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Likelihood Geometry of the Squared Grassmannian 平方格拉斯曼的似然几何
Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: arxiv-2409.03730
Hannah Friedman
We study projection determinantal point processes and their connection to thesquared Grassmannian. We prove that the log-likelihood function of thisstatistical model has $(n - 1)!/2$ critical points, all of which are real andpositive, thereby settling a conjecture of Devriendt, Friedman, Reinke, andSturmfels.
我们研究了投影行列式点过程及其与平方格拉斯曼的联系。我们证明了这一统计模型的对数似然函数有 $(n - 1)!/2$ 个临界点,所有临界点都是实数和正数,从而解决了 Devriendt、Friedman、Reinke 和 Sturmfels 的一个猜想。
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引用次数: 0
Error bounds of Median-of-means estimators with VC-dimension 具有 VC 维度的均值中值估计器的误差边界
Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: arxiv-2409.03410
Yuxuan Wang, Yiming Chen, Hanchao Wang, Lixin Zhang
We obtain the upper error bounds of robust estimators for mean vector, usingthe median-of-means (MOM) method. The method is designed to handle data withheavy tails and contamination, with only a finite second moment, which isweaker than many others, relying on the VC dimension rather than the Rademachercomplexity to measure statistical complexity. This allows us to implement MOMin covariance estimation, without imposing conditions such as $L$-sub-Gaussianor $L_{4}-L_{2}$ norm equivalence. In particular, we derive a new robustestimator, the MOM version of the halfspace depth, along with error bounds formean estimation in any norm.
我们利用均值中值(MOM)方法获得了均值向量稳健估计器的误差上限。该方法设计用于处理尾部和污染严重的数据,只有有限的第二矩,比许多其他方法更弱,依靠 VC 维度而不是拉德马赫复杂性来衡量统计复杂性。这样,我们就可以实现 MOMin 协方差估计,而无需强加诸如 $L$-sub-Gaussian 或 $L_{4}-L_{2}$ norm equivalence 等条件。特别是,我们推导出了一种新的稳健估计器--半空间深度的 MOM 版本,以及在任何规范下进行均值估计的误差边界。
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引用次数: 0
The Geometry and Well-Posedness of Sparse Regularized Linear Regression 稀疏正则化线性回归的几何学和良好假设性
Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: arxiv-2409.03461
Jasper Marijn Everink, Yiqiu Dong, Martin Skovgaard Andersen
In this work, we study the well-posedness of certain sparse regularizedlinear regression problems, i.e., the existence, uniqueness and continuity ofthe solution map with respect to the data. We focus on regularization functionsthat are convex piecewise linear, i.e., whose epigraph is polyhedral. Thisincludes total variation on graphs and polyhedral constraints. We provide ageometric framework for these functions based on their connection to polyhedralsets and apply this to the study of the well-posedness of the correspondingsparse regularized linear regression problem. Particularly, we providegeometric conditions for well-posedness of the regression problem, comparethese conditions to those for smooth regularization, and show the computationaldifficulty of verifying these conditions.
在这项工作中,我们研究了某些稀疏正则化线性回归问题的良好提出性,即相对于数据的解图的存在性、唯一性和连续性。我们重点研究凸片面线性的正则化函数,即其外延为多面体的正则化函数。这包括图形上的总变化和多面体约束。我们根据这些函数与多面体集的联系,为它们提供了计量学框架,并将其应用于相应的解析正则化线性回归问题的好拟性研究。特别是,我们为回归问题的良好拟合提供了几何条件,将这些条件与平滑正则化的条件进行了比较,并展示了验证这些条件的计算难度。
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引用次数: 0
Convergence Rates for the Maximum A Posteriori Estimator in PDE-Regression Models with Random Design 具有随机设计的 PDE 回归模型中最大后验估计器的收敛率
Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: arxiv-2409.03417
Maximilian Siebel
We consider the statistical inverse problem of recovering a parameter$thetain H^alpha$ from data arising from the Gaussian regression problembegin{equation*} Y = mathscr{G}(theta)(Z)+varepsilon end{equation*} with nonlinear forwardmap $mathscr{G}:mathbb{L}^2tomathbb{L}^2$, random design points $Z$ andGaussian noise $varepsilon$. The estimation strategy is based on a leastsquares approach under $VertcdotVert_{H^alpha}$-constraints. We establishthe existence of a least squares estimator $hat{theta}$ as a maximizer for agiven functional under Lipschitz-type assumptions on the forward map$mathscr{G}$. A general concentration result is shown, which is used to proveconsistency and upper bounds for the prediction error. The corresponding ratesof convergence reflect not only the smoothness of the parameter of interest butalso the ill-posedness of the underlying inverse problem. We apply the generalmodel to the Darcy problem, where the recovery of an unknown coefficientfunction $f$ of a PDE is of interest. For this example, we also providecorresponding rates of convergence for the prediction and estimation errors.Additionally, we briefly discuss the applicability of the general model toother problems.
我们考虑从高斯回归问题产生的数据中恢复 H^alpha 中的参数的统计逆问题。Y = mathscr{G}(theta)(Z)+varepsilon end{equation*} 具有非线性前向映射 $mathscr{G}:mathbb{L}^2tomathbb{L}^2$, 随机设计点 $Z$ 和高斯噪声 $varepsilon$.估计策略基于 $VertcdotVert_{H^alpha}$ 约束下的最小二乘法。我们建立了最小二乘估计器 $hat{theta}$ 的存在性,它是前向映射 $mathscr{G}$ 的 Lipschitz 型假设下给定函数的最大化。显示了一个一般的集中结果,它被用来证明预测误差的一致性和上限。相应的收敛率不仅反映了相关参数的平滑性,也反映了基本逆问题的拟合不良性。我们将一般模型应用于达西问题,在达西问题中,我们关注的是恢复一个 PDE 的未知系数函数 $f$。此外,我们还简要讨论了一般模型对其他问题的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Bulk Spectra of Truncated Sample Covariance Matrices 截断样本协方差矩阵的总体频谱
Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: arxiv-2409.02911
Subhroshekhar Ghosh, Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee, Himasish Talukdar
Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs), which originate from quantum andstatistical physics, are known for modelling diversity. Recent research [Ghoshand Rigollet (2020)] has demonstrated that certain matrix-valued $U$-statistics(that are truncated versions of the usual sample covariance matrix) caneffectively estimate parameters in the context of Gaussian DPPs and enhancedimension reduction techniques, outperforming standard methods like PCA inclustering applications. This paper explores the spectral properties of thesematrix-valued $U$-statistics in the null setting of an isotropic design. Thesematrices may be represented as $X L X^top$, where $X$ is a data matrix and $L$is the Laplacian matrix of a random geometric graph associated to $X$. The mainmathematically interesting twist here is that the matrix $L$ is dependent on$X$. We give complete descriptions of the bulk spectra of these matrix-valued$U$-statistics in terms of the Stieltjes transforms of their empirical spectralmeasures. The results and the techniques are in fact able to address a broaderclass of kernelised random matrices, connecting their limiting spectra togeneralised Marv{c}enko-Pastur laws and free probability.
确定点过程(DPPs)源于量子物理学和统计物理学,以建模多样性而著称。最近的研究[Ghoshand Rigollet (2020)]证明,某些矩阵值 $U$统计量(通常是样本协方差矩阵的截断版本)可以有效地估计高斯 DPPs 和增强维度缩减技术中的参数,其性能优于 PCA 倾斜应用等标准方法。本文探讨了在各向同性设计的空设置中,这些矩阵值 $U$ 统计量的频谱特性。这些矩阵可以表示为 $X L X^top$,其中 $X$ 是数据矩阵,$L$ 是与 $X$ 相关的随机几何图的拉普拉斯矩阵。这里在数学上最有趣的转折是矩阵 $L$ 与 $X$ 有关。我们根据这些矩阵值$U$统计量的经验光谱度量的斯蒂尔杰斯变换,给出了这些矩阵值$U$统计量的体谱的完整描述。事实上,这些结果和技术能够处理更广泛的核化随机矩阵,将它们的极限谱与广义的 Marv{c}enko-Pastur 规律和自由概率联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Smoothed Robust Phase Retrieval 平滑稳健相位检索
Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: arxiv-2409.01570
Zhong Zheng, Lingzhou Xue
The phase retrieval problem in the presence of noise aims to recover thesignal vector of interest from a set of quadratic measurements with infrequentbut arbitrary corruptions, and it plays an important role in many scientificapplications. However, the essential geometric structure of the nonconvexrobust phase retrieval based on the $ell_1$-loss is largely unknown to studyspurious local solutions, even under the ideal noiseless setting, and itsintrinsic nonsmooth nature also impacts the efficiency of optimizationalgorithms. This paper introduces the smoothed robust phase retrieval (SRPR)based on a family of convolution-type smoothed loss functions. Theoretically,we prove that the SRPR enjoys a benign geometric structure with highprobability: (1) under the noiseless situation, the SRPR has no spurious localsolutions, and the target signals are global solutions, and (2) under theinfrequent but arbitrary corruptions, we characterize the stationary points ofthe SRPR and prove its benign landscape, which is the first landscape analysisof phase retrieval with corruption in the literature. Moreover, we prove thelocal linear convergence rate of gradient descent for solving the SRPR underthe noiseless situation. Experiments on both simulated datasets and imagerecovery are provided to demonstrate the numerical performance of the SRPR.
存在噪声时的相位检索问题旨在从一组具有不频繁但任意破坏的二次测量中恢复感兴趣的信号矢量,它在许多科学应用中发挥着重要作用。然而,基于 $ell_1$-loss 的非凸稳健相位检索的基本几何结构在很大程度上不为人所知,即使在理想的无噪声环境下也无法研究出虚假的局部解,而且其固有的非光滑性质也影响了优化算法的效率。本文介绍了基于卷积型平滑损失函数族的平滑鲁棒相位检索(SRPR)。理论上,我们证明了 SRPR 具有高概率的良性几何结构:(1) 在无噪声情况下,SRPR 没有虚假局部,目标信号是全局解;(2) 在不频繁但任意的损坏情况下,我们描述了 SRPR 的静止点并证明了其良性景观,这是文献中首次对有损坏的相位检索进行景观分析。此外,我们还证明了无噪声情况下梯度下降求解 SRPR 的局部线性收敛率。我们还提供了模拟数据集和图像复原实验,以证明 SRPR 的数值性能。
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引用次数: 0
Demystified: double robustness with nuisance parameters estimated at rate n-to-the-1/4 解密:以 n 比 1/4 的速率估算滋扰参数的双重稳健性
Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: arxiv-2409.02320
Judith J. Lok
Have you also been wondering what is this thing with double robustness andnuisance parameters estimated at rate n^(1/4)? It turns out that to understandthis phenomenon one just needs the Middle Value Theorem (or a Taylor expansion)and some smoothness conditions. This note explains why under some fairly simpleconditions, as long as the nuisance parameter theta in R^k is estimated at raten^(1/4) or faster, 1. the resulting variance of the estimator of the parameterof interest psi in R^d does not depend on how the nuisance parameter theta isestimated, and 2. the sandwich estimator of the variance of psi-hat ignoringestimation of theta is consistent.
你是否也想知道双重稳健性和以 n^(1/4) 速率估计的滋扰参数是怎么回事?事实证明,要理解这一现象,只需要中值定理(或泰勒展开式)和一些平稳性条件。本说明解释了为什么在一些相当简单的条件下,只要 R^k 中的滋扰参数 theta 是以 n^(1/4) 或更快的速度估计的,1.R^d 中感兴趣的参数 psi 的估计值的方差就不取决于滋扰参数 theta 是如何估计的,2.忽略了对 theta 的估计的 psi-hat方差的三明治估计值是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Deconvolution of repeated measurements corrupted by unknown noise 对受未知噪声干扰的重复测量进行解卷积
Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: arxiv-2409.02014
Jérémie Capitao-Miniconi, Elisabeth Gassiat, Luc Lehéricy
Recent advances have demonstrated the possibility of solving thedeconvolution problem without prior knowledge of the noise distribution. Inthis paper, we study the repeated measurements model, where information isderived from multiple measurements of X perturbed independently by additiveerrors. Our contributions include establishing identifiability without anyassumption on the noise except for coordinate independence. We propose anestimator of the density of the signal for which we provide rates ofconvergence, and prove that it reaches the minimax rate in the case where thesupport of the signal is compact. Additionally, we propose a model selectionprocedure for adaptive estimation. Numerical simulations demonstrate theeffectiveness of our approach even with limited sample sizes.
最近的研究进展证明,在不预先知道噪声分布的情况下,也有可能解决解卷积问题。在本文中,我们研究了重复测量模型,该模型中的信息来自于受到加性干扰独立扰动的 X 的多次测量。我们的贡献包括:除了坐标独立性之外,在不对噪声做任何假设的情况下建立了可识别性。我们提出了一种信号密度的估计方法,并提供了收敛率,证明在信号支持紧凑的情况下,它能达到最小收敛率。此外,我们还提出了自适应估计的模型选择程序。数值模拟证明了我们的方法即使在样本量有限的情况下也是有效的。
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引用次数: 0
Formalizing the causal interpretation in accelerated failure time models with unmeasured heterogeneity 将具有未测量异质性的加速故障时间模型中的因果解释形式化
Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: arxiv-2409.01983
Mari Brathovde, Hein Putter, Morten Valberg, Richard A. J. Post
In the presence of unmeasured heterogeneity, the hazard ratio for exposurehas a complex causal interpretation. To address this, accelerated failure time(AFT) models, which assess the effect on the survival time ratio scale, areoften suggested as a better alternative. AFT models also allow forstraightforward confounder adjustment. In this work, we formalize the causalinterpretation of the acceleration factor in AFT models using structural causalmodels and data under independent censoring. We prove that the accelerationfactor is a valid causal effect measure, even in the presence of frailty andtreatment effect heterogeneity. Through simulations, we show that theacceleration factor better captures the causal effect than the hazard ratiowhen both AFT and proportional hazards models apply. Additionally, we extendthe interpretation to systems with time-dependent acceleration factors,revealing the challenge of distinguishing between a time-varying homogeneouseffect and unmeasured heterogeneity. While the causal interpretation ofacceleration factors is promising, we caution practitioners about potentialchallenges in estimating these factors in the presence of effect heterogeneity.
在存在未测量异质性的情况下,暴露的危险比具有复杂的因果解释。为了解决这个问题,人们通常建议采用加速失败时间(AFT)模型,该模型评估生存时间比标度上的影响,是一种更好的替代方法。AFT 模型还可以直接调整混杂因素。在这项工作中,我们利用结构因果模型和独立删减下的数据,对 AFT 模型中的加速因子进行了形式化的因果解释。我们证明,即使存在虚弱和治疗效果异质性,加速因子也是一个有效的因果效应度量。通过模拟,我们证明当 AFT 模型和比例危险模型都适用时,加速因子比危险比能更好地捕捉因果效应。此外,我们还将解释扩展到了加速因子随时间变化的系统,揭示了区分随时间变化的同质性效应和未测量的异质性所面临的挑战。虽然对加速因子的因果解释很有希望,但我们提醒实践者在存在效应异质性的情况下估计这些因子时可能遇到的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
A sparse PAC-Bayesian approach for high-dimensional quantile prediction 用于高维量化预测的稀疏 PAC-Bayesian 方法
Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: arxiv-2409.01687
The Tien Mai
Quantile regression, a robust method for estimating conditional quantiles,has advanced significantly in fields such as econometrics, statistics, andmachine learning. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of covariatesexceeds sample size, penalized methods like lasso have been developed toaddress sparsity challenges. Bayesian methods, initially connected to quantileregression via the asymmetric Laplace likelihood, have also evolved, thoughissues with posterior variance have led to new approaches, includingpseudo/score likelihoods. This paper presents a novel probabilistic machinelearning approach for high-dimensional quantile prediction. It uses apseudo-Bayesian framework with a scaled Student-t prior and Langevin MonteCarlo for efficient computation. The method demonstrates strong theoreticalguarantees, through PAC-Bayes bounds, that establish non-asymptotic oracleinequalities, showing minimax-optimal prediction error and adaptability tounknown sparsity. Its effectiveness is validated through simulations andreal-world data, where it performs competitively against establishedfrequentist and Bayesian techniques.
量子回归是一种用于估计条件量值的稳健方法,在计量经济学、统计学和机器学习等领域取得了长足的进步。在高维环境中,协方差的数量超过了样本大小,为了解决稀疏性难题,人们开发了拉索(lasso)等惩罚性方法。贝叶斯方法最初是通过非对称拉普拉斯似然与量子回归联系在一起的,现在也得到了发展,不过后验方差的问题导致了新方法的出现,包括伪似然/分数似然。本文介绍了一种用于高维量化预测的新型概率机器学习方法。该方法采用伪贝叶斯框架,带有按比例的 Student-t 先验和用于高效计算的 Langevin MonteCarlo。该方法通过 PAC-Bayes 边界提供了强有力的理论保证,建立了非渐近的甲骨文方程,显示了最小最优预测误差和对已知稀疏性的适应性。它的有效性通过模拟和现实世界的数据得到了验证,在这些数据中,它的表现与已有的频率主义和贝叶斯技术相比具有竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
arXiv - STAT - Statistics Theory
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