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Assessing the nonlinear impact of population aging on energy footprint: From the perspective of labor productivity and high‐quality economic development 评估人口老龄化对能源足迹的非线性影响:从劳动生产率和经济高质量发展的角度出发
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12531
Xiyue Yang, Shixiong Cheng, Mahmood Ahmad
Amidst the ongoing low‐carbon transition, the phenomenon of population aging is receiving increasing attention. Nevertheless, the relationship between population aging and environmental quality has not been conclusively established, and existing studies have yet to delve into the mechanism of the effect of population aging on energy and environmental quality. This paper utilizes the panel data of 30 Chinese provinces and regions from 2000 to 2019 and constructs the benchmark model, the nonlinear mediating effect, and the nonlinear moderating effect models to explore the nonlinear association between population aging and energy footprint, respectively. Additionally, we develop a comprehensive aging index employing principal component analysis (PCA) and measure the energy footprint by carbon sink approach. The results show that population aging has a nonlinear effect on the energy footprint with an inverted “U” shape and there is an inflection point on the curve of value 0.453. We also verify that population aging indirectly affects the energy footprint through its nonlinear impact on labor productivity, with an instantaneous mediating effect of 3.0902. Furthermore, the high‐quality economic development has a nonlinear moderating impact on the inverted “U”‐shape between population aging and energy footprint. As the level of high‐quality economic development increases, the shape of the inverted “U” curve flattens out, and the inflection point shifts to the left. Among the five sub‐indicators of high‐quality economic development, green development has the most significant effect on the inverted “U” curve of population aging and energy footprint. These noteworthy findings offer valuable insights for formulating effective strategies to enhance the favorable effects of aging on environmental quality from multifaceted perspectives.
在低碳转型的大背景下,人口老龄化现象日益受到关注。然而,人口老龄化与环境质量之间的关系尚未得到定论,现有研究也尚未深入探讨人口老龄化对能源环境质量的影响机制。本文利用 2000 年至 2019 年中国 30 个省区的面板数据,分别构建了基准模型、非线性中介效应模型和非线性调节效应模型,探讨人口老龄化与能源足迹之间的非线性关联。此外,我们还利用主成分分析法(PCA)建立了综合老龄化指数,并采用碳汇方法测量了能源足迹。结果表明,人口老龄化对能源足迹有非线性影响,呈倒 "U "形,且曲线上有一个拐点,拐点值为 0.453。我们还验证了人口老龄化通过对劳动生产率的非线性影响间接影响能源足迹,其瞬时中介效应为 3.0902。此外,高质量的经济发展对人口老龄化与能源足迹之间的倒 "U "型曲线具有非线性调节作用。随着高质量经济发展水平的提高,倒 "U "型曲线的形状趋于平缓,拐点向左移动。在高质量经济发展的五个子指标中,绿色发展对人口老龄化和能源足迹的倒 "U "型曲线的影响最为显著。这些值得关注的发现为从多角度制定有效战略,增强老龄化对环境质量的有利影响提供了宝贵的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Natural resource endowment and urban green total factor productivity: “Resource gospel” or “resource curse”? 自然资源禀赋与城市绿色全要素生产率:"资源福音 "还是 "资源诅咒"?
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12529
Shubo Yang, Atif Jahanger, Muhammad Usman
This study constructs an economic growth model that includes natural resource endowments to theoretically explore the paradox of “resource gospel” and “resource curse.” Based on the theoretical analysis, the influence of natural resources on green total factor productivity is analyzed empirically through an econometric model using Chinese urban panel data from 2010 to 2019. The theoretical analysis shows that the impact of natural resource endowment on green total factor productivity is indecisive. The empirical results show that natural resource endowments significantly lessen urban green total factor efficiency, and the results remain robust after addressing for endogeneity issues and robustness tests. However, this effect is significantly heterogeneous depending on the city level and science and education level; for example, the “resource curse” effect is more pronounced in non‐central cities and cities with average education and science level. Simultaneously, the mechanism analysis shows that natural resource endowment reduces urban total factor productivity by inhibiting innovation and introducing choices in the technological progress approach. Therefore, the research findings bring empirical evidence to promote reforms in natural resource allocation and provide theoretical support for encouraging green total factor productivity in resource‐based cities.
本研究构建了一个包含自然资源禀赋的经济增长模型,从理论上探讨了 "资源福音 "与 "资源诅咒 "的悖论。在理论分析的基础上,利用2010-2019年中国城市面板数据,通过计量经济模型实证分析了自然资源对绿色全要素生产率的影响。理论分析表明,自然资源禀赋对绿色全要素生产率的影响是不确定的。实证结果表明,自然资源禀赋显著降低了城市绿色全要素生产率,在解决了内生性问题并进行了稳健性检验后,结果依然稳健。然而,这种效应因城市级别和科教水平的不同而存在明显的异质性;例如,"资源诅咒 "效应在非中心城市和科教水平一般的城市更为明显。同时,机理分析表明,自然资源禀赋通过抑制创新和引入技术进步方法的选择,降低了城市全要素生产率。因此,研究结果为推动自然资源配置改革提供了经验证据,也为鼓励资源型城市提高绿色全要素生产率提供了理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of innovation in hybrid electric vehicles‐related technologies on carbon dioxide emissions from the transport sector in Japan 混合动力电动汽车相关技术的创新对日本交通部门二氧化碳排放的影响
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12523
Qiuying Chen, Shoukat Iqbal Khattak, Manzoor Ahmad
Hybrid electric vehicles are increasingly recognized as a promising solution for reducing carbon dioxide emissions in the transportation sector. The current study examines the nexus between innovation in hybrid electric vehicle‐related technologies and transportation sector‐based carbon dioxide emissions from 1990 to 2019 using a variety of econometric techniques such as the structural breaks unit root test, Maki cointegration test, fully modified ordinary least squares, and dynamic ordinary least squares. The results show that innovation in hybrid electric vehicle‐related technologies, renewable energy consumption, information and communication technologies, and international collaboration in technology development could help reduce transportation sector‐based carbon emissions levels. By contrast, the findings indicate that gross domestic product, trade openness, and financial development have a positive nexus with transportation sector‐based carbon emissions. Higher trade openness encourages economic expansion, and foreign trade may lead to more manufacturing, shipping, and transportation sector‐based carbon emissions. Similarly, when gross domestic product and financial development rise, the need for highly energy‐intensive items and services increases transportation sector‐based carbon emissions. To minimize Japan's transportation sector‐based carbon emissions, governments should emphasize innovation and adoption of hybrid electric vehicle‐related technologies, boost renewable energy consumption, and prohibit emissions‐intensive imports and exports.
越来越多的人认为混合动力电动汽车是减少交通部门二氧化碳排放的一种有前途的解决方案。本研究采用结构断裂单位根检验、马基协整检验、完全修正普通最小二乘法和动态普通最小二乘法等多种计量经济学技术,研究了 1990 年至 2019 年混合动力电动汽车相关技术创新与交通部门二氧化碳排放之间的关系。结果表明,混合动力电动汽车相关技术的创新、可再生能源消费、信息和通信技术以及技术开发方面的国际合作有助于降低交通部门的碳排放水平。相比之下,研究结果表明,国内生产总值、贸易开放度和金融发展与交通部门的碳排放存在正相关关系。较高的贸易开放度会鼓励经济扩张,而对外贸易可能会导致更多的制造业、航运业和运输业的碳排放。同样,当国内生产总值和金融发展水平上升时,对高能耗项目和服务的需求也会增加交通部门的碳排放量。为了最大限度地减少日本交通部门的碳排放,政府应重视混合动力电动汽车相关技术的创新和采用,促进可再生能源的消费,并禁止排放密集型的进出口。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers, performance evaluation and influencing factors of water resources utilisation—based on the theory of sustainable development 基于可持续发展理论的水资源利用动因、绩效评价及影响因素
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12475
Wenjing Wang, Xin Zhao, Junwei Xu, Shenjie Zhou
Water constitutes an important natural and strategic resource, crucial to sustainable development, as well as the social stability and wellbeing of every economy. The coordinated development of water resource utilisation and economic growth is currently the focus of attention of social scientists and other representatives of the scholarly community, being one of the key factors for the long‐term development of a country. Based on theories of sustainable development and water resource utilisation, this paper examines the ‘quantity’ and ‘quality’ of water resource utilisation in 19 provinces, municipalities directly under the Central Government, and autonomous regions in the Yangtze River basin from 2006 to 2021, and explores the internal interaction mechanism. First, the decoupling model is used to explore the decoupling relationship between water resource use and economic growth in the Yangtze River Basin, and the LMDI additive index model is used to analyse the corresponding four driving factors. After discovering the interaction between the ‘quantity’ of water resources and economic growth, the ‘quality’ of water resources in the Yangtze River basin was explored, and after measuring the utilisation rate of water resources in the Yangtze River basin, the Tobit model was applied to introduce the explanatory and control variables to deeply analyse the influencing factors of water resources, and the two regulating variables of the digital economy and water endowment are introduced to further analyse the regulating mechanism. The results demonstrate that there is a corresponding ‘weak decoupling‐strong decoupling‐strong decoupling’ stage of development between water resource use and economic growth in the Yangtze River basin, with the corresponding technology effect factor being the most important driver. There is also a corresponding positive regulation impact of the digital economy on the relationship between the two, while water resources endowment has a corresponding negative regulation mechanism, as well as the role of corresponding influencing factors. Relevant recommendations for water resources use have been suggested.
水资源是重要的自然资源和战略资源,对可持续发展以及社会稳定和各经济体的福祉至关重要。水资源利用与经济增长的协调发展是当前社会科学家和其他学术界代表关注的焦点,也是一个国家长期发展的关键因素之一。本文以可持续发展理论和水资源利用理论为基础,对长江流域 19 个省、直辖市、自治区 2006-2021 年水资源利用的 "量 "与 "质 "进行了研究,并探讨了其内部互动机制。首先,利用解耦模型探讨了长江流域水资源利用与经济增长的解耦关系,并利用 LMDI 加权指数模型分析了相应的四个驱动因素。在发现水资源 "量 "与经济增长的互动关系后,探讨了长江流域水资源的 "质",在测算了长江流域水资源利用率后,运用Tobit模型引入解释变量和控制变量,深入分析水资源的影响因素,并引入数字经济和水资源禀赋两个调节变量,进一步分析调节机制。结果表明,长江流域水资源利用与经济增长之间存在相应的 "弱脱钩-强脱钩-强脱钩 "发展阶段,其中相应的技术效应因子是最重要的驱动因素。数字经济对二者关系也存在相应的正向调节影响,而水资源禀赋则存在相应的负向调节机制,同时也存在相应的影响因素作用。提出了水资源利用的相关建议。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic nexus between natural resource rents, economic growth, and environmental quality: A comparative study between China and the US 自然资源租金、经济增长与环境质量之间的动态关系:中美比较研究
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12528
Daohua Wang, Ziheng Niu, Ning Li, Yu Zhang, Zongsen Zou
Economic development and environmental sustainability have recently become global priorities. This study utilizes the nonlinear autoregressive distribution lag model (NARDL) to investigate the asymmetric effects of natural resource rents on economic growth and environmental quality in China and the United States from 1970 to 2020. The findings indicate that natural resource rents exert asymmetric effects on economic growth and environmental quality in both countries; however, the impact patterns differ between the two countries. In the short term, a decrease in natural resource rents significantly increases GDP per capita in the US, while an increase in natural resource rents has no effect. Moreover, natural resource rents do not influence the ecological footprint in the US. By contrast, China's GDP per capita remains unaffected by natural resource rents, while the ecological footprint is significantly influenced by both positive and negative changes in natural resource rents, exhibiting asymmetric impacts. In the long run, an increase in natural resource rents significantly impacts both GDP per capita and the ecological footprint in the US, while a decrease only impacts the ecological footprint. By contrast, both increases and decreases in natural resource rents impact per capita GDP and the ecological footprint in China. These findings highlight the importance of tailoring country‐specific policies to facilitate sustainable economic development and enhance environmental quality.
经济发展和环境可持续性近来已成为全球优先考虑的问题。本研究利用非线性自回归分布滞后模型(NARDL),研究了 1970 年至 2020 年自然资源租金对中国和美国经济增长和环境质量的非对称影响。研究结果表明,自然资源租金对中美两国的经济增长和环境质量产生了非对称效应,但两国的影响模式有所不同。在短期内,自然资源租金的减少会显著增加美国的人均 GDP,而自然资源租金的增加则没有影响。此外,自然资源租金并不影响美国的生态足迹。相比之下,中国的人均 GDP 不受自然资源租金的影响,而生态足迹则受到自然资源租金正负变化的显著影响,表现出不对称的影响。从长期来看,自然资源租金的增加对美国的人均 GDP 和生态足迹都有显著影响,而减少只影响生态足迹。相比之下,自然资源租金的增加和减少都会影响中国的人均 GDP 和生态足迹。这些发现凸显了因地制宜地制定国家政策以促进可持续经济发展和提高环境质量的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Will the carbon emissions trading system promote enterprises' willingness to pay for carbon emission reduction? 碳排放交易体系能否促进企业的碳减排支付意愿?
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12519
Zhibin Tao, Jiaxiao Chao
The emissions trading system (ETS) is one of the effective measures for energy conservation and emissions reduction, and the impact of the carbon ETS can be reflected in the willingness of enterprises to pay for carbon emissions reductions. However, there has been little research exploring the relationship between the two. Therefore, this study fills this knowledge gap by comprehensively investigating the influence of China carbon ETS policy (ETSP) on the willingness of enterprises to pay for carbon emissions reductions, and incorporates environmental awareness (EA), green technology innovation (GTI), and climate risk awareness (CRA) into the research model, thus constructing a new theoretical framework. Empirical analysis is conducted using the structural equation modeling method based on survey data from 478 Chinese enterprises. The results indicate that: (1) the China carbon ETSP can promote the willingness of enterprises to pay for carbon emissions reductions. (2) The China carbon ETSP can also promote the EA, GTI, and CRA of enterprises. (3) EA, GTI, and CRA can also promote the willingness of enterprises to pay for carbon emissions reductions. (4) Mediation effect analysis revealed that EA and CRA, respectively, play a mediating role in the influence process of the China carbon ETSP on the willingness of enterprises to pay for carbon emissions reductions. However, GTI does not have a mediating effect in this process. (5) Comparative mediation analysis found no significant differences in the mediating effects of EA and CRA. This study provides constructive practical recommendations for future carbon market mechanism construction and enterprise emission reduction policy formulation. It also offers guidance and reference for the behavioral decision‐making of enterprises in carbon market transactions, and carries practical significance and policy advocacy value.
碳排放交易体系(ETS)是节能减排的有效措施之一,碳排放交易体系的影响可以从企业为碳减排付费的意愿中体现出来。然而,目前很少有研究探讨二者之间的关系。因此,本研究填补了这一知识空白,全面考察了中国碳排放交易计划(ETSP)政策对企业碳减排支付意愿的影响,并将环境意识(EA)、绿色技术创新(GTI)和气候风险意识(CRA)纳入研究模型,从而构建了新的理论框架。基于 478 家中国企业的调查数据,采用结构方程模型法进行了实证分析。结果表明(1)中国碳排放交易计划能够促进企业的碳减排付费意愿。(2)中国碳排放交易计划还能促进企业的 EA、GTI 和 CRA。(3)EA、GTI 和 CRA 也能促进企业的碳减排支付意愿。(4)中介效应分析表明,在中国碳排放交易计划对企业碳减排支付意愿的影响过程中,EA 和 CRA 分别起到了中介作用。但是,GTI 在这一过程中不具有中介效应。(5)比较中介分析发现,EA 和 CRA 的中介效应无显著差异。本研究为未来碳市场机制建设和企业减排政策制定提供了建设性的实践建议。同时,也为企业在碳市场交易中的行为决策提供了指导和参考,具有现实意义和政策倡导价值。
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引用次数: 0
The role of financial inclusion and tourism in tackling environmental challenges of industrialization and energy consumption: Redesigning Sustainable Development Goals policies 普惠金融和旅游业在应对工业化和能源消耗带来的环境挑战方面的作用:重新设计可持续发展目标政策
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12522
Qiong Deng, Muhammad Usman, Muhammad Irfan, Mohammad Haseeb
The Next 11 (N‐11) countries are facing many challenges in achieving the objectives of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), as preserving environmental quality has become a major challenge for them. Specifically, achieving SDG 3, SDG 7, SDG 9, and SDG 13, the current research scrutinizes the influence of industrialization, tourism, and renewable and fossil fuel energy consumption with the moderating role of financial development on the ecological footprint in the N‐11 countries during 1995–2018. By testing all nine hypotheses through the augmented mean group, common correlated effects mean group estimators, and the Dumitrescu and Hurlin causality approach, various interesting findings are discovered. The findings verified that industrialization, tourism, and non‐renewable energy play major roles in driving environmental pollution. However, renewables and financial development increase environmental quality. Moreover, the interacting role of financial expansion with industrialization and non‐renewables significantly deteriorates the environment. In contrast, the moderating role of financial development with tourism and renewable energy protects environmental excellence. In addition, the growth hypothesis is discovered from tourism and renewables to ecological footprint, and the feedback hypothesis is discovered between industrialization, financial development, and ecological footprint. Following the empirical findings, we recommend several policy implications to address the objectives of SDG 3, SDG 7, SDG 9, and SDG 13.
未来 11 个国家(N-11)在实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)方面面临诸多挑战,保护环境质量已成为这些国家面临的主要挑战。具体而言,为实现可持续发展目标 3、可持续发展目标 7、可持续发展目标 9 和可持续发展目标 13,本研究探讨了 1995-2018 年期间工业化、旅游业、可再生能源和化石燃料能源消耗对 N-11 国家生态足迹的影响,以及金融发展对生态足迹的调节作用。通过增强均值组、共同相关效应均值组估计以及 Dumitrescu 和 Hurlin 因果关系方法对所有九个假设进行检验,发现了各种有趣的发现。研究结果证实,工业化、旅游业和不可再生能源在推动环境污染方面发挥了主要作用。然而,可再生能源和金融发展提高了环境质量。此外,金融扩张与工业化和不可再生能源的交互作用会严重恶化环境。相反,金融发展与旅游业和可再生能源的调节作用则保护了环境质量。此外,我们还发现了从旅游业和可再生能源到生态足迹的增长假说,以及工业化、金融发展和生态足迹之间的反馈假说。根据实证研究结果,我们提出了若干政策建议,以实现可持续发展目标 3、可持续发展目标 7、可持续发展目标 9 和可持续发展目标 13 的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling consumption‐based carbon dioxide emissions: Sectoral analysis and temporal dynamics in G7 economies 解读基于消费的二氧化碳排放:七国集团经济体的部门分析和时间动态
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12521
Mohsin Rasheed, Jianhua Liu
This research investigates consumption‐based carbon dioxide emissions (CBE) within the Group of Seven (G7) economies from 1990 to 2022, particularly under the Paris Agreement. The main focus of the study is on key determinants such as trade, income, renewable energy consumption, foreign direct investment, and technological innovation. The study aims to unravel the complexities underlying the environmental footprint of consumption. A novel aspect of this research is its intent to fill existing gaps in the literature by providing a sectoral analysis and exploring the temporal dynamics of consumption patterns within these advanced industrial nations. Advanced econometric methods, specifically the Cross‐Section Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS‐ARDL), are employed to enhance the robustness and reliability of the analysis. Cointegration relationships among CBE and its determinants shed light on the short and long‐term interdependencies among these factors. Using the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) and Common Correlated Effect Mean Group (CCEMG) methods to conduct robustness checks makes the models even more substantial and ensures the results' validity. The implications of this research are far‐reaching, extending to various stakeholders, including policymakers, businesses, industries, and supply chain decision makers. Our study identifies significant long‐term relationships between CBE and key determinants within G7 economies. The findings emphasize the urgency of adopting strategies that promote the sustainable management of natural resources. As global efforts intensify to address climate change, this research provides practical implications for shaping sustainable policy strategies and environmental initiatives on a global scale.
本研究调查了七国集团(G7)经济体从 1990 年到 2022 年基于消费的二氧化碳排放量(CBE),特别是在《巴黎协定》下的排放量。研究的重点是贸易、收入、可再生能源消费、外国直接投资和技术创新等关键决定因素。研究旨在揭示消费环境足迹背后的复杂性。这项研究的一个新颖之处在于,它通过提供部门分析和探索这些先进工业国家消费模式的时间动态,填补了现有文献的空白。研究采用了先进的计量经济学方法,特别是横截面增强自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL),以提高分析的稳健性和可靠性。CBE 及其决定因素之间的协整关系揭示了这些因素之间短期和长期的相互依存关系。使用增强均值组(AMG)和共同相关效应均值组(CCEMG)方法进行稳健性检验,使模型更加充实,确保了结果的有效性。这项研究的意义深远,涉及政策制定者、企业、行业和供应链决策者等多个利益相关者。我们的研究发现,在七国集团经济体中,供应链效率与关键决定因素之间存在重要的长期关系。研究结果强调了采取促进自然资源可持续管理战略的紧迫性。随着全球应对气候变化的努力不断加强,这项研究为在全球范围内制定可持续政策战略和环境倡议提供了实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable development in ASEAN: The role of trade diversification, government revenue, and natural resources 东盟的可持续发展:贸易多样化、政府收入和自然资源的作用
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12526
Xiang Ma, Lin Ma, Rimsha Arshad, Hind Alofaysan
Over the past few years, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has experienced great economic expansion, which has resulted in varied degrees of diversified commerce, an elevated level of government revenue, and an increase in the demand for energy. The purpose of this study is to provide a solution to this conundrum by analyzing the effects of trade diversification (TDF), government revenues (GRN), gross domestic product (GDP), and natural resource rent (NTR) on the sustainable development of the ASEAN countries between the years 1981 and 2022. In order to accurately portray the concept of environmental sustainability, the ecological footprint (EFP) is utilized to represent sustainable development. The quantile‐based econometrics technique known as the Method of the Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR) has been utilized in order to investigate the direction and amplitude of the asymmetric correlation that exists between the interaction of GRN, TDF, NTR, and EFP. According to the estimations of the MMQR, it is proposed that government revenues, which include significant financial incentives that promote the stringent execution of environmental rules, hence avoiding deleterious impacts on the environment, have negative coefficients at all quantiles (Q0.25 − Q0.90). Conversely, TDF and GDP have a positive and statistically strong significant correlation across all quantiles (Q0.25 − Q0.90), revealing that TDF reduces environmental sustainability and expands the size of the world's EFP by making energy‐intensive products more accessible. In addition, the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) and the Common Correlated Effect Mean Group (CCEMG) both provide evidence that supports the correlation study by demonstrating that there is a similar pattern of causality across variables.
在过去几年中,东南亚国家联盟(东盟)经历了巨大的经济扩张,这导致了不同程度的商业多样化、政府收入水平的提高以及能源需求的增加。本研究旨在通过分析 1981 年至 2022 年间贸易多元化(TDF)、政府收入(GRN)、国内生产总值(GDP)和自然资源租金(NTR)对东盟国家可持续发展的影响,为这一难题提供解决方案。为了准确描述环境可持续发展的概念,采用了生态足迹(EFP)来表示可持续发展。为了研究 GRN、TDF、NTR 和 EFP 之间交互作用的非对称相关性的方向和幅度,使用了基于量子计量经济学的矩量回归方法(MMQR)。根据 MMQR 的估计结果,政府收入在所有量级(Q0.25 - Q0.90)都具有负系数,其中包括促进严格执行环境规则从而避免对环境造成有害影响的重要财政激励措施。相反,TDF 和 GDP 在所有量级(Q0.25 - Q0.90)上都具有统计意义上的显著正相关性,这表明 TDF 降低了环境的可持续性,并通过使能源密集型产品更容易获得而扩大了世界 EFP 的规模。此外,增强均值组(AMG)和共同相关效应均值组(CCEMG)都提供了支持相关性研究的证据,表明各变量之间存在相似的因果关系模式。
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引用次数: 0
Innovate, conserve, grow: A comprehensive analysis of technological innovation, energy utilization, and carbon emission in BRICS 创新、节约、增长:金砖国家技术创新、能源利用和碳排放综合分析
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12510
Meng Zhang, Muhammad Imran, Ronaldo A. Juanatas
The aim of this study was to embark on a transformative exploration of the interplay between technological innovation, renewable energy, economic development, and carbon emissions in BRICS nations, unveiling novel insights that redefine sustainability paradigms and contribute to global environmental policymaking. This comprehensive study spans the years 1990–2022, meticulously examining the dynamics of economic indicators, energy consumption, renewable energy generation, and technological progress. The dataset's non‐normal distribution prompts the use of moment quantile regression, providing nuanced insights with consideration for diverse slopes and cross‐sectional dependencies. Validation through the “Dumitrescu‐Hurlin panel Causality Test” refines the findings, revealing the diminishing impact of technological innovation across quantiles. The study illuminates a compelling connection: heightened technological innovation correlates strongly with reduced carbon emissions, particularly evident at lower quantiles. This aligns seamlessly with existing research, emphasizing technology's transformative potential for sustainability. Conversely, a concerning positive association emerges between energy utilization and carbon emissions, highlighting the persistent environmental challenge posed by escalating energy use. Urgent strategic interventions are underscored to address the ecological consequences associated with rising energy consumption. The intricate relationship between renewable electricity production and carbon emissions unfolds, emphasizing renewables' pivotal role in mitigating environmental impact. This aligns with ongoing discussions regarding their indispensable contribution to sustainable development. The study underscores the strategic importance of prioritizing renewable power production in environmental sustainability initiatives. However, a disconcerting positive association surfaces between economic development and carbon emissions across all quantiles, revealing the environmental costs accompanying economic growth in BRICS nations. As economic development advances, carbon emissions escalate, presenting substantial sustainability challenges and emphasizing the imperative to balance progress with environmental conservation efforts. This contribution enriches the ongoing discourse on fostering sustainability within the BRICS nations and beyond, marking a significant stride toward a more environmentally conscious future.
本研究旨在对金砖国家的技术创新、可再生能源、经济发展和碳排放之间的相互作用进行变革性探索,揭示重新定义可持续发展范式的新见解,为全球环境决策做出贡献。这项综合研究的时间跨度为 1990-2022 年,细致地考察了经济指标、能源消耗、可再生能源发电和技术进步的动态变化。数据集的非正态分布促使我们使用矩量回归,通过考虑不同的斜率和横截面依赖关系,提供细致入微的见解。通过 "Dumitrescu-Hurlin 面板因果检验 "进行验证,完善了研究结果,揭示了技术创新的影响在各个量级上的递减。这项研究揭示了一种令人信服的联系:技术创新的加强与碳排放量的减少密切相关,在较低的量级上尤为明显。这与现有研究不谋而合,强调了技术对可持续发展的变革潜力。相反,能源利用率与碳排放量之间出现了令人担忧的正相关关系,凸显了能源使用量不断攀升所带来的长期环境挑战。为解决能源消耗上升带来的生态后果,迫切需要采取战略干预措施。可再生能源发电与碳排放之间的关系错综复杂,强调了可再生能源在减轻环境影响方面的关键作用。这与当前关于可再生能源对可持续发展不可或缺的贡献的讨论相吻合。这项研究强调了在环境可持续发展倡议中优先考虑可再生能源发电的战略重要性。然而,经济发展与碳排放之间在所有量级上都呈现出令人不安的正相关,揭示了金砖国家在经济增长的同时也付出了环境代价。随着经济发展的进步,碳排放量也在增加,这给可持续发展带来了巨大挑战,并强调了在进步与环境保护之间取得平衡的必要性。这一贡献丰富了金砖国家内外正在进行的关于促进可持续发展的讨论,标志着向更具环境意识的未来迈出了重要一步。
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