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Exploratory techniques to analyse Ecuador's tourism industry 分析厄瓜多尔旅游业的探索性技术
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae040
Anita Herrera, Ángel Arroyo, Alfredo Jiménez, Álvaro Herrero
The analysis of the operation of tourism companies will provide valid information for the design of policies to reactivate the tourism industry, which has been strongly affected during the pandemic generated by COVID-19. The objective of this paper is to use soft computing techniques to analyse tourism companies in Ecuador. First of all, dimensionality reduction methods are applied: principal component analysis, isometric feature mapping and locally linear embedding, on data of tourism enterprises in Ecuador for the year 2015. In addition, to verify the trend of operational variables, the data of tourism companies in Ecuador in 2019 and 2020 are analysed with dimensionality reduction methods that improve the interpretation by minimizing the loss of information. The data sets are analysed with k-means, k-medoids and Hierarchical Clustering, generating groups according to similar characteristics. The optimal number of clusters is determined with the following: Elbow Method, Silhouette Coefficient, Davies-Bouldin Index and Dunn Index. In addition, an analysis of the operation of tourism companies in the year 2020 concerning previous years is included. The study allows exploring Soft Computing techniques to identify important information for the definition of strategies that contribute to an effective reactivation of the tourist industry of Ecuador.
旅游业在 COVID-19 大流行期间受到严重影响,对旅游公司运营情况的分析将为制定重振旅游业的政策提供有效信息。本文旨在利用软计算技术对厄瓜多尔的旅游公司进行分析。首先,对 2015 年厄瓜多尔旅游企业的数据采用了降维方法:主成分分析、等距特征映射和局部线性嵌入。此外,为了验证业务变量的趋势,采用降维方法对厄瓜多尔旅游企业 2019 年和 2020 年的数据进行了分析,通过最大限度地减少信息损失来改进解释。数据集采用 k-means、k-medoids 和分层聚类方法进行分析,根据相似特征生成分组。聚类的最佳数量由以下方法确定:肘法、剪影系数、戴维斯-博尔丁指数和邓恩指数。此外,还对 2020 年旅游公司的运营情况进行了分析。这项研究允许探索软计算技术,以确定有助于有效重振厄瓜多尔旅游业的战略定义的重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
Model-based abductive cognition: What thought experiments teach us 基于模型的归纳认知:思想实验给我们的启示
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae096
Lorenzo Magnani, Selene Arfini
In this article, we want to demonstrate how thoughts experiments (TEs) incorporate cognitive structures—abductive inferences as conceptual metaphors—that reliably underpin everyday thinking and are enhanced and rendered more effective in scientific and philosophical contexts. Indeed one might successfully rethink the inferential structure at the heart of thought experiment production as the application of a generative abductive procedure. We shall characterize TES as possessing two characteristics that are essential to the definitions of abductive and metaphorical thinking, but when considered in relation to TE’s description, can excuse mild bewilderment: both knowledge-enhancing and ignorance-preserving features. In sum, we will say that TEs realize extended conceptual metaphors, which instantiate forms of abductive reasoning and, therefore, partially preserve the ignorance of the authors who produce them (even if they also increase a bit their knowledge by—so to speak—mitigating ignorance). In certain fortunate and exceptional instances, however, TEs can also provide a purely knowledge-enhancing benefit; in order to do this, a reference to the innovative and creative function of thought experiments in Galileo’s findings is also included.
在这篇文章中,我们想证明思想实验(TEs)是如何结合认知结构--作为概念隐喻的归纳推理--可靠地支撑着日常思维,并在科学和哲学语境中得到加强和变得更加有效的。事实上,我们可以成功地将思想实验的核心推论结构重新视为一种生成性归纳程序的应用。我们将把TES描述为具有两个特征,这两个特征对于归纳思维和隐喻思维的定义至关重要,但当我们把它们与TE的描述联系起来考虑时,就会发现这两个特征会让人产生轻微的困惑:既能增强知识,又能保护无知。总之,我们可以说,TE 实现了扩展的概念隐喻,这些隐喻是归纳推理形式的实例化,因此,部分地保留了产生这些隐喻的作者的无知(即使他们也通过减轻无知而增加了一些知识)。不过,在某些幸运和特殊的情况下,思想实验也可以提供纯粹的知识增长益处;为此,我们还提到了伽利略发现中思想实验的创新和创造性功能。
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引用次数: 0
Do predictions destroy predictability? A study focusing on stock markets 预测会破坏可预测性吗?以股票市场为重点的研究
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae091
Emiliano Ippoliti
Predicting stock markets is a problem that has generated many answers. According to one group of responses, the divergence thesis, it is impossible to accomplish this since the prediction has a ‘bending effect’ that would cause the market to behave in a way that would permanently depart from what was predicted, i.e. the prediction would falsify itself. There are at least three types of impossibility: logical, theoretical and empirical. A second class of responses argues that despite the ‘bending effect’ of predictions, it is still feasible to predicting stock markets. These responses, the convergence thesis, contend that we can achieve it by demonstrating that there are fixed points or that the prediction and market behavior will eventually converge. I expand this line of reasoning by showing that the performativity makes it possible certain predictions by an alignment between the ‘ontic’ and the ‘epistemic’ state of the markets. In addition, I show that performativity enables us to explain how a prediction is produced, why it works initially and then why it fails (i.e. why its predictive power is destroyed).
预测股票市场是一个产生过许多答案的问题。其中一类答案,即 "背离论 "认为,预测是不可能实现的,因为预测会产生 "弯曲效应",导致市场行为永久偏离预测,即预测会自我证伪。不可能至少有三种类型:逻辑上的、理论上的和经验上的。第二类回应认为,尽管预测存在 "弯曲效应",但对股票市场进行预测仍然是可行的。这些回应,即趋同论,认为我们可以通过证明存在固定点或预测与市场行为最终会趋同来实现这一点。我扩展了这一推理思路,证明表演性通过市场的 "本体 "和 "认识 "状态之间的一致性,使某些预测成为可能。此外,我还证明了表演性使我们能够解释预测是如何产生的,为什么它最初会奏效,然后又为什么会失败(即为什么它的预测能力会被摧毁)。
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引用次数: 0
Combinators as presheaves 作为预叶的组合器
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae097
Rocco Gangle, Fernando Tohmé, Gianluca Caterina
Computer scientists, logicians and other researchers have recently paid renewed attention to the model of computation based on the logic of combinators. We develop a new formalization of the syntax of combinators employing the ‘generic figures’ approach to the categories of presheaves that provides an intuitive and easily interpreted diagrammatic syntax for combinators, one that eschews the need to label proper combinators with variable names. Furthermore, we show that this formal framework provides the possibility of representing choices of operand from among given alternatives at each level of a combinatory term, allowing for a more general type of combinatory expression, which we call a multi-combinator.
计算机科学家、逻辑学家和其他研究人员最近再次关注基于组合器逻辑的计算模型。我们对组合器的语法进行了新的形式化,采用了 "通用数字 "的方法来处理预分支的类别,为组合器提供了直观且易于解释的图解语法,而无需用变量名来标注适当的组合器。此外,我们还展示了这一形式框架提供的可能性,即在组合项的每个层次上从给定的备选方案中表示操作数的选择,从而允许一种更通用的组合表达式,我们称之为多重组合器。
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引用次数: 0
Involving cognitive science in model transformation for description logics 让认知科学参与描述符逻辑的模型转换
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae088
Willi Hieke, Sarah Schwöbel, Michael N Smolka
Knowledge representation and reasoning (KRR) is a fundamental area in artificial intelligence (AI) research, focusing on encoding world knowledge as logical formulae in ontologies. This formalism enables logic-based AI systems to deduce new insights from existing knowledge. Within KRR, description logics (DLs) are a prominent family of languages to represent knowledge formally. They are decidable fragments of first-order logic, and their models can be visualized as edge- and vertex-labeled directed binary graphs. DLs facilitate various reasoning tasks, including checking the satisfiability of statements and deciding entailment. However, a significant challenge arises in the computation of models of DL ontologies in the context of explaining reasoning results. Although existing algorithms efficiently compute models for reasoning tasks, they usually do not consider aspects of human cognition, leading to models that may be less effective for explanatory purposes. This paper tackles this challenge by proposing an approach to enhance the intelligibility of models of DL ontologies for users. By integrating insights from cognitive science and philosophy, we aim to identify key graph properties that make models more accessible and useful for explanation.
知识表示与推理(KRR)是人工智能(AI)研究的一个基础领域,其重点是将世界知识编码为本体中的逻辑公式。这种形式主义使基于逻辑的人工智能系统能够从现有知识中推导出新的见解。在 KRR 中,描述逻辑(DL)是正式表示知识的一个重要语言系列。它们是一阶逻辑的可解片段,其模型可以可视化为有边和顶点标记的有向二元图。有向二元图有助于完成各种推理任务,包括检查语句的可满足性和判定蕴涵。然而,在解释推理结果时,计算 DL 本体的模型是一个重大挑战。虽然现有的算法可以高效地计算推理任务的模型,但它们通常没有考虑人类认知的各个方面,导致计算出的模型在解释性目的上可能不那么有效。本文针对这一挑战,提出了一种提高用户对 DL 本体模型可理解性的方法。通过整合认知科学和哲学的见解,我们旨在确定关键的图属性,使模型更易于理解和更有助于解释。
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引用次数: 0
Hyperarithmetical complexity of infinitary action logic with multiplexing 带复用的无穷动作逻辑的超算术复杂性
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae078
Tikhon Pshenitsyn
In 2023, Kuznetsov and Speranski introduced infinitary action logic with multiplexing $!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$ and proved that the derivability problem for it lies between the $omega $ level and the $omega ^{omega }$ level of the hyperarithmetical hierarchy. We prove that this problem is $varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{omega }}$-complete under Turing reductions. Namely, we show that it is recursively isomorphic to the satisfaction predicate for computable infinitary formulas of rank less than $omega ^{omega }$ in the language of arithmetic. As a consequence we prove that the closure ordinal for $!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$ equals $omega ^{omega }$. We also prove that the fragment of $!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$ where Kleene star is not allowed to be in the scope of the subexponential is $varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{omega }}$-complete. Finally, we present a family of logics, which are fragments of $!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$, such that the complexity of the $k$-th logic lies between $varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{k}}$ and $varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{k+1}}$.
2023 年,库兹涅佐夫(Kuznetsov)和斯佩兰斯基(Speranski)提出了具有复用 $!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$ 的无穷动作逻辑,并证明了它的可推导性问题位于超算术层次结构的 $omega $ 层和 $omega ^{omega }$ 层之间。我们证明这个问题在图灵还原下是 $varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{omega }}$ 完全的。也就是说,我们证明它与算术语言中秩小于 $omega ^{omega }$ 的可计算无穷公式的满足谓词递归同构。因此,我们证明 $!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$ 的闭包序数等于 $omega ^{omega }$。我们还证明了$!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$中不允许克莱因星出现在次指数范围内的片段是$varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{omega }$完备的。最后,我们提出了一系列逻辑,它们是 $!^{m}nabla textrm{ACT}_{omega }$ 的片段,使得 $k$-th 逻辑的复杂度介于 $varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{k}$ 和 $varDelta ^{0}_{omega ^{k+1}}$ 之间。
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引用次数: 0
Security in advanced metering infrastructures: Lightweight cryptography 先进计量基础设施的安全性:轻量级密码学
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae074
Luis Hernández-Álvarez, Juan José Bullón Pérez, Araceli Queiruga-Dios
Smart grids are designed to revolutionize the energy sector by creating a smarter, more efficient and reliable power supply network. The rise of smart grids is a response to the need for a more comprehensive and sophisticated energy system that caters to the needs of homes and businesses. Key features of smart grids include the integration of renewable energy sources, decentralized generation and advanced distribution networks. At the heart of smart grids is a sophisticated metering system, consisting of intelligent electronic devices that measure energy consumption and enable two-way communication between the utility company and the consumer. The information exchanged via these devices is critical, as it includes sensitive data such as energy consumption patterns and billing information. With the rise of the Internet of Things (IoT) and Industry 4.0, the security of this information is of utmost importance. This paper delves into the security challenges faced by advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) and highlights the crucial role played by cryptography in ensuring the secure exchange of sensitive information. Cryptographic protocols such as encryption, authentication and digital signatures are essential components of a secure smart grid infrastructure. These protocols work together to ensure the confidentiality, integrity and authenticity of the information exchanged between the utility company and the consumer.
智能电网旨在通过创建一个更智能、更高效、更可靠的供电网络,彻底改变能源行业。智能电网的兴起是为了满足家庭和企业对更全面、更先进的能源系统的需求。智能电网的主要特点包括整合可再生能源、分散式发电和先进的配电网络。智能电网的核心是复杂的计量系统,由智能电子设备组成,用于测量能源消耗,并实现公用事业公司与消费者之间的双向通信。通过这些设备交换的信息至关重要,因为其中包括能源消耗模式和账单信息等敏感数据。随着物联网(IoT)和工业 4.0 的兴起,这些信息的安全至关重要。本文深入探讨了高级计量基础设施(AMI)所面临的安全挑战,并强调了加密技术在确保敏感信息安全交换方面所发挥的关键作用。加密、身份验证和数字签名等密码协议是安全智能电网基础设施的重要组成部分。这些协议共同确保了公用事业公司和用户之间交换信息的保密性、完整性和真实性。
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引用次数: 0
Machine overstrain prediction for early detection and effective maintenance: A machine learning algorithm comparison 用于早期检测和有效维护的机器过度应变预测:机器学习算法比较
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae055
Bruno Mota, Pedro Faria, Carlos Ramos
Machine stability and energy efficiency have become major issues in the manufacturing industry, primarily during the COVID-19 pandemic where fluctuations in supply and demand were common. As a result, Predictive Maintenance (PdM) has become more desirable, since predicting failures ahead of time allows to avoid downtime and improves stability and energy efficiency in machines. One type of machine failure stands out due to its impact, machine overstrain, which can occur when machines are used beyond their tolerable limit. From the current literature, there are little to no relevant works that focus on machine overstrain failure detection or prediction. Accordingly, the purpose of this paper is to implement and compare four Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for PdM applied to machine overstrain failures: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Gradient Boosting, Random Forest and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Moreover, it proposes a training methodology for imbalanced data and the automatic optimization of hyperparameters, which aims to improve performance in the ML models. To evaluate the performance of the ML models, a synthetic dataset that simulates industrial machine data is used. The obtained results show the robustness of the proposed methodology, with the ANN and SVM models achieving a perfect recall score, with 98.95% and 98.85% in accuracy, respectively.
机器的稳定性和能效已成为制造业的主要问题,主要是在 COVID-19 大流行期间,供需波动非常普遍。因此,预测性维护(PdM)变得更为理想,因为提前预测故障可以避免停机时间,提高机器的稳定性和能效。有一种机器故障因其影响而尤为突出,即机器过度应力,当机器的使用超过其可承受的极限时就会发生这种故障。从目前的文献来看,几乎没有相关著作关注机器过应力故障检测或预测。因此,本文的目的是实施和比较四种机器学习(ML)算法,将 PdM 应用于机器过应力故障:人工神经网络 (ANN)、梯度提升 (Gradient Boosting)、随机森林 (Random Forest) 和支持向量机 (SVM)。此外,它还提出了不平衡数据的训练方法和超参数的自动优化,旨在提高 ML 模型的性能。为了评估 ML 模型的性能,使用了一个模拟工业机器数据的合成数据集。获得的结果表明了所提方法的稳健性,ANN 和 SVM 模型的召回率达到了满分,准确率分别为 98.95% 和 98.85%。
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引用次数: 0
Płonka adjunction 膜连接
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae064
J Climent Vidal, E Cosme Llópez
Let $varSigma $ be a signature without $0$-ary operation symbols and $textsf{Sl}$ the category of semilattices. Then, after defining and investigating the categories $int ^{textsf{Sl}}textrm{Isys}_{varSigma }$, of inductive systems of $varSigma $-algebras over all semilattices, which are ordered pairs $mathscr{A}= (textbf{I},mathscr{A})$ where $textbf{I}$ is a semilattice and $mathscr{A}$ an inductive system of $varSigma $-algebras relative to $textbf{I}$, and PłAlg$ (varSigma )$, of Płonka $varSigma $-algebras, which are ordered pairs $(textbf{A},D)$ where $textbf{A}$ is a $varSigma $-algebra and $D$ a Płonka operator for $textbf{A}$, i.e. in the traditional terminology, a partition function for $textbf{A}$, we prove the main result of the paper: There exists an adjunction, which we call the Płonka adjunction, from $int ^{textsf{Sl}}textrm{Isys}_{varSigma }$ to PłAlg$ (varSigma )$.
让 $varSigma $ 是一个没有 $0$ary 运算符号的签名,$textsf{Sl}$ 是半格的范畴。然后,在定义并研究了所有半网格上 $varSigma $ 算法的归纳系统的类别 $int ^{textsf{Sl}}textrm{Isys}_{varSigma }$之后,这些类别是有序对 $mathscr{A}= (textbf{I}、其中 $textbf{I}$ 是一个半网格,而 $mathscr{A}$ 是相对于 $textbf{I}$ 的 $varSigma $-gebras 的归纳系统,以及 PłAlg$ (varSigma )$、的 Płonka $varSigma $-代数,它们是有序的一对 $(textbf{A},D)$,其中 $textbf{A}$ 是一个 $varSigma $-代数,而 $D$ 是 $textbf{A}$ 的 Płonka 算子,即即用传统术语来说,$textbf{A}$ 的分割函数,我们证明了本文的主要结果:存在一个从 $int ^{textsf{Sl}}textrm{Isys}_{varSigma }$ 到 PłAlg$ (varSigma )$ 的邻接,我们称之为 Płonka 邻接。
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引用次数: 0
Combination of fuzzy control and reinforcement learning for wind turbine pitch control 风力涡轮机变桨控制的模糊控制与强化学习相结合
IF 1 4区 数学 Q2 LOGIC Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1093/jigpal/jzae054
J Enrique Sierra-Garcia, Matilde Santos
The generation of the pitch control signal in a wind turbine (WT) is not straightforward due to the nonlinear dynamics of the system and the coupling of its internal variables; in addition, they are subjected to the uncertainty that comes from the random nature of the wind. Fuzzy logic has proved useful in applications with changing system parameters or where uncertainty is relevant as in this one, but the tuning of the fuzzy logic controller (FLC) parameters is neither straightforward nor an easy task. On the other hand, reinforcement learning (RL) allows systems to automatically learn, and this capability can be exploited to tune the FLC. In this work, a WT pitch control architecture that uses RL to tune the membership functions and scale the output of a fuzzy controller is proposed. The RL strategy calculates the fuzzy controller gains in order to reduce the output power error of the WT according to the wind speed. Different reward mechanisms based on the output power error have been considered. Simulation results with different wind profiles show that this architecture performs better (123.7 W) in terms of power errors than an FLC without RL (133.2 W) or a simpler PID (208.8 W). Even more, it provides a smooth response and outperforms other hybrid controllers such as RL-PID and radial basis function neural network control.
由于风力涡轮机(WT)系统的非线性动态特性及其内部变量的耦合性,变桨控制信号的生成并不简单;此外,它们还受到风的随机性所带来的不确定性的影响。事实证明,模糊逻辑在系统参数不断变化或存在不确定性的应用中非常有用,但模糊逻辑控制器(FLC)参数的调整既不直接也不容易。另一方面,强化学习(RL)允许系统自动学习,可以利用这种能力来调整 FLC。本研究提出了一种 WT 螺距控制架构,利用 RL 来调整模糊控制器的成员函数和输出比例。RL 策略根据风速计算模糊控制器增益,以减少风电机组的输出功率误差。还考虑了基于输出功率误差的不同奖励机制。不同风况下的仿真结果表明,就功率误差而言,该架构比不使用 RL 的 FLC(133.2 W)或更简单的 PID(208.8 W)性能更好(123.7 W)。此外,它还能提供平滑的响应,并优于 RL-PID 和径向基函数神经网络控制等其他混合控制器。
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引用次数: 0
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Logic Journal of the IGPL
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