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Assessing future flood inundation in Nandigama through land use, land cover, and rainfall analysis 通过土地利用、土地覆被和降雨分析评估南迪加马未来的洪水淹没情况
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.336
Poli Sainath Reddy, R. Bhavani

Frequent occurrences of high-intensity rainfall have made urban flooding a significant problem. In the present study, flood inundation maps were prepared for the years 2030 and 2035 based on changes in future land use and land cover (LULC) and rainfall patterns in Nandigama, located in Andhra Pradesh, India. The Hydrologic Engineering Center's Hydrologic Modelling System Hydrologic and Hydrologic Engineering Center–River Analysis System hydraulic models were used to assess future runoff and flood inundation areas for the above years. Future LULC and hydro-meteorological data were analysed and incorporated into the models. Predicted LULC maps showed a high level of agreement with actual LULC maps, as indicated by a Kappa index of 88.34%. The average peak runoff flowing out of the basin increased by 1.82%–3.43% for years 2030–2035, respectively. When considering the average inundation percentage area in Nandigama, it was found that 12.73% and 13.83% of the area flooded in both years. The study recommendations give more attention to the Nandigama flood management authority.

频繁出现的高强度降雨使城市洪水成为一个严重问题。本研究根据印度安得拉邦南迪伽马未来土地利用和土地覆被 (LULC) 以及降雨模式的变化,绘制了 2030 年和 2035 年的洪水淹没图。水文工程中心的水文模型系统水文模型和水文工程中心的河流分析系统水文模型被用来评估上述年份的未来径流和洪水淹没区。对未来土地利用、土地利用变化和水文气象数据进行了分析,并将其纳入模型。预测的 LULC 地图与实际的 LULC 地图高度吻合,Kappa 指数为 88.34%。2030-2035 年,流出流域的平均峰值径流量分别增加了 1.82%-3.43% 。在考虑南迪伽马的平均淹没百分比面积时,发现这两年分别有 12.73% 和 13.83% 的面积被淹。研究建议给予南迪加马洪水管理当局更多关注。
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引用次数: 0
Regional-scale flood impacts on a small mountainous catchment in Thailand under a changing climate 气候变化对泰国一个小型山区集水区的区域性洪水影响
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.527
Sawitree Rojpratak, Seree Supharatid

Extreme rainfall and flooding are common during the summer monsoon season in Thailand. In this study, we utilized Robust Empirical Quantile Mapping (RQUANT) to correct the bias in precipitation, and total runoff data obtained from the latest Couple Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) for the upper Lam Takong river basin. Five different methods were employed to estimate the river discharge and four estimations based on Budyko functions. Our analysis revealed that the ‘Total runoff’ method yielded the most accurate representation of the observed discharge. Impacts of change in land use are examined in terms of compound roughness. The Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) precipitation under medium-emission (SSP2-4.5) and high-emission (SSP5-8.5) scenarios is projected to increase by 5.74 and 10.91%, respectively. Correspondingly, the discharges are expected to increase by 4.57 and 11.05% for the far-future periods. In general, the Flo-2D model satisfactorily simulated the water level in the main channel but it underestimated small inundation depth (<0.5 m) across the floodplain. Comparing inundation maps among different scenarios and timelines, changes in the inundation area were relatively small (0.05%), especially when compared to changes in floodplain storage (6.85%) due to the mountainous nature of the river basin.

泰国夏季季风季节经常出现极端降雨和洪水。在这项研究中,我们利用鲁棒经验量子绘图法(RQUANT)来纠正降水量的偏差,以及从最新的夫妇模式相互比较项目第 6 阶段(CMIP6)中获得的林德孔上游流域的总径流数据。我们采用了五种不同的方法来估算河流径流量,其中四种估算方法基于布迪科函数。我们的分析表明,"总径流量 "方法最准确地反映了观测到的排水量。从复合粗糙度的角度考察了土地利用变化的影响。在中排放(SSP2-4.5)和高排放(SSP5-8.5)情景下,多模型集合(MME)降水量预计将分别增加 5.74% 和 10.91%。相应地,远期的排水量预计将增加 4.57% 和 11.05%。总体而言,Flo-2D 模型对主河道水位的模拟令人满意,但低估了整个洪泛区的小淹没深度(0.5 米)。比较不同方案和不同时间段的淹没图,淹没面积的变化相对较小(0.05%),特别是与洪泛区蓄水量的变化(6.85%)相比,这是因为该流域多山。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing environmental flow alterations induced by dams and climate change using a distributed hydrological model at catchment scale 利用流域尺度的分布式水文模型评估大坝和气候变化引起的环境流量变化
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.538
Haruki Mineda, Kei Nukazawa, Yoshihiro Suzuki
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Hydrological alterations by dams and climate change can reduce aquatic biodiversity by disrupting the life cycles of organisms. Here, we aimed to evaluate and compare the hydrological alterations caused by dams and climate change throughout the Omaru River catchment, Japan, using a distributed hydrological model (DHM). First, to assess the impacts of dam and climate change independently, we performed runoff analyses using either dam discharge or future climatic data (two future periods, 2031–2050

View largeDownload slideView largeDownload slide Close modal水坝和气候变化造成的水文变化会扰乱生物的生命周期,从而减少水生生物的多样性。在此,我们利用分布式水文模型(DHM)评估和比较了大坝和气候变化对日本奥丸川流域造成的水文变化。首先,为了独立评估大坝和气候变化的影响,我们使用大坝排水量或未来气候数据(2031-2050 年和 2081-2100 年两个未来时期 × 三个代表性浓度途径)进行了径流分析。随后,我们得出了水文变化指标(IHA),通过与自然条件下(即没有大坝或气候变化数据的情况下)的 IHA 进行比较,量化流量变化的变化。我们发现,大坝对 IHA 的改变比气候变化更大。然而,从流域尺度的角度来看,气候变化引起的流量变化范围更广,例如支流和最上游干流的低流量指标进一步下降,这表明水生生物重要走廊的流域尺度缩小了。我们还观察到,支流与下游水电外流的汇合改善了取水造成的流量变化。我们使用 DHM 的方法捕捉到了大坝和气候变化对流量改变的各种模式。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum: Journal of Water and Climate Change 1 November 2023; 14 (11): 4053–4067; Analysis of urban water dissipation characteristics considering anthropogenic impacts: a case study in Beijing, Chuang Liu, Jiahong Liu, Xiangyi Ding, Weiwei Shao, Xin Su 更正:水与气候变化学报》,2023 年 11 月 1 日;14 (11):4053-4067;考虑人为影响的城市水耗散特性分析:北京案例研究,Chuang Liu、Jiahong Liu、Xiangyi Ding、Weiwei Shao、Xin Su。
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.603
Abstract not available
无摘要
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引用次数: 0
The hidden consequences of sea level rise: assessing vulnerability of buried infrastructure to groundwater inundation in American Samoa 海平面上升的隐性后果:评估美属萨摩亚埋设的基础设施易受地下水淹没影响的程度
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.556
Christopher Shuler
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To island nations, sea level rise (SLR) is an existential threat. An insidious and often hidden consequence of SLR is groundwater inundation (GWI), which reduces the unsaturated zone causing flooding, enhanced corrosion, and reduced service life of buried utilities. In the Pacific, SLR may reach 0.6–2.5 m by the end of century, and on Tutuila, American Samoa (AS), apparent SLR is five times the global average, making adaptation planning critically important. This study addresses the climate impac

查看 largeDownload 幻灯片查看 largeDownload 幻灯片 关闭模式对岛屿国家而言,海平面上升(SLR)是一种生存威胁。海平面上升的一个隐性后果是地下水淹没(GWI),它减少了非饱和带,导致洪水泛滥、腐蚀加剧,并缩短了地下公用设施的使用寿命。在太平洋地区,到本世纪末,SLR 可能达到 0.6-2.5 米,而在美属萨摩亚的图图伊拉岛(AS),明显的 SLR 是全球平均水平的五倍,因此适应规划至关重要。本研究通过将地下水数值模型与地下和地面公共设施数据相结合,绘制出适应工作的优先次序图,从而解决美属萨摩亚基础设施方面的气候影响知识差距问题。对全球变暖影响的严格研究很少,本研究是首次对南太平洋的这一现象进行建模。据该模型估计,在 2.4 米的 SLR 情景下,70 公里或 45% 的地下水、电力和下水管道将被淹没,28% 的现今道路、13.6% 的建筑物和 20% 的增压站将被永久淹没,预计 2100 年将出现补给。政策制定者和决策者往往忽视或不了解这些影响;因此,提高对全球水文指标的认识将有助于 AS 和其他岛屿社区的管理者优先采取整体适应行动。
{"title":"The hidden consequences of sea level rise: assessing vulnerability of buried infrastructure to groundwater inundation in American Samoa","authors":"Christopher Shuler","doi":"10.2166/wcc.2023.556","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2023.556","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div data- reveal-group-><div><img alt=\"graphic\" data-src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.556/1/m_jwc-d-23-00456gf01.png?Expires=1706947402&amp;Signature=MG19u88m-D5OBgM3rLGzKw1icNcBIptoe1Et9XqT9x8RbwNG5YtUMriK8HYyQeJU~D06RYAdaRmt2J5u-GH8ww324GNPrc20xpwuLOP442pAmkPz8ULlYQ66Ov-ExF9pXRW3GrnCYCOlpazcvlRpIlQcaDXU1BjX4btckE8weEqRp8h~SdhnbdLwaZNZPEr~Vd6ea-5dm7ECOVmzFMFasByeKwLFWz9oz7tWLDm1ViwP23RLeZuykIvSwWdq6WuGt1g5QSDgOMpIv2KkWCzkM2T3l5kB5LvBQ-mxjXx1PuLXeoknfcGuBxMqnLIXSQ8X~zGwCfGi~bsTunG5I7WkfQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" path-from-xml=\"jwc-d-23-00456gf01.tif\" src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.556/1/m_jwc-d-23-00456gf01.png?Expires=1706947402&amp;Signature=MG19u88m-D5OBgM3rLGzKw1icNcBIptoe1Et9XqT9x8RbwNG5YtUMriK8HYyQeJU~D06RYAdaRmt2J5u-GH8ww324GNPrc20xpwuLOP442pAmkPz8ULlYQ66Ov-ExF9pXRW3GrnCYCOlpazcvlRpIlQcaDXU1BjX4btckE8weEqRp8h~SdhnbdLwaZNZPEr~Vd6ea-5dm7ECOVmzFMFasByeKwLFWz9oz7tWLDm1ViwP23RLeZuykIvSwWdq6WuGt1g5QSDgOMpIv2KkWCzkM2T3l5kB5LvBQ-mxjXx1PuLXeoknfcGuBxMqnLIXSQ8X~zGwCfGi~bsTunG5I7WkfQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\"/><div>View largeDownload slide</div></div></div><div content- data-reveal=\"data-reveal\"><div><img alt=\"graphic\" data-src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.556/1/m_jwc-d-23-00456gf01.png?Expires=1706947402&amp;Signature=MG19u88m-D5OBgM3rLGzKw1icNcBIptoe1Et9XqT9x8RbwNG5YtUMriK8HYyQeJU~D06RYAdaRmt2J5u-GH8ww324GNPrc20xpwuLOP442pAmkPz8ULlYQ66Ov-ExF9pXRW3GrnCYCOlpazcvlRpIlQcaDXU1BjX4btckE8weEqRp8h~SdhnbdLwaZNZPEr~Vd6ea-5dm7ECOVmzFMFasByeKwLFWz9oz7tWLDm1ViwP23RLeZuykIvSwWdq6WuGt1g5QSDgOMpIv2KkWCzkM2T3l5kB5LvBQ-mxjXx1PuLXeoknfcGuBxMqnLIXSQ8X~zGwCfGi~bsTunG5I7WkfQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" path-from-xml=\"jwc-d-23-00456gf01.tif\" src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.556/1/m_jwc-d-23-00456gf01.png?Expires=1706947402&amp;Signature=MG19u88m-D5OBgM3rLGzKw1icNcBIptoe1Et9XqT9x8RbwNG5YtUMriK8HYyQeJU~D06RYAdaRmt2J5u-GH8ww324GNPrc20xpwuLOP442pAmkPz8ULlYQ66Ov-ExF9pXRW3GrnCYCOlpazcvlRpIlQcaDXU1BjX4btckE8weEqRp8h~SdhnbdLwaZNZPEr~Vd6ea-5dm7ECOVmzFMFasByeKwLFWz9oz7tWLDm1ViwP23RLeZuykIvSwWdq6WuGt1g5QSDgOMpIv2KkWCzkM2T3l5kB5LvBQ-mxjXx1PuLXeoknfcGuBxMqnLIXSQ8X~zGwCfGi~bsTunG5I7WkfQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\"/><div>View largeDownload slide</div></div><i> </i><span>Close modal</span></div></div><p>To island nations, sea level rise (SLR) is an existential threat. An insidious and often hidden consequence of SLR is groundwater inundation (GWI), which reduces the unsaturated zone causing flooding, enhanced corrosion, and reduced service life of buried utilities. In the Pacific, SLR may reach 0.6–2.5 m by the end of century, and on Tutuila, American Samoa (AS), apparent SLR is five times the global average, making adaptation planning critically important. This study addresses the climate impac","PeriodicalId":510893,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Water & Climate Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139072449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Response of hydrological regimes to land use change: A case study of the Han River Basin 水文系统对土地利用变化的响应:汉江流域案例研究
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.483
Hongxiang Wang, Weiqi Yuan, Wenxiong Chen, Fengtian Hong, Xiangyu Bai, Wenxian Guo
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Comprehensive and systematic research linking land-hydrological correlations is lacking in the study of factors driving watershed runoff variations. It quantitatively analyzes the overall watershed hydrological conditions using the range of variability approach (RVA) and applies the Budyko hypothesis to identify driving factors of annual runoff variations. The study also explores the impact of individual land use types on runoff across various timescales using the SWAT model in conjunction with h

查看 largeDownload 幻灯片查看 largeDownload 幻灯片 关闭模态在流域径流变化驱动因素的研究中,缺乏将土地-水文相关性联系起来的全面系统研究。本研究采用变异范围法(RVA)对流域整体水文条件进行了定量分析,并应用布迪科假说确定了年径流变化的驱动因素。研究还利用 SWAT 模型,结合汉江流域的历史情景和极端情景,探讨了各种土地利用类型在不同时间尺度上对径流的影响。研究结果表明,在发生突变后,汉江流域的水文指数和整体状况会发生负面变化。在各种驱动因素中,下垫面对径流的影响最为显著。在年尺度上,耕地和建设用地方案的径流量分别增加了 12.57% 和 20.4%,而森林和草地方案的径流量分别减少了 8.45% 和 2.32%。在季度和月度尺度上,雨季对土地利用变化的径流敏感性明显高于旱季。这项研究为汉江流域土地利用和水资源的综合管理提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The water–energy–food (WEF) nexus as a tool to develop climate change adaptation strategies: a case study of the Buffalo River catchment, South Africa 将水-能源-粮食(WEF)关系作为制定气候变化适应战略的工具:南非水牛河流域案例研究
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.263
Nosipho Dlamini, A. Senzanje, T. Mabhaudhi
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The Buffalo River catchment in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, has limited water resource infrastructure development, and climate change is predicted to increase its water supply deficits by exacerbating water distribution inequalities. This study evaluates and optimises current climate change policy plans on the Buffalo River catchments water system to aid in assessing the sustainability of policies that address the aforementioned challenges. The water–energy–food (WEF) nexus approach, which encour

查看大尺寸下载幻灯片查看大尺寸下载幻灯片 关闭模版南非夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省水牛河流域的水资源基础设施发展有限,而根据预测,气候变化将加剧水资源分配不均,从而增加供水缺口。本研究对水牛河集水区水系统的现行气候变化政策计划进行了评估和优化,以帮助评估应对上述挑战的政策的可持续性。水-能源-粮食(WEF)关系法鼓励在制定自然资源综合管理战略时,通过考虑水、能源和粮食资源之间的相互联系来进行系统思考。水系统在气候变化条件下满足预计的生活、农业和能源用水需求的可靠性被用来衡量发展计划的可持续性。研究结果预测,在气候变化条件下,现有的水政策计划可使生活用水供应量增加 70%;然而,灌溉和能源发电用水需求量增加 3%后,人口稠密地区与农业活动广泛地区之间的可靠性将产生巨大反差。因此,建议水牛河流域在未来的水资源管理研究和对话中采用优化的政策计划,在气候变化的情况下将所有考虑到的部门的供水量提高 20%。
{"title":"The water–energy–food (WEF) nexus as a tool to develop climate change adaptation strategies: a case study of the Buffalo River catchment, South Africa","authors":"Nosipho Dlamini, A. Senzanje, T. Mabhaudhi","doi":"10.2166/wcc.2023.263","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2023.263","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div data- reveal-group-><div><img alt=\"graphic\" data-src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.263/1/m_jwc-d-23-00263gf01.png?Expires=1706947384&amp;Signature=Huv1XUZIh7Wcb42RXMU~1X1u626YrZzDAUpZMA1SUsTwbFu3ibB5XJiZ8oZ2KeP3jXd06n8P5p9XH0d1hcSus0vrn9wznMx8~x1qlOoOfHSIZaEqHNDyIfD0sZYvpx5ckJcpz7umGomIFpuFSwQh-C4YR81ulv3api9peN2VtWabJ1YTO-hGN-mPs2LKegVCLoOxGlRrKD3FYBugzIIW7lVdAtqYot5RpZmUsbwI34h1TCAiBSCFfSjMWLmtj~cS1Z7KnDtBAFtVSJvXX93dUDJgp5sYLB1gCpOZ-fQtYx6WjLK2-6gRQYigtSo0UnsKIcn4Txx2fbv2PWwmY8wIUQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" path-from-xml=\"jwc-d-23-00263gf01.tif\" src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.263/1/m_jwc-d-23-00263gf01.png?Expires=1706947384&amp;Signature=Huv1XUZIh7Wcb42RXMU~1X1u626YrZzDAUpZMA1SUsTwbFu3ibB5XJiZ8oZ2KeP3jXd06n8P5p9XH0d1hcSus0vrn9wznMx8~x1qlOoOfHSIZaEqHNDyIfD0sZYvpx5ckJcpz7umGomIFpuFSwQh-C4YR81ulv3api9peN2VtWabJ1YTO-hGN-mPs2LKegVCLoOxGlRrKD3FYBugzIIW7lVdAtqYot5RpZmUsbwI34h1TCAiBSCFfSjMWLmtj~cS1Z7KnDtBAFtVSJvXX93dUDJgp5sYLB1gCpOZ-fQtYx6WjLK2-6gRQYigtSo0UnsKIcn4Txx2fbv2PWwmY8wIUQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\"/><div>View largeDownload slide</div></div></div><div content- data-reveal=\"data-reveal\"><div><img alt=\"graphic\" data-src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.263/1/m_jwc-d-23-00263gf01.png?Expires=1706947384&amp;Signature=Huv1XUZIh7Wcb42RXMU~1X1u626YrZzDAUpZMA1SUsTwbFu3ibB5XJiZ8oZ2KeP3jXd06n8P5p9XH0d1hcSus0vrn9wznMx8~x1qlOoOfHSIZaEqHNDyIfD0sZYvpx5ckJcpz7umGomIFpuFSwQh-C4YR81ulv3api9peN2VtWabJ1YTO-hGN-mPs2LKegVCLoOxGlRrKD3FYBugzIIW7lVdAtqYot5RpZmUsbwI34h1TCAiBSCFfSjMWLmtj~cS1Z7KnDtBAFtVSJvXX93dUDJgp5sYLB1gCpOZ-fQtYx6WjLK2-6gRQYigtSo0UnsKIcn4Txx2fbv2PWwmY8wIUQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" path-from-xml=\"jwc-d-23-00263gf01.tif\" src=\"https://iwa.silverchair-cdn.com/iwa/content_public/journal/jwcc/14/12/10.2166_wcc.2023.263/1/m_jwc-d-23-00263gf01.png?Expires=1706947384&amp;Signature=Huv1XUZIh7Wcb42RXMU~1X1u626YrZzDAUpZMA1SUsTwbFu3ibB5XJiZ8oZ2KeP3jXd06n8P5p9XH0d1hcSus0vrn9wznMx8~x1qlOoOfHSIZaEqHNDyIfD0sZYvpx5ckJcpz7umGomIFpuFSwQh-C4YR81ulv3api9peN2VtWabJ1YTO-hGN-mPs2LKegVCLoOxGlRrKD3FYBugzIIW7lVdAtqYot5RpZmUsbwI34h1TCAiBSCFfSjMWLmtj~cS1Z7KnDtBAFtVSJvXX93dUDJgp5sYLB1gCpOZ-fQtYx6WjLK2-6gRQYigtSo0UnsKIcn4Txx2fbv2PWwmY8wIUQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\"/><div>View largeDownload slide</div></div><i> </i><span>Close modal</span></div></div><p>The Buffalo River catchment in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, has limited water resource infrastructure development, and climate change is predicted to increase its water supply deficits by exacerbating water distribution inequalities. This study evaluates and optimises current climate change policy plans on the Buffalo River catchments water system to aid in assessing the sustainability of policies that address the aforementioned challenges. The water–energy–food (WEF) nexus approach, which encour","PeriodicalId":510893,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Water & Climate Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139082306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the utility of hybrid hydrological modeling over complex conditions of the Chitral basin, Pakistan 评估混合水文模型在巴基斯坦吉德拉尔盆地复杂条件下的实用性
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.256
Zain Syed, Prince Mahmood, Sajjad Haider, Shakil Ahmad

Streamflow forecasting holds pivotal importance for planning and decision-making in the domain of water resources management. The Chitral basin in Pakistan is characterized by high altitude and glaciated terrain. Simulating streamflows in this type of region is challenging due to complex orography and uncertain climate data. This complexity persuaded us to explore three frameworks (soil and water assessment tool (SWAT), artificial neural network (ANN), and hybrid of SWAT–ANN (H2)) for simulating the Chitral river under two different climate datasets (observed climatology (OC) and reconciled gridded climatology (RGC)) to give all six model combinations. Model evaluation was done first by indices (Nash–Sutcliff efficiency, Kling–Gupta efficiency, coefficient of determination, percent bias, and root mean square error) based on which we further assigned scores to models reflecting their performance during calibration and validation epochs. The research revealed that ANN-RGC stood first with 53 points, followed by H2-RGC (50 points) and SWAT-RGC (45 points). Trailing behind in the fourth and fifth positions were SWAT-RGC and SWAT-OC (26 points each), respectively, while ANN-OC finished last (22 points). In addition, this study proposed a bias scaling approach for simulation biases resulting in reduction in recession and baseflow biases and specifically improved low-scoring models. Despite ANN's superiority over conventional models, it could be of limited utility in uncertain or data-scarce conditions.

水流预报对于水资源管理领域的规划和决策至关重要。巴基斯坦吉德拉尔盆地的特点是高海拔和冰川地形。由于复杂的地形和不确定的气候数据,模拟这类地区的溪流具有挑战性。这种复杂性促使我们探索三种框架(水土评估工具(SWAT)、人工神经网络(ANN)和 SWAT-ANN 混合框架(H2)),在两种不同的气候数据集(观测气候数据集(OC)和调和网格气候数据集(RGC))下模拟吉德拉尔河,从而得出所有六种模型组合。首先通过指数(纳什-萨特克利夫效率、克林-古普塔效率、判定系数、偏差百分比和均方根误差)对模型进行评估,在此基础上,我们进一步对模型进行评分,以反映其在校准和验证阶段的表现。研究结果显示,ANN-RGC 以 53 分排名第一,其次是 H2-RGC(50 分)和 SWAT-RGC(45 分)。排名第四和第五的分别是 SWAT-RGC 和 SWAT-OC(各得 26 分),而 ANN-OC 则排名最后(22 分)。此外,该研究还提出了一种模拟偏差缩放方法,从而减少了衰退和基流偏差,并特别改进了低分模型。尽管 ANN 优于传统模型,但在不确定或数据稀缺的条件下,其作用可能有限。
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引用次数: 0
Laboratory comparison of vegetation and gravel on parameters affecting urban floods under different rainfall and runoff conditions 不同降雨和径流条件下植被和砾石对城市洪水影响参数的实验室比较
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.424
Hamidreza Ghazvinian, Hojat Karami
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This research seeks to analyze and compare the performance of impervious surface as control (O), sandy loam substrate, gravel, gravel with geocell layer (GGE), rosemary (R), rosemary with geocell layer (RGE), turf (T), and turf with geocell layer (TGE) in the reduction of rainfall-runoff volume, time to start runoff (TSR), runoff coefficient (C), time to end runoff (TER), peak flow (PF) rate, time to peak (TP), and time base (TB) under three conditions of rainfall, horizontal runoff, and the comb

查看 largeDownload 幻灯片查看 largeDownload 幻灯片 关闭模态本研究旨在分析和比较作为对照(O)的不透水表面、砂壤土基质、砾石、带土工格室层的砾石(GGE)、迷迭香(R)、带土工格室层的迷迭香(RGE)、草皮(T)和带土工格室层的草皮(TGE)在减少降雨径流量方面的性能、在降雨、水平径流以及坡度为 5%的降雨和径流组合三种条件下,使用降雨模拟器计算的径流开始时间 (TSR)、径流系数 (C)、径流结束时间 (TER)、峰值流量 (PF)、峰值时间 (TP) 和时基 (TB)。关于试验模式和试验样本的有效参数对 TSR、TER、TP、TB、C 和 PF 的影响的因子结果,所有情况下的数据在 5%的水平上都存在显著差异。在所有情况下,与其他试验组相比,GGE 处理在减少径流量和累积体积方面表现更好。另一方面,O 和 GGE 处理的流量分别最高和最低。在特定测试条件下,GGE 处理的 C 值最低。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated safety assessment of water–energy–food systems based on improved substance element extensions 基于改进的物质元素扩展的水-能源-食品系统综合安全评估
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.343
Jing Wang, Hao Zhou, Geoffrey Kwok Fai Tso, Chen Po Hsun, Chuang Tua, Tao Zheng
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To explore the integrated security of water-energy-food system, 26 indicators were selected from six aspects: water security, energy security, food security, water-energy system security, water-energy system security, energy-food system security; the frequency analysis method was used to construct the integrated security evaluation index system for water-energy-food systems. Then, the matter-element expansion model was refined and used to assess the overall security of the water, energy and food

为探讨水-能源-粮食系统的综合安全问题,从水安全、能源安全、粮食安全、水-能源系统安全、水-能源系统安全、能源-粮食系统安全六个方面选取了26个指标,采用频度分析法构建了水-能源-粮食系统综合安全评价指标体系。然后,完善了物元扩展模型,并将其用于评估京津冀地区水、能源和粮食系统的整体安全性。从时间和空间两个维度考察和研究了用于评估水、能源和粮食系统整体安全的评价指标。实证研究表明,该模型充分体现了水-能源-粮食系统的整体安全性。比较了修正模型和传统物质-元素膨胀模型的评估结果,证实了修正模型的可行性和有效性。最后,利用指数权重和障碍度模型讨论了影响京津冀地区水-能-粮系统安全的主要因素。同时提出了加强水-能源-食品系统安全的相关建议。
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Journal of Water & Climate Change
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