]; p = 0.01), and android fat mass measured by DXA (MC -167 g; 95% CI [-264, -71[; p < 0.001) decreased in the COCP group over the study period whilst there was no statistically significant changes in these parameters in the metformin only group when compared to baseline.. In the metformin and Combined groups, the majority of participants (>64%) reported diarrhea, while 24.1% in the COCP group reported uterine bleeding. The main methodologic limitation of the study is the potential lack of power to detect differences in secondary outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In participants with hyperandrogenic PCOS and overweight/obesity, low-dose COCPs effectively managed PCOS symptoms without increasing prevalence of MetS. Ou","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004662"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12697981/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145710038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-05eCollection Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004613
Li Chen, Rongbin Xu, Junqing Xie, Yi Xing, Bo Wen, Yao Wu, Binbin Su, Mengjie Geng, Xiang Ren, Yi Zhang, Jieyu Liu, Xinli Song, Yang Qin, RuoLin Wang, Jianuo Jiang, Tongjun Guo, Wen Yuan, Yinghua Ma, Yanhui Dong, Yi Song, Jun Ma, Shanshan Li, Yuming Guo
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Exposure to fine particles (PM2.5) from wildfires is known to cause deaths and chronic diseases, but its effect on respiratory infections, especially in children and adolescents, is not well characterized. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 and the incidence and mortality of respiratory transmitted diseases in children and adolescents.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Data on daily counts of incident and mortality cases of respiratory transmitted diseases in persons aged 4-24 years old were collected from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, covering 501 cities from 2008 to 2019. Daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 were estimated using machine learning and chemical transport models at a 0.25°×0.25° spatial resolution. We used time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression to estimate the association between short-term exposures to wildfire-related PM2.5 and incidence and mortality of respiratory transmitted diseases, adjusting for temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, and total PM2.5. There were 6,089,271 incident cases and 1,034 mortality cases of 10 respiratory transmitted diseases included in our analyses. Each 5 μg/m3 increase in the lag 0-28-day (average of current day and previous 28 days) for wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with a 6.8% (95%CI: 5.0%, 8.7%) increase in the daily incidence rate of respiratory transmitted diseases, which is greater than that of a 1.2% (1.0%, 1.4%) increase associated with the same increase of non-wildfire-related PM2.5. A 5 μg/m3 increase in wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with a 28.6% (21.0%, 36.8%), 5.2% (2.3%, 8.3%), 12.6% (9.5%, 15.8%), and 13.6% (5.6%, 22.2%) increase in the incidence of seasonal influenza, scarlet fever, rubella, and measles, respectively. Although wildfire-related PM2.5 constitutes only 2.7% of the total PM2.5, it contributes significantly to respiratory transmitted diseases, accounting for 10.8% of all PM2.5-associated cases. In areas where the annual concentration of wildfire-related PM2.5 is lower than 1.5 μg/m3, the proportion of cases associated with wildfire-related PM2.5 reached 29.7%. Study limitations include potential exposure misclassification from using city-average wildfire PM2.5 as a proxy for individual exposure and an inability to adjust for some potential confounders.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with increased incidence of respiratory transmitted diseases, surpassing the impact observed with non-wildfire-related PM2.5. This phenomenon is not restricted to regions with high pollutant concentrations; even populations residing in areas with lower concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 are at an increased risk of these respiratory conditions. Consequently, there emerges a pressing global imperative to confront
{"title":"Wildfire-related PM2.5 and respiratory transmitted disease among Chinese children and adolescents from 2008 to 2019: A retrospective study.","authors":"Li Chen, Rongbin Xu, Junqing Xie, Yi Xing, Bo Wen, Yao Wu, Binbin Su, Mengjie Geng, Xiang Ren, Yi Zhang, Jieyu Liu, Xinli Song, Yang Qin, RuoLin Wang, Jianuo Jiang, Tongjun Guo, Wen Yuan, Yinghua Ma, Yanhui Dong, Yi Song, Jun Ma, Shanshan Li, Yuming Guo","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004613","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004613","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Exposure to fine particles (PM2.5) from wildfires is known to cause deaths and chronic diseases, but its effect on respiratory infections, especially in children and adolescents, is not well characterized. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 and the incidence and mortality of respiratory transmitted diseases in children and adolescents.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Data on daily counts of incident and mortality cases of respiratory transmitted diseases in persons aged 4-24 years old were collected from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, covering 501 cities from 2008 to 2019. Daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 were estimated using machine learning and chemical transport models at a 0.25°×0.25° spatial resolution. We used time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression to estimate the association between short-term exposures to wildfire-related PM2.5 and incidence and mortality of respiratory transmitted diseases, adjusting for temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, and total PM2.5. There were 6,089,271 incident cases and 1,034 mortality cases of 10 respiratory transmitted diseases included in our analyses. Each 5 μg/m3 increase in the lag 0-28-day (average of current day and previous 28 days) for wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with a 6.8% (95%CI: 5.0%, 8.7%) increase in the daily incidence rate of respiratory transmitted diseases, which is greater than that of a 1.2% (1.0%, 1.4%) increase associated with the same increase of non-wildfire-related PM2.5. A 5 μg/m3 increase in wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with a 28.6% (21.0%, 36.8%), 5.2% (2.3%, 8.3%), 12.6% (9.5%, 15.8%), and 13.6% (5.6%, 22.2%) increase in the incidence of seasonal influenza, scarlet fever, rubella, and measles, respectively. Although wildfire-related PM2.5 constitutes only 2.7% of the total PM2.5, it contributes significantly to respiratory transmitted diseases, accounting for 10.8% of all PM2.5-associated cases. In areas where the annual concentration of wildfire-related PM2.5 is lower than 1.5 μg/m3, the proportion of cases associated with wildfire-related PM2.5 reached 29.7%. Study limitations include potential exposure misclassification from using city-average wildfire PM2.5 as a proxy for individual exposure and an inability to adjust for some potential confounders.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with increased incidence of respiratory transmitted diseases, surpassing the impact observed with non-wildfire-related PM2.5. This phenomenon is not restricted to regions with high pollutant concentrations; even populations residing in areas with lower concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 are at an increased risk of these respiratory conditions. Consequently, there emerges a pressing global imperative to confront","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 12","pages":"e1004613"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12680207/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145688646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}