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Rethinking digital finance and information and communication technology (ICT) capital impacts on environmental goods trade under carbon neutrality targets 反思数字金融及信息和通信技术(ICT)资本对碳中和目标下环境商品贸易的影响
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12490
Zheng Yang Kuang, Qi Liang, Feng Yu, Wenxiu Hu, Tolassa Temesgen Hordofa, Nafeesa Mughal
Digital financial inclusion (DFI) is creating dynamics in trade credit financing and trading environmentally through rapid growth of information and communication technology (ICT). Conversely, the empirical evidence is not available to validate the contribution of ICT and DFI in promoting trade in environmental goods. Hence, this research work is an attempt to unfold the nexuses of trade in environmental goods, DFI, and ICT globally in Asia, America, and Europe, respectively. The findings infer that DFI and ICT are the primary factors boosting trade in environmental goods globally, in Asia, America, and Europe, respectively. Furthermore, environmental pollution, economic development, and education are also uplifting the trading related to environmental goods in most regions. In the light of empirical estimates, it suggests that policymakers should give ICT infrastructure and digital connectivity priority investments to maintain the accessibility and effectiveness of environmental goods trading.
通过信息和通信技术(ICT)的快速发展,数字金融包容性(DFI)正在为贸易信贷融资和环境贸易创造动力。相反,目前还没有实证证据来验证信息和通信技术以及数字金融包容性在促进环境产品贸易方面的贡献。因此,本研究工作试图分别在亚洲、美洲和欧洲揭示全球环境产品贸易、发展融资机构和信息通信技术之间的联系。研究结果推断,在亚洲、美洲和欧洲,DFI 和 ICT 分别是促进全球环境产品贸易的主要因素。此外,环境污染、经济发展和教育也促进了大多数地区的环境产品贸易。根据经验估计,决策者应优先投资信息和通信技术基础设施和数字连接,以保持环境产品贸易的可及性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the influencing factors of energy consumption in China: A dual perspective of geographical space and economic “new normal” 了解中国能源消费的影响因素:地理空间与经济 "新常态 "的双重视角
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12483
Jun Nie, Tangyang Jiang, Yang Yu
China's economy has transtioned into the “new normal”, which demands higher standards for energy utilization efficiency. Meanwhile, the spatial distribution of China's energy consumption and economic development exhibits a significant imbalance, complicating efforts to achieve Pareto optimization of regional energy allocation efficiency. Addressing this issue, this study explores the heterogeneity of the factors influencing energy consumption in China from the dual perspectives of economic “new normal” and geographic space, using an exponential decomposition model. The results of the study show that: (1) the inhibitory effect of the energy intensity effect on the growth of regional energy consumption is differentiated, with stronger inhibitory effects in Guangdong, Jiangsu and other provinces, and weaker inhibitory effects in Hainan, Qinghai, and other provinces. Living standard effect on the regional energy consumption growth of the promotion of the effect also has differences, Jiangsu, Shandong and other provinces of the promotion of the effect is stronger, while Hainan, Qinghai, and other provinces of the promotion of the effect is weaker. (2) Population size effect on regional energy consumption growth is not consistent in the direction of the role of Guangdong, Zhejiang, and other provinces have a promotional effect and the role of the effect of the stronger, on the contrary, the provinces of Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Gansu has an inhibitory effect. (3) In the late stage of the economic “new normal”, the effects of energy intensity effect, living standard effect and population size effect on the growth of energy consumption in the four regions show a weakening trend, and this weakening trend is more obvious in the northeast region. This study expands theoretical research on factors affecting energy consumption and offers practical guidance for China's government to coordinate regional energy allocation under the economic “new normal” and geographical considerations.
中国经济已步入 "新常态",对能源利用效率提出了更高的要求。与此同时,中国能源消费与经济发展的空间分布呈现出明显的不平衡性,使得实现区域能源配置效率帕累托最优的努力变得更加复杂。针对这一问题,本研究采用指数分解模型,从经济 "新常态 "和地理空间的双重视角探讨了中国能源消费影响因素的异质性。研究结果表明(1)能源强度效应对地区能源消费增长的抑制作用存在分化,广东、江苏等省份的抑制作用较强,海南、青海等省份的抑制作用较弱。生活水平效应对地区能源消费增长的促进作用也存在差异,江苏、山东等省份的促进作用较强,而海南、青海等省份的促进作用较弱。(2)人口规模效应对区域能源消费增长的作用方向不一致,广东、浙江等省份具有促进作用,且作用效果较强,相反,黑龙江、吉林、甘肃等省份具有抑制作用。(3)在经济 "新常态 "后期,四地能源强度效应、生活水平效应和人口规模效应对能源消费增长的影响呈减弱趋势,且这种减弱趋势在东北地区更为明显。本研究拓展了能源消费影响因素的理论研究,为我国政府在经济 "新常态 "和地域因素下协调区域能源配置提供了实践指导。
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引用次数: 0
Energy poverty in light of the climate emergency in Sub‐Saharan Africa: Impact and transmission channels 撒哈拉以南非洲气候紧急情况下的能源贫困:影响和传播渠道
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12489
Thierry Messie Pondie, Fon Dorothy Engwali
This study analyzes the effect of energy poverty on environmental quality for a sample of 43 countries in sub‐Saharan Africa. We specify and estimate a linear panel data model for the period 2000–2021, using fixed effects and the Driscoll‐Kraay method. The results show that access to electricity and clean energy for cooking have a positive and significant effect on deforestation and carbon emissions. Taking into account non‐linear analysis, we find that there is an inverted U‐relationship between energy indicators and environmental quality, thus, verifying the hypothesis of the Kuznet environmental curve. Thus, access to electricity and access to clean cooking energy improve environmental quality from a threshold. For the resolution of endogeneity, Lewbel 2SLS, the Kiviet method and S‐GMM were used. In addition, analysis of the sample data using a structural equation model (PLS‐SEM) shows that energy indicators pass through various channels to affect environmental quality. Therefore, based on these results, we recommend increasing investments in electricity infrastructure, especially in clean decentralized energy, in order to reduce deforestation and, therefore, CO2 emissions.
本研究以撒哈拉以南非洲 43 个国家为样本,分析了能源贫困对环境质量的影响。我们使用固定效应和 Driscoll-Kraay 方法对 2000-2021 年期间的线性面板数据模型进行了具体化和估算。结果显示,用电和清洁能源做饭对森林砍伐和碳排放有积极而显著的影响。考虑到非线性分析,我们发现能源指标与环境质量之间存在倒 U 型关系,从而验证了库兹涅环境曲线的假设。因此,获得电力和清洁烹饪能源可以从一个临界点改善环境质量。为解决内生性问题,使用了 Lewbel 2SLS、Kiviet 方法和 S-GMM。此外,利用结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)对样本数据进行的分析表明,能源指标通过各种渠道影响环境质量。因此,基于这些结果,我们建议增加对电力基础设施的投资,特别是对清洁分散能源的投资,以减少森林砍伐,从而减少二氧化碳排放。
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引用次数: 0
Non‐linear nexus of mineral rents, coal rents, foreign direct investment, and environmental sustainability: Importance of institutional quality in E‐7 nations 矿产租金、煤炭租金、外国直接投资和环境可持续性的非线性关系:七国集团体制质量的重要性
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12470
Lingli Qing, Peng Li, Yaode Wang, Usman Mehmood, Hind Alofaysan
This study investigates the impact of natural resources (NRs), economic growth (GDP), institutional quality, mining and coal rents, and foreign direct investment (FDI) on the environmental quality in the E‐7 countries (Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, Turkey, and Mexico) from 1990 to 2021. To do this, such advanced estimation methods are used as the method of moments quantile regression (MMQR), with the artificial neural network utilized for robustness checks. The initial diagnostic test results unveiled the presence of cross‐sectional dependence, slope heterogeneity, and long‐run cointegration. The MMQR analysis results indicate that coal and mineral rents escalate environmental pollution by reducing the load capacity factor (LCF) across all quantiles. The results further indicate that FDI and economic growth negatively affect while institutional quality (INS) significantly promotes the LCF in E‐7 countries. Moreover, INS significantly moderates the relationship between mineral resources and LCF, as well as coal resources and LCF. The robustness test also validates these findings. Based on these results, policy measures aimed at strengthening institutional quality, particularly within the NR sector, are crucial for mitigating the adverse impacts of coal and mineral extraction on LCF and promoting sustainable development in the E‐7 countries.
本研究探讨了自然资源(NRs)、经济增长(GDP)、制度质量、采矿和煤炭租金以及外国直接投资(FDI)对 1990 年至 2021 年 E-7 国家(巴西、中国、印度、印度尼西亚、俄罗斯、土耳其和墨西哥)环境质量的影响。为此,我们采用了矩量回归法(MMQR)等先进的估计方法,并利用人工神经网络进行稳健性检验。初步诊断测试结果揭示了横截面依赖性、斜率异质性和长期协整性的存在。MMQR分析结果表明,煤炭和矿产租金通过降低所有量级的负载能力系数(LCF)来加剧环境污染。结果进一步表明,外国直接投资和经济增长对环境污染有负面影响,而制度质量(INS)则显著提高了七国集团国家的环境负荷能力系数(LCF)。此外,INS 对矿产资源和负载能力系数以及煤炭资源和负载能力系数之间的关系有明显的调节作用。稳健性检验也验证了这些结论。基于这些结果,旨在加强机构质量(尤其是自然资源部门)的政策措施对于减轻煤炭和矿产开采对低碳森林的不利影响以及促进七国集团国家的可持续发展至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Another look at energy consumption and environmental sustainability target through the lens of the load capacity factor: Accessing evidence from MINT economies 从负载能力系数的角度再看能源消耗和环境可持续性目标:从 MINT 经济体获取证据
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12481
Festus Victor Bekun, Gizem Uzuner, Muhammad Saeed Meo, Ashutosh Yadav
The relationship between energy utilization and the environment is crucial in an era of environmental concerns by global economies and rising energy consumption. Emerging economies such as Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey (hereafter, MINT) face complex trade‐offs between economic growth and environmental sustainability. Strengthening this study are the UN Sustainable Development Goals prepositions on access to clean and alternative energy, decent economic growth, responsible production and consumption and climate action (UN‐SDGs‐7, 8, 12, and 13). The present study examines the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for MINT economies within the framework of the load capacity factor (LCF). The article leverages panel econometrics to operationalize the relationship between study variables. Empirical findings show that the present study fails to confirm the presence of EKC. Thus, it implies that the MINT economies are at their first stage of accelerated economic growth which might result in an augmented ecological footprint and exert pressure on natural resources, as indicated by the observed negative outcome. Furthermore, there is a positive and significant relationship between renewable energy consumption (RENENG) and LCF. It implies that a 1% increase in RENENG leads to an increase in LCF of 0.70%. These outcomes indicate that the level of RENENG in MINT economies is not sufficient to mitigate climate change issues. Thus, from a policy perspective, there is a need for change in the MINT nations' energy portfolio mix, such as the need to switch from conventional energy sources (fossil fuels) to renewable energy sources, including solar, wind, photovoltaic and hydropower, which usually have a smaller negative impact on the environment. Furthermore, there is a need for investment in new and green energy technologies in the countries investigated to arrive at a clean and better ecosystem as desired. More insight is outlined in the concluding section.
在全球经济关注环境问题和能源消耗不断增加的时代,能源利用与环境之间的关系至关重要。墨西哥、印度尼西亚、尼日利亚和土耳其等新兴经济体(以下简称 MINT)面临着经济增长与环境可持续性之间的复杂权衡。联合国可持续发展目标中关于获取清洁和替代能源、体面的经济增长、负责任的生产和消费以及气候行动(联合国可持续发展目标 7、8、12 和 13)的前提条件加强了本研究。本研究在负载能力系数(LCF)的框架内,探讨了多边贸易体系经济体的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假设。文章利用面板计量经济学来操作研究变量之间的关系。实证研究结果表明,本研究未能证实 EKC 的存在。因此,这意味着 MINT 经济体正处于经济加速增长的第一阶段,这可能会导致生态足迹扩大,并对自然资源造成压力,正如观察到的负面结果所显示的那样。此外,可再生能源消费(RENENG)与低碳足迹之间存在显著的正相关关系。这意味着 RENENG 每增加 1%,LCF 就会增加 0.70%。这些结果表明,MINT 经济体的可再生能源消费水平不足以缓解气候变化问题。因此,从政策角度来看,有必要改变 MINT 国家的能源组合结构,例如需要从传统能源(化石燃料)转向可再生能源,包括太阳能、风能、光伏发电和水电,这些能源通常对环境的负面影响较小。此外,被调查国家还需要对新的绿色能源技术进行投资,以实现所期望的清洁和更好的生态系统。结论部分将概述更多见解。
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引用次数: 0
Industrial structure optimization and green growth in China based on a population heterogeneity perspective 基于人口异质性视角的中国产业结构优化与绿色增长
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12487
Tingting Li, Wei Dou, Jing Han, Wenqing Zhang
Population and industrial structure, as foundational characteristics of economic and social systems, exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity and dynamic evolutionary trends in their impact on sustainable economic and social development. However, existing research often employs subjective spatial categorization of samples and overlooks the dynamic transitions of influencing patterns, potentially leading to biases in empirical results. To address this, the current study, based on the calculation of green total factor productivity (GTFP) for 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2018, incorporates a finite mixture model. This model examines the objective heterogeneity and dynamic transition patterns of industrial structure's impact on GTFP, both from the perspectives of industrial structure advancement (ISA) and rationalization (ISR), and reveals the mechanisms of heterogeneity and dynamic changes from a population standpoint. The findings indicate that there are three patterns in the impact of industrial structure on GTFP, with nearly half of the provinces undergoing pattern transitions during the observation period. The key factors for these transitions are identified as the improvement in human capital levels and urbanization rates. In provinces like Beijing, Guangdong, and Shanghai, ISA and ISR significantly promote GTFP, with their effects further enhanced by increased urbanization and human capital levels. Conversely, in regions such as Shanxi and Hebei, ISA does not favor GTFP improvement, and while ISR can enhance GTFP, this positive effect diminishes with increasing urbanization and labor force numbers. This research not only enriches the literature on the positive interaction patterns between industrial and population structures but also provides a comprehensive analytical framework for governments to adopt differentiated policy measures for sustainable economic development.
人口和产业结构作为经济和社会系统的基本特征,在对经济和社会可持续发展的影响方面表现出显著的空间异质性和动态演变趋势。然而,现有研究往往采用主观的样本空间分类方法,忽视了影响模式的动态转变,可能导致实证结果的偏差。针对这一问题,本研究在计算中国 30 个省份 2000 年至 2018 年绿色全要素生产率(GTFP)的基础上,加入了有限混合模型。该模型从产业结构高级化(ISA)和合理化(ISR)两个角度考察了产业结构对GTFP影响的客观异质性和动态转变模式,并从人口角度揭示了异质性和动态变化的机理。研究结果表明,产业结构对 GTFP 的影响存在三种模式,近一半的省份在观察期内经历了模式转换。这些转变的关键因素是人力资本水平和城市化率的提高。在北京、广东和上海等省份,ISA 和 ISR 显著促进了 GTFP 的增长,而城市化水平和人力资本水平的提高则进一步增强了其效果。相反,在山西和河北等地区,基础设施服务业不利于 GTFP 的提高,而基础设施服务业虽然可以提高 GTFP,但随着城市化和劳动力数量的增加,这种积极作用会减弱。这项研究不仅丰富了有关产业结构与人口结构良性互动模式的文献,而且为政府采取差异化政策措施促进经济可持续发展提供了全面的分析框架。
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引用次数: 0
The spatial pattern and association network of green finance development: Empirical evidence from China 绿色金融发展的空间模式与关联网络:来自中国的经验证据
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-02 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12474
Tangyang Jiang, Juanjuan Xu, Yang Yu, Atif Jahanger, Daniel Balsalobre‐Lorente
Green finance is a market‐driven approach to achieve the “double carbon” goal. However, the existing research predominantly focuses on the connotations and empowerment aspects of green finance. Notable regional disparities exist in China's financial markets and resource endowments, resulting in uneven levels of green finance development among various areas, significantly impeding the overall green transformation of the economy and society. In light of this, our paper explores the spatial patterns and association network of green finance development in China. The research findings indicate that: (1) The development of green finance in China exhibits an “east high, west low” spatial distribution pattern, with significant spatial clustering observed among neighboring provinces. The eastern region displays a “H‐H” clustering, while the western region shows an “L‐L” clustering. (2) The spatial correlation distribution of provincial green finance in China demonstrates an eastward concentration and westward dispersion trend, with strong correlation areas gradually expanding. Notably, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, and the Beijing‐Tianjin‐Hebei urban agglomerations lead nationally in attractiveness. (3) The external radiation capability of provincial green finance is progressively improving, with provinces such as Beijing, Hebei, Hubei, and Sichuan likely to occupy strategic structural positions, possessing greater development advantages. This study not only expands the theoretical scope of existing green finance research but also provides a practical reference for coordinating and achieving the high‐quality development of regional green finance from a practical perspective.
绿色金融是实现 "双碳 "目标的一种市场驱动方式。然而,现有研究主要集中在绿色金融的内涵和赋能方面。中国的金融市场和资源禀赋存在明显的地区差异,导致各地绿色金融发展水平参差不齐,严重阻碍了经济社会的整体绿色转型。有鉴于此,本文探讨了中国绿色金融发展的空间格局和关联网络。研究结果表明(1)中国绿色金融发展呈现 "东高西低 "的空间分布格局,相邻省份之间存在显著的空间集聚。东部地区呈现 "H-H "聚类,西部地区呈现 "L-L "聚类。(2)中国省级绿色金融空间相关性分布呈现东向集中、西向分散的趋势,强相关区域逐渐扩大。其中,江苏、浙江、上海和京津冀城市群的吸引力在全国领先。(3)省级绿色金融对外辐射能力逐步提升,北京、河北、湖北、四川等省份可能占据战略性结构地位,具有较大的发展优势。本研究不仅拓展了现有绿色金融研究的理论视野,也从实践角度为协调和实现区域绿色金融高质量发展提供了现实参考。
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引用次数: 0
Financial sector development and renewable energy consumption nexus: Evidence from global dynamic panel threshold analysis 金融部门发展与可再生能源消费的关系:来自全球动态面板阈值分析的证据
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12469
Muhammad Tariq Majeed, Zubia Hussain
Decarbonizing economies requires an energy transition from conventional energy resources to renewable and clean energy resources. However, this transition largely depends upon the availability of huge investments to manage high start‐up costs and operational infrastructure. In this respect, the financial sector can play a vital role. This study explores the financial sector's role in renewable energy consumption utilizing a comprehensive measure of financial sector development constituting both financial institutions and financial markets. Moreover, the study utilizes an advanced econometric technique “dynamic panel threshold model” on panel data of 165 countries ranging from 1980 to 2019. The empirical analysis reveals the presence of a threshold value of 0.191, 0.196, and 0.008 for the overall financial development index, financial institutions index, and financial market index, respectively. This finding confirms the presence of a U‐shaped curve between financial sector development and renewable energy consumption, validating the existence of the financial Kuznets curve. Thus, initially, financial sector development results in lower renewable energy consumption while after reaching the threshold level it boosts renewable energy consumption. Furthermore, the study also shows the statistically significant role of economic growth, trade openness, and inflation in explaining renewable energy usage. The obtained outcomes suggest a pressing necessity to improve both financial institutions and markets to surpass the threshold levels of financial sector performance within the financial sector, thus supporting a rise in renewable energy consumption.
经济去碳化要求能源从传统能源过渡到可再生清洁能源。然而,这种过渡在很大程度上取决于是否有巨额投资来管理高昂的启动成本和运营基础设施。在这方面,金融部门可以发挥至关重要的作用。本研究利用金融机构和金融市场构成的金融业发展综合衡量标准,探讨了金融业在可再生能源消费中的作用。此外,本研究还利用先进的计量经济学技术 "动态面板阈值模型",对 1980 年至 2019 年 165 个国家的面板数据进行了分析。实证分析表明,金融发展总指数、金融机构指数和金融市场指数分别存在0.191、0.196和0.008的阈值。这一结果证实了金融业发展与可再生能源消费之间存在 U 型曲线,验证了金融库兹涅茨曲线的存在。因此,金融业发展在初期会降低可再生能源的消耗,而在达到临界水平后,则会促进可再生能源的消耗。此外,研究还表明,经济增长、贸易开放度和通货膨胀在解释可再生能源的使用方面具有显著的统计学作用。研究结果表明,迫切需要改善金融机构和市场,使金融部门的表现超过临界水平,从而支持可再生能源消费的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Trade policy and environmental sustainability in Africa: An empirical analysis 非洲的贸易政策和环境可持续性:实证分析
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12488
James Temitope Dada, Folorunsho Monsur Ajide, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al‐Faryan, Mosab I. Tabash
This study investigates whether trade policy instruments—tariffs—strengthen or worsen African environmental sustainability. To drive out the objectives of the study, fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS), dynamic OLS (DOLS), augmented mean group (AMG), method of moment quantile regression (MMQR) and Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality approaches are used to analyse the effect of tariff in addition to other control variables on carbon and ecological footprints as measured of environmental sustainability from 2001 to 2020. The results from the MMQR reveal that tariffs have a significant positive effect on carbon footprints in the 0.15 quantile, while the effect becomes insignificant between 0.25 and 0.5 quantiles. However, at the upper quantiles level (0.75–0.95), the impact of the tariff on carbon footprint is negative and significant, with increasing coefficients. Furthermore, tariffs significantly positively affect lower and middle quantiles' ecological footprints (0.15–0.5). However, the effect turns negative at the upper quantiles (0.9 and 0.95), suggesting that tariff reduces ecological footprint at these levels. In addition, the long‐run estimates (FMOLS, DOLS and AMG) also support the upper quantile estimates of MMQR. A one‐way causality between tariffs, carbon and ecological footprint was found. These findings reveal that tariffs do not create market inefficiency in Africa. This study recommends that tariffs as a trade policy instrument could be used to strengthen Africa's environmental quality. The government can use the tariff revenue to subsidize cleaner production and consumption and move the economy from a traditional energy source to renewable energy.
本研究探讨了贸易政策工具--关税--是加强还是恶化了非洲的环境可持续性。为实现研究目标,本研究采用了完全修正普通最小二乘法(FMOLS)、动态 OLS(DOLS)、均值组增强法(AMG)、矩量子回归法(MMQR)和杜米特雷斯库-胡林面板因果关系法,分析了关税以及其他控制变量对衡量 2001 至 2020 年环境可持续性的碳足迹和生态足迹的影响。MMQR 的结果显示,在 0.15 量级,关税对碳足迹有显著的正向影响,而在 0.25 和 0.5 量级之间,影响变得不显著。然而,在高量纲水平(0.75-0.95),关税对碳足迹的影响为负且显著,系数不断增大。此外,关税对中低量化水平(0.15-0.5)的生态足迹有明显的正向影响。然而,在高分量组(0.9 和 0.95),影响转为负值,表明关税减少了这些分量组的生态足迹。此外,长期估计值(FMOLS、DOLS 和 AMG)也支持 MMQR 的上量化估计值。研究发现,关税、碳足迹和生态足迹之间存在单向因果关系。这些研究结果表明,关税并未造成非洲市场效率低下。本研究建议,关税作为一种贸易政策工具,可用于加强非洲的环境质量。政府可以利用关税收入补贴清洁生产和消费,并将经济从传统能源转向可再生能源。
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引用次数: 0
Projecting a long‐term healthcare expenditure in the United States: Do climate change, globalization, and technological innovation play a major role? 预测美国的长期医疗开支:气候变化、全球化和技术创新是否发挥了重要作用?
IF 3.3 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12485
Laurine Chikodiri Nwosu, Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi, Oktay Özkan, Dervis Kirikkaleli, Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo
Recognizing the paramount importance of health, the United Nations Development Program has outlined sustainable development goals, emphasizing Goal 3, which focuses on ensuring and promoting healthy lives and well‐being for all. Consequently, this study delves into the determinants of healthcare expenditure (HCE), specifically focusing on financial development (FDV), tourism (TOR), technological innovations (TINs), economic growth (EG), and climate change in the United States. The investigation utilizes data spanning from the first quarter of 2000Q1 to the fourth quarter of 2020Q4. To achieve this objective, we employed innovative quantile‐based methodologies, including wavelet quantile regression and quantile‐on‐quantile Granger causality. These approaches facilitated a comprehensive exploration of the dynamic interactions between HCE and its influencing factors across various quantiles and periods. The wavelet quantile regression and quantile‐on‐quantile regression analysis findings consistently indicate a positive impact of CO2, TOR, EG, globalization, FDV, foreign direct investment, and TIN on HCE in the United States. Furthermore, the results obtained from the quantile‐on‐quantile Granger causality demonstrate that CO2 emissions, TOR, EG, globalization, FDV, foreign direct investment, and TIN significantly predict HCE across all quantiles. These insights have informed the formulation and implementation of various policies addressing the complex interplay between healthcare spending and its driving factors.
联合国开发计划署认识到健康的极端重要性,概述了可持续发展目标,强调目标 3 的重点是确保和促进所有人的健康生活和福祉。因此,本研究深入探讨了医疗保健支出(HCE)的决定因素,特别关注美国的金融发展(FDV)、旅游业(TOR)、技术创新(TINs)、经济增长(EG)和气候变化。调查使用了 2000Q1 第一季度至 2020Q4 第四季度的数据。为实现这一目标,我们采用了创新的基于量值的方法,包括小波量值回归和量值对量值的格兰杰因果关系。这些方法有助于全面探讨 HCE 及其影响因素在不同量级和时期的动态互动关系。小波量化回归和量化对量化回归分析结果一致表明,二氧化碳、TOR、EG、全球化、FDV、外国直接投资和 TIN 对美国的 HCE 有正向影响。此外,量级对量级的格兰杰因果关系分析结果表明,二氧化碳排放、TOR、EG、全球化、FDV、外国直接投资和 TIN 对所有量级的 HCE 都有显著的预测作用。这些见解有助于制定和实施各种政策,解决医疗保健支出及其驱动因素之间复杂的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
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