首页 > 最新文献

Journal of Computational Finance最新文献

英文 中文
Dilated Convolutional Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting 扩展卷积神经网络用于时间序列预测
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-10-24 DOI: 10.21314/JCF.2019.358
A. Borovykh, S. Bohté, C. Oosterlee
We present a method for conditional time series forecasting based on an adaptation of the recent deep convolutional WaveNet architecture. The proposed network contains stacks of dilated convolutions that allow it to access a broad range of historical data when forecasting. It also uses a rectified linear unit (ReLU) activation function, and conditioning is performed by applying multiple convolutional filters in parallel to separate time series, which allows for the fast processing of data and the exploitation of the correlation structure between the multivariate time series. We test and analyze the performance of the convolutional network both unconditionally and conditionally for financial time series forecasting using the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, the volatility index, the Chicago Board Options Exchange interest rate and several exchange rates, and we extensively compare its performance with those of the well-known autoregressive model and a long short-term memory network. We show that a convolutional network is well suited to regression-type problems and is able to effectively learn dependencies in and between the series without the need for long historical time series, that it is a time-efficient and easy-to-implement alternative to recurrent-type networks, and that it tends to outperform linear and recurrent models.
我们提出了一种基于深度卷积WaveNet结构的条件时间序列预测方法。所提出的网络包含扩展卷积堆栈,允许它在预测时访问广泛的历史数据。它还使用了一个整流线性单元(ReLU)激活函数,并通过并行地将多个卷积滤波器应用于单独的时间序列来执行条件调节,这允许快速处理数据并利用多元时间序列之间的相关结构。我们使用标准普尔500指数、波动率指数、芝加哥期权交易所利率和几种汇率对卷积网络在金融时间序列预测中的无条件和有条件性能进行了测试和分析,并将其与著名的自回归模型和长短期记忆网络的性能进行了广泛的比较。我们表明,卷积网络非常适合于回归型问题,并且能够有效地学习序列内和序列之间的依赖关系,而不需要长时间的历史时间序列,它是递归型网络的一种时间效率高且易于实现的替代方案,并且它倾向于优于线性和递归模型。
{"title":"Dilated Convolutional Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting","authors":"A. Borovykh, S. Bohté, C. Oosterlee","doi":"10.21314/JCF.2019.358","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JCF.2019.358","url":null,"abstract":"We present a method for conditional time series forecasting based on an adaptation of the recent deep convolutional WaveNet architecture. The proposed network contains stacks of dilated convolutions that allow it to access a broad range of historical data when forecasting. It also uses a rectified linear unit (ReLU) activation function, and conditioning is performed by applying multiple convolutional filters in parallel to separate time series, which allows for the fast processing of data and the exploitation of the correlation structure between the multivariate time series. We test and analyze the performance of the convolutional network both unconditionally and conditionally for financial time series forecasting using the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, the volatility index, the Chicago Board Options Exchange interest rate and several exchange rates, and we extensively compare its performance with those of the well-known autoregressive model and a long short-term memory network. We show that a convolutional network is well suited to regression-type problems and is able to effectively learn dependencies in and between the series without the need for long historical time series, that it is a time-efficient and easy-to-implement alternative to recurrent-type networks, and that it tends to outperform linear and recurrent models.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2018-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49022722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 79
Polynomial Upper and Lower Bounds for Financial Derivative Price Functions under Regime-Switching 制度交换下金融衍生品价格函数的多项式上下界
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-09-11 DOI: 10.21314/JCF.2018.352
Louis Bhim, Ray Kawai
We present a new approach to bounding financial derivative prices in regime-switching market models from both above and below. We derive sufficient conditions under which a particular class of functions act as bounds for the prices of financial derivatives in regime-switching market models. Using these sufficient conditions, we then formulate, in a general setting, optimization problems whose solutions can be identified with tight upper and lower bounds. The problems are made numerically tractable by imposing polynomial structures and employing results from the theory of sum-of-squares polynomials to arrive at a semidefinite programming problem that is implementable by existing software. The bounds obtained take the form of smooth polynomial functions and are valid for a continuous range of initial times and states. Moreover, they are obtained without recourse to sample path simulation or discretization of the temporal or spatial variables. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method on European-, barrier- and American-style options in several regime-switching settings with and without jumps.
我们提出了一种在制度转换市场模型中从上到下约束金融衍生品价格的新方法。在制度转换市场模型中,我们得到了一类特定函数作为金融衍生品价格边界的充分条件。利用这些充分条件,我们在一般情况下制定优化问题,其解可以用严格的上下限来确定。通过采用多项式结构,并利用平方和多项式理论的结果,得出可由现有软件实现的半定规划问题,使这些问题在数值上易于处理。所获得的边界采用光滑多项式函数的形式,并且对于初始时间和状态的连续范围有效。此外,它们是在不依赖于样本路径模拟或时间或空间变量的离散化的情况下获得的。我们在几个有跳跃和无跳跃的政权切换设置中证明了所提出的方法对欧洲、障碍和美国式选项的有效性。
{"title":"Polynomial Upper and Lower Bounds for Financial Derivative Price Functions under Regime-Switching","authors":"Louis Bhim, Ray Kawai","doi":"10.21314/JCF.2018.352","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JCF.2018.352","url":null,"abstract":"We present a new approach to bounding financial derivative prices in regime-switching market models from both above and below. We derive sufficient conditions under which a particular class of functions act as bounds for the prices of financial derivatives in regime-switching market models. Using these sufficient conditions, we then formulate, in a general setting, optimization problems whose solutions can be identified with tight upper and lower bounds. The problems are made numerically tractable by imposing polynomial structures and employing results from the theory of sum-of-squares polynomials to arrive at a semidefinite programming problem that is implementable by existing software. The bounds obtained take the form of smooth polynomial functions and are valid for a continuous range of initial times and states. Moreover, they are obtained without recourse to sample path simulation or discretization of the temporal or spatial variables. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method on European-, barrier- and American-style options in several regime-switching settings with and without jumps.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2018-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46134969","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Importance Sampling for Jump–Diffusions Via Cross-Entropy 基于交叉熵的跳跃扩散的重要性采样
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-06-22 DOI: 10.21314/JCF.2018.349
R. Rieke, Weiming Sun, Hui Wang
This paper develops efficient importance sampling schemes for a class of jump–diffusion processes that are commonly used for modeling stock prices. For such financial models, related option pricing problems are often difficult, especially when the option under study is out-of-the-money and there are multiple underlying assets. Even though analytical pricing formulas do exist in a few very simple cases, often analysts must resort to numerical methods or Monte Carlo simulation. We demonstrate that efficient and easy-to-implement importance sampling schemes can be constructed via the method of cross-entropy combined with the expectation–maximization algorithm, when the alternative sampling distributions are chosen from the family of exponentially tilted distributions or their mixtures. Theoretical justification is given by characterizing the limiting behavior of the cross-entropy algorithm under appropriate scaling. Numerical experiments on vanilla options, path-dependent options and rainbow options are also performed to illustrate the use of this technology.
本文针对一类常用于股票价格建模的跳跃-扩散过程,提出了有效的重要性抽样方案。对于这样的金融模型,相关的期权定价问题通常很困难,尤其是当所研究的期权没有钱并且有多个基础资产时。尽管分析定价公式确实存在于少数非常简单的情况下,但分析师通常必须求助于数值方法或蒙特卡罗模拟。我们证明,当从指数倾斜分布族或其混合物中选择备选采样分布时,可以通过交叉熵方法与期望-最大化算法相结合来构建高效且易于实现的重要性采样方案。通过描述交叉熵算法在适当标度下的极限行为,给出了理论证明。还对香草期权、路径相关期权和彩虹期权进行了数值实验,以说明该技术的使用。
{"title":"Importance Sampling for Jump–Diffusions Via Cross-Entropy","authors":"R. Rieke, Weiming Sun, Hui Wang","doi":"10.21314/JCF.2018.349","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JCF.2018.349","url":null,"abstract":"This paper develops efficient importance sampling schemes for a class of jump–diffusion processes that are commonly used for modeling stock prices. For such financial models, related option pricing problems are often difficult, especially when the option under study is out-of-the-money and there are multiple underlying assets. Even though analytical pricing formulas do exist in a few very simple cases, often analysts must resort to numerical methods or Monte Carlo simulation. We demonstrate that efficient and easy-to-implement importance sampling schemes can be constructed via the method of cross-entropy combined with the expectation–maximization algorithm, when the alternative sampling distributions are chosen from the family of exponentially tilted distributions or their mixtures. Theoretical justification is given by characterizing the limiting behavior of the cross-entropy algorithm under appropriate scaling. Numerical experiments on vanilla options, path-dependent options and rainbow options are also performed to illustrate the use of this technology.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2018-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46016847","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
American and exotic option pricing with jump diffusions and other Levy processes 具有跳跃扩散和其他列维过程的美国和国外期权定价
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.21314/jcf.2018.355
Justin Lars Kirkby
In general, no analytical formulas exist for pricing discretely monitored exotic options, even when a geometric Brownian motion governs the risk-neutral underlying. While specialized numerical algorithms exist for pricing particular contracts, few can be applied universally with consistent success and with general Lévy dynamics. This paper develops a general methodology for pricing early exercise and exotic financial options by extending the recently developed PROJ method. We are able to efficiently obtain accurate values for complex products including Bermudan/American options, Bermudan barrier options, survival probabilities and credit default swaps by value recursion, European barrier and lookback/hindsight options by density recursion, and arithmetic Asian options by characteristic function recursion. This paper presents a unified approach to tackling these and related problems. Algorithms are provided for each option type, along with a demonstration of convergence. We also provide a large set of reference prices for exotic, American and European options under Black-Scholes-Merton, Normal Inverse Gaussian, Kou’s double exponential jump diffusion, Variance Gamma, KoBoL/CGMY and Merton’s jump diffusion models.
一般来说,不存在为离散监控的奇异期权定价的分析公式,即使是在一个几何布朗运动支配着风险中性标的的情况下。虽然存在为特定合同定价的专门数值算法,但很少有能够普遍应用并取得一致成功的算法。本文通过对最近发展起来的PROJ方法的扩展,发展了一种对早期行权和特殊金融期权定价的通用方法。我们能够通过价值递归有效地获得复杂产品的准确值,包括百慕大/美国期权、百慕大障碍期权、生存概率和信用违约掉期,通过密度递归获得欧洲障碍和回顾/后见之明期权,通过特征函数递归获得算术亚洲期权。本文提出了解决这些问题和相关问题的统一方法。为每种选项类型提供了算法,并演示了收敛性。我们还提供了大量的参考价格,适用于Black-Scholes-Merton、正态反高斯、Kou的双指数跳跃扩散、Variance Gamma、KoBoL/CGMY和Merton的跳跃扩散模型下的外国、美国和欧洲期权。
{"title":"American and exotic option pricing with jump diffusions and other Levy processes","authors":"Justin Lars Kirkby","doi":"10.21314/jcf.2018.355","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/jcf.2018.355","url":null,"abstract":"In general, no analytical formulas exist for pricing discretely monitored exotic options, even when a geometric Brownian motion governs the risk-neutral underlying. While specialized numerical algorithms exist for pricing particular contracts, few can be applied universally with consistent success and with general Lévy dynamics. This paper develops a general methodology for pricing early exercise and exotic financial options by extending the recently developed PROJ method. We are able to efficiently obtain accurate values for complex products including Bermudan/American options, Bermudan barrier options, survival probabilities and credit default swaps by value recursion, European barrier and lookback/hindsight options by density recursion, and arithmetic Asian options by characteristic function recursion. This paper presents a unified approach to tackling these and related problems. Algorithms are provided for each option type, along with a demonstration of convergence. We also provide a large set of reference prices for exotic, American and European options under Black-Scholes-Merton, Normal Inverse Gaussian, Kou’s double exponential jump diffusion, Variance Gamma, KoBoL/CGMY and Merton’s jump diffusion models.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138537325","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 24
Monte Carlo payoff smoothing for pricing autocallable instruments 蒙特卡罗支付平滑定价自动调用的工具
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.21314/jcf.2018.340
Frank Koster,Achim Rehmet
{"title":"Monte Carlo payoff smoothing for pricing autocallable instruments","authors":"Frank Koster,Achim Rehmet","doi":"10.21314/jcf.2018.340","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/jcf.2018.340","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":"23 1","pages":"59-77"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138537329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pricing Multidimensional Financial Derivatives with Stochastic Volatilities Using the Dimensional-Adaptive Combination Technique 基于维数自适应组合技术的随机波动多维金融衍生品定价
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2017-11-29 DOI: 10.21314/JCF.2017.335
J. Benk, D. Pflüger
In this paper, we present a new and general approach to price derivatives based on the Black–Scholes partial differential equation (BS-PDE) in a multidimensional setting. The first ingredient in our approach is the dimensional-adaptive sparse grid combination technique, which, in the case of underlying models with stochastic volatilities, allows for inhomogeneous discretization levels of the dimensional axes. Thus, by applying the dimensional-adaptive combination technique to such problems, one may achieve higher numerical efficiency. We combine this approach with a stretched grid discretization that is derived from the underlying’s stochastic differential equation (SDE) in a general manner. This stretching enables us to employ efficient geometrical multigrid solvers, even for the strong anisotropic convection and diffusion coefficients that frequently occur in application. Our combination of the dimensional-adaptive sparse grid combination technique with SDE-based grid stretching and an efficient multigrid solver represents a new approach designed to enable derivative pricing by directly solving PDEs in higher dimensions than were possible before. The numerical results outlined in the paper demonstrate the efficacy of this new approach and of our implementation method, which entails pricing various derivatives with up to twelve dimensions in a general and simple manner.
在本文中,我们提出了一个新的和一般的方法,基于布莱克-斯科尔斯偏微分方程(BS-PDE)在多维设置的价格衍生品。我们方法的第一个组成部分是维度自适应稀疏网格组合技术,该技术在具有随机波动的底层模型的情况下,允许维度轴的非均匀离散化水平。因此,将维数自适应组合技术应用于此类问题,可以获得更高的数值效率。我们将这种方法与从底层随机微分方程(SDE)以一般方式导出的拉伸网格离散化相结合。这种扩展使我们能够使用有效的几何多网格求解器,即使是在应用中经常出现的强各向异性对流和扩散系数。我们将维度自适应稀疏网格组合技术与基于sde的网格拉伸和高效的多网格求解器相结合,代表了一种新的方法,旨在通过在比以前可能的更高维度上直接求解pde来实现衍生品定价。文中概述的数值结果证明了这种新方法和我们的实施方法的有效性,该方法需要以一般和简单的方式为多达十二个维度的各种衍生品定价。
{"title":"Pricing Multidimensional Financial Derivatives with Stochastic Volatilities Using the Dimensional-Adaptive Combination Technique","authors":"J. Benk, D. Pflüger","doi":"10.21314/JCF.2017.335","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JCF.2017.335","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we present a new and general approach to price derivatives based on the Black–Scholes partial differential equation (BS-PDE) in a multidimensional setting. The first ingredient in our approach is the dimensional-adaptive sparse grid combination technique, which, in the case of underlying models with stochastic volatilities, allows for inhomogeneous discretization levels of the dimensional axes. Thus, by applying the dimensional-adaptive combination technique to such problems, one may achieve higher numerical efficiency. We combine this approach with a stretched grid discretization that is derived from the underlying’s stochastic differential equation (SDE) in a general manner. This stretching enables us to employ efficient geometrical multigrid solvers, even for the strong anisotropic convection and diffusion coefficients that frequently occur in application. Our combination of the dimensional-adaptive sparse grid combination technique with SDE-based grid stretching and an efficient multigrid solver represents a new approach designed to enable derivative pricing by directly solving PDEs in higher dimensions than were possible before. The numerical results outlined in the paper demonstrate the efficacy of this new approach and of our implementation method, which entails pricing various derivatives with up to twelve dimensions in a general and simple manner.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2017-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45786596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pricing American Call Options Using the Black–Scholes Equation with a Nonlinear Volatility Function 基于非线性波动函数的Black-Scholes方程的美式看涨期权定价
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2017-07-02 DOI: 10.21314/jcf.2020.379
Maria do Rosario Grossinho, D. Ševčovič, Yaser Faghan Kord
In this paper we investigate a nonlinear generalization of the Black-Scholes equation for pricing American style call options in which the volatility term may depend on the underlying asset price and the Gamma of the option. We propose a numerical method for pricing American style call options by means of transformation of the free boundary problem for a nonlinear Black-Scholes equation into the so-called Gamma variational inequality with the new variable depending on the Gamma of the option. We apply a modified projective successive over relaxation method in order to construct an effective numerical scheme for discretization of the Gamma variational inequality. Finally, we present several computational examples for the nonlinear Black-Scholes equation for pricing American style call option under presence of variable transaction costs.
本文研究了定价美式看涨期权的Black-Scholes方程的非线性推广,其中波动率项可能依赖于标的资产价格和期权的Gamma。本文通过将非线性Black-Scholes方程的自由边界问题转化为伽马变分不等式,提出了一种美式看涨期权定价的数值方法。为了构造一个有效的伽玛变分不等式离散化的数值格式,我们采用了一种改进的投影逐次过松弛方法。最后,给出了存在可变交易成本时美式看涨期权定价的非线性Black-Scholes方程的几个计算实例。
{"title":"Pricing American Call Options Using the Black–Scholes Equation with a Nonlinear Volatility Function","authors":"Maria do Rosario Grossinho, D. Ševčovič, Yaser Faghan Kord","doi":"10.21314/jcf.2020.379","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/jcf.2020.379","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we investigate a nonlinear generalization of the Black-Scholes equation for pricing American style call options in which the volatility term may depend on the underlying asset price and the Gamma of the option. We propose a numerical method for pricing American style call options by means of transformation of the free boundary problem for a nonlinear Black-Scholes equation into the so-called Gamma variational inequality with the new variable depending on the Gamma of the option. We apply a modified projective successive over relaxation method in order to construct an effective numerical scheme for discretization of the Gamma variational inequality. Finally, we present several computational examples for the nonlinear Black-Scholes equation for pricing American style call option under presence of variable transaction costs.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2017-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44805875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Local Variance Gamma Revisited 重新审视局部方差
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2017-03-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2659728
Markus Falck, M. Deryabin
In this paper we develop a new method for implied volatility surface construction for FX options. The methodology is based on the local variance gamma model developed by Carr (2008). Our approach is to solve a simplified "one-step" version of the Dupire equation analytically under the assumption of a continuous five parameter diffusion function. The unique solution to this equation can be interpreted as a continuous representation of option prices, defined for strikes in an arbitrarily large range. The derived price functions are C^2 -positive, arbitrage-free by construction, and they do not depend on the strike discretization. By using a least-square approach, we calibrate price functions to Reuters quoted FX volatility smiles. Our results suggest that the model allows for very rapid calibration; using a Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm we measure the average calibration time to less than 1 ms for one expiry on a standard personal computer.We also extend our model to allow for interpolation between maturities and present sufficient conditions for absence of calendar spread arbitrage. In order to generate the whole implied volatility surface, we suggest a simple, fast and yet market-consistent technique allowing for arbitrage-free interpolation of calibrated price functions in the maturity dimension.The methodology is tested against EURUSD and EURSEK options, where we show that the model has the capability to produce volatility surfaces which fit market quotes with an error of few volatility basis points. We then apply the methodology to pricing variance swaps.
本文提出了一种新的外汇期权隐含波动率曲面构造方法。该方法基于Carr(2008)开发的局部方差伽玛模型。我们的方法是在连续五参数扩散函数的假设下解析求解Dupire方程的简化“一步”版本。该方程的唯一解可以解释为期权价格的连续表示,期权价格是为任意大范围的罢工而定义的。导出的价格函数是C^2-正的,通过构造无套利,并且它们不依赖于走线离散化。通过使用最小二乘法,我们将价格函数校准为路透社引用的外汇波动微笑。我们的结果表明,该模型允许非常快速的校准;使用Levenberg-Marquardt算法,我们在标准个人计算机上测量一次到期的平均校准时间到小于1ms。我们还扩展了我们的模型,允许在到期日之间进行插值,并为不存在日历价差套利提供了充分的条件。为了生成整个隐含波动率表面,我们提出了一种简单、快速但市场一致的技术,允许在成熟度维度上对校准的价格函数进行无套利插值。该方法针对欧元-美元和欧元-瑞典克朗期权进行了测试,我们表明该模型有能力产生波动率曲面,该曲面符合市场报价,误差为几个波动率基点。然后,我们将该方法应用于方差掉期的定价。
{"title":"Local Variance Gamma Revisited","authors":"Markus Falck, M. Deryabin","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2659728","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2659728","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we develop a new method for implied volatility surface construction for FX options. The methodology is based on the local variance gamma model developed by Carr (2008). Our approach is to solve a simplified \"one-step\" version of the Dupire equation analytically under the assumption of a continuous five parameter diffusion function. The unique solution to this equation can be interpreted as a continuous representation of option prices, defined for strikes in an arbitrarily large range. The derived price functions are C^2 -positive, arbitrage-free by construction, and they do not depend on the strike discretization. By using a least-square approach, we calibrate price functions to Reuters quoted FX volatility smiles. Our results suggest that the model allows for very rapid calibration; using a Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm we measure the average calibration time to less than 1 ms for one expiry on a standard personal computer.We also extend our model to allow for interpolation between maturities and present sufficient conditions for absence of calendar spread arbitrage. In order to generate the whole implied volatility surface, we suggest a simple, fast and yet market-consistent technique allowing for arbitrage-free interpolation of calibrated price functions in the maturity dimension.The methodology is tested against EURUSD and EURSEK options, where we show that the model has the capability to produce volatility surfaces which fit market quotes with an error of few volatility basis points. We then apply the methodology to pricing variance swaps.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2017-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42433294","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Calibration of Local Correlation Models to Basket Smiles 篮筐微笑局部相关模型的标定
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2016-11-17 DOI: 10.21314/JCF.2016.326
Julien Guyon
Allowing correlation to be local, i.e., state-dependent, in multi-asset models allows better hedging by incorporating correlation moves in the Delta. When options on a basket - be it a stock index, a cross-foreign exchange rate or an interest rate spread - are liquidly traded, one may want to calibrate a local correlation to these option prices. Only two particular solutions have been suggested so far in the literature. Both impose a particular dependency of the correlation matrix on the asset values that one has no reason to undergo. They may also fail to be admissible, i.e., positive semi-definite. We explain how, by combining the particle method presented in "The smile calibration problem solved" by Guyon and Henry-Labordere (2011) with a simple affine transform, we can build all the calibrated local correlation models. The two existing models appear as special cases (if admissible). For the first time, one can now choose a calibrated local correlation in order to fit a view on the correlation skew, or reproduce historical correlation, or match some exotic option prices, thus improving the pricing, hedging and risk-management of multi-asset derivatives. This technique is generalized to calibrate models that combine stochastic interest rates, stochastic dividend yield, local stochastic volatility and local correlation. Numerical results show the wide variety of calibrated local correlations and give insight into a difficult (still unsolved) problem: finding lower bounds/upper bounds on general multi-asset option prices given the whole surfaces of implied volatilities of a basket and its constituents.
在多资产模型中,允许相关性是局部的,即依赖于状态的,可以通过合并Delta中的相关性移动来实现更好的对冲。当一篮子期权——无论是股指、跨外汇汇率还是利差——进行流动性交易时,人们可能希望校准与这些期权价格的本地相关性。到目前为止,文献中只提出了两种特殊的解决方案。两者都对资产价值施加了相关性矩阵的特定依赖,这是人们没有理由经历的。它们也可能不能被接受,即肯定半定。我们解释了如何将Guyon和Henry-Labordere(2011)的“the smile calibration problem solved”中提出的粒子方法与简单的仿射变换相结合,构建所有校准的局部相关模型。现有的两种模型是特例(如果允许的话)。现在,人们第一次可以选择校准的局部相关性,以适应相关倾斜的观点,或重现历史相关性,或匹配一些外来期权价格,从而改善多资产衍生品的定价、对冲和风险管理。将该方法推广到组合随机利率、随机股息收益率、局部随机波动率和局部相关的模型中。数值结果显示了各种校准的局部相关性,并深入了解了一个困难(仍未解决)的问题:给定一篮子及其组成部分的隐含波动率的整个表面,找到一般多资产期权价格的下界/上界。
{"title":"Calibration of Local Correlation Models to Basket Smiles","authors":"Julien Guyon","doi":"10.21314/JCF.2016.326","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JCF.2016.326","url":null,"abstract":"Allowing correlation to be local, i.e., state-dependent, in multi-asset models allows better hedging by incorporating correlation moves in the Delta. When options on a basket - be it a stock index, a cross-foreign exchange rate or an interest rate spread - are liquidly traded, one may want to calibrate a local correlation to these option prices. Only two particular solutions have been suggested so far in the literature. Both impose a particular dependency of the correlation matrix on the asset values that one has no reason to undergo. They may also fail to be admissible, i.e., positive semi-definite. We explain how, by combining the particle method presented in \"The smile calibration problem solved\" by Guyon and Henry-Labordere (2011) with a simple affine transform, we can build all the calibrated local correlation models. The two existing models appear as special cases (if admissible). For the first time, one can now choose a calibrated local correlation in order to fit a view on the correlation skew, or reproduce historical correlation, or match some exotic option prices, thus improving the pricing, hedging and risk-management of multi-asset derivatives. This technique is generalized to calibrate models that combine stochastic interest rates, stochastic dividend yield, local stochastic volatility and local correlation. Numerical results show the wide variety of calibrated local correlations and give insight into a difficult (still unsolved) problem: finding lower bounds/upper bounds on general multi-asset option prices given the whole surfaces of implied volatilities of a basket and its constituents.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2016-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"67702475","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Hybrid Finite–Difference/Pseudospectral Methods for the Heston and Heston–Hull–White Partial Differential Equations Heston和Heston - hull - white偏微分方程的混合有限差分/伪谱方法
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2016-09-23 DOI: 10.21314/JCF.2018.342
Christian Hendricks, M. Ehrhardt, M. Günther
We propose a hybrid spatial finite-difference/pseudospectral discretization for European option-pricing problems under the Heston and Heston–Hull–White models. In the direction of the underlying asset, where the payoff profile is nonsmooth, we use a standard central second-order finite-difference scheme, whereas we use a Chebyshev collocation method in the other spatial dimensions. In the time domain, we employ alternating direction implicit schemes to efficiently decompose the system matrix into simpler one-dimensional problems. This approach allows us to compute numerical solutions, which are second-order accurate in time and exhibit spectral accuracy in the spatial domains except for the asset direction. The numerical experiments reveal that the proposed scheme outperforms the standard second-order finite-difference scheme in terms of accuracy versus runtime and shows an unconditionally stable behavior.
在Heston模型和Heston - hull - white模型下,提出了欧式期权定价问题的混合空间有限差分/伪谱离散化方法。在标的资产的方向上,如果收益曲线是非光滑的,我们使用标准的中心二阶有限差分格式,而在其他空间维度上我们使用Chebyshev搭配方法。在时域上,我们采用交替方向隐式格式将系统矩阵有效地分解为更简单的一维问题。这种方法使我们能够计算数值解,这些解在时间上是二阶精度的,并且在除资产方向外的空间域中表现出光谱精度。数值实验表明,该格式在精度和运行时间方面优于标准二阶有限差分格式,并具有无条件稳定的性能。
{"title":"Hybrid Finite–Difference/Pseudospectral Methods for the Heston and Heston–Hull–White Partial Differential Equations","authors":"Christian Hendricks, M. Ehrhardt, M. Günther","doi":"10.21314/JCF.2018.342","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21314/JCF.2018.342","url":null,"abstract":"We propose a hybrid spatial finite-difference/pseudospectral discretization for European option-pricing problems under the Heston and Heston–Hull–White models. In the direction of the underlying asset, where the payoff profile is nonsmooth, we use a standard central second-order finite-difference scheme, whereas we use a Chebyshev collocation method in the other spatial dimensions. In the time domain, we employ alternating direction implicit schemes to efficiently decompose the system matrix into simpler one-dimensional problems. This approach allows us to compute numerical solutions, which are second-order accurate in time and exhibit spectral accuracy in the spatial domains except for the asset direction. The numerical experiments reveal that the proposed scheme outperforms the standard second-order finite-difference scheme in terms of accuracy versus runtime and shows an unconditionally stable behavior.","PeriodicalId":51731,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Computational Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2016-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"67703162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Computational Finance
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1