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Dangerous Instrument: Political Polarization and US Civil-Military Relations. By Michael A. Robinson. New York: Oxford University Press, 2022. 312p. $110.00 cloth, $29.95 paper. 危险的工具:政治极化与美国军民关系》。迈克尔-A-罗宾逊著。纽约:牛津大学出版社,2022 年。312p.布版 110.00 美元,纸版 29.95 美元。
Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002657
Robert Ralston
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引用次数: 0
Autocracy Rising: How Venezuela Transitioned to Authoritarianism. By Javier Corrales. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. 2022. 256p. $85.00 cloth, $32.00 paper. 专制崛起:委内瑞拉如何过渡到专制主义。作者:Javier Corrales。华盛顿特区:布鲁金斯学会出版社。2022.256p.布版 85.00 美元,纸版 32.00 美元。
Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002670
O. Selçuk
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引用次数: 0
“Fit for Purpose?” Assessing the Ecological Fit of the Social Institutions that Globally Govern Antimicrobial Resistance "适合目的?评估全球抗菌药耐药性管理社会机构的生态契合度
Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002906
Isaac Weldon, Steven J. Hoffman
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a natural process where microbes develop the ability to survive the antimicrobial drugs we depend upon to treat and prevent deadly infections, such as antibiotics. This microscopic evolution is further propelled by human activities, where each use of an antimicrobial drug potentially induces AMR. As microbes can spread quickly from animals to humans and travel around the world through humanity’s global circuits of movement, the use of any antimicrobial drug has potentially global consequences. As human-induced AMR occurs, mortality and morbidity increase due to increasingly or sometimes completely ineffective antimicrobial treatments. This article considers AMR as a product of the evolving and complex interplay between human societies and invisible microbial worlds. It argues that as a political challenge, AMR requires robust institutions that can manage human–microbial interactions to minimize the emergence of drug resistance and maximize the likelihood of achieving effective antimicrobial use for all. Yet, current governance systems for AMR are ill-equipped to meet these goals. We propose a conceptual paradigm shift for global AMR governance efforts, arguing that global governance could better address AMR if approached as a socioecological problem in need of sustainable management rather than solely as a medical problem to be solved. In biodiversity governance, institutions are designed to fit the biological features of the ecosystems that they are attempting to manage. We consider how a similar approach can improve global AMR governance. Employing the concept of ecological fit, which is defined as the alignment between human social systems and biological ecosystems, we diagnose 18 discrepancies between the social institutions that currently govern AMR and the ecological nature of this problem. Drawing from lessons learned in biodiversity governance, the article proposes five institutional design principles for improving the fit and effectiveness of global AMR governance.
抗菌药耐药性(AMR)是一个自然过程,在这个过程中,微生物发展出在我们赖以治疗和预防致命感染的抗菌药(如抗生素)中生存的能力。人类活动进一步推动了这种微观进化,每次使用抗菌药物都有可能诱发 AMR。由于微生物可以迅速从动物传播到人类,并通过人类的全球移动线路在世界各地传播,因此任何抗菌药物的使用都可能产生全球性后果。随着人类引起的 AMR 的发生,死亡率和发病率也会增加,原因是抗菌治疗越来越无效,有时甚至完全无效。本文认为,AMR 是人类社会与无形微生物世界之间不断发展的复杂相互作用的产物。文章认为,作为一项政治挑战,AMR 需要强有力的机构来管理人类与微生物之间的相互作用,以最大限度地减少耐药性的出现,并最大限度地提高所有人有效使用抗微生物药物的可能性。然而,当前的 AMR 治理体系并不具备实现这些目标的条件。我们为全球 AMR 治理工作提出了一个概念范式转变,认为如果将 AMR 作为一个需要可持续管理的社会生态问题来处理,而不是仅仅作为一个需要解决的医学问题来处理,全球治理就能更好地应对 AMR。在生物多样性治理中,机构的设计要符合其试图管理的生态系统的生物特征。我们考虑如何采用类似的方法来改善全球 AMR 治理。生态契合的概念被定义为人类社会系统与生物生态系统之间的契合,我们利用这一概念诊断了目前治理 AMR 的社会机构与这一问题的生态性质之间的 18 项差异。文章借鉴生物多样性治理的经验教训,提出了五项制度设计原则,以提高全球 AMR 治理的契合度和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Lawyers as Lobbyists: Regulatory Advocacy in American Finance 作为游说者的律师:美国金融业的监管宣传
Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002943
Brian Libgober, Daniel Carpenter
Administrative agencies have undertaken an increasingly substantial role in policymaking. Yet the influence-seeking that targets these agencies remains poorly understood. Reporting exceptions under the Lobbying Disclosure Act allow many of the most powerful advocates to characterize their activity as lawyering, not lobbying, and thereby fly under the radar. Using agency-generated records on lobbying activity, financial reporting, and personnel databases specific to lawyers, as well as LinkedIn, we describe a vast subterranean world of regulatory influence-seeking that the social-science literature has (mostly) ignored. Regulatory lobbying is systematically different from legislative lobbying. It involves different kinds of people and different lobbying firms that bring specific forms of expertise and distinct networks. Our key findings about how regulatory lobbying differs include the following: (1) the regulatory lobbying sector is highly segregated from the reported lobbying sector, with many regulatory advocates failing to consistently register or report earnings commensurate with their activity level, (2) the number of unregistered regulatory advocates working on the implementation of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act plausibly exceeds 150% of the registered lobbyists working on that law, (3) the most effective regulatory lobbyists and law firms involved with regulatory lobbying have incomes that dramatically outpace leading reported lobbying firms (which are also mostly law firms), and (4) back-of-the-envelope calculations and more sophisticated decomposition regressions imply that aggregate expenditure on lawyer-lobbying is several multiples of reported lobbying spending. We introduce the case of a particular lawyer-lobbyist and provide a theoretical discussion to situate and contextualize these findings. Collectively, this work opens a window into neglected domains of politics and reveals an important and understudied form of political inequality.
行政机构在决策中发挥着越来越重要的作用。然而,人们对以这些机构为目标的影响力寻求活动仍然知之甚少。游说披露法案》规定的报告例外允许许多最有权势的倡导者将他们的活动描述为律师活动,而非游说活动,从而瞒天过海。利用机构生成的游说活动记录、财务报告、律师专用的人事数据库以及 LinkedIn,我们描述了一个巨大的寻求监管影响力的地下世界,而社会科学文献(大多)忽略了这一点。监管游说与立法游说有着系统性的不同。它涉及不同类型的人和不同的游说公司,这些公司带来了特定形式的专业知识和独特的网络。关于法规游说的不同之处,我们的主要发现包括以下几点:(1) 监管游说部门与报告游说部门高度分离,许多监管游说者未能持续登记或报告与其活动水平相称的收入,(2) 在《多德-弗兰克华尔街改革法案》实施过程中,未登记的监管游说者人数可能超过在该法案中登记的游说者人数的 150%、(3) 最有效的监管游说者和参与监管游说的律师事务所的收入大大超过了主要的报告游说公司(主要也是律师事务所),以及 (4) 根据事后计算和更复杂的分解回归,律师游说的总支出是报告游说支出的数倍。我们介绍了一个特殊的律师-游说者案例,并进行了理论探讨,以确定这些发现的位置和背景。总之,这项研究为我们打开了一扇通往被忽视的政治领域的窗户,揭示了一种重要的、未被充分研究的政治不平等形式。
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引用次数: 0
Litigating Policy Drift: Frozen Categories and Thresholds in Court 政策漂移诉讼:法庭上被冻结的类别和门槛
Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1017/s153759272300292x
Ursula Hackett
The combination of rigid policy rules with shifting political, economic, and social environments can produce drift: policy change without formal modification. We know much about the political origins and consequences of drift but little about the legal battles that accelerate or impede it. I identify two distinct forms of policy rigidity that generate drift: interval freezing and categorical freezing. Drawing from recent and historical cases encompassing voting rights, racial discrimination, religious conscience protections, and other hot-button issues, I argue that drifting policies possess several sources of legal resilience: injuries are difficult to identify; judges can be persuaded of the merits of restraint, textual formalism, and bright-line rules; and policy makers plausibly deny any intentional action in pursuit of controversial outcomes. Drift is not an automatic and unremarkable process of continual policy change but rather the outcome of high-stakes political and legal contestation over how rigid policy thresholds and categories should be adapted to meet shifting conditions.
僵化的政策规则与不断变化的政治、经济和社会环境相结合,就会产生漂移:政策在没有正式修改的情况下发生变化。我们对漂移的政治起源和后果了解甚多,但对加速或阻碍漂移的法律斗争却知之甚少。我指出了产生漂移的两种不同形式的政策僵化:间隔冻结和分类冻结。根据近期和历史上涉及投票权、种族歧视、宗教良心保护和其他热点问题的案例,我认为漂移政策具有几种法律弹性来源:伤害难以确定;法官可以被说服,相信克制、文本形式主义和明线规则的优点;政策制定者可以貌似有理地否认任何追求有争议结果的蓄意行为。漂移并不是政策不断变化的一个自动的、不引人注目的过程,而是政治和法律在如何调整僵化的政策门槛和类别以适应不断变化的条件方面进行激烈争论的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Censoring the Intellectual Public Space in China: What Topics Are Not Allowed and Who Gets Blacklisted? 审查中国的知识公共空间:哪些话题不被允许,谁会被列入黑名单?
Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002815
Xiaojun Yan, La Li
Censorship is one of the main forms of political coercion deployed by modern states to control and regulate public expression. In this article, we examine the political censorship of China’s intellectual public space, which has long been underexplored. We apply unsupervised machine learning to examine the database of a leading intellectual portal website, which serves as an archive of both published and censored intellectual writings between 2000 and 2020 and includes over 740 million Chinese characters. We identify a strategic censorship mechanism that consists of thematic and persona censorship elements. Thematic censorship involves the state filtering out writing that competes with the official policy narrative, historiography, and values. Persona censorship involves the complete muting of individual intellectuals who have previously made derogatory attacks on the supreme leaders of the Communist Party, which represents a symbolic act of open defiance.
审查是现代国家控制和规范公众表达的主要政治强制形式之一。在本文中,我们研究了中国知识分子公共空间的政治审查问题,而这一问题长期以来一直未得到充分探索。我们运用无监督机器学习来研究一个领先的知识分子门户网站的数据库,该数据库是 2000 年至 2020 年间已发表和被审查的知识分子著作的档案库,包含超过 7.4 亿个汉字。我们发现了一种战略审查机制,该机制由主题审查和人物审查两部分组成。主题审查涉及国家过滤与官方政策叙事、历史学和价值观相冲突的文章。人格审查是指对曾经对共产党最高领导人进行过贬损性攻击的知识分子进行全面封杀,这代表着一种公开反抗的象征性行为。
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引用次数: 0
“The Pandemic Was a Global Exam, and Our Country Came in First”: Autocratic Performance Legitimacy in Saudi Arabia "大流行病是一场全球考试,而我们的国家名列第一":沙特阿拉伯专制政绩的合法性
Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002876
Bruno Schmidt-Feuerheerd
Existing scholarship establishes that authoritarian regimes make claims about their legitimacy yet does not tell us what makes these claims effective. This article argues that authoritarian legitimation is more effective when coproduced by the government, media, and progovernment supporters, rather than just being centrally disseminated talking points. This article uses the effective handling of the COVID-19 pandemic by the Saudi government to demonstrate how this narration translated trust in state capacity into performance legitimacy of the Saudi regime and system of governance. Saudi media figures and progovernment supporters expanded basic government talking points for audiences and discussed successful policies in relation to countries with higher international status (chiefly in the West) and higher state capacity (such as China). This article evaluates statements by the government, original media sources, and more than 90 interviews with Saudi nationalists, intellectuals, and entrepreneurs, while speaking to the relational character of performance legitimation beyond Saudi Arabia.
现有的学术研究表明,专制政权会对其合法性进行宣扬,但却没有告诉我们是什么让这些宣扬变得有效。本文认为,当政府、媒体和亲政府支持者共同制作时,专制合法性声明会更加有效,而不仅仅是集中传播的谈话要点。本文通过沙特政府对 COVID-19 大流行病的有效处理来说明这种说法如何将对国家能力的信任转化为沙特政权和治理体系的绩效合法性。沙特媒体人士和亲政府支持者为受众扩展了政府的基本论点,并结合国际地位较高(主要是西方国家)和国家能力较强(如中国)的国家讨论了成功的政策。本文对沙特政府的声明、原始媒体资料以及对沙特民族主义者、知识分子和企业家的 90 多次采访进行了评估,同时论述了沙特以外的政绩合法化的关系特征。
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引用次数: 0
Local Norms, Political Partisanship, and Pandemic Response: Evidence from the United States 地方规范、政治党派和大流行病应对:来自美国的证据
Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002864
K. Lipsitz, Grigore Pop-Eleches, Graeme B. Robertson
A growing literature focuses on the role of political partisanship in shaping attitudes and behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. We provide a different perspective, by developing a theory of how partisanship interacts with another important factor that shapes how people think and behave in the context of the pandemic—local norms. Using a combination of survey data and a survey experiment, we demonstrate the importance of norms in shaping both support for social distancing and reported social-distancing behavior, particularly amongst independents and Republicans. We then confirm that perceptions of norms are indeed tied to what is actually happening around people—that their partisanship does not blind them to reality. Our analysis is the first to examine how partisanship and norms interact with each other and helps to explain why partisan differences matter more in some places than in others.
越来越多的文献关注政治党派在美国 COVID-19 大流行期间对人们态度和行为的影响。我们提供了一个不同的视角,提出了党派主义如何与另一个影响人们在大流行病背景下的思维和行为的重要因素--地方规范--相互作用的理论。通过调查数据和调查实验相结合的方法,我们证明了规范在形成对社会疏远的支持和报告的社会疏远行为方面的重要性,尤其是在无党派人士和共和党人中间。然后,我们证实了人们对规范的认知确实与周围实际发生的事情息息相关--他们的党派立场并没有蒙蔽他们的双眼。我们的分析首次研究了党派和规范如何相互作用,并有助于解释为什么党派差异在某些地方比在其他地方更重要。
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引用次数: 0
The Emergence of Right-Wing Partisanship in Poland, 1993–2018: Reconciling Demand-Side Explanations of the Success of Illiberalism 波兰右翼党派的兴起,1993-2018 年:调和对非自由主义成功的需求方解释
Pub Date : 2023-11-20 DOI: 10.1017/s153759272300275x
Marcin Ślarzyński
Scholars studying the electoral breakthroughs of right-wing illiberalism have arrived at two general conclusions: while they largely rejected the hypothesis that this phenomenon is grounded in voters’ attitudinal shift, they have shown that those voting for the illiberal Right have distinguishing socio-economic and attitudinal characteristics. My analysis reconciles these two sets of findings by documenting the gradual emergence and transformation of the right-wing electorate in Poland in the period 1993–2018 and points to the consolidation of a right-wing partisanship as an organizing factor of the “illiberal moment.” Using the POLPAN panel dataset I find that populist and authoritarian attitudes indeed emerge in Poland in the twenty-first century to distinguish those supporting the Right more and more centered around the PiS party. These attitudes, however, have been incorporated in the context of partisan rivalry—right-wing voters, for example, are more supportive of limiting democratic procedures but only when the Right is in power. In the first decade of the twenty-first century PiS also politicized the lack of partisan consensus on the expansion of the welfare state. PiS incorporated this demand in its stance legitimizing the expansion of the welfare state through what was available in its ideological repertoire: national solidarity, national victimhood, and the idea of a sovereign nation-state joined under the umbrella of Catholic symbolism. This post-consensus polarization and asymmetrical political radicalization resembles the “illiberal moment” in Western Europe that followed the convergence between center-left and center-right parties but they lack a crystallized class-based political identity and social-democratic understanding of political economy to build on.
研究右翼非自由主义在选举中的突破的学者们得出了两个一般性结论:他们在很大程度上否定了这一现象源于选民态度转变的假设,但同时也表明,投票支持非自由右翼的选民具有显著的社会经济和态度特征。我的分析调和了这两组研究结果,记录了 1993-2018 年间波兰右翼选民的逐步出现和转变,并指出右翼党派的巩固是 "非自由时刻 "的组织因素。通过使用 POLPAN 面板数据集,我发现民粹主义和威权主义态度确实在二十一世纪的波兰出现,以区分那些越来越以波兰社会党为中心的右翼支持者。然而,这些态度已被纳入党派竞争的背景中--例如,右翼选民更支持限制民主程序,但只有在右翼执政时才会这样。在 21 世纪的头十年,PiS 还将党派在扩大福利国家方面缺乏共识的问题政治化。PiS 将这一要求纳入其立场中,通过其意识形态剧目中可用的内容:民族团结、民族受害者身份以及在天主教象征主义保护伞下的主权民族国家理念,将福利国家的扩张合法化。这种共识后的两极分化和不对称的政治激进化类似于西欧的 "非自由时刻",即中左翼和中右翼政党趋同后的 "非自由时刻",但他们缺乏基于阶级的政治认同和社会民主主义对政治经济的理解。
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Perspectives on Politics
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