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Why Did People Move During the Great Recession?: The Role of Economics in Migration Decisions. 为什么人们会在大萧条时期搬家?经济学在移民决策中的作用。
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-04-01 Epub Date: 2017-05-10 DOI: 10.7758/rsf.2017.3.3.05
Brian L Levy, Ted Mouw, Anthony Daniel Perez

Labor migration offers an important mechanism to reallocate workers when there are regional differences in employment conditions. Whereas conventional wisdom suggests migration rates should increase during recessions as workers move out of areas that are hit hardest, initial evidence suggested that overall migration rates declined during the Great Recession, despite large regional differences in unemployment and growth rates. In this paper, we use data from the American Community Survey to analyze internal migration trends before and during the economic downturn. First, we find only a modest decline in the odds of adults leaving distressed labor market areas during the recession, which may result in part from challenges related to the housing price crash. Second, we estimate conditional logit models of destination choice for individuals who migrate across labor market areas and find a substantial effect of economic factors such as labor demand, unemployment, and housing values. We also estimate latent class conditional logit models that test whether there is heterogeneity in preferences for destination characteristics among migrants. Over all, the latent class models suggest that roughly equal percentages of migrants were motivated by economic factors before and during the recession. We conclude that fears of dramatic declines in labor migration seem to be unsubstantiated.

在就业条件存在地区差异的情况下,劳动力迁移为劳动力再配置提供了重要机制。传统观点认为,在经济衰退期间,随着工人离开受打击最严重的地区,移民率应该会上升,但初步证据表明,在大衰退期间,尽管失业率和增长率存在巨大的地区差异,但总体移民率有所下降。在本文中,我们使用美国社区调查的数据来分析经济衰退之前和期间的内部移民趋势。首先,我们发现,在经济衰退期间,成年人离开陷入困境的劳动力市场地区的几率仅略有下降,这在一定程度上可能是由于与房价崩溃相关的挑战。其次,我们估计了跨劳动力市场地区迁移的个人目的地选择的条件logit模型,并发现了劳动力需求、失业率和住房价值等经济因素的实质性影响。我们还估计了潜在类别条件logit模型,该模型用于测试移民对目的地特征的偏好是否存在异质性。总体而言,潜在阶级模型表明,在经济衰退之前和期间,受经济因素驱动的移民比例大致相等。我们的结论是,对劳动力迁移急剧下降的担忧似乎是没有根据的。
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引用次数: 13
Socioeconomic Segregation of Activity Spaces in Urban Neighborhoods: Does Shared Residence Mean Shared Routines? 城市社区活动空间的社会经济隔离:共享住所是否意味着共享作息时间?
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-02-01 DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2017.3.2.09
Christopher R Browning, Catherine A Calder, Lauren J Krivo, Anna L Smith, Bethany Boettner

Residential segregation by income and education is increasing alongside slowly declining black-white segregation. Segregation in urban neighborhood residents' non-home activity spaces has not been explored. How integrated are the daily routines of people who live in the same neighborhood? Are people with different socioeconomic backgrounds that live near one another less likely to share routine activity locations than those of similar education or income? Do these patterns vary across the socioeconomic continuum or by neighborhood structure? The analyses draw on unique data from the Los Angeles Family and Neighborhood Survey that identify the location where residents engage in routine activities. Using multilevel p2 (network) models, we analyze pairs of households located in the same neighborhood and examine whether the dyad combinations across three levels of SES conduct routine activities in the same location, and whether neighbor socioeconomic similarity in the co-location of routine activities is dependent on the level of neighborhood socioeconomic inequality and trust. Results indicate that, on average, increasing SES diminishes the likelihood of sharing activity locations with any SES group. This pattern is most pronounced in neighborhoods characterized by high levels of socioeconomic inequality. Neighborhood trust explains a nontrivial proportion of the inequality effect on the extent of routine activity sorting by SES. Thus stark, visible neighborhood-level inequality by SES may lead to enhanced effects of distrust on the willingness to share routines across class.

在黑白隔离缓慢下降的同时,按收入和教育程度划分的居住隔离也在加剧。城市社区居民非家庭活动空间的隔离问题尚未得到探讨。居住在同一社区的人们的日常生活有多融合?与教育程度或收入相似的人相比,社会经济背景不同但住得近的人是否不太可能共享日常活动场所?这些模式是否因社会经济连续体或邻里结构而异?分析利用了洛杉矶家庭和邻里调查的独特数据,这些数据可以确定居民从事日常活动的地点。利用多层次 p2(网络)模型,我们分析了位于同一社区的成对家庭,并研究了三个社会经济地位水平的配对组合是否在同一地点进行日常活动,以及在日常活动的共同地点进行的邻里社会经济相似性是否取决于邻里社会经济不平等和信任水平。结果表明,平均而言,社会经济地位的提高会降低与任何社会经济地位群体共享活动地点的可能性。这种模式在社会经济不平等程度较高的社区最为明显。邻里信任在社会经济地位对日常活动分类程度的不平等影响中占了不小的比例。因此,鲜明、明显的邻里层面的社会经济不平等可能会导致不信任对跨阶层分享日常活动的意愿产生更大的影响。
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引用次数: 0
How Wealth Inequality Shapes Our Future. 财富不平等如何塑造我们的未来。
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-10-01 Epub Date: 2016-11-16 DOI: 10.7758/rsf.2016.2.6.01
Fabian T Pfeffer, Robert F Schoeni

Liz, Mary, and Howard are three teenagers in the 1980s. Although unrelated, their families have much in common: stable two- parent households, at least one parent completed high school (though none of them went to college), and all three are white. They differ in one important aspect: their parents command quite different levels of wealth (here measured as net worth, that is, the total sum of financial and real assets minus debt). Liz's parents own less than $700 (inflation adjusted to 2013 dollars), meaning that Liz grows up at the bottom of the wealth distribution. Still, she is far from living in poverty thanks to her parents' annual income of about $50,000. Mary's parents have a somewhat higher income, about $70,000, but also markedly more wealth than Liz's parents: their net worth of roughly $60,000 puts them at about the national median of the time. Also unlike Liz's parents, they are homeowners. Howard is lucky enough to grow up in affluence. Not in terms of income, given that his parents have a household income of only about $40,000, but they have considerable wealth. With a net worth of nearly a quarter million dollars, Howard's parents are in the top 20 percent of wealth holders. They, too, own their home.

莉兹、玛丽和霍华德是 20 世纪 80 年代的三个青少年。虽然没有血缘关系,但他们的家庭有很多共同点:稳定的双亲家庭、父母至少有一方完成了高中学业(尽管他们都没有上过大学)、三人都是白人。他们在一个重要方面存在差异:他们的父母拥有的财富(这里用净资产来衡量,即金融资产和实物资产减去债务的总和)水平迥异。莉兹的父母拥有的财富不到 700 美元(按 2013 年美元通胀率调整),这意味着莉兹是在财富分配的最底层长大的。不过,由于父母的年收入约为 5 万美元,她还远未到生活贫困的地步。玛丽的父母收入略高,约为 7 万美元,但财富也明显多于莉兹的父母:他们的净资产约为 6 万美元,处于当时全国的中位数。与莉兹的父母不同的是,他们还是房主。霍华德有幸在富裕的环境中长大。虽然他父母的家庭收入只有 4 万美元左右,但他们的财富却相当可观。霍华德的父母拥有近 25 万美元的净资产,在财富拥有者中排名前 20%。他们也拥有自己的住房。
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引用次数: 0
Inequality and Mobility using Income, Consumption, and Wealth for the Same Individuals. 使用相同个人的收入、消费和财富来衡量不平等和流动性。
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-10-01 DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2016.2.6.03
Jonathan Fisher, David Johnson, Jonathan Latner, Timothy Smeeding, Jeffrey Thompson

Recent studies of economic inequality almost always separately examine income inequality, consumption inequality, and wealth inequality, and hence, these studies miss the important synergy between the three measures explicit in the life-cycle budget constraint. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), we study inequality in three dimensions, focusing on the conjoint distributions of income, consumption, and wealth for the same individuals. We find that the trends in inequality in income, consumption, and wealth similarly increase between 1999 and 2013. We examine the pairwise distributions of our measures using the average propensity to consume and the wealth-income ratios. Using the longitudinal nature of the PSID, we follow people over this period and find mobility is similar using income, consumption and wealth. We conclude that while all three types of inequality are rising, wealth increasingly acts as a buffer to cushion income changes, which could reduce mobility - both intra- and inter-generational mobility.

近期有关经济不平等的研究几乎总是分别研究收入不平等、消费不平等和财富不平等,因此,这些研究忽略了生命周期预算约束中明确的三种衡量标准之间的重要协同作用。利用收入动态面板研究(PSID),我们从三个维度研究了不平等问题,重点关注同一个体的收入、消费和财富的联合分布。我们发现,1999 年至 2013 年间,收入、消费和财富的不平等趋势同样在加剧。我们使用平均消费倾向和财富收入比来研究我们的衡量指标的成对分布。利用 PSID 的纵向性质,我们对这一时期的人们进行了跟踪,发现收入、消费和财富的流动性是相似的。我们的结论是,虽然所有三种类型的不平等都在加剧,但财富越来越多地起到缓冲收入变化的作用,这可能会降低流动性--包括代内流动性和代际流动性。
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引用次数: 0
The Opt-Out Continuation: Education, Work, and Motherhood from 1984 to 2012. 选择退出的延续:1984年至2012年的教育、工作和母性。
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-08-01 DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2016.2.4.02
Tanya Byker

Debate about an increasing trend in highly educated women dropping out of the labor force to care for children-an opt-out revolution-has been considerable. I use unique features of the of Survey of Income and Program Participation-a large nationally representative sample, longitudinal structure, monthly labor-force outcomes, and repeated panels-to study trends in women's birth-related career interruptions over time and across the education spectrum. Methodologically, I use event studies to compare women's monthly labor-force outcomes on the extensive and intensive margins from twenty-four months before to twenty-four months after births in the 1980s, 1990s, and 2000s. Rather than an abrupt change in opting out, I find that the pattern of birth-related interruptions has changed surprisingly little over the past thirty years-substantial and sustained interruptions remain common for mothers in all education categories. Rather than a revolution, I find an opt-out continuation.

越来越多受过高等教育的女性为了照顾孩子而退出劳动力大军,这是一场“选择退出革命”。我使用收入和项目参与调查的独特特征——一个具有全国代表性的大样本、纵向结构、每月劳动力结果和重复小组——来研究随着时间和教育范围的推移,女性与生育相关的职业中断的趋势。在方法上,我使用事件研究来比较20世纪80年代、90年代和21世纪初女性在产前24个月和产后24个月的粗放型和集约型边际的每月劳动力结果。我发现,在过去的30年里,与生育有关的中断模式并没有发生突然的变化,而是出人意料地几乎没有变化——对所有教育类别的母亲来说,实质性和持续的中断仍然很常见。我发现这不是一场革命,而是一种选择退出的延续。
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引用次数: 35
Motherhood and the Wages of Women in Professional Occupations. 母亲身份与职业女性的工资。
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-08-01 Epub Date: 2016-08-29 DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2016.2.4.05
Claudia Buchmann, Anne McDaniel

It is well established that mothers are paid less than childless women and that fathers tend to earn higher wages relative to childless men, but we do not know whether these findings apply to workers in all occupations. Using IPUMS and ACS data from 1980 and 2010, we examine the family wage gap for highly educated professionals, the most advantaged sector of the occupational distribution. Results indicate that the size of the negative wage differential for motherhood has declined over time in all professions. Moreover, in the traditionally male-dominated professions of STEM, medicine, and law, women with children experience a positive wage differential, whereas their counterparts in female-dominated professions continue to experience a negative one. The positive differential for fatherhood has remained stable over time. These findings underscore the growing heterogeneity of women's experiences in combining work and family and raise important questions for further research.

众所周知,母亲的工资低于无子女的女性,而父亲的工资往往高于无子女的男性,但我们不知道这些结论是否适用于所有职业的工人。利用 1980 年和 2010 年的 IPUMS 和 ACS 数据,我们研究了职业分布中最有优势的高学历专业人士的家庭工资差距。结果表明,随着时间的推移,所有职业的母亲工资负差的规模都在缩小。此外,在传统上男性占主导地位的 STEM、医学和法律等职业中,有子女的女性经历了正工资差异,而在女性占主导地位的职业中,有子女的女性则继续经历负工资差异。随着时间的推移,父亲身份带来的正向差异一直保持稳定。这些发现凸显了妇女在兼顾工作和家庭方面的经历日益多样化,并提出了有待进一步研究的重要问题。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple Barriers to Economic Opportunity for the "Truly" Disadvantaged and Vulnerable. “真正”弱势群体和弱势群体获得经济机会的多重障碍。
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-05-01 DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2016.2.2.04
Timothy M Smeeding

This article answers several questions: Which subgroups of the U.S. population-designated by race, ethnicity, family structure, educational status, income, wealth, consumption, or other characteristics-appear to be particularly vulnerable to a lack of economic opportunity based on household characteristics of the family and its children? To what degree does poor access to economic advancement appear to reflect low income or wealth, or do additional barriers contribute substantially to some subgroups' limited opportunities? Similarly, what advantages accrue to high-income and other privileged groups, such as those born into a well-established married family? What does current research tell us about the mechanisms through which barriers operate and policies that might be effective in reducing them?

这篇文章回答了几个问题:根据家庭及其子女的家庭特征,按种族、民族、家庭结构、教育状况、收入、财富、消费或其他特征划分的美国人口中哪些亚组似乎特别容易受到缺乏经济机会的影响?获得经济进步的机会不足在多大程度上反映了低收入或低财富,或者额外的障碍在很大程度上导致了一些亚群体的机会有限?同样,高收入和其他特权群体,比如那些出生在一个成熟的已婚家庭的人,会获得什么优势?关于障碍的运作机制以及可能有效减少障碍的政策,目前的研究告诉我们什么?
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引用次数: 14
Can Early Childhood Interventions Decrease Inequality of Economic Opportunity? 幼儿干预措施能减少经济机会的不平等吗?
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-05-01 Epub Date: 2016-05-16 DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2016.2.2.05
Katherine Magnuson, Greg J Duncan

This paper considers whether expanding access to center-based early childhood education (ECE) will reduce economic inequality later in life. A strong evidence base indicates that ECE is effective at improving young children's academic skills and human capital development. We review evidence that children from low-income families have lower rates of preschool enrollment than their more affluent peers. Our analysis indicates that increasing enrollments for preschoolers in the year before school entry is likely to be a worthy investment that will yield economic payoffs in the form of increased adult earnings. The benefits of even a moderately effective ECE program are likely to be sufficient to offset the costs of program expansion, and increased enrollment among low-income children may reduce later economic inequality.

本文考虑了扩大接受以中心为基础的幼儿教育(ECE)的机会是否会减少以后生活中的经济不平等。强有力的证据基础表明,欧洲经委会在提高幼儿的学术技能和人力资本发展方面是有效的。我们回顾了来自低收入家庭的儿童比他们更富裕的同龄人的学前入学率更低的证据。我们的分析表明,在入学前一年增加学龄前儿童的入学人数可能是一项有价值的投资,将以增加成人收入的形式产生经济回报。即使是适度有效的欧洲经委会计划的好处也可能足以抵消计划扩大的成本,低收入儿童入学人数的增加可能会减少以后的经济不平等。
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引用次数: 86
Income and Access to Higher Education: Are High Quality Universities Becoming More or Less Elite? A Longitudinal Case Study of Admissions at UW-Madison. 收入和接受高等教育的机会:高质量大学是越来越精英化还是越来越不精英化?威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校招生纵向案例研究。
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2016.2.1.04
Sara E Dahill-Brown, John F Witte, Barbara Wolfe

Has access to selective postsecondary schools expanded or contracted? Evaluating this question has proven a difficult task because data are limited, particularly with regard to family income. We complement previous work and provide a replicable model of institutional analysis. This paper presents a detailed, quantitative assessment of admissions at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, an elite flagship public university-the type that is supposed to offer excellent opportunities to students from all backgrounds. We use an innovative measure of family income to compare applicant, admissions, and enrollment trends for low-income and minority students from 1972 to 2007. The unique aspects of this study include the more reliable measure of income and the ability to look at the full process from applications, admissions, and matriculations (demand and supply), not generally available in national datasets.

进入选择性高等教育的机会是扩大了还是缩小了?评价这个问题已证明是一项困难的任务,因为数据有限,特别是关于家庭收入的数据。我们补充了以前的工作,并提供了一个可复制的制度分析模型。本文对威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校的招生情况进行了详细的定量评估。威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校是一所精英旗舰公立大学,理应为各种背景的学生提供绝佳的机会。我们使用一种创新的家庭收入衡量标准来比较1972年至2007年低收入和少数族裔学生的申请、录取和入学趋势。这项研究的独特之处包括更可靠的收入衡量标准,以及从申请、录取和入学(需求和供应)看整个过程的能力,这些在国家数据集中通常是不存在的。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
Rsf-The Russell Sage Journal of the Social Sciences
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