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Expert-based assessment of the climate change vulnerability of amphibians and reptiles of Uruguay 乌拉圭两栖动物和爬行动物气候变化脆弱性专家评估
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.1017/s0376892922000418
Pablo Vaz-Canosa, Gabriel Laufer, C. Borteiro, D. Baldo, Carlos Prigioni, Á. Soutullo
Climate change (CC) is a major threat to biodiversity, increasing species extinction risk. Assessments of its possible impacts on species are crucial for designing conservation strategies. Here, we adjusted a global trait-based approach to the national level and apply it to Uruguay (South America) to evaluate the CC vulnerability of its herpetofauna. A total of 112 species were assessed in a scenario of CC projections for 2050 with regard to three dimensions of vulnerability: sensitivity, low adaptive capacity and exposure. We conducted the assessment through an expert elicitation process based on the Delphi method. We found that most local species (64.6% amphibians; 100% reptiles) were highly sensitive to CC. Among them, seven amphibians (14.6%) and seven reptiles (10.9%) were identified as highly vulnerable to CC. Important gaps in the life-history traits of the species were found that should guide future research. The structured expert consultation process allowed us to gather more and better information than if it had only been based on published sources. Our study identified challenges associated with changing the scale from global to national that might be used for similar assessments in other countries.
气候变化是对生物多样性的主要威胁,增加了物种灭绝的风险。评估其对物种可能产生的影响对于制定保护战略至关重要。在这里,我们将基于全球特征的方法调整到了国家层面,并将其应用于乌拉圭(南美洲),以评估其疱疹病毒的CC脆弱性。在2050年CC预测的情景中,共对112个物种进行了脆弱性三个方面的评估:敏感性、低适应能力和暴露。我们通过基于德尔菲方法的专家启发过程进行评估。我们发现,大多数本地物种(64.6%的两栖动物;100%的爬行动物)对CC高度敏感。其中,7种两栖动物(14.6%)和7种爬行动物(10.9%)被确定为高度易受CC影响。该物种的生活史特征存在重要差距,应指导未来的研究。结构化的专家咨询过程使我们能够收集更多更好的信息,而不是仅仅基于公布的来源。我们的研究确定了将比额表从全球改为国家的挑战,这些挑战可能用于其他国家的类似评估。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating habitat models for threatened species with landownership information to inform coastal resiliency and conservation planning 将濒危物种栖息地模型与土地所有权信息相结合,为海岸恢复力和保护规划提供信息
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.1017/s037689292200039x
M. C. Allen, J. Lockwood, O. Robinson
Sea-level rise threatens both human communities and vulnerable species within coastal areas. Joint spatial planning can allow conservation and social resiliency goals to work in synergy. We present a case study integrating distribution information of a threatened saltmarsh bird, the eastern black rail (Laterallus jamaicensis jamaicensis), with social information to facilitate such joint planning. We constructed a distribution model for the species within an urbanizing coastal region (New Jersey, USA) and integrated this with publicly available parcel and protected area data to summarize ownership patterns. We estimated that c. 0.3–2.8% (c. 260–2200 ha) of available saltmarsh is occupied by eastern black rail, most of which is publicly owned (79%). Privately owned saltmarsh was spread across nearly 5000 individual parcels, 10% of which contained areas with the highest likelihood of rail presence according to our model (top quartile of predicted occupancy probabilities). Compared with all privately owned saltmarsh, parcels with probable rail habitat were larger (median: 5 versus 2 ha), contained more marsh (87% versus 59%) and were less economically valuable (US$11 200 versus US$36 100). Our approach of integrating species distributions with landownership data helps clarify trade-offs and synergies in species conservation and coastal resiliency planning.
海平面上升威胁着沿海地区的人类群落和脆弱物种。联合空间规划可以使保护和社会复原目标协同工作。我们提出了一个案例研究,将受威胁的盐沼鸟——东部黑轨鸟(Laterallus jamaicensis jamaicens)的分布信息与社会信息相结合,以促进这种联合规划。我们构建了该物种在城市化沿海地区(美国新泽西州)的分布模型,并将其与公开的地块和保护区数据相结合,以总结所有权模式。我们估计,约0.3-2.8%(约260-2200公顷)的可用盐沼被东部黑铁占用,其中大部分为公有(79%)。私人拥有的盐沼分布在近5000个单独的地块上,根据我们的模型,其中10%的地块包含铁路存在可能性最高的区域(预测占用概率的前四分位数)。与所有私人拥有的盐沼相比,可能有铁路栖息地的地块更大(中位数:5公顷对2公顷),沼泽地更多(87%对59%),经济价值更低(11200美元对36100美元)。我们将物种分布与土地所有权数据相结合的方法有助于澄清物种保护和海岸恢复力规划中的权衡和协同作用。
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引用次数: 0
Climate-driven animal mass mortality events: is there a role for scavengers? 气候驱动的动物大规模死亡事件:拾荒者有作用吗?
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-10-24 DOI: 10.1017/s0376892922000388
P. Barton, Anna Reboldi, Stefanie Bonat, P. Mateo‐Tomás, T. Newsome
Animal mass mortality events (MMEs) will increase with weather and climate extremes. MMEs can add significant stress to ecosystems through extraordinary nutrient pulses or contribute to potential disease transmission risks. Given their efficient removal of carrion biomass from landscapes, we argue here for the potential of scavenger guilds to be a key nature-based solution to mitigating MME effects. However, we caution that scavenger guilds alone will not be a silver bullet. It is critical for further research to identify how the composition of scavenger guilds and the magnitude of MMEs will determine when scavengers will buffer the impacts of such events on ecosystems and when intervention might be required. Some MMEs are too large for scavengers to remove efficiently, and there is a risk of MMEs subsidizing pest species, altering nutrient cycling or leading to disease spread. Prioritizing native scavenger taxa in conservation management policies may help to boost ecosystem resilience through preserving their key ecological services. This should be part of a multi-pronged approach to MME mitigation that combines scavenger conservation with practices such as carcass dispersal or removal when exceeding a threshold quantity. Policymakers are urged to identify such thresholds and to recognize both the insects and the vertebrate scavengers that could act as allies for mitigating the emerging problem of climate-driven MMEs.
动物大规模死亡事件(MME)将随着极端天气和气候而增加。MME会通过异常的营养脉冲给生态系统增加巨大压力,或导致潜在的疾病传播风险。考虑到它们能有效地去除景观中的腐肉生物量,我们在这里认为清道夫协会有可能成为减轻MME影响的一个关键的基于自然的解决方案。然而,我们要提醒的是,清道夫公会本身并不是一颗银弹。对于进一步的研究至关重要的是,要确定清道夫集团的组成和MME的规模将如何决定清道夫何时缓冲此类事件对生态系统的影响,以及何时可能需要干预。一些MME太大,清道夫无法有效清除,并且存在MME补贴害虫物种、改变营养循环或导致疾病传播的风险。在保护管理政策中优先考虑本地食腐动物类群,可能有助于通过保护其关键生态服务来提高生态系统的复原力。这应该是多管齐下的MME缓解方法的一部分,该方法将清道夫保护与超过阈值数量时的胴体扩散或移除等做法相结合。敦促政策制定者确定这样的阈值,并认识到昆虫和脊椎动物清道夫可以作为缓解气候驱动的MMEs新问题的盟友。
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引用次数: 2
Predicting suitable habitat for the endangered plant Cephalotaxus oliveri Mast. in China 濒危植物橄榄三尖杉适宜生境的预测。在中国
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.1017/s0376892922000376
Chunping Xie, Boyang Huang, C.Y. Jim, Dawei Liu, Chang Liu, Zhenxiang Zhu
The coniferous shrub Oliver’s plum yew (Cephalotaxus oliveri) is endemic to southern China with potential medicinal use for cancer treatment and ecological value in sustaining China’s threatened subtropical forest ecosystems. Comprehensive understanding of the current spatial patterns of this vulnerable species vis-à-vis climatic conditions is crucial for its sustained economic use and conservation. Based on 100 reliable occurrence records and nine environmental variables, MaxEnt and QGIS programs were used to predict the potential geographical distribution of C. oliveri in China. Combined with percentage contribution and permutation importance, the jackknife statistical method was used to test and evaluate pertinent factors restricting the potential distribution of C. oliveri. The response curves of critical bioclimatic factors were employed to determine the potential species range. The current core potential distribution areas were concentrated in China’s central and south-west regions. Temperature was identified as the crucial determinant of species distribution patterns, particularly the mean temperature of the coldest quarter. Precipitation was a necessary but not critical secondary factor. These findings should inform the ex situ conservation and cultivation of C. oliveri in China and its introduction to other parts of the world for similar purposes.
针叶灌木Oliver’s plum yew(Cephalotaxus oliveri)是中国南方的特有种,具有治疗癌症的潜在药用价值,在维持中国受威胁的亚热带森林生态系统方面具有生态价值。全面了解这种脆弱物种目前相对于气候条件的空间格局,对于其可持续的经济利用和保护至关重要。基于100个可靠的发生记录和9个环境变量,利用MaxEnt和QGIS程序预测了橄榄枝在中国的潜在地理分布。结合贡献率和排列重要性,采用jackknife统计方法对制约橄榄潜势分布的相关因素进行了检验和评价。采用关键生物气候因子的响应曲线来确定潜在物种范围。目前的核心潜力分布区集中在中国的中部和西南地区。温度被确定为物种分布模式的关键决定因素,特别是最冷地区的平均温度。降水是一个必要但不是关键的次要因素。这些发现应该为橄榄树在中国的迁地保护和栽培以及将其引入世界其他地区以达到类似目的提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Brazil: environment under attack 巴西:环境受到攻击
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.1017/s0376892922000364
Marcelo Dutra da Silva, P. Fearnside
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引用次数: 3
Impact of soil and water conservation measures on farm productivity and income in the semi-arid tropics of Bundelkhand, central India 印度中部邦德尔坎德半干旱热带地区水土保持措施对农业生产力和收入的影响
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-09-22 DOI: 10.1017/S0376892922000352
B. Choudhary, Inder Dev, Priyanka Singh, Ramesh Singh, Purushottam Sharma, K. Chand, K. Garg, K. Anantha, V. Akuraju, S. Dixit, Sunil Kumar, A. Ram, Naresh Kumar
Summary Soil and water are crucial resources for agriculture, especially in arid and semi-arid rain-fed areas, yet farm-level economic impacts and the factors influencing the adoption of measures for their conservation are little studied. The present study used data from 400 farm households to assess factors influencing the adoption of soil and water conservation measures (SWCMs) and their impacts on farm productivity and income in a semi-arid region of central India. We employed a probit model to determine the factors influencing the on-farm adoption of SWCMs and a propensity score matching technique for assessing their impacts. The findings indicate that farmer age and education, off-farm income, farm size and land ownership and access to training are key drivers of the adoption of SWCMs. SWCMs accentuated the input costs by INR 1689–2847 per ha during the rabi cropping season (October–February), but also increased crop productivity and net revenue from farming. The impact in the rabi season was less sensitive to the unobserved confounders than in the kharif season (June–September). Therefore, SWCMs could represent an important strategy for unlocking the cultivation potential of large rain-fed areas and for sustaining the livelihoods of farm households in the ecologically fragile arid and semi-arid tropics.
土壤和水是农业的重要资源,特别是在干旱和半干旱雨水灌溉地区,但对农场层面的经济影响以及影响采取保护措施的因素研究甚少。本研究使用了来自400个农户的数据,评估了影响印度中部半干旱地区采取水土保持措施的因素及其对农业生产力和收入的影响。我们采用了probit模型来确定影响农场采用SWCM的因素,并采用倾向得分匹配技术来评估其影响。研究结果表明,农民年龄和教育程度、非农收入、农场规模和土地所有权以及获得培训的机会是采用SWCM的关键驱动因素。在拉比种植季节(10月至2月),SWCM使投入成本每公顷增加1689至2847卢比,但也提高了作物生产力和农业净收入。拉比季节的影响对未观察到的混杂因素的敏感性低于哈里夫季节(6月至9月)。因此,SWCM可以代表一项重要战略,以释放大型雨水灌溉地区的种植潜力,并维持生态脆弱的干旱和半干旱热带地区农户的生计。
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引用次数: 1
Governments commit to forest restoration, but what does it take to restore forests? 政府承诺恢复森林,但恢复森林需要什么?
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1017/S0376892922000340
S. Mansourian, H. Kleymann, Valerie Passardi, S. Winter, M. Derkyi, Anita Diederichsen, M. Gabay, P. Pacheco, D. Vallauri, C. Kull
Summary Forest restoration is receiving increased attention from many public and private actors, but few large-scale experiences exist. We explored 10 cases where forest cover had either increased or stabilized or where there was a significant drive towards forest expansion to understand which factors can facilitate the scaling up of forest restoration. We developed a data collection checklist to search the literature and we interviewed key informants. Our analysis identified 15 motivating factors for forest restoration, including the desire to mitigate land degradation, droughts or floods or to contribute to biodiversity conservation. We also identified some factors that facilitate the implementation of forest restoration, such as a supportive policy framework that includes forest restoration plans, financial incentives, truly collaborative arrangements, tenure rights to forests, trees and specific goods and services from these, the roles of specialized agencies, external stakeholders, local communities and local authorities. For restoration to be sustained, it is necessary to integrate it into national institutions, ensure sectoral integration across landscapes, ensure diversified and long-term financing and embed it in local institutions.
森林恢复正受到许多公共和私人行为者越来越多的关注,但很少有大规模的经验。我们探讨了森林覆盖率增加或稳定的10个案例,或者有显著的森林扩张动力的案例,以了解哪些因素可以促进森林恢复的扩大。我们制定了一份数据收集清单来搜索文献,并采访了关键的线人。我们的分析确定了15个促进森林恢复的因素,包括缓解土地退化、干旱或洪水或促进生物多样性保护的愿望。我们还确定了一些有助于实施森林恢复的因素,如支持性政策框架,其中包括森林恢复计划、财政激励措施、真正的合作安排、森林、树木和特定商品和服务的保有权,以及专门机构、外部利益攸关方、地方社区和地方当局的作用。为了使恢复持续下去,有必要将其纳入国家机构,确保跨景观的部门整合,确保多样化和长期融资,并将其纳入地方机构。
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引用次数: 7
Forest land-cover trends in the Monarch Butterfly Biosphere Reserve in Mexico, 1994–2017 1994-2017年墨西哥帝王蝶生物圈保护区的林地覆盖趋势
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1017/S0376892922000327
J. López-García, R. Navarro-Cerrillo, L. Manzo-Delgado
Summary The hibernation sites of the monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus, L.) were discovered in central Mexico in 1975 and, following the decree of a protected area in 1986, processes of deforestation and forest degradation were triggered on the socially owned land in question. Further deterioration has occurred since the expansion and designation of the area as the Monarch Butterfly Biosphere Reserve in 2000. An innovative programme of economic incentives was established to compensate the affected properties in the core zone for curtailment of their forest use and to pay for environmental services; however, some of the agrarian communities were in disagreement with this programme. Orthophotographs from 1994 were compared with high-resolution satellite images from 2017 in order to determine forest-cover trends in the areas incentivized by Payment for Environmental Services to avoid deforestation and those areas that were not incentivized. The results show an overall recovery of 2% in forest area between 1994 and 2017, while a 5% increase in the deforested area is notable in the core zone. The findings indicate that, for the establishment of an effective protected area on social property lands, consensus must be achieved across all of the communities in order to avoid subsequent forest loss.
1975年在墨西哥中部发现了黑脉金斑蝶(Danaus plexippus, L.)的冬眠地,1986年颁布保护区法令后,在这片社会所有的土地上引发了森林砍伐和退化的过程。自2000年该地区扩大并被指定为帝王蝶生物圈保护区以来,情况进一步恶化。制定了一项创新的经济奖励方案,以补偿核心区内受影响的财产,因为他们减少了森林的使用,并支付环境服务费用;但是,一些农业社区不同意这个方案。将1994年的正射像与2017年的高分辨率卫星图像进行比较,以确定受环境服务付费激励以避免森林砍伐的地区和未受激励的地区的森林覆盖趋势。结果表明,1994年至2017年间,森林面积总体恢复了2%,而核心区的森林砍伐面积增加了5%。研究结果表明,为了在社会财产土地上建立有效的保护区,必须在所有社区达成共识,以避免随后的森林损失。
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引用次数: 1
Possibilities and paradoxes in medicine: love of order, loveless order and the order of love. 医学的可能性与悖论:爱的秩序、无爱的秩序和爱的秩序。
IF 2.3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-09-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11019-022-10093-0
Thor Eirik Eriksen

We have a desire to discover and create order, and our constitution, including our rational faculties, indicates that we are predisposed for such productivity. This affinity for order and the establishment of order is fundamental to humans and naturally also leaves its mark on the medical discipline. When this profession is made subject to criticism, frequently in terms of well-used reproofs such as reductionism, reification and de-humanisation, this systematising productivity is invariably involved in some way or other. It is, however, problematic that we rarely delve deeper and ask what order means, or reflect on its underlying, omnipresent and self-evident role. In order to approach this challenge, we initially and briefly place order in a conceptual and historical context. In what follows, we examine order explicitly, i.e. made an object of study, by taking a closer look at extensive multidisciplinary efforts to uncover the secrets of all its facets. Here we also try to identify some systems of order in medical science, including methodological and procedural order, which are indispensable as well as a source of problems. In the sections that follow, order is not defined as an explicit object of study, but comes to light in some exploratory and philosophising projects based on physics, mathematics and phenomenology . Each of these lets order and that which is ordered emerge in ways that may also shed light on opportunities and paradoxes in the medical domain. Key themes here include the Gordian knot of psyche - soma, the order of disorder and the patient as Other.

我们有发现和创造秩序的欲望,我们的体质,包括我们的理性能力,都表明我们具有这种生产力的倾向。这种对秩序和建立秩序的亲和力是人类的根本,自然也在医学学科中留下了烙印。当这一专业受到批评时,往往是在诸如还原论、再统一和去人性化等常用的指责中,这种系统化的生产力总是以某种方式或其他方式被牵涉其中。然而,问题在于,我们很少深入探究秩序的含义,或反思其背后无所不在、不言而喻的作用。为了应对这一挑战,我们首先简要地将秩序置于概念和历史背景中。接下来,我们将对秩序进行明确的研究,即把秩序作为一个研究对象,仔细研究多学科为揭开秩序所有方面的秘密所做的广泛努力。在这里,我们还试图找出医学科学中的一些秩序体系,包括方法论秩序和程序秩序,它们既是不可或缺的,也是问题的根源。在接下来的章节中,秩序并没有被定义为一个明确的研究对象,而是在一些基于物理学、数学和现象学的探索和哲学项目中显现出来。每一个项目都让秩序和被秩序化的事物以可能揭示医学领域的机遇和悖论的方式出现。这里的关键主题包括精神与肉体的 "戈尔迪之结"、无序的秩序和作为他者的病人。
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引用次数: 0
A machine learning approach to mapping canopy gaps in an indigenous tropical submontane forest using WorldView-3 multispectral satellite imagery 基于WorldView-3多光谱卫星图像的热带亚热带原始森林冠层间隙机器学习方法研究
IF 2.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.1017/S0376892922000339
Colbert M. Jackson, E. Adam
Summary Selective logging in tropical forests may lead to deforestation and forest degradation, so accurate mapping of it will assist in forest restoration, among other ecological applications. This study aimed to track canopy tree loss due to illegal logging of the important hardwood tree Ocotea usambarensis in a closed-canopy submontane tropical forest by evaluating the mapping potential of the very-high-resolution WorldView-3 multispectral dataset using random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) with radial basis function kernel classifiers. The results show average overall accuracies of 92.3 ± 2.6% and 94.0 ± 2.1% for the RF and SVM models, respectively. Average kappa coefficients were 0.88 ± 0.03 for RF and 0.90 ± 0.02 for SVM. The user’s and producer’s accuracies for both classifiers were in the range of 84–100%. This study further indicates that vegetation indices derived from bands 5 and 6 helped detect canopy gaps in the study area. Both variable importance measurement in the RF algorithm and pairwise feature selection proved useful in identifying the most pertinent variables in the classification of canopy gaps. These findings could allow forest managers to improve methods of detecting canopy gaps at larger scales using remote sensing data and relatively little additional fieldwork.
热带森林的选择性采伐可能导致森林砍伐和森林退化,因此,对其进行精确测绘将有助于森林恢复以及其他生态应用。本研究利用随机森林(RF)和支持向量机(SVM)结合径向基函数核分类器,对超高分辨率WorldView-3多光谱数据集的成图潜力进行评估,追踪热带亚山地封闭林冠下重要阔叶树ococtea usambarensis的非法采伐造成的冠层树木损失。结果表明,RF和SVM模型的平均总体精度分别为92.3±2.6%和94.0±2.1%。平均kappa系数RF为0.88±0.03,SVM为0.90±0.02。用户和生产者对两种分类器的准确率都在84-100%之间。该研究进一步表明,5和6波段的植被指数有助于研究区冠层间隙的检测。RF算法中的变量重要性测量和两两特征选择都有助于识别冠层间隙分类中最相关的变量。这些发现可以使森林管理者改进利用遥感数据和相对较少的额外实地调查在更大尺度上探测冠层间隙的方法。
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引用次数: 1
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Environmental Conservation
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