Pub Date : 2025-08-26DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00434-w
Han Cheng, Shan Jiang, Taoran Liu, Boyang Li, Shanquan Chen, Ao Li, Hao Chen, Haiyin Wang, Yuanyuan Gu
Background: Understanding policymakers' value judgements in reimbursement decisions is essential for promoting equity and guiding informed healthcare decision-making. This study aimed to estimate and compare Chinese policymakers' willingness-to-pay (WTP) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) specifically in end-of-life treatment scenarios involving life-threatening common and rare diseases.
Methods: We conducted a contingent valuation study employing single-bounded dichotomous-choice questions among 120 experts formally appointed by China's National Healthcare Security Administration to serve on the National Reimbursement Drug List Expert Committee in recent years. Participants evaluated hypothetical scenarios describing end-of-life treatments providing a one-QALY gain for patients with life-threatening common or rare diseases. Data were collected primarily through face-to-face interviews, supplemented by online responses when in-person meetings were impractical. Statistical analysis was performed using probit regression models, and t-tests were conducted to compare WTP values between scenarios.
Results: A total of 99 policymakers participated. Participants' WTP per QALY for end-of-life treatments in common disease scenarios ranged from CNY 78,031 (0.98 times GDP per capita) to CNY 126,449 (1.58 times GDP per capita). In contrast, WTP was significantly higher for rare diseases, ranging from CNY 183,392 (2.29 times GDP per capita) to CNY 219,691 (2.75 times GDP per capita). Analysis of individual characteristics revealed that female participants and those with expertise in pharmacoeconomics exhibited significantly higher WTP values in common disease scenarios (p < 0.05), though these factors had varied effects in rare disease scenarios.
Conclusions: This study provides novel estimates of Chinese policymakers' WTP per QALY specifically in end-of-life contexts involving common and rare diseases, highlighting the significant impact of disease rarity on reimbursement decisions. These findings offer empirical support for adopting differentiated cost-effectiveness thresholds tailored to end-of-life treatments based on disease rarity in China.
{"title":"How policymakers value end-of-life treatments for rare and common diseases in China: evidence from a contingent valuation study.","authors":"Han Cheng, Shan Jiang, Taoran Liu, Boyang Li, Shanquan Chen, Ao Li, Hao Chen, Haiyin Wang, Yuanyuan Gu","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00434-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41256-025-00434-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Understanding policymakers' value judgements in reimbursement decisions is essential for promoting equity and guiding informed healthcare decision-making. This study aimed to estimate and compare Chinese policymakers' willingness-to-pay (WTP) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) specifically in end-of-life treatment scenarios involving life-threatening common and rare diseases.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a contingent valuation study employing single-bounded dichotomous-choice questions among 120 experts formally appointed by China's National Healthcare Security Administration to serve on the National Reimbursement Drug List Expert Committee in recent years. Participants evaluated hypothetical scenarios describing end-of-life treatments providing a one-QALY gain for patients with life-threatening common or rare diseases. Data were collected primarily through face-to-face interviews, supplemented by online responses when in-person meetings were impractical. Statistical analysis was performed using probit regression models, and t-tests were conducted to compare WTP values between scenarios.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 99 policymakers participated. Participants' WTP per QALY for end-of-life treatments in common disease scenarios ranged from CNY 78,031 (0.98 times GDP per capita) to CNY 126,449 (1.58 times GDP per capita). In contrast, WTP was significantly higher for rare diseases, ranging from CNY 183,392 (2.29 times GDP per capita) to CNY 219,691 (2.75 times GDP per capita). Analysis of individual characteristics revealed that female participants and those with expertise in pharmacoeconomics exhibited significantly higher WTP values in common disease scenarios (p < 0.05), though these factors had varied effects in rare disease scenarios.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study provides novel estimates of Chinese policymakers' WTP per QALY specifically in end-of-life contexts involving common and rare diseases, highlighting the significant impact of disease rarity on reimbursement decisions. These findings offer empirical support for adopting differentiated cost-effectiveness thresholds tailored to end-of-life treatments based on disease rarity in China.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"38"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12379523/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144978342","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-08-25DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00437-7
Nyi Nyi Zayar, Rassamee Chotipanvithayakul, Alan Frederick Geater, Kyaw Ko Ko Htet, Chumpol Ngamphiw, Virasakdi Chongsuvivatwong
Background: The COVID-19 hospital caseload indicates the quality of hospital care, as resources were redirected to address the surge in COVID-19 cases. The study aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 hospital caseload on hospital tuberculosis (TB) case fatality rate (CFR) mediated by the TB caseload and severity of patients.
Methods: A retrospective analysis of TB patients' hospital admission data in Thailand extracted from the Thai Health Information Portal database between January 2017 and September 2022. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was used to determine the severity of hospitalised TB patients. An interrupted time series analysis, lag time analysis and serial mediation analysis were done.
Results: During COVID-19 pandemic, there was a 12.9% decrease in monthly hospital TB caseload, and a 14.1% increase in monthly TB hospital CFR compared to the counterfactual scenario had there been no COVID-19. COVID-19 hospital caseload had a strong negative correlation with TB hospital caseload (r = - 0.60, p-value = < 0.001), but a strong positive correlation with TB hospital CFR (r = 0.74, p-value = < 0.001) during the same month. An increase in average CCI score of 0.1 was associated with an increase of 2.3 deaths per 100 TB admissions. After adjusting the TB caseload and CCI of TB patients admitted to the hospital, no association was found between COVID-19 hospital caseload and the hospital CFR of TB patients.
Conclusions: The increase in TB hospital CFR during COVID-19 pandemic was likely driven by a higher proportion of severe cases being admitted, rather than a decline in hospitals' quality of care.
{"title":"Impact of COVID-19 pandemic, and the mediating role of hospital caseload and severity on mortality of hospitalised tuberculosis patients in Thailand.","authors":"Nyi Nyi Zayar, Rassamee Chotipanvithayakul, Alan Frederick Geater, Kyaw Ko Ko Htet, Chumpol Ngamphiw, Virasakdi Chongsuvivatwong","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00437-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41256-025-00437-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The COVID-19 hospital caseload indicates the quality of hospital care, as resources were redirected to address the surge in COVID-19 cases. The study aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 hospital caseload on hospital tuberculosis (TB) case fatality rate (CFR) mediated by the TB caseload and severity of patients.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective analysis of TB patients' hospital admission data in Thailand extracted from the Thai Health Information Portal database between January 2017 and September 2022. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was used to determine the severity of hospitalised TB patients. An interrupted time series analysis, lag time analysis and serial mediation analysis were done.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During COVID-19 pandemic, there was a 12.9% decrease in monthly hospital TB caseload, and a 14.1% increase in monthly TB hospital CFR compared to the counterfactual scenario had there been no COVID-19. COVID-19 hospital caseload had a strong negative correlation with TB hospital caseload (r = - 0.60, p-value = < 0.001), but a strong positive correlation with TB hospital CFR (r = 0.74, p-value = < 0.001) during the same month. An increase in average CCI score of 0.1 was associated with an increase of 2.3 deaths per 100 TB admissions. After adjusting the TB caseload and CCI of TB patients admitted to the hospital, no association was found between COVID-19 hospital caseload and the hospital CFR of TB patients.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The increase in TB hospital CFR during COVID-19 pandemic was likely driven by a higher proportion of severe cases being admitted, rather than a decline in hospitals' quality of care.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"37"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12376735/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144978250","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-08-21DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00439-5
Shuya Zhou, Muzi Shen, Xinge Tao, Shasha Han
Background: Optimizing the cultural accessibility of digital healthcare tools requires understanding user perspectives on usability features and cultural appropriateness.
Methods: A cross-sectional survey of 3,030 caregivers (mean age 44.0, 52.9% female) and 2,108 inpatients (mean age 49.7, 54.0% female) at a Guangxi medical center (July-October 2024) assessed experiences with digital tools, support needs, and preferences for culturally adaptive features.
Results: Caregivers reported a higher adoption of digital tools than patients (caregivers: 87.1% vs. patients: 62.0%, P-value < .001), yet 81.1% of caregivers reported unmet needs. Both groups (caregivers: 67.0%; patients: 64.0%) prioritized integrating traditional medicine over other cultural factors (language diversity, traditional medicine, folk customs, and medical resource availability). Caregivers valued interactive health management tools (73.3% vs. 66.7% among patients, P-value < .001) and user feedback mechanisms (61.2% vs. 55.0% among patients, P-value < .001) more than patients.
Conclusions: Despite high adoption, caregivers report significant gaps in culturally relevant support. Digital health interventions should prioritize user-centered designs, incorporating traditional medicine and addressing the divergent preferences of caregivers and patients.
{"title":"Cultural adaptation of digital healthcare tools: a cross-sectional survey of caregivers and patients.","authors":"Shuya Zhou, Muzi Shen, Xinge Tao, Shasha Han","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00439-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41256-025-00439-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Optimizing the cultural accessibility of digital healthcare tools requires understanding user perspectives on usability features and cultural appropriateness.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cross-sectional survey of 3,030 caregivers (mean age 44.0, 52.9% female) and 2,108 inpatients (mean age 49.7, 54.0% female) at a Guangxi medical center (July-October 2024) assessed experiences with digital tools, support needs, and preferences for culturally adaptive features.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Caregivers reported a higher adoption of digital tools than patients (caregivers: 87.1% vs. patients: 62.0%, P-value < .001), yet 81.1% of caregivers reported unmet needs. Both groups (caregivers: 67.0%; patients: 64.0%) prioritized integrating traditional medicine over other cultural factors (language diversity, traditional medicine, folk customs, and medical resource availability). Caregivers valued interactive health management tools (73.3% vs. 66.7% among patients, P-value < .001) and user feedback mechanisms (61.2% vs. 55.0% among patients, P-value < .001) more than patients.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Despite high adoption, caregivers report significant gaps in culturally relevant support. Digital health interventions should prioritize user-centered designs, incorporating traditional medicine and addressing the divergent preferences of caregivers and patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"36"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12369145/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144978260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: While calls for promoting evidence-informed policymaking (EIP) have become stronger in recent years, there is a paucity of methods to prioritize issues for knowledge translation (KT) and EIP. As requested by WHO and as part of efforts to address this gap, we conducted a critical interpretive synthesis (CIS) to develop a conceptual framework that outlines the features of priority-setting processes and contextual factors influencing the prioritization of issues for KT efforts.
Methods: We systematically reviewed the literature and used an interpretive analytic approach-the CIS-to synthesize the results and develop the conceptual framework. We used a "compass" question to create a detailed search strategy and conducted electronic searches to identify papers based on their potential relevance to priority-setting for KT efforts and EIP.
Results: We identified 161 eligible papers. Our findings on key features of the priority-setting process unpacked three 3 levels of constructs: 'pathways' for identifying and prioritizing policy issues for knowledge translation efforts; 'phases' within each pathway; and 'steps' for each phase. There are three main pathways: (1) explicit and systemic priority-setting processes involving policymakers and stakeholders to determine priority topics (collaborative); (2) a policymaker or stakeholder brings an issue forward or asks for evidence on a particular topic (demand-driven); and (3) a need or policy gap is identified by a knowledge translation platform (supply-driven). Within each pathway, four phases emerged: "Preparatory", "prioritization", "knowledge translation" and "scale-up and sustainability". Across these phases, the following steps were identified: establishing a core team, defining a scope, confirming a timeline, sensitizing stakeholders, generating potential issues, gathering contextual information, setting guiding principles, selecting prioritization criteria, applying the method for prioritization, documenting and communicating priorities, validating and revising priorities, selecting venue for decision-making, implementing priorities, monitoring and evaluation, promoting institutionalization, and engaging in peer learning and exchange of experience. We identified engaging stakeholders and strengthening capacity as cross-cutting elements. Our findings on contextual factors unpacked four categories: (1) institutions; (2) ideas; (3) interests; and (4) external factors.
Conclusions: This CIS generated a multi-level conceptual framework for prioritizing issues for KT efforts and laid the foundation for a WHO tool that supports prioritization in practice. The study contributes meaningfully to both the literature and the operationalization of KT and EIP.
{"title":"Prioritizing policy issues for knowledge translation: a critical interpretive synthesis.","authors":"Racha Fadlallah, Fadi El-Jardali, Tanja Kuchenmüller, Kaelan Moat, Marge Reinap, Mehrnaz Kheirandish, Lama Bou Karroum, Najla Daher, Nour Kalach, Lama Hishi, Gladys Honein-AbouHaidar","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00440-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41256-025-00440-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>While calls for promoting evidence-informed policymaking (EIP) have become stronger in recent years, there is a paucity of methods to prioritize issues for knowledge translation (KT) and EIP. As requested by WHO and as part of efforts to address this gap, we conducted a critical interpretive synthesis (CIS) to develop a conceptual framework that outlines the features of priority-setting processes and contextual factors influencing the prioritization of issues for KT efforts.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We systematically reviewed the literature and used an interpretive analytic approach-the CIS-to synthesize the results and develop the conceptual framework. We used a \"compass\" question to create a detailed search strategy and conducted electronic searches to identify papers based on their potential relevance to priority-setting for KT efforts and EIP.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified 161 eligible papers. Our findings on key features of the priority-setting process unpacked three 3 levels of constructs: 'pathways' for identifying and prioritizing policy issues for knowledge translation efforts; 'phases' within each pathway; and 'steps' for each phase. There are three main pathways: (1) explicit and systemic priority-setting processes involving policymakers and stakeholders to determine priority topics (collaborative); (2) a policymaker or stakeholder brings an issue forward or asks for evidence on a particular topic (demand-driven); and (3) a need or policy gap is identified by a knowledge translation platform (supply-driven). Within each pathway, four phases emerged: \"Preparatory\", \"prioritization\", \"knowledge translation\" and \"scale-up and sustainability\". Across these phases, the following steps were identified: establishing a core team, defining a scope, confirming a timeline, sensitizing stakeholders, generating potential issues, gathering contextual information, setting guiding principles, selecting prioritization criteria, applying the method for prioritization, documenting and communicating priorities, validating and revising priorities, selecting venue for decision-making, implementing priorities, monitoring and evaluation, promoting institutionalization, and engaging in peer learning and exchange of experience. We identified engaging stakeholders and strengthening capacity as cross-cutting elements. Our findings on contextual factors unpacked four categories: (1) institutions; (2) ideas; (3) interests; and (4) external factors.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This CIS generated a multi-level conceptual framework for prioritizing issues for KT efforts and laid the foundation for a WHO tool that supports prioritization in practice. The study contributes meaningfully to both the literature and the operationalization of KT and EIP.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"35"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12366224/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144978326","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-08-04DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00430-0
Yanlin Cao, Qing Wang, Jiemi Zhao, Yuyuan Zhang, Ran Huo, Quanle Li, Weizhong Yang, Heya Yi, Luzhao Feng
Background: Vaccine prescription is being implemented and applied in China to bolster promote vaccination campaigns and mitigate vaccine hesitancy. This study aims to investigate the current vaccine recommendation practices among healthcare workers (HCWs) in China and identify the determinants that influence their willingness to provide vaccination prescription, informing interventions to support the implementation of willingness into practice.
Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted among HCWs nationwide in China from July 3 to July 10, 2024. The survey questionnaire was distributed via a link provided by an expert-listening platform at the 2024 World Influenza Conference, representing a diverse group across different healthcare institutions. The study used descriptive and logistic regression analyses performed on attitudes toward providing influenza vaccination prescriptions.
Results: Among 3140 responding HCWs, 68.8% of hospital-based HCWs (N = 778/1131) and 61.9% of community-based HCWs (N = 1243/2009) demonstrate a willingness to provide vaccine prescriptions. HCWs with a history of influenza vaccination (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.23-0.39, P < 0.001) were significantly more inclined to provide vaccine prescriptions. Incentives including bonus rewards (aOR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.40-2.43, P < 0.001), and integration into annual/monthly performance evaluations (aOR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.20-2.13, P = 0.001) further enhanced willingness to provide prescriptions. In terms of communication methods, 63.4% of HCWs (N = 1991) identified official public account promotions on WeChat as the most effective for raising vaccination awareness, significantly surpassing provide vaccine prescriptions (8.7%, N = 350).
Conclusions: Our study emphasizes the necessity for further evaluations of vaccine prescription policies to improve the implementation among HCWs. The findings advocate for tailored strategies, including enhanced incentive mechanisms in hospital settings and optimized digital engagement in community health centers, to facilitate effective vaccine prescription practices.
{"title":"Healthcare workers' attitudes toward influenza vaccine prescriptions in China.","authors":"Yanlin Cao, Qing Wang, Jiemi Zhao, Yuyuan Zhang, Ran Huo, Quanle Li, Weizhong Yang, Heya Yi, Luzhao Feng","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00430-0","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41256-025-00430-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Vaccine prescription is being implemented and applied in China to bolster promote vaccination campaigns and mitigate vaccine hesitancy. This study aims to investigate the current vaccine recommendation practices among healthcare workers (HCWs) in China and identify the determinants that influence their willingness to provide vaccination prescription, informing interventions to support the implementation of willingness into practice.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cross-sectional survey was conducted among HCWs nationwide in China from July 3 to July 10, 2024. The survey questionnaire was distributed via a link provided by an expert-listening platform at the 2024 World Influenza Conference, representing a diverse group across different healthcare institutions. The study used descriptive and logistic regression analyses performed on attitudes toward providing influenza vaccination prescriptions.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 3140 responding HCWs, 68.8% of hospital-based HCWs (N = 778/1131) and 61.9% of community-based HCWs (N = 1243/2009) demonstrate a willingness to provide vaccine prescriptions. HCWs with a history of influenza vaccination (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.23-0.39, P < 0.001) were significantly more inclined to provide vaccine prescriptions. Incentives including bonus rewards (aOR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.40-2.43, P < 0.001), and integration into annual/monthly performance evaluations (aOR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.20-2.13, P = 0.001) further enhanced willingness to provide prescriptions. In terms of communication methods, 63.4% of HCWs (N = 1991) identified official public account promotions on WeChat as the most effective for raising vaccination awareness, significantly surpassing provide vaccine prescriptions (8.7%, N = 350).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our study emphasizes the necessity for further evaluations of vaccine prescription policies to improve the implementation among HCWs. The findings advocate for tailored strategies, including enhanced incentive mechanisms in hospital settings and optimized digital engagement in community health centers, to facilitate effective vaccine prescription practices.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"34"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12323280/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144785896","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-08-01DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00432-y
Ede Surya Darmawan, Syarif R Hasibuan, Vetty Yulianty Permanasari, Dian Kusuma
Background: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) contributed to around 8.9 million deaths and stroke accounting for about 6.2 million deaths each year. This study examines disparities in health services and outcomes for IHD and stroke among different membership types within the national health insurance.
Methods: We analyzed over 30,000 inpatient claim data for IHD and stroke patients from 2017 to 2022 in Indonesia. The associations were assessed between National Health Insurance (Badan Penyelenggara Jaminan Sosial, BPJS) membership types and five dependent variables including treatment/diagnosis, severity, mortality, length of stay, and claim cost. Membership types included the poorest members subsidized by the national budget (Penerima Bantuan Iuran Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara, PBI APBN); near poor, subsidized by local governments (Penerima Bantuan Iuran Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Daerah, PBI APBD); informal non-workers (Bukan Pekerja, BP), informal workers (Pekerja Bukan Penerima Upah, PBPU), and formal workers (Pekerja Penerima Upah, PPU).
Results: For treatment access, PBI APBN members with IHD had lower odds of receiving percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) compared to other groups, though this difference was not statistically significant in the multivariate models. For stroke patients, access to head computed tomography (CT) scans-critical for diagnosing stroke type-was similar across all membership types. Length of stay varied by condition; PBI APBN members experienced longer hospital stays for IHD but shorter stays for stroke. However, claim costs were significantly higher for non-subsidized groups (BP, PBPU, PPU) compared to the PBI APBN group for both IHD and stroke patients. Regarding health outcomes, non-subsidized IHD patients (BP, PBPU, PPU) had significantly lower odds of severe cases with adjusted odds ratios (AORs) of 0.70, 0.76, and 0.66, respectively, and mortality (AORs of 0.61 and 0.64 for BP and PPU) compared to the subsidized PBI APBN group. For stroke patients, although severity levels were comparable across membership types, non-subsidized patients (BP, PBPU, and PPU) had significantly lower odds of mortality, with AORs of 0.66, 0.73, and 0.54, respectively.
Conclusions: Non-subsidized members had lower severity and mortality for IHD and stroke but higher treatment costs, while the poorest (PBI APBN) faced longer stays and worse outcomes-highlighting persistent disparities in Indonesia's national health insurance system. Addressing these inequities requires targeted policies to improve access, care efficiency, and quality for the poorest populations. Strengthening community-based lifestyle promotion and tobacco control can further reduce the burden of IHD and stroke and help close these gaps over time.
背景:缺血性心脏病(IHD)每年造成约890万人死亡,卒中每年造成约620万人死亡。本研究考察了国民健康保险中不同成员类型在IHD和中风的健康服务和结果方面的差异。方法:我们分析了印度尼西亚2017年至2022年期间超过30,000例IHD和卒中患者的住院索赔数据。评估了国民健康保险(Badan Penyelenggara Jaminan social, BPJS)会员类型与治疗/诊断、严重程度、死亡率、住院时间和索赔费用等五个因变量之间的关联。成员类型包括由国家预算补贴的最贫困成员(Penerima Bantuan Iuran Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara, PBI APBN);贫困,由地方政府补贴(Penerima Bantuan Iuran Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Daerah, PBI APBD);非正式非工人(Bukan Pekerja, BP)、非正式工人(Pekerja Bukan Penerima Upah, PBPU)和正式工人(Pekerja Penerima Upah, PPU)。结果:在治疗途径方面,与其他组相比,患有IHD的PBI APBN成员接受经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)的几率较低,尽管这种差异在多变量模型中没有统计学意义。对于中风患者来说,所有成员类型的患者接受头部计算机断层扫描(CT)的机会都是相似的,CT扫描是诊断中风类型的关键。逗留时间因情况而异;PBI APBN成员因IHD住院时间较长,但因中风住院时间较短。然而,对于IHD和卒中患者,与PBI APBN组相比,非补贴组(BP, PBPU, PPU)的索赔费用明显更高。在健康结果方面,与有补贴的PBI APBN组相比,未补贴的IHD患者(BP、PBPU、PPU)发生严重病例的几率(调整优势比分别为0.70、0.76和0.66)和死亡率(BP和PPU的调整优势比分别为0.61和0.64)显著低于补贴的PBI APBN组。对于脑卒中患者,尽管不同成员类型的严重程度具有可比性,但非补贴患者(BP、PBPU和PPU)的死亡率明显较低,aor分别为0.66、0.73和0.54。结论:非补贴成员IHD和中风的严重程度和死亡率较低,但治疗费用较高,而最贫穷的成员(PBI APBN)面临更长的住院时间和更差的结果,这突出了印度尼西亚国家医疗保险系统中持续存在的差异。解决这些不平等问题需要有针对性的政策,以改善最贫困人口的可及性、护理效率和质量。加强以社区为基础的生活方式推广和烟草控制可以进一步减轻IHD和中风的负担,并有助于随着时间的推移缩小这些差距。
{"title":"Disparities in health services and outcomes by National Health Insurance membership type for ischemic heart disease and stroke in Indonesia: analysis of claims, 2017-2022.","authors":"Ede Surya Darmawan, Syarif R Hasibuan, Vetty Yulianty Permanasari, Dian Kusuma","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00432-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41256-025-00432-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Ischemic heart disease (IHD) contributed to around 8.9 million deaths and stroke accounting for about 6.2 million deaths each year. This study examines disparities in health services and outcomes for IHD and stroke among different membership types within the national health insurance.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed over 30,000 inpatient claim data for IHD and stroke patients from 2017 to 2022 in Indonesia. The associations were assessed between National Health Insurance (Badan Penyelenggara Jaminan Sosial, BPJS) membership types and five dependent variables including treatment/diagnosis, severity, mortality, length of stay, and claim cost. Membership types included the poorest members subsidized by the national budget (Penerima Bantuan Iuran Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara, PBI APBN); near poor, subsidized by local governments (Penerima Bantuan Iuran Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Daerah, PBI APBD); informal non-workers (Bukan Pekerja, BP), informal workers (Pekerja Bukan Penerima Upah, PBPU), and formal workers (Pekerja Penerima Upah, PPU).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>For treatment access, PBI APBN members with IHD had lower odds of receiving percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) compared to other groups, though this difference was not statistically significant in the multivariate models. For stroke patients, access to head computed tomography (CT) scans-critical for diagnosing stroke type-was similar across all membership types. Length of stay varied by condition; PBI APBN members experienced longer hospital stays for IHD but shorter stays for stroke. However, claim costs were significantly higher for non-subsidized groups (BP, PBPU, PPU) compared to the PBI APBN group for both IHD and stroke patients. Regarding health outcomes, non-subsidized IHD patients (BP, PBPU, PPU) had significantly lower odds of severe cases with adjusted odds ratios (AORs) of 0.70, 0.76, and 0.66, respectively, and mortality (AORs of 0.61 and 0.64 for BP and PPU) compared to the subsidized PBI APBN group. For stroke patients, although severity levels were comparable across membership types, non-subsidized patients (BP, PBPU, and PPU) had significantly lower odds of mortality, with AORs of 0.66, 0.73, and 0.54, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Non-subsidized members had lower severity and mortality for IHD and stroke but higher treatment costs, while the poorest (PBI APBN) faced longer stays and worse outcomes-highlighting persistent disparities in Indonesia's national health insurance system. Addressing these inequities requires targeted policies to improve access, care efficiency, and quality for the poorest populations. Strengthening community-based lifestyle promotion and tobacco control can further reduce the burden of IHD and stroke and help close these gaps over time.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"33"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12315411/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144762297","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-07-31DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00429-7
Yanqin Zhang, Dyna Khuon, Vonthanak Saphonn, Peng Jia, Qian Long
Background: Cambodia, a lower-middle-income country, confronts challenges related to childbirth safety. This study investigated the utilization of childbirth care across public and private health facilities, with a particular focus on the use of caesarean section (C-section). It also examined disparities in service utilization across urban and rural areas and among different socioeconomic statuses.
Methods: This study used cross-sectional data from the Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in Cambodia in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2014 and 2021-22. Descriptive analyses were performed to elucidate changes in place of delivery and C-section rates by public and private health facilities. Logistic regressions were applied using data from 2010 to 2021 to identify factors associated with C-section.
Results: The facility-based delivery rate significantly increased to 96.5% by 2021, while the overall C-section rate rose to 15.5%. Within public facilities, the C-section rate grew from 5.1% in 2010 to 9.7% in 2021, consistently higher in urban areas compared to rural ones. Notably, C-section utilization in public facilities did not significantly vary among different wealth index groups. From 2010 to 2021, the C-section rates in private facilities surged from 11.0% to 48.1%, with urban and rural rates reaching 50.5% and 45.7%, respectively. In 2021, the richest and richer groups accounted for most C-section deliveries in private facilities, constituting 38.5% and 28.8%, respectively. C-section use was significantly higher in 2021 compared to 2010 (Adjusted OR 3.32, 95% CI [2.72, 4.07]). Women over 20 years old, living in Central Plain, from richer or richest households, had secondary and higher education level, with female household head and had only one child were more likely to undergo a C-section than other women.
Conclusions: The private facilities have significantly driven the increase in C-sections, particularly among wealthier economic groups. Strengthening health system governance and promoting public-private partnerships are vital to curb C-section overuse and ensure equitable and effective childbirth care coverage.
{"title":"Two Decades of Change in Childbirth Care in Cambodia (2000-2021): Disparities in Ceasarean Section Utilization Between Public and Private Facilities.","authors":"Yanqin Zhang, Dyna Khuon, Vonthanak Saphonn, Peng Jia, Qian Long","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00429-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41256-025-00429-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cambodia, a lower-middle-income country, confronts challenges related to childbirth safety. This study investigated the utilization of childbirth care across public and private health facilities, with a particular focus on the use of caesarean section (C-section). It also examined disparities in service utilization across urban and rural areas and among different socioeconomic statuses.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study used cross-sectional data from the Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in Cambodia in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2014 and 2021-22. Descriptive analyses were performed to elucidate changes in place of delivery and C-section rates by public and private health facilities. Logistic regressions were applied using data from 2010 to 2021 to identify factors associated with C-section.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The facility-based delivery rate significantly increased to 96.5% by 2021, while the overall C-section rate rose to 15.5%. Within public facilities, the C-section rate grew from 5.1% in 2010 to 9.7% in 2021, consistently higher in urban areas compared to rural ones. Notably, C-section utilization in public facilities did not significantly vary among different wealth index groups. From 2010 to 2021, the C-section rates in private facilities surged from 11.0% to 48.1%, with urban and rural rates reaching 50.5% and 45.7%, respectively. In 2021, the richest and richer groups accounted for most C-section deliveries in private facilities, constituting 38.5% and 28.8%, respectively. C-section use was significantly higher in 2021 compared to 2010 (Adjusted OR 3.32, 95% CI [2.72, 4.07]). Women over 20 years old, living in Central Plain, from richer or richest households, had secondary and higher education level, with female household head and had only one child were more likely to undergo a C-section than other women.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The private facilities have significantly driven the increase in C-sections, particularly among wealthier economic groups. Strengthening health system governance and promoting public-private partnerships are vital to curb C-section overuse and ensure equitable and effective childbirth care coverage.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"32"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12312384/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144762298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-07-30DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00433-x
Efrat Neter, Max J Western, Rosie Cooper, Anabelle Macedo Silva, Laura M König
Over the past decade, the integration of information and communications technologies (ICTs) in healthcare has grown significantly, as has the rapid increase in internet access and mobile device ownership by individuals. However, challenges such as the digital divide, encompassing disparities in access, usage skills, and the benefits derived from ICT use, persist. Addressing this divide is crucial for maximizing the potential of digital health technologies, particularly for more vulnerable people in society who often require the most support. This commentary paper's aim is to advocate training, in both educational and healthcare settings, so as to contribute towards bridging the digital divide. We propose that educational programs for healthcare professionals in academic institutions can integrate modules on the digital health divide within existing courses on social determinants of health (e.g., sociology, epidemiology, and health informatics) or in specific courses on digital health. The recommended courses should include modules on the digital divide, its causes, implications, and strategies to first assess and then enhance digital and health literacy among patients. Training healthcare professionals in work settings would be part of continuous professional development. This training should include assessing digital health literacy, identifying barriers to uptake, engagement and impact of digital health tools, and providing tailored education on digital health tools or interventions. Healthcare professionals should follow protocols to ensure the effective use of digital health tools by diverse patients and have access to community resources for ongoing support. Finally, the paper suggests service-wide international standards for ameliorating the digital divide.
{"title":"Towards bridging the digital divide: training healthcare professionals for digitally inclusive healthcare systems.","authors":"Efrat Neter, Max J Western, Rosie Cooper, Anabelle Macedo Silva, Laura M König","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00433-x","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41256-025-00433-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Over the past decade, the integration of information and communications technologies (ICTs) in healthcare has grown significantly, as has the rapid increase in internet access and mobile device ownership by individuals. However, challenges such as the digital divide, encompassing disparities in access, usage skills, and the benefits derived from ICT use, persist. Addressing this divide is crucial for maximizing the potential of digital health technologies, particularly for more vulnerable people in society who often require the most support. This commentary paper's aim is to advocate training, in both educational and healthcare settings, so as to contribute towards bridging the digital divide. We propose that educational programs for healthcare professionals in academic institutions can integrate modules on the digital health divide within existing courses on social determinants of health (e.g., sociology, epidemiology, and health informatics) or in specific courses on digital health. The recommended courses should include modules on the digital divide, its causes, implications, and strategies to first assess and then enhance digital and health literacy among patients. Training healthcare professionals in work settings would be part of continuous professional development. This training should include assessing digital health literacy, identifying barriers to uptake, engagement and impact of digital health tools, and providing tailored education on digital health tools or interventions. Healthcare professionals should follow protocols to ensure the effective use of digital health tools by diverse patients and have access to community resources for ongoing support. Finally, the paper suggests service-wide international standards for ameliorating the digital divide.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"31"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12309028/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144755107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-07-25DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00431-z
Chunlu Yu, Yan Huang, Huamei Wu, Luying Zhang
Background: Patient involvement in health technology assessment (HTA) has been extensively explored and implemented in high-income countries, but little is known about it in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study aimed to provide a comprehensive picture of the current state and trends of patient involvement in HTA research, which can inform future research in the LMICs.
Methods: Publications on patient involvement in HTA from January 1, 1900, to December 31, 2023, were retrieved from the core databases of the Web of Science. We applied a bibliometric analysis to reveal the collaboration patterns, hot topics, and evolution of the research field. Co-occurrence, clustering, citation, and burst analyses were performed using VOSviewer and CiteSpace, with results visualized for interpretation.
Results: A total of 175 articles were eligible for inclusion. The first valid article was published in 2000. The number of publications has increased since 2011. The most productive countries and institutions were Canada and McMaster University. The studies focused on five hot topics: patient preferences, priority setting, qualitative research, drug development, and hospital-based HTA. The burst analysis revealed that priority setting and cost effectiveness were the research frontiers.
Conclusions: While patient involvement in HTA research has gained increasing attention, the research conducted in the LMICs remain limited. It is recommended that LMICs participate in international research collaborations, and focus on the five hot topics and emerging frontiers to advance both their research capacity and practical implementations.
背景:患者参与卫生技术评估(HTA)已在高收入国家进行了广泛的探索和实施,但在低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)对此知之甚少。本研究旨在全面了解患者参与HTA研究的现状和趋势,为中低收入国家的未来研究提供参考。方法:从Web of Science核心数据库中检索1900年1月1日至2023年12月31日关于患者参与HTA的出版物。我们运用文献计量学分析揭示了合作模式、研究热点和研究领域的演变。使用VOSviewer和CiteSpace进行共现、聚类、引用和突发分析,并将结果可视化以便解释。结果:共有175篇文章符合纳入条件。第一篇有效的文章发表于2000年。自2011年以来,出版物的数量有所增加。生产力最高的国家和机构是加拿大和麦克马斯特大学。这些研究集中在五个热点主题:患者偏好、优先级设置、定性研究、药物开发和基于医院的HTA。突发分析表明,优先级设置和成本效益是研究的前沿。结论:虽然患者参与HTA研究越来越受到关注,但在中低收入国家开展的研究仍然有限。建议中低收入国家参与国际研究合作,关注五大热点和新兴领域,提高研究能力和实际实施能力。
{"title":"Global research on patient involvement in health technology assessment: a bibliometric analysis.","authors":"Chunlu Yu, Yan Huang, Huamei Wu, Luying Zhang","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00431-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41256-025-00431-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Patient involvement in health technology assessment (HTA) has been extensively explored and implemented in high-income countries, but little is known about it in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study aimed to provide a comprehensive picture of the current state and trends of patient involvement in HTA research, which can inform future research in the LMICs.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Publications on patient involvement in HTA from January 1, 1900, to December 31, 2023, were retrieved from the core databases of the Web of Science. We applied a bibliometric analysis to reveal the collaboration patterns, hot topics, and evolution of the research field. Co-occurrence, clustering, citation, and burst analyses were performed using VOSviewer and CiteSpace, with results visualized for interpretation.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 175 articles were eligible for inclusion. The first valid article was published in 2000. The number of publications has increased since 2011. The most productive countries and institutions were Canada and McMaster University. The studies focused on five hot topics: patient preferences, priority setting, qualitative research, drug development, and hospital-based HTA. The burst analysis revealed that priority setting and cost effectiveness were the research frontiers.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>While patient involvement in HTA research has gained increasing attention, the research conducted in the LMICs remain limited. It is recommended that LMICs participate in international research collaborations, and focus on the five hot topics and emerging frontiers to advance both their research capacity and practical implementations.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"30"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12291269/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144719152","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-07-22DOI: 10.1186/s41256-025-00419-9
Xinge Zhang, Chuiguo Huang, Zhaolan Hu, Yejun Tan, Pengfei Wang, Lemei Zhu, Jin Kang
Background: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a leading cause of disability worldwide, yet global estimates of lifetime risk remain limited. This study aims to provide comprehensive global, regional, and national lifetime risk estimates for OA, including knee, hand, and hip subtypes, from 1990 to 2021.
Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021, we estimated the lifetime risk of developing OA from age 20 onwards, stratified by sex, location, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was also calculated. Spatial heterogeneity in 2021 lifetime risks and their AAPCs was evaluated using the Factor Detector of the Geographic Detector method, with q-statistics quantifying the explanatory power of demographic, socioeconomic, health system and OA-related risk factors.
Results: In 2021, the global lifetime risk of OA was 14.21% (95% confidence interval: 14.21%, 14.22%), with knee OA at 9.31% (95% CI: 9.31%, 9.32%), hand OA at 3.45% (95% CI: 3.45%, 3.46%), and hip OA at 0.71% (95% CI: 0.71%, 0.71%). Lifetime risk increased with higher socio-demographic Index (SDI), from 11.62% in low-SDI regions to 16.10% in high-SDI regions. The highest risk was observed in the High-income Asia Pacific region (18.10%), led by the Republic of Korea (21.20%). Between 1990 and 2021, global lifetime OA risk increased with an AAPC of 0.30% (95% CI: 0.30%, 0.30%), with the most notable increases in East Asia (AAPC: 0.53%). Spatial heterogeneity analysis revealed that the historical proportions employed in agriculture and with upper secondary education had the strongest associations with 2021 lifetime risks and their trends (q-statistics up to 0.84), followed by life expectancy, SDI, and health-system indicators.
Conclusions: In 2021, 1 in 7 individuals globally were projected to develop OA, with the highest risks in high-SDI regions. The steady rise in OA risk, especially in East Asia, highlights the need for targeted public health strategies that focus on prevention, early diagnosis, and ensuring equitable access to treatment to mitigate the increasing OA burden.
{"title":"Global, regional, and country-specific lifetime risks of osteoarthritis, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.","authors":"Xinge Zhang, Chuiguo Huang, Zhaolan Hu, Yejun Tan, Pengfei Wang, Lemei Zhu, Jin Kang","doi":"10.1186/s41256-025-00419-9","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41256-025-00419-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Osteoarthritis (OA) is a leading cause of disability worldwide, yet global estimates of lifetime risk remain limited. This study aims to provide comprehensive global, regional, and national lifetime risk estimates for OA, including knee, hand, and hip subtypes, from 1990 to 2021.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021, we estimated the lifetime risk of developing OA from age 20 onwards, stratified by sex, location, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was also calculated. Spatial heterogeneity in 2021 lifetime risks and their AAPCs was evaluated using the Factor Detector of the Geographic Detector method, with q-statistics quantifying the explanatory power of demographic, socioeconomic, health system and OA-related risk factors.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In 2021, the global lifetime risk of OA was 14.21% (95% confidence interval: 14.21%, 14.22%), with knee OA at 9.31% (95% CI: 9.31%, 9.32%), hand OA at 3.45% (95% CI: 3.45%, 3.46%), and hip OA at 0.71% (95% CI: 0.71%, 0.71%). Lifetime risk increased with higher socio-demographic Index (SDI), from 11.62% in low-SDI regions to 16.10% in high-SDI regions. The highest risk was observed in the High-income Asia Pacific region (18.10%), led by the Republic of Korea (21.20%). Between 1990 and 2021, global lifetime OA risk increased with an AAPC of 0.30% (95% CI: 0.30%, 0.30%), with the most notable increases in East Asia (AAPC: 0.53%). Spatial heterogeneity analysis revealed that the historical proportions employed in agriculture and with upper secondary education had the strongest associations with 2021 lifetime risks and their trends (q-statistics up to 0.84), followed by life expectancy, SDI, and health-system indicators.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In 2021, 1 in 7 individuals globally were projected to develop OA, with the highest risks in high-SDI regions. The steady rise in OA risk, especially in East Asia, highlights the need for targeted public health strategies that focus on prevention, early diagnosis, and ensuring equitable access to treatment to mitigate the increasing OA burden.</p>","PeriodicalId":52405,"journal":{"name":"Global Health Research and Policy","volume":"10 1","pages":"29"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12281868/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144692315","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}