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Rice yield reductions due to ozone exposure and the roles of VOCs and NOx in ozone production in Japan 臭氧暴露导致的水稻减产以及挥发性有机物和氮氧化物在日本臭氧生产中的作用
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-10 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00051
K. Tatsumi
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引用次数: 3
Improved LED artificial sunlight source system available for sunlight-effect research in plant sciences 用于植物科学中光效研究的改进型LED人工光源系统
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-10 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-22-00008
K. Fujiwara, S. Kubo, Kensuke Eijima, R. Matsuda, A. Yano
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引用次数: 0
Rapid and semi-automated leaf net photosynthetic rate determination for numerous phosphor-converted white-LED lights of different spectral distributions 不同光谱分布的白光led灯叶片净光合速率的快速和半自动测定
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-10 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00038
Yuanhao CHEN, Ryo MATSUDA, Kazuhiro FUJIWARA
Phosphor-converted white LEDs (PCW-LEDs) of numerous types with different relative spectral photon-flux-density distributions (SPDs) are commercially available today. Some are regarded as promising light sources for use in plant factories with artificial lighting. The leaf net photosynthetic rate (Pn) measured under PCW-LED light is an important criterion for evaluating PCW-LEDs in terms of photosynthesis performance. To ascertain Pn rapidly under dozens of PCW-LED lights having different SPDs, we have developed a rapid and semi-automated Pn-quantification method. The method uses a modified LED-artificial sunlight source system (LASS system) and a Pn-measurement system. The modified LASS system can produce light with an SPD, which can accurately approximate that of any PCW-LED light at a photosynthetic photon flux density (PPFD) of 150 μmol m-2 s-1. First, PCW-LED lights of 30 types at a PPFD of 150 μmol m-2 s-1 were produced using the modified LASS system within 2.5 h. We then measured the Pn of cos lettuce, red-leaf lettuce, and green-leaf lettuce (Lactuca sativa L.) plants. In a 16-h Pn measurement repetition, the modified LASS system supplied all the produced lights automatically and successively to an identical leaf of a lettuce plant. A Pn-measurement system simultaneously measured Pn under the produced light. Results show that the mean Pn values of the cos lettuce, red-leaf lettuce, and green-leaf lettuce under the 30 produced lights at 20 days after sowing were, respectively, 7.11-8.02, 5.76-7.11, and 4.83-6.17 μmol m-2 s-1. A rapid and semi-automated method was developed for successive measurement of Pn under dozens of combined lights, of which each SPD approximated that of the selected PCW-LED lights, within days, which indicates that the method can determine the Pn quickly under numerous PCW-LED lights. Results show that the system contributes to rapid selection of PCW-LED lights performing high Pn.

具有不同相对光谱光子通量密度分布(spd)的多种类型的磷光转换白光led (pcw - led)目前已商品化。其中一些被认为是有前途的光源,可用于有人工照明的植物工厂。PCW-LED光下叶片净光合速率(Pn)是评价PCW-LED光性能的重要指标。为了在数十种不同spd的PCW-LED灯下快速测定Pn,我们开发了一种快速、半自动的Pn定量方法。该方法采用改进的led -人造光源系统(LASS系统)和pn测量系统。改进后的LASS系统可以产生具有SPD的光,在光合光子通量密度(PPFD)为150 μmol m-2 s-1时,可以精确地近似于任何PCW-LED光。首先,利用改进的LASS系统,在2.5 h内产生30种PPFD为150 μmol m-2 s-1的PCW-LED灯,并测量了红叶莴苣、红叶莴苣和绿叶莴苣植株的Pn。在16小时的Pn测量重复中,改进的LASS系统自动并连续地将所有产生的光提供给生菜植株的同一片叶子。一个Pn测量系统在产生的光下同时测量Pn。结果表明,播后20 d 30个产光条件下,黄花莴苣、红叶莴苣和绿叶莴苣的平均Pn值分别为7.11 ~ 8.02、5.76 ~ 7.11和4.83 ~ 6.17 μmol m-2 s-1。开发了一种快速、半自动化的方法,可在数十个组合灯下连续测量Pn,其中每个SPD在数天内接近所选PCW-LED灯的Pn,这表明该方法可以快速确定多个PCW-LED灯下的Pn。结果表明,该系统有助于快速选择高Pn的PCW-LED灯。
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引用次数: 0
Appropriate chamber deployment time for separate quantification of CH4 emissions via plant and ebullition from rice paddies using a modified closed-chamber method 采用改进的封闭室法分别定量植物和稻田沸腾排放CH4的适宜室部署时间
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-10 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00033
Masako KAJIURA, Takeshi TOKIDA
A modified closed-chamber method for estimating total, plant-mediated, and bubbling (ebullition) emissions of CH4 from rice paddies has been developed to use high-time-resolution CH4 concentration data (~1 Hz) obtained by a spectroscopic mobile gas analyzer. Here we aimed at determining an appropriate minimum time length of chamber closure for accurate flux measurement by investigating 3255 datasets obtained from a 2-year field survey. To investigate the minimum time length for each chamber measurement, we generated a series of datasets from each measurement: by setting the hypothetical termination time of the chamber closure ahead in 1-min intervals, we obtained various chamber CH4 concentration time series with different durations of chamber closure, and separately estimated CH4 emissions via rice plants and bubbling from each. The estimated flux was sensitive to time length with short closure times, but became less sensitive with longer closure. We defined the minimum time length at which the difference in estimated flux between adjacent time windows was small enough (<10% of plant-mediated emission). The estimated minimum time length differed from one measurement to another, but 10 min was sufficient for >99% of cases. Detailed analysis showed a positive correlation between minimum time length and frequency of bubbling events; the time length needed to be longer as bubbling events became more frequent. From this relationship, we computed the appropriate chamber-duration time as a function of bubbling frequency. In the absence of ebullition, 4-5 min was sufficient, but as the bubbling frequency increased to 2.5 times per minute 15-20 min was necessary for accurate pathway-dependent flux measurements.

利用光谱移动气体分析仪获得的高时间分辨率CH4浓度数据(~ 1hz),开发了一种改进的封闭室方法,用于估算稻田中CH4的总排放量、植物介导排放量和冒泡(沸腾)排放量。在这里,我们的目标是通过调查从2年实地调查中获得的3255个数据集,确定准确通量测量的适当的最小密室关闭时间长度。为了研究每次测量的最小时间长度,我们从每次测量中生成了一系列数据集:通过将假设的室关闭终止时间提前1分钟,我们获得了不同室关闭时间下的不同室CH4浓度时间序列,并分别估算了每个室通过水稻植株和鼓泡排放的CH4。封闭时间越短,估算通量对时间长度越敏感,封闭时间越长,估算通量对时间长度越不敏感。我们定义了相邻时间窗之间估算通量差足够小的最小时间长度(占植物介导排放的10%)。估计的最小时间长度因每次测量而异,但对于99%的病例10分钟就足够了。详细分析表明,最小时间长度与冒泡事件发生频率呈正相关;随着冒泡事件变得越来越频繁,时间长度需要变长。根据这种关系,我们计算出适当的腔室持续时间作为冒泡频率的函数。在没有沸腾的情况下,4-5分钟就足够了,但随着起泡频率增加到每分钟2.5次,需要15-20分钟才能进行精确的路径相关通量测量。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the subnational-level yield forecast skills of the 2019/20 season NARO-APCC Joint Crop Forecasting Service for Southern Hemisphere countries 评估2019/20年度NARO-APCC南半球国家联合作物预测服务机构的次国家级产量预测技能
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00053
Y. Doi, Yonghee Shin, Wonsik Kim, Jaewon Choi, T. Iizumi
An unstable supply of commodity crops and associated increases in food prices are recent and growing concerns due to increasing temperatures, changing precipitation patterns and increasing frequencies of some extreme climate events. Agricultural monitoring and forecasting can support national food agencies, international organizations and commercial entities in better responding to anticipated production shocks induced by seasonal climate extremes. The global seasonal crop forecasting service jointly developed in 2018 by the National Agriculture and Food Research Organization ( NARO ) , Japan and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center ( APCC ) , South Korea is an emerging and unique example of agricultural forecasting tailored to major commodity crops ( maize, rice, wheat and soybean ) . The present study evaluates the skills of the NARO-APCC yield forecasts in five countries located in the Southern Hemisphere ( the 2019/20 season in Australia and Uruguay and the 2018/19 season in Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay ) , following the previous assessment for the 2019 season in Northern Hemisphere countries. The results reveal that the NARO-APCC forecasts can capture the major characteristics of reported state yields even six months before harvesting, with variations by crop ( the correlation coefficients calculated between the forecasted and reported state yields within a country in a season of interest were frequently over 0.8 for maize, rice and wheat and approximately 0.3 for soybean ) . In three-fifths of the 122 crop-state combinations assessed here, the NARO-APCC forecasts showed smaller forecast errors than those of the simple forecasts derived solely based on the reported yields. The findings of this study emphasize the novelty of long-range crop forecasting, such as the NARO-APCC forecasts that provide yield forecast information available even just after planting. Together, the NARO-APCC forecasts and existing regional crop forecasts contribute to making objective yield forecast information more seamlessly available throughout the season from planting to harvesting than what is currently available.
由于气温升高、降水模式变化和一些极端气候事件频率增加,商品作物供应不稳定以及与之相关的粮食价格上涨是最近和日益令人担忧的问题。农业监测和预报可以支持国家粮食机构、国际组织和商业实体更好地应对季节性极端气候引起的预期生产冲击。日本国立农业粮食研究所(NARO)和韩国亚太经济合作组织气候中心(APCC)于2018年共同开发的全球季节性作物预测服务,是针对主要商品作物(玉米、水稻、小麦和大豆)进行农业预测的新兴独特范例。本研究评估了NARO-APCC在南半球五个国家(澳大利亚和乌拉圭的2019/20季节以及阿根廷、巴西和巴拉圭的2018/19季节)的产量预测技能,此前对北半球国家的2019季节进行了评估。结果表明,即使在收获前6个月,NARO-APCC预测也能捕捉到各州报告产量的主要特征,并随作物而变化(一个国家在一个感兴趣的季节内,玉米、水稻和小麦的预测和报告产量之间计算的相关系数通常超过0.8,大豆的相关系数约为0.3)。在这里评估的122种作物状态组合中,有五分之三的预测显示,NARO-APCC预测的预测误差小于仅根据报告产量进行的简单预测。这项研究的发现强调了长期作物预测的新颖性,例如NARO-APCC预测,它提供了种植后的产量预测信息。NARO-APCC预测和现有的区域作物预测共同有助于使从种植到收获的整个季节的客观产量预测信息比目前可用的信息更加无缝地提供。
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引用次数: 1
Characterization of canopy structure for high-yield performance of greenhouse-grown satsuma mandarins using direct measurements and indirect estimations 利用直接测量和间接估算的方法表征温室栽培柑橘高产的冠层结构
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00018
Taku Yano, D. Yasutake, Yoshinobu Kiyosue
Under assuming that high‑yield canopy structure would be simply explained by a given index, orchard productivity of greenhouse‑grown early‑flowering satsuma mandarins “Miyagawa wase” was assessed using conventional modified‑open‑center‑training and trellis‑training methods. This was done by using universal indices that assist with determining yield in relation to canopy structure. Leaf area index was the optimum index for determining fruit yield. Empirical extinction coefficients showed negative linear trends with yield. Either plant area index, estimated by using a plant canopy analyzer, and crown cover showed poor correlation with fruit yield. To effectively predict yield from leaf area index, a direct measurement is recommended rather than an indirect optical method. Trellis‑trained trees were superior to modified‑open‑center‑trained trees. This is because trellis‑trained trees had higher fruit productivity up untill 10 yeas old, and because 15‑year‑olds had better canopy light distrubution patterns when compared with modified open‑center‑trained trees. Based on the costs associated with planting seedlings and the labor‑efficiency due to width of free alley, trellis‑training 2.2 m × 1.0 m plots was optimum for planting. In this study, even when accounting for the measurement error of woody elements, empirical extinction coefficients was a good index to base yield productivity. This is because this index directly represents vertical canopy light distribution. Additionally, the clumping index, calculated by using direct measurement and indirect optical method, was suggested to relate to canopy light distribution, however, further study must be essential.
在假设高产树冠结构可以简单地用一个给定的指数来解释的前提下,采用传统的改良开放式中心训练法和棚架训练法对温室栽培早花宫川蜜橘果园生产力进行了评估。这是通过使用有助于确定与冠层结构有关的产量的通用指数来完成的。叶面积指数是测定果实产量的最佳指标。经验消光系数与产量呈负线性关系。用植物冠层分析仪估算的植物面积指数和冠层盖度与果实产量均表现出较差的相关性。为了有效地预测叶面积指数的产量,建议直接测量而不是间接的光学方法。棚架训练的树木优于改良开放中心训练的树木。这是因为棚架训练的树木在10岁之前的果实产量更高,而且与改良的开放式中心训练的树木相比,15岁的树木有更好的冠层光分布模式。综合考虑种苗成本和自由通道宽度所带来的劳动效率,选择2.2 m × 1.0 m的棚架种植面积为最优。在本研究中,即使考虑到木质元素的测量误差,经验消光系数也能很好地反映基本产量。这是因为该指数直接代表了冠层的垂直光分布。此外,通过直接测量和间接光学方法计算得出的丛集指数与冠层光分布有关,但仍需进一步研究。
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引用次数: 2
Dependance of isoprene emission flux on leaf mass per area of Phyllostachys pubescens (moso bamboo) 毛竹(Phyllostachys pubescens)单位面积叶质量对异戊二烯排放通量的影响
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00030
Ting-Wei CHANG, Y. Kosugi, T. Kume, Ayumi Katayama, M. Okumura, Ken-Hui CHANG
It is challenging to estimate isoprene emissions from plants and determine the basal isoprene emission rate ( i.e., isoprene emission capacity under a specific light and leaf temperature ) of plant species. Previous studies have investigated the effect of physiological factors on isoprene emission capacity; however, the effect of leaf morphology on isoprene emission capacity has seldom been mentioned. This study aims to clarify the relationship between the basal isoprene emission rate and leaf mass per area ( LMA ) of a woody bamboo ( Phyllostachys pubescens ) . Since there was no observation of isoprene emission from low-LMA leaves of P. pubescens , we conducted measurements on culms exhibiting lower LMA ( 27.5 - 47.9 g m - 2 ) . By observing leaf-scale isoprene emission flux under a specific incident light ( 1000 μ mol m - 2 s - 1 ) and temperature ( 30 ° C ) to represent basal isoprene emission fluxes, we found a series of varied area-based isoprene emission rate among leaves ( 1.4 - 32.2 nmol m - 2 s - 1 ) and a strong correlation between area-based isoprene emission rate and LMA without any distinction between culms. A further comparison with other studies demonstrated that even for the culms that exhibited larger LMA and isoprene emission flux, a generally consistent pattern in the relation of area-isoprene emission flux and LMA could be found across these sites. This result suggests the importance of detecting LMA in the determination of the basal isoprene emission rate, which can improve the current emission estimation method.
估算植物的异戊二烯排放量并确定植物物种的基本异戊二烯排放量(即特定光和叶温下的异戊二烯排放能力)具有挑战性。以往的研究主要探讨了生理因素对异戊二烯排放能力的影响;然而,叶片形态对异戊二烯释放能力的影响很少被提及。本研究旨在阐明毛竹(Phyllostachys pubescens)的基础异戊二烯释放率与叶面积质量(LMA)的关系。由于没有观察到低LMA叶片的异戊二烯排放,我们对LMA较低(27.5 - 47.9 g m - 2)的茎秆进行了测量。在特定入射光(1000 μ mol m - 2 s - 1)和温度(30°C)条件下,通过观察异戊二烯在叶片尺度上的发射通量,我们发现了不同叶片间(1.4 ~ 32.2 nmol m - 2 s - 1)的不同面积异戊二烯发射率,且面积异戊二烯发射率与LMA之间存在较强的相关性,而不存在茎间差异。与其他研究的进一步比较表明,即使对于具有较大LMA和异戊二烯排放通量的culms,也可以在这些站点上发现面积-异戊二烯排放通量与LMA的关系大致一致。这一结果说明了LMA检测在测定基础异戊二烯排放率中的重要性,可以改进现有的排放率估算方法。
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引用次数: 0
Dark panicle color and high panicle position increase spikelet temperature of rice (Oryza sativa L.) 深穗色和高穗位提高了水稻的颖花温度。
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00032
Ryotaro Kitajima, O. Matsuda, T. Kumamaru, A. Kume
Rice ( Oryza sativa L. ) quality and yield are degraded by high temperature, especially at the ripening stage after the heading of panicles. The effect is lethal when the panicle temperature ( T p ) is excessively high; therefore, maintaining a low T p is important to avoid deleterious impacts on the grains. Microclimatic factors and plant physiological elements determine the T p . One determining factor is the color ( or reflectance ) of spikelets that constitute the panicle because it determines the absorption of shortwave radiation energy. An additional factor is the panicle position because it influences heat exchange by the wind and input energy from downward shortwave radiation. In this study, inter-strain differences in spikelet color and panicle height at heading were assessed. The T p of strains differing in panicle color and panicle height were measured with thermocouples. In addition, to estimate the effect of each trait, we adopted a micrometeorological model. Panicle color was quantified using a hyperspectral sensor. Combining the spectral reflectance and spectral radiation, we assessed the effect of panicle color on T p . The differences in panicle color and panicle position significantly affected T p . The strain with a dark panicle had a maximum measured T p about 1.8 ° C higher than that of the strain with a light-colored panicle. The T p of a strain with panicles at higher positions was up to 2.0 ° C higher than that of a strain with panicles at lower positions. These relationships were consistent with the model estimates. When shortwave radiation was strong, the difference in T p between strains showed a positive correlation, suggesting that the temperature difference was associated with shortwave radiation. Therefore, we concluded that rice strains with a brighter panicle color and low panicle position are less prone to deleterious impacts of high temperature because net radiation is reduced.
水稻(Oryza sativa L.)高温会降低小麦的品质和产量,特别是在抽穗后的成熟期。当穗温(tp)过高时,这种效应是致命的;因此,保持较低的温度对避免对晶粒的有害影响是很重要的。小气候因素和植物生理因素决定了温度。一个决定因素是构成穗的小穗的颜色(或反射率),因为它决定了短波辐射能量的吸收。另一个因素是穗部位置,因为它影响风的热交换和从向下的短波辐射输入的能量。本研究对抽穗时的小穗颜色和穗高进行了品系间差异评价。用热电偶测量了不同穗色和穗高菌株的T p。此外,为了估计各性状的影响,我们采用了微气象模型。利用高光谱传感器对圆锥花序颜色进行定量分析。结合光谱反射率和光谱辐射,评价了穗色对T p的影响。穗色和穗位的差异对T p有显著影响。深色穗型菌株的最大测得温度比浅色穗型菌株高约1.8°C。高穗位菌株的T p比低穗位菌株的T p高2.0℃。这些关系与模型估计一致。当短波辐射较强时,菌株间的温差呈正相关,说明温差与短波辐射有关。综上所述,穗色较亮、穗位较低的水稻品系由于净辐射减少,不易受到高温的有害影响。
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引用次数: 0
Model-based evaluation of methane emissions from paddy fields in East Asia 基于模型的东亚稻田甲烷排放评价
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00037
Akihiko Ito, S. Inoue, M. Inatomi
Evaluating regional budgets of methane ( CH 4 ) , a potent greenhouse gas and short‑lived climate forcer, is an important task for future climate management. This study estimated historical CH 4 emissions from paddy fields in East Asia by using a process‑based terrestrial biogeochemical model driven by climate and land‑use data. To capture the range of estimation uncertainty, this study used two CH 4 emission schemes, four paddy field maps, and two seasonal inundation methods for a total of 16 simulations. The mean CH 4 emission rate during 2000 ‑ 2015 was estimated to be 5.7 Tg CH 4 yr ‑1 , which is similar to statistical inventories and other estimates. However, the large standard deviation ( ± 3.2 Tg CH 4 yr ‑1 ) among the simulations implies that serious estimation uncertainties remain. Three factors ‑ CH 4 emission scheme, paddy field map, and inundation seasonality ‑ were responsible for the disparity of the estimates. Because of the lack of historical management data, the model simulation did not show a decreasing trend in the agricultural CH 4 emissions. A sensitivity analysis for temperature indicated that a 1 ‑ 2 ° C temperature rise ( typical warming in mitigation‑oriented scenarios ) would substantially enhance CH 4 emissions. However, a sensitivity analysis for water management indicated that a lower water‑table depth would largely mitigate the emission increase. Additional studies to improve agricultural datasets and models for better paddy field management are still needed.
甲烷是一种强有力的温室气体和短期气候强迫物,评估甲烷的区域预算是未来气候管理的一项重要任务。本研究利用气候和土地利用数据驱动的基于过程的陆地生物地球化学模型估算了东亚稻田的历史甲烷排放量。为了获取估算不确定性的范围,本研究使用了两种甲烷排放方案、四种水田图和两种季节性淹没方法,共进行了16次模拟。2000 - 2015年期间的平均甲烷排放率估计为5.7 Tg甲烷年- 1,这与统计清单和其他估计值相似。然而,模拟中的大标准偏差(±3.2 Tg CH 4 yr - 1)意味着仍然存在严重的估计不确定性。三个因素——甲烷排放方案、水田图和淹没季节性——是造成估算差异的原因。由于缺乏历史管理数据,模型模拟没有显示出农业ch4排放减少的趋势。对温度的敏感性分析表明,温度上升1 - 2°C(面向缓解的情景中的典型变暖)将大大增加甲烷排放。然而,对水资源管理的敏感性分析表明,较低的地下水位将在很大程度上减缓排放的增加。还需要进一步的研究来改进农业数据集和模型,以便更好地管理水田。
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引用次数: 6
Methodology to quantify the role of intense precipitation runoff in soil moisture scarcity: a case study in the U.S. South from 1980-2020 量化强降水径流在土壤水分稀缺中的作用的方法:1980-2020年美国南部的案例研究
IF 1.3 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.d-21-00054
Robert Kennedy SMITH, José A. GUIJARRO, Der-Chen CHANG, Yiming CHEN
The northern U.S. Gulf Coast is among the wettest regions in the contiguous United States, with a transition zone from humid to semi-arid climates occurring between the western Gulf Coast and the 100 th meridian. As anthropogenic warming induces more frequent extreme wetting events of greater magnitude, a larger proportion of rainfall runs off unsaturated soils rather than being absorbed and replenishing vegetative water supply. This study introduced novel methodology reliant on reconstructed hourly precipitation intensity data from locations with comprehensive records from the past four decades, incorporating these records into a recursive algorithm measuring daily soil moisture levels. To account for runoff, curtailment multipliers for three different soil classes at each site were applied to 24-hour precipitation totals. Soil moisture balance was then obtained from daily evapotranspiration and infiltrated precipitation, and trends from the autoregressive time series modeling were compared. When runoff quantified by the methodology was considered, average annual soil moisture scarcity trends accelerated for most sample soils, including 13 of the 15 highly-infiltrative soils showing a change relative to the unrestricted infiltration in the reference case. The findings, however, were generally not statistically significant. These results are suggestive, but not conclusive, of a growing role from intense precipitation in drought development for the selected region. The seasonality of evolving rainfall rates in the case study area may explain the limited impact, as intensity rates are growing most quickly during the wintertime, a period when episodes infrequently exceed maximum soil infiltration capacity. The methods introduced here, achieving superior accuracy at precise locations relative to gridded products, are reproducible for global locations with adequate data coverage.
美国北部墨西哥湾沿岸是美国本土最潮湿的地区之一,在墨西哥湾西部沿岸和西经100度之间有一个从湿润气候到半干旱气候的过渡地带。由于人为变暖导致更频繁、更大规模的极端湿润事件,更大比例的降雨从不饱和土壤中流失,而不是被植物吸收和补充水分供应。这项研究引入了一种新的方法,该方法依赖于从过去40年的综合记录中重建的每小时降水强度数据,将这些记录纳入到测量每日土壤湿度水平的递归算法中。为了解释径流,每个地点的三种不同土壤类别的削减乘数应用于24小时降水总量。利用日蒸散发和入渗降水计算土壤水分平衡,并比较自回归时间序列模型的趋势。当考虑用该方法量化的径流时,大多数样土的年平均土壤水分稀缺趋势加速,包括15种高入渗土壤中的13种,相对于参考情况下的无限制入渗表现出变化。然而,这些发现通常没有统计学意义。这些结果提示,但不是结论性的,强降水在选定地区干旱发展中的作用越来越大。案例研究地区降雨率变化的季节性可能解释了有限的影响,因为强度率在冬季增长最快,而冬季的降雨量很少超过最大土壤入渗能力。本文介绍的方法相对于网格产品在精确位置获得更高的精度,对于具有足够数据覆盖的全球位置是可重复的。
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Journal of Agricultural Meteorology
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