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Incidence, Prevalence, and Treatment Patterns in Chronic Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyneuropathy: Data Analysis of United States Claims. 慢性炎症性脱髓鞘性多神经病变的发病率、患病率和治疗模式:美国索赔的数据分析。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1159/000550418
Karissa Gable, Joel Arackal, Yuriy Edwards, Jennifer Schwinn, Brett Venker, Lesley-Ann Miller-Wilson

Introduction: Chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP) is an autoimmune-mediated neuropathy typically presenting as symmetrical motor weakness and/or sensory impairment. As the most recent data describing the epidemiology of CIDP in the US are approximately 25 years old, this work aimed to provide updated estimates on the incidence and prevalence of CIDP in the US and information on patient characteristics and treatment patterns.

Methods: This retrospective claims-based cohort study utilized Inovalon closed claims data from 2016 through 2023. Identified patients with CIDP were those with ≥2 claims containing ICD-10 codes for CIDP (G61.81) separated by ≥30 days. The incident cohort was defined as patients with CIDP and continuous enrollment for all of 2022 and 2023, with no diagnosis of CIDP prior to 2023. The prevalent cohort was defined as patients with CIDP and continuous enrollment in 2023. Incidence and prevalence rates were determined for the study population, then adjusted for age and sex and extrapolated to the total US population.

Results: The incident and prevalent cohorts included 913 and 8,697 patients, respectively. The median ages for males and females, respectively, were 59 and 53 years in the incident cohort, and 60 and 56 years in the prevalent cohort. The most common comorbidity was diabetes mellitus. Among patients who received treatment in 2023, a majority in both cohorts received steroids, followed by immunoglobulin. Patients in both cohorts were most frequently seen by neurology specialists, and these specialists were the most frequent prescribers of immunoglobulin. Adjusted incidence and prevalence rates for CIDP in 2023 were 2.8 (95% CI 2.7-2.9) and 23.3 (95% CI 23.1-23.5), respectively, per 100,000 persons, yielding an estimate of 77,058 total individuals with CIDP currently living in the US. Incidence and prevalence rates in patients aged ≥55 years were generally higher in males compared with females.

Conclusion: This study reports increased epidemiologic rates for CIDP and provides insights into patient characteristics and current treatment patterns. These updated estimates can inform strategic healthcare resource planning, although they may be limited by the potential misclassification of CIDP diagnoses in the claims data.  .

慢性炎症性脱髓鞘性多神经病变(CIDP)是一种自身免疫介导的神经病变,典型表现为对称性运动无力和/或感觉障碍。由于描述CIDP在美国流行病学的最新数据大约是25年前的,因此这项工作旨在提供有关美国CIDP发病率和患病率的最新估计以及有关患者特征和治疗模式的信息。方法:这项基于索赔的回顾性队列研究利用了2016年至2023年Inovalon关闭的索赔数据。确认为CIDP的患者是那些≥2个包含CIDP的ICD-10代码(G61.81),间隔≥30天的患者。事件队列定义为2022年和2023年连续入组的CIDP患者,在2023年之前没有诊断出CIDP。流行队列定义为2023年持续入组的CIDP患者。确定了研究人群的发病率和患病率,然后根据年龄和性别进行调整,并推断出美国总人口。结果:发病组和流行组分别包括913例和8697例患者。男性和女性的中位年龄在事件队列中分别为59岁和53岁,在流行队列中分别为60岁和56岁。最常见的合并症是糖尿病。在2023年接受治疗的患者中,两个队列中的大多数患者接受类固醇治疗,其次是免疫球蛋白。两组患者最常去看神经病学专家,这些专家是最常开免疫球蛋白的处方者。2023年,调整后的CIDP发病率和患病率分别为每10万人2.8 (95% CI 2.7-2.9)和23.3 (95% CI 23.1-23.5),估计目前美国共有77,058名CIDP患者。年龄≥55岁患者中男性的发病率和患病率普遍高于女性。结论:本研究报告了CIDP的流行病学发病率增加,并提供了对患者特征和当前治疗模式的见解。这些更新的估计可以为战略性医疗保健资源规划提供信息,尽管它们可能受到索赔数据中潜在的CIDP诊断分类错误的限制。。
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引用次数: 0
Epidemiology of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis in the Pays de la Loire, France: A 20-Year Study from a Centralized Diagnostic Center. 卢瓦尔地区肌萎缩性侧索硬化症的流行病学:一项来自中央诊断中心的20年研究。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1159/000550417
Marie-Lou Chevet, Maelle Garnier, Marc Fadel, Clarisse Scherer, Julien Cassereau, Mathieu Levaillant, Philippe Codron

Introduction: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal motor neurons disease with multifactorial etiology. The epidemiology of ALS in France is mainly documented through the Limousin regional registry (FRALim). We aimed to determine the incidence and clinical characteristics of ALS cases over a 20-year period in another French region, the Pays de la Loire, served by a single centralized diagnostic center.

Methods: All patients diagnosed with ALS at the Angers University Hospital reference center between 2003 and 2023 were retrospectively included. Demographic and clinical data were extracted from medical records, and incidence rates were calculated using annual population estimates from the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies. Spatial analyses were performed to identify over-incidence areas and potential environmental or occupational determinants.

Results: A total of 1,316 patients were diagnosed with ALS during the study period, corresponding to a crude incidence rate of 1.88 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 1.78-1.98), with no significant variation over time. The standardized incidence rate was 1.73 (95% CI 1.63-1.83). The mean age at symptom onset was 63.6 ± 11.2 years, 58.7 % of patients were male. The mean disease duration was 3.7 ± 3.5 years. ALS onset was spinal in 70.3 %, bulbar in 27.9 %, and respiratory in 1.7 % of cases. Familial or genetic forms accounted for 6 % of patients. Four geographical over-incidence areas were identified, with no correlation found with pesticide use, air pollution, or other environmental indicators. One occupational cluster was observed among farmers in a specific commune, prompting a dedicated investigation.

Conclusion: This 20-year retrospective study provides the first epidemiological data on ALS in western France. The incidence and clinical features are consistent with national and European data. The identification of spatial and occupational clusters underlines the importance of continued regional surveillance and of prospective, registry-based studies to clarify environmental and occupational risk factors for ALS.

简介:肌萎缩性侧索硬化症(ALS)是一种多因素致死性运动神经元疾病。法国ALS的流行病学主要通过利穆赞地区登记处(FRALim)进行记录。我们的目的是确定20年来法国另一个地区,卢瓦尔地区ALS病例的发病率和临床特征,该地区由单一的集中诊断中心服务。方法:回顾性分析2003年至2023年间在昂热大学医院参考中心诊断为ALS的所有患者。从医疗记录中提取人口统计和临床数据,并使用国家统计和经济研究所的年度人口估计数计算发病率。进行空间分析以确定高发区域和潜在的环境或职业决定因素。结果:在研究期间,共有1316例患者被诊断为ALS,对应于每10万人年1.88例的粗发病率(95% CI 1.78-1.98),随着时间的推移无显著变化。标准化发病率为1.73 (95% CI 1.63-1.83)。平均发病年龄为63.6±11.2岁,男性占58.7%。平均病程3.7±3.5年。ALS的发病部位为脊柱,占70.3%,球茎占27.9%,呼吸道占1.7%。家族或遗传形式占6%的患者。确定了四个地理上的高发地区,与农药使用、空气污染或其他环境指标没有相关性。在一个特定公社的农民中观察到一个职业集群,促使了专门的调查。结论:这项20年的回顾性研究首次提供了法国西部ALS的流行病学数据。发病率和临床特征与国家和欧洲的数据一致。空间和职业集群的确定强调了持续的区域监测和前瞻性的、基于登记的研究的重要性,以澄清ALS的环境和职业风险因素。
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引用次数: 0
The burden of multiple sclerosis in Japan from 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2050 based on the Global Burden of Disease study 2021. 1990年至2021年日本多发性硬化症的负担及基于2021年全球疾病负担研究的2050年预测。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1159/000550382
Ruochen Wang, Davide Cossu, Yuji Tomizawa, Nobutaka Hattori, Taku Hatano

Global increases in multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence and incidence have been observed, yet Japan's longitudinal trends and future burden remain understudied. This study analyzed MS incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in Japan from 1990 to 2021, and projected burden to 2050 using age-period-cohort modeling and Bayesian meta-regression. Results showed a 50.2% rise in age-standardized prevalence rates (from 7.622 to 11.452 per 100,000), mainly driven by a 59.2% increase among females (from 10.853 to 17.282 per 100,000). Projections indicate an increase to 10.12 per 100,000 by 2050, with females remaining disproportionately affected (female-to-male ratio: 2.18:1). Disability accounted for 71.2% of total DALYs in 2021, especially among women aged ≥80 years, who experienced a 446% increase in years lived with disability. Regional disparities persisted, with northern prefectures showing higher prevalence and DALYs. Incidence peaks shifted to older ages, and female incidence remained 1.5-2.0 times higher than males after 2000. Although Japan remains a low-incidence country, the MS burden is rising due to increasing disability, female predominance, and regional disparities, highlighting the need for targeted screening, resource allocation to high-risk areas, and elderly-focused care.

全球多发性硬化症(MS)患病率和发病率的增加已经被观察到,但日本的纵向趋势和未来负担仍未得到充分研究。本研究分析了1990年至2021年日本MS发病率、死亡率和残疾调整生命年(DALYs),并使用年龄-时期队列模型和贝叶斯元回归预测了到2050年的负担。结果显示,年龄标准化患病率上升50.2%(从7.622 / 10万增加到11.452 / 10万),其中女性患病率上升59.2%(从10.853 / 10万增加到17.282 / 10万)。预测显示,到2050年,这一数字将增加到每10万人10.12人,女性仍然受到不成比例的影响(男女比例:2.18:1)。2021年,残疾占DALYs总数的71.2%,尤其是80岁以上的女性,其残疾生活年数增加了446%。地区差异仍然存在,北部各县的患病率和伤残调整年较高。发病高峰向老年转移,2000年后女性发病仍是男性的1.5 ~ 2.0倍。尽管日本仍然是一个低发病率国家,但由于残疾人数增加、女性占主导地位和地区差异,MS负担正在上升,这突出了有针对性筛查、向高风险地区分配资源和以老年人为重点的护理的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Patterns of multimorbidity in persons with multiple sclerosis: Belgrade population registry data. 多发性硬化症患者的多重发病模式:贝尔格莱德人口登记数据。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1159/000550146
Gorica Maric, Tatjana Pekmezovic, Olivera Tamas, Maja Budimkic, Nikola Veselinovic, Sarlota Mesaros, Jelena Drulovic

Introduction: Multimorbidity was defined as having at least two co-morbidities in addition to the confirmed index diagnosis. The aim of the present study was to determine multimorbidity patterns in patients with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) from the Belgrade region, using population-based MS Registry data. Additionally, comparison of the prevalence of multimorbidity in PwMS and in the general population of Serbia, was also performed.

Methods: The source for this study was Belgrade population-based MS Registry, established and maintained at the Clinic of Neurology, University Clinical Center of Serbia. This Registry comprises data on all 2725 (1903 females and 822 males) PwMS in the Belgrade region. For study purposes, Registry was searched, and data on all PwMS with multimorbidity were extracted and the new database was created. In order to compare the prevalence of multimorbidity between PwMS and the general population of Serbia, we used already published prevalence data, which examined patterns of multimorbidity in the Serbian general population.

Results: Multimorbidity was present in 552 PwMS (Prevalence=20.3%, 95% CI 18.8-21.8), out of which 130 (23.6%) were males and 421 (76.4%) females. Average number of comorbidities per patient in our cohort was 2.6. Majority of them had two chronic conditions (341, 61.8%) and the maximum number was eight. PwMS with multimorbidity had shorter disease duration (p<0.001), higher level of EDSS (p=0.001), and higher PI (p=0.003), in comparison with those without multimorbidity. Overall prevalence was significantly higher in the general population than in PwMS (26.9% in the general population vs. 20.3% in the PwMS population, p<0.001). However, in the youngest age group (20-44 years) males with MS had twice as high prevalence as in the general population (11.6% vs. 5.3%) and in females, in this age group, the difference was even more pronounced (28.3% vs. 6.4%).

Conclusion: Our study indicated lower overall prevalence of multimorbidity in the Belgrade MS population, compared to the general population. However, PwMS reach the peak prevalence of multimorbidity in earlier life than persons in the general population (20-44 years vs. 65 and more years). PwMS with multimorbidity experienced faster disease progression, expressed via PI, in comparison to PwMS without multimorbidity.

多病被定义为除了确诊的指标诊断外,至少有两种合并症。本研究的目的是利用基于人群的多发性硬化症登记处数据,确定贝尔格莱德地区多发性硬化症(PwMS)患者的多发病模式。此外,还比较了多发性硬化症和塞尔维亚普通人群的患病率。方法:本研究的来源是塞尔维亚大学临床中心神经病学诊所建立并维护的贝尔格莱德人口多发性硬化症登记处。该登记处包括贝尔格莱德地区所有2725名妇女(1903名女性和822名男性)的资料。为了研究目的,检索Registry,提取所有多发病PwMS的数据,并创建新的数据库。为了比较多发性硬化症和塞尔维亚普通人群的患病率,我们使用了已经发表的患病率数据,该数据检查了塞尔维亚普通人群的多发性硬化症模式。结果:552例PwMS患者存在多重发病(患病率=20.3%,95% CI 18.8 ~ 21.8),其中男性130例(23.6%),女性421例(76.4%)。在我们的队列中,每位患者的平均合并症数为2.6。以2种慢性疾病为主(341例,61.8%),最多8例。结论:我们的研究表明,与一般人群相比,贝尔格莱德多发性硬化症人群中多发性硬化症的总体患病率较低。然而,与一般人群(20-44岁vs. 65岁及以上)相比,PwMS的多病患病率在生命早期达到高峰。与没有多病的PwMS相比,有多病的PwMS通过PI表达的疾病进展更快。
{"title":"Patterns of multimorbidity in persons with multiple sclerosis: Belgrade population registry data.","authors":"Gorica Maric, Tatjana Pekmezovic, Olivera Tamas, Maja Budimkic, Nikola Veselinovic, Sarlota Mesaros, Jelena Drulovic","doi":"10.1159/000550146","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000550146","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Multimorbidity was defined as having at least two co-morbidities in addition to the confirmed index diagnosis. The aim of the present study was to determine multimorbidity patterns in patients with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) from the Belgrade region, using population-based MS Registry data. Additionally, comparison of the prevalence of multimorbidity in PwMS and in the general population of Serbia, was also performed.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The source for this study was Belgrade population-based MS Registry, established and maintained at the Clinic of Neurology, University Clinical Center of Serbia. This Registry comprises data on all 2725 (1903 females and 822 males) PwMS in the Belgrade region. For study purposes, Registry was searched, and data on all PwMS with multimorbidity were extracted and the new database was created. In order to compare the prevalence of multimorbidity between PwMS and the general population of Serbia, we used already published prevalence data, which examined patterns of multimorbidity in the Serbian general population.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Multimorbidity was present in 552 PwMS (Prevalence=20.3%, 95% CI 18.8-21.8), out of which 130 (23.6%) were males and 421 (76.4%) females. Average number of comorbidities per patient in our cohort was 2.6. Majority of them had two chronic conditions (341, 61.8%) and the maximum number was eight. PwMS with multimorbidity had shorter disease duration (p<0.001), higher level of EDSS (p=0.001), and higher PI (p=0.003), in comparison with those without multimorbidity. Overall prevalence was significantly higher in the general population than in PwMS (26.9% in the general population vs. 20.3% in the PwMS population, p<0.001). However, in the youngest age group (20-44 years) males with MS had twice as high prevalence as in the general population (11.6% vs. 5.3%) and in females, in this age group, the difference was even more pronounced (28.3% vs. 6.4%).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our study indicated lower overall prevalence of multimorbidity in the Belgrade MS population, compared to the general population. However, PwMS reach the peak prevalence of multimorbidity in earlier life than persons in the general population (20-44 years vs. 65 and more years). PwMS with multimorbidity experienced faster disease progression, expressed via PI, in comparison to PwMS without multimorbidity.</p>","PeriodicalId":54730,"journal":{"name":"Neuroepidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"1-20"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145949186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Clarification on the Nature and Availability of Dietary Microplastic Intake Data Used in Wang et al. (2025). 澄清Wang等人(2025)膳食微塑料摄入数据的性质和可用性。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1159/000550341
Carmelo M Vicario, Francesco Tomaiuolo
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引用次数: 0
History of cannabis smoking and subjective cognitive complaints in older women. 老年妇女吸食大麻史及主观认知疾患。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1159/000550276
Guoyong Ding, Kipling M Bohnert, Chenxi Li, Brenda L Plassman, Xiaoyu Liang, Yaqun Yuan, Aimee A D'Aloisio, Alexandra J White, Dale P Sandler, Honglei Chen

Introduction: Cannabis use has been increasing in the United States (U.S.), yet its potential long-term effects on neurocognitive outcomes remain unknown. We aimed to examine the association of the history of cannabis smoking with subjective cognitive complaints (SCC) in older women.

Methods: This prospective cohort analysis included 15,378 older women (age ≥ 65 years) of the U.S. National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences' Sister Study. Participants reported their history of cannabis smoking at enrollment (2003-2009) and completed the Eight-item Interview to Differentiate Aging and Dementia (AD8) as an SCC screener at the cohort's 2nd (2011-2014), 3rd (2014-2016), and 4th (2017-2019) follow-ups. We used multivariable joint models to assess the association.

Results: 3,973 (25.8%) women reported ever smoking cannabis, mostly in their early adulthood. Compared with never cannabis smokers, the multivariable odds ratios (ORs) for ever smokers were 1.27 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13, 1.43) at the 2nd follow-up, 1.28 (95% CI: 1.14, 1.44) at the 3rd follow-up, and 1.30 (95% CI: 1.11, 1.52) at the 4th follow-up. Associations were stronger for regular than occasional cannabis smokers. For example, at the 2nd follow-up, the OR was 1.61 (95% CI: 1.31, 1.98) for regular smokers and 1.19 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.35) for occasional smokers. Results were overall consistent in subgroup and sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions: This study suggests a potential association between a history of cannabis smoking and SCC in older women, calling for further research on cannabis use and cognitive outcomes in the context of aging.

在美国,大麻的使用一直在增加,但其对神经认知结果的潜在长期影响尚不清楚。我们的目的是研究大麻吸烟史与老年妇女主观认知投诉(SCC)的关系。方法:前瞻性队列分析纳入美国国家环境健康科学研究所姊妹研究的15378名老年妇女(年龄≥65岁)。参与者报告了他们在入组时(2003-2009年)的大麻吸烟史,并在队列的第二次(2011-2014年)、第三次(2014-2016年)和第四次(2017-2019年)随访中完成了区分衰老和痴呆的八项访谈(AD8)作为SCC筛查。我们使用多变量联合模型来评估这种关联。结果:3973名(25.8%)女性报告曾吸食大麻,主要是在成年早期。与从不吸食大麻者相比,曾经吸食大麻者的多变量优势比(or)在第二次随访时为1.27(95%可信区间(CI): 1.13, 1.43),在第三次随访时为1.28 (95% CI: 1.14, 1.44),在第4次随访时为1.30 (95% CI: 1.11, 1.52)。经常吸食大麻的人比偶尔吸食大麻的人有更强的关联性。例如,在第二次随访中,经常吸烟者的OR为1.61 (95% CI: 1.31, 1.98),偶尔吸烟者的OR为1.19 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.35)。亚组分析和敏感性分析结果总体一致。结论:该研究表明,大麻吸食史与老年妇女SCC之间存在潜在关联,需要进一步研究大麻使用和衰老背景下的认知结果。
{"title":"History of cannabis smoking and subjective cognitive complaints in older women.","authors":"Guoyong Ding, Kipling M Bohnert, Chenxi Li, Brenda L Plassman, Xiaoyu Liang, Yaqun Yuan, Aimee A D'Aloisio, Alexandra J White, Dale P Sandler, Honglei Chen","doi":"10.1159/000550276","DOIUrl":"10.1159/000550276","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Cannabis use has been increasing in the United States (U.S.), yet its potential long-term effects on neurocognitive outcomes remain unknown. We aimed to examine the association of the history of cannabis smoking with subjective cognitive complaints (SCC) in older women.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This prospective cohort analysis included 15,378 older women (age ≥ 65 years) of the U.S. National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences' Sister Study. Participants reported their history of cannabis smoking at enrollment (2003-2009) and completed the Eight-item Interview to Differentiate Aging and Dementia (AD8) as an SCC screener at the cohort's 2nd (2011-2014), 3rd (2014-2016), and 4th (2017-2019) follow-ups. We used multivariable joint models to assess the association.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>3,973 (25.8%) women reported ever smoking cannabis, mostly in their early adulthood. Compared with never cannabis smokers, the multivariable odds ratios (ORs) for ever smokers were 1.27 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13, 1.43) at the 2nd follow-up, 1.28 (95% CI: 1.14, 1.44) at the 3rd follow-up, and 1.30 (95% CI: 1.11, 1.52) at the 4th follow-up. Associations were stronger for regular than occasional cannabis smokers. For example, at the 2nd follow-up, the OR was 1.61 (95% CI: 1.31, 1.98) for regular smokers and 1.19 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.35) for occasional smokers. Results were overall consistent in subgroup and sensitivity analyses.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study suggests a potential association between a history of cannabis smoking and SCC in older women, calling for further research on cannabis use and cognitive outcomes in the context of aging.</p>","PeriodicalId":54730,"journal":{"name":"Neuroepidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"1-22"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12814930/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145936409","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Burden of Childhood Idiopathic Epilepsy in Asia From 1990-2021. 1990-2021年亚洲儿童特发性癫痫负担
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1159/000550339
Lina Li, Hesheng Wang

Background: Childhood idiopathic epilepsy poses a major public health issue in Asia. This study aimed to characterize the burden of idiopathic epilepsy among children aged 0-14 years across Asia between 1990 and 2021, using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021.

Methods: Data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for children idiopathic epilepsy in Asia were extracted from the GBD 2021. The analyses involved evaluating trends by calculating age-standardized rates (ASRs) and the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Stratification was conducted by region, sex, age, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Temporal trends were assessed using joinpoint regression analysis, which calculated the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Future trends through 2035 were projected with an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) exhibited a slight upward trend (EAPC = 0.17, 95% CI: 0.10 to 0.25). In contrast, significant declines were observed in the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR; EAPC = -0.16, 95% CI: -0.25 to -0.07), mortality rate (ASMR; EAPC = -1.81, 95% CI: -1.93 to -1.69), and DALY rate (ASDR; EAPC = -1.32, 95% CI: -1.40 to -1.24). All four metrics were consistently higher in males than females across all age groups. The age group <5 years carried the highest burden for incidence, mortality, and DALYs, while prevalence was highest in the 10-14 years age group. Projections to 2035 indicate a continuing upward trend in incidence and prevalence but a decline in mortality.

Conclusion: Despite overall ASPR, ASMR, ASDR declines, slight ASIR rise as well as regional, age, and sex disparities highlights that childhood idiopathic epilepsy remains a persistent health issue in Asia. Future public health efforts should prioritize strengthening healthcare system development and enhancing enhanced early intervention, particularly in resource - limited regions.

背景:儿童特发性癫痫是亚洲一个主要的公共卫生问题。本研究旨在利用2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究的数据,描述1990年至2021年亚洲0-14岁儿童特发性癫痫负担的特征。方法:从GBD 2021中提取亚洲儿童特发性癫痫的发病率、患病率、死亡率和残疾调整生命年(DALYs)数据。分析包括通过计算年龄标准化率(ASRs)和估计的年百分比变化(EAPC)来评估趋势。按地区、性别、年龄和社会人口指数(SDI)进行分层。使用连接点回归分析评估时间趋势,该分析计算平均年百分比变化(AAPC)。通过自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型预测了到2035年的未来趋势。结果:1990 - 2021年,年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)呈轻微上升趋势(EAPC = 0.17, 95% CI: 0.10 ~ 0.25)。相反,在年龄标准化患病率(ASPR; EAPC = -0.16, 95% CI: -0.25至-0.07)、死亡率(ASMR; EAPC = -1.81, 95% CI: -1.93至-1.69)和DALY率(ASDR; EAPC = -1.32, 95% CI: -1.40至-1.24)方面观察到显著下降。在所有年龄组中,男性的这四项指标都始终高于女性。结论:尽管总体上asr、ASMR、ASDR下降,ASIR略有上升,以及地区、年龄和性别差异突出表明,儿童特发性癫痫在亚洲仍然是一个持续存在的健康问题。未来的公共卫生工作应优先加强卫生保健系统的发展和加强早期干预,特别是在资源有限的地区。
{"title":"Burden of Childhood Idiopathic Epilepsy in Asia From 1990-2021.","authors":"Lina Li, Hesheng Wang","doi":"10.1159/000550339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000550339","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Childhood idiopathic epilepsy poses a major public health issue in Asia. This study aimed to characterize the burden of idiopathic epilepsy among children aged 0-14 years across Asia between 1990 and 2021, using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for children idiopathic epilepsy in Asia were extracted from the GBD 2021. The analyses involved evaluating trends by calculating age-standardized rates (ASRs) and the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Stratification was conducted by region, sex, age, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Temporal trends were assessed using joinpoint regression analysis, which calculated the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Future trends through 2035 were projected with an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) exhibited a slight upward trend (EAPC = 0.17, 95% CI: 0.10 to 0.25). In contrast, significant declines were observed in the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR; EAPC = -0.16, 95% CI: -0.25 to -0.07), mortality rate (ASMR; EAPC = -1.81, 95% CI: -1.93 to -1.69), and DALY rate (ASDR; EAPC = -1.32, 95% CI: -1.40 to -1.24). All four metrics were consistently higher in males than females across all age groups. The age group <5 years carried the highest burden for incidence, mortality, and DALYs, while prevalence was highest in the 10-14 years age group. Projections to 2035 indicate a continuing upward trend in incidence and prevalence but a decline in mortality.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Despite overall ASPR, ASMR, ASDR declines, slight ASIR rise as well as regional, age, and sex disparities highlights that childhood idiopathic epilepsy remains a persistent health issue in Asia. Future public health efforts should prioritize strengthening healthcare system development and enhancing enhanced early intervention, particularly in resource - limited regions.</p>","PeriodicalId":54730,"journal":{"name":"Neuroepidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"1-22"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145936456","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global Burden of Neurological Diseases Attributable to Behavioral Risks, 1990-2021. 行为风险导致的全球神经系统疾病负担,1990-2021。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1159/000550275
Kexin Duan, Caiyun Yang, Jingrui Wang, Lijun Zhao, Meiling Zhu

Background: Behavioral risks contribute to the burden of neurological diseases, but changes from 1990 to 2021 remain unclear.

Methods: Using the 2021 Global Burden of Disease database, we analyzed changes in age-standardized mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (ASDR) for neurological diseases attributable to behavioral risks from 1990 to 2021, globally and regionally, including gender differences. The Joinpoint regression model estimated the annual percentage change of ASMR and ASDR. An age-period-cohort model separated the effects of age, period, and cohort, while a Bayesian model predicted changes from 2022 to 2035. Finally, cross-national inequality analysis evaluated the impact of socio-economic disparities on disease burden.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, neurological diseases' burden increased, with stroke contributing most, followed by Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (ADOD), idiopathic epilepsy (IE), and multiple sclerosis (MS). ASMR and ASDR for ADOD, MS, and stroke declined. But ASMR for IE attributable to high alcohol use increased (Net drift= 0.28%), particularly among individuals aged 65-69 years (Local drift= 0.33%) and older, whereas stroke mortality associated with alcohol remained stable in the 20-30-year age group. By 2035, IE burden is projected to remain similar to 2021 levels. The disease burden was higher in males than females. Stroke burden varied by SDI level: tobacco and high alcohol use were more prominent in high SDI regions, while tobacco and dietary risks were significant in other SDI regions. Regional health inequalities were pronounced, with ADOD and MS burden concentrated in high-income groups, while stroke burden was concentrated in low-income groups.

Conclusion: Tobacco remains the primary risk for neurological diseases. Alcohol significantly affects IE in adults 65+ and stroke in those aged 20-30. Dietary risks contribute greatly to stroke in non-high SDI regions. Future efforts should strengthen behavioral risk control in males and reduce the increasingly concentrated stroke burden in low-income populations.

背景:行为风险导致神经系统疾病的负担,但从1990年到2021年的变化仍不清楚。方法:使用2021年全球疾病负担数据库,我们分析了1990年至2021年全球和地区归因于行为风险的神经系统疾病的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和残疾调整生命年(ASDR)的变化,包括性别差异。Joinpoint回归模型估计了ASMR和ASDR的年百分比变化。年龄-时期-队列模型分离了年龄、时期和队列的影响,而贝叶斯模型预测了2022年至2035年的变化。最后,跨国不平等分析评估了社会经济差异对疾病负担的影响。结果:从1990年到2021年,神经系统疾病的负担增加,其中卒中贡献最大,其次是阿尔茨海默病和其他痴呆(ADOD)、特发性癫痫(IE)和多发性硬化症(MS)。adhd、MS和卒中的ASMR和ASDR下降。但是,高酒精使用导致的IE的ASMR增加(净漂移= 0.28%),特别是65-69岁及以上的个体(局部漂移= 0.33%),而与酒精相关的中风死亡率在20-30岁年龄组保持稳定。到2035年,预计IE负担将保持与2021年的水平相似。男性的疾病负担高于女性。卒中负担因SDI水平而异:吸烟和高酒精使用在SDI高地区更为突出,而烟草和饮食风险在其他SDI地区更为显著。区域卫生不平等现象明显,adhd和MS负担集中在高收入人群,而卒中负担集中在低收入人群。结论:烟草仍然是神经系统疾病的主要危险因素。酒精显著影响65岁以上成年人的IE和20-30岁人群的中风。在非高SDI地区,饮食风险对中风有很大影响。今后应加强男性的行为风险控制,减少低收入人群日益集中的卒中负担。
{"title":"Global Burden of Neurological Diseases Attributable to Behavioral Risks, 1990-2021.","authors":"Kexin Duan, Caiyun Yang, Jingrui Wang, Lijun Zhao, Meiling Zhu","doi":"10.1159/000550275","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000550275","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Behavioral risks contribute to the burden of neurological diseases, but changes from 1990 to 2021 remain unclear.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using the 2021 Global Burden of Disease database, we analyzed changes in age-standardized mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (ASDR) for neurological diseases attributable to behavioral risks from 1990 to 2021, globally and regionally, including gender differences. The Joinpoint regression model estimated the annual percentage change of ASMR and ASDR. An age-period-cohort model separated the effects of age, period, and cohort, while a Bayesian model predicted changes from 2022 to 2035. Finally, cross-national inequality analysis evaluated the impact of socio-economic disparities on disease burden.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From 1990 to 2021, neurological diseases' burden increased, with stroke contributing most, followed by Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (ADOD), idiopathic epilepsy (IE), and multiple sclerosis (MS). ASMR and ASDR for ADOD, MS, and stroke declined. But ASMR for IE attributable to high alcohol use increased (Net drift= 0.28%), particularly among individuals aged 65-69 years (Local drift= 0.33%) and older, whereas stroke mortality associated with alcohol remained stable in the 20-30-year age group. By 2035, IE burden is projected to remain similar to 2021 levels. The disease burden was higher in males than females. Stroke burden varied by SDI level: tobacco and high alcohol use were more prominent in high SDI regions, while tobacco and dietary risks were significant in other SDI regions. Regional health inequalities were pronounced, with ADOD and MS burden concentrated in high-income groups, while stroke burden was concentrated in low-income groups.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Tobacco remains the primary risk for neurological diseases. Alcohol significantly affects IE in adults 65+ and stroke in those aged 20-30. Dietary risks contribute greatly to stroke in non-high SDI regions. Future efforts should strengthen behavioral risk control in males and reduce the increasingly concentrated stroke burden in low-income populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":54730,"journal":{"name":"Neuroepidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"1-21"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145879557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The burden and trend of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. 1990年至2021年神经母细胞瘤和其他周围神经细胞肿瘤的负担和趋势:对2021年全球疾病负担研究的系统分析
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1159/000550277
Qiaoyun Tan, Yiqun Zhang, Yi Zeng, Xiaoli Lu, Lei Wang, Yu Huang

Background: Understanding the global burden of neuroblastoma and related tumors requires further research. This study aimed to provide global, regional, and national estimates of the incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors from 1990 to 2021.

Methods: Data on the absolute counts and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs for neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database covering 204 countries and territories. Decomposition analysis was employed to identify key contributors to changes in disease burden. Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) modeling was utilized to project disease trends over the next 25 years.

Results: In 2021, the highest number of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs were observed in children under five years of age, followed by a sharp decline with increasing age. ASRs for incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs were highest in countries within the high socio-demographic index (SDI) quintile, whereas the middle SDI quintile exhibited the highest absolute case counts for incidence, deaths, and DALYs. Between 1990 and 2021, the global burden of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors increased substantially. Incident cases rose from 5,854 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 4,517-7,643) in 1990 to 10,867 (95% UI, 8,279-13,557) in 2021. Deaths increased from 2,675 (95% UI, 2,298-3,138) to 5,194 (95% UI, 4,295-5,932), while DALYs surged from 185,391 (95% UI, 158,570-219,544) to 285,479 (95% UI, 227,709-341,110). BAPC modeling projected a continued increase in both absolute numbers and ASRs for incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs across both sexes from 2022 to 2046.

Conclusions: Over the past three decades, the global incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs associated with neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors have increased substantially. These findings underscore the urgent need for effective healthcare policies and targeted cancer control strategies to mitigate the growing disease burden.

背景:了解神经母细胞瘤及相关肿瘤的全球负担需要进一步的研究。本研究旨在提供1990年至2021年与神经母细胞瘤和其他周围神经细胞肿瘤相关的发病率、患病率、死亡率和残疾调整生命年(DALYs)的全球、地区和国家估计。方法:从覆盖204个国家和地区的全球疾病负担(GBD)数据库中提取神经母细胞瘤和其他周围神经细胞肿瘤的发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALYs的绝对计数和年龄标准化率(ASRs)数据。采用分解分析确定疾病负担变化的关键因素。贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型用于预测未来25年的疾病趋势。结果:2021年,5岁以下儿童的发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALYs最高,随后随着年龄的增长急剧下降。在高社会人口指数(SDI)五分位数内的国家,发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALYs的asr最高,而中等社会人口指数五分位数的发病率、死亡率和DALYs的绝对病例数最高。1990年至2021年间,神经母细胞瘤和其他周围神经细胞肿瘤的全球负担大幅增加。事故病例从1990年的5,854例(95%不确定区间[UI], 4,517-7,643)上升到2021年的10,867例(95%不确定区间[UI], 8,279-13,557)。死亡人数从2,675人(95%死亡人数,2,298-3,138人)增加到5,194人(95%死亡人数,4,295-5,932人),而残疾人士从185,391人(95%死亡人数,158,570-219,544人)激增至285,479人(95%死亡人数,227,709-341,110人)。BAPC模型预测,从2022年到2046年,男女之间的发病率、患病率、死亡率和伤残调整寿命的绝对数量和asr都将继续增加。结论:在过去的三十年中,与神经母细胞瘤和其他周围神经细胞肿瘤相关的全球发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALYs显著增加。这些发现强调了迫切需要有效的医疗保健政策和有针对性的癌症控制策略来减轻日益增长的疾病负担。
{"title":"The burden and trend of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.","authors":"Qiaoyun Tan, Yiqun Zhang, Yi Zeng, Xiaoli Lu, Lei Wang, Yu Huang","doi":"10.1159/000550277","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000550277","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Understanding the global burden of neuroblastoma and related tumors requires further research. This study aimed to provide global, regional, and national estimates of the incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors from 1990 to 2021.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data on the absolute counts and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs for neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database covering 204 countries and territories. Decomposition analysis was employed to identify key contributors to changes in disease burden. Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) modeling was utilized to project disease trends over the next 25 years.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In 2021, the highest number of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs were observed in children under five years of age, followed by a sharp decline with increasing age. ASRs for incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs were highest in countries within the high socio-demographic index (SDI) quintile, whereas the middle SDI quintile exhibited the highest absolute case counts for incidence, deaths, and DALYs. Between 1990 and 2021, the global burden of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors increased substantially. Incident cases rose from 5,854 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 4,517-7,643) in 1990 to 10,867 (95% UI, 8,279-13,557) in 2021. Deaths increased from 2,675 (95% UI, 2,298-3,138) to 5,194 (95% UI, 4,295-5,932), while DALYs surged from 185,391 (95% UI, 158,570-219,544) to 285,479 (95% UI, 227,709-341,110). BAPC modeling projected a continued increase in both absolute numbers and ASRs for incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs across both sexes from 2022 to 2046.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Over the past three decades, the global incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs associated with neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous cell tumors have increased substantially. These findings underscore the urgent need for effective healthcare policies and targeted cancer control strategies to mitigate the growing disease burden.</p>","PeriodicalId":54730,"journal":{"name":"Neuroepidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"1-20"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145879576","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global Burden of Spinal Cord Injuries Attributable to Falls and Road Traffic Injuries in Working-Age Individuals, 1990 to 2021, with Projections through 2040: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis. 1990年至2021年全球工作年龄人群因跌倒和道路交通伤害造成的脊髓损伤负担,以及到2040年的预测:一项年龄期队列分析
IF 4 3区 医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1159/000550145
Jianlong Wu, Boxuan Zhong, Xinyu Pei, Boda Chen, Renpeng Fang, Ziguan Zhu

Background: Spinal cord injury (SCI) attributable to falls and road injuries imposes a significant burden on working-age individuals; however, its temporal and geographic patterns in this demographic remain underexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the global, regional, and national burden of SCI attributable to falls (SCIFs) and road injuries (SCIR) among working-age individuals (aged 15-64 years) from 1990 to 2021 and project trends through 2040.

Methods: Using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data, global, regional, and national age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), prevalence rates (ASPR), and years lived with disability rates (ASYR) were assessed according to global parameters and sociodemographic stratification. Trends were quantified by the average annual percentage change (AAPC) and future burdens projected using Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, global ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR for SCIR declined markedly (AAPC -1.54 [95% confidence interval -1.54 to -1.53], -1.88 [-1.89 to -1.87], and -2.03 [-2.05 to -2.01]), whereas SCIF showed modest or stagnant reductions with regional increases (AAPC -0.24 [-0.27 to -0.22], -0.39 [-0.41 to -0.36], and -0.67 [-0.69 to -0.65]). Males exhibited higher burdens than females, with SCIF increasing with age and peaking at 60-64 years, whereas SCIR shifted toward older groups. High-sociodemographic index (SDI) regions experienced declines in both, whereas middle-SDI areas saw SCIF increases, despite SCIR decreases; low-SDI regions showed slight SCIF rises. Regionally, Western Europe displayed steady reductions, whereas Central Asia experienced an increase in SCIF and Sub-Saharan Africa showed stable or slightly increasing SCIF indicators. National variations were pronounced, with burdens often exceeding SDI expectations in rapidly developing countries. Projections to 2040 indicate a modest rise in SCIF burden (predicted ASIR 3.72 [95% uncertainty interval 1.82-5.63] per 100,000) but a decrease in SCIR (predicted ASIR 1.22 [0.73-1.72] per 100,000).

Conclusions: Although the burden of SCIR has declined substantially from 1990 to 2021 and is projected to continue decreasing, persistent or rising SCIF trends - expected to modestly increase by 2040 - alongside male predominance, age shifts, and socioeconomic disparities emphasize the urgency for tailored prevention: enhanced road-safety measures and occupational reforms targeting falls in high-risk groups to reduce inequities and socioeconomic costs.

背景:由于跌倒和道路伤害导致的脊髓损伤(SCI)对工作年龄个体造成了重大负担;然而,其在这一人口统计中的时间和地理模式仍未得到充分探索。本研究旨在评估1990年至2021年全球、地区和国家工作年龄人群(15-64岁)因跌倒(SCIF)和道路伤害(SCIR)造成的脊髓损伤负担,以及到2040年的项目趋势。方法:使用全球疾病负担(GBD) 2021数据,根据全球参数和社会人口分层评估全球、地区和国家年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、患病率(ASPR)和残疾生存年数(ASYR)。趋势通过平均年变化百分比(AAPC)和使用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型预测的未来负担来量化。结果:从1990年到2021年,全球ASIR、ASPR和SCIR显著下降(AAPC -1.54[95%置信区间(CI) -1.54至-1.53]、-1.88[-1.89至-1.87]和-2.03[-2.05至-2.01]),而SCIF随区域增加呈现适度或停滞下降(AAPC -0.24[-0.27至-0.22]、-0.39[-0.41至-0.36]和-0.67[-0.69至-0.65])。男性比女性表现出更高的负担,SCIF随着年龄的增长而增加,在60-64岁达到峰值,而SCIR向老年群体转移。高sdi地区的SCIF和SCIR均下降,而中等sdi地区的SCIF增加,尽管SCIR下降;低sdi区域SCIF略有上升。从区域来看,西欧呈稳定下降趋势,中亚呈上升趋势,撒哈拉以南非洲呈稳定或小幅上升趋势。各国差异明显,在快速发展的发展中国家,负担往往超过SDI的预期。到2040年的预测表明,SCIF负担适度上升(预测ASIR为3.72[95%不确定区间(UI) 1.82-5.63] / 10万),但SCIR下降(预测ASIR为1.22[0.73-1.72]/ 10万)。结论:尽管从1990年到2021年,SCIR负担大幅下降,预计将继续下降,但持续或上升的SCIR趋势(预计到2040年将适度增加)以及男性优势、年龄变化和社会经济差异强调了针对性预防的紧迫性:加强道路安全措施和针对高危人群的职业改革,以减少不平等和社会经济成本。
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引用次数: 0
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Neuroepidemiology
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