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Estimating Disenfranchisement in US Elections, 1870–1970 估算 1870-1970 年美国选举中的剥夺选举权情况
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000859
Thomas R. Gray, Jeffery A. Jenkins
While it is commonly understood that the poll tax and literacy tests, among other measures, were used effectively in the South to disenfranchise Black voters from the late nineteenth through the mid-twentieth century, what is not well known is how much those disenfranchising laws mattered. Specifically, how much did the enactment of poll taxes or literacy tests affect turnout in federal and state elections? And how much did those disenfranchising provisions dampen vote totals for Republican candidates in the South? Using the staggered implementation and removal of several disenfranchising policies over a 101-year period, we answer these questions and provide some precision to our collective knowledge of the “disenfranchising era” in American electoral politics. Overall, we find that the poll tax was the main driver of disenfranchisement in Southern elections, with literacy tests and the Australian ballot providing some secondary effects. We also find that ex-felon disenfranchisement laws were considerably more important—both in reducing turnout as well as Republican vote share in Southern elections—than has been traditionally understood. Finally, we unpack the “South” and unsurprisingly find that racial politics drove these results: the disenfranchising institutions were more impactful in states with a larger Black population share. Our results show the powerful effects of disenfranchising policies on electorates and electoral outcomes. We discuss these results in both their historical context as well as with a mind to the continuing use of disenfranchising provisions in law today.
众所周知,从十九世纪末到二十世纪中叶,人头税和识字测验等措施在南方被有效地用于剥夺黑人选民的选举权,但不为人知的是,这些剥夺选举权的法律有多重要。具体而言,人头税或识字测试的颁布对联邦和州选举的投票率有多大影响?这些剥夺选举权的规定对南方共和党候选人的得票率有多大影响?我们利用 101 年间交错实施和取消的几项剥夺公民权政策,回答了这些问题,并为我们对美国选举政治中 "剥夺公民权时代 "的集体认识提供了一些准确的信息。总体而言,我们发现人头税是南方选举中剥夺选举权的主要驱动因素,而识字测试和澳大利亚选票则产生了一些次要影响。我们还发现,在减少投票率以及共和党在南方选举中的得票率方面,前重刑犯被剥夺选举权的法律要比人们传统理解的重要得多。最后,我们解读了 "南方",毫不意外地发现种族政治推动了这些结果:在黑人人口比例较大的州,剥夺选举权制度的影响更大。我们的研究结果显示了剥夺选举权政策对选民和选举结果的强大影响。我们在讨论这些结果时,既要结合历史背景,也要考虑到当今法律中仍在使用的剥夺选举权条款。
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引用次数: 0
From Openness to Inclusion: Toward a Democratic Approach to Migration Policy 从开放到包容:以民主方式制定移民政策
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1017/s153759272400001x
Nathan Pippenger
Many theorists argue that justice in international migration requires states to maximize the openness of their borders, even when that can only be done by denying full political membership to some migrants. In contrast, this article contends that democratic ideals recommend inclusion as the guiding principle of migration policy, since full membership for all the state’s residents is the only way to preserve democratic self-rule, whereas the justice- and freedom-related goals associated with openness can be promoted via other means. I define full inclusion as involving not only formal rights, but also solidarity. Against accounts that define solidarity in terms of shared identity (i.e., a specific commonality), I argue that democratic solidarity requires intersubjective “identification” among members of the demos, oriented toward their shared future. This account suggests how migration policy might advance the practical goal of more open borders, along with other moral goals associated with calls for greater openness, without sacrificing important democratic ideals.
许多理论家认为,国际移民的公正性要求国家最大限度地开放边界,即使只有通过剥夺某些移民的正式政治成员资格才能做到这一点。与此相反,本文认为,民主理想建议将包容作为移民政策的指导原则,因为所有国家居民的正式成员资格是维护民主自治的唯一途径,而与开放性相关的正义和自由目标则可以通过其他途径来促进。我将完全包容定义为不仅涉及正式权利,还涉及团结。与从共同身份(即特定的共性)角度定义团结的观点不同,我认为民主团结需要民主群体成员之间的主体间 "认同",面向共同的未来。这一观点提出了移民政策如何在不牺牲重要的民主理想的前提下,推进边境更加开放的实际目标,以及与呼吁更加开放相关的其他道德目标。
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引用次数: 0
Varieties of Indoctrination: The Politicization of Education and the Media around the World 灌输的多样性:世界各地教育和媒体的政治化
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002967
Anja Neundorf, Eugenia Nazrullaeva, Ksenia Northmore-Ball, Katerina Tertytchnaya, Wooseok Kim
For many decades, scholars assumed voluntary compliance and citizens’ commitment to a regime’s principles and values to be critical for regime stability. A growing literature argues that indoctrination is essential to achieve this congruence. However, the absence of a clear definition and comprehensive comparative measures of indoctrination have hindered systematic research on such issues. In this paper, we fill this gap by synthesizing literature across disciplines to clarify the concept of indoctrination, focusing particularly on the politicization of education and the media. We then outline how the abstract concept can be operationalized, and introduce and validate an original expert-coded dataset on indoctrination that covers 160 countries from 1945 to the present. The dataset should facilitate a new generation of empirical inquiry on the causes and consequences of indoctrination.
几十年来,学者们一直认为,自愿遵守和公民对政权原则和价值观的承诺是政权稳定的关键。越来越多的文献认为,灌输对于实现这种一致性至关重要。然而,由于缺乏对灌输的明确定义和全面的比较措施,阻碍了对此类问题的系统研究。在本文中,我们通过综合各学科的文献来澄清灌输的概念,特别是侧重于教育和媒体的政治化,从而填补了这一空白。然后,我们概述了如何将这一抽象概念可操作化,并介绍和验证了关于灌输的原创专家编码数据集,该数据集涵盖 1945 年至今的 160 个国家。该数据集将有助于对灌输的原因和后果进行新一代的实证研究。
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引用次数: 0
Varieties of State-Building: Ecology, Clientelism, and Bureaucratic Rule in Chile 国家建设的多样性:智利的生态、裙带关系和官僚统治
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000033
Maximiliano Véjares
Current research suggests that all states share a perpetual appetite for extraction and standardization. However, this research overlooks the fact that subnational regions present different appeals and challenges to ruling coalitions. While states seek to extend bureaucratic rule over peripheries with valuable assets and favorable geography, they might instead seek to preserve local patrimonial bastions when those areas offer substantial electoral support. In turn, these strategies lead to broad subnational heterogeneity in the reach of the state. This paper focuses on regions’ ecological, military, and clientelistic features to explain local trajectories of bureaucratic rule and country-level state capacity. Empirically, I examine Chile, a successful case of capacity-building in Latin America. Prompted by a fiscal crisis in the mid-1850s, Chile’s central government launched state-building projects to offset its budgetary deficit. Using GIS and original data from censuses, budgets, and other primary sources, I show that Chile’s ruling coalition paradoxically modernized the country’s peripheries while deepening its own traditionalism. These results challenge prevailing narratives about the projection of political authority and Chile’s territorial uniformity.
目前的研究表明,所有国家都对榨取和标准化抱有永久的渴望。然而,这种研究忽略了一个事实,即国家以下地区对统治联盟有着不同的吸引力和挑战。虽然国家寻求将官僚统治扩展到拥有宝贵资产和有利地理条件的周边地区,但当这些地区提供大量选举支持时,国家可能会转而寻求维护当地的世袭堡垒。反过来,这些战略又会导致国家在次国家范围内的广泛异质性。本文重点研究了地区的生态、军事和裙带关系特征,以解释官僚统治的地方轨迹和国家层面的国家能力。智利是拉丁美洲能力建设的一个成功案例。在十九世纪五十年代中期财政危机的推动下,智利中央政府启动了国家建设项目,以弥补预算赤字。通过使用地理信息系统以及人口普查、预算和其他原始资料中的原始数据,我发现智利的执政联盟在深化本国传统主义的同时,自相矛盾地实现了国家周边地区的现代化。这些结果挑战了关于政治权威投射和智利领土统一性的普遍说法。
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引用次数: 0
Structure, Agency, and Structural Reform: The Case of the European Central Bank 结构、代理和结构改革:欧洲中央银行案例
Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002992
Benjamin Braun, Donato Di Carlo, Sebastian Diessner, Maximilian Düsterhöft
Monetary and financial integration has been shown to increase the pressure on states to liberalize social and labor market policies. If structures do not come with instruction sheets, how do monetary regime pressures translate into policy? Through a case study of the euro area, we show that central banks play an underappreciated role in this process. Using mixed methods to analyze a large amount of data, including the complete corpus of speeches, we trace the evolution of the European Central Bank’s advocacy for structural reforms between 1999 and 2019. To explain the ECB’s activism in a policy area beyond its mandate, we theorize the ECB as navigating a dilemma between governability and legitimacy. Handed a monetary regime under which flexible labor markets were seen as a condition for governability, the ECB saw no alternative but to push governments toward structural reforms, despite the reputational risks. The ECB ended its advocacy when increasing political backlash coincided with a structural regime shift from an inflationary to a deflationary environment.
事实证明,货币和金融一体化会加大各国放宽社会和劳动力市场政策的压力。如果结构不附带说明书,那么货币制度的压力如何转化为政策?通过对欧元区的案例研究,我们发现中央银行在这一过程中发挥了未被充分重视的作用。我们采用混合方法分析了大量数据,包括完整的演讲语料库,追溯了欧洲中央银行在 1999 年至 2019 年期间倡导结构性改革的演变过程。为了解释欧洲央行在其授权范围之外的政策领域的积极性,我们将欧洲央行理论化为在可治理性与合法性之间的两难选择。在灵活的劳动力市场被视为可治理性条件的货币体制下,欧洲央行认为别无选择,只能推动政府进行结构性改革,尽管存在声誉风险。当政治反弹日益加剧,而结构性体制又从通胀环境转向通缩环境时,欧洲央行结束了其倡导工作。
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引用次数: 0
Breaking Ground: From Extraction Booms to Mining Bans in Latin America. By Rose J. Spalding. New York: Oxford University Press, 2023. 328p. $83.00 cloth. 破土动工:拉丁美洲从开采热潮到采矿禁令》。作者:Rose J. Spalding。纽约:牛津大学出版社,2023 年。328p.83.00 美元布版。
Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000094
Maiah Jaskoski
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引用次数: 0
The Government of Chance: Sortition and Democracy from Athens to the Present. By Yves Sintomer. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2023. 314p. $110.00 cloth. 机会政府:雅典至今的排序与民主》。伊夫-辛托姆(Yves Sintomer)著。剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2023 年。314p.110.00 美元布版。
Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000276
James Fishkin
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引用次数: 1
The Classical and Christian Origins of American Politics: Political Theology, Natural Law, and the American Founding. By Kody W. Cooper and Justin Buckley Dyer. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2022. 225p. $99.99 cloth, $34.99 paper. 美国政治的古典与基督教起源:政治神学、自然法和美国建国。作者:科迪-W-库珀(Kody W. Cooper)和贾斯汀-巴克利-戴尔(Justin Buckley Dyer)。纽约:剑桥大学出版社,2022 年。225p.布版 99.99 美元,纸版 34.99 美元。
Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000136
Vincent Phillip Muñoz
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引用次数: 0
Voter Backlash and Elite Misperception: The Logic of Violence in Electoral Competition. By Steven C. Rosenzweig. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2023. 200p. $110.00 cloth. 选民反弹与精英误解:选举竞争中的暴力逻辑》。作者:史蒂文-C.Rosenzweig.剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2023 年。200p.110.00 美元布版。
Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000070
James D. Long
{"title":"Voter Backlash and Elite Misperception: The Logic of Violence in Electoral Competition. By Steven C. Rosenzweig. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2023. 200p. $110.00 cloth.","authors":"James D. Long","doi":"10.1017/s1537592724000070","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1537592724000070","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":508086,"journal":{"name":"Perspectives on Politics","volume":"85 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140251658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
States and Nature: The Effects of Climate Change on Security. By Joshua W. Busby. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2022. 334p. $99.99 cloth, $34.99 paper. 国家与自然:气候变化对安全的影响》。约书亚-W-巴斯比著。剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2022 年。334p.布版 99.99 美元,纸版 34.99 美元。
Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000343
Rita Floyd
{"title":"States and Nature: The Effects of Climate Change on Security. By Joshua W. Busby. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2022. 334p. $99.99 cloth, $34.99 paper.","authors":"Rita Floyd","doi":"10.1017/s1537592724000343","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1537592724000343","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":508086,"journal":{"name":"Perspectives on Politics","volume":"67 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140251973","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Perspectives on Politics
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