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Surgical Versus Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement in Patients Aged >60 Years With Bicuspid Valve Stenosis: A Time-to-Event Data Meta-Analysis. 手术与经导管主动脉瓣置换术治疗年龄在bb0 - 60岁的双尖瓣狭窄患者:时间-事件数据荟萃分析
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.046556
Marco Moscarelli, Patrizio Lancellotti, Thanos Athanasiou, Roberto Casula, Vincenzo Pernice, Gregorio Zaccone, Mai-Linh Nguyen Trung, Francesco Giannini, Giuseppe Speziale, Mario Gaudino, Khalil Fattouch

Background: The role of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in bicuspid aortic valve stenosis requires further evaluation, particularly as its use has become comparable to surgical aortic valve replacement. We sought to compare midterm outcomes of TAVI and surgical aortic valve replacement in patients with bicuspid aortic valve stenosis.

Methods: Systematic searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials identified studies reporting TAVI and surgical aortic valve replacement outcomes in patients aged ≥60 years with bicuspid aortic valve stenosis. The primary analysis included only comparative studies with interpretable Kaplan-Meier curves. Individual patient data were reconstructed for time-to-event analysis. Sensitivity analyses incorporated noncomparative single-arm studies. Baseline differences and heterogeneity were addressed using landmark analysis, time-varying hazard ratios (HRs), frailty Cox models, and covariate-adjusted restricted mean survival time. The primary outcome was death with or without unplanned rehospitalization and stroke.

Results: Five comparative, risk-adjusted studies (TAVI, 5901; surgical aortic valve replacement, 12 427) were included. At 48-month follow-up, TAVI was associated with a higher hazard for adverse events (HR, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.46-1.79]; P<0.0001 for the composite end point of death, stroke, or rehospitalization at 48 months); landmark analysis showed an initial benefit with TAVI, followed by a reversal at 6 months that was maintained beyond 12 months (12-48 months; P<0.0001). Time-varying HRs confirmed this trend. Sensitivity analyses, including frailty Cox models on the full cohort and restricted mean survival time analysis, supported the robustness of the findings.

Conclusions: This meta-analysis found limited midterm benefits (ie, 48 months) of TAVI in bicuspid aortic valve stenosis. These findings should be interpreted considering patient selection, as younger patients with bicuspid aortic valve stenosis are increasingly referred for TAVI.

背景:经导管主动脉瓣植入术(TAVI)在二尖瓣主动脉瓣狭窄中的作用需要进一步评估,特别是它的使用已经可以与手术主动脉瓣置换术相媲美。我们试图比较TAVI和手术主动脉瓣置换术治疗双尖瓣主动脉瓣狭窄患者的中期结果。方法:系统检索MEDLINE、EMBASE和Cochrane中央对照试验注册库,确定了年龄≥60岁双尖瓣主动脉瓣狭窄患者TAVI和手术主动脉瓣置换术结果的研究。初步分析仅包括具有可解释Kaplan-Meier曲线的比较研究。对个体患者数据进行重构以进行事件时间分析。敏感性分析纳入了非比较单臂研究。使用里程碑分析、时变风险比(HRs)、脆弱Cox模型和协变量调整的限制平均生存时间来解决基线差异和异质性。主要结局是死亡,伴有或不伴有计划外再住院和中风。结果:纳入了5项经风险调整的比较研究(TAVI, 5901项;手术主动脉瓣置换术,12427项)。在48个月的随访中,TAVI与较高的不良事件风险相关(HR, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.46-1.79])。结论:本荟萃分析发现,TAVI对双尖瓣主动脉瓣狭窄患者的中期获益有限(即48个月)。这些发现应该考虑到患者的选择来解释,因为越来越多的年轻的二尖瓣主动脉瓣狭窄患者被转诊为TAVI。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive Value of Traditional and Novel Obesity Indices for Stroke and Its Subtypes Across Sexes and Glucose Status: Toward Precision Prevention Strategies. 传统和新型肥胖指标对脑卒中及其不同性别亚型和血糖状态的预测价值:面向精准预防策略
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.043083
Fang Li, Zhi-Yun Wang, Sha-Sha Qi, Yu-Ming Xu, Chang-He Shi

Background: This study compared the predictive capacity of traditional and novel obesity indices for stroke subtype risks across sexes and glucose metabolic statuses, addressing limitations of current anthropometric tools.

Methods: A retrospective cohort of 398 270 UK Biobank participants who were stroke free was analyzed. Eight novel indices-weight-adjusted waist index, a body shape index, body roundness index, visceral adiposity index, conicity index, lipid accumulation product, waist-to-hip ratio, and waist-to-height ratio-were compared with traditional measures (body mass index, waist circumference). Cox proportional hazards and Fine-Gray competing risk models generated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs, stratified by sex and glucose status. Predictive discrimination was assessed via Harrell's C-statistic.

Results: Novel indices outperformed traditional metrics for total and ischemic stroke. Weight-adjusted waist index showed the strongest associations: men in the highest quartile had a 25% increased ischemic stroke risk (HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.11-1.36]); women had a 36% increased risk (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.20-1.57]). For ischemic stroke prediction, weight-adjusted waist index significantly surpassed body mass index in both sexes (C-statistics: men, 0.712 [95% CI, 0.705-0.720] versus body mass index, 0.688 [95% CI, 0.680-0.696], P<0.0001; women, 0.748 [95% CI, 0.739-0.757] versus body mass index, 0.726 [95% CI, 0.717-0.735], P=0.0007). No significant associations were observed for hemorrhagic stroke.

Conclusions: Weight-adjusted waist index exceeds conventional obesity metrics in predicting cerebrovascular events, with robust performance across sexes and glucose-regulated populations. Findings support sex-specific adiposity assessment in stroke prevention, particularly for ischemic subtypes in normoglycemic individuals.

背景:本研究比较了传统和新型肥胖指标对不同性别和葡萄糖代谢状态的卒中亚型风险的预测能力,解决了当前人体测量工具的局限性。方法:对398 270名英国生物银行参与者进行回顾性队列分析。将体重调整后的腰围指数、体型指数、身体圆度指数、内脏脂肪指数、圆度指数、脂质累积积、腰臀比和腰高比等8项新指标与传统指标(体重指数、腰围)进行比较。Cox比例风险和Fine-Gray竞争风险模型生成95% ci的风险比(hr),按性别和血糖状况分层。通过Harrell的c统计量评估预测性歧视。结果:新指标优于全脑和缺血性脑卒中的传统指标。体重调整后的腰围指数显示出最强的相关性:最高四分位数的男性缺血性卒中风险增加25% (HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.11-1.36]);女性的风险增加36% (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.20-1.57])。对于缺血性卒中的预测,体重调整后的腰围指数在两性中均显著超过体重指数(c统计:男性0.712 [95% CI, 0.705-0.720],而体重指数为0.688 [95% CI, 0.680-0.696], PP=0.0007)。未观察到出血性中风的显著相关性。结论:体重调整后的腰围指数在预测脑血管事件方面超过了传统的肥胖指标,在性别和血糖调节人群中都有良好的表现。研究结果支持性别特异性肥胖评估在卒中预防中的应用,特别是对血糖正常的缺血性亚型个体。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Mavacamten Approval on Septal Reduction Therapy Rates in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy. 马伐卡坦批准对肥厚性心肌病室间隔缩小治疗率的影响。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-04 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.045649
Ramzi Ibrahim, Winston Wang, Hoang Nhat Pham, Mahmoud Abdelnabi, Steven J Lester, Susan Wilansky, Hartzell V Schaff, Jeffrey B Geske, Reza Arsanjani, Chadi Ayoub
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引用次数: 0
Long Troponin T to Separate Troponin Elevations Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Versus Myocardial Infarction. 长肌钙蛋白T可区分心房颤动与心肌梗死患者的肌钙蛋白升高。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.044092
K E Juhani Airaksinen, Konsta Teppo, Tuija Vasankari, Tuomas Paana, Helea Junes, Selma Salonen, Tuulia Tuominen, Sara Simonen, Marjatta Strandberg, Tapio Hellman, Anna Linko-Parvinen, Hanna-Mari Pallari, Samuli Jaakkola, Saara Wittfooth

Background: Elevated troponin levels are a frequent finding in patients presenting with atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter (AF) to the emergency department but are seldom caused by myocardial infarction (MI). The current high-sensitivity cTnT (cardiac troponin T) assay measures both the intact and highly fragmented cTnT forms (total cTnT) and detects cTnT elevations in conditions causing myocardial injury or MI without distinction between the 2.

Methods: The SuperTROPO (Better Diagnostics of Myocardial Infarction With a Test for Special Forms of Troponin) study included 521 consecutive patients with AF only and 188 patients with MI only (139 Type 1 MI), all with a total cTnT value ≥14 ng/L at emergency department admission. Intact and long forms of cTnT (long cTnT) were analyzed from the first plasma samples using a novel immunoassay. The diagnostic performance of long cTnT and total cTnT assays was compared in these cases with elevated total cTnT.

Results: Long cTnT was superior to total cTnT in discriminating troponin elevations in patients with MI from those in patients with AF (area under the curve for type 1 MI: 0.879 versus 0.783; for any MI: 0.864 versus 0.779; both P<0.001) when measured from the first blood sample without a significant effect of sex, age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, or total cTnT <200 ng/L. The difference in long cTnT levels was most notable in patients presenting within 12 hours of symptom onset.

Conclusions: The long cTnT immunoassay shows that the troponin release in AF is composed mainly of smaller troponin fragments. This novel test holds promise that measuring long cTnT forms could help to separate troponin elevations caused by AF from those of acute Type 1 MI from a single sample with better accuracy than the commercial high-sensitivity cTnT test.

Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT05858112.

背景:肌钙蛋白水平升高是急诊科房颤或心房扑动(AF)患者的常见发现,但很少由心肌梗死(MI)引起。目前的高灵敏度cTnT(心肌肌钙蛋白T)检测既可以测量完整的cTnT形式,也可以测量高度碎片化的cTnT形式(总cTnT),并在导致心肌损伤或MI的情况下检测cTnT升高,而不区分两者。方法:SuperTROPO(通过特殊形式肌钙蛋白检测更好地诊断心肌梗死)研究包括521例AF患者和188例MI患者(139例1型MI),所有患者急诊入院时总cTnT值均≥14 ng/L。完整的和长形式的cTnT(长cTnT)从第一个血浆样本分析使用一种新的免疫分析法。在这些总cTnT升高的病例中,比较了长cTnT和总cTnT检测的诊断性能。结果:长cTnT在区分心肌梗死患者和房颤患者的肌钙蛋白升高方面优于总cTnT(1型心肌梗死曲线下面积:0.879 vs 0.783;任何心肌梗死:0.864 vs 0.779)。结论:长cTnT免疫分析显示,房颤中肌钙蛋白释放主要由较小的肌钙蛋白片段组成。这种新颖的测试有望通过测量长cTnT形式来帮助从单个样品中分离AF引起的肌钙蛋白升高和急性1型心肌梗死的肌钙蛋白升高,其准确性比商业高灵敏度cTnT测试更高。注册:网址:https://www.clinicaltrials.gov;唯一标识:NCT05858112。
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引用次数: 0
Cerebrovascular Risk Factors for Body Mass Index, Diabetes, and Atherosclerosis in a Wisconsin Native American Population: A Cross-Sectional Observation Study. 威斯康星州印第安人体质指数、糖尿病和动脉粥样硬化的脑血管危险因素:一项横断面观察研究。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-04 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.043224
Carol C Mitchell, Stephanie M Wilbrand, Timothy Hess, Amanda Riesenberg, Debra Danforth, Umadevi V Wesley, Eben S Schwartz, Tomy Varghese, Carrie J Blohowiak, Connie Vandenberg, Melissa F Metoxen, Karen Lane, Robert J Dempsey

Background: Native American (NA) people are at an increased risk for stroke and are disproportionally affected by stroke risk factors such as hypertension and diabetes. The objective of this study is to characterize stroke risk factors in Wisconsin Native American people compared with an age- and sex-matched population in the SHOW (Survey of the Health of Wisconsin) study to direct future therapeutic efforts.

Methods: Stroke risk factor information was collected from an NA and an age- and sex-matched general Wisconsin population. Stroke risk factor data collected included age, sex, height, weight, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, history of transient ischemic attack/stroke, history of coronary artery disease, history of hypertension, history of diabetes, current smoking status, and laboratory bloodwork (lipid panel, hemoglobin A1c, and average glucose). In addition, all Oneida NA participants had a comprehensive carotid ultrasound examination performed to evaluate for the presence of atherosclerotic plaque and examine hemodynamics.

Results: The NA population had significantly higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure, were taller, and had higher body mass indices and higher rates of diabetes compared with the Wisconsin general population (all P<0.05). Significant differences were also noted in total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, hemoglobin A1c, and average glucose (all P<0.05). In addition, 81.5% of the Oneida NA population had atherosclerotic plaque present in their carotid arteries.

Conclusions: This study demonstrates several statistically significant differences in stroke risk factors between the NA population and a general Wisconsin sample population. These results indicate a strong relationship between obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and atherosclerosis in the NA group. Thus, there is an opportunity to work with NA communities to identify and modify stroke risk factors. Future work will examine the impact of exercise, diet, and nutrition on these risk factors.

Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique Identifier: NCT04382963.

背景:美洲原住民(NA)中风的风险增加,并不成比例地受到高血压和糖尿病等中风危险因素的影响。本研究的目的是将威斯康星州印第安人的中风危险因素与SHOW(威斯康星州健康调查)研究中年龄和性别匹配的人群进行比较,以指导未来的治疗工作。方法:脑卒中危险因素信息收集自一个NA和年龄和性别匹配的威斯康星州一般人群。收集的卒中危险因素数据包括年龄、性别、身高、体重、体重指数、收缩压和舒张压、短暂性脑缺血发作/卒中史、冠状动脉疾病史、高血压史、糖尿病史、吸烟史和实验室血检(血脂、糖化血红蛋白和平均血糖)。此外,所有Oneida NA参与者都进行了全面的颈动脉超声检查,以评估动脉粥样硬化斑块的存在并检查血流动力学。结果:与威斯康星州普通人群相比,NA人群的收缩压和舒张压明显更高,身高更高,体重指数更高,糖尿病发病率更高(所有P1c和平均血糖)。结论:本研究表明NA人群与威斯康星州普通样本人群在卒中危险因素方面存在几个统计学意义上的差异。这些结果表明NA组肥胖、糖尿病、高血压和动脉粥样硬化之间存在很强的相关性。因此,有机会与NA社区合作,以确定和改变卒中危险因素。未来的工作将研究运动、饮食和营养对这些风险因素的影响。注册:网址:https://www.clinicaltrials.gov;唯一标识符:NCT04382963。
{"title":"Cerebrovascular Risk Factors for Body Mass Index, Diabetes, and Atherosclerosis in a Wisconsin Native American Population: A Cross-Sectional Observation Study.","authors":"Carol C Mitchell, Stephanie M Wilbrand, Timothy Hess, Amanda Riesenberg, Debra Danforth, Umadevi V Wesley, Eben S Schwartz, Tomy Varghese, Carrie J Blohowiak, Connie Vandenberg, Melissa F Metoxen, Karen Lane, Robert J Dempsey","doi":"10.1161/JAHA.125.043224","DOIUrl":"10.1161/JAHA.125.043224","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Native American (NA) people are at an increased risk for stroke and are disproportionally affected by stroke risk factors such as hypertension and diabetes. The objective of this study is to characterize stroke risk factors in Wisconsin Native American people compared with an age- and sex-matched population in the SHOW (Survey of the Health of Wisconsin) study to direct future therapeutic efforts.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Stroke risk factor information was collected from an NA and an age- and sex-matched general Wisconsin population. Stroke risk factor data collected included age, sex, height, weight, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, history of transient ischemic attack/stroke, history of coronary artery disease, history of hypertension, history of diabetes, current smoking status, and laboratory bloodwork (lipid panel, hemoglobin A<sub>1c</sub>, and average glucose). In addition, all Oneida NA participants had a comprehensive carotid ultrasound examination performed to evaluate for the presence of atherosclerotic plaque and examine hemodynamics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The NA population had significantly higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure, were taller, and had higher body mass indices and higher rates of diabetes compared with the Wisconsin general population (all <i>P</i><0.05). Significant differences were also noted in total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, hemoglobin A<sub>1c</sub>, and average glucose (all <i>P</i><0.05). In addition, 81.5% of the Oneida NA population had atherosclerotic plaque present in their carotid arteries.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study demonstrates several statistically significant differences in stroke risk factors between the NA population and a general Wisconsin sample population. These results indicate a strong relationship between obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and atherosclerosis in the NA group. Thus, there is an opportunity to work with NA communities to identify and modify stroke risk factors. Future work will examine the impact of exercise, diet, and nutrition on these risk factors.</p><p><strong>Registration: </strong>URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique Identifier: NCT04382963.</p>","PeriodicalId":54370,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the American Heart Association","volume":" ","pages":"e043224"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147356388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of Community-Based Hypertension Screening on Blood Pressure Management and the Role of Socioeconomic Status. 社区高血压筛查对血压管理的影响及社会经济地位的作用
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.044791
Hui Gao, Ying-Quan Wang, Yang Zheng, Qun-Di Yang, Yu Jiang, Xiao-Xia Liu, Dan-Ni Liu, Lei Zhang, Yu-Zhuo Wang, Xue-Na La, Qing-Hua Xia, Yan Shi

Background: A study was conducted to estimate the impact of hypertension screening on blood pressure measured 1, 2, and 3 years after baseline, as well as how its impact varies across socioeconomic statuses.

Methods: Embedded within a subcohort of the ChinaHEART (China Health Evaluation and Risk Reduction Through Nationwide Teamwork) project, blood pressure was measured both at baseline and follow-up visits. Information about socioeconomic factors, including education, annual household income, occupational status, and urbanity, was also collected. A sharp regression discontinuity design was used to estimate the impact of hypertension screening on blood pressure measured 1, 2, and 3 years later. We also explored the role of baseline socioeconomic status by adding the interaction term.

Results: The regression discontinuity analysis found no effect of baseline hypertension screening on the primary outcomes. When stratified by socioeconomic status, regarding systolic blood pressure measured 1 year later, the impact of screening was 5.52 mm Hg (95% CI, -1.55 to 12.59) for individuals with primary or lower education, 0.80 mm Hg (95% CI, -4.00 to 5.59) for middle education, and -7.39 mm Hg (95% CI, -12.03 to -2.75) for high school or above education, with a significant trend observed (P for interaction=0.002). In addition, among individuals with high school or above education, the impact on systolic blood pressure 1, 2, and 3 years later was -7.39 mm Hg (95% CI, -12.03 to -2.75), -8.30 mm Hg (95% CI, -15.79 to -0.81), and -4.63 mm Hg (95% CI, -12.71 to 3.44), respectively. These patterns, although insignificant, were also found for other socioeconomic factors. The impact on diastolic blood pressure was smaller and insignificant.

Conclusions: The impact of community-based hypertension screening on systolic blood pressure was affected by individual's education level and lasted only in the short term.

背景:进行了一项研究,以估计高血压筛查对基线后1、2和3年测量的血压的影响,以及其影响在社会经济地位之间的差异。方法:在ChinaHEART(通过全国团队合作进行中国健康评估和风险降低)项目的一个亚队列中,在基线和随访时测量血压。有关社会经济因素的信息,包括教育、家庭年收入、职业状况和城市化程度,也被收集。采用锐回归不连续设计来估计高血压筛查对1、2和3年后测量的血压的影响。我们还通过添加交互项探讨了基线社会经济地位的作用。结果:回归不连续分析发现基线高血压筛查对主要结局没有影响。当按社会经济地位分层时,关于1年后测量的收缩压,筛查对初等教育或低教育个体的影响为5.52 mm Hg (95% CI, -1.55至12.59),对中等教育个体的影响为0.80 mm Hg (95% CI, -4.00至5.59),对高中或高中以上教育个体的影响为-7.39 mm Hg (95% CI, -12.03至-2.75),观察到显著趋势(相互作用P =0.002)。此外,在高中或高中以上学历的个体中,对1、2和3年后收缩压的影响分别为-7.39 mm Hg (95% CI, -12.03至-2.75)、-8.30 mm Hg (95% CI, -15.79至-0.81)和-4.63 mm Hg (95% CI, -12.71至3.44)。这些模式虽然不显著,但也存在于其他社会经济因素中。对舒张压的影响较小且不显著。结论:社区高血压筛查对收缩压的影响受个人受教育程度的影响,且仅持续短期。
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引用次数: 0
Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Post-Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Heart Failure Hospitalization in Patients With Concurrent Symptomatic Aortic Stenosis and Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Multicenter Study. 一项多中心研究:并发症状性主动脉狭窄和心力衰竭并保留射血分数的患者经导管主动脉瓣置换术后心力衰竭住院的预后图的开发和验证
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.046606
Jun Wang, Shoupeng Duan, Hui Li, Shili Wu, Peng Zhao, Tongjian Zhu, Shengxing Tang, Jiajun Zhu, Bi Tang, Jinjun Liu

Background: Existing risk stratification models are insufficient in identifying patients at high risk for heart failure (HF) hospitalization, particularly among those presenting with symptomatic aortic stenosis and the HF with preserved ejection fraction phenotype.

Methods: This multicenter cohort study enrolled 321 patients diagnosed with severe aortic stenosis and HF with preserved ejection fraction who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement between January 2017 and February 2024. Various predictive modeling techniques were used, including random forest, XGBoost, SuperPC, plsRcox, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-Cox, Gradient Boosting Machine, Coxboost, and Cox regression analysis, at multiple time points.

Results: Patients were divided into a derivation cohort (n=191) and an external validation cohort (n=130) based on institutional affiliation, with a median follow-up of 20 months. Feature selection using the Boruta algorithm and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, combined with variance inflation factor analysis to assess multicollinearity, identified 6 independent predictors. Among 8 prediction models evaluated, the Cox regression-based nomogram demonstrated superior performance in external validation, achieving time-dependent area under the curve values of 0.824 (95% CI, 0.693-0.956) at 12 months and 0.818 (95% CI, 0.715-0.920) at 20 months. The nomogram exhibited excellent calibration and substantial clinical utility across both time points, consistently outperforming the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation in discrimination and reclassification analyses. An interactive web-based clinical decision support tool was developed to facilitate point-of-care implementation.

Conclusions: This nomogram, based on machine learning and incorporating metabolic biomarkers, exhibits high predictive accuracy for HF hospitalization in patients with symptomatic aortic stenosis and high-risk HF with preserved ejection fraction phenotype following transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique Identifier: ChiCTR2400092655.

背景:现有的风险分层模型不足以识别心力衰竭(HF)住院的高危患者,特别是那些表现为症状性主动脉狭窄和保留射血分数表型的心力衰竭患者。方法:这项多中心队列研究纳入了321例诊断为严重主动脉瓣狭窄和HF并保留射血分数的患者,这些患者在2017年1月至2024年2月期间接受了经导管主动脉瓣置换术。在多个时间点使用了各种预测建模技术,包括随机森林、XGBoost、SuperPC、plsRcox、最小绝对收缩和选择算子-Cox、梯度增强机、Coxboost和Cox回归分析。结果:患者根据所属机构分为衍生队列(n=191)和外部验证队列(n=130),中位随访时间为20个月。采用Boruta算法、最小绝对收缩和选择算子回归进行特征选择,结合方差膨胀因子分析评估多重共线性,确定了6个独立的预测因子。在评估的8个预测模型中,基于Cox回归的nomogram在外部验证中表现优异,在12个月时曲线下的时间依赖面积为0.824 (95% CI, 0.693-0.956),在20个月时曲线下的时间依赖面积为0.818 (95% CI, 0.715-0.920)。在两个时间点上,nomogram都表现出了出色的校准和实质性的临床效用,在区分和再分类分析中始终优于欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统。开发了一种基于网络的交互式临床决策支持工具,以促进护理点的实施。结论:该nomogram基于机器学习并结合代谢生物标志物,对有症状的主动脉瓣狭窄患者和经导管主动脉瓣置换术后保留射血分数表型的高危HF患者的HF住院具有较高的预测准确性。注册:网址:https://www.clinicaltrials.gov;唯一标识符:ChiCTR2400092655。
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引用次数: 0
Severity of Intracranial Arterial Calcification on Computed Tomography and Risk of Dementia in Patients With Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: A Population-Based Study. 脑卒中或短暂性脑缺血发作患者颅内动脉钙化程度与痴呆风险:一项基于人群的研究
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-04 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.046801
Ke Li 李可, Davide Simonato, Peter M Rothwell

Background: Coronary arterial calcification predicts coronary events, but although intracranial arterial calcification on CT (CT-IAC) is a frequent finding in older individuals, few longitudinal studies have assessed whether its severity or site predict dementia. We did a population-based study in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) or stroke to assess these associations.

Methods: In a matched case-control study of patients with minor stroke/transient ischemic attack nested in the population-based OXVASC (Oxford Vascular Study), severity (qualitatively and semiautomated volume) and location (intimal or internal elastic lamina) of CT-IAC in cases who developed dementia on follow-up was compared with that in age-/sex-matched controls who did not (logistic regression adjusted for other risk factors).

Results: In OXVASC (cases/controls=200/200; mean age=78.0±9.3 years), dementia was independently associated with severity of internal carotid artery CT-IAC on visual assessment (bilateral severe-adjusted OR [aOR], 2.02 [95% CI, 1.26-3.23], P=0.004) and quantitative volume (top versus bottom tertile-aOR, 2.35 [95% CI, 1.33-4.16], P=0.003), driven mainly by individuals with very high calcification volumes (≥600 mm3 versus 0-299 mm3-aOR, 6.23 [95% CI, 1.24-31.24], P=0.026). Similar trends were observed for CT-IAC in the internal carotid artery and vertebrobasilar artery combined (top versus bottom tertile-aOR, 2.59[95% CI, 1.43-4.68], P=0.002), including after exclusion of recurrent stroke (aOR, 2.60 [95% CI, 1.33-5.08], P=0.005) and patients with moderate/severe white matter disease (aOR, 3.19 [95% CI, 1.54-6.62], P=0.002). Internal carotid artery CT-IAC of the internal elastic lamina independently predicted dementia after adjusting for qualitative (aOR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.11-3.05, P=0.019) or quantitative (aOR, 1.78 [95% CI, 1.06-2.99], P=0.029) CT-IAC severity.

Conclusions: Severity of CT-IAC independently predicts future dementia after stroke/ transient ischemic attack. The extent of any nonlinearity and calcification- or dementia-subtype differences should be determined in larger studies.

背景:冠状动脉钙化可预测冠状动脉事件,但尽管CT显示颅内动脉钙化(CT- iac)在老年人中很常见,但很少有纵向研究评估其严重程度或部位是否可预测痴呆。我们对短暂性脑缺血发作(TIA)或中风患者进行了一项基于人群的研究,以评估这些关联。方法:在以人群为基础的牛津血管研究(OXVASC)中,对轻度卒中/短暂性脑缺血发作患者进行匹配病例对照研究,将随访中发生痴呆的患者的CT-IAC严重程度(定性和半自动化容量)和位置(内膜或内部弹性层)与年龄/性别匹配的对照组进行比较(经其他危险因素调整的logistic回归)。结果:在OXVASC(病例/对照=200/200,平均年龄=78.0±9.3岁)中,痴呆与颈内动脉CT-IAC的视觉评估严重程度独立相关(双侧严重调整OR [aOR], 2.02 [95% CI, 1.26-3.23], P=0.004)和定量体积(顶对底3-aOR, 2.35 [95% CI, 1.33-4.16], P=0.003),主要由非常高钙化体积的个体驱动(≥600 mm3 vs 0-299 mm3-aOR, 6.23 [95% CI, 1.24-31.24], P=0.026)。在排除卒中复发(aOR, 2.60 [95% CI, 1.33-5.08], P=0.005)和中度/重度白质疾病患者(aOR, 3.19 [95% CI, 1.54-6.62], P=0.002)后,颈内动脉和椎基底动脉合并的CT-IAC也出现了类似的趋势(顶部与底部titir -aOR, 2.59[95% CI, 1.43-4.68], P=0.002)。在调整了定性(aOR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.11-3.05, P=0.019)或定量(aOR, 1.78 [95% CI, 1.06-2.99], P=0.029) CT-IAC严重程度后,颈内动脉内弹性板CT-IAC独立预测痴呆。结论:CT-IAC的严重程度独立预测脑卒中/短暂性脑缺血发作后的痴呆。任何非线性和钙化或痴呆亚型差异的程度应在更大规模的研究中确定。
{"title":"Severity of Intracranial Arterial Calcification on Computed Tomography and Risk of Dementia in Patients With Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: A Population-Based Study.","authors":"Ke Li 李可, Davide Simonato, Peter M Rothwell","doi":"10.1161/JAHA.125.046801","DOIUrl":"10.1161/JAHA.125.046801","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Coronary arterial calcification predicts coronary events, but although intracranial arterial calcification on CT (CT-IAC) is a frequent finding in older individuals, few longitudinal studies have assessed whether its severity or site predict dementia. We did a population-based study in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) or stroke to assess these associations.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In a matched case-control study of patients with minor stroke/transient ischemic attack nested in the population-based OXVASC (Oxford Vascular Study), severity (qualitatively and semiautomated volume) and location (intimal or internal elastic lamina) of CT-IAC in cases who developed dementia on follow-up was compared with that in age-/sex-matched controls who did not (logistic regression adjusted for other risk factors).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In OXVASC (cases/controls=200/200; mean age=78.0±9.3 years), dementia was independently associated with severity of internal carotid artery CT-IAC on visual assessment (bilateral severe-adjusted OR [aOR], 2.02 [95% CI, 1.26-3.23], <i>P</i>=0.004) and quantitative volume (top versus bottom tertile-aOR, 2.35 [95% CI, 1.33-4.16], <i>P</i>=0.003), driven mainly by individuals with very high calcification volumes (≥600 mm<sup>3</sup> versus 0-299 mm<sup>3</sup>-aOR, 6.23 [95% CI, 1.24-31.24], <i>P</i>=0.026). Similar trends were observed for CT-IAC in the internal carotid artery and vertebrobasilar artery combined (top versus bottom tertile-aOR, 2.59[95% CI, 1.43-4.68], <i>P</i>=0.002), including after exclusion of recurrent stroke (aOR, 2.60 [95% CI, 1.33-5.08], <i>P</i>=0.005) and patients with moderate/severe white matter disease (aOR, 3.19 [95% CI, 1.54-6.62], <i>P</i>=0.002). Internal carotid artery CT-IAC of the internal elastic lamina independently predicted dementia after adjusting for qualitative (aOR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.11-3.05, <i>P</i>=0.019) or quantitative (aOR, 1.78 [95% CI, 1.06-2.99], <i>P</i>=0.029) CT-IAC severity.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Severity of CT-IAC independently predicts future dementia after stroke/ transient ischemic attack. The extent of any nonlinearity and calcification- or dementia-subtype differences should be determined in larger studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":54370,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the American Heart Association","volume":" ","pages":"e046801"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147357493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of Coronary Artery Disease Extent on GRACE Risk Score Prognostic Performance After ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction. 冠状动脉病变程度对st段抬高型心肌梗死后GRACE风险评分预后的影响
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.047124
Kayode O Kuku, Chris Lenselink, Constantijn S Venema, Hector M Garcia-Garcia, Pim van der Harst, Erik Lipsic, Adriaan A Voors, Joanna J Wykrzykowska

Background: The GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score is well validated for risk stratification in non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, but less well established in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), particularly relative to coronary disease burden. We therefore assessed its prognostic performance in a STEMI cohort, accounting for baseline coronary disease extent.

Methods: We studied 1099 patients with STEMI from the CardioLines Coronary Biobank (2015-2021) with evaluable GRACE score and follow-up data. Patients were stratified by the number of coronary vessels with significant stenosis. The primary end point was all-cause death at 1 year; the secondary end point was a combined end point, including all-cause death, recurrent acute coronary syndrome, stroke, and revascularization at 1 year.

Results: Mean GRACE scores increased with the number of diseased vessels (P<0.001). In multivariable models, each 10-point increase in GRACE score was associated with a 31% higher risk of all-cause death and a 14% higher risk of the combined end point at 1 year. In single-vessel disease, discrimination for all-cause death was excellent early (30-day area under the curve, 0.874 [95% CI, 0.755-0.991]) and moderate at 1 year (area under the curve, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.613-0.927]), but consistently poor in 3-vessel disease (area under the curve, 0.52-0.57). Discrimination was significantly higher in single- versus multivessel disease at earlier time points, with differences attenuated by 1 year. Stratified regression analyses confirmed stronger associations in single-vessel versus multivessel disease.

Conclusions: In this contemporary STEMI cohort, the GRACE score effectively stratifies event risk in single-vessel but performs poorly in multivessel disease. These findings suggest variable prognostic utility of the GRACE score across anatomic disease burden post-STEMI and caution when applying it across STEMI subgroups.

背景:GRACE(全球急性冠状动脉事件登记)评分在非st段抬高型心肌梗死的风险分层中得到了很好的验证,但在st段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)的风险分层中建立得不太好,特别是与冠状动脉疾病负担相关。因此,我们在STEMI队列中评估了其预后表现,考虑了基线冠状动脉疾病程度。方法:我们研究了来自CardioLines冠状动脉生物银行(2015-2021)的1099例STEMI患者,这些患者具有可评估的GRACE评分和随访数据。根据明显狭窄的冠状血管数量对患者进行分层。主要终点为1年全因死亡;次要终点是一个综合终点,包括全因死亡、复发性急性冠状动脉综合征、中风和1年血运重建术。结果:平均GRACE评分随着病变血管数量的增加而增加(结论:在当代STEMI队列中,GRACE评分有效地分层了单血管疾病的事件风险,但在多血管疾病中表现不佳。这些发现表明GRACE评分在STEMI后解剖疾病负担中的预后效用是可变的,在将其应用于STEMI亚组时要谨慎。
{"title":"Impact of Coronary Artery Disease Extent on GRACE Risk Score Prognostic Performance After ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction.","authors":"Kayode O Kuku, Chris Lenselink, Constantijn S Venema, Hector M Garcia-Garcia, Pim van der Harst, Erik Lipsic, Adriaan A Voors, Joanna J Wykrzykowska","doi":"10.1161/JAHA.125.047124","DOIUrl":"10.1161/JAHA.125.047124","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score is well validated for risk stratification in non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, but less well established in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), particularly relative to coronary disease burden. We therefore assessed its prognostic performance in a STEMI cohort, accounting for baseline coronary disease extent.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We studied 1099 patients with STEMI from the CardioLines Coronary Biobank (2015-2021) with evaluable GRACE score and follow-up data. Patients were stratified by the number of coronary vessels with significant stenosis. The primary end point was all-cause death at 1 year; the secondary end point was a combined end point, including all-cause death, recurrent acute coronary syndrome, stroke, and revascularization at 1 year.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Mean GRACE scores increased with the number of diseased vessels (<i>P</i><0.001). In multivariable models, each 10-point increase in GRACE score was associated with a 31% higher risk of all-cause death and a 14% higher risk of the combined end point at 1 year. In single-vessel disease, discrimination for all-cause death was excellent early (30-day area under the curve, 0.874 [95% CI, 0.755-0.991]) and moderate at 1 year (area under the curve, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.613-0.927]), but consistently poor in 3-vessel disease (area under the curve, 0.52-0.57). Discrimination was significantly higher in single- versus multivessel disease at earlier time points, with differences attenuated by 1 year. Stratified regression analyses confirmed stronger associations in single-vessel versus multivessel disease.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this contemporary STEMI cohort, the GRACE score effectively stratifies event risk in single-vessel but performs poorly in multivessel disease. These findings suggest variable prognostic utility of the GRACE score across anatomic disease burden post-STEMI and caution when applying it across STEMI subgroups.</p>","PeriodicalId":54370,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the American Heart Association","volume":" ","pages":"e047124"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147391724","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Negative and Nonlinear Association Between Particulate Matter and Cardiorespiratory Fitness Among Children and Adolescents: The Mediating Effect of Adiposity. 儿童和青少年颗粒物与心肺健康的负非线性关联:肥胖的中介作用。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.045789
Feng Zhang, Cun-Jian Bi, Ya-Ru Guo, Yuan Liu, Peng-Wei Sun, Jun Hong, Yan-Yan Hu, He Liu, Li-Xin Hu, Yu-Shan Zhang, Ya-Jun Chen, Xiao-Jian Yin, Xin-Ming Ye

Background: Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) has been investigated as a broad, holistic health indicator for children and adolescents. The adverse effects of particulate matter on lung function and cardiovascular health have been widely reported, whereas the association between particulate matter and CRF and its potential pathways remains unclear. The study aims to estimate the association between particulate matter and CRF in children and adolescents and the mediating effect of adiposity on this association.

Methods: A multistage random cluster sampling method was used to obtain a nationwide sample of 99 995 children and adolescents in China. Daily exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 and <10 μm surrounding schools was extracted from the China High Air Pollutants data sets. As surrogates of long-term exposures, we used 3-year average (2013-2015) concentrations before the study for analyses. CRF was estimated by a 20-m shuttle run test.

Results: Per 10-μg/m3 increase in particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 and <10 μm was associated with -0.12 (95% CI, -0.13 to -0.10) and -0.09 (95% CI, -0.10 to -0.08) mL/kg per min lower CRF levels. Exposure-response curves suggested a nonlinear association of particulate matter with CRF (all P nonlinear <0.001). Waist/height ratio mediated 15.97% (95% CI, 13.99%-18.27%) and 16.15% (95% CI, 13.92%-18.75%) of the association between particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 and <10 μm, respectively, and CRF among children and adolescents (all P<0.001).

Conclusions: There is a negative and nonlinear association between long-term exposure to particulate matter and CRF among children and adolescents, and this association may be partially explained by adiposity. Cohort studies are needed to further validate the findings.

背景:心肺健康(CRF)作为儿童和青少年的一项广泛、全面的健康指标已被调查。颗粒物质对肺功能和心血管健康的不良影响已被广泛报道,然而颗粒物质与CRF及其潜在途径之间的关联尚不清楚。本研究旨在评估儿童和青少年颗粒物质与CRF之间的关系以及肥胖在这种关系中的中介作用。方法:采用多阶段随机整群抽样方法,对全国99 995名儿童青少年进行抽样调查。结果:空气动力直径≤2.5的颗粒物每增加10-μg/m3, P值呈非线性变化。结论:儿童青少年长期接触颗粒物与CRF呈非线性负相关关系,其部分原因可能与肥胖有关。需要进行队列研究来进一步验证这些发现。
{"title":"Negative and Nonlinear Association Between Particulate Matter and Cardiorespiratory Fitness Among Children and Adolescents: The Mediating Effect of Adiposity.","authors":"Feng Zhang, Cun-Jian Bi, Ya-Ru Guo, Yuan Liu, Peng-Wei Sun, Jun Hong, Yan-Yan Hu, He Liu, Li-Xin Hu, Yu-Shan Zhang, Ya-Jun Chen, Xiao-Jian Yin, Xin-Ming Ye","doi":"10.1161/JAHA.125.045789","DOIUrl":"10.1161/JAHA.125.045789","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) has been investigated as a broad, holistic health indicator for children and adolescents. The adverse effects of particulate matter on lung function and cardiovascular health have been widely reported, whereas the association between particulate matter and CRF and its potential pathways remains unclear. The study aims to estimate the association between particulate matter and CRF in children and adolescents and the mediating effect of adiposity on this association.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A multistage random cluster sampling method was used to obtain a nationwide sample of 99 995 children and adolescents in China. Daily exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 and <10 μm surrounding schools was extracted from the China High Air Pollutants data sets. As surrogates of long-term exposures, we used 3-year average (2013-2015) concentrations before the study for analyses. CRF was estimated by a 20-m shuttle run test.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Per 10-μg/m<sup>3</sup> increase in particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 and <10 μm was associated with -0.12 (95% CI, -0.13 to -0.10) and -0.09 (95% CI, -0.10 to -0.08) mL/kg per min lower CRF levels. Exposure-response curves suggested a nonlinear association of particulate matter with CRF (all <i>P</i> nonlinear <0.001). Waist/height ratio mediated 15.97% (95% CI, 13.99%-18.27%) and 16.15% (95% CI, 13.92%-18.75%) of the association between particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 and <10 μm, respectively, and CRF among children and adolescents (all <i>P</i><0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>There is a negative and nonlinear association between long-term exposure to particulate matter and CRF among children and adolescents, and this association may be partially explained by adiposity. Cohort studies are needed to further validate the findings.</p>","PeriodicalId":54370,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the American Heart Association","volume":" ","pages":"e045789"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147391743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of the American Heart Association
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