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Biases in routine influenza surveillance indicators used to monitor infection incidence and recommendations for improvement 用于监测感染发生率的常规流感监测指标的偏差及改进建议
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308517
O. Eales, J. McCaw, F. Shearer
Background: Monitoring how the incidence of influenza infections changes over time is important for quantifying the transmission dynamics and clinical severity of influenza. Infection incidence is difficult to measure directly, and hence other quantities which are more amenable to surveillance are used to monitor trends in infection levels, with the implicit assumption that they correlate with infection incidence. Method: Here we demonstrate, through mathematical reasoning, the relationship between the incidence of influenza infections and three commonly reported surveillance indicators: 1) the rate per unit time of influenza-like illness reported through sentinel healthcare sites, 2) the rate per unit time of laboratory-confirmed influenza infections, and 3) the proportion of laboratory tests positive for influenza (`test-positive proportion'). Results: Our analysis suggests that none of these ubiquitously reported surveillance indicators are a reliable tool for monitoring influenza incidence. In particular, we highlight how these surveillance indicators can be heavily biased by: the dynamics of circulating pathogens (other than influenza) with similar symptom profiles; changes in testing rates; and differences in infection rates, symptom rates, and healthcare-seeking behaviour between age-groups and through time. We make six practical recommendations to improve the monitoring of influenza infection incidence. The implementation of our recommendations would enable the construction of more interpretable surveillance indicator(s) for influenza from which underlying patterns of infection incidence could be readily monitored. Conclusion: The implementation of all (or a subset) of our recommendations would greatly improve understanding of the transmission dynamics, infection burden, and clinical severity of influenza, improving our ability to respond effectively to seasonal epidemics and future pandemics.
背景:监测流感感染率随时间的变化对量化流感的传播动态和临床严重程度非常重要。感染率难以直接测量,因此,我们使用其他更易于监测的数量来监测感染水平的趋势,并假定这些数量与感染率相关。方法:在此,我们通过数学推理证明了流感感染率与三种常见监测指标之间的关系:1)单位时间内通过定点医疗机构报告的流感样病例的比率;2)单位时间内经实验室确诊的流感感染病例的比率;3)流感实验室检测呈阳性的比例("检测呈阳性比例")。结果:我们的分析表明,这些普遍报告的监测指标都不是监测流感发病率的可靠工具。我们特别强调了这些监测指标是如何受到以下因素的严重影响:症状特征相似的流行病原体(流感除外)的动态变化;检测率的变化;不同年龄组和不同时期的感染率、症状率和就医行为的差异。我们提出了六项切实可行的建议,以改进对流感感染率的监测。实施我们的建议将有助于建立更易于解释的流感监测指标,从而可随时监测感染发生率的基本模式。结论:实施我们提出的所有(或部分)建议将极大地提高人们对流感传播动态、感染负担和临床严重程度的了解,从而提高我们有效应对季节性流行病和未来大流行病的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Oral diadochokinesis, tongue pressure, and lip-seal strength in Japanese workers: A cross-sectional study 日本工人的口腔动力、舌压和唇封强度:横断面研究
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308513
A. Minoura, Y. Ihara, H. Kato, K. Murakami, Y. Watanabe, K. Hirano, Y. Ito, A. Kokaze
This cross-sectional study investigated the correlation between lip-seal strength, tongue pressure, and oral diadochokinesis (OD) in Japanese workers. The relationships between lip-seal strength, tongue pressure, and OD by age groups were investigated using multiple regression analyses on 496 workers. OD was measured using the number of consecutive "Pa," "Ta," and "Ka" vocalizations that could be produced in 5 s. In this study, 478 participants (437 males and 41 females) were included in the analysis after excluding 18 participants who could not complete all oral cavity measurements. This study revealed a significant positive correlation between "Pa," "Ta," and "Ka," with correlation coefficients of 0.500-0.665. Lip-seal strength only significantly correlated positively with "Pa"; however, tongue pressure significantly correlated positively with all of "Pa," "Ta," and "Ka" vocalizations. Regarding body mass index (BMI), no significant relationship with either "Pa," "Ta," or "Ka" was observed. As a result of aging, "Ta" and "Ka" showed a significant negative correlation with age. Multiple regression analyses, which included age, sex, BMI, alcohol consumption, and smoking, revealed a strong association between "Pa," "Ta," and "Ka" and lip-seal strength. However, only "Pa" showed a significant correlation with tongue pressure. Even in young and middle-aged adults, OD may be associated with lip-seal strength and tongue pressure. Measuring OD through dental screening of workers will help prevent the disease across a wide age range.
这项横断面研究调查了日本工人的唇封强度、舌压和口腔舒张功能(OD)之间的相关性。通过对 496 名工人进行多元回归分析,研究了不同年龄组的唇封强度、舌压和 OD 之间的关系。本研究共纳入了 478 名参与者(437 名男性和 41 名女性),但排除了 18 名无法完成所有口腔测量的参与者。这项研究显示,"Pa"、"Ta "和 "Ka "之间存在明显的正相关,相关系数为 0.500-0.665。唇封强度仅与 "Pa "呈显著正相关;但舌压与所有 "Pa"、"Ta "和 "Ka "发声均呈显著正相关。体重指数(BMI)与 "Pa"、"Ta "和 "Ka "均无明显关系。由于年龄的增长,"Ta "和 "Ka "与年龄呈显著负相关。包括年龄、性别、体重指数、饮酒和吸烟在内的多元回归分析表明,"Pa"、"Ta "和 "Ka "与唇封强度之间存在密切联系。然而,只有 "Pa "与舌压有明显的相关性。即使是中青年,OD 也可能与唇封强度和舌压有关。通过对工人进行牙科筛查来测量 OD,将有助于在广泛的年龄范围内预防该疾病。
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引用次数: 0
High serum Cholesterol and Triglyceride levels in older adults: associations with sleep and nighttime behavior disorders at baseline and a prediction analysis of incidental cases at 12 months follow-up 老年人血清胆固醇和甘油三酯水平过高:与基线睡眠和夜间行为障碍的关系,以及对随访 12 个月的偶发病例的预测分析
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308529
A. Hallab, Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative
Introduction: This study explored the association between dyslipidemia and sleep and nighttime behavior disorders (SNBD) in the elderly. Methods: ADNI population with complete Cholesterol, Triglyceride, SNBD, and neurocognitive data were included. Logistic regression was performed to study the association between dyslipidemia and SNBD at baseline and 12 months. Relevant confounders were adjusted for. Results: Among the 2,216 included cases, 1,045 (47%) were females, and the median age was 73 (IQR: 68, 78). At baseline, 357 (16%) had SNBD, and 327 (18%) at 12 months; 187 were incident cases. There were more cases of baseline SNBD in the hypertriglyceridemia group than in those without (19% vs. 14%, p-value=0.003). Similarly, more follow-up SNBD cases had hypertriglyceridemia at baseline (21% vs. 16%, p-value=0.025). SNBD cases at baseline had significantly higher serum Triglyceride levels than those without (132 vs. 118mg/dL, p-value<0.001). Only hypertriglyceridemia was significantly associated with baseline SNBD (crude OR=1.43, 95%CI: 1.13,1.80, p-value=0.003), even after adjustment for confounding factors (adj.OR=1.36, 95%CI: 1.06,1.74, p-value=0.016) and (BMI-adj.OR=1.29, 95%CI: 1.00,1.66, p-value=0.048). None of the dyslipidemia forms did predict incident cases at 12 months. Conclusions: Hypertriglyceridemia, but not hypercholesterolemia, was associated with higher odds of SNBD. None of the dyslipidemia forms predicted incidental SNBD over 12 months.
简介本研究探讨了老年人血脂异常与睡眠和夜间行为障碍(SNBD)之间的关系。研究方法纳入具有完整胆固醇、甘油三酯、SNBD和神经认知数据的ADNI人群。采用逻辑回归法研究基线和 12 个月时血脂异常与 SNBD 之间的关系。对相关混杂因素进行了调整。研究结果在纳入的 2,216 例病例中,1,045 例(47%)为女性,中位年龄为 73 岁(IQR:68,78)。基线时有 357 例(16%)患有 SNBD,12 个月时有 327 例(18%),其中 187 例为偶发病例。高甘油三酯血症组的基线 SNBD 病例比非高甘油三酯血症组多(19% 对 14%,P 值=0.003)。同样,更多的随访 SNBD 病例在基线时患有高甘油三酯血症(21% 对 16%,P 值=0.025)。基线 SNBD 患者的血清甘油三酯水平明显高于非 SNBD 患者(132 毫克/分升对 118 毫克/分升,p 值<0.001)。只有高甘油三酯血症与基线 SNBD 显著相关(粗 OR=1.43,95%CI:1.13,1.80,p-value=0.003),即使调整了混杂因素(adj.OR=1.36,95%CI:1.06,1.74,p-value=0.016)和(BMI-adj.OR=1.29,95%CI:1.00,1.66,p-value=0.048)。没有一种血脂异常形式能预测 12 个月后的发病情况。结论高甘油三酯血症(而非高胆固醇血症)与较高的 SNBD 发生几率相关。没有一种血脂异常形式能预测 12 个月内的偶发性 SNBD。
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引用次数: 0
Economic evaluation of a wearable-based intervention to increase physical activity among insufficiently active middle-aged adults 对基于可穿戴设备的干预措施进行经济评估,以增加不够活跃的中年人的体育活动量
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24306788
Jack H. Ching, Steve Duff, John Hernandez
Background: Physical activity levels worldwide have declined over recent decades, with the average number of daily steps decreasing steadily since 1995. Given that physical inactivity is a major modifiable risk factor for chronic disease and mortality, increasing the level of physical activity is a clear opportunity to improve population health on a broad scale. The current study aims to assess the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of a Fitbit-based intervention among healthy, but insufficiently active, adults to quantify the potential clinical and economic value for a commercially insured population in the U.S. Methods: An economic model was developed to compare physical activity, health outcomes, costs, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) associated with usual care and a Fitbit-based intervention that consists of a consumer wearable device alongside goal setting and feedback features provided in a companion software application. Improvement in physical activity was measured in terms of mean daily step count. The effects of increased daily step count were characterized as reduced short-term healthcare costs and decreased incidence of chronic diseases with corresponding improvement in health utility and reduced disease costs. Published literature, standardized costing resources, and data from a National Institutes of Health-funded research program were utilized. Cost-effectiveness and budget impact analyses were performed for a hypothetical cohort of middle-aged adults. Results: The base case cost-effectiveness results found the Fitbit intervention to be dominant (less costly and more effective) compared to usual care. Discounted 15-year incremental costs and QALYs were -$1,257 and 0.011, respectively. In probabilistic analyses, the Fitbit intervention was dominant in 93% of simulations and either dominant or cost-effective (defined as less than $150,000/QALY gained) in 99.4% of simulations. For budget impact analyses conducted from the perspective of a U.S. Commercial payer, the Fitbit intervention was estimated to save approximately $6.5-million dollars over 2 years and $8.5-million dollars over 5 years for a cohort of 8,000 participants. Although the economic analysis results were very robust, the short-term healthcare cost savings were the most uncertain in this population and warrant further research. Conclusions: There is abundant evidence documenting the benefits of wearable activity trackers when used to increase physical activity as measured by daily step counts. Our research provides additional health economic evidence supporting implementation of wearable-based interventions to improve population health and offers compelling support for payers to consider including wearable-based physical activity interventions as part of a comprehensive portfolio of preventive health offerings for their insured populations.
背景:近几十年来,全世界的体力活动水平都在下降,自 1995 年以来,每天的平均步数持续减少。鉴于缺乏体力活动是慢性病和死亡率的主要可改变风险因素,提高体力活动水平显然是广泛改善人口健康的一个机会。本研究旨在评估基于 Fitbit 的干预措施在健康但活动不足的成年人中的成本效益和预算影响,以量化其对美国商业保险人群的潜在临床和经济价值:开发了一个经济模型,以比较与常规护理相关的体育锻炼、健康结果、成本和质量调整生命年(QALYs),以及基于 Fitbit 的干预措施,该干预措施包括一个消费者可穿戴设备以及配套软件应用程序中提供的目标设定和反馈功能。体育锻炼的改善以平均每日步数来衡量。增加每日步数的效果表现为降低短期医疗费用和减少慢性病发病率,并相应提高健康效用和降低疾病成本。研究利用了已发表的文献、标准化成本计算资源以及美国国立卫生研究院资助的研究项目数据。对假定的中年人群进行了成本效益和预算影响分析。分析结果基础案例的成本效益结果显示,Fitbit 干预与常规护理相比具有优势(成本更低、更有效)。贴现后的 15 年增量成本和 QALY 分别为-1,257 美元和 0.011。在概率分析中,Fitbit 干预在 93% 的模拟中占主导地位,在 99.4% 的模拟中占主导地位或具有成本效益(定义为低于 150,000 美元/QALY)。从美国商业支付方的角度进行的预算影响分析显示,Fitbit 干预估计可在 2 年内为 8,000 名参与者节省约 650 万美元,在 5 年内节省约 850 万美元。虽然经济分析结果非常可靠,但在这一人群中,短期医疗成本节约的不确定性最大,值得进一步研究。结论:有大量证据表明,可穿戴活动追踪器可用于增加以每日步数为衡量标准的体力活动。我们的研究提供了更多的健康经济证据,支持实施基于可穿戴设备的干预措施来改善人群健康,并为支付方提供了有力支持,使其考虑将基于可穿戴设备的体育锻炼干预措施作为其投保人群预防性保健综合产品组合的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
School-based caries prevention using silver diamine fluoride: A pragmatic randomized trial in low-income rural children 使用二胺氟化银进行校内龋齿预防:针对低收入农村儿童的实用随机试验
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308499
PhD Ryan Richard Ru, Dmd Richard Niederman
Background: Dental caries is the world's most prevalent noncommunicable disease, disproportionately affecting children from low-income rural areas. This study assessed the effectiveness of using silver diamine fluoride (SDF) for school-based caries prevention. Methods: The CariedAway 3.0 study was a cluster-randomized pragmatic non-inferiority trial comparing SDF to sealants and atraumatic restorations (ART) for the prevention and control of dental caries. All participants also received fluoride varnish. Analysis consisted of multilevel mixed-effects logistic and negative binomial regression for the prevalence and incidence of dental caries, respectively, and a non-inferiority margin of 10% for the difference between groups was used. Dental caries was defined as an ICDAS score of four or greater. Results: A total of 3345 children were enrolled in the trial, however there was a large proportion of children who were noncompliant and received external dental care. In adjusted analyses of compliant participants (n=1083, consisting of 543 in the SDF group and 540 in the sealant and ART group), there was no difference in the weighted risk difference between treatment groups (B=0.003, 95% CI = -0.0001, 0.0008). The odds of caries was elevated in the SDF group in longitudinal analyses (OR = 1.35, 95% CI = 0.86, 2.11) but was not significant and was below the non-inferiority margin. There were no significant differences between groups for caries incidence in adjusted models (IRR = 1.19, 95% CI = 0.81, 1.74). Results for intent to treat analyses were similar to that of per-protocol. Discussion: In this school-based clinical trial, the prevalence of dental caries in children treated with SDF and fluoride varnish was non-inferior compared to those treated with sealants, ART, and fluoride varnish, although the overall risk was slightly higher. Unfortunately, a high rate of dropout and participant noncompliance was observed, likely due to the impacts of COVID-19 on study procedures. As a result, observed effects may be unreliable beyond the short-term.
背景:龋齿是世界上最普遍的非传染性疾病,对低收入农村地区的儿童影响尤为严重。本研究评估了使用二胺氟化银(SDF)进行校内龋齿预防的有效性。研究方法CariedAway3.0研究是一项分组随机实用性非劣效性试验,比较了SDF与密封剂和无损伤修复(ART)在预防和控制龋齿方面的效果。所有参与者还接受了氟化物涂膜。分析包括对龋齿流行率和发病率分别进行多层次混合效应逻辑回归和负二项回归,组间差异的非劣效差为 10%。龋齿的定义是 ICDAS 评分达到或超过 4 分。研究结果共有 3345 名儿童参加了试验,但有很大一部分儿童不遵守规定,接受了外部牙科治疗。对符合要求的参与者(1083 人,其中 SDF 组 543 人,封闭剂和 ART 组 540 人)进行调整分析后发现,治疗组之间的加权风险差异没有差异(B=0.003,95% CI = -0.0001,0.0008)。在纵向分析中,SDF 组发生龋齿的几率升高(OR = 1.35,95% CI = 0.86,2.11),但并不显著,低于非劣效边际。在调整模型中,各组之间的龋齿发生率没有明显差异(IRR = 1.19,95% CI = 0.81,1.74)。意向治疗分析的结果与按协议治疗的结果相似。讨论在这项以学校为基础的临床试验中,接受 SDF 和氟化物清漆治疗的儿童的龋齿患病率与接受封闭剂、ART 和氟化物清漆治疗的儿童相比并无劣势,但总体风险略高。遗憾的是,由于 COVID-19 对研究程序的影响,观察到了较高的辍学率和参与者违规率。因此,观察到的短期效果可能并不可靠。
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引用次数: 0
Neurophysiology of Resilience in Juvenile Fibromyalgia 青少年纤维肌痛恢复能力的神经生理学研究
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308376
M. Sunol, S. Pascual-Diaz, J. Dudley, M. F. Payne, C. Jackson, H. Tong, T. V. Ting, S. Kashikar-Zuck, R. C. Coghill, M. López-Solà
Objective Juvenile fibromyalgia (JFM) is a chronic pain syndrome predominantly affecting adolescent girls. Resilience may be a protective factor in coping with pain, reducing affective burden, and promoting positive outlooks. Brain regions affected in JFM overlap with those linked to resilience, particularly in the default-mode network (DMN). We investigate the role of resilience on core somatic and affective symptoms in JFM and assess the neurophysiological substrates for the first time. Methods Forty-one girls with JFM and 40 pain-free adolescents completed a resting-state fMRI assessment and self-report questionnaires. We used clustering analyses to group JFM participants based on resilience, and principal component analyses to summarize core somatic and affective symptoms. We estimated whole-brain and within-DMN connectivity and assessed differences between higher and lower resilience JFM groups and compared their connectivity patterns to pain-free participants. Results The higher resilience JFM group had less affective (T=4.03; p<.001) but similar core somatic symptoms (T=1.05; p=.302) than the lower resilience JFM group. They had increased whole-brain (T's>3.90, pFDR's<.03) and within-DMN (T=2.20, p=.03) connectivity strength, and higher connectivity between DMN nodes and self-referential, regulatory, and reward-processing regions. Conversely, higher DMN-premotor connectivity was observed in the lower resilience group. Conclusion JFM participants with higher resilience were protected affectively but not in core somatic symptoms. Greater resilience was accompanied by higher signal integration within the DMN, a network central to internally oriented attention and flexible attention shifting. Crucially, the connectivity pattern in highly resilient patients resembled that of pain-free adolescents, which was not the case for the lower resilience group.
目的 青少年纤维肌痛(JFM)是一种主要影响少女的慢性疼痛综合征。恢复力可能是应对疼痛、减轻情感负担和促进积极人生观的保护因素。受 JFM 影响的脑区与与复原力相关的脑区重叠,尤其是在默认模式网络(DMN)中。我们研究了复原力对 JFM 核心躯体症状和情感症状的作用,并首次评估了其神经生理学基础。方法 41 名患有 JFM 的女孩和 40 名无痛青少年完成了静息态 fMRI 评估和自我报告问卷。我们使用聚类分析根据恢复力对 JFM 参与者进行分组,并使用主成分分析总结核心躯体症状和情感症状。我们估算了全脑和多神经网络内部的连通性,评估了复原力较高和复原力较低的 JFM 组之间的差异,并将他们的连通性模式与无痛参与者进行了比较。结果 复原力较高的 JFM 组的情感(T=4.03;p3.90,pFDR's<.03)和 DMN 内(T=2.20,p=.03)连接强度较低,而 DMN 节点与自我参照、调节和奖赏加工区域之间的连接强度较高。相反,在复原力较低的组别中观察到较高的DMN-运动连接性。结论 具有较高复原力的联合家庭运动参与者在情感上受到保护,但在核心躯体症状上没有受到保护。复原力越高,DMN 内的信号整合度就越高,DMN 是内部导向注意力和灵活注意力转移的核心网络。最重要的是,高复原力患者的连接模式与无痛青少年相似,而低复原力组则不然。
{"title":"Neurophysiology of Resilience in Juvenile Fibromyalgia","authors":"M. Sunol, S. Pascual-Diaz, J. Dudley, M. F. Payne, C. Jackson, H. Tong, T. V. Ting, S. Kashikar-Zuck, R. C. Coghill, M. López-Solà","doi":"10.1101/2024.06.05.24308376","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.06.05.24308376","url":null,"abstract":"Objective Juvenile fibromyalgia (JFM) is a chronic pain syndrome predominantly affecting adolescent girls. Resilience may be a protective factor in coping with pain, reducing affective burden, and promoting positive outlooks. Brain regions affected in JFM overlap with those linked to resilience, particularly in the default-mode network (DMN). We investigate the role of resilience on core somatic and affective symptoms in JFM and assess the neurophysiological substrates for the first time. Methods Forty-one girls with JFM and 40 pain-free adolescents completed a resting-state fMRI assessment and self-report questionnaires. We used clustering analyses to group JFM participants based on resilience, and principal component analyses to summarize core somatic and affective symptoms. We estimated whole-brain and within-DMN connectivity and assessed differences between higher and lower resilience JFM groups and compared their connectivity patterns to pain-free participants. Results The higher resilience JFM group had less affective (T=4.03; p<.001) but similar core somatic symptoms (T=1.05; p=.302) than the lower resilience JFM group. They had increased whole-brain (T's>3.90, pFDR's<.03) and within-DMN (T=2.20, p=.03) connectivity strength, and higher connectivity between DMN nodes and self-referential, regulatory, and reward-processing regions. Conversely, higher DMN-premotor connectivity was observed in the lower resilience group. Conclusion JFM participants with higher resilience were protected affectively but not in core somatic symptoms. Greater resilience was accompanied by higher signal integration within the DMN, a network central to internally oriented attention and flexible attention shifting. Crucially, the connectivity pattern in highly resilient patients resembled that of pain-free adolescents, which was not the case for the lower resilience group.","PeriodicalId":506788,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141265142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Restriction Spectrum Imaging as a quantitative biomarker for prostate cancer with reliable positive predictive value 限制性频谱成像作为前列腺癌的定量生物标记物,具有可靠的阳性预测价值
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308468
Mariluz Rojo Domingo, D. Do, C. Conlin, Aditya Bagrodia, Tristan Barrett, Madison T Baxter, Matthew Cooperberg, Felix Feng, M. E. Hahn, M. Harisinghani, G. Hollenberg, Juan Javier-Desloges, Karoline Kallis, Sophia Kamran, Christopher J. Kane, Dimitri Kessler, J. Kuperman, Kang-Lung Lee, Jonathan Levine, Michael A. Liss, D. Margolis, Ian Matthews, Paul M Murphy, Nabih Nakrour, Michael Ohliger, C. Ollison, Thomas Osinski, Anthony J. Pamatmat, Isabella R Pompa, R. Rakow-Penner, Jacob L Roberts, Karan Santhosh, A. Shabaik, Yuze Song, David Song, C. M. Tempany, Natasha Wehrli, E. Weinberg, Sean Woolen, George Xu, A. Y. Zhong, Anders M. Dale, Tyler M Seibert
Background and Objective. Positive predictive value of PI-RADS for clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa, grade group [GG][≥]2) varies widely between institutions and radiologists. The Restriction Spectrum Imaging restriction score (RSIrs) is a metric derived from diffusion MRI that could be an objectively interpretable biomarker for csPCa. Methods. In patients scanned for suspected or known csPCa at 7 centers, we calculated patient-level csPCa probability based on maximum RSIrs in the prostate, without relying on subjectively defined lesions. We used area under the ROC curve (AUC) to compare patient-level csPCa detection for RSIrs, ADC, and PI-RADS. Finally, we combined RSIrs with clinical risk factors via multivariable regression, training in a single-center cohort and testing in an independent, multi-center dataset. Key Findings and Limitations. Among all patients (n=1892), probability of csPCa increased with higher RSIrs. GG[≥]4 csPCa was most common in patients with very high RSIrs. Among biopsy-naive patients (n=877), AUCs for GG[≥]2 vs. non-csPCa were 0.73 (0.69-0.76), 0.54 (0.50-0.57), and 0.75 (0.71-0.78) for RSIrs, ADC, and PI-RADS, respectively. RSIrs significantly outperformed ADC (p<0.01) and was comparable to PI-RADS (p=0.31). The combination of RSIrs and PI-RADS outperformed either alone. Combining RSIrs with PI-RADS, age, and PSA density in a multivariable model achieved the best discrimination of csPCa. Conclusions and Clinical Implications. RSIrs is an accurate and reliable quantitative biomarker that performs better than conventional ADC and comparably to expert-defined PI-RADS for patient-level detection of csPCa. RSIrs provides objective estimates of probability of csPCa that do not require radiology expertise.
背景和目的。PI-RADS 对有临床意义的前列腺癌(csPCa,分级组 [GG][≥]2)的阳性预测值在不同机构和放射科医生之间存在很大差异。限制频谱成像限制评分(RSIrs)是从弥散核磁共振成像中得出的指标,可作为 csPCa 的客观可解释生物标志物。方法。在 7 个中心对疑似或已知 csPCa 患者进行扫描后,我们根据前列腺中的最大 RSIrs 计算出患者级别的 csPCa 概率,而不依赖于主观定义的病灶。我们使用 ROC 曲线下面积 (AUC) 对 RSIrs、ADC 和 PI-RADS 的患者级 csPCa 检测进行了比较。最后,我们通过多变量回归将 RSIrs 与临床风险因素相结合,在单中心队列中进行训练,并在独立的多中心数据集中进行测试。主要发现和局限性。在所有患者(n=1892)中,发生 csPCa 的概率随着 RSIrs 的升高而升高。GG[≥]4型csPCa在RSI率极高的患者中最为常见。在未经活检的患者(n=877)中,RSIrs、ADC 和 PI-RADS 的 GG[≥]2 与非 csPCa 的 AUC 分别为 0.73(0.69-0.76)、0.54(0.50-0.57)和 0.75(0.71-0.78)。RSIrs 明显优于 ADC(p<0.01),与 PI-RADS 相当(p=0.31)。结合使用 RSIrs 和 PI-RADS 的效果优于单独使用其中一种的效果。在一个多变量模型中,将 RSIrs 与 PI-RADS、年龄和 PSA 密度相结合,可实现对 csPCa 的最佳判别。结论和临床意义。RSIrs 是一种准确可靠的定量生物标记物,在患者水平的 csPCa 检测中,其表现优于传统的 ADC,与专家定义的 PI-RADS 不相上下。RSIrs 可提供客观的 csPCa 概率估计,无需放射学专业知识。
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引用次数: 0
Validation of the GCS-Pupil scale in Traumatic Brain Injury Incremental prognostic performance of pupillary reactivity with GCS in the prospective observational cohorts CENTER-TBI and TRACK-TBI 在前瞻性观察队列 CENTER-TBI 和 TRACK-TBI 中验证创伤性脑损伤 GCS-瞳孔量表瞳孔反应性与 GCS 的增量预后性能
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308424
R. J. G. Vreeburg, F. van Leeuwen, G. T. Manley, J. K. Yue, P. M. Brennan, X. Sun, S. Jain, T. V. van Essen, W. C. Peul, A. I. R. Maas, D. K. Menon, E. W. Steyerberg, The CENTER-TBI Investigators and Participants, The TRACK-TBI Investigators and Participants, The Clinical Working Group of the NIH-NINDS initiative Tbi
Objective: To compare the incremental prognostic value of pupillary reactivity as captured in the GCS-Pupils score (GCS-P) or added as separate variable to the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) in traumatic brain injury (TBI). Methods: We analyzed patients enrolled between 2014 and 2018 in the Collaborative European NeuroTrauma Effectiveness Research in Traumatic Brain Injury (CENTER-TBI, n=3521) and the Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in Traumatic Brain Injury (TRACK-TBI, n=1439) cohorts. We used logistic regression to quantify the prognostic performances of GCS-P versus GCS according to Nagelkerke R2. Endpoints were mortality and unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended score 1-4) at 6 months after injury. We estimated 95% confidence intervals with bootstrap resampling to summarize the improvement in prognostic capability. Results: GCS as a linear score had a R2 of 24% (95% confidence interval [CI] 17-30) and 30% (95%CI 17-43) for mortality and 29% (95%CI 25-34) and 38% (95%CI 29-47) for unfavorable outcome in CENTER-TBI and TRACK-TBI respectively. In the meta-analysis, pupillary reactivity as a separate variable improved the R2 by an absolute value of 6% and 2% for mortality and unfavorable outcome (95%CI 4.0-7.7 and 1.2-3.0, respectively), with half the improvement captured in the GCS-P score (3%, 95%CI 2.1-3.3 and 1%, 95%CI 1-1.7, respectively). Conclusions: GCS-P has a stronger association with outcome after TBI than the GCS alone. However, for prognostic models, inclusion of GCS and pupillary reactivity as separate scores is preferable.
目的比较瞳孔反应性在创伤性脑损伤(TBI)中作为 GCS-瞳孔评分(GCS-P)或作为单独变量加入格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)的增量预后价值。方法我们分析了2014年至2018年期间加入欧洲创伤性脑损伤神经创伤有效性研究协作组(CENTER-TBI,n=3521)和创伤性脑损伤研究与临床知识转化组(TRACK-TBI,n=1439)队列的患者。我们采用逻辑回归法,根据纳格尔克 R2 量化 GCS-P 与 GCS 的预后效果。终点为伤后 6 个月的死亡率和不利预后(格拉斯哥预后量表-扩展评分 1-4 分)。我们使用引导重采样法估计了 95% 的置信区间,以总结预后能力的改善情况。结果:在 CENTER-TBI 和 TRACK-TBI 中,作为线性评分的 GCS 对死亡率的 R2 分别为 24%(95% 置信区间 [CI] 17-30)和 30%(95%CI 17-43),对不利预后的 R2 分别为 29%(95%CI 25-34)和 38%(95%CI 29-47)。在荟萃分析中,瞳孔反应性作为一个单独变量,在死亡率和不利预后方面的 R2 绝对值分别提高了 6% 和 2%(95%CI 分别为 4.0-7.7 和 1.2-3.0),而 GCS-P 评分提高了一半(分别为 3%,95%CI 2.1-3.3 和 1%,95%CI 1-1.7)。结论与单纯的 GCS 相比,GCS-P 与创伤后预后的关系更为密切。然而,在预后模型中,最好将 GCS 和瞳孔反应性作为单独的评分。
{"title":"Validation of the GCS-Pupil scale in Traumatic Brain Injury Incremental prognostic performance of pupillary reactivity with GCS in the prospective observational cohorts CENTER-TBI and TRACK-TBI","authors":"R. J. G. Vreeburg, F. van Leeuwen, G. T. Manley, J. K. Yue, P. M. Brennan, X. Sun, S. Jain, T. V. van Essen, W. C. Peul, A. I. R. Maas, D. K. Menon, E. W. Steyerberg, The CENTER-TBI Investigators and Participants, The TRACK-TBI Investigators and Participants, The Clinical Working Group of the NIH-NINDS initiative Tbi","doi":"10.1101/2024.06.05.24308424","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.06.05.24308424","url":null,"abstract":"Objective: To compare the incremental prognostic value of pupillary reactivity as captured in the GCS-Pupils score (GCS-P) or added as separate variable to the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) in traumatic brain injury (TBI). Methods: We analyzed patients enrolled between 2014 and 2018 in the Collaborative European NeuroTrauma Effectiveness Research in Traumatic Brain Injury (CENTER-TBI, n=3521) and the Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in Traumatic Brain Injury (TRACK-TBI, n=1439) cohorts. We used logistic regression to quantify the prognostic performances of GCS-P versus GCS according to Nagelkerke R2. Endpoints were mortality and unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended score 1-4) at 6 months after injury. We estimated 95% confidence intervals with bootstrap resampling to summarize the improvement in prognostic capability. Results: GCS as a linear score had a R2 of 24% (95% confidence interval [CI] 17-30) and 30% (95%CI 17-43) for mortality and 29% (95%CI 25-34) and 38% (95%CI 29-47) for unfavorable outcome in CENTER-TBI and TRACK-TBI respectively. In the meta-analysis, pupillary reactivity as a separate variable improved the R2 by an absolute value of 6% and 2% for mortality and unfavorable outcome (95%CI 4.0-7.7 and 1.2-3.0, respectively), with half the improvement captured in the GCS-P score (3%, 95%CI 2.1-3.3 and 1%, 95%CI 1-1.7, respectively). Conclusions: GCS-P has a stronger association with outcome after TBI than the GCS alone. However, for prognostic models, inclusion of GCS and pupillary reactivity as separate scores is preferable.","PeriodicalId":506788,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141265181","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Diagnostic Accuracy of Nanopore Sequencing for Detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis and Drug-Resistant Strains: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis 纳米孔测序检测结核分枝杆菌和耐药菌株的诊断准确性:系统回顾与元分析
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308511
Timothy Hudson, David Culasino Carandang, Dianne Jaula Cunanan, Gail S. Co, John David Pilapil, Juan Ignacio Garcia, Blanca I. Restrepo, Marcel Yotebieng, Jordi B. Torrelles, K. Notarte
Tuberculosis (TB), caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) infection, remains a significant public health threat. The timeliness, portability, and capacity of nanopore sequencing for diagnostics can aid in early detection and drug susceptibility testing (DST), which is crucial for effective TB control. This study synthesized current evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of the nanopore sequencing technology in detecting MTB and its DST profile. A comprehensive literature search in PubMed, Scopus, MEDLINE, Cochrane, EMBASE, Web of Science, AIM, IMEMR, IMSEAR, LILACS, WPRO, HERDIN Plus, MedRxiv, and BioRxiv was performed. Quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, predictive values (PV), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated. Thirty-two studies were included; 13 addressed MTB detection only, 15 focused on DST only, and 4 examined both MTB detection and DST. No study used Flongle or PromethION. Seven studies were eligible for meta-analysis on MTB detection and five for DST; studies for MTB detection used GridION only while those for DST profile used MinION only. Our results indicate that GridION device has high sensitivity [88.61%; 95% CI (83.81-92.12%)] and specificity [93.18%; 95% CI (85.32-96.98%)], high positive predictive value [94.71%; 95% CI (89.99-97.27%)], moderately high negative predictive value [84.33%; 95% CI (72.02-91.84%)], and excellent DOR [107.23; 95% CI (35.15-327.15)] and AUC (0.932) in detecting MTB. Based on DOR and AUC, the MinION excelled in detecting pyrazinamide and rifampicin resistance; however, it underperformed in detecting isoniazid and ethambutol resistance. Additional studies will be needed to provide more precise estimates for MinION's sensitivity in detecting drug-resistance, as well as DOR in detecting resistance to pyrazinamide, streptomycin, and ofloxacin. Studies on detecting resistance to bedaquiline, pretomanid, and linezolid are lacking.
由结核分枝杆菌(MTB)感染引起的结核病(TB)仍然是一个重大的公共卫生威胁。纳米孔测序诊断的及时性、便携性和能力有助于早期检测和药敏试验(DST),这对有效控制结核病至关重要。本研究综述了纳米孔测序技术在检测 MTB 及其 DST 特征方面的诊断准确性的现有证据。研究人员在 PubMed、Scopus、MEDLINE、Cochrane、EMBASE、Web of Science、AIM、IMEMR、IMSEAR、LILACS、WPRO、HERDIN Plus、MedRxiv 和 BioRxiv 中进行了全面的文献检索。研究质量采用诊断准确性研究质量评估-2工具进行评估。计算了汇总灵敏度、特异性、预测值 (PV)、诊断几率比 (DOR) 和曲线下面积 (AUC)。共纳入 32 项研究,其中 13 项仅涉及 MTB 检测,15 项仅关注 DST,4 项同时研究了 MTB 检测和 DST。没有研究使用 Flongle 或 PromethION。有 7 项研究符合 MTB 检测的荟萃分析条件,5 项符合 DST 的荟萃分析条件;MTB 检测研究仅使用了 GridION,而 DST 资料研究仅使用了 MinION。我们的结果表明,GridION 设备具有较高的灵敏度[88.61%;95% CI (83.81-92.12%)]和特异性[93.18%;95% CI (85.32-96.98%)],较高的阳性预测值[94.71%;95% CI (89.99-97.27%)],中高阴性预测值[84.33%;95% CI (72.02-91.84%)],在检测 MTB 方面具有极佳的 DOR [107.23;95% CI (35.15-327.15)]和 AUC (0.932)。根据 DOR 和 AUC,MinION 在检测吡嗪酰胺和利福平耐药性方面表现出色;但在检测异烟肼和乙胺丁醇耐药性方面表现不佳。还需要进行更多的研究,以便对 MinION 检测耐药性的灵敏度以及检测吡嗪酰胺、链霉素和氧氟沙星耐药性的 DOR 作出更精确的估计。目前还缺乏对贝达喹啉、普托马尼和利奈唑胺耐药性的检测研究。
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引用次数: 0
Partner Dynamics at Maternal and New born Continuum of Care Enrollment among a Panel of Six Weeks Postpartum Women in Ethiopia, Community based Longitudinal Study; A multinomial Logistics Regression Analysis 基于社区的纵向研究--埃塞俄比亚产后六周妇女小组中产妇和新生儿连续护理注册时的伴侣动态;多项式物流回归分析
Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.05.24308524
S. Damtew, Mahari Yihdego Gidey, Fitsum Tariku Fantaye, Niguse Tadele Atianfu, T. Dejene, Kelemua Mengesha Sene, Tefamichael Awoke, Hailay Gkidan, A. Seme, S. Shiferaw
Abstract Introduction: In this era of SDG countries relatively achieving maternal and newborn health geographic coverage are moving to a new paradigm called completion of maternal and new born care continuum (MN-CoC). Measuring the influence of significant others: partner/or husband and community engagement are considered as pivotal and one of the pillar strategies to achieve of completion of MN-CoC. Unfortunately, there is a lack of policy framework for partner and/or husband involvement in pregnancy, childbirth and postnatal care and when exists there is a gap in policy and practice in developing countries context. Articulating and endorsing such policy is likely to promote husband and/or partner encouragement and support during at the enrollment to maternal and newborn care continuum (MN-CoC). Hence, quantifying the level of MN-CoC partner dynamics on antenatal care visit and/or discussion about where to deliver the index child at and identifying its correlates among a panel of six weeks postpartum women provides evidence for the policy articulation endeavor by the Federal Health Ministry of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopian and developmental partners working on reproductive and maternal and newborn health care. Methods: Community based nationally representative longitudinal data collected from a panel of pregnant and six weeks postpartum women were further analyzed. A total of 2,207 six weeks postpartum women who were married and/or living a partner were included in this analysis which was adequate to yield an unbiased estimates for MN-CoC partner dynamics. Multinomial logistics regression was run to identify correlates of partner Dynamics. Results were presented in the form percentages and odds ratio with 95% Confidence Intervals. Statistical significance was declared at p-value of 0.05. Results: The proportion of partner and/or husband dynamics on MN-CoC of among six weeks postpartum women who reported that their partner and/or husband encouraged them to go to clinic for ANC and discussed with them about place of delivery for the index child was nearly 2/3 (64.67%; 62.21%, 67.04%).Besides, nearly one in 5 of them reported that their husband and/or partner did not encourage (18.2%; 16.64%, 20.33) and encouraged either of the first two MN-CoC two domains (17.08%, 15.25%, 19.10%). The region women residing, being in a polygamy marriage, contraceptive ever use history, attainment secondary/higher education and index child delivery place were found to contribute for the variation in MN-CoC partner dynamics. The finding calls up on regionally sensitive activities and efforts with public-private partnership in service provision and targeting women with polygamy which in turn empower women to control over their fertility through increasing higher education enrollment, and diversifying access to contraceptive commodities are hoped to improve MN-CoC partner dynamics. Such endeavors and interventions are hoped to facilitate the ministry and
摘要 引言:在可持续发展目标(SDG)时代,相对实现孕产妇和新生儿健康地理覆盖率的国家正在转向一种新的模式,即完成孕产妇和新生儿护理连续体(MN-CoC)。衡量重要他人(伴侣/或丈夫)和社区参与的影响被认为是实现孕产妇和新生儿护理连续性的关键和支柱战略之一。遗憾的是,发展中国家缺乏伴侣和/或丈夫参与怀孕、分娩和产后护理的政策框架,即使有,在政策和实践方面也存在差距。阐明并认可此类政策可能会促进丈夫和/或伴侣在孕产妇和新生儿护理连续体(MN-CoC)入院期间给予鼓励和支持。因此,在产后六周的妇女小组中,量化产前护理访问和/或关于在哪里分娩指标婴儿的讨论中 MN-CoC 伴侣的动态水平,并确定其相关因素,为埃塞俄比亚联邦民主共和国联邦卫生部和从事生殖及孕产妇和新生儿保健的发展伙伴的政策阐述工作提供证据。方法:进一步分析了从孕妇和产后六周妇女小组收集的具有全国代表性的社区纵向数据。共有 2 207 名产后六周的已婚妇女和/或有生活伴侣的妇女被纳入此次分析,这足以对 MN-CoC 伴侣动态进行无偏估计。多项式物流回归用于确定伴侣动态的相关因素。结果以百分比、几率比率和 95% 置信区间的形式呈现。统计意义以 p 值 0.05 为标准。结果在产后六周的妇女中,报告其伴侣和/或丈夫鼓励她们去诊所做产前检查并与她们讨论头胎分娩地点的比例接近三分之二(64.67%;62.21%,67.04%)。此外,近五分之一的妇女报告其丈夫和/或伴侣不鼓励(18.2%;16.64%,20.33%)她们去诊所做产前检查并与她们讨论头胎分娩地点的比例接近三分之二(17.08%;15.25%,19.10%)。研究发现,妇女居住的地区、一夫多妻制婚姻、避孕药具的使用历史、中等/高等教育程度和指数婴儿的出生地,都是导致 MN-CoC 伴侣动态变化的原因。这项研究结果呼吁开展对地区敏感的活动和工作,在提供服务方面建立公私伙伴关系,并以一夫多妻制妇女为目标,通过提高高等教育入学率和多样化的避孕商品获取途径,增强妇女控制生育的能力,从而改善一夫多妻制妇女的伴侣动态。希望这些努力和干预措施能够促进该部和其他发展伙伴的全面努力,以解决多国合作理事会伙伴和/或合作伙伴在政策阐述、宣传、执行、评估和修订方面的动态问题,使其符合目的并实现预期目标。关键词妇女健康合作伙伴动态、孕产妇和新生儿连续护理、MN-CoC 的注册和保留、埃塞俄比亚 PMA、基于社区的纵向萨里
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