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Evaluation of economic strengthening in South Africa and its impact on HIV, sexually transmitted infections, and teenage births: A modelling study. 评价南非的经济加强及其对艾滋病毒、性传播感染和青少年生育的影响:一项模型研究。
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-18 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004826
Leigh F Johnson, Lise Jamieson, Mmamapudi Kubjane, Gesine Meyer-Rath

Background: High incidence rates of HIV, sexually transmitted infections (STIs), and teenage pregnancy are major challenges facing South Africa. The role of socio-economic factors in driving these incidence rates is complex, with high socio-economic status protecting against some risk behaviours (condomless sex, early sexual debut, and casual/transactional sex in females) but increasing other risk behaviours (e.g., male engagement in casual and commercial sex). We aimed to model the effect of socio-economic status, and associated economic strengthening interventions, in South Africa.

Methods and findings: We extended a previously-developed agent-based model of HIV, STIs, and fertility in South Africa to assess effects of education, employment, and per capita household income on sexual behaviours. We estimated these effects from literature and from calibration of the model to African randomized controlled trials of economic strengthening interventions. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated. We considered three intervention types, all targeting households with log per capita income below the national average: school support to reduce school dropout; vocational training for unemployed adults; and unconditional cash transfers. We estimate that low socio-economic status accounted for 13% of new HIV infections, 7% of incident STIs (gonorrhoea, chlamydia, and trichomoniasis) and 31% of teenage births in South Africa, over 2000-2020. However, because of uncertainties regarding effect sizes, confidence intervals around these PAFs are wide (1,50% for HIV; -1,19% for STIs; and 10,76% for teenage births). Over 2025-2040, none of the interventions are estimated to reduce HIV, STIs, or teenage births significantly, due to limited impact on secondary economic outcomes. The greatest impact would be that of school support on teenage births (a 5% reduction, 95% CI: -1,12%). Key limitations include the assumption of uniform STI treatment access across socio-economic strata, and the exclusion of possible socio-economic effects at a community level.

Conclusions: Although poverty is likely to be a significant driver of HIV, STIs, and teenage pregnancy in South Africa, precise quantification is challenging. Recently trialled economic strengthening interventions have insufficient impact on socio-economic status to reduce HIV and STIs significantly at a population level.

背景:艾滋病毒、性传播感染(STIs)和少女怀孕的高发病率是南非面临的主要挑战。社会经济因素在推动这些发病率方面的作用是复杂的,较高的社会经济地位可以防止某些风险行为(女性无安全套性行为、早期性行为和随意性/交易性行为),但也会增加其他风险行为(例如男性随意性行为和商业性行为)。我们的目的是模拟南非社会经济地位的影响,以及相关的经济强化干预措施。方法和发现:我们扩展了先前在南非开发的基于主体的HIV、性传播感染和生育率模型,以评估教育、就业和人均家庭收入对性行为的影响。我们从文献和模型校准到非洲经济强化干预的随机对照试验中估计了这些影响。计算群体归因分数(PAFs)。我们考虑了三种干预类型,均针对人均收入低于全国平均水平的家庭:学校支持以减少辍学率;对失业成人进行职业培训;无条件现金转移。我们估计,在2000-2020年期间,低社会经济地位占南非新发艾滋病毒感染的13%,性传播感染(淋病、衣原体和滴虫病)的7%,以及青少年生育的31%。然而,由于效应大小的不确定性,这些paf的置信区间很宽(艾滋病毒为1.50%;性传播感染为- 1.19%;青少年生育为10.76%)。在2025-2040年期间,由于对次要经济结果的影响有限,估计没有一项干预措施能够显著减少艾滋病毒、性传播感染或青少年生育。最大的影响将是学校对青少年生育的支持(减少5%,95% CI: -1,12%)。主要的限制包括假设所有社会经济阶层都能获得统一的性传播感染治疗,以及在社区层面排除可能的社会经济影响。结论:尽管贫困可能是南非艾滋病毒、性传播感染和少女怀孕的一个重要驱动因素,但精确的量化是具有挑战性的。最近试验的经济强化干预措施对社会经济地位的影响不足以在人口一级显著减少艾滋病毒和性传播感染。
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引用次数: 0
Pediatric studies and labeling additions required by the U.S. FDA for novel drugs approved from 2011 to 2023: A retrospective cohort study. 2011年至2023年美国FDA批准的新药的儿科研究和标签添加要求:一项回顾性队列研究
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-17 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004651
Rylee McGonigle, Huseyin Naci, Maximilian Siebert, Michelle Ouvina, Alba Gutiérrez-Sacristán, Anita K Wagner, Florence T Bourgeois

Background: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has the authority to require that sponsors conduct pediatric studies for certain new drugs under the Pediatric Research Equity Act (PREA). Here, we evaluate the characteristics and completion of these studies and assess the addition of pediatric-specific evidence generated from these studies into drug labeling.

Methods and findings: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all novel drugs approved by the FDA from 2011 to 2023 with at least one pediatric study requirement issued under PREA. Study status and outcomes were followed through 31 December 2024. We assessed completion of pediatric studies; addition of pediatric prescribing information to drug labels; and deviations from FDA-projected timelines. Of 552 novel drugs approved by the FDA between 2011 and 2023, 179 (32.4%) were subject to pediatric study requirements under PREA. Thirteen were later discontinued, resulting in a final cohort of 166 drugs and 338 pediatric study requirements. About half (51.8%) of the studies assessed efficacy. Among 222 studies with due dates by 31 December 2024, only 24.3% were completed by the original deadline. Over half (56.8%) received extensions of original timelines, by an average of 2.9 years (SD 2.0). At 10 years after drug approval, while 92.0% of studies were expected to have been completed, 59.5% had been completed. Of the 117 drugs with studies due by 31 December 2024, 54.7% (n = 64) had pediatric labeling updated with results from required studies. The mean time to addition of pediatric approval was 5.7 years (SD 2.6), whereas labeling additions reflecting lack of pediatric safety or benefit took an average of 8.3 years (SD 3.3) (p < 0.001). While 90.4% of drugs were expected to have all pediatric studies completed by 10 years, only 52.8% had any labeling changes reflecting data from the PREA-mandated studies. A limitation of this study is that publicly available FDA data provide limited detail on study design, execution, and reasons for delays, preventing assessment of study rigor and the factors contributing to delayed completion.

Conclusions: PREA was implemented to advance pediatric drug research and fill a critical gap in pediatric labeling of new drugs. However, our findings reveal frequent delays in study completion and labeling updates, with just over half of labeling additions completed 10 years after drug approval. Strengthening reporting requirements and expanding the FDA's enforcement authority are essential to ensuring that children receive timely access to safe and effective therapies supported by high-quality evidence.

背景:美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)有权要求赞助商根据儿科研究公平法案(PREA)对某些新药进行儿科研究。在这里,我们评估了这些研究的特点和完成情况,并评估了将这些研究产生的儿科特异性证据添加到药物标签中的可能性。方法和研究结果:我们对2011年至2023年FDA批准的所有新药进行了回顾性队列研究,其中至少有一项根据PREA发布的儿科研究要求。研究状态和结果随访至2024年12月31日。我们评估了儿科研究的完成情况;在药品标签中增加儿科处方信息;以及与fda计划时间的偏差在2011年至2023年FDA批准的552种新药中,179种(32.4%)符合PREA下的儿科研究要求。13种药物后来停止使用,导致最后一批166种药物和338项儿科研究要求。约一半(51.8%)的研究评估了疗效。在222项截止日期为2024年12月31日的研究中,只有24.3%的研究在原定截止日期前完成。超过一半(56.8%)的患者接受了原始时间表的延长,平均延长了2.9年(SD 2.0)。在药物批准10年后,92.0%的研究预计已经完成,而59.5%的研究已经完成。在2024年12月31日前进行研究的117种药物中,54.7% (n = 64)的儿科标签更新了所需研究的结果。儿童批准的平均时间为5.6年(SD 2.7),而反映缺乏儿童安全性或益处的标签添加平均需要8.3年(SD 3.3) (p结论:实施PREA是为了推进儿科药物研究,填补儿科新药标签的关键空白。然而,我们的研究结果显示,研究完成和标签更新经常延迟,只有一半以上的标签添加在药物批准后10年完成。加强报告要求和扩大FDA的执法权力对于确保儿童及时获得有高质量证据支持的安全有效的治疗至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of early water, sanitation, handwashing, and nutrition interventions on child development at school age: a follow-on study of a cluster-randomized trial in rural Bangladesh. 早期水、卫生、洗手和营养干预对学龄儿童发育的影响:孟加拉国农村一项集群随机试验的后续研究
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-16 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004793
Fahmida Tofail, Helen O Pitchik, Mahfuza Islam, Rizwana Khan, Abul K Shoab, Fahmida Akter, Shirina Aktar, Tarique M N Huda, Mahbubur Rahman, Peter J Winch, Stephen P Luby, Lia C H Fernald
<p><strong>Background: </strong>A previous cluster-randomized controlled trial in Bangladesh found that individual or combined water, handwashing, sanitation, and nutrition interventions during pregnancy and after birth improved developmental outcomes of children at 1 and 2 years of age. In this study, we aimed to determine if these intervention effects were sustained for children at school age.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Clusters of pregnant women were enrolled between May 31, 2012 and July 7, 2013 and block-randomized into chlorinated drinking water (W); improved sanitation (S); handwashing with soap (H); combined WSH; nutrition counseling and provision of lipid-based supplements (N); combined WSH + N, or a double-sized passive control arm (C) with no intervention visits (N = 5,551). The primary outcomes of the main trial after the 2-year intervention were 7-day diarrhea prevalence and length-for-age z-score, measured in 4,584 children of enrolled pregnant women. We conducted a post hoc, follow-up of all initially enrolled mothers and their children 5 years after intervention completion, when children were 7 years old. Primary outcomes were child cognition assessed using the Wechsler Pre and Primary Scale of Intelligence (WPPSI-IV), along with assessments of fine motor abilities, behavior, school achievement, and executive function; secondary outcomes were maternal mental health and stimulation in the home environment. We conducted intention-to-treat analyses using generalized linear models to calculate unadjusted and adjusted comparisons between each arm and the control group, accounting for block-level clustering. Between September 2019 and February 2021, we re-enrolled 4,175 households from all 720 original clusters, with the full set of child development assessments conducted on 3,833 children across 718 clusters. Children in the WSH + N, N, and S arms had improved cognitive scores on one or more domains compared to the control arm, with adjusted effect sizes between 0.10 (95%CI: 0.00, 0.20) and 0.15 (0.03, 0.27). Children in the W, H, N, WSH, and WSH + N arms demonstrated improved prosocial behaviors (adjusted effect sizes between 0.20 (0.07, 0.33) and 0.31 (0.16, 0.46)) and reduced difficult behaviors (adjusted effect sizes between -0.15 (-0.28, -0.01) and -0.31 (-0.45, -0.17)). No intervention effects were observed for fine motor, executive functioning, or school achievement outcomes. Maternal depressive symptoms were improved in the WSH + N, H, and N arms (adjusted effect sizes between -0.14 (-0.24, -0.03) and -0.21 (-0.31, -0.11)), and the stimulating home environment was improved in all intervention arms (adjusted effect sizes between 0.17 (0.01, 0.33) and 0.40 (0.25, 0.56)). Children whose families had higher wealth at baseline and those who were male tended to have larger effect sizes on the FSIQ. Data collection for this study was interrupted by a 6-month pause at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The main limit
背景:之前在孟加拉国进行的一项集群随机对照试验发现,在怀孕期间和出生后单独或联合进行水、洗手、卫生和营养干预可改善1岁和2岁儿童的发育结局。在这项研究中,我们旨在确定这些干预效果是否对学龄儿童持续存在。方法与结果:在2012年5月31日至2013年7月7日期间,将孕妇分组随机纳入氯化饮用水(W);改善卫生设施;用肥皂洗手(H);结合WSH;营养咨询和提供脂质补充剂(N);联合WSH + N,或双尺寸被动对照臂(C),无干预访问(N = 5,551)。2年干预后主要试验的主要结局是在4584名入组孕妇的儿童中测量的7天腹泻患病率和年龄长度z-score。我们在干预结束后的5年,也就是孩子7岁时,对所有最初登记的母亲和她们的孩子进行了一项事后随访。主要结果是使用韦氏学前和初级智力量表(WPPSI-IV)评估儿童认知,以及对精细运动能力、行为、学业成绩和执行功能的评估;次要结果是产妇的心理健康和家庭环境的刺激。我们使用广义线性模型进行意向治疗分析,计算各组与对照组之间未经调整和调整的比较,并考虑块水平聚类。在2019年9月至2021年2月期间,我们重新招募了所有720个原始集群中的4175个家庭,并对718个集群中的3833名儿童进行了全套儿童发展评估。与对照组相比,WSH + N、N和S组的儿童在一个或多个领域的认知得分有所提高,调整后的效应值在0.10 (95%CI: 0.00, 0.20)和0.15(0.03,0.27)之间。W、H、N、WSH和WSH + N组儿童的亲社会行为得到改善(调整效应量在0.20(0.07,0.33)和0.31(0.16,0.46)之间),困难行为减少(调整效应量在-0.15(-0.28,-0.01)和-0.31(-0.45,-0.17)之间)。没有观察到干预对精细运动、执行功能或学业成绩的影响。WSH + N、H和N组的母亲抑郁症状得到改善(调整效应量在-0.14(-0.24,-0.03)和-0.21(-0.31,-0.11)之间),所有干预组的刺激性家庭环境得到改善(调整效应量在0.17(0.01,0.33)和0.40(0.25,0.56)之间)。家庭富裕的孩子和男性家庭的孩子对FSIQ的影响更大。在COVID-19大流行开始时,本研究的数据收集中断了6个月。本研究的主要局限性是缺乏随访。结论:在7岁时,我们发现早期的水、卫生、洗手和营养干预对儿童的认知和社会情感结果、刺激的家庭环境和母亲的心理健康有小的、持续的好处。未来确定这些干预影响的机制的工作将进一步为早期干预的设计提供信息,以改善儿童的健康和发展。试验注册:随访试验:ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04443855。原始WASH-Benefits孟加拉国(WASH-B): ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01590095。
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引用次数: 0
Safeguarding Open Science from exploitative practices. 保护开放科学免受剥削。
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-11 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004851
Danny Maupin, Matt Spick, Nophar Geifman

Open research and data transparency are a bulwark against unethical activities, but can also introduce integrity risks. As with all public goods, freely available data can be exploited, and here we set out the case for the use of safeguarding practices.

公开研究和数据透明是防止不道德活动的堡垒,但也可能带来诚信风险。与所有公共产品一样,免费提供的数据可以被利用,在这里我们列出了使用保护措施的案例。
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引用次数: 0
From sex differences to sex inequalities in life expectancy: A cross-country observational benchmarking analysis. 从预期寿命的性别差异到性别不平等:一项跨国观察基准分析。
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-11 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004828
Angela Y Chang, Emily K Johnson, Sarah Bolongaita, Kent Buse, Sarah J Hawkes, Omar Karlsson, Felicia M Knaul, Margaret E Kruk, Ole F Norheim, Osondu Ogbuoji, David Watkins, Dean T Jamison
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The answer to whether females or males have better health, and which sex is the more disadvantaged, has depended in part on the metric and how the inequality is measured. This study introduces a new method for analyzing and interpreting sex inequalities in health outcomes-defined as the avoidable sex differences in health outcomes-that is systematic and potentially more objective. For this paper, we focus on life expectancy at different ages.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We introduce the adjusted sex ratio as a measure of sex inequalities and determining sex disadvantage. First, we calculated the sex ratio of life expectancy at ages 0, 5, 15, 35, 50, and 70. To understand what is achievable under favorable conditions, we identified countries in the 5th percentile of the highest life expectancy for each sex and used these values as benchmarks, and calculated the sex ratio of these best-performing countries ("frontier"). We calculated the country- and age-specific adjusted sex ratio by dividing country sex ratios by frontier sex ratios. This assumes that theoretically, under the current risk and healthcare environments, females all over the world have the potential to live up to the life expectancy of the females in the frontier countries, and separately, all males to their male-specific frontier. An adjusted ratio of greater than one indicates male disadvantage, while below one indicates female disadvantage. To avoid overinterpreting small differences, we defined a narrow range around equality (ratio of 1) within which we do not label either sex as disadvantaged. Before adjustment, males in all countries (except two) and at all ages had lower life expectancy than females. After adjustment, between 13% (at age 0) and 33% (at age 70) of the 237 countries shift from male to female disadvantage in life expectancy. More than half of the countries remain male-disadvantaged, indicating that males are generally disadvantaged in terms of life expectancy in most countries, even after our adjustments. India and approximately half of the countries in the Middle East and North Africa, North Atlantic, sub-Saharan Africa, and Western Pacific and Southeast Asia show female disadvantage. The number of countries with female disadvantage rises with age, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and Western Pacific and Southeastern Asia. Central and Eastern Europe show substantial male disadvantage across nearly all ages, even with adjustment. Our frontier selection and buffer range are empirical choices, and other definitions could be equally valid. Although our sex-specific benchmarks use the best-performing countries for each sex, they are not meant to represent purely biological differences, as observed sex gaps in life expectancy may also reflect unmeasured genetic variation, environmental exposures, and their interactions with sex.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study provides a novel, potentially more objective m
背景:关于女性和男性的健康状况是否更好,以及哪个性别处于更不利的地位,答案在一定程度上取决于衡量标准和衡量不平等的方式。这项研究引入了一种新的方法来分析和解释健康结果中的性别不平等——定义为健康结果中可避免的性别差异——这种方法是系统的,而且可能更客观。在本文中,我们关注的是不同年龄段的预期寿命。方法和发现:我们引入调整后的性别比作为衡量性别不平等和确定性别劣势的指标。首先,我们计算了0岁、5岁、15岁、35岁、50岁和70岁预期寿命的性别比例。为了了解在有利条件下可以实现的目标,我们确定了每个性别预期寿命最高的第5个百分位数的国家,并将这些值作为基准,并计算了这些表现最好的国家(“前沿”)的性别比例。我们通过将国家性别比除以前沿性别比来计算国家和特定年龄的调整性别比。这假定在理论上,在目前的风险和保健环境下,世界各地的女性都有可能达到前沿国家女性的预期寿命,另外,所有男性都有可能达到其男性特有的边界。调整后的比值大于1表示男性不利,小于1表示女性不利。为了避免过度解释微小的差异,我们在平等(比率为1)周围定义了一个狭窄的范围,在这个范围内,我们不会将任何性别标记为劣势。在调整之前,所有国家(除两个国家外)所有年龄段的男性预期寿命都低于女性。调整后,237个国家中13%(0岁)至33%(70岁)的预期寿命从男性劣势变为女性劣势。一半以上的国家仍然处于男性不利地位,这表明即使在我们进行调整之后,大多数国家的男性在预期寿命方面普遍处于不利地位。印度以及中东和北非、北大西洋、撒哈拉以南非洲、西太平洋和东南亚大约一半的国家表现出女性劣势。女性处于不利地位的国家数量随着年龄的增长而增加,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲、西太平洋和东南亚。中欧和东欧几乎在所有年龄段都显示出明显的男性劣势,即使进行了调整。我们的边界选择和缓冲范围是经验选择,其他定义也同样有效。虽然我们的性别基准采用的是每个性别表现最好的国家,但它们并不意味着代表纯粹的生物学差异,因为观察到的预期寿命的性别差距也可能反映了未测量的遗传变异、环境暴露及其与性别的相互作用。结论:本研究为评估健康结果中的性别不平等提供了一种新颖的、可能更客观的方法,并呈现了不同国家、年龄和时间的趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous impacts of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) on drug resistance and phylogenetic cluster transmission dynamics in British Columbia, Canada: A retrospective cohort and simulation study. 加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省HIV暴露前预防(PrEP)对耐药性和系统发育聚集性传播动力学的异质性影响:回顾性队列和模拟研究。
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-09 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004827
Angela McLaughlin, Junine Toy, Vincent Montoya, Paul Sereda, Jason Trigg, Mark Hull, Chanson J Brumme, Rolando Barrios, Julio S G Montaner, Jeffrey B Joy
<p><strong>Background: </strong>HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) prevents infection when used during periods of risk, however, its population-level effectiveness is hindered by incomplete uptake, adherence, and retention. Since oral PrEP became available free-of-cost in British Columbia (BC), Canada, in January 2018, uptake has been rapid among eligible individuals, primarily comprising gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBM), however, its effectiveness against HIV acquisition across subpopulations alongside potential effects on baseline drug resistance have not been estimated. We evaluated individual and population-level impacts of PrEP on HIV drug resistance and transmission in phylogenetic clusters, representing groups of individuals linked by recent outbreaks, to elucidate heterogeneity in its effectiveness.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Using a retrospective cohort design, we evaluated the frequencies of baseline drug resistance mutations and membership in phylogenetic clusters among newly HIV diagnosed people who ever filled a prescription for HIV PrEP (i.e., PrEP users) in BC (n = 39) compared to non-PrEP users (n = 566) diagnosed from 2018 to 2022 in the BC Drug Treatment Program with at least one sequence available. Newly HIV diagnosed PrEP users were significantly more likely than newly diagnosed non-PrEP users to be included in phylogenetic clusters (chi-squared test, p = 0.0075) and carry baseline nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) resistance mutation M184I/V (Fisher's exact test, adjusted p-value = 0.025). Subsequently, we quantified the population-level impacts of widespread PrEP availability on transmission based on the effective reproduction number (Re), compared across key populations living with HIV in BC and active phylogenetic clusters with at least one new case since 2018. We applied simulations of active clusters' growth based on their empirically observed Re with or without estimated PrEP impacts to estimate diagnoses averted via PrEP across clusters, with non-clustered cases grouped together. Most diagnoses were averted in large and medium GBM-predominant clusters. In a Poisson model, clusters with fewer diagnoses averted were associated with having a higher median age and lower proportion of new diagnoses with PrEP use, adjusted for cluster size at the end of 2017 and proportion residing in Vancouver Coastal Health Authority. These results must be interpreted in light of uncertainty owing to incomplete sampling, the use of consensus genomes, phylogenetic inference, and the assumptions of counterfactual simulations.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We estimated that the oral PrEP program in BC from 2018 to 2022 averted approximately 20 new HIV diagnoses per year across phylogenetic clusters, while infrequently contributing to baseline drug resistance in instances where PrEP was inadvertently prescribed during acute infection or with incomplete adherence. These f
背景:艾滋病毒暴露前预防(PrEP)在危险时期可以预防感染,然而,其人群水平的有效性受到不完全吸收、坚持和保留的阻碍。自2018年1月在加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省(BC)免费提供口服PrEP以来,符合条件的人群(主要包括同性恋、双性恋和其他男男性行为者(GBM))迅速接受了口服PrEP,然而,其在亚人群中预防艾滋病毒感染的有效性以及对基线耐药性的潜在影响尚未得到估计。我们评估了PrEP在个体和群体水平上对HIV耐药性和传播的影响,这些系统发育集群代表了与近期疫情有关的个体群体,以阐明其有效性的异质性。方法和研究结果:采用回顾性队列设计,我们评估了2018年至2022年在BC省药物治疗计划中至少有一个序列诊断的新诊断的HIV患者(即PrEP使用者)(n = 39)与非PrEP使用者(n = 566)中基线耐药突变的频率和系统发育聚集性。新诊断为HIV的PrEP使用者比新诊断为非PrEP使用者更有可能被纳入系统发育聚类(卡方检验,p = 0.0075)并携带基线核苷类似物逆转录酶抑制剂(NRTI)耐药突变M184I/V (Fisher精确检验,调整p值= 0.025)。随后,我们根据有效繁殖数(Re)量化了广泛使用PrEP对传播的人群水平影响,比较了BC省HIV感染者和自2018年以来至少有一例新病例的活跃系统发育集群的关键人群。我们根据实际观察到的有或没有预估PrEP影响的Re对活跃集群的增长进行了模拟,以估计跨集群通过PrEP避免的诊断,并将非集群病例分组在一起。在大中型gbm为主的集群中,大多数诊断是避免的。在泊松模型中,根据2017年底的聚类规模和居住在温哥华沿海卫生局的比例进行调整,避免诊断较少的聚类与年龄中位数较高和使用PrEP的新诊断比例较低相关。这些结果必须根据不确定性来解释,因为不完整的抽样、使用共识基因组、系统发育推断和反事实模拟的假设。结论:我们估计,从2018年到2022年,不列颠哥伦比亚省的口服PrEP计划每年避免了大约20例跨系统发育簇的新HIV诊断,而在急性感染期间无意中开了PrEP或不完全依从性的情况下,很少会导致基线耐药性。这些发现证实了PrEP的广泛有效性,描述了其对集群增长影响的异质性,并建议优先提供PrEP服务的群体。
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引用次数: 0
Vaccines to prevent bacterial sexually transmitted infections: Promise, progress, and public health potential. 预防细菌性传播感染的疫苗:希望、进展和公共卫生潜力。
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-09 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004849
Sami L Gottlieb, Helen Rees, Remco P H Peters

Asymptomatic transmission, inequitable access to diagnostics, and rising antimicrobial resistance are major barriers to controlling the bacterial sexually transmitted infections (STIs) gonorrhea, chlamydia, and syphilis. Developing vaccines against these infections has therefore become a key STI research priority, requiring innovative research, expedited clinical development, and increased investment.

无症状传播、不公平获得诊断以及抗菌素耐药性上升是控制细菌性传播感染(STIs)的主要障碍,包括淋病、衣原体和梅毒。因此,开发针对这些感染的疫苗已成为性传播感染研究的一个关键优先事项,需要创新研究、加快临床开发和增加投资。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Natural cycle versus hormone replacement therapy as endometrial preparation in ovulatory women undergoing frozen-thawed embryo transfer: The COMPETE open-label randomized controlled trial. 修正:自然周期与激素替代疗法作为子宫内膜准备在接受冷冻解冻胚胎移植的排卵期妇女:竞争开放标签随机对照试验。
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-09 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004856

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004630.].

[此更正文章DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004630.]。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of combined hormonal contraceptives and metformin on metabolic syndrome in women with hyperandrogenic polycystic ovary syndrome and obesity: The COMET-PCOS randomized clinical trial. 联合激素避孕药和二甲双胍对高雄激素性多囊卵巢综合征和肥胖女性代谢综合征的影响:COMET-PCOS随机临床试验
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-08 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004662
Anuja Dokras, Christos Coutifaris, Alan T Remaley, Nehal N Mehta, Martin P Playford, Allen R Kunselman, Christy C Stetter, William C Dodson, Richard S Legro
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The risk-to-benefit ratio of using combined oral contraceptive pills (COCPs) and/or metformin for comprehensive management of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) in women with obesity is unclear. As there is a lack of robust evidence on the impact of these first-line medications on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, we compared the effect of COCPs, metformin or both on prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in participants with hyperandrogenic PCOS and hypothesized that COCPs would increase prevalence of MetS while metformin would decrease prevalence of MetS.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a multicenter, double-blind, double-dummy, randomized trial (COMET-PCOS) in participants between ages ≥18 and ≤40 years and body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2 and ≤ 48 kg/m2 with hyperandrogenic PCOS (defined by the Rotterdam criteria). Participants were randomized 1:1:1 to 24 weeks of low-dose COCPs (20 μg ethinyl estradiol/0.15 mg desogestrol), metforminXR (2,000 mg), or both (Combined). The primary outcome, assessed by intention-to-treat analysis, was the effect of the different treatment groups on the prevalence of MetS at the end of study. The analytical model included site, race, and the presence or absence of MetS at the screening visit as covariates. The secondary outcomes included changes in each component of MetS (TG, HDL-C, BP, WC, and fasting glucose levels) over the study period. Of the 240 participants randomly assigned, 20 out of 79 in the COCP group, 16 out of 81 in the metformin group, and 17 out of 80 in the combined group dropped out of the study. A total of 169 participants (70.4%) completed the trial between January 2018 and June 2023 (mean age: 29.5 years; mean BMI: 35.6 kg/m2; 70% were White and 23% were Black). The overall prevalence of MetS was 31% at baseline and comparable across groups. At the end of the study, the prevalence of MetS was 26.2% (17/65) in the metformin group, 28.6% (17/59) in the Combined group, and 28.8% (17/59) in COCP group with no significant difference in trend of MetS prevalence between groups (adjusted p = 0.26). Waist circumference (mean change (MC) -2.23 cm; 95% CI [-3.98, -0.49]; p = 0.01), BMI (MC -0.49 kg/m2; 95% CI [-0.88, -0.10]; p = 0.01), and android fat mass measured by DXA (MC -167 g; 95% CI [-264, -71[; p < 0.001) decreased in the COCP group over the study period whilst there was no statistically significant changes in these parameters in the metformin only group when compared to baseline.. In the metformin and Combined groups, the majority of participants (>64%) reported diarrhea, while 24.1% in the COCP group reported uterine bleeding. The main methodologic limitation of the study is the potential lack of power to detect differences in secondary outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In participants with hyperandrogenic PCOS and overweight/obesity, low-dose COCPs effectively managed PCOS symptoms without increasing prevalence of MetS. Ou
背景:使用联合口服避孕药和/或二甲双胍综合治疗肥胖女性多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)的风险-效益比尚不清楚。由于缺乏关于这些一线药物对心血管疾病(CVD)风险影响的有力证据,我们比较了COCPs、二甲双胍或两者对高雄激素性PCOS患者代谢综合征(MetS)患病率的影响,并假设COCPs会增加MetS的患病率,而二甲双胍会降低MetS的患病率。方法和研究结果:我们对年龄≥18岁至≤40岁、体重指数(BMI)≥25 kg/m2和≤48 kg/m2伴有高雄激素性PCOS(由鹿特丹标准定义)的参与者进行了一项多中心、双盲、双虚拟、随机试验(COMET-PCOS)。参与者以1:1:1的比例随机分配至24周的低剂量cocp (20 μg炔雌醇/0.15 mg地孕酮)、二甲双胍xr (2,000 mg)或两者(联合)。通过意向治疗分析评估的主要结果是研究结束时不同治疗组对MetS患病率的影响。分析模型包括地点、种族和筛查时是否存在MetS作为协变量。次要结果包括研究期间代谢当量(TG、HDL-C、BP、WC和空腹血糖水平)各组成部分的变化。在随机分配的240名参与者中,COCP组的79人中有20人,二甲双胍组的81人中有16人,联合组的80人中有17人退出了研究。在2018年1月至2023年6月期间,共有169名参与者(70.4%)完成了试验(平均年龄:29.5岁;平均BMI: 35.6 kg/m2; 70%为白人,23%为黑人)。基线时met的总体患病率为31%,各组间具有可比性。研究结束时,二甲双胍组MetS患病率为26.2%(17/65),联合用药组为28.6% (17/59),COCP组为28.8%(17/59),组间MetS患病率趋势无显著差异(调整p = 0.26)。腰围(平均变化(MC) -2.23 cm;95% ci [-3.98, -0.49];p = 0.01), BMI (MC -0.49 kg/m2; 95% CI [-0.88, -0.10]; p = 0.01)和DXA测量的android脂肪量(MC -167 g; 95% CI [-264, -71]; p 64%)报告腹泻,而COCP组有24.1%报告子宫出血。该研究的主要方法学局限性是可能缺乏检测次要结局差异的能力。结论:在高雄激素性多囊卵巢综合征和超重/肥胖的参与者中,低剂量的cocp可以有效地控制多囊卵巢综合征症状,而不会增加MetS的患病率。我们的研究结果挑战了目前单独使用二甲双胍或与cocp一起使用以降低心脏代谢风险的做法。试验注册:临床试验。政府标识符:NCT03229057。
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引用次数: 0
Wildfire-related PM2.5 and respiratory transmitted disease among Chinese children and adolescents from 2008 to 2019: A retrospective study. 2008 - 2019年中国儿童和青少年野火相关PM2.5与呼吸道传播疾病的回顾性研究
IF 9.9 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2025-12-05 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004613
Li Chen, Rongbin Xu, Junqing Xie, Yi Xing, Bo Wen, Yao Wu, Binbin Su, Mengjie Geng, Xiang Ren, Yi Zhang, Jieyu Liu, Xinli Song, Yang Qin, RuoLin Wang, Jianuo Jiang, Tongjun Guo, Wen Yuan, Yinghua Ma, Yanhui Dong, Yi Song, Jun Ma, Shanshan Li, Yuming Guo
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Exposure to fine particles (PM2.5) from wildfires is known to cause deaths and chronic diseases, but its effect on respiratory infections, especially in children and adolescents, is not well characterized. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 and the incidence and mortality of respiratory transmitted diseases in children and adolescents.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Data on daily counts of incident and mortality cases of respiratory transmitted diseases in persons aged 4-24 years old were collected from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, covering 501 cities from 2008 to 2019. Daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 were estimated using machine learning and chemical transport models at a 0.25°×0.25° spatial resolution. We used time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression to estimate the association between short-term exposures to wildfire-related PM2.5 and incidence and mortality of respiratory transmitted diseases, adjusting for temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, and total PM2.5. There were 6,089,271 incident cases and 1,034 mortality cases of 10 respiratory transmitted diseases included in our analyses. Each 5 μg/m3 increase in the lag 0-28-day (average of current day and previous 28 days) for wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with a 6.8% (95%CI: 5.0%, 8.7%) increase in the daily incidence rate of respiratory transmitted diseases, which is greater than that of a 1.2% (1.0%, 1.4%) increase associated with the same increase of non-wildfire-related PM2.5. A 5 μg/m3 increase in wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with a 28.6% (21.0%, 36.8%), 5.2% (2.3%, 8.3%), 12.6% (9.5%, 15.8%), and 13.6% (5.6%, 22.2%) increase in the incidence of seasonal influenza, scarlet fever, rubella, and measles, respectively. Although wildfire-related PM2.5 constitutes only 2.7% of the total PM2.5, it contributes significantly to respiratory transmitted diseases, accounting for 10.8% of all PM2.5-associated cases. In areas where the annual concentration of wildfire-related PM2.5 is lower than 1.5 μg/m3, the proportion of cases associated with wildfire-related PM2.5 reached 29.7%. Study limitations include potential exposure misclassification from using city-average wildfire PM2.5 as a proxy for individual exposure and an inability to adjust for some potential confounders.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 was associated with increased incidence of respiratory transmitted diseases, surpassing the impact observed with non-wildfire-related PM2.5. This phenomenon is not restricted to regions with high pollutant concentrations; even populations residing in areas with lower concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 are at an increased risk of these respiratory conditions. Consequently, there emerges a pressing global imperative to confront
背景:已知暴露于野火产生的细颗粒物(PM2.5)会导致死亡和慢性疾病,但其对呼吸道感染的影响,特别是对儿童和青少年的影响尚未得到很好的描述。我们的目的是全面评估短期暴露于野火相关PM2.5与儿童和青少年呼吸道传播疾病的发病率和死亡率之间的关系。方法与结果:收集中国疾病预防控制信息系统2008 - 2019年501个城市4-24岁人群呼吸道传播疾病日发病和死亡病例数数据。利用机器学习和化学传输模型,在0.25°×0.25°空间分辨率下估算了与野火相关的PM2.5的日浓度。我们采用时间分层病例交叉设计和条件logistic回归来估计短期暴露于野火相关PM2.5与呼吸道传播疾病发病率和死亡率之间的关系,调整温度、相对湿度、降水和PM2.5总量。10种呼吸道传播疾病共6089271例,死亡1034例。在0-28天(当日和前28天的平均值)内,与野火相关的PM2.5每增加5 μg/m3,呼吸道传播疾病的日发病率就会增加6.8% (95%CI: 5.0%, 8.7%),高于与非野火相关的PM2.5同样增加1.2%(1.0%,1.4%)。与野火相关的PM2.5浓度每增加5 μg/m3,季节性流感、猩红热、风疹和麻疹的发病率分别增加28.6%(21.0%、36.8%)、5.2%(2.3%、8.3%)、12.6%(9.5%、15.8%)和13.6%(5.6%、22.2%)。虽然野火相关的PM2.5仅占PM2.5总量的2.7%,但它对呼吸道传播疾病的贡献很大,占所有PM2.5相关病例的10.8%。在林火相关PM2.5年浓度低于1.5 μg/m3的地区,林火相关PM2.5病例占比达到29.7%。研究的局限性包括使用城市平均野火PM2.5作为个人暴露的代表而对潜在的暴露进行错误分类,以及无法调整一些潜在的混杂因素。结论:短期暴露于野火相关的PM2.5与呼吸道传播疾病的发病率增加相关,超过了非野火相关的PM2.5所观察到的影响。这种现象并不局限于污染物浓度高的地区;即使是居住在与野火有关的PM2.5浓度较低地区的人群,患这些呼吸系统疾病的风险也会增加。因此,全球迫切需要应对气候变化带来的不断升级的挑战和日益加剧的野火威胁。
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PLoS Medicine
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