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Prediction of the spreading of an unprecedented harmful algal bloom in South Australian gulfs 对南澳大利亚海湾前所未有的有害藻华蔓延的预测
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105631
Jochen Kämpf
Using a coupled physical-biological model, this work investigates the spreading of an unprecedented harmful algal bloom (HAB) that since March 2025 has been causing massive kills of marine animals in Gulf St. Vincent, which alongside Spencer Gulf is one of the two South Australian gulfs. The gulfs are large inverse estuaries with limited physical connectivity to the ambient coastal ocean. The biological model accounts for algal growth, mortality due to turbulent shear rate, a sink term representing other effects like zooplankton grazing, and diel vertical migration. The growth rate is based on the known physiology of Karenia mikimotoi, initially thought to dominate the algal bloom. For simplicity, limitations of algal growth due to lack of nutrients or oxygen are ignored. The model hindcast reproduces the initial spreading of the HAB, which started in mid-March 2025 just outside Gulf St. Vincent, from where it spread across this entire gulf within 2–3 months, not affecting Spencer Gulf. Seasonal cooling of gulf waters during winter reduces the growth rate and hence the cell densities of K. mikimotoi. The worst-case model scenario predicts both the spreading of the algal bloom through Spencer Gulf and its future resurgence in warmer waters in both gulfs. Surprisingly and in contrast to the model prediction, high cell counts >1000 cells mL−1 of Karenia species still persisted in Gulf St. Vincent throughout the winter months. Moreover. a recent laboratory analysis of water samples revealed that, while K. mikimotoi had the expected low cell densities in colder water, another Karenia species, known as K. cristata, dominated the algal bloom mix during winter. Additional model simulations address this missing Karenia species under the assumption that it grows well in cold water.
利用物理-生物耦合模型,这项工作调查了自2025年3月以来前所未有的有害藻华(HAB)的传播,这种藻华已经在圣文森特湾造成了大量海洋动物的死亡,圣文森特湾与斯宾塞湾是南澳大利亚两个海湾之一。这些海湾是大型的逆河口,与周围沿海海洋的物理连通性有限。生物模型解释了藻类生长、湍流剪切率造成的死亡率、代表其他影响的汇项,如浮游动物放牧和diel垂直迁移。生长速度是基于已知的mikimotoi Karenia的生理学,最初被认为是控制藻华的。为简单起见,忽略了由于缺乏营养或氧气而导致的藻类生长限制。模型预测重现了有害藻华最初的扩散,它始于2025年3月中旬,就在圣文森特湾外,在2-3个月内扩散到整个海湾,没有影响到斯宾塞湾。冬季海湾水域的季节性降温降低了mikimmotoi的生长速度,从而降低了细胞密度。在最坏的情况下,模型预测了藻华在斯宾塞湾的蔓延,以及未来在两个海湾的温暖水域中卷土重来。令人惊讶的是,与模型预测相反,在整个冬季,海湾圣文森特地区仍然保持着Karenia物种的高细胞计数(1000个细胞mL−1)。此外。最近一项对水样的实验室分析显示,虽然mikimotoi在较冷的水中具有预期的低细胞密度,但另一种被称为K. cristata的Karenia物种在冬季的藻华混合中占主导地位。附加的模型模拟解决了这个缺失的Karenia物种,假设它在冷水中生长良好。
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引用次数: 0
Magnetic mineralogical and sedimentological approach for tracing source-to-sink processes in a tropical fluvial, estuarine, and marine system 追踪热带河流、河口和海洋系统源-汇过程的磁性矿物学和沉积学方法
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105630
Firoz Badesab , Nitin Kadam , Prashila Pednekar , Shazia Shaheen , Omkar Sagavekar , Sriram Gullapalli , Mamilla Venkateshwarlu , T. Vijaya Kumar , A.V. Satyakumar , K. Mohan , Virsen Gaikwad , Satish J. Sangode , Shubham Waghmare , Anish Varma , E.V.S.S.K. Babu , Sakshi Raikar
Magnetic minerals are ubiquitous in estuarine, coastal, and shelf systems and potential recorders of geological, climatic and sedimentary processes. Sediments in the tropical sedimentary system of Goa have been extensively studied to reconstruct the paleoenvironment changes, sedimentation, and diagenetic history. However, a dedicated source-to-sink analysis of sediments delivered to the Arabian Sea (off Goa, India) using a magnetic and sedimentological approach was so far lacking. Such analysis is crucial for the development of environmental magnetism based mineralogical proxies. The present study sets out to identify environmental fingerprints of magnetic minerals originating from diverse sources and depositional environments, and assess their relative magnetic contribution to the bedload sediments in a complex tropical estuarine and marine shelf system of Goa, India. Compilation of magnetic and grain size properties of catchment rocks, riverbank soils, and bedload (fluvial, estuarine, marine) sediments of Goa, India showed large variations in the composition of magnetic mineral and distribution pattern. A clear N-S magnetic contrast in estuaries of Goa, India showing a decline in ferrimagnetic minerals content, followed by subsequent increase in high coercivity minerals and volume of coarser clastic size sediments suggest a marked change in sediment provenance. Grain size distribution of the studied estuarine sediments revealed two distinct patterns, which seems to be controlled by contrasting sediment provenance, changing detrital input, riverine morphology, and hydro-and sediment dynamics. A noticeable source-to-sink trend of loss of fluvial-derived fine silt-size bedload sediments and selective retention of coarser sediments within the south Goa estuaries can be reconciled with the efficient sediment partitioning regime driven by regional hydrodynamics, which restricted the settling of finer fluvial sediment fraction and therefore got regularly exported out to the Arabian Sea. Poor linkage between magnetic susceptibility and organic carbon content in estuaries of Goa suggest that early diagenesis had minimal impact on the bulk sediment magnetic signal. Our study provide full spectrum of magnetic properties of rocks, soils, and modern sediments, which helped in establishing the magnetic mineral inventory of the tropical estuarine system of Goa. Interpretation of rock magnetic and grain size data of bedload sediments provide crucial insights on sedimentary processes constraining the transport and depositional of magnetic particles and clastic sediment grain size fractions during their transit from source-to-sink. We demonstrate that magnetomineralogical approach presented in this study bears the potential and can be easily applied to trace the modern source-to-sink processes in other larger tropical sedimentary system around the world.
磁性矿物在河口、海岸和陆架系统中无处不在,是地质、气候和沉积过程的潜在记录者。对果阿热带沉积体系的沉积物进行了广泛的研究,以重建古环境变化、沉积和成岩历史。然而,迄今为止,还缺乏对输送到阿拉伯海(印度果阿附近)的沉积物进行源到汇的专门分析,使用的是磁性和沉积学方法。这种分析对环境磁学矿物代用指标的开发具有重要意义。本研究旨在识别来自不同来源和沉积环境的磁性矿物的环境指纹,并评估它们对印度果阿复杂的热带河口和海洋陆架系统的层载沉积物的相对磁性贡献。对印度果阿地区集水区岩石、河岸土壤和河床(河流、河口、海相)沉积物的磁性和粒度特征进行了汇编,结果表明,印度果阿地区的磁性矿物组成和分布模式存在较大差异。印度果阿河口明显的南北磁性对比表明,铁磁性矿物含量下降,随后高矫顽力矿物和粗碎屑粒度沉积物体积增加,表明沉积物物源发生了明显变化。研究的河口沉积物粒度分布呈现出两种截然不同的格局,这种格局似乎受沉积物物源对比、碎屑输入变化、河流形态和水沙动力学的控制。果阿南部河口内明显的源-汇趋势是河流形成的细粉质层质沉积物的损失和粗粒沉积物的选择性滞留,这与区域水动力驱动的有效泥沙分配机制相协调,该机制限制了细粒河流沉积物的沉降,从而定期向阿拉伯海输出。果阿河口磁化率与有机碳含量的联系较差,表明早期成岩作用对整体沉积物磁信号的影响很小。我们的研究提供了岩石、土壤和现代沉积物的全谱磁性,有助于建立果阿热带河口系统的磁性矿物清单。对层载沉积物的岩石磁性和粒度数据的解释,对控制磁性颗粒和碎屑沉积物粒度组分从源到汇的搬运和沉积过程提供了重要的见解。研究表明,本研究提出的磁矿学方法具有潜力,可以很容易地应用于世界上其他更大的热带沉积体系的现代源-汇过程的追踪。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrodynamics of the inner shelf east of the Amazon River mouth 亚马逊河口以东内陆架的流体动力学
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105626
Carlos A.F. Schettini , Nils E. Asp
The hydrodynamics of the inner shelf east of the Amazon River mouth in the Southeastern Amazon Coastal Zone (SACZ) are examined based on 1.5 years of observations of wind and currents. A meteorological station was established onshore to record the wind data, while an acoustic Doppler current profiler was moored offshore at a depth of 22 m. This is the first observational dataset of such length and quality east of the Amazon River mouth off SACZ. The results reveal two primary modes of hydrodynamic variation associated with the zonal migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which significantly influences the regional wind regime. The first mode, termed “wet”, occurs when the ITCZ shifts southward, leading to brief periods (hours to days) of wind relaxation. In contrast, the second mode, referred to as “dry”, is characterized by a northward displacement of the ITCZ, resulting in more intense and consistent wind conditions. Throughout the year, the hydrodynamics are predominantly controlled by semidiurnal meso (neap) and macro (spring) tidal regimes, accounting for more than 98 % of the variance in cross-shelf currents and more than 90 % of longitudinal currents. This dominance is especially pronounced during the dry mode. In the wet mode, the current regime exhibits greater vertical variability, with low-frequency currents near the surface potentially dominating (>80 %). These low-frequency currents are associated with periods of wind relaxation and the eastward advance of the Amazon River plume. During the dry mode, low-frequency currents are influenced primarily by wind action, with a secondary contribution from the synodic modulation of tidal amplitude.
基于近1.5年的风、流观测资料,对亚马孙河东南海岸带(SACZ)亚马孙河河口以东的内陆架的水动力进行了研究。在陆地上建立了一个气象站来记录风的数据,同时在22米深的海上系泊了一个声学多普勒电流廓线仪。这是第一个在亚马孙河河口以东的SACZ外如此长度和质量的观测数据集。研究结果揭示了与热带辐合带纬向迁移相关的两种主要水动力变化模式,它们对区域风况有显著影响。第一种模式,称为“湿”,发生在ITCZ向南移动时,导致短暂的风松弛期(数小时到数天)。相比之下,第二种模式,称为“干”模式,其特征是ITCZ向北移动,导致更强烈和持续的风条件。全年的水动力主要受半日中观(小潮)和宏观(春季)潮势控制,占跨陆架流变化的98%以上,占纵向流变化的90%以上。这种优势在干燥模式下尤为明显。在湿模式下,电流状态表现出更大的垂直变化,近地表的低频电流可能占主导地位(> 80%)。这些低频洋流与风减弱和亚马逊河羽流向东推进的时期有关。在干模期间,低频洋流主要受风作用的影响,其次是潮汐振幅的synodic调制。
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引用次数: 0
Fossil evidence for accelerated growth and shorter lifespan in the harvested bivalve Arca noae in the Adriatic Sea 亚得里亚海收获的双壳类动物Arca noae生长加速和寿命缩短的化石证据
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105628
Rafał Nawrot , Melita Peharda , Saskia Macharia , Hana Uvanović , Adam Tomašových , Martin Zuschin
Changes in life history of marine species in response to harvesting and human-induced environmental changes are frequently observed in modern ecosystems, but the true magnitude of these shifts is difficult to evaluate without robust information on the pre-impact state of the affected populations. The edible bivalve Noah's Ark shell (Arca noae L.) was extensively harvested in the eastern Adriatic Sea in the late 19th and early 20th century until its fishery collapsed following mass mortality in the late 1940s. The lack of data on growth parameters of this species prior to that event biases our understanding of its life history and complicates establishing sustainable levels of harvesting. To provide a baseline for assessment of the current state of populations of A. noae in the Adriatic Sea, we compared growth rates and lifespan, estimated based on annual shell growth lines, between live-collected individuals and fossil (Holocene) specimens sampled from sediment cores. The maximum age observed in our modern samples was 35 years whereas the ontogenetically oldest fossil specimen lived for at least 85 years, extending the longest recorded lifespan for the Arcidae family by over three decades. Our results indicate that individuals of A. noae collected in the 21st century grow faster and have much shorter lifespan compared to their Holocene counterparts, suggesting that intensive harvesting in the past combined with increasing water temperatures and eutrophication of the northern Adriatic Sea had a significant impact on the population dynamics of this species.
在现代生态系统中,经常观察到海洋物种生命史因捕捞和人为引起的环境变化而发生的变化,但如果没有关于受影响种群受影响前状态的可靠信息,很难评估这些变化的真实幅度。19世纪末和20世纪初,可食用的双壳类诺亚方舟贝壳在亚得里亚海东部被广泛捕捞,直到20世纪40年代末,它的渔业因大规模死亡而崩溃。在那次事件之前,缺乏关于该物种生长参数的数据,使我们对其生活史的理解产生偏差,并使建立可持续的收获水平变得复杂。为了给亚得里亚海noae种群现状的评估提供一个基线,我们比较了在亚得里亚海收集的活的个体和从沉积物岩心中采集的化石(全新世)标本的生长速率和寿命,这是根据年壳生长线估计的。我们在现代样本中观察到的最大年龄是35岁,而最古老的个体化石标本至少活了85岁,将Arcidae家族记录的最长寿命延长了30多年。结果表明,与全新世相比,21世纪采集的noae个体的生长速度更快,寿命更短,这表明过去的密集采集加上亚得里亚海北部水温升高和富营养化对该物种的种群动态产生了重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Distribution and fate of microplastics from the Chesapeake Bay to the Mid-Atlantic Bight: A Lagrangian particle tracking approach 从切萨皮克湾到中大西洋湾的微塑料的分布和命运:拉格朗日粒子跟踪方法
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105627
Julia Abrao Teixeira , Piero L.F. Mazzini , Xun Cai , Manuel Colombo , Qubin Qin , Meredith Evans Seeley , Y. Joseph Zhang
Estuaries play a critical role in mediating the flux of land-derived microplastics to the ocean, where they pose a threat to marine ecosystems. This study investigates the fate of microplastic particles exported from the Chesapeake Bay (CB) to the Mid-Atlantic Bight (MAB), using an offline Lagrangian particle-tracking approach coupled with a 3D hydrodynamic model (SCHISM). Particles were released hourly from 17 locations at the mouth of Chesapeake Bay, totaling 148,920 particles over one year. Ten sensitivity experiments were conducted, exploring how polymer type (polyethylene, polypropylene), particle size (0.001 mm, 5 mm), and biofouling influenced their distribution patterns. All scenarios showed high frequency of particles reaching Virginia and North Carolina bays. Unfouled buoyant microplastics were mainly transported southward along the Virginia and North Carolina shelves, with limited northward movement restricted to the outer shelf and offshore. When biofouling was included, particle distribution broadened and extended northward to the Gulf of Maine. As biofouled microplastics sank, interactions with cross-shelf circulation enhanced transport into inner-shelf and estuarine regions in the MAB. While polymer type had negligible effects on transport, particle size played a major role. Larger biofouled microplastics (5 mm) did not sink during the one-year simulation and followed distribution patterns similar to unfouled microplastics. Their residence time on the MAB shelf ranged between 17 and 19 days, whereas smaller biofouled microplastics (0.001 mm) had residence time nearly twice as long, between 31 and 34 days. These results underscore the importance of incorporating biofouling into predictive transport models to better assess microplastic fate in coastal systems.
河口在调节来自陆地的微塑料流入海洋方面发挥着关键作用,它们对海洋生态系统构成威胁。本研究使用离线拉格朗日粒子跟踪方法结合3D流体动力学模型(SCHISM),研究了从切萨皮克湾(CB)出口到大西洋中部湾(MAB)的微塑料颗粒的命运。每小时从切萨皮克湾入口处的17个地点释放颗粒,一年来总共释放了148,920个颗粒。进行了10项灵敏度实验,探索聚合物类型(聚乙烯、聚丙烯)、粒径(0.001 mm、5mm)和生物污垢对其分布模式的影响。所有的情况都表明,粒子到达弗吉尼亚和北卡罗来纳海湾的频率很高。未受污染的浮力微塑料主要沿着弗吉尼亚州和北卡罗来纳州的大陆架向南运输,有限的向北移动仅限于外大陆架和近海。当包括生物污染时,颗粒分布扩大并向北延伸到缅因湾。随着生物污染的微塑料下沉,与跨大陆架循环的相互作用增强了向大陆架内部和河口区域的运输。聚合物类型对输运的影响可以忽略不计,但粒径起了主要作用。在为期一年的模拟过程中,较大的生物污染微塑料(5毫米)没有下沉,其分布模式与未污染的微塑料相似。它们在MAB货架上的停留时间在17到19天之间,而较小的生物污染微塑料(0.001毫米)的停留时间几乎是前者的两倍,在31到34天之间。这些结果强调了将生物污染纳入预测运输模型以更好地评估沿海系统中微塑料命运的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and seasonal variations of the phytoplankton community under multiple stressors in the area around Nan'ao Island, northern South China Sea 南海北部南澳海域浮游植物群落在多种胁迫条件下的空间和季节变化
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105625
Zhixi Zhou , Yujiao Chen , Huijuan Tang , Guohong Xiao , Haochen Huang , Zhixin Ke
As one of the most prominent marine ranches in southern China, the waters around Nan'ao Island are influenced by multiple stressors, including coastal currents, summer upwelling, river discharge, and aquaculture activities. To elucidate the phytoplankton succession dynamic under multiple stressors, phytoplankton community and key environmental factors were seasonally investigated in the waters around Nan'ao Island during 2022. A total of 159 species of phytoplankton were recorded, and 14 dominant species were identified across the four seasons. Pseudonitzschia delicatissima was dominant year-round and distributed throughout the study area. In spring, some phytoplankton species, such as Prorocentrum micans and Skeletonema spp., experienced explosive growth under the impact of river discharge. The abundance of phytoplankton generally declined from inshore to the offshore region, with the highest value occurring in the summer. The horizontal distributions of phytoplankton communities were mainly regulated by the salinity, nutrient concentration and N/P ratio, which greatly determined by the river discharge. While, the seasonal succession of phytoplankton community was mainly driven by the temporal variations in water temperature and hydrodynamic conditions (mainly summer upwelling and winter Zhe-Min Coastal Current). Additionally, the phytoplankton abundance and chlorophyll a concentration generally showed lower values in the shellfish-seaweed aquaculture zone, suggesting the present marine farming model might have effectively reduced the risk of harmful algal blooms and improved the water quality. This study provided valuable insights for the succession mechanism of phytoplankton community, contributing to the sustainable development of coastal ecosystems.
南澳岛是中国南方最重要的海洋牧场之一,南澳岛周边海域受到海岸流、夏季上升流、河流排放和养殖活动等多重压力因素的影响。为阐明多种胁迫下的浮游植物演替动态,对2022年南澳海域浮游植物群落和关键环境因子进行了季节性调查。共记录浮游植物159种,发现优势种14种。野味拟菱形蝇终年占优势,分布于整个研究区。春季,在河流流量的影响下,一些浮游植物如micans原心藻(proorocentrum micans)和骷髅藻(Skeletonema spp)出现爆发式生长。浮游植物丰度总体由近岸向近海递减,夏季最高。浮游植物群落的水平分布主要受盐度、营养物浓度和N/P比的调控,其中氮/P比在很大程度上受河流流量的影响。而浮游植物群落的季节演替主要受水温和水动力条件的时间变化驱动(主要是夏季上升流和冬季浙民海流)。此外,贝类-海藻养殖区浮游植物丰度和叶绿素a浓度普遍较低,表明目前的海洋养殖模式可能有效降低了有害藻华的风险,改善了水质。本研究为研究浮游植物群落演替机制提供了有价值的见解,有助于海岸带生态系统的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers of nutrient dynamics and chlorophyll-a variability: The role of freshwater input, upwelling, and tropical cyclones near Saint Martin's Island, Bangladesh 营养动态和叶绿素-a变率的驱动因素:孟加拉国圣马丁岛附近淡水输入、上升流和热带气旋的作用
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105624
Mohammad Sadman Alam , Subrata Sarker , Nabanita Das , Shashowti Chowdhury Riya , Myung Hwangbo , Jongsun Kim
The Bay of Bengal (BoB) receives significant amounts of discharge from river runoff as the largest delta in the world, which affects the dynamic of coastal and estuarine systems. Thus, Saint Martin Island (SMI), located in the northeastern part of the BoB, faces a significant influx of sediments and numerous contaminants from upstream sources, which are affecting the biogeochemistry of SMI. It is hypothesized that both river influx and frequent tropical cyclones that occur in the BoB significantly influence the coastal ecosystem of the Island. Therefore, to understand the coastal ecosystem of SMI, the spatiotemporal variability of nutrients and chl-a (July 2022–June 2023) was explored. This study identified the northeast (NE) monsoon as an important season for primary productivity with the concentration of chl-a, inorganic nitrogen, phosphate, and silicate as 1.03 μg L-1, 64.09 μmol L-1, 3.86 μmol L-1, 86.17 μmol L-1, respectively. Seasonal and regional nutrient ratios were near-Redfield (N:P:Si ≈ 17–18:1:17–18), with modest monsoonal shifts and comparatively stronger N-Si supply toward the estuary. The correlation of rain, wind stress, river discharge, Ekman transport, salinity, nutrients, temperature, chl-a, and dissolved oxygen was evaluated by using a coast-normal wind and Ekman framework together with structural equation modelling (SEM). SEM indicated positive effects of discharge, rainfall, and Ekman transport on nutrients. Especially, chl-a was positively associated with salinity and DIP and negatively with DIN and temperature, while the direct Ekman-to-chl-a path was not significant. After the cyclone Sitrang, the mixed-layer was deepened (∼1.33 m), and a narrowed temperature-salinity pattern toward higher salinity, DIP, and DIN increases in the upper 50 m was observed. During the southwest (SW) monsoon, river discharge dominated nutrient supply, whereas the reduced rainfall was correlated with wind- and eddy-assisted vertical inputs that sustained productivity near the estuary during the NE monsoon. This study highlighted monthly horizontal and vertical variations of hydrological parameters and their interrelationship with algal growth and nutrient dynamics.
作为世界上最大的三角洲,孟加拉湾(BoB)接收了大量的河流径流,这影响了沿海和河口系统的动态。因此,位于BoB东北部的圣马丁岛(SMI)面临着来自上游来源的大量沉积物和大量污染物的涌入,这些污染物正在影响SMI的生物地球化学。假设河流涌入和频繁发生的热带气旋都对岛屿的沿海生态系统产生了重大影响。因此,为了解SMI沿海生态系统,研究了营养物和chl-a的时空变化(2022年7月- 2023年6月)。东北季风是重要的初级生产力季节,chl-a、无机氮、磷酸盐和硅酸盐的浓度分别为1.03、64.09、3.86和86.17 μmol L-1。季节和区域养分比接近红场(N:P:Si≈17-18:1:17-18),季风变化不大,向河口的N-Si供应相对较强。利用海岸正常风和Ekman框架,结合结构方程模型(SEM),评估了降雨、风应力、河流流量、Ekman运输、盐度、营养物质、温度、chl-a和溶解氧的相关性。扫描电镜显示,流量、降雨和Ekman运输对养分有积极影响。其中,chl-a与盐度和DIP呈正相关,与DIN和温度呈负相关,而ekman -chl-a的直接通路不显著。气旋Sitrang后,混合层加深(约1.33 m),在上层50 m处,温度-盐度呈窄化趋势,盐度较高,DIP和DIN增加。在西南季风期间,河流流量主导了养分供应,而降水减少与东北季风期间维持河口附近生产力的风和涡旋辅助垂直输入有关。该研究强调了水文参数的月度水平和垂直变化及其与藻类生长和营养动态的相互关系。
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引用次数: 0
Water flux quantification in a subtropical estuary through numerical modeling 亚热带河口水通量的数值模拟研究
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105622
Paula Birocchi , Marcelo Dottori , Leticia Fabre-Lima , Carine de Godoi Rezende Costa , José Roberto Bairão Leite , Dalton Kei Sasaki , Robert James Chant
<div><div>Climate change has the potential to alter the rainfall regimes in South America (SA), which can affect the local river discharge and disturb estuarine environments. Thus, understanding the water flux variability under climate change and the influence of extreme events in a complex estuary is relevant to prevent and mitigate future negative impacts. Here we quantified the water flux to understand potential changes in estuaries and focus on investigating the variability of river discharge under both present and future climate projections, while also considering the effects of extreme events such as storm tides and atmospheric blocking. The Cananéia-Iguape estuarine-lagoon complex (CIELC), situated in the South Brazil Bight (SBB), was chosen as an example to apply the method. It has two inlets, a dominant source of river discharge (Valo Grande Channel, VGC), and smaller tributaries. The water flux was calculated with numerical simulations for three estuarine cross-sections by integrating the fluxes through them. The experiments were performed using a hydrodynamic numerical model and its results were validated. Validation parameter values ranged from 0.80 to 0.94 for salinity, 0.57 to 0.84 for currents, and 0.93 for total sea level. The modeled sea level was used to classify the area of study as hypersynchronous, with tidal amplitudes increasing upstream. For the climate change scenarios, we found that a decrease in precipitation of 5% (September SSP126) and 25% (September SSP585), and an increase of 5% (June SSP126) and 15% (June SSP585) in the rainfall, and consequently, in the river discharge, caused statistically significant changes in the water flux. Higher water fluxes were found during periods of stronger river discharge, particularly during the anomalous storm tide of August 2016, when intense rainfall was present. Since this estuary dynamics is dominated by tides, we compared the future scenarios of water fluxes considering neap and spring, and between ebb and flood tides. Water flow increased during the spring in comparison to the neap tide by approximately 7%, 5%, and 1%, in the northern, southern inlets, and the VGC cross-sections, respectively. The ebb tidal fluxes, with a mean value of approximately 163 m<span><math><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>3</mn></mrow></msup></math></span> s<span><math><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup></math></span> were 24% significantly stronger (<span><math><mi>p</mi></math></span>-value <span><math><mo><</mo></math></span>0.05) than the flood, which presented a mean value of 124 m<span><math><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>3</mn></mrow></msup></math></span> s<span><math><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup></math></span>. Both inlets showed faster ebb periods, with mean values of 6.14 and 5.98 h, in comparison to the flood of 6.25 and 6.41 h, respectively. We quantified the water flux percentage in each tributary connected to the main estuarine channel,
气候变化有可能改变南美洲(SA)的降雨制度,这可能影响当地河流流量并扰乱河口环境。因此,了解气候变化和极端事件对复杂河口水通量的影响对预防和减轻未来的负面影响具有重要意义。在这里,我们量化了水通量以了解河口的潜在变化,并重点研究了当前和未来气候预测下河流流量的变异性,同时也考虑了极端事件(如风暴潮和大气阻塞)的影响。位于南巴西湾(SBB)的canan - iguape河口-泻湖综合体(CIELC)被选为应用该方法的例子。它有两个入口,一个主要的河流排放源(Valo Grande Channel, VGC)和较小的支流。对三个河口断面的水流通量进行了数值模拟,计算了水流通量。利用水动力数值模型进行了实验,并对实验结果进行了验证。盐度验证参数值为0.80 ~ 0.94,海流验证参数值为0.57 ~ 0.84,总海平面验证参数值为0.93。利用模拟的海平面将研究区域划分为超同步,潮汐振幅在上游增加。在气候变化情景下,降水量减少5%(9月SSP126)和25%(9月SSP585),降雨量增加5%(6月SSP126)和15%(6月SSP585),从而引起河流量的显著变化。在河流流量较强的时期,特别是2016年8月异常风暴潮期间,发现了较高的水通量,当时出现了强降雨。由于该河口动态受潮汐控制,我们比较了考虑小潮和大潮以及退潮和涨潮的未来水通量情景。与小潮相比,春季北部、南部入海口和VGC断面的水流量分别增加了约7%、5%和1%。退潮通量均值约为163 m3 s - 1,比洪潮通量均值124 m3 s - 1强24% (p值<;0.05)。两个进水口的平均退潮时间分别为6.14和5.98 h,而洪水的平均退潮时间分别为6.25和6.41 h。考虑到所有研究情景,我们量化了与主要河口通道相连的每条支流的水通量百分比。总体而言,北部入口被确定为主要的水运通道,约占整个河口的总流量的68.2%。该研究揭示了亚热带河口-泻湖综合体水通量动态的未来和极端条件,对气候变化条件下的可持续水管理战略至关重要。
{"title":"Water flux quantification in a subtropical estuary through numerical modeling","authors":"Paula Birocchi ,&nbsp;Marcelo Dottori ,&nbsp;Leticia Fabre-Lima ,&nbsp;Carine de Godoi Rezende Costa ,&nbsp;José Roberto Bairão Leite ,&nbsp;Dalton Kei Sasaki ,&nbsp;Robert James Chant","doi":"10.1016/j.csr.2025.105622","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.csr.2025.105622","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;div&gt;Climate change has the potential to alter the rainfall regimes in South America (SA), which can affect the local river discharge and disturb estuarine environments. Thus, understanding the water flux variability under climate change and the influence of extreme events in a complex estuary is relevant to prevent and mitigate future negative impacts. Here we quantified the water flux to understand potential changes in estuaries and focus on investigating the variability of river discharge under both present and future climate projections, while also considering the effects of extreme events such as storm tides and atmospheric blocking. The Cananéia-Iguape estuarine-lagoon complex (CIELC), situated in the South Brazil Bight (SBB), was chosen as an example to apply the method. It has two inlets, a dominant source of river discharge (Valo Grande Channel, VGC), and smaller tributaries. The water flux was calculated with numerical simulations for three estuarine cross-sections by integrating the fluxes through them. The experiments were performed using a hydrodynamic numerical model and its results were validated. Validation parameter values ranged from 0.80 to 0.94 for salinity, 0.57 to 0.84 for currents, and 0.93 for total sea level. The modeled sea level was used to classify the area of study as hypersynchronous, with tidal amplitudes increasing upstream. For the climate change scenarios, we found that a decrease in precipitation of 5% (September SSP126) and 25% (September SSP585), and an increase of 5% (June SSP126) and 15% (June SSP585) in the rainfall, and consequently, in the river discharge, caused statistically significant changes in the water flux. Higher water fluxes were found during periods of stronger river discharge, particularly during the anomalous storm tide of August 2016, when intense rainfall was present. Since this estuary dynamics is dominated by tides, we compared the future scenarios of water fluxes considering neap and spring, and between ebb and flood tides. Water flow increased during the spring in comparison to the neap tide by approximately 7%, 5%, and 1%, in the northern, southern inlets, and the VGC cross-sections, respectively. The ebb tidal fluxes, with a mean value of approximately 163 m&lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;msup&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msup&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt; s&lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;msup&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mo&gt;−&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;1&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msup&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt; were 24% significantly stronger (&lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mi&gt;p&lt;/mi&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;-value &lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;mo&gt;&lt;&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;0.05) than the flood, which presented a mean value of 124 m&lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;msup&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mn&gt;3&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msup&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt; s&lt;span&gt;&lt;math&gt;&lt;msup&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;mrow&gt;&lt;mo&gt;−&lt;/mo&gt;&lt;mn&gt;1&lt;/mn&gt;&lt;/mrow&gt;&lt;/msup&gt;&lt;/math&gt;&lt;/span&gt;. Both inlets showed faster ebb periods, with mean values of 6.14 and 5.98 h, in comparison to the flood of 6.25 and 6.41 h, respectively. We quantified the water flux percentage in each tributary connected to the main estuarine channel,","PeriodicalId":50618,"journal":{"name":"Continental Shelf Research","volume":"297 ","pages":"Article 105622"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790240","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Interannual variability in the structure of macrobenthic assemblages in the maritime Antarctic intertidal zone 南极海洋潮间带大型底栖生物群落结构的年际变化
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105623
Maciej Chelchowski, Piotr Balazy, Piotr Kuklinski
The incessantly disturbed Antarctic intertidal zone is currently facing additional challenges associated with climate change, such as warming and increased meltwater runoff. However, long-term biological data that would enable quantification of how these environmental changes affect the intertidal zone and its ecosystem functioning are still lacking. Therefore, the main goal of this study was to evaluate the interannual variability in the structure of an intertidal macrobenthos assemblage in maritime Antarctica (Admiralty Bay, King George Island 62° S). Sampling was carried out in 2011, 2017 and 2019, in early January, at three intertidal levels: low, mid and high. The results clearly show that the intertidal zone remained relatively rich and abundant over the investigated period. The interannual pattern of diversity and species richness was as follows: 2019 > 2017 > 2011. Each studied year was dominated, to varying degrees, by the bivalve Altenaeum charcoti, the gastropods Laevilacunaria antarctica, Laevilitorina caliginosa and Onoba sp., along with the amphipod Paramoera edouardi. The primary driver of interannual variability seems to be random physical disturbances, such as temperature anomalies, ice activity, and wind force. In addition, year-to-year temperature changes may further affect the state and development of intertidal assemblages in a given year. The interannual variation documented here provides a stronger basis for assessing how Antarctic intertidal assemblages may respond to the rapid environmental changes projected for this region.
不断受到干扰的南极潮间带目前正面临着与气候变化有关的额外挑战,例如变暖和融水径流增加。然而,能够量化这些环境变化如何影响潮间带及其生态系统功能的长期生物学数据仍然缺乏。因此,本研究的主要目的是评估南极海洋(Admiralty Bay, King George Island 62°S)潮间带大型底栖动物群落结构的年际变化。在2011年、2017年和2019年1月初,在低、中、高三个潮间带进行了采样。结果清楚地表明,在调查期间,潮间带保持相对丰富和丰富。多样性和物种丰富度的年际格局为:2019 >; 2017 > 2011。在每一年的研究中,双壳类动物Altenaeum charcoti、腹足类动物Laevilacunaria antarctica、Laevilitorina caliginosa和Onoba sp.以及片足类动物paroera edouardi都在不同程度上占主导地位。年际变化的主要驱动因素似乎是随机的物理干扰,如温度异常、冰活动和风力。此外,温度的年际变化可能进一步影响某一年潮间带组合的状态和发展。这里记录的年际变化为评估南极潮间带组合如何响应该地区预计的快速环境变化提供了更有力的基础。
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引用次数: 0
The role of bathymetry in shaping sediment deposition: a case study from the Alleppey Terrace and adjacent shelf, southwestern India 水深测量在形成沉积物沉积中的作用:以印度西南部阿勒皮阶地及其邻近陆架为例
IF 2.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2025.105620
A. Prajith , Reji Srinivas , M.K. Sreeraj , N. Sreejith , S. Suja , A.V. Sijinkumar
Seamounts and bathymetric highs are prominent features of the southwestern continental margin of India, yet their influence on sediment transport and deposition remains poorly understood. This study investigates the Alleppey Terrace (AT) and adjacent shelf using sediment texture, clay mineralogy, microfossil assemblages, suspended particulate matter fluxes, and regional circulation data to elucidate depositional dynamics and environmental controls. Grain-size analysis reveals a clear contrast between the sand-dominated outer shelf and the clay-rich AT sediments, indicating distinct depositional settings. Clay mineralogy signatures suggest that shelf sediments are primarily riverine in origin, whereas AT sediments derive largely from in situ weathering of local basaltic basement rocks. Microfossil assemblages indicate low surface productivity and minimal sediment reworking over the AT. Seasonal suspended particulate matter flux measurements using a submersible particle-size analyzer (LISST) confirm that land-derived material does not reach the AT regions. Overall, the interplay between limited sediment sources, bathymetric controls, and hydrodynamic processes has created a unique low-energy depositional environment in the AT, contrasting with the more dynamic adjacent shelf. These findings highlight the critical role of bathymetric highs in modulating sediment flux, preserving relic deposits, and influencing paleoenvironmental conditions along the continental margin.
海山和深海高地是印度西南大陆边缘的突出特征,但它们对沉积物运输和沉积的影响仍然知之甚少。本研究利用沉积物结构、粘土矿物学、微化石组合、悬浮颗粒物通量和区域环流数据对阿勒佩阶地及其邻近陆架进行了研究,以阐明沉积动力学和环境控制因素。粒度分析揭示了以砂为主的外陆架与富含粘土的AT沉积物之间的明显对比,表明了不同的沉积背景。粘土矿物学特征表明陆架沉积物主要来源于河流,而陆架沉积物主要来源于当地玄武岩基底岩的原位风化作用。微化石组合表明AT上的地表生产力较低,沉积物改造最少。使用潜水粒度分析仪(LISST)进行的季节性悬浮颗粒物通量测量证实,陆地来源的物质不会到达AT区域。总的来说,有限的沉积物来源、水深控制和水动力过程之间的相互作用,在AT中创造了一个独特的低能量沉积环境,与更动态的相邻陆架形成对比。这些发现强调了水深高点在调节沉积物通量、保存遗迹沉积物和影响大陆边缘古环境条件方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
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Continental Shelf Research
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