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Implementing Antitrust Regulations in Dynamic Industries: The Case of the U.S. Cottonseed Industry 在有活力的行业中实施反垄断法规——以美国棉花行业为例
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0053
Alexandre Magnier, N. Kalaitzandonakes, M. Allen
Abstract In this paper, we reconsider the rationale used to justify a complaint filed by the U.S. Department of Justice regarding the acquisition of a cottonseed company by an agricultural biotechnology company. With the benefit of hindsight, we show that the competitive assessment overlooked significant market developments that were altering the competitive position of the firms under investigation. This review is intended to raise awareness of the complexities of enforcing antitrust policy in a dynamic environment, with a special emphasis on agricultural markets. We argue that antitrust analysis should incorporate a process view of competition to better account for present market dynamics and the everchanging competitive environment.
摘要在本文中,我们重新考虑了美国司法部就一家农业生物技术公司收购一家棉籽公司提起的诉讼所依据的理由。事后来看,我们发现竞争评估忽略了正在改变被调查公司竞争地位的重大市场发展。这项审查旨在提高人们对在动态环境中执行反垄断政策的复杂性的认识,特别强调农业市场。我们认为,反垄断分析应纳入竞争的过程观,以更好地考虑当前的市场动态和不断变化的竞争环境。
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引用次数: 0
Pandemic Produce: Impacts of COVID-19 on Florida’s Fruit and Vegetable Industries 大流行性农产品:新冠肺炎对佛罗里达州水果和蔬菜行业的影响
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0025
Christa D. Court, David Outerbridge, L. Baker, Laura M. Birou, Catherine G. Campbell, G. DiGiacomo, Sebastian Galindo, John Lai, Alexandre Magnier, Michelle Miller, Gustavo Oliveira, Eyrika Orlando, H. Peterson, Xiaohui Qiao, F. Roka, Andrew Ropicki, B. Saha, A. Stevens, Li Zhang
Abstract Florida has one of the most diverse agricultural economies in the United States, producing several dozen types of fruits and vegetables that are consumed within the state, across the country, and around the world. The COVID-19 pandemic and resulting policy responses occurred during the peak of spring harvest season for many crops in Florida, abruptly removing market demand from the food service industry and shifting consumer purchasing habits, which enabled insights into several aspects of the fruit and vegetable supply chain. This article examines how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted fruit and vegetable industries in Florida, how these industries responded to COVID-19 impacts, and how Florida’s experience compared to that of other states. Data are derived from several sources including a statewide survey that measured agricultural production losses in Florida resulting from COVID-19 in early 2020, interviews with Florida operations that provided insights into how the pandemic induced change across the food supply chain, and a survey of food supply chain operations in three regions of the United States conducted in 2021.
摘要佛罗里达州是美国农业经济最多样化的州之一,生产数十种水果和蔬菜,在该州、全国和世界各地消费。新冠肺炎大流行及其产生的政策反应发生在佛罗里达州许多作物的春季收获季节高峰期,突然消除了食品服务业的市场需求,改变了消费者的购买习惯,这使人们能够深入了解水果和蔬菜供应链的几个方面。本文研究了新冠肺炎疫情如何影响佛罗里达州的水果和蔬菜行业,这些行业如何应对新冠肺炎的影响,以及佛罗里达州与其他州相比的经验。数据来源于多个来源,包括2020年初测量新冠肺炎导致佛罗里达州农业生产损失的全州调查、对佛罗里达州运营部门的采访,这些采访深入了解了疫情如何引发整个食品供应链的变化,以及2021年对美国三个地区的食品供应链运营进行的调查。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of COVID-19 on World Oil Producers: Time is Important COVID-19对世界石油生产国的影响:时间很重要
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0020
A. Schmitz, C. Moss, T. Schmitz
Abstract The COVID-19 crisis had a significant impact on world oil producers. Within a welfare economic framework, Schmitz, A., C. B. Moss, and T. G. Schmitz. 2020. “The Economic Effects of COVID-19 on the Producers of Ethanol, Corn, Gasoline, and Oil.” Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization 18 (2): 1–18, estimated that the minimum cost of COVID-19 in 2020 to world oil producers was roughly US$ 1 trillion. They used actual oil production data for January 1st, 2020, through June 30th, 2020, and forecast world oil production and prices from July 1st to December 31st, 2020. This paper extends the 2020 analysis using actual production and price data for 2020 and 2021 to calculate the change in producer economic rents during the COVID-19 pandemic for global oil producers (U.S., Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the Rest of the World). Despite losses in 2020 to world oil producers due to the COVID-19 pandemic, world oil producers saw significant gains in 2021, which more than offset losses in 2020. At a minimum, world oil producers realized a net gain of $US 829 billion over the two periods.
COVID-19危机对世界石油生产国产生了重大影响。《福利经济框架下的中国经济发展》、《中国经济发展》、《中国经济发展》。“COVID-19对乙醇、玉米、汽油和石油生产商的经济影响。”《农业与食品工业组织学报》18(2):1 - 18,估计2020年2019冠状病毒病对世界石油生产商的最低成本约为1万亿美元。他们使用了2020年1月1日至2020年6月30日的实际石油产量数据,并预测了2020年7月1日至12月31日的世界石油产量和价格。本文使用2020年和2021年的实际产量和价格数据扩展了2020年的分析,以计算全球石油生产国(美国、俄罗斯、沙特阿拉伯和世界其他地区)在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间生产者经济租金的变化。尽管由于2019冠状病毒病大流行,世界石油生产国在2020年遭受了损失,但世界石油生产国在2021年实现了显著收益,抵消了2020年的损失。至少,世界石油生产国在这两个时期实现了8290亿美元的净收益。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 Impacts on United States Crawfish 新冠肺炎对美国小龙虾的影响
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-12-13 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0019
L. Nguyen, A. Schmitz, P. Kennedy
Abstract This research determines the impacts of COVID-19 US on crawfish production and consumption for 2020 and 2021 using an Equilibrium Displacement Model. In the US, crawfish is one of the seafood commodities where most production is consumed by domestic consumers (7% of domestic consumption is from imports). Crawfish and rice are complementary. Therefore, the impacts of COVID-19 on crawfish consumption simultaneously influence rice production and crawfish producers and consumers. In the first year of COVID-19 (2020), the reduction in crawfish retail demand caused negative effects on final consumers and producers. However, crawfish consumption recovered significantly in the second year (2021), which could compensate for the loss in 2020. Overall, consumer and producer gains ranged from $549 to $626 million if the COVID-19 pandemic only impacted retail consumption. However, in 2021, the increase in production costs due to higher oil/diesel prices and other input prices caused the farm supply to decrease. As a result, total welfare gains ranged from $200 to $228 million. If the demand in 2021 did not increase, but the crawfish farm supply decreased, consumer and producer losses ranged from $929 to $1045 million. Overall, the total effects of COVID-19 on consumers and producers for 2020 and 2021 depend on its effects in 2021. If the demand in 2021 increased following the decrease in farm supply, consumers and producers would benefit from the shocks of COVID-19 due to higher post-COVID-19 demand.
摘要本研究使用均衡置换模型确定了新冠肺炎美国对2020年和2021年小龙虾生产和消费的影响。在美国,小龙虾是国内消费者消费最多的海鲜商品之一(国内消费的7%来自进口)。小龙虾和米饭是互补的。因此,新冠肺炎对小龙虾消费的影响同时影响大米生产和小龙虾生产商和消费者。新冠肺炎第一年(2020年),小龙虾零售需求的减少对最终消费者和生产商造成了负面影响。然而,小龙虾消费在第二年(2021年)大幅复苏,这可以弥补2020年的损失。总体而言,如果新冠肺炎疫情仅影响零售消费,消费者和生产者的收益在5.49亿美元至6.26亿美元之间。然而,2021年,由于石油/柴油价格和其他投入价格上涨,生产成本增加,导致农场供应减少。因此,福利总收益从2亿美元到2.28亿美元不等。如果2021年的需求没有增加,但小龙虾养殖场供应减少,消费者和生产者的损失从9.29亿美元到10.45亿美元不等。总体而言,2020年和2021年新冠肺炎对消费者和生产商的总体影响取决于2021年的影响。如果2021年的需求在农场供应减少后增加,消费者和生产者将受益于新冠肺炎的冲击,因为新冠肺炎疫情后的需求增加。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of COVID-19 on U.S. Seafood Availability COVID-19对美国海产品供应的影响
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0017
James L. Anderson, F. Asche, T. Garlock, S. Hegde, Andrew Ropicki, Hans‐Martin Straume
Abstract Seafood is the food group with the highest share traded, and the U.S. is the world’s largest seafood importer, importing 79% of the seafood consumed. Hence, a study examining the impacts of the measures to contain COVID-19 on U.S. seafood imports will not only show how U.S. seafood availability has been affected, but will also give strong indications of how resiliently the global seafood markets have worked through the pandemic. We find that U.S. imports of seafood actually increased in 2020 and 2021, suggesting supply chains were able to adapt to potential disruptions. Moreover, for the 14 largest product forms imported to the U.S., there are no strong price movements. Given that there is a global market for most species groups, this adaption also suggests that the markets have worked quite well beyond the U.S. Hence, while there have undoubtedly been market shocks associated with the COVID-19 measures such as the reduction in demand from the restaurant sector and the increased sales in the retail sector, opportunities seem to balance out challenges, and the supply chains for seafood to the U.S. have been highly resilient.
海产品是交易份额最高的食品类别,美国是世界上最大的海产品进口国,进口海产品占消费总量的79%。因此,一项关于遏制COVID-19措施对美国海产品进口影响的研究不仅将显示美国海产品供应受到的影响,还将有力地表明全球海产品市场在大流行期间的弹性。我们发现,美国的海产品进口量在2020年和2021年实际上有所增加,这表明供应链能够适应潜在的中断。此外,对于进口到美国的14种最大的产品形式,没有强劲的价格波动。鉴于大多数鱼种都有全球市场,这种适应也表明,市场在美国以外的地区运作得相当好。因此,尽管与2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)措施相关的市场冲击无疑存在,例如餐饮业需求减少和零售业销售额增加,但机遇似乎抵消了挑战,向美国出口海鲜的供应链具有高度的弹性。
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引用次数: 3
Impact of COVID-19 (2020–2022) on Cotton and Garments Market of Bangladesh: A Small Country Case 新冠肺炎(2020-2022)对孟加拉国棉花和服装市场的影响:一个小国案例
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0027
Sheikh Jafar Emran, A. Schmitz
Abstract Bangladesh imports roughly 98% of cotton from abroad to produce fabric or yarn (USDA 2020. Cotton and Products Update. Bangladesh. Also available at https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Cotton%20and%20Products%20Update_Dhaka_Bangladesh_11-30-2020). The production of textiles in Bangladesh depends on the price of raw material, the demand for garment products in the importing countries, smooth supply chain management, and the domestic supply of cheap garment laborers. The global pandemic of COVID-19 disrupted the supply chain of almost all physical goods and services, including textiles. It caused the price of textiles to fall due to a drop in worldwide demand, and increased the marginal cost of textile production due to supply chain interruptions. This paper shows how the decline in the demand for garments, coupled with an increase in cost, shrinks the producer welfare of textile manufacturing and garment exports of the small producing country, Bangladesh.
摘要孟加拉国大约98%的棉花从国外进口,用于生产织物或纱线(美国农业部2020。棉花和产品更新。孟加拉国。也可在https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Cotton%20and%20Products%20Update_Dhaka_Bangladesh_11-30-2020)。孟加拉国的纺织品生产取决于原材料价格、进口国对服装产品的需求、供应链管理的顺畅以及国内廉价服装劳动力的供应。新冠肺炎的全球大流行扰乱了包括纺织品在内的几乎所有实物商品和服务的供应链。由于全球需求下降,它导致纺织品价格下跌,并由于供应链中断,增加了纺织品生产的边际成本。本文展示了服装需求的下降,加上成本的增加,如何缩小了小生产国孟加拉国纺织制造和服装出口的生产者福利。
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引用次数: 0
Resilience of U.S. Cattle and Beef Sectors: Lessons from COVID-19 美国牛和牛肉行业的复原力:新冠肺炎的教训
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0021
D. Hayes, Keri L Jacobs, L. Schulz, J. Crespi
Abstract The upheaval wrought on the U.S. beef industry by the global COVID-19 pandemic carried with it several lessons that might help improve resiliency should there be a reoccurrence. First, the futures market for fed cattle fell well before cash prices, which sent a signal to market cattle early, and those who did so benefited. Second, the decline in futures anticipated the closure of slaughter plants and provided an opportunity to purchase and store beef primals in anticipation of future scarcity. Third, the beef industry has ways of slowing or stopping the pipeline of animals destined for feed yards and can “store” these animals in background feeding facilities or on pasture or rangeland. Producers who waited to sell feeder cattle benefited from higher feeder cattle prices once the processing facilities reopened. Fourth, cow slaughter plants responded to the pandemic and subsequent scarcity of labor much better than large fed-cattle plants. Cow plants are not as sophisticated and complex as fed-cattle plants. This relative simplicity may help explain the superior performance of these plants during the crisis. Sixth, the academic work on the value of building smaller plants as a response against concentration provides mixed results—these plants require more labor per animal and can be even more susceptible to labor scarcity. Seventh, the observed increase in boxed beef prices, even as fed cattle prices fell, demonstrates the risk-mitigating impact of producer ownership of downstream activities in the value chain.
全球COVID-19大流行给美国牛肉行业带来的动荡带来了一些教训,如果疫情再次发生,这些教训可能有助于提高美国牛肉行业的弹性。首先,饲料牛期货市场的下跌远远早于现货价格,这向提前交易牛发出了信号,而那些提前交易牛的人从中受益。其次,期货价格的下跌预示着屠宰场的关闭,并提供了一个购买和储存牛肉原肉的机会,以应对未来的短缺。第三,牛肉行业有办法减缓或停止运往饲料场的动物管道,并可以将这些动物“储存”在背景饲养设施或牧场或牧场上。等待出售饲料牛的生产者在加工设施重新开放后受益于饲料牛价格的上涨。第四,牛屠宰场对疫情和随后的劳动力短缺的反应比大型养牛场要好得多。奶牛的植物不像养牛的植物那样复杂和复杂。这种相对的简单性可能有助于解释这些工厂在危机期间的优越表现。第六,关于建立小型工厂作为对集中化的回应的价值的学术工作提供了不同的结果——这些工厂每只动物需要更多的劳动力,甚至更容易受到劳动力短缺的影响。第七,盒装牛肉价格的上涨(尽管饲料牛价格下跌)表明,生产者对价值链下游活动的所有权起到了降低风险的作用。
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引用次数: 1
Explaining Post-Pandemic Lumber Price Volatility and its Welfare Effects 疫情后木材价格波动及其福利效应的解释
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-11-28 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0018
G. C. van Kooten, Rebecca Zanello, A. Schmitz
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic led to an unprecedented increase in the U.S. price of softwood lumber by more than 300%. The price increase has been attributed to constraints on supply and increased demand for lumber caused by a pandemic-induced boom in domestic housing construction and, more so, home improvements. However, the volatility in lumber prices after the COVID-19 outbreak remains unexplained. In this paper, we employ a theoretical model to explain the cause of price volatility. We examine why demand and supply functions for lumber might be quite inelastic over the period from March 2020 to April 2022, despite very small shifts in demand. This implies that slight movements in interest rates or changes in the prices of substitutes, for example, can lead to large jumps in prices. Price volatility harms consumers while greatly benefitting lumber producers. Overall, as a result of the pandemic, U.S. producers gained some $5.3 billion, while U.S. consumers lost $7.3 billion per quarter.
摘要新冠肺炎疫情导致美国软木木材价格空前上涨300%以上。价格上涨归因于疫情引发的国内住房建设繁荣,以及房屋装修,导致木材供应受限和需求增加。然而,新冠肺炎爆发后木材价格的波动仍然无法解释。在本文中,我们使用一个理论模型来解释价格波动的原因。我们研究了为什么在2020年3月至2022年4月期间,尽管需求变化很小,但木材的需求和供应函数可能相当缺乏弹性。这意味着,例如,利率的小幅变动或替代品价格的变化可能导致价格大幅上涨。价格波动损害了消费者,同时使木材生产商受益匪浅。总体而言,由于疫情,美国生产商每季度增加约53亿美元,而美国消费者每季度损失73亿美元。
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引用次数: 1
Network Analysis of Price Comovements Among Corn Futures and Cash Prices 玉米期货与现货价格变动的网络分析
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-08-23 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2022-0009
Xiaojie Xu, Yun Zhang
Abstract Due to significant implications for resource and food sectors that directly influence social well-being, commodity price comovements represent an important issue in agricultural economics. In this study, we approach this issue by concentrating on daily prices of the corn futures market and 496 cash markets from 16 states in the United States for the period of July 2006 – February 2011 through correlation based hierarchical analysis and synchronization analysis, which allow for determining interactions and interdependence among these prices, heterogeneities in price synchronization, and their changing patterns over time. As the first study of the issue focusing on prices of the futures and hundreds of spatially dispersed cash markets for a commodity of indubitable economic significance, empirical findings show that the degree of comovements is generally higher after March 2008 but no persistent increase is observed. Different groups of cash markets are identified, each of which has its members exhibit relatively stable price synchronization over time that is generally at a higher level than the synchronization among the futures and all of the 496 cash markets. The futures is not found to show stable price synchronization with any cash market. Certain cash markets have potential of serving as cash price leaders. Results here benefit resource and food policy analysis and design for economic welfare. The empirical framework has potential of being adapted to network analysis of prices of different commodities.
由于对直接影响社会福祉的资源和粮食部门的重大影响,商品价格变动代表了农业经济学中的一个重要问题。在这项研究中,我们通过基于相关性的分层分析和同步分析,集中研究了2006年7月至2011年2月期间美国16个州的玉米期货市场和496个现货市场的每日价格,从而确定了这些价格之间的相互作用和相互依存关系,价格同步的异质性,以及它们随时间的变化模式。作为第一个关注期货价格和数百个空间分散的现货市场价格的问题的研究,实证结果表明,2008年3月之后,波动程度普遍较高,但没有持续上升。确定了不同的现货市场组,每个组的成员在一段时间内表现出相对稳定的价格同步性,通常高于期货和所有496个现货市场之间的同步性。未发现期货与现货市场价格同步稳定。某些现货市场具有成为现货价格领导者的潜力。结果有利于资源和粮食政策的经济福利分析和设计。经验框架具有适应不同商品价格的网络分析的潜力。
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引用次数: 17
The Drivers of the Nutritional Quality and Carbon Footprint of School Menus in the Paris Area 巴黎地区学校菜单营养质量和碳足迹的驱动因素
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2021-0051
Pierre Chiaverina, E. Raynaud, Marie Fillâtre, S. Nicklaus, V. Bellassen
Abstract Public school food procurement has been identified as a key lever in the transition towards sustainable food systems. In this study, we assess the nutritional quality and the carbon footprint of 2020 school menus served in 101 municipalities in the inner suburbs of Paris. In this sample, school canteens menus meet an average 8.2/15 (min = 4, max = 14) adequacy score to the regulatory nutritional quality frequency criteria and their carbon footprint averages at 1.9 (min = 1.2, max = 2.6) kgCO2e/day. The nutritional and environmental qualities of canteen menus were not correlated with each other. In-house canteens have a significantly higher nutritional quality – 0.7 more points – and so do larger canteens. The carbon footprint significantly decreases with an increasing education level of the population and, for in-house canteens, it also decreases by 0.16 kgCO2e/day with a ten-fold increase in canteen size and by 0.0035 kgCO2e/day per percent of left-wing vote, breaking even with delegated canteens above 3500 enrolled children and 53% of left-wing vote respectively. The frequency of certified food (mean = 18%, min = 0%, max = 51%), a cornerstone of the 2018 national law aiming at more sustainable institutional catering, has no impact on our indicators of nutritional quality and carbon footprint. The substantial variations between canteens in both nutritional and environmental qualities suggests that there is room for improvement on both ends.
公立学校食品采购已被确定为向可持续粮食系统过渡的关键杠杆。在这项研究中,我们评估了巴黎内郊区101个城市的2020年学校菜单的营养质量和碳足迹。在本样本中,学校食堂菜单达到了8.2/15(最小值= 4,最大值= 14)的营养质量频率标准充分性得分,其碳足迹平均为1.9(最小值= 1.2,最大值= 2.6)千克二氧化碳当量/天。食堂菜单的营养质量与环境质量之间不存在相关性。内部食堂的营养质量要高得多——多0.7分——大型食堂也是如此。随着人口受教育程度的提高,碳足迹显著减少,对于内部食堂,它也减少了0.16公斤二氧化碳当量/天,食堂规模增加了10倍,左翼选票减少了0.0035公斤二氧化碳当量/天,分别与3500名以上注册儿童和53%左翼选票的委托食堂持平。认证食品的频率(平均值= 18%,最小值= 0%,最大值= 51%)是2018年旨在提高机构餐饮可持续性的国家法律的基石,对我们的营养质量和碳足迹指标没有影响。食堂在营养和环境质量上的巨大差异表明,两者都有改进的余地。
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引用次数: 0
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