W. Wilhelm, P. L. Walden, Venkatesh Ravichandran, Flavian J. Fernandez
{"title":"On Minimizing the Number of Critical Decision Perimeters at Which Threats to Protected Facilities Must Be Identified to Allow Effective Interdiction","authors":"W. Wilhelm, P. L. Walden, Venkatesh Ravichandran, Flavian J. Fernandez","doi":"10.5711/1082598318215","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318215","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"15-32"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Military Operations Research Society (MORS) Oral History Project Interview of Brian D. Engler, FS","authors":"Bill Dunn, B. Sheldon","doi":"10.5711/1082598318379","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318379","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"79-98"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jonathan J. Schroden, R. Thomasson, R. Foster, Mark W Lukens, Richard Bell
{"title":"A New Paradigm for Assessment in Counter-insurgency","authors":"Jonathan J. Schroden, R. Thomasson, R. Foster, Mark W Lukens, Richard Bell","doi":"10.5711/1082598318305","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318305","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"33 1","pages":"5-20"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948250","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Technology Adoption, Accumulation, and Competition in Multiperiod Attacker-Defender Games","authors":"V. R. Jose, J. Zhuang","doi":"10.5711/1082598318233","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318233","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"33-47"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948567","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Military Operations Research Society (MORS) Oral History Project Interview of Dr. Marion L. Williams, FS","authors":"Bill Dunn, M. Garrambone, B. Sheldon","doi":"10.5711/1082598318261","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318261","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"59-84"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Base Stock Inventory Management System for Intermittent Spare Parts","authors":"N. Scala, J. Rajgopal, K. Needy","doi":"10.5711/1082598318363","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318363","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"65 1","pages":"63-77"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948362","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Keenan D. Yoho, Justin M Bummara, W. Clark, C. Kelley
The US Navy is at a critical juncture in determining the types and numbers of ships it will acquire, retire, and sustain to support an evolving US military strategy. In addition to determining how many aircraft carriers, cruisers, amphibious assault craft, fighters, and helicopters it will need, the Navy must determine how it will confront maritime irregular warfare. Assuming an environment of resource scarcity, where new vessel acquisition to support maritime irregular warfare may be increasingly difficult or unlikely, we introduce a method for evaluating the capability and costs of candidate vessels that are in the current Department of Defense inventory, or widely available from the commercial sector to conduct such a mission. Our method combines wargaming with cost analysis to aid Navy leadership in developing maritime irregular warfare concepts of operation as well as resource allocation decisions.
{"title":"Strategic Resource Allocation: Selecting Vessels to Support Maritime Irregular Warfare","authors":"Keenan D. Yoho, Justin M Bummara, W. Clark, C. Kelley","doi":"10.5711/1082598318321","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318321","url":null,"abstract":"The US Navy is at a critical juncture in determining the types and numbers of ships it will acquire, retire, and sustain to support an evolving US military strategy. In addition to determining how many aircraft carriers, cruisers, amphibious assault craft, fighters, and helicopters it will need, the Navy must determine how it will confront maritime irregular warfare. Assuming an environment of resource scarcity, where new vessel acquisition to support maritime irregular warfare may be increasingly difficult or unlikely, we introduce a method for evaluating the capability and costs of candidate vessels that are in the current Department of Defense inventory, or widely available from the commercial sector to conduct such a mission. Our method combines wargaming with cost analysis to aid Navy leadership in developing maritime irregular warfare concepts of operation as well as resource allocation decisions.","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"21-33"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
S. Veličković, Dragoljub Petković, Emilija Petković
{"title":"The Effects of Programmed Physical Preparation on the Transformation of Motor Skills of Young Soldiers of Various Specialties","authors":"S. Veličković, Dragoljub Petković, Emilija Petković","doi":"10.5711/1082598318249","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318249","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"48-58"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948580","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Abstract : The Air Tasking and Efficiency Model (ATEM) has been used since 2006. Its development was motivated by an urgent need to plan and evaluate intratheater airlift of passengers and palletized freight for Operation Iraqi Freedom in Iraq and Operation Enduring Freedom in Afghanistan. ATEM plans routes and aircraft configurations (capacity of passenger seats and pallet positions) for a heterogeneous fleet of aircraft flying between multiple airfields. ATEM respects limits on crew duty periods, times and abilities of each airfield to handle and fuel each aircraft type, and aircraft speed and carrying capacity. Initially, ATEM advised improving daily and weekly route ensembles, conveying more passengers and pallets and using fewer aircraft than prior manually generated solutions. This early use reduced the required number of ground convoys and thereby exposure to improvised explosive devices. Later, ATEM advised where to advantageously move aircraft to new home airfields, how to shift aircraft between theaters, and when to bring aircraft home from war.
{"title":"Optimizing Intratheater Military Airlift in Iraq and Afghanistan","authors":"Gerald G. Brown, W. Carlyle, R. Dell, J. Brau","doi":"10.5711/1082598318335","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318335","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract : The Air Tasking and Efficiency Model (ATEM) has been used since 2006. Its development was motivated by an urgent need to plan and evaluate intratheater airlift of passengers and palletized freight for Operation Iraqi Freedom in Iraq and Operation Enduring Freedom in Afghanistan. ATEM plans routes and aircraft configurations (capacity of passenger seats and pallet positions) for a heterogeneous fleet of aircraft flying between multiple airfields. ATEM respects limits on crew duty periods, times and abilities of each airfield to handle and fuel each aircraft type, and aircraft speed and carrying capacity. Initially, ATEM advised improving daily and weekly route ensembles, conveying more passengers and pallets and using fewer aircraft than prior manually generated solutions. This early use reduced the required number of ground convoys and thereby exposure to improvised explosive devices. Later, ATEM advised where to advantageously move aircraft to new home airfields, how to shift aircraft between theaters, and when to bring aircraft home from war.","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"35-52"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Interval-based simulation (IBS) has been proposed to model input uncertainty in discrete-event simulation. The foundation of this new simulation paradigm is imprecise probability, which models systems under both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. The statistical distribution parameters in IBS are represented by intervals instead of precise real numbers. This paper discusses how the IBS approach can be applied to stochastic Lanchester models that are used in combat simulation to better account for input parameter uncertainty. The advantages of this approach are explored in comparison with second-order Monte Carlo simulation. Using IBS, an improved estimate of the probability of a team winning a battle is calculated by taking advantage of the interval structure. By resampling from intervals to determine event times, we can separate the effect of parameter uncertainty from random number generator uncertainty to estimate the probability that one team will win for given stream of random numbers used in a single replication. Additionally, we show how our method can be used to improve the reliability of stochastic Lanchester results by accounting for different skill levels within each team, and show how the interval structure can be used to highlight the disproportionate effect of the first few encounters in the battle.
{"title":"Interval-based simulation to model input uncertainty in stochastic Lanchester models","authors":"Dashi I. Singham, O. Batarseh","doi":"10.5711/1082598318161","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5711/1082598318161","url":null,"abstract":"Interval-based simulation (IBS) has been proposed to model input uncertainty in discrete-event simulation. The foundation of this new simulation paradigm is imprecise probability, which models systems under both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. The statistical distribution parameters in IBS are represented by intervals instead of precise real numbers. This paper discusses how the IBS approach can be applied to stochastic Lanchester models that are used in combat simulation to better account for input parameter uncertainty. The advantages of this approach are explored in comparison with second-order Monte Carlo simulation. Using IBS, an improved estimate of the probability of a team winning a battle is calculated by taking advantage of the interval structure. By resampling from intervals to determine event times, we can separate the effect of parameter uncertainty from random number generator uncertainty to estimate the probability that one team will win for given stream of random numbers used in a single replication. Additionally, we show how our method can be used to improve the reliability of stochastic Lanchester results by accounting for different skill levels within each team, and show how the interval structure can be used to highlight the disproportionate effect of the first few encounters in the battle.","PeriodicalId":54242,"journal":{"name":"Military Operations Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"61-75"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2013-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70948691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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