Chaojie Niu, S. Jian, Shanshan Liu, Chengshuai Liu, Shan-e-hyder Soomro, Cai-hong Hu
Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is an important parameter to characterize hydrological water cycle and energy balance. An extremely heavy rainstorm occurred in Zhengzhou City, Henan Province on 20 July 2021, causing heavy casualties and economic losses. One of the important reasons for this rainstorm was abnormal water circulation. The purpose of this study is to estimate ET0 accurately and avoid extreme disasters caused by abnormal water cycles. This study compared and analyzed the accuracy and robustness of ET0 prediction based on the improved Levenberg–Marquardt (L-M) model based on artificial neural network and the genetic algorithm-backward neural network (GA-BP) model. The model uses seven weather stations in Zhengzhou, including mountain climate and plain climate. By utilizing the Pearson correlation analysis technique, six distinct input scenarios were identified, and the efficacy of the model was assessed using evaluation metrics, including RMSE, MAE, NSE, and SI. The results show that the estimation accuracy of the L-M model is better than that of the GA-BP model; when the number of input meteorological parameters is the same, the combined simulation effect including wind speed is the best; the R2 of L-M3 and L-M4 are 0.9285 and 0.9675, respectively; Models can accurately estimate ET0 with limited data.
{"title":"Comparative study of reference evapotranspiration estimation models based on machine learning algorithm: a case study of Zhengzhou City","authors":"Chaojie Niu, S. Jian, Shanshan Liu, Chengshuai Liu, Shan-e-hyder Soomro, Cai-hong Hu","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.040","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is an important parameter to characterize hydrological water cycle and energy balance. An extremely heavy rainstorm occurred in Zhengzhou City, Henan Province on 20 July 2021, causing heavy casualties and economic losses. One of the important reasons for this rainstorm was abnormal water circulation. The purpose of this study is to estimate ET0 accurately and avoid extreme disasters caused by abnormal water cycles. This study compared and analyzed the accuracy and robustness of ET0 prediction based on the improved Levenberg–Marquardt (L-M) model based on artificial neural network and the genetic algorithm-backward neural network (GA-BP) model. The model uses seven weather stations in Zhengzhou, including mountain climate and plain climate. By utilizing the Pearson correlation analysis technique, six distinct input scenarios were identified, and the efficacy of the model was assessed using evaluation metrics, including RMSE, MAE, NSE, and SI. The results show that the estimation accuracy of the L-M model is better than that of the GA-BP model; when the number of input meteorological parameters is the same, the combined simulation effect including wind speed is the best; the R2 of L-M3 and L-M4 are 0.9285 and 0.9675, respectively; Models can accurately estimate ET0 with limited data.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48638778","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Evapotranspiration (ET) is a crucial parameter in the process of the hydrological cycle. It is of great significance for water resource management and the improvement of ecological systems in the Xiangjiang River Basin (XRB) to explore the spatial and temporal dynamic characteristics of ET. Based on MOD16, this study revealed the characteristics of spatial and temporal patterns of ET in the XRB from 2000 to 2020. We first applied land use data and change rate for overall trend analysis on ET. Then, we obtained spatiotemporal migration routes of ET through standard deviation ellipse (SDE). Furthermore, we demonstrated the effects of monsoon and urban expansion on ET change. Accordingly, we observed the following novel spatiotemporal patterns of ET: (1) while the ET of artificial surfaces decreased from 2000 to 2020, the change rate in most regions of the XRB was 8.83%, indicating that the overall trend of ET in the XRB was increasing. (2) At 10-year intervals, the SDE center of ET all migrated in a clockwise direction. (3) The correlation between precipitation and ET is more obvious than that between temperature and ET. (4) With the direct effects of monsoon on precipitation in East Asia, we found that the changes in precipitation are consistent with the ET change.
{"title":"Spatiotemporal patterns of evapotranspiration in the Xiangjiang River Basin from 2000 to 2020","authors":"Suxun Li, Chang-Lin Feng, Liu Yang","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.143","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.143","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 Evapotranspiration (ET) is a crucial parameter in the process of the hydrological cycle. It is of great significance for water resource management and the improvement of ecological systems in the Xiangjiang River Basin (XRB) to explore the spatial and temporal dynamic characteristics of ET. Based on MOD16, this study revealed the characteristics of spatial and temporal patterns of ET in the XRB from 2000 to 2020. We first applied land use data and change rate for overall trend analysis on ET. Then, we obtained spatiotemporal migration routes of ET through standard deviation ellipse (SDE). Furthermore, we demonstrated the effects of monsoon and urban expansion on ET change. Accordingly, we observed the following novel spatiotemporal patterns of ET: (1) while the ET of artificial surfaces decreased from 2000 to 2020, the change rate in most regions of the XRB was 8.83%, indicating that the overall trend of ET in the XRB was increasing. (2) At 10-year intervals, the SDE center of ET all migrated in a clockwise direction. (3) The correlation between precipitation and ET is more obvious than that between temperature and ET. (4) With the direct effects of monsoon on precipitation in East Asia, we found that the changes in precipitation are consistent with the ET change.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48031597","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The purpose of this study is to understand the temperature dynamics of ice and lake water under ice during ice growth. A vertical temperature monitoring system for ice and water under ice was employed for the first time in Wuliangsuhai Lake from 20 December 2016 to 15 March 2017 to obtain continuous monitoring temperature data necessary for calculating the heat flux density at the ice–water interface. During the ice growth period, the ice body temperature and the water body temperature under the ice show an obvious rising trend from the upper layer to the lower layer. As the ice body enters the melting period, the ice temperature and the water temperature under the ice begin to change rapidly. In the presence of snow over the ice, the fluctuations of ice temperature and water temperature under the ice remain stable. According to the experimental data, the analytical equation derived from the Stefan condition is used to calculate the heat flux at the intersection boundary of ice body and water body under ice, which varies from 1.73 to 19.6 W/m2. The dynamic change of ice thickness is significantly influenced by the temperature of ice and water and the heat flux density at the ice–water interface.
{"title":"Dynamics of water temperature and interfacial heat flux in lake ice and under-ice layers","authors":"Jingbo Huo, Xiaohong Shi, Shengnan Zhao, Biao Sun, Guohua Li, Haifeng Yu, Shihuan Wang","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.013","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The purpose of this study is to understand the temperature dynamics of ice and lake water under ice during ice growth. A vertical temperature monitoring system for ice and water under ice was employed for the first time in Wuliangsuhai Lake from 20 December 2016 to 15 March 2017 to obtain continuous monitoring temperature data necessary for calculating the heat flux density at the ice–water interface. During the ice growth period, the ice body temperature and the water body temperature under the ice show an obvious rising trend from the upper layer to the lower layer. As the ice body enters the melting period, the ice temperature and the water temperature under the ice begin to change rapidly. In the presence of snow over the ice, the fluctuations of ice temperature and water temperature under the ice remain stable. According to the experimental data, the analytical equation derived from the Stefan condition is used to calculate the heat flux at the intersection boundary of ice body and water body under ice, which varies from 1.73 to 19.6 W/m2. The dynamic change of ice thickness is significantly influenced by the temperature of ice and water and the heat flux density at the ice–water interface.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43089211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper presents an updated review of model-dependent regionalization methods in hydrology since the PUB decade, incorporating new regions and methodological advancements. Two categories of regionalization methods are discussed: distance-based and regression-based, with various modification approaches. Several factors affecting the accuracy of regionalization performance are identified, including hydrological models, climate characteristics, data availability, and regionalization techniques. The review concludes that distance-based regionalization methods with an output averaging option from multiple donor catchments are the most statistically reliable, and a threshold of 0.5–0.8 for donor selection is optimal for performance. The parsimonious hydrological model is also recommended, particularly in data-limited contexts. Other insights include the effectiveness of the ensemble concept and limited impact of prior classification. Additionally, it is found that the general performance difference between climatic classes is larger than between methods, and regression-based methods may have large uncertainties in tropical regions. Overall, this study provides practical guidance for improving regionalization studies and advancing the field of hydrology.
{"title":"Regionalization methods for PUB: a comprehensive review of progress after the PUB decade","authors":"Xue Yang, Fengnian Li, Wenyan Qi, Mengyuan Zhang, C. Yu, Chong-yu Xu","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.027","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This paper presents an updated review of model-dependent regionalization methods in hydrology since the PUB decade, incorporating new regions and methodological advancements. Two categories of regionalization methods are discussed: distance-based and regression-based, with various modification approaches. Several factors affecting the accuracy of regionalization performance are identified, including hydrological models, climate characteristics, data availability, and regionalization techniques. The review concludes that distance-based regionalization methods with an output averaging option from multiple donor catchments are the most statistically reliable, and a threshold of 0.5–0.8 for donor selection is optimal for performance. The parsimonious hydrological model is also recommended, particularly in data-limited contexts. Other insights include the effectiveness of the ensemble concept and limited impact of prior classification. Additionally, it is found that the general performance difference between climatic classes is larger than between methods, and regression-based methods may have large uncertainties in tropical regions. Overall, this study provides practical guidance for improving regionalization studies and advancing the field of hydrology.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44655059","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hao Chen, Wenxian Guo, Jianqing Ma, Yicheng Fu, Baoliang Wang
River hydrology is an important proxy for changes in river runoff and an important factor affecting the ecology of rivers. To quantitatively evaluate the hydrology of the Wuijang River basin, this paper uses various tests to analyze runoff. The IHA-RVA method combined with FDC ecohydrological indicators was used to evaluate the hydrology of the Wuijang River basin and to analyze and calculate the contribution of human activities and climate change to runoff. The results show that (1) the runoff in the Wujiang River basin has shown a decreasing trend over the years, with a sudden change in 2005 and mainly two inter-annual cycles; (2) the overall hydrological change in runoff is 48%, which is a moderate change. (3) The changes in FDC ecological indicators are significantly correlated with rainfall, and the correlation between FDC ecological indicators and IHA hydrological indicators is strong; (4) human activities are the main influencing factors of runoff changes in the Wujiang River. The results of this paper have some reference value for the management of the Wujiang River basin and the improvement and restoration of river ecology.
{"title":"Evaluating ecohydrological driving factors controlling the hydrology of the Wuijang River Basin, China","authors":"Hao Chen, Wenxian Guo, Jianqing Ma, Yicheng Fu, Baoliang Wang","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.004","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 River hydrology is an important proxy for changes in river runoff and an important factor affecting the ecology of rivers. To quantitatively evaluate the hydrology of the Wuijang River basin, this paper uses various tests to analyze runoff. The IHA-RVA method combined with FDC ecohydrological indicators was used to evaluate the hydrology of the Wuijang River basin and to analyze and calculate the contribution of human activities and climate change to runoff. The results show that (1) the runoff in the Wujiang River basin has shown a decreasing trend over the years, with a sudden change in 2005 and mainly two inter-annual cycles; (2) the overall hydrological change in runoff is 48%, which is a moderate change. (3) The changes in FDC ecological indicators are significantly correlated with rainfall, and the correlation between FDC ecological indicators and IHA hydrological indicators is strong; (4) human activities are the main influencing factors of runoff changes in the Wujiang River. The results of this paper have some reference value for the management of the Wujiang River basin and the improvement and restoration of river ecology.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-07-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46420781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The Chaudière River in Quebec, Canada, is well known for its frequent ice jam flooding events. As part of a larger watershed research program, an extensive field campaign has been carried out during the 2018–2019 and 2019–2020 winter seasons to quantify the spatiotemporal characteristics of the break-up processes along the Chaudière River. The results showed that mid-winter ice jams have formed in the Intermediate Chaudière and persisted until spring break-up. Spring break-ups were initiated in the Upper Chaudière, and then, almost simultaneously, in the Intermediate and Lower Chaudière reaches. The break-up in the Intermediate Chaudière usually lasts longer than the rest of the river since the slope is much milder, and the occurrence of mid-winter ice jams has been seen to delay the ice clearing. A reach-by-reach characterization of the cumulative degree day of thawing and discharge thresholds for the onset of break-up has been identified. During the field campaign, 51 ice jams were documented together with their location, length, date of formation, and the morphological feature triggering jam formation. Break-up patterns, hydrometeorological thresholds of ice mobilization, and ice jam sites identified in this study can serve as a basis for the implementation of an early warning system.
{"title":"A comprehensive field investigation of the dynamic break-up processes on the Chaudière River, Quebec, Canada","authors":"Tadros R. Ghobrial, Gabriel Pelchat, B. Morse","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.137","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.137","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The Chaudière River in Quebec, Canada, is well known for its frequent ice jam flooding events. As part of a larger watershed research program, an extensive field campaign has been carried out during the 2018–2019 and 2019–2020 winter seasons to quantify the spatiotemporal characteristics of the break-up processes along the Chaudière River. The results showed that mid-winter ice jams have formed in the Intermediate Chaudière and persisted until spring break-up. Spring break-ups were initiated in the Upper Chaudière, and then, almost simultaneously, in the Intermediate and Lower Chaudière reaches. The break-up in the Intermediate Chaudière usually lasts longer than the rest of the river since the slope is much milder, and the occurrence of mid-winter ice jams has been seen to delay the ice clearing. A reach-by-reach characterization of the cumulative degree day of thawing and discharge thresholds for the onset of break-up has been identified. During the field campaign, 51 ice jams were documented together with their location, length, date of formation, and the morphological feature triggering jam formation. Break-up patterns, hydrometeorological thresholds of ice mobilization, and ice jam sites identified in this study can serve as a basis for the implementation of an early warning system.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44845983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Magdaleena Männik, E. Karro, A. Marandi, Maile Polikarpus, Tavo Ani, A. Rosentau
The DRASTIC method is one of the most widely used groundwater vulnerability assessment techniques. In areas where the main useful aquifers are covered with an extra layer of diverse sediments, a further modification of the DRASTIC method is required for a more precise vulnerability estimation. In this article, the DRASTIC method was improved in areas characterized by a layer of diverse Quaternary deposits remarkably influencing the infiltration conditions. Three parameters were modified: (1) the D-parameter was adjusted to consider the overlying Quaternary deposits that, in some cases, make the aquifer confined, (2) the S-parameter was replaced by the Quaternary sediment-type parameter to assess the hydraulic characteristics of the highly variable deposits, and (3) the I-parameter was replaced by the thickness of the Quaternary deposits parameter to describe the distance from the ground surface to the main useful aquifer. The original and modified DRASTIC methodology was applied in an area with glacial sediments in Central Estonia. Comparing the results using the original and the modified DRASTIC method to a former Estonian groundwater vulnerability method showed that the DRASTIC method was significantly improved and could, thus, be successfully applied in other areas characterized by a heterogenous Quaternary sediment cover.
{"title":"Modified DRASTIC method for groundwater vulnerability assessment in areas with diverse Quaternary deposits","authors":"Magdaleena Männik, E. Karro, A. Marandi, Maile Polikarpus, Tavo Ani, A. Rosentau","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.009","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The DRASTIC method is one of the most widely used groundwater vulnerability assessment techniques. In areas where the main useful aquifers are covered with an extra layer of diverse sediments, a further modification of the DRASTIC method is required for a more precise vulnerability estimation. In this article, the DRASTIC method was improved in areas characterized by a layer of diverse Quaternary deposits remarkably influencing the infiltration conditions. Three parameters were modified: (1) the D-parameter was adjusted to consider the overlying Quaternary deposits that, in some cases, make the aquifer confined, (2) the S-parameter was replaced by the Quaternary sediment-type parameter to assess the hydraulic characteristics of the highly variable deposits, and (3) the I-parameter was replaced by the thickness of the Quaternary deposits parameter to describe the distance from the ground surface to the main useful aquifer. The original and modified DRASTIC methodology was applied in an area with glacial sediments in Central Estonia. Comparing the results using the original and the modified DRASTIC method to a former Estonian groundwater vulnerability method showed that the DRASTIC method was significantly improved and could, thus, be successfully applied in other areas characterized by a heterogenous Quaternary sediment cover.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46165969","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xinyu Zhang, Yi Liu, Ye Zhu, Qiang Ma, Gourbesville Philippe, Yanping Qu, Hang Yin
The increasing concurrences of heatwaves and droughts in the context of global warming have attracted much attention from the scientific community given their devastating social and environmental impacts. In this study, the effects of heatwaves in each adjacent week of flash drought onset on the intensification rate of soil moisture were quantified through a meta-Gaussian-based conditional probability model. Results showed that both heatwaves and flash droughts have become more frequent since the middle of the 1990s. For the seasonal distributions, except for the southwestern region where flash droughts lagged behind heatwaves, there was a good synchronization between the two climate extremes. Strong correlations between heatwaves and flash droughts were found in the northeastern, northern, and southwestern regions. Heatwaves with varied timing of emergence behave differently on the formation of flash droughts, along with significant regional differences. Short-term impending hot conditions were crucial for the breakout of flash droughts, especially for the week when flash droughts were initiated, the emergence of heatwaves was likely to increase the intensification rate of soil moisture by 20% compared to those with no heatwaves in their development stage.
{"title":"Probabilistic analysis on the influences of heatwaves during the onset of flash droughts over China","authors":"Xinyu Zhang, Yi Liu, Ye Zhu, Qiang Ma, Gourbesville Philippe, Yanping Qu, Hang Yin","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.022","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.022","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 The increasing concurrences of heatwaves and droughts in the context of global warming have attracted much attention from the scientific community given their devastating social and environmental impacts. In this study, the effects of heatwaves in each adjacent week of flash drought onset on the intensification rate of soil moisture were quantified through a meta-Gaussian-based conditional probability model. Results showed that both heatwaves and flash droughts have become more frequent since the middle of the 1990s. For the seasonal distributions, except for the southwestern region where flash droughts lagged behind heatwaves, there was a good synchronization between the two climate extremes. Strong correlations between heatwaves and flash droughts were found in the northeastern, northern, and southwestern regions. Heatwaves with varied timing of emergence behave differently on the formation of flash droughts, along with significant regional differences. Short-term impending hot conditions were crucial for the breakout of flash droughts, especially for the week when flash droughts were initiated, the emergence of heatwaves was likely to increase the intensification rate of soil moisture by 20% compared to those with no heatwaves in their development stage.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":"73 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41259296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Editorial: artificial intelligence in hydrology","authors":"E. Volpi, Jong Suk Kim, Shaleen Jain, S. Shrestha","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.102","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.102","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41707403","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This article addresses the question: What is expected from frazil ice activity in rivers, taking into account the changing climate? It begins with an overview of what frazil ice is and what is required for the occurrence of frazil ice events, namely a supercooled water column. Methodologies to anticipate frazil ice events in the short term are based on air temperature and water discharge, underlining the significance of these two parameters for any predictive methods. Longer-term approaches, calibrated against past events (hindcasting), are used to anticipate frazil ice activity into the future, with indicators such as frazil ice risk, water temperature and frazil volume. Any of these approaches could conceivably be applied to frazil-prone river stretches. To assess climate impact, each location should be treated separately. River ice dynamics can lead to the formation of a hanging dam, a frequent outcome of frazil ice generation in the early winter, causing flow restriction. Flood modeling and forecasting capabilities have been developed and implemented for operational use. More frequent mid-winter breakups are expected to extend the occurrence of frazil ice events into the winter months – the prediction of these will require climate model output to adequately capture month-to-month variability.
{"title":"Frazil ice events: Assessing what to expect in the future","authors":"P. Barrette, K. Lindenschmidt","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.008","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This article addresses the question: What is expected from frazil ice activity in rivers, taking into account the changing climate? It begins with an overview of what frazil ice is and what is required for the occurrence of frazil ice events, namely a supercooled water column. Methodologies to anticipate frazil ice events in the short term are based on air temperature and water discharge, underlining the significance of these two parameters for any predictive methods. Longer-term approaches, calibrated against past events (hindcasting), are used to anticipate frazil ice activity into the future, with indicators such as frazil ice risk, water temperature and frazil volume. Any of these approaches could conceivably be applied to frazil-prone river stretches. To assess climate impact, each location should be treated separately. River ice dynamics can lead to the formation of a hanging dam, a frequent outcome of frazil ice generation in the early winter, causing flow restriction. Flood modeling and forecasting capabilities have been developed and implemented for operational use. More frequent mid-winter breakups are expected to extend the occurrence of frazil ice events into the winter months – the prediction of these will require climate model output to adequately capture month-to-month variability.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44749984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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