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SPATIOTEMPORAL DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF A PREDATOR–PREY SYSTEM WITH FEAR AND GROUP DEFENSE IN PREY 具有恐惧和群体防御的捕食者-被捕食系统的时空动力学分析
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-05-05 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500140
Shivam, Teekam Singh, Mukesh Kumar
This paper considers a diffusive prey–predator system with fear and group defense in the prey population. Also, we consider that the mortality of predators is linear and quadratic. By using local stability analysis, we get the prerequisite of Turing instability. Using comprehensive numerical computations, we get non-Turing pattern formation in the system with linear death of predator. Turing patterns are obtained for the system with the quadratic death of the predator. The modeling technique of multiple scale analysis is used to determine amplitude equations near the Turing bifurcation origin for the model with the predator’s quadratic mortality rate. The amplitude equations stability leads to various Turing patterns such as spots, stripes, and mixed. The result focuses on changing the mortality rate linear to quadratic of a predator in the prey–predator system. The derived results support us in a more immeasurable understanding of prey–predator interaction dynamics in the actual world.
本文考虑了一个具有群体防御和恐惧的扩散捕食系统。此外,我们认为捕食者的死亡率是线性和二次型的。通过局部稳定性分析,我们得到了图灵不稳定性的前提条件。通过综合数值计算,我们得到了捕食者线性死亡系统中的非图灵模式形成。得到了捕食者二次死亡系统的图灵模式。对于捕食者二次死亡率模型,使用多尺度分析的建模技术来确定图灵分岔原点附近的振幅方程。振幅方程的稳定性导致了各种图灵模式,如斑点、条纹和混合。研究结果集中于将捕食者的死亡率从线性变为二次型。所得结果支持我们对现实世界中猎物-捕食者相互作用的动力学有更不可估量的理解。
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引用次数: 4
Optimal Placement of Marine Protected Areas to Avoid the Extinction of the Fish Stock 海洋保护区的最佳布局以避免鱼类资源的灭绝
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-20 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500115
Amel Ghouali, A. Moussaoui, P. Auger, Tri Nguyen Huu
In this paper, we propose to study a fishery model with variable price. We assume that the price evolves much faster than the rest of the system. Under certain assumptions, this makes it possible to consider the fishery system as a slow–fast system, on two time scales, and to study it with a reduced model of dimension two. Two main cases can occur. The first one which we called catastrophic equilibrium corresponds to over-exploitation leading to fish extinction and a booming price. The second case corresponds to a sustainable fishery equilibrium which is stable. The possible effects of the creation of marine protected areas (MPAs), sites where fishing is prohibited, on the fish stock and fishery are evaluated. We show that MPAs can have a positive effect on the restoration of depleted fish stocks by destabilizing the catastrophic equilibrium and keeping only one positive equilibrium which will be globally asymptotically stable. This problem is addressed by proposing a model with MPA for the fish dynamics. Fish are assumed to move between MPA and fishing area and are subject to harvesting through fishing. We show that to avoid the extinction of the stock and stabilize the fishery in the long term, it is necessary to define a fishing zone such that the ratio of its carrying capacity to its surface is small enough. We further show that with a judicious choice of the surface area of the MPA, it is possible to optimize the total capture.
在本文中,我们建议研究一个具有可变价格的渔业模型。我们假设价格的演变速度比系统的其他部分快得多。在某些假设下,这使得可以在两个时间尺度上将渔业系统视为一个慢速-快速系统,并使用二维简化模型对其进行研究。可能出现两种主要情况。我们称之为灾难性平衡的第一种情况对应于过度开采,导致鱼类灭绝和价格飙升。第二种情况对应于稳定的可持续渔业平衡。评估了建立海洋保护区(MPA)(禁止捕鱼的地点)对鱼类种群和渔业的可能影响。我们表明,海洋保护区可以通过破坏灾难性平衡并只保持一个全局渐近稳定的正平衡,对枯竭鱼类种群的恢复产生积极影响。通过提出一个具有MPA的鱼类动力学模型来解决这个问题。假设鱼类在海洋保护区和捕鱼区之间移动,并通过捕鱼进行捕捞。我们表明,为了避免种群灭绝并长期稳定渔业,有必要确定一个捕鱼区,使其承载能力与水面的比例足够小。我们进一步表明,通过明智地选择MPA的表面积,可以优化总捕获。
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引用次数: 2
Optimal Control and Cost-Effective Analysis of a Scabies Model with Direct and Indirect Transmissions 直接和间接输电Scabies模型的最优控制和成本效益分析
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-20 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500097
A. Mhlanga, T. V. Mupedza, T. M. Mazikana
Scabies is caused by sarcoptes scabiei var. hominis, which is also referred to as itch mice. The disease is transmitted through direct contact with an infected person, or from contact with infested bedding or clothing. In this paper, a mathematical model for the spread of scabies was proposed and analyzed. Sensitivity analysis of the model parameters was carried out. Optimal control theory was applied to our proposed model, with the controls representing treatment and vaccination. Our aim was to minimize cumulative infectious cases and susceptible individuals through treatment and vaccination, respectively. Pontryagin’s maximum principle was utilized to characterize the optimal levels of the two controls. The resulting optimality system was then solved numerically. The optimal control result was further highlighted by applying the results realized from the cost objective functional, the IAR, and the ICER.
疥疮是由人疥疮引起的,也被称为瘙痒小鼠。这种疾病是通过与感染者直接接触或接触受感染的床上用品或衣物传播的。本文提出并分析了疥疮传播的数学模型。对模型参数进行了敏感性分析。最优控制理论应用于我们提出的模型,控制代表治疗和疫苗接种。我们的目标是分别通过治疗和疫苗接种,最大限度地减少累积感染病例和易感个体。Pontryagin的最大值原理被用来表征两个控制的最优水平。然后对得到的最优性系统进行了数值求解。通过应用成本目标函数、IAR和ICER实现的结果,进一步强调了最优控制结果。
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引用次数: 1
A TUMOR-IMMUNE MODEL WITH MIXED IMMUNOTHERAPY AND CHEMOTHERAPY: QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS AND OPTIMAL CONTROL 一种混合免疫治疗和化疗的肿瘤免疫模型:定性分析和最优控制
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-12 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500127
Zhibo Zhang, Sheng Li, Peng Si, Xuefang Li, Xiongxiong He
We develop a mathematical model of tumor-immune interactions, including six populations (tumor cells, CD8[Formula: see text]T cells, natural killer (NK) cells, dendritic cells, helper T cells, cytokine interleukin-12 (IL-12)) and three potential treatments (chemotherapy, Tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) therapy and IL-12 therapy). We characterize the dynamics of our model without treatment through stability and sensitivity analysis, which provides a broad understanding of the long-term qualitative behavior. To find the best combination of the chemo-immunotherapy regimens to eliminate tumors, we formulate an optimal control problem with path constraints of total drug dose and solve it numerically with the optimal control software Pyomo. We also simulate the scenarios of traditional treatment protocols as a comparison and find that our optimal treatment strategies have a better therapeutic effect. In addition, numerical simulation results show that IL-12 therapy is a good adjunctive therapy and has a high potential for inhibiting a large tumor in combination with other therapy. In most cases, combination therapy is more effective than a single treatment.
我们开发了一个肿瘤免疫相互作用的数学模型,包括六个群体(肿瘤细胞、CD8[公式:见正文]T细胞、自然杀伤(NK)细胞、树突状细胞、辅助T细胞、细胞因子白细胞介素-12(IL-12))和三种潜在的治疗方法(化疗、肿瘤浸润淋巴细胞(TIL)治疗和IL-12治疗)。我们通过稳定性和敏感性分析来表征未经处理的模型的动力学,这为长期定性行为提供了广泛的理解。为了找到消除肿瘤的化疗-免疫疗法的最佳组合,我们提出了一个具有总药物剂量路径约束的最优控制问题,并用最优控制软件Pyomo对其进行了数值求解。我们还模拟了传统治疗方案的场景作为比较,发现我们的最佳治疗策略具有更好的治疗效果。此外,数值模拟结果表明,IL-12疗法是一种很好的辅助疗法,与其他疗法联合使用具有很高的抑制大肿瘤的潜力。在大多数情况下,联合治疗比单一治疗更有效。
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引用次数: 0
AN ECOEPIDEMIC SEASONALLY FORCED MODEL FOR THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF FEAR, ADDITIONAL FOODS AND SELECTIVE PREDATION 恐惧、额外食物和选择性捕食的综合效应的生态流行病季节性强迫模型
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-04-12 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500103
Sasanka Shekhar Maity, P. Tiwari, Samares Pal
In this paper, we study a predator–prey system in which the prey population is infected from a parasite and the growth of susceptible prey is suppressed due to fear of predation. We consider that the predators have the ability to distinguish between the susceptible and infected prey items, and they avoid the infected ones to reduce fitness cost. The predators are assumed to die naturally and also due to intraspecific competition. The proposed model is analyzed mathematically for the feasibility and stability of the system’s equilibria. We also discuss the existence of Hopf bifurcation by taking the feeding preference of predators as a bifurcation parameter. We perform global sensitivity analysis to identify model parameters having significant impact on the density of predator population in the ecosystem. Our simulation results show the stabilizing role of selective feeding of predators whereas fear factor and disease prevalence induce limit cycle oscillations. Feeding more the predators with additional foods bring stability in the system by evacuating the persistent oscillations. To model the situation more realistically, we consider that the parameters representing the cost of fear and the feeding preference of predators vary with time. For the seasonally forced system, conditions are obtained for which the system has at least one positive periodic solution; global attractivity of the positive periodic solution is also discussed. Our seasonally forced model demonstrates the appearance of a unique periodic solution, higher periodic solutions and complex bursting patterns.
在本文中,我们研究了一个捕食者-猎物系统,在这个系统中,猎物群体被寄生虫感染,易感猎物由于害怕被捕食而生长受到抑制。我们认为捕食者有能力区分易感和感染的猎物,它们会避开感染的猎物以降低适应度成本。捕食者被认为是自然死亡,也可能是由于种内竞争。对所提出的模型进行了数学分析,证明了系统均衡的可行性和稳定性。并以捕食者的摄食偏好作为分岔参数,讨论了Hopf分岔的存在性。我们进行了全局敏感性分析,以确定对生态系统中捕食者种群密度有显著影响的模型参数。模拟结果表明,捕食者的选择性摄食具有稳定作用,而恐惧因素和疾病流行引起极限环振荡。用额外的食物喂养更多的捕食者,通过消除持续的振荡,使系统保持稳定。为了更真实地模拟这种情况,我们考虑了代表恐惧成本和捕食者的进食偏好的参数随时间而变化。对于季节强迫系统,得到了系统至少有一个周期正解的条件;讨论了正周期解的全局吸引性。我们的季节强迫模型展示了一个独特的周期解,更高的周期解和复杂的爆发模式的出现。
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引用次数: 4
DYNAMIC BEHAVIOR OF A STOCHASTIC NON-AUTONOMOUS PREDATOR–PREY MODEL WITH CROWLEY–MARTIN FUNCTIONAL RESPONSE AND IMPULSES 具有crowley-martin功能响应和脉冲的随机非自治捕食者-猎物模型的动态行为
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-24 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500061
Yaru Guo, Shulin Sun
A stochastic non-autonomous one-prey two-predator model with Crowley–Martin functional response and impulses is proposed in this paper. First, by constructing the equivalent system without impulses, we investigate the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution of the system. Second, by using Itô formula, strong law of large numbers and Chebyshev’s inequality, some sufficient conditions are established to ensure the extinction, non-persistence in the mean, persistence in the mean and stochastic permanence of the system. Third, we prove the system is globally attractive under some conditions. Finally, we choose different white noise intensities and impulsive parameters to illustrate the analytical results by numerical simulations.
提出了一种具有Crowley-Martin函数响应和脉冲的随机非自治单猎物双捕食模型。首先,通过构造无脉冲的等效系统,研究了该系统整体正解的存在唯一性。其次,利用Itô公式、强大数定律和Chebyshev不等式,建立了系统的消隐性、非均值持久性、均值持久性和随机持久性的充分条件。第三,我们证明了在一定条件下,该制度具有全球吸引力。最后,我们选择不同的白噪声强度和脉冲参数,通过数值模拟来说明分析结果。
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引用次数: 0
THE EFFECT OF LENVATINIB AND PEMBROLIZUMAB ON THYROID CANCER REFRACTORY TO IODINE 131I SIMULATED BY MATHEMATICAL MODELING 用数学模型模拟乐伐替尼和PEMBROLIZUMAB对碘131I难治性甲状腺癌的影响
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-11 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500036
J. G. da Silva, I. C. D. da Silva, M. Adimy, Paulo Fernando de Arruda Mancera
Immunotherapy and targeted therapy are alternative treatments to differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), which is usually treated with surgery and radioactive iodine. However, in advanced thyroid carcinomas, molecular alterations can cause a progressive loss of iodine sensitivity, thereby making cancer resistant to radioactive iodine-refractory (RAIR). In the treatment of cancer, tyrosine kinase inhibitors are administered to prevent the growth of cancer cells. One such inhibitor, lenvatinib, forms a targeted therapy for RAIR-DTC, while the immunotherapeutic pembrolizumab, a humanized antibody, prevents the binding of programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) to the PD-1 receptor. As one of the first studies on treatments for thyroid cancer with mathematical model involving immunotherapy and targeted therapy, we developed an ordinary differential system and tested variables such as concentration of lenvatinib and pembrolizumab, total cancer cells, and number of immune cells (i.e., T cells and natural killer cells). Analyzing local and global stability and the simulated action of drugs in patients with RAIR-DTC, revealed the combined effect of the targeted therapy with pembrolizumab. The scenarios obtained favor the combined therapy as the best treatment option, given its unrivaled ability to boost the immune system’s rate of eliminating tumor cells.
免疫治疗和靶向治疗是分化型甲状腺癌症(DTC)的替代治疗方法,通常通过手术和放射性碘进行治疗。然而,在晚期甲状腺癌中,分子改变可导致碘敏感性的逐渐丧失,从而使癌症对放射性碘难治性(RAIR)具有耐药性。在癌症的治疗中,酪氨酸激酶抑制剂用于防止癌症细胞的生长。一种这样的抑制剂,乐伐替尼,形成RAIR-DTC的靶向治疗,而免疫治疗性pembrolizumab,一种人源化抗体,阻止程序性细胞死亡配体1(PD-L1)与PD-1受体的结合。作为第一批采用免疫疗法和靶向治疗数学模型的癌症治疗研究之一,我们开发了一个普通微分系统,并测试了乐伐替尼和pembrolizumab的浓度、癌症细胞总数和免疫细胞(即T细胞和自然杀伤细胞)数量等变量。分析RAIR-DTC患者的局部和全局稳定性以及药物的模拟作用,揭示了pembrolizumab靶向治疗的联合效果。所获得的方案支持联合疗法作为最佳治疗选择,因为它具有无与伦比的提高免疫系统清除肿瘤细胞率的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the Control of Bacterial Disease by Social Media Advertisements: Effects of Awareness and Sanitation 社交媒体广告对细菌性疾病控制的建模:意识和卫生的影响
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500024
P. Tiwari, Rajanish Kumar Rai, Rabindra Kumar Gupta, M. Martcheva, A. Misra
Media impact has significant effect on reducing the disease prevalence, meanwhile sanitation and awareness can control the epidemic by reducing the growth rate of bacteria and direct contacts with infected individuals. In this paper, we investigate the impacts of media and sanitation coverage on the dynamics of epidemic outbreak. We observe that the growth rate of social media advertisements carries out a destabilizing role, while the system regains stability if the baseline number of social media advertisements exceeds a certain threshold. The dissemination of awareness among susceptibles first destabilizes and then stabilizes the system. The disease can be wiped out if the baseline level of awareness or the rate of spreading global information about the disease and its preventive measures is too high. We obtain an explicit expression for the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and show that [Formula: see text] leads to the total eradication of infection from the region. To capture a more realistic scenario, we construct the forced delay model by seasonally varying the growth rate of social media advertisements and incorporating the time lag involved in reporting of total infective cases to the policy makers. Seasonal pattern in the growth rate of social media advertisements adds complexity to the system by inducing chaotic oscillations. For gradual increase in the delay in reported cases of infected individuals, the nonautonomous system switches finitely many times between periodic and chaotic states.
媒介影响对降低疾病流行率有显著影响,同时卫生和意识可以通过降低细菌的生长速度和与感染者的直接接触来控制疫情。在本文中,我们调查了媒体和卫生报道对疫情爆发动态的影响。我们观察到,社交媒体广告的增长率起到了破坏稳定的作用,而如果社交媒体广告基线数量超过一定阈值,系统就会恢复稳定。在易感人群中传播意识首先会破坏系统的稳定,然后使其稳定。如果人们对该疾病及其预防措施的认识水平或全球信息传播率过高,该疾病可能会被消灭。我们获得了基本繁殖数的明确表达式[公式:见正文],并表明[公式:参见正文]可以从该地区彻底根除感染。为了捕捉更现实的场景,我们通过季节性地改变社交媒体广告的增长率,并将向政策制定者报告总感染病例所涉及的时间滞后纳入其中,来构建强制延迟模型。社交媒体广告增长率的季节性模式通过引发混乱振荡而增加了系统的复杂性。由于感染者报告病例的延迟逐渐增加,非自治系统在周期性和混沌状态之间切换了有限多次。
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引用次数: 1
GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF A PREY–PREDATOR MODEL WITH HOLLING TYPE III FUNCTIONAL RESPONSE IN THE PRESENCE OF HARVESTING 具有HOLLINGⅢ型功能反应的捕食模型在收获条件下的全局动力学
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1142/s0218339022500073
S. Debnath, P. Majumdar, Sudeep Sarkar, U. Ghosh
In this paper, we have investigated global dynamics of a two-species food chain model with the Holling type III functional response that includes linear harvesting for the prey and nonlinear harvesting for the predator. The long-time continued existence of both species is discussed using uniform persistence theory. Stability of various equilibrium points is described in terms of model parameters. The local asymptotic stability of non-hyperbolic equilibrium points is determined with the help of center manifold theorem. Global behavior of solutions of the model system when both species are present is determined by considering the global properties of the coexistence equilibrium. Here, we have taken a comprehensive view by considering different bifurcations of co-dimension one and two and have discussed the importance of various model parameters on the system dynamics. The model system shows much more complex and realistic behavior compared to a model system without any harvesting, with constant harvesting or linear-yield harvesting of either or both of the species. Numerical simulations have been conducted to illustrate the theoretical findings.
在本文中,我们研究了具有Holling III型功能响应的两种群食物链模型的全局动力学,该模型包括猎物的线性收获和捕食者的非线性收获。利用一致持久性理论讨论了这两个物种的长期持续存在。各种平衡点的稳定性用模型参数来描述。利用中心流形定理确定了非双曲平衡点的局部渐近稳定性。当两个物种都存在时,模型系统解的全局行为是通过考虑共存平衡的全局性质来确定的。在这里,我们综合考虑了同维一和同维二的不同分叉,并讨论了各种模型参数对系统动力学的重要性。与没有任何收获的模型系统相比,该模型系统显示出更复杂和更现实的行为,其中一个或两个物种具有恒定收获或线性产量收获。已经进行了数值模拟来说明理论发现。
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引用次数: 6
ROLE OF ALLEE EFFECT AND HARVESTING OF A FOOD-WEB SYSTEM IN THE PRESENCE OF SCAVENGERS 在食腐动物存在的情况下,狭缝效应的作用和食物网系统的收获
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q3 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1142/s021833902250005x
R. Gupta, Dinesh K. Yadav
The role of scavengers, which consume the carcasses of predators along with predation of the prey, has been ignored in comparisons to herbivores and predators. It has now become a topic of high interest among researchers working with food-web systems of prey–predator interactions. The food-web considered in these works contains prey, predators, and scavengers as the third species. In this work, we attempt to study a food-web model of these species in the presence of the multiplicative Allee effect and harvesting. It is observed that this makes the model more complex in the form of multiple co-existing steady states. The conditions for the existence and local stability of all possible steady states of the proposed system are analyzed. The global stability of the steady state lying on the x-axis and the interior steady state have been discussed by choosing suitable Lyapunov functions. The existence conditions for saddle-node and Hopf bifurcations are derived analytically. The stability of Hopf bifurcating periodic solutions with respect to both Allee and harvesting constants is examined. It is also observed that multiple Hopf bifurcation thresholds occur for harvesting parameters in the case of two co-existing steady states, which indicates that the system may regain its stability. The proposed model is also studied beyond Hopf bifurcation thresholds, where we have observed that the model is capable of exhibiting period-doubling routes to chaos, which can be controlled by a suitable choice of Allee and harvesting parameters. The largest Lyapunov exponents and sensitivity to initial conditions are examined to ensure the chaotic nature of the system.
食腐动物在捕食猎物的同时吃掉捕食者的尸体,与食草动物和捕食者相比,食腐动物的作用被忽视了。它现在已经成为研究猎物-捕食者相互作用的食物网系统的研究人员高度关注的话题。这些作品中考虑的食物网包括猎物、捕食者和作为第三物种的食腐动物。在这项工作中,我们试图在存在乘法Allee效应和收获的情况下研究这些物种的食物网模型。据观察,这使得模型以多个共存稳态的形式变得更加复杂。分析了该系统所有可能稳态存在和局部稳定的条件。通过选择合适的李雅普诺夫函数,讨论了位于x轴上的稳态和内部稳态的全局稳定性。分析推导了鞍节点分岔和Hopf分岔的存在条件。研究了Hopf分岔周期解对Allee常数和收获常数的稳定性。还观察到,在两个共存稳态的情况下,收获参数会出现多个Hopf分岔阈值,这表明系统可能会恢复其稳定性。所提出的模型也在Hopf分岔阈值之外进行了研究,我们观察到该模型能够表现出通向混沌的倍周期路径,这可以通过适当选择Allee和收获参数来控制。为了保证系统的混沌性质,研究了最大李雅普诺夫指数和对初始条件的敏感性。
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引用次数: 0
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