Pub Date : 2025-01-01Epub Date: 2025-04-16DOI: 10.1007/s40808-025-02322-1
Charlène N T Mfangnia, Henri E Z Tonnang, Berge Tsanou, Jeremy Keith Herren
Microsporidia MB is an endosymbiont which naturally infects Anopheles mosquitoes. Due to its ability to block Plasmodium transmission, it shows potential as a bio-based agent for the control of malaria. Its self-sustainability is promising, as it can spread through both vertical and horizontal transmissions. However, its low prevalence in mosquito populations remains a challenge. We develop an eco-epidemiological mathematical model describing the co-dynamics of Microsporidia MB (within mosquito population) and malaria (within human population). The model is used to assess the potential of Microsporidia MB-infected mosquitoes on the control of malaria infection. The results on the basic reproduction numbers, the stability of the equilibria, and the existence of bifurcations are obtained, providing conditions for the extinction and persistence of MB-infected mosquitoes. We highlight relevant threshold parameters for the elimination and persistence of MB-infected mosquitoes and malaria-infected individuals. Using real data from Kenya, we found that, given a horizontal transmission rate between 0 and 0.5, a minimum vertical rate of 0.55 is required to avoid extinction of MB-infected mosquitoes. The predicted prevalence of MB-infected mosquitoes using transmission rates reported from lab experiments align with the observed low prevalence of MB-infected mosquitoes in the field, thereby validating our model and results. Finally, predictions indicate that increasing MB mosquito infection could effectively control malaria, with target prevalence varying by region: 15% in Highland, 40% on the coast, and 70% in the Lake region. This study offers insights into the use of bio-based vector population replacement solutions to reduce malaria incidence in regions where Microsporidia MB is prevalent.
{"title":"An eco-epidemiological model for malaria with <i>Microsporidia MB</i> as bio-control agent.","authors":"Charlène N T Mfangnia, Henri E Z Tonnang, Berge Tsanou, Jeremy Keith Herren","doi":"10.1007/s40808-025-02322-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40808-025-02322-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><i>Microsporidia MB</i> is an endosymbiont which naturally infects <i>Anopheles</i> mosquitoes. Due to its ability to block <i>Plasmodium</i> transmission, it shows potential as a bio-based agent for the control of malaria. Its self-sustainability is promising, as it can spread through both vertical and horizontal transmissions. However, its low prevalence in mosquito populations remains a challenge. We develop an eco-epidemiological mathematical model describing the co-dynamics of <i>Microsporidia MB</i> (within mosquito population) and malaria (within human population). The model is used to assess the potential of <i>Microsporidia MB</i>-infected mosquitoes on the control of malaria infection. The results on the basic reproduction numbers, the stability of the equilibria, and the existence of bifurcations are obtained, providing conditions for the extinction and persistence of <i>MB</i>-infected mosquitoes. We highlight relevant threshold parameters for the elimination and persistence of <i>MB</i>-infected mosquitoes and malaria-infected individuals. Using real data from Kenya, we found that, given a horizontal transmission rate between 0 and 0.5, a minimum vertical rate of 0.55 is required to avoid extinction of <i>MB</i>-infected mosquitoes. The predicted prevalence of <i>MB</i>-infected mosquitoes using transmission rates reported from lab experiments align with the observed low prevalence of <i>MB</i>-infected mosquitoes in the field, thereby validating our model and results. Finally, predictions indicate that increasing <i>MB</i> mosquito infection could effectively control malaria, with target prevalence varying by region: 15% in Highland, 40% on the coast, and 70% in the Lake region. This study offers insights into the use of bio-based vector population replacement solutions to reduce malaria incidence in regions where <i>Microsporidia MB</i> is prevalent.</p>","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"11 3","pages":"221"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12003625/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144049265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-11DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01922-z
Piu Kundu
{"title":"Analysis of ground deformation due to movement of a sequence of interacting fault model","authors":"Piu Kundu","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01922-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01922-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"4 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139438952","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-10DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01920-1
Yau Umar Ahmad, James Andrawus, Abdurrahman Ado, Yahaya Adamu Maigoro, Abdullahi Yusuf, Saad Althobaiti, U. T. Mustapha
{"title":"Mathematical modeling and analysis of human-to-human monkeypox virus transmission with post-exposure vaccination","authors":"Yau Umar Ahmad, James Andrawus, Abdurrahman Ado, Yahaya Adamu Maigoro, Abdullahi Yusuf, Saad Althobaiti, U. T. Mustapha","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01920-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01920-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"6 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139438887","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-09DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01915-y
Son Q. Nguyen, Linh C. Nguyen, T. Ngo‐Duc, Sylvain Ouillon
{"title":"Applying a machine learning-based method for the prediction of suspended sediment concentration in the Red river basin","authors":"Son Q. Nguyen, Linh C. Nguyen, T. Ngo‐Duc, Sylvain Ouillon","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01915-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01915-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139444019","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-09DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01918-9
Emna Amri, Yonis Gulzar, Ashfak Yeafi, Siwar Jendoubi, Faten Dhawi, Mohammad Shuaib Mir
{"title":"Advancing automatic plant classification system in Saudi Arabia: introducing a novel dataset and ensemble deep learning approach","authors":"Emna Amri, Yonis Gulzar, Ashfak Yeafi, Siwar Jendoubi, Faten Dhawi, Mohammad Shuaib Mir","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01918-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01918-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"16 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139443154","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-08DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01933-w
Imm Serajul Haque, Mohammad Moshiur Rahman, Md. Sahil Rafiq, Mohammad Shakhawat Hosen Apurba, N. Khandaker
{"title":"Energy recovery potential in Bangladesh from elevated temperature textile processing wastewater: an analysis of energy recovery, energy economics and reduction in carbon dioxide emission","authors":"Imm Serajul Haque, Mohammad Moshiur Rahman, Md. Sahil Rafiq, Mohammad Shakhawat Hosen Apurba, N. Khandaker","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01933-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01933-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"41 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139446509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-03DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01901-4
H. Kalhori, R. Bagherpour, Hossein Tudeshki
{"title":"Monitoring of drill bit wear using sound and vibration signals analysis recorded during rock drilling operations","authors":"H. Kalhori, R. Bagherpour, Hossein Tudeshki","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01901-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01901-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"5 9","pages":"1-49"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139389577","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-03DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01923-y
Mahin Esmaeil Zaei, K. S. Rao, Abdullah Ansari
{"title":"Reservoir basin characterization using one-dimensional (1D) mechanical earth modeling (MEM) for wellbore stability (WBS) analysis","authors":"Mahin Esmaeil Zaei, K. S. Rao, Abdullah Ansari","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01923-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01923-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"47 11","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139388396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-31DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01916-x
Parya Abbaszad, F. Asadzadeh, S. Rezapour, Kamal Khosravi Aqdam, Farzin Shabani
{"title":"Evaluation of Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2 vegetation indices to predict soil organic carbon using machine learning models","authors":"Parya Abbaszad, F. Asadzadeh, S. Rezapour, Kamal Khosravi Aqdam, Farzin Shabani","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01916-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01916-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"8 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139132701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-30DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01921-0
Kefyialew Tilahun, D. Meshesha, E. Adgo, Nigussie Haregeweyn, A. Tsunekawa, G. Tiruneh, S. Demissie, Anteneh Wubet
{"title":"Evaluating and modeling a rainfall kinetic energy and erosivity: a case study of a humid watershed in the Ethiopian highlands","authors":"Kefyialew Tilahun, D. Meshesha, E. Adgo, Nigussie Haregeweyn, A. Tsunekawa, G. Tiruneh, S. Demissie, Anteneh Wubet","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01921-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01921-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":" 21","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139141756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
扫码关注我们
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号