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Earthquake detection probabilities and completeness magnitude in the northern margin of the Ordos Block 鄂尔多斯地块北缘的地震探测概率和完整震级
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1128-1
Fan Zhang, Xiao-Zhong Yang, Feng-Zhi Cui
<p>The assessment of the completeness of earthquake catalogs is a prerequisite for studying the patterns of seismic activity. In traditional approaches, the minimum magnitude of completeness (<i>M</i><sub>C</sub>) is employed to evaluate catalog completeness, with events below <i>M</i><sub>C</sub> being discarded, leading to the underutilization of the data. Detection probability is a more detailed measure of the catalog’s completeness than <i>M</i><sub>C</sub>; its use results in better model compatibility with data in seismic activity modeling and allows for more comprehensive utilization of seismic observation data across temporal, spatial, and magnitude dimensions. Using the magnitude–rank method I and Maximum Curvature (MAXC) methods, we analyzed temporal variations in earthquake catalog completeness, finding that <i>M</i><sub>C</sub> stabilized after 2010, which closely coincides with improvements in monitoring capabilities and the densification of seismic networks. Employing the probability-based magnitude of completeness (PMC) and entire magnitude range (EMR) methods, grounded in distinct foundational assumptions and computational principles, we analyzed the 2010–2023 earthquake catalog for the northern margin of the Ordos Block, aiming to assess the detection I probability of earthquakes and the completeness of the earthquake catalog. The PMC method yielded the detection probability distribution for 76 stations in the distance–magnitude space. A scoring metric was designed based on station detection capabilities for small earthquakes in the near field. From the detection probabilities of stations, we inferred detection probabilities of the network for different magnitude ranges and mapped the spatial distribution of the probability-based completeness magnitude. In the EMR method, we employed a segmented model fitted to the observed data to determine the detection probability and completeness magnitude for every grid point in the study region. We discussed the sample dependency and low-magnitude failure phenomena of the PMC method, noting the potential overestimation of detection probabilities for lower magnitudes and the underestimation of <i>M</i><sub>C</sub> in areas with weaker monitoring capabilities. The results obtained via the two methods support these hypotheses. The assessment results indicate better monitoring capabilities on the eastern side of the study area but worse on the northwest side. The spatial distribution of network monitoring capabilities is uneven, correlating with the distribution of stations and showing significant differences in detection capabilities among different stations. The truncation effects of data and station selection affected the evaluation results at the edges of the study area. Overall, both methods yielded detailed descriptions of the earthquake catalog, but careful selection of calculation parameters or adjustments based on the strengths of different methods is necessary to correct potential bia
评估地震目录的完整性是研究地震活动规律的先决条件。在传统方法中,采用最小震级完整性(MC)来评估震级目录的完整性,低于 MC 的事件会被舍弃,导致数据利用率不足。与 MC 相比,检波概率是对震级目录完整性更详细的衡量标准;使用检波概率可使地震活动建模中的模型与数据具有更好的兼容性,并可在时间、空间和震级维度上更全面地利用地震观测数据。利用震级秩方法 I 和最大曲率(MAXC)方法,我们分析了地震目录完整性的时间变化,发现 MC 在 2010 年后趋于稳定,这与监测能力的提高和地震台网的密集化密切相关。基于不同的基础假设和计算原理,我们采用基于概率的震级完整性(PMC)和整个震级范围(EMR)方法,分析了鄂尔多斯地块北缘 2010-2023 年的地震目录,旨在评估地震的检出率 I 和地震目录的完整性。PMC 方法得出了距离-震级空间中 76 个台站的检波概率分布。根据台站对近场小地震的探测能力,设计了一个评分标准。根据台站的探测概率,我们推断了不同震级范围的网络探测概率,并绘制了基于概率的完整性震级空间分布图。在 EMR 方法中,我们采用了一个与观测数据拟合的分段模型,以确定研究区域内每个网格点的探测概率和完整性震级。我们讨论了 PMC 方法的样本依赖性和低震级失效现象,注意到低震级的探测概率可能会被高估,而在监测能力较弱的地区,MC 可能会被低估。两种方法得出的结果都支持上述假设。评估结果表明,研究区域东侧的监测能力较强,而西北侧则较弱。网络监测能力的空间分布不均衡,与站点分布相关,不同站点之间的检测能力存在显著差异。数据和站点选择的截断效应影响了研究区域边缘的评估结果。总体而言,两种方法都对地震目录进行了详细描述,但有必要根据不同方法的优势仔细选择计算参数或进行调整,以纠正潜在的偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-well wavelet-synchronized inversion based on particle swarm optimization 基于粒子群优化的多井小波同步反演
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1123-6
Huan Yuan, San-Yi Yuan, SuQin, Hong-Qiu Wang, Hua-Hui Zeng, Shi-Jun Yue

Wavelet estimation is an important part of high-resolution seismic data processing. However, it is difficult to preserve the lateral continuity of geological structures and effectively recover weak geological bodies using conventional deterministic wavelet inversion methods, which are based on the joint inversion of wells with seismic data. In this study, starting from a single well, on the basis of the theory of single-well and multi-trace convolution, we propose a steady-state seismic wavelet extraction method for synchronized inversion using spatial multi-well and multi-well-side seismic data. The proposed method uses a spatially variable weighting function and wavelet invariant constraint conditions with particle swarm optimization to extract the optimal spatial seismic wavelet from multi-well and multi-well-side seismic data to improve the spatial adaptability of the extracted wavelet and inversion stability. The simulated data demonstrate that the wavelet extracted using the proposed method is very stable and accurate. Even at a low signal-to-noise ratio, the proposed method can extract satisfactory seismic wavelets that reflect lateral changes in structures and weak effective geological bodies. The processing results for the field data show that the deconvolution results improve the vertical resolution and distinguish between weak oil and water thin layers and that the horizontal distribution characteristics are consistent with the log response characteristics.

小波估算是高分辨率地震数据处理的重要组成部分。然而,传统的确定性小波反演方法是基于井与地震资料的联合反演,难以保持地质构造的横向连续性,也难以有效恢复软弱地质体。本研究从单井出发,在单井多道次卷积理论的基础上,提出了一种利用空间多井、多井侧地震数据进行同步反演的稳态地震小波提取方法。该方法采用空间可变加权函数和小波不变约束条件,通过粒子群优化从多井和多井侧地震数据中提取最优空间地震小波,以提高提取小波的空间适应性和反演稳定性。模拟数据表明,使用所提方法提取的小波非常稳定和准确。即使在信噪比较低的情况下,所提出的方法也能提取出令人满意的地震小波,反映出构造和弱有效地质体的横向变化。野外数据处理结果表明,解卷积结果提高了垂直分辨率,区分了弱油层和水薄层,水平分布特征与测井响应特征一致。
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引用次数: 0
Low-Frequency Sweep Design—A Case Study in Middle East Desert Environments 低频扫频设计--中东沙漠环境案例研究
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1126-3
Yong-fei Qi, Zhou-hong Wei, Ming-tao Nie, Guo-fa Li, Tao Wang, Hai Ling, Sheng-kui Cong, Xin-yang Chen, Chang-ping Duan, Yang Liu

Low-frequency vibroseis acquisition has become a routine operation in land seismic surveys, given the advantages of low-frequency signals in characterizing geological structures and enhancing the imaging of deep exploration targets. The two key points of low-frequency sweep design techniques include controlling the distortion and improving the output energy during the low-frequency stage. However, the vibrators are limited by the maximum flow provided by the hydraulic systems at the low-frequency stage, causing difficulty in satisfying exploration energy requirements. Initially, a theoretical analysis of the low-frequency acquisition performance of vibrators is conducted. A theoretical maximum output force below 10 Hz is obtained by guiding through theoretical formulas and combining actual vibrator parameters. Then, the signal is optimized according to the surface characteristics of the operation area. Finally, detailed application quality control and operational procedures are established. The new low-frequency sweep design method has overcome the maximum flow limitations of the hydraulic system, increased the low-frequency energy, and achieved broadband acquisition. The designed signal has been tested and applied on various types of ground surfaces in the Middle East desert region, yielding good performance. The proposed low-frequency sweep design method holds considerable value for the application of conventional vibroseis in low-frequency acquisition.

低频震源采集已成为陆地地震勘探的常规操作,因为低频信号在描述地质结构特征和增强深部勘探目标成像方面具有优势。低频扫描设计技术的两个关键点包括控制失真和提高低频阶段的输出能量。然而,振动器在低频阶段受限于液压系统提供的最大流量,难以满足勘探能量要求。首先,对振动器的低频采集性能进行了理论分析。通过理论公式的指导,结合振动器的实际参数,得出 10 赫兹以下的理论最大输出力。然后,根据操作区域的表面特征对信号进行优化。最后,制定了详细的应用质量控制和操作程序。新的低频扫频设计方法克服了液压系统的最大流量限制,提高了低频能量,实现了宽带采集。所设计的信号已在中东沙漠地区的各种地面上进行了测试和应用,取得了良好的性能。所提出的低频扫描设计方法对于传统震源在低频采集中的应用具有相当大的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Paleoearthquake and Recurrence Characteristics of Strong Earthquakes in Active Faults of Mainland China 中国大陆活动断层古地震及强震复发特征研究
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1125-4
Yao-Hu Zhang, Hua Pan, Jiang Cheng, Meng Zhang
<p>Paleoearthquake research represents an essential method for determining recurrence intervals of large earthquakes. Reasonable determination of the average recurrence interval and coefficient of variation provides a crucial basis for the analysis of the recurrence characteristics of strong earthquakes on intraplate faults in Mainland China. Paleoearthquake data from 145 fault segments of 93 well-studied faults in Mainland China were collected, organized, and analyzed to discuss the rational estimation of the average recurrence interval and coefficient of variation of a strong earthquake occurrence probability model. First, differences in structural environments were used as a basis to investigate the spatial distribution characteristics of the average recurrence intervals of strong earthquakes. The results indicate significant variations in the recurrence periods of strong earthquakes in the Sichuan–Yunnan, Xinjiang, North China, and northeastern Tibetan Plateau structure zones. The Sichuan–Yunnan structure zone exhibited the shortest average recurrence interval for strong earthquakes, which was mainly distributed between 100 and 2000 years, and a relatively high slip rate. The Xinjiang structure zone attained a relatively balanced recurrence interval frequency distribution of 1000–4500 years and a moderate slip rate. The North China structure zone showed the lowest slip rate, with the strong earthquake recurrence interval mainly concentrated between 1000 and 4000 years. The northeastern Tibetan Plateau structure zone presented two main frequency peaks in the strong earthquake recurrence intervals between 1000–3000 years and 3000–5000 years and a relatively high slip rate. The slip rate is a key factor influencing the recurrence interval of strong earthquakes, and active faults with high slip rates show short recurrence intervals. Furthermore, the relationship between fault slip rate, fault type, and the average recurrence interval of strong earthquakes was examined. The results indicate a good logarithmic linear relationship between the fault slip rate and the average recurrence interval of large earthquakes—the higher the slip rate, the shorter the recurrence interval of strong earthquakes. Fault type also showed a relation to the average recurrence interval, with the intervals for various types of active faults gradually increasing in the order of strike-slip, normal, reverse strike-slip, reverse, and normal strike-slip faults. Second, we calculated the proportions of active faults and various fault types in each structure zone that had a coefficient of variation in recurrence intervals less than 0.4. The findings reveal that the occurrence of strong earthquakes on most active faults in Mainland China satisfies a quasiperiodic model. The general coefficient of variation across different structure zones and fault types ranges between 0.36 and 0.44, which indicates the nonsignificant difference in the degree of variability in the periodicity o
古地震研究是确定大地震复发间隔的重要方法。合理确定平均复发间隔和变异系数,为分析中国大陆板内断层强震的复发特征提供了重要依据。本文收集、整理和分析了中国大陆 93 条研究较好的断层的 145 个断层段的古地震资料,探讨了强震发生概率模型的平均重现间隔和变异系数的合理估算。首先,以构造环境差异为基础,研究了强震平均重现间隔的空间分布特征。结果表明,川滇构造带、新疆构造带、华北构造带和青藏高原东北部构造带的强震重现期存在明显差异。川滇构造带的强震平均重现期最短,主要分布在 100 至 2000 年之间,且滑移率相对较高。新疆构造带的重现间隔频率分布相对均衡,为 1000-4500 年,滑移率适中。华北构造带的滑移率最低,强震重现间隔主要集中在 1000-4000 年之间。青藏高原东北部构造带在 1000-3000 年和 3000-5000 年之间出现了两个主要的强震重现间隔频率峰,滑移率相对较高。滑移率是影响强震复发间隔的关键因素,高滑移率的活动断层复发间隔较短。此外,还研究了断层滑移率、断层类型和强震平均重现间隔之间的关系。结果表明,断层滑移率与大地震的平均重现间隔之间存在良好的对数线性关系--滑移率越高,强地震的重现间隔越短。断层类型与平均重现间隔也有一定关系,各类活动断层的重现间隔依次为走向滑动断层、正常断层、逆走向滑动断层、逆断层、正常走向滑动断层,并逐渐增大。其次,我们计算了各构造带中重现期变异系数小于 0.4 的活动断层和各类断层的比例。研究结果表明,中国大陆大部分活动断层的强震发生符合准周期模型。不同构造带和断层类型的一般变异系数在 0.36 至 0.44 之间,表明不同构造带和断层类型的强震发生周期变异程度差异不大。
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引用次数: 0
Capacity matching and optimization of solar-ground source heat pump coupling systems 太阳能-地源热泵耦合系统的容量匹配与优化
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1130-7
Jing-hui Luo, Yun-xin Huang, Jing-gang Wang, Wei Liu, Wen-hong Wang, Zi-chen Han, Chang-jian Zhang

Ground source heat pump systems demonstrate significant potential for northern rural heating applications; however, the effectiveness of these systems is often limited by challenging geological conditions. For instance, in certain regions, the installation of buried pipes for heat exchangers may be complicated, and these pipes may not always serve as efficient low-temperature heat sources for the heat pumps of the system. To address this issue, the current study explored the use of solar-energy-collecting equipment to supplement buried pipes. In this design, both solar energy and geothermal energy provide low-temperature heat to the heat pump. First, a simulation model of a solar-ground source heat pump coupling system was established using TRNSYS. The accuracy of this model was validated through experiments and simulations on various system configurations, including varying numbers of buried pipes, different areas of solar collectors, and varying volumes of water tanks. The simulations examined the coupling characteristics of these components and their influence on system performance. The results revealed that the operating parameters of the system remained consistent across the following configurations: three buried pipes, burial depth of 20 m, collector area of 6 m2, and water tank volume of 0.5 m3; four buried pipes, burial depth of 20 m, collector area of 3 m2, and water tank volume of 0.5 m3; and five buried pipes with a burial depth of 20 m. Furthermore, the heat collection capacity of the solar collectors spanning an area of 3 m2 was found to be equivalent to that of one buried pipe. Moreover, the findings revealed that the solar-ground source heat pump coupling system demonstrated a lower annual cumulative energy consumption compared to the ground source heat pump system, presenting a reduction of 5.31% compared to the energy consumption of the latter.

地源热泵系统在北方农村供暖应用中显示出巨大的潜力;然而,这些系统的有效性往往受到具有挑战性的地质条件的限制。例如,在某些地区,安装热交换器的埋地管道可能比较复杂,而且这些管道不一定总能为系统中的热泵提供高效的低温热源。为解决这一问题,本研究探讨了使用太阳能收集设备来补充地埋管道。在这种设计中,太阳能和地热能都能为热泵提供低温热量。首先,使用 TRNSYS 建立了太阳能-地源热泵耦合系统的模拟模型。通过对各种系统配置(包括不同数量的埋管、不同面积的太阳能集热器和不同容积的水箱)进行实验和模拟,验证了该模型的准确性。模拟检查了这些组件的耦合特性及其对系统性能的影响。结果显示,系统的运行参数在以下配置中保持一致:三根埋管,埋深 20 米,集热器面积 6 平方米,水箱容积 0.5 立方米;四根埋管,埋深 20 米,集热器面积 3 平方米,水箱容积 0.5 立方米;五根埋管,埋深 20 米。此外,研究结果表明,与地源热泵系统相比,太阳能-地源热泵耦合系统的年累计能耗更低,比地源热泵系统的能耗降低了 5.31%。
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引用次数: 0
Fast Forward Modeling of Resistivity Method under Complex Topography Using Finite Element Method 用有限元法快速建立复杂地形下的电阻率法模型
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1054-2
Zhan Wang, Chang-Wei Li, Yu-Zeng Lv, Run-Lin Luo, Bo Cheng, Bo Li

A parallel finite element scheme for 3D resistivity method forward modeling is introduced in this article. The domain decomposition algorithm, along with a message passing interface, is used to implement parallelism. The computational domain is divided into subdomains, and mesh partitioning is combined with load balancing. Unstructured meshes and local mesh refinement strategies are used to realize high precision for complex topography models. Furthermore, an improved linear solver for multi-electrode resistivity method modeling is adopted. Recycling preconditioned conjugate gradient, which is a linear solver, is based on the similarity of linear systems between point sources. The multiple right-hand-side linear systems corresponding to different point source positions are constructed, and the accelerated convergence is obtained through recycling subspace using the linear solver. The computational accuracy and efficiency of the forward scheme for complex topography models are verified using the numerical test results.

本文介绍了一种用于三维电阻率法正向建模的并行有限元方案。采用域分解算法和消息传递接口来实现并行性。计算域被划分为多个子域,网格划分与负载平衡相结合。非结构网格和局部网格细化策略用于实现复杂地形模型的高精度。此外,还采用了用于多电极电阻率法建模的改进线性求解器。回收预处理共轭梯度是一种线性求解器,它基于点源之间线性系统的相似性。构建了与不同点源位置相对应的多个右侧线性系统,并利用线性求解器通过回收子空间获得加速收敛。数值测试结果验证了复杂地形模型前向方案的计算精度和效率。
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引用次数: 0
Electrical structure identification of deep shale gas reservoir in complex structural area using wide field electromagnetic method 利用宽场电磁法识别复杂构造区深层页岩气藏的电结构
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1115-6
Zhi-Wen Gu, Yue-Gang Li, Chang-Heng Yu, Zhong-Ping Zou, Ai-Guo Hu, Xue-Bo Yin, Qinag Wang, Heng Ye, Zhang-Kun Tan

To fully exploit the technical advantages of the large-depth and high-precision artificial source electromagnetic method in the complex structure area of southern Sichuan and compensate for the shortcomings of the conventional electromagnetic method in exploration depth, precision, and accuracy, the large-depth and high-precision wide field electromagnetic method is applied to the complex structure test area of the Luochang syncline and Yuhe nose anticline in the southern Sichuan. The advantages of the wide field electromagnetic method in detecting deep, low-resistivity thin layers are demonstrated. First, on the basis of the analysis of physical property data, a geological–geoelectric model is established in the test area, and the wide field electromagnetic method is numerically simulated to analyze and evaluate the response characteristics of deep thin shale gas layers on wide field electromagnetic curves. Second, a wide field electromagnetic test is conducted in the complex structure area of southern Sichuan. After data processing and inversion imaging, apparent resistivity logging data are used for calibration to develop an apparent resistivity interpretation model suitable for the test area. On the basis of the results, the characteristics of the electrical structure change in the shallow longitudinal formation of 6 km are implemented, and the transverse electrical distribution characteristics of the deep shale gas layer are delineated. In the prediction area near the well, the subsequent data verification shows that the apparent resistivity obtained using the inversion of the wide field electromagnetic method is consistent with the trend of apparent resistivity revealed by logging, which proves that this method can effectively identify the weak response characteristics of deep shale gas formations in complex structural areas. This experiment, it is shown shows that the wide field electromagnetic method with a large depth and high precision can effectively characterize the electrical characteristics of deep, low-resistivity thin layers in complex structural areas, and a new set of low-cost evaluation technologies for shale gas target layers based on the wide field electromagnetic method is explored.

为充分发挥大深度、高精度人工源电磁法在川南复杂构造区的技术优势,弥补常规电磁法在勘探深度、精度和准确度方面的不足,在川南罗场向斜和玉河鼻向反斜复杂构造试验区应用了大深度、高精度宽场电磁法。证明了宽场电磁法在探测深部低电阻率薄层方面的优势。首先,在物性资料分析的基础上,建立了试验区地质-地电模型,并对宽场电磁法进行了数值模拟,分析评价了深部薄页岩气层对宽场电磁曲线的响应特征。其次,在川南复杂构造区进行了宽场电磁试验。经过数据处理和反演成像,利用视电阻率测井数据进行校正,建立了适合试验区的视电阻率解释模型。在此基础上,落实了 6 千米浅层纵向地层电结构变化特征,圈定了深层页岩气层横向电分布特征。在该井附近的预测区域,后续数据验证表明,利用宽场电磁法反演得到的视电阻率与测井揭示的视电阻率变化趋势一致,证明该方法可以有效识别复杂构造区域深层页岩气层的弱响应特征。该实验表明,大深度、高精度的宽场电磁法可以有效表征复杂构造区深部低电阻率薄层的电特性,探索了一套基于宽场电磁法的页岩气目标层低成本评价新技术。
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引用次数: 0
Learning-based Reconstruction of GRACE Data Based on Changes in Total Water Storage and Its Accuracy Assessment 基于总蓄水量变化的 GRACE 数据学习型重构及其精度评估
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1124-5
Yong Su, Yi-Fei Yang, Yi-Yu Yang

Since April 2002, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Satellite (GRACE) has provided monthly total water storage anomalies (TWSAs) on a global scale. However, these TWSAs are discontinuous because some GRACE observation data are missing. This study presents a combined machine learning-based modeling algorithm without hydrological model data. The TWSA time-series data for 11 large regions worldwide were divided into training and test sets. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), long short-term memory (LSTM), and an ARIMA–LSTM combined model were used. The model predictions were compared with GRACE observations, and the model accuracy was evaluated using five metrics: the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), Pearson correlation coefficient (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), normalized RMSE (NRMSE), and mean absolute percentage error. The results show that at the basin scale, the mean CC, NSE, and NRMSE for the ARIMA–LSTM model were 0.93, 0.83, and 0.12, respectively. At the grid scale, this study compared the spatial distribution and cumulative distribution function curves of the metrics in the Amazon and Volga River basins. The ARIMA–LSTM model had mean CC and NSE values of 0.89 and 0.61 and 0.92 and 0.61 in the Amazon and Volga River basins, respectively, which are superior to those of the ARIMA model (0.86 and 0.48 and 0.88 and 0.46, respectively) and the LSTM model (0.80 and 0.41 and 0.89 and 0.31, respectively). In the ARIMA–LSTM model, the proportions of grid cells with NSE > 0.50 for the two basins were 63.3% and 80.8%, while they were 54.3% and 51.3% in the ARIMA model and 53.7% and 43.2% in the LSTM model. The ARIMA–LSTM model significantly improved the NSE values of the predictions while guaranteeing high CC values in the GRACE data reconstruction at both scales, which can aid in filling in discontinuous data in temporal gravity field models..

自 2002 年 4 月以来,重力恢复和气候实验卫星(GRACE)提供了全球范围内的月度总蓄水量异常值(TWSAs)。然而,由于 GRACE 的一些观测数据缺失,这些总蓄水量异常值是不连续的。本研究在没有水文模型数据的情况下提出了一种基于机器学习的组合建模算法。全球 11 个大区域的 TWSA 时间序列数据被分为训练集和测试集。使用了自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)、长短期记忆(LSTM)和 ARIMA-LSTM 组合模型。模型预测结果与 GRACE 观测结果进行了比较,并使用五个指标对模型精度进行了评估:纳什-苏特克利夫效率系数(NSE)、皮尔逊相关系数(CC)、均方根误差(RMSE)、归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)和平均绝对百分比误差。结果表明,在流域尺度上,ARIMA-LSTM 模型的平均 CC、NSE 和 NRMSE 分别为 0.93、0.83 和 0.12。在网格尺度上,本研究比较了亚马逊河流域和伏尔加河流域指标的空间分布和累积分布函数曲线。ARIMA-LSTM 模型在亚马逊河流域和伏尔加河流域的平均 CC 值和 NSE 值分别为 0.89 和 0.61 以及 0.92 和 0.61,优于 ARIMA 模型(分别为 0.86 和 0.48 以及 0.88 和 0.46)和 LSTM 模型(分别为 0.80 和 0.41 以及 0.89 和 0.31)。在 ARIMA-LSTM 模型中,两个流域 NSE 为 0.50 的网格单元比例分别为 63.3% 和 80.8%,而在 ARIMA 模型中分别为 54.3% 和 51.3%,在 LSTM 模型中分别为 53.7% 和 43.2%。ARIMA-LSTM模型显著提高了预测的NSE值,同时保证了GRACE数据重建在两个尺度上的高CC值,这有助于填补时间重力场模型中的不连续数据。
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引用次数: 0
Aeromagnetic Compensation Method Based on Recursive Least Square and Elastic Weight Consolidation 基于递归最小二乘法和弹性加权法的气磁补偿方法
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1121-8
Xiao-Yu Ma, Jin-Sheng Zhang, Shou-Yi Liao, Ting Li, Ze-Hao Li
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引用次数: 0
Numerical Simulation of a Three-Dimensional Strongly Magnetic Material Tensor in Wave Vector Domain 波矢量域三维强磁材料张量的数值模拟
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11770-024-1114-7
Kun Li, Hui Shi, Yu-cheng Wu, Chen Kang, Zhao-Dongdong
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Applied Geophysics
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