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Assessing long-term conservation impacts on adaptive capacity in a flagship community-based natural resources management area in Botswana 评估博茨瓦纳旗舰社区自然资源管理区对适应能力的长期保护影响
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14487-280412
Lin Cassidy, Narcisa Pricope, Forrest Stevens, Jonathan Salerno, David Parry, Michael Murray-Hudson, Joel Hartter, Andrea Gaughan
Over the past three decades community-based natural resources management (CBNRM) has sought to address the concurrent needs of economic development and ecological protection at the local level, but there is often strong divergence between development and conservation interests and successes. In particular, CBNRM has not always led to expected socioeconomic outcomes, while information of its impact on human well-being at household level is sparse. In Botswana, most communities do not disburse benefits from CBNRM ventures to households. This leads to an inherent scale mismatch that arises because the costs of living with wildlife are felt at the household level, while the benefits are paid out at the community or village level. We use longitudinal data from two household surveys conducted 22 years apart to assess if benefits from the Botswana model of CBNRM have increased household-level adaptive capacity for those living with wildlife. We take a livelihoods capital approach to develop indicators of adaptive capacity and measure how livelihood diversity, inequality, and adaptive capacity have changed in five communities in northern Botswana between 1995 and 2017. Our analyses confirm the findings of qualitative reviews and suggest that CBNRM is under-performing in its contribution to improved household-level adaptive capacity. CBNRM cannot be said to benefit communities if the majority of community members do not experience increased well-being. We therefore recommend restructuring the governance models of CBNRM and other community conservation approaches to ensure that benefits are more directly targeted to actively participating households.
在过去的30年里,基于社区的自然资源管理(CBNRM)试图在地方层面解决经济发展和生态保护的同步需求,但在发展和保护利益与成功之间往往存在很大的分歧。特别是,CBNRM并不总是产生预期的社会经济结果,而其对家庭层面人类福祉影响的信息很少。在博茨瓦纳,大多数社区不会将CBNRM项目的收益发放给家庭。这导致了固有的规模不匹配,因为与野生动物一起生活的成本是在家庭层面上感受到的,而利益是在社区或村庄层面上支付的。我们使用相隔22年的两次家庭调查的纵向数据来评估博茨瓦纳CBNRM模式的收益是否提高了与野生动物一起生活的家庭的适应能力。我们采用生计资本方法制定适应能力指标,并衡量1995年至2017年间博茨瓦纳北部五个社区的生计多样性、不平等和适应能力的变化情况。我们的分析证实了定性评价的结果,并表明CBNRM在改善家庭层面适应能力方面的贡献表现不佳。如果大多数社区成员没有体验到幸福感的增加,CBNRM就不能说对社区有益。因此,我们建议重组CBNRM和其他社区保护方法的治理模式,以确保利益更直接地针对积极参与的家庭。
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引用次数: 0
Shaping garden landscape with medicinal plants by migrant communities in the Atlantic Forest, Argentina 阿根廷大西洋森林的移民社区用药用植物塑造花园景观
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14633-280414
Monika Kujawska, N. David Jiménez-Escobar
Migrants’ home gardens may be created from elements of both old and new landscapes. We assume that medicinal plant assemblages in migrants’ gardens are shaped by plant diversity and availability, therapeutic needs, and heritagization processes. Which of the factors prevail: those related to biodiversity and ecology, epidemiology, or heritage and memory? In this paper we offer new knowledge on the garden landscapes of the Global South. The research was conducted in the Atlantic Forest in Argentina. We surveyed 120 home gardens: 60 of transborder Paraguayan migrants, and 60 of transcontinental Europeans who arrived in Misiones, Argentina before WW2 and their descendants. We compared the richness, composition, medicinal uses, and the relationships of garden plants (via plant networks) between these groups, taking into account everyday scales and the transnational scale. Paraguayans cultivated and protected 137 species, predominantly native, and people of European origin 119 spp., native and exotic in similar proportions. The similarity in plant composition (68%) and the consensus in the medicinal use of plants (62%) were high between the migrant groups. Plant network analysis revealed many overlaps in assemblages of plants, but certain particularities of each group remained because of cultural expressions and therapeutic needs. This high level of similarity suggests that plant diversity, both native and allochthonous, shared concepts of illness, and the flux of knowledge between these groups was more significant than heritagization practices in shaping home gardens’ medicinal plant assemblages. People of Paraguayan and European origins do not make an active effort to convert their home gardens into heritage. Medicinal plants are connected to the lived emplacement—intimate daily practices—rather than to ethnic identity strategies. Nevertheless, the plant assemblages in gardens have been shaped by ecology, colonial legacy, nostalgia, and transfer of knowledge; therefore migrants’ home gardens can be considered heritage in a broad sense.
移民的家庭花园可以从新旧景观的元素中创造出来。我们假设移民花园中的药用植物组合受到植物多样性和可用性、治疗需求和遗传过程的影响。哪个因素占上风:与生物多样性和生态有关的因素,与流行病学有关的因素,还是与遗产和记忆有关的因素?在本文中,我们提供了关于全球南方园林景观的新知识。这项研究是在阿根廷的大西洋森林进行的。我们调查了120个家庭花园:60个是巴拉圭越境移民,60个是二战前抵达阿根廷米西奥内斯的跨大陆欧洲人及其后代。考虑到日常尺度和跨国尺度,我们比较了这些群体之间园林植物的丰富程度、组成、药用用途和关系(通过植物网络)。巴拉圭人培育和保护了137种植物,主要是本地植物,欧洲人培育和保护了119种,本地和外来的比例相似。移民群体在植物成分上的相似性(68%)和药用上的一致性(62%)很高。植物网络分析揭示了植物组合中的许多重叠,但由于文化表达和治疗需求,每个群体的某些特殊性仍然存在。这种高度的相似性表明,植物多样性,无论是本地的还是外来的,都有共同的疾病概念,这些群体之间的知识流动在塑造家庭花园药用植物组合方面比遗产化实践更重要。巴拉圭和欧洲血统的人没有积极努力把他们的家庭花园变成遗产。药用植物与生活场所——亲密的日常实践——有关,而不是与种族认同策略有关。然而,花园中的植物组合受到生态、殖民遗产、怀旧和知识转移的影响;因此,移民的家庭花园可以被认为是广义上的遗产。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding stakeholder perceptions of environmental justice: a study of tourism in the Erhai Lake basin, Yunnan province, China 理解利益相关者对环境正义的看法:基于云南洱海流域旅游业的研究
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14424-280401
Li Peng, Linsi He, Mengting Shen, Min Zhao, Christopher Armatas
Environmental justice is an important component of sustainable tourism, but stakeholder perspectives related to environmental justice may vary. Using Q-methodology, we investigated different stakeholder perceptions related to environmental justice within the context of tourism and ecological restoration. Specifically, in the Erhai Lake basin, China, we explore perspectives around an ecological restoration effort that included the government mandated closure of 1900 establishments (inns and restaurants) in response to environmental degradation. We identify and explore four environmental justice perspectives: the togetherness, protection, operator loss, and local loss perspectives. These four perspectives are contextualized within three dimensions of environmental justice (i.e., distribution, recognition, and participation). Our findings highlight differing views related to who is affected most by the inn closures (e.g., future generations, local residents, inn owners), and general consensus related to the outcomes of the process being more important than the process itself. Finally, we discuss potential reasons for these differing perspectives and recommend ways to improve environmental justice among different stakeholders. This research can facilitate sustainable development of tourism by highlighting the facets of ecological restoration policy implementation most important to stakeholders, including recognition of diverse stakeholder concerns and identities, clear and well supported rationale for policy design, and increased equity in the distribution of costs and benefits of policies.
环境正义是可持续旅游的重要组成部分,但利益相关者对环境正义的看法可能有所不同。使用q -方法论,我们调查了旅游和生态恢复背景下不同利益相关者对环境正义的看法。具体而言,在中国洱海流域,我们探讨了围绕生态恢复工作的观点,其中包括政府下令关闭1900家机构(旅馆和餐馆)以应对环境恶化。我们确定并探讨了四种环境正义的观点:团结、保护、经营者损失和当地损失的观点。这四种观点在环境正义的三个维度(即分配、承认和参与)中被语境化。我们的研究结果突出了关于谁受酒店关闭影响最大的不同观点(例如,后代,当地居民,酒店所有者),以及与过程结果相关的普遍共识比过程本身更重要。最后,我们讨论了这些不同观点的潜在原因,并提出了在不同利益相关者之间改善环境正义的方法。本研究通过突出生态恢复政策实施对利益相关者最重要的方面,包括认识利益相关者的不同关注点和身份,明确和有充分支持的政策设计理由,以及增加政策成本和收益分配的公平性,从而促进旅游业的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Application of maximum entropy (MaxEnt) to understand the spatial dimension of human–wildlife conflict (HWC) risk in areas adjacent to Gonarezhou National Park of Zimbabwe 应用最大熵(MaxEnt)了解津巴布韦戈纳雷周国家公园周边地区人类与野生动物冲突风险的空间维度
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14420-280318
Mark Zvidzai, Knowledge Mawere, Rodney N'andu, Henry Ndaimani, Chenjerai Zanamwe, Fadzai Zengeya
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引用次数: 0
Transboundary flows in the metacoupled Anthropocene: typology, methods, and governance for global sustainability 元耦合人类世的跨界流动:类型学、方法和全球可持续性治理
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14351-280319
Yingjie Li, Nan Jia, Xiang Yu, Nicholas Manning, Xin Lan, Jianguo Liu
The world has become increasingly metacoupled through flows of materials, energy, people, capital, and information within and across systems. Transboundary flows, connecting adjacent and distant systems, are deemed the most critical indicators for measuring the intensity of interactions among coupled human-natural systems. To advance metacoupling flow research and governance, we make the first attempt to develop a typology of transboundary flows using six flow attributes (i.e., type, magnitude, direction, distance, time, and mode). Furthermore, we synthesize a portfolio of quantitative and practical methods for characterizing transboundary flows. To effectively govern transboundary flows for global sustainability and resilience, we highlight the need to recognize the shared risks and goals embedded in the interlinkages, use system thinking, and enhance multilateral cooperation.
通过系统内部和系统之间的材料、能源、人员、资本和信息流动,世界变得越来越耦合。连接相邻和遥远系统的跨界流动被认为是衡量耦合的人-自然系统之间相互作用强度的最关键指标。为了推进元耦合流动的研究和治理,我们首次尝试使用六个流动属性(即类型、大小、方向、距离、时间和模式)来开发跨界流动的类型学。此外,我们综合了一系列定量和实用的方法来表征跨境流动。为有效管理跨境流动,促进全球可持续性和复原力,我们强调有必要认识到相互联系中蕴含的共同风险和目标,运用系统思维,加强多边合作。
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引用次数: 0
A Chinese database on ecological thresholds and alternative stable states: implications for related research around the world 中国生态阈值与可选稳定状态数据库:对世界相关研究的启示
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14395-280316
Daikui Li, Ping He, Liping Hou
The concepts of ecological thresholds and alternative stable states were proposed to explain nonlinear changes. However, the greatest obstacle to advance these theories and their managerial applications is a lack of data and research experience. There are almost all types of ecosystems in China, and various ecological degradation and catastrophe events occurred at the end of the 20th century. Considerable monitoring data and research cases that focus on the ecological thresholds are published in Chinese, limiting their dissemination around the world. We integrate Chinese cases and data that refer to the framework of Threshold Database and Regime Shifts Database. We introduce the China Ecological Thresholds and Alternative Stable States Database (CETASSD), developed by the Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, which mainly collects research cases. The CETASSD uses a unified description framework to integrate key information from past 110 case studies from China. This paper summarizes relevant case studies with intrinsic consistency to ecological thresholds and alternative stable states in social-ecological systems. We collate and analyze 26 potential alternative stable states and 60 potential ecological thresholds in CETASSD, covering 14 types of ecosystems. We found several peculiarities of the Chinese case studies. First, more types of alternative stable states were identified in arid areas and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Second, critical thresholds research related to spatial gradient has received great attention. Third, methods of constructing highly generalized “stress-response” process lines are mainly used for threshold analysis. We suggest re-examining past research cases and methods with the latest theories of ecological thresholds and alternative stable states; strengthening research on the detection of threshold and mechanism establishment of certain ecosystems, such as the ocean in China; and further applying ecological thresholds to ecological assessment and early warning.
提出了生态阈值和可选稳定状态的概念来解释非线性变化。然而,推动这些理论及其管理应用的最大障碍是缺乏数据和研究经验。中国的生态系统类型几乎齐全,20世纪末发生了各种生态退化和灾变事件。大量关注生态阈值的监测数据和研究案例以中文发表,限制了它们在世界范围内的传播。我们参考阈值数据库和制度转移数据库的框架整合了中国的案例和数据。本文介绍了由中国环境科学研究院开发的主要收集研究案例的中国生态阈值与可选稳定状态数据库(CETASSD)。CETASSD使用统一的描述框架来整合来自中国过去110个案例研究的关键信息。本文总结了与社会生态系统的生态阈值和可选稳定状态具有内在一致性的相关案例研究。我们整理和分析了CETASSD的26个潜在替代稳定状态和60个潜在生态阈值,涵盖14种类型的生态系统。我们发现了中国案例研究的几个特点。首先,在干旱区和青藏高原发现了更多类型的交替稳定状态。二是与空间梯度相关的临界阈值研究备受关注。第三,构建高度广义的“应力响应”过程线的方法主要用于阈值分析。建议用最新的生态阈值理论和替代稳定状态理论重新审视过去的研究案例和方法;加强中国海洋等特定生态系统阈值检测和机制建立的研究;进一步将生态阈值应用于生态评价和预警。
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引用次数: 0
Lake Superior Manoomin cultural and ecosystem characterization study 苏必利尔湖马诺敏文化与生态系统特征研究
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-13763-280317
Heather Hosterman, Kaylene Ritter, Nancy Schuldt, Darren Vogt, Deanna Erickson, Olivia Griot, Erin Johnston, Karena Schmidt, Evelyn Ravindran, Roger LaBine, Eric Chapman, Sr., William Graveen, Deidre Peroff, Jimmy Taitano Camacho, Sarah Dance, Brandon Krumwiede, Heather Stirratt
Manoomin, wild rice, is integral to the culture, livelihood, and identity of the Anishinaabeg, the indigenous peoples of Canada and the United States that include the Odawa, Ojibwe, Potawatomi, and Algonquin peoples. In addition to the vital role Manoomin has in the lives of the Anishinaabeg, Manoomin is recognized as being ecologically important, feeding migrating and resident wildlife species, providing a nursery for fish and nesting and breeding habitats for many waterfowl and muskrat, and stabilizing shorelines. This study was initiated by a team of Lake Superior basin Anishinaabe communities and federal and state agencies to document and characterize (1) the importance of Manoomin habitat to Anishinaabe cultural perspectives and identity, community connections, spiritual practices, food sovereignty, and food security; and (2) the ecological importance of Manoomin habitat as an indicator of a high-quality, high-functioning, and biodiverse ecosystem. The team applied a set of cultural and ecological metrics to characterize seven case study sites around Lake Superior and used a habitat equivalency analysis to determine the amount of restoration needed to counterbalance the lost Manoomin habitat functionality. Results from this study highlight the difficulty in restoring the cultural and ecological functionality of degraded Manoomin habitat and the importance of preserving and protecting existing Manoomin habitat.
Manoomin,即野生稻,是阿尼什纳阿贝格人的文化、生计和身份认同中不可或缺的一部分。阿尼什纳阿贝格人是加拿大和美国的土著人民,包括奥达瓦人、奥吉布人、波塔瓦托米人和阿尔冈昆人。除了在Anishinaabeg的生活中发挥重要作用外,Manoomin还被认为具有重要的生态意义,为迁徙和居住的野生动物提供食物,为鱼类提供苗圃,为许多水禽和麝鼠提供筑巢和繁殖的栖息地,并稳定海岸线。本研究由苏必利尔湖流域Anishinaabe社区以及联邦和州机构的一个团队发起,旨在记录和描述(1)Manoomin栖息地对Anishinaabe文化视角和身份、社区联系、精神实践、粮食主权和粮食安全的重要性;(2) Manoomin生境作为高质量、高功能和生物多样性生态系统指标的生态重要性。该团队应用了一套文化和生态指标来描述苏必利尔湖周围七个案例研究地点的特征,并使用栖息地等效分析来确定平衡失去的Manoomin栖息地功能所需的恢复量。本研究结果强调了恢复退化的马诺明栖息地的文化和生态功能的困难以及保存和保护现有马诺明栖息地的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Mountains of inequality: encountering the politics of climate adaptation across the Himalaya 不平等之山:在喜马拉雅山脉遭遇气候适应政治
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14399-280406
Ritodhi Chakraborty, Costanza Rampini, Pasang Sherpa
There has been a widespread call for the development of transformative adaptation knowledge and strategies in the Himalayan region because of the intensifying onset of climate change impacts. But such transformative thinking is absent in much of Himalayan climate knowledge production, which builds on environmental deterministic and techno-managerial renditions of exceptional precarity; advocates for an increase in the scientific and expert driven projects on the ground; and remains rooted in the scalar realities of the nation-state. This paper contributes to the rich scholarship that counterbalances depoliticized renditions of climate change adaptation, by presenting “everyday stories of adaptation” that have emerged from the authors’ work alongside Himalayan communities. In this work we ask, who is the subject in Himalayan climate adaptation discourse and policies? And how can their stories help us envision an adaptation praxis, which challenges regional narratives of crisis and provides alternatives to climate reductionist thinking/planning, by foregrounding the intersectionality and plurality of communities and ecologies? The stories come from three parts of the Himalaya: Uttarakhand, Khumbu, and Assam, and highlight the daily labor for adaptation and its mercurial relationship with the labor for survival. We find that intertwined with changing climate-society relationships are, historical caste privileges and changing generational relationships to land; the complicated engagements between indigeneity, communal sovereignty, and exclusionary institutional mandates; and life with ethnoreligious othering in an aqueous and geopolitically fluid borderland. Together these stories witness the relational social-ecological worlds of regional inhabitants, challenging their powerless and pejorative depictions through climate reductive framings. We conclude with a set of objectives to enable more hopeful and just adaptation futures.
由于气候变化影响的加剧,人们普遍呼吁在喜马拉雅地区发展变革性适应知识和战略。但是,在喜马拉雅气候知识生产中,这种变革思维在很大程度上是缺失的,这种知识生产是建立在环境确定性和技术管理对异常不稳定的描述之上的;提倡增加科学和专家驱动的实地项目;并且仍然植根于民族国家的标量现实。这篇论文通过呈现作者在喜马拉雅社区工作中出现的“适应的日常故事”,为丰富的学术贡献了力量,抵消了气候变化适应的非政治化表述。在这项工作中,我们问,谁是喜马拉雅气候适应话语和政策的主体?他们的故事如何帮助我们设想一种适应实践,通过突出社区和生态的交叉性和多元性,挑战对危机的区域性叙述,并为气候还原主义思维/规划提供替代方案?这些故事来自喜马拉雅山脉的三个部分:北阿坎德邦、昆布和阿萨姆邦,突出了适应的日常劳动以及它与生存劳动的变化无常的关系。我们发现,与不断变化的气候-社会关系交织在一起的是,历史上的种姓特权和与土地的代际关系的变化;土著、社区主权和排他性机构授权之间的复杂关系;在一个含水和地缘政治不稳定的边境地区,与种族和宗教共处。这些故事共同见证了地区居民的关系社会生态世界,通过气候还原框架挑战了他们无能为力和轻蔑的描述。最后,我们提出了一系列目标,以实现更有希望和更公正的适应未来。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation-perception of site attributes and plant species selection in the public urban green space of a compact city 紧凑型城市公共绿地场地属性与植物物种选择的评价感知
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14222-280322
Caroline Law, L.C. Hui, C.Y. Jim
Understanding citizens’ evaluation of public urban green space (UGS) attributes and plant species features can inform greenspace design to meet public expectations. This study evaluated the public’s responses to UGS attributes and plant species in Hong Kong using a questionnaire survey of 827 adult respondents. Principal component analysis followed by cluster analysis were applied to analyze the data. The respondents were differentiated into three groups (ecological, eclectic, and pragmatic users) based on the evaluations of UGS attributes. Additionally, three clusters (conservation supporters, all-round perfectionists, and safety defenders) were classified based on evaluating plant species features. Plant knowledge and gender were the main factors associated with respondents’ evaluation profiles. Respondents with different expectations of UGS attributes harbored different evaluations of plant species features. The respondent groups agreed unanimously that similar plant species composition was deployed across UGS sites in Hong Kong. Respondents attaching importance to the conservation value of plant species (i.e., “conservation supporters”) were more concerned about plant species selection. The conservation supporters were dissatisfied with the current plant selection strategy. A zonation strategy for large UGS could cater to a broad range of user demands and create a socially-inclusive venue for residents. Alternatively, a collection of small UGS in a given district can cover a range of functions. The findings could inform a modified approach to UGS design and plant selection to satisfy the residents’ disparate expectations and needs.
了解市民对城市公共绿地(UGS)属性和植物物种特征的评价,可以为绿色空间设计提供信息,以满足公众的期望。本研究以827名成年人为对象,进行问卷调查,以评估市民对UGS属性和植物种类的反应。采用主成分分析和聚类分析对数据进行分析。根据对UGS属性的评价,将受访者分为三类(生态型、折衷型和实用型)。此外,通过对植物物种特征的评价,将保护支持者、全能完美主义者和安全捍卫者分为三类。植物知识和性别是影响被调查者评价概况的主要因素。被调查者对UGS属性的期望不同,对植物物种特征的评价也不同。回应团体一致同意,香港各普查地点均有类似的植物种类组成。重视植物物种保护价值的受访者(即“保护支持者”)更关注植物物种选择。保护支持者对目前的植物选择策略不满意。大型UGS的分区策略可以满足广泛的用户需求,并为居民创造一个具有社会包容性的场所。另一种选择是,在特定地区的小型UGS集合可以覆盖一系列功能。研究结果可以为UGS的设计和植物选择提供改进的方法,以满足居民不同的期望和需求。
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引用次数: 0
Trade-offs in adapting to changes in climate, land use, and water availability in California 加州在适应气候变化、土地利用和水资源供应方面的权衡
2区 社会学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5751/es-14261-280409
Nathan Van Schmidt, Tamara Wilson, Lorraine Flint, Ruth Langridge
Changes in land use and land cover, water systems, and climate are inextricably linked, and their combined stresses have had severe impacts in many regions worldwide. Integrated adaptation planning can support adaptive capacity by helping institutions manage land and water resources at regional to local scales. Linkages between these stressors mean that planners are often faced with potential trade-offs, and how to couple social and environmental sustainability remains a key question. We explore these questions in California’s Central Coast, a region that is already experiencing serious water shortages, housing shortages, rapid expansion of perennial agriculture, and severe droughts that are projected to become worse with climate change. Linked models of land use change (the Land Use and Carbon + Water Simulator [LUCAS-W]), water resources (LUCAS-W), and climate (the Basin Characterization Model [BCM]) produced forecasts of exposure to regional changes at 270-m resolution. We worked with regional stakeholders to develop a matrix of nine vulnerability measures that assessed key sensitivities to these changes. Each vulnerability measure combined one of the three exposure projections with spatial datasets representing one of three sensitivity communities (agricultural, domestic, or ecological). We assessed how five scenarios of land-use and water management strategies under consideration by regional planners could provide institutional, top-down adaptive capacity, and whether there were trade-offs in sustainable development goals for these communities. We found that specific land and water management strategies could greatly reduce regional vulnerability, particularly programs to cap water extractions to sustainable levels. The most dramatic trade-off was between the strategy of water demand caps that increased risk of habitat loss and ecosystem preservation that increased water vulnerability. However, trade-offs were usually limited and spatially localized, suggesting local tailoring of the strategies we assessed could reduce them. Trade-offs were more frequent across exposure classes (land use vs. water vs. climate changes) rather than sensitivity classes (agricultural vs. domestic vs. ecological communities), suggesting win-win opportunities for natural resource management. Our vulnerability maps can inform prioritization efforts for local adaptation planning.
土地利用和土地覆盖、水系统和气候的变化有着千丝万缕的联系,它们的综合压力在全球许多地区产生了严重影响。综合适应规划可以通过帮助机构在区域到地方范围内管理土地和水资源来支持适应能力。这些压力源之间的联系意味着规划者经常面临潜在的权衡,如何将社会和环境的可持续性结合起来仍然是一个关键问题。我们在加州中央海岸探索这些问题,该地区已经经历了严重的水资源短缺、住房短缺、多年生农业的快速扩张,以及预计将随着气候变化而变得更严重的严重干旱。土地利用变化(土地利用和碳+水模拟器[LUCAS-W])、水资源(LUCAS-W)和气候(流域特征模型[BCM])相关联的模型产生了270米分辨率的区域变化暴露预测。我们与区域利益相关者合作,制定了一个包含九项脆弱性措施的矩阵,以评估对这些变化的关键敏感性。每项脆弱性测量都将三个暴露预测中的一个与代表三个敏感社区(农业、家庭或生态)之一的空间数据集相结合。我们评估了区域规划者正在考虑的五种土地利用和水资源管理战略情景如何提供制度上的、自上而下的适应能力,以及这些社区的可持续发展目标是否存在权衡。我们发现,具体的土地和水资源管理策略可以大大降低区域脆弱性,特别是将水资源开采限制在可持续水平的计划。最引人注目的权衡是在水需求上限策略(增加了栖息地丧失的风险)和生态系统保护策略(增加了水的脆弱性)之间。然而,权衡通常是有限的和空间本地化的,这表明我们评估的策略的局部定制可以减少它们。在暴露类别(土地利用vs水vs气候变化)而不是敏感性类别(农业vs家庭vs生态社区)中,权衡更为频繁,这表明自然资源管理有双赢的机会。我们的脆弱性地图可以为当地适应规划的优先次序提供信息。
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Ecology and Society
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