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Demagoguery, populism, and foreign policy rhetoric: evidence from Jair Bolsonaro’s tweets 煽动、民粹主义和外交政策言论:来自Jair Bolsonaro推文的证据
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2126155
Rodrigo Fracalossi de Moraes
ABSTRACT This article investigates whether Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro extended demagoguery and populism into his foreign policy discourse. An analysis of 673 tweets indicates that demagoguery was more common (observed in 94 tweets) than populism (observed in 14 tweets). Bolsonaro adopted a Red Scare tactic, distorted information about the 2019 Amazon wildfires, spread rumours about COVID-19, and portrayed relations with the US during Trump’s administration and Israel during Netanyahu’s as panaceas. Findings suggest that demagoguery can ramify into foreign policy discourse, with a leader fitting distorted interpretations of foreign topics and actors into stories made for domestic consumption. Bolsonaro was cautious concerning relations with China though, indicating that international power politics and expected gains or losses from trade and investment may condition the scope of demagogical discourses. This article shows a conceptual gap in literature on foreign policy discourse, which a framework using the concept of demagoguery can, in part, fill.
摘要本文调查了巴西总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗是否将煽动和民粹主义纳入了他的外交政策话语。对673条推文的分析表明,煽动(在94条推文中观察到)比民粹主义(在14条推文)更常见。博尔索纳罗采取了“红色恐慌”策略,歪曲了有关2019年亚马逊野火的信息,散布了有关新冠肺炎的谣言,并将特朗普执政期间与美国和内塔尼亚胡执政期间与以色列的关系描绘成灵丹妙药。研究结果表明,煽动可以渗透到外交政策话语中,领导人将对外国话题和行为者的扭曲解读融入为国内消费制作的故事中。不过,博索纳罗对与中国的关系持谨慎态度,表示国际强权政治以及贸易和投资的预期收益或损失可能会限制煽动性言论的范围。本文展示了外交政策话语文献中的一个概念空白,使用煽动概念的框架可以部分填补这一空白。
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引用次数: 2
Embracing the concept of democracy in China: citizens’ democratic perceptions and support 拥抱中国的民主理念:公民对民主的认知与支持
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2118436
Y. Zhai
ABSTRACT Citizens in authoritarian regimes understand the concept of democracy under the influence of the state's manipulation and individual agency. This study examines Chinese citizens’ perception of three types of government – people relationships – government (1) of the people; (2) by the people; and (3) for the people – without directly using the term ‘democracy’. Citizens’ perceptions of these three principles of democracy can predict the level of their support for democracy, identifying variations among Chinese ‘democrats’. The principle of government by the people is most popular among the Chinese public. Citizens who understand democracy based on government of the people are dissatisfied with the country's level of democracy and criticize authoritarian politics. Public understanding of democracy based on government for the people has an anti-democratic orientation, and is compatible with support for authoritarian rule. This study unveils variations in the Chinese public's understanding of democracy and its impact on politics.
摘要独裁政权中的公民理解在国家操纵和个人代理的影响下的民主概念。本研究考察了中国公民对三种类型的政府-人民关系-政府的认知:(1)人民政府;(2) 人民;以及(3)为人民——不直接使用“民主”一词。公民对这三项民主原则的看法可以预测他们对民主的支持程度,从而确定中国“民主人士”的差异。人民政府的原则在中国公众中最受欢迎。理解以人民政府为基础的民主的公民对国家的民主水平感到不满,并批评独裁政治。公众对建立在政府为民基础上的民主的理解具有反民主倾向,并与对威权统治的支持相兼容。这项研究揭示了中国公众对民主的理解及其对政治的影响的变化。
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引用次数: 2
‘We are at war’: securitisation, legitimation and COVID-19 pandemic politics in France “我们正在打仗”:法国的证券化、合法化和新冠肺炎大流行政治
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2118426
Hai Yang
ABSTRACT This article makes a case for studying the legitimation of emergency politics from the vantage point of securitisation. To that end, it zooms in on politics during the COVID-19 pandemic – a many-sided crisis that generated a heightened insecurity environment. Based on a qualitative content analysis of the French official rhetoric on two COVID-19 emergency measures, it foregrounds how securitising speech acts construing a macro threat and notable shifts in hierarchical ordering of securitisations underpinned justifications for COVID-19 pandemic politics. Conceptually, this research bridges the literature on legitimation and securitisation by synthesising scattered securitising elements in typologies of legitimation and outlining the legitimating function of two securitisation dynamics – macrosecuritisation and securitising dilemma.
摘要本文从证券化的角度研究紧急政治的正当性。为此,它放大了2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的政治——这是一场多方面的危机,导致不安全环境加剧。基于对法国官方关于两项COVID-19紧急措施的言论的定性内容分析,它展望了证券化言论如何构成宏观威胁,以及证券化等级顺序的显着变化如何支撑COVID-19大流行政治的理由。从概念上讲,本研究通过综合合法化类型学中分散的证券化要素,并概述两种证券化动态-宏观证券化和证券化困境-的合法化功能,将合法化和证券化的文献联系起来。
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引用次数: 5
The politics of civil society narratives in contestation between liberalism and nationalism in authoritarian Vietnam 威权主义越南自由主义与民族主义之争中的公民社会叙事政治
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2102320
Ánh Ngọc Vũ, Binh Quang Le
ABSTRACT The liberal-dominated civil society theory tends to obscure the dynamics and intricacy of state-society relations in authoritarian contexts. Existing accounts on Vietnam have not cast adequate light onto the struggles of ideology and positions between the state and civil society. Drawing on the most recent data from social media in Vietnam, the article contributes a new analytical approach to understanding state-society relations by offering granular insights into the contrasting but mutually reinforcing narratives adopted by the state and civil society actors. In particular, the article steers attention towards the opportunities that crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic have provided for ideological struggles and legitimacy building between these actors. The paper argues that rather than continuously pushing forward the rhetoric ‘civic space is shrinking’, these alternatives must be steeped within wider historical understanding, attuned to particularities of the social-political context, and ultimately reflective of the evolving intricate state-society relations.
自由主义主导的公民社会理论往往掩盖了威权语境下国家与社会关系的动态性和复杂性。现有的关于越南的报道并没有充分揭示国家和民间社会之间的意识形态和立场斗争。根据越南社交媒体的最新数据,这篇文章为理解国家与社会关系提供了一种新的分析方法,对国家与民间社会行为者所采用的对比但相辅相成的叙事提供了细致的见解。特别是,文章将注意力转向新冠肺炎等危机为这些行为者之间的意识形态斗争和合法性建设提供的机会。该论文认为,与其不断推进“公民空间正在缩小”的论调,这些替代方案必须融入更广泛的历史理解,适应社会政治背景的特殊性,并最终反映不断演变的复杂国家社会关系。
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引用次数: 0
From the Varieties of Democracy to the defense of liberal democracy: V-Dem and the reconstitution of liberal hegemony under threat 从民主的多样性到自由民主的捍卫:V-Dem与威胁下自由霸权的重构
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-07-06 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2096191
Jonas Wolff
ABSTRACT In recent years, democracy has been facing increasing challenges. How has comparative regime research responded? Focusing on the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) project, this paper argues that the perception of serious threats to democracy in general and liberal norms in particular has given rise to a convergence around the liberal conception of democracy, reversing a previous turn towards recognising its conceptual contestability. In tracing V-Dem’s discursive turn from the contestation to the decontestation of democracy, the paper reconstructs two mechanisms that concern the ways in which academic research relates to the outside world and that have jointly pushed V-Dem scholars towards embracing unequivocally liberal conceptions of regime type and regime change. As a response to the crisis of democracy, this gradual abandonment of a pluralist conceptualisation of democracy is understandable but also deeply problematic as it contributes to downplaying the inherent limitations of liberal democracy.
近年来,民主面临着越来越多的挑战。比较制度研究是如何回应的?关注民主的多样性(V-Dem)项目,本文认为,对民主的普遍威胁,特别是对自由主义规范的严重威胁的认识,已经引起了围绕自由主义民主概念的趋同,扭转了之前承认其概念可争议性的转变。在追踪V-Dem从对民主的争论到对民主的反争论的话语转向过程中,本文重构了两种机制,这两种机制关系到学术研究与外部世界的联系方式,并共同推动V-Dem学者接受关于政权类型和政权更迭的明确自由主义概念。作为对民主危机的回应,这种逐渐放弃民主的多元化概念是可以理解的,但也存在严重的问题,因为它有助于淡化自由民主的内在局限性。
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引用次数: 4
‘The cure cannot be worse than the problem’: securitising the securitisation of COVID-19 in the USA “治愈不能比问题更糟”:在美国将新冠肺炎证券化
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2095762
Jessica Kirk
ABSTRACT This article examines how the securitisation of COVID-19 in the United States was publicly contested. Reviewing the wider securitisation scholarship, it outlines five different kinds of contestation: securitisation failure, contestation within, counter-securitisation, the securitisation of securitisation, and desecuritization. Considering these within a discourse analysis of how COVID-19 was securitised and contested by both key political figures and protestors between 1 January 2020 and 30 May 2020, the paper finds that the securitisation of COVID-19 took two forms. One used war metaphors to represent COVID-19 as a ‘foreign enemy’ to be (quickly) conquered, while the other represented normality – everyday economic and social activity – as dangerous. The former saw efforts to desecuritize and ‘close’ the threat, while the latter was securitised as a threat itself. Ultimately, COVID-19 was downgraded to a manageable risk, while measures that recognised its continuing threat were depicted as existential threats to American lives, jobs, prosperity, and freedoms.
摘要本文探讨了新冠肺炎在美国的证券化是如何受到公开质疑的。回顾更广泛的证券化学术,它概述了五种不同的争论:证券化失败、内部争论、反证券化、证券化的证券化和去证券化。在对新冠肺炎如何在2020年1月1日至2020年5月30日期间被关键政治人物和抗议者证券化和质疑的话语分析中,考虑到这些,本文发现新冠肺炎的证券化有两种形式。其中一个使用战争隐喻将新冠肺炎描述为需要(迅速)征服的“外敌”,而另一个则将日常经济和社会活动的常态描述为危险。前者看到了去安全化和“关闭”威胁的努力,而后者则被证券化为威胁本身。最终,新冠肺炎被降级为可控风险,而认识到其持续威胁的措施被描述为对美国人生命、就业、繁荣和自由的生存威胁。
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引用次数: 4
The nonlinear impact of women’s descriptive representation: an empirical study on the ratification of women rights treaties 妇女描述性代表的非线性影响——对批准妇女权利条约的实证研究
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-21 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2088090
Byung-Deuk Woo, Ki Eun Ryu
ABSTRACT Does the women’s descriptive representation have nonlinear impacts on women’s substantive representation? This article contributes to the literature on women in politics by opening the academic black box of the nonlinear impacts of women’s descriptive representation with the time-series cross-national data on the ratification of women’s international treaties of 117 countries from 1960 to 2016. Our study demonstrates that there is a nonlinear relationship between the improvement of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments and the number of women’s international treaties ratified. To be specific, we find that the increase in the percentage of women in parliaments leads countries to ratify women’s international treaties. Interestingly, the link between the percentage of female legislators and the number of women’s international treaties ratified turns into a negative relationship when the percentage reaches around 30%. We also find that the impact of women’s descriptive representation is only valid in democratic countries.
女性的描述性代表性是否对女性的实质性代表性产生非线性影响?本文利用117个国家1960年至2016年批准妇女国际条约的时间序列跨国数据,打开了女性描述性代表性非线性影响的学术黑箱,为女性参政文献做出贡献。我们的研究表明,妇女在议会中描述性代表权的改善与批准的妇女国际条约的数量之间存在非线性关系。具体来说,我们发现,妇女在议会中所占比例的增加促使各国批准有关妇女的国际条约。有趣的是,当女性立法者的比例达到30%左右时,这一比例与批准的妇女国际条约的数量之间的关系就变成了负相关。我们还发现,女性描述性代表的影响仅在民主国家有效。
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引用次数: 0
A sea of difference? Australian and Italian approaches to irregular migration and seaborne asylum seekers 差异之海?澳大利亚和意大利对非正常移民和海运寻求庇护者的处理办法
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2080959
G. Abbondanza
ABSTRACT While Australian and Italian policies on irregular maritime migration are widely debated, they have seldom been examined together, a gap in the literature that this article addresses with a comprehensive comparative analysis. Informed by theories on irregular migrants' reception, it traces the two countries' policies between 2000 and early 2022, and examines their many convergences and few discrepancies through a framework comprising (i) domestic pressures, (ii) international pressures, and (iii) the choice between the moral imperative and national interest. It finds that contrasting socio-political characteristics domestically explain why Canberra and Rome have at times adopted opposite policies, whereas comparable international pressures clarify the implementation of similar ones. It also sheds light on the contradiction in Australia's middle power identity and ‘good international citizenship', and on Italy’s torn posture betwixt great power politics and humanitarian efforts. In 2020–2022, their policy continuity amidst the COVID-19 pandemic is worthy of notice.
摘要尽管澳大利亚和意大利关于非正常海上移民的政策存在广泛争议,但很少将其放在一起研究,这是本文通过全面比较分析解决的文献空白。根据非正常移民接收理论,它追溯了2000年至2022年初两国的政策,并通过一个包括(i)国内压力、(ii)国际压力和(iii)道德义务和国家利益之间的选择的框架,考察了两国的许多趋同和少数差异。研究发现,国内截然不同的社会政治特征解释了堪培拉和罗马有时采取相反政策的原因,而类似的国际压力则说明了类似政策的实施。它还揭示了澳大利亚的中间大国身份和“良好的国际公民身份”之间的矛盾,以及意大利在大国政治和人道主义努力之间的撕裂姿态。2020-2022年,他们在新冠肺炎大流行期间的政策连续性值得注意。
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引用次数: 0
Patron-client state relations and the geopolitics of authoritarian survival and breakdown: evidence from the MENA countries 赞助人-客户-国家关系与威权主义生存和崩溃的地缘政治——来自中东和北非国家的证据
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-04-29 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2069068
Loretta Dell’Aguzzo, E. Diodato
ABSTRACT In this paper, we explain how the international relations of authoritarian regimes shape their reaction to nonviolent popular mobilisation. We identify four main strategies of authoritarian survival and argue that – from the incumbents’ perspective – repression and democratic opening are riskier than informal and formal co-optation. Thus, we ask why some nondemocratic rulers select riskier rather than safer strategies. Although recent studies have devoted much attention to the relevance of international factors in shaping domestic politics, this proposition has not been thoroughly theorised nor scrutinised empirically. We focus on authoritarian regimes that have established patron–client relations with foreign powers and argue that patrons’ regimes influence the selection of specific survival strategies by threatened clients. We hypothesise that dictators with democratic patrons are induced to adopt riskier strategies of survival, whereas clients of autocracies are more likely to select safer strategies. We test our hypothesis on MENA countries.
摘要在本文中,我们解释了威权政权的国际关系如何影响他们对非暴力民众动员的反应。我们确定了威权主义生存的四种主要策略,并认为,从现任者的角度来看,镇压和民主开放比非正式和正式的联合选举风险更大。因此,我们要问,为什么一些不民主的统治者选择风险更大而不是更安全的策略。尽管最近的研究非常关注国际因素在塑造国内政治中的相关性,但这一命题尚未得到彻底的理论分析和实证检验。我们关注的是与外国势力建立了庇护-客户关系的独裁政权,并认为庇护政权会影响受威胁客户对特定生存策略的选择。我们假设,拥有民主赞助人的独裁者被诱导采取风险更大的生存策略,而独裁政权的客户更有可能选择更安全的策略。我们在中东和北非国家检验了我们的假设。
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引用次数: 0
How well does ‘resilience’ apply to democracy? A systematic review “弹性”在多大程度上适用于民主?系统综述
IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2022.2069312
Josh Holloway, R. Manwaring
ABSTRACT Scholars increasingly refer to ‘democratic resilience’ to understand the ways democracies respond to threats and challenges. Likewise, policymakers advocate democratic resilience as part of foreign and security strategies, and as an aim of internally strengthening democratic practices, amid changing threat environments. But what does ‘democratic resilience’ mean? Does it align with well-established resilience theorising across other disciplines, and does it provide anything distinct from existing means of understanding democratic perseverance? To answer these questions, we conduct a systematic review of literature discussing democratic resilience, and measure findings against a synthesis of multidisciplinary theorising on resilience. We find that democratic resilience is often under-theorised, used in a fashion that largely repackages existing democratisation concepts, or fails to incorporate advancements in broader resilience theorising. Recent contributions to both theoretical development and operationalisation of democratic resilience, however, indicate a potential turning point in the evolution of the concept.
摘要学者们越来越多地使用“民主韧性”来理解民主国家应对威胁和挑战的方式。同样,政策制定者倡导民主韧性,将其作为外交和安全战略的一部分,并将其作为在不断变化的威胁环境中加强内部民主实践的目标。但“民主复原力”是什么意思?它是否与其他学科中公认的韧性理论相一致,它是否提供了与理解民主毅力的现有手段不同的东西?为了回答这些问题,我们对讨论民主复原力的文献进行了系统的回顾,并将研究结果与关于复原力的多学科理论相比较。我们发现,民主复原力经常被低估,以一种在很大程度上重新包装现有民主化概念的方式使用,或者未能将更广泛的复原力理论的进步纳入其中。然而,最近对民主复原力的理论发展和实践的贡献表明,这一概念的演变可能出现转折点。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Contemporary Politics
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