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Evaluating the Reliability of Data-Driven Compartmental Model (SIR or VH) on Dengue Fever for the Ongoing Outbreak in America. 评估数据驱动的区室模型(SIR或VH)在美国持续爆发登革热的可靠性。
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-026-09520-z
Amit Kumar Roy, Priti Kumar Roy

The compartmental epidemiological model is commonly used to study dengue dynamics; some of these models precisely consider the mosquito population, and others indirectly capture its role in disease transmission term. In this article, we have performed a comparative analysis between a simple SIR model and a vector-host interaction model (VH model) by fitting the dengue fever data of the ongoing outbreak in America. Parameter estimations for both models have been performed using the Nelder-Mead simplex algorithm, considering the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) as an optimization function. The significance and reliability of the estimated parameters towards the models' predictions have been analysed through uncertainty and sensitivity analyses. Uncertainty analysis utilizing the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method has been performed to evaluate how various parameters within the models influence the basic reproduction number ([Formula: see text]). Sensitivity analysis for the basic reproduction number ([Formula: see text]), has been carried out by the partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCC) method. Additionally, we have computed the parameter regions ensuring the persistence of equilibrium points of both models. This study offers profound insights into model selection, parameter estimation, and forecasting future data trends for the ongoing dengue outbreak in America. However, this article focuses on exploring two key scientific questions: (1) Which type of compartmental model (SIR or VH) is more suitable to capture the trend of data on dengue fever for the ongoing outbreak in America? (2) Is America likely to face a prolonged dengue outbreak in the near future?

区隔流行病学模型通常用于研究登革热动力学;其中一些模型精确地考虑了蚊子种群,而另一些则间接地捕捉到了蚊子在疾病传播方面的作用。在本文中,我们通过拟合美国正在暴发的登革热数据,对简单SIR模型和媒介-宿主相互作用模型(VH模型)进行了比较分析。使用Nelder-Mead单纯形算法对两个模型进行参数估计,并考虑归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)作为优化函数。通过不确定性和敏感性分析,分析了估计参数对模型预测的显著性和可靠性。利用拉丁超立方体抽样(LHS)方法进行了不确定性分析,以评估模型内的各种参数如何影响基本再现数([公式:见文本])。采用偏秩相关系数(PRCC)法对基本再现数(公式见文)进行了敏感性分析。此外,我们还计算了保证两种模型平衡点持续存在的参数区域。本研究为美国登革热疫情的模型选择、参数估计和预测未来数据趋势提供了深刻的见解。然而,本文着重探讨了两个关键的科学问题:(1)哪种类型的区室模型(SIR或VH)更适合捕捉美国正在爆发的登革热数据的趋势?(2)在不久的将来,美国有可能面临长时间的登革热爆发吗?
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引用次数: 0
Plasticity as a Historical and Philosophical Problem 可塑性作为一个历史和哲学问题
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-026-09521-y
Yoshinari Yoshida

Plasticity of living systems has long attracted life scientists in different fields, but a detailed philosophical analysis of the very concept has yet to be undertaken. Antonine Nicoglou’s Plasticity in the Life Sciences addresses this problem. By combining a historical examination of the concept of plasticity from Aristotle to contemporary biology and philosophical analysis of its status and roles in biological research, the book provides a rich picture of plasticity as a “boundary concept.” It is also a great example of a highly integrated historical and philosophical inquiry into a scientific concept.

长期以来,生命系统的可塑性一直吸引着不同领域的生命科学家,但对这一概念的详细哲学分析尚未开展。Antonine Nicoglou的《生命科学中的可塑性》解决了这个问题。通过结合从亚里士多德到当代生物学对可塑性概念的历史考察,以及对其在生物学研究中的地位和作用的哲学分析,本书提供了作为“边界概念”的可塑性的丰富画面。这也是对科学概念进行高度整合的历史和哲学探究的一个很好的例子。
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引用次数: 0
Mess and Method 混乱和方法。
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-026-09519-6
Rose Novick, Joyce C. Havstad

Bill Wimsatt and Mark Wilson are each the author of a body of work whose fruitfulness is rivaled only by its forbiddingness. Despite deep sympathies between their approaches and conclusions, their work has not yet been read together. This paper makes the case for doing so. We identify a shared question at the heart of their work: how is it that limited beings such as ourselves come to possess genuine knowledge of a complex world? We then show that Wimsatt and Wilson arrive at similar answers to this question. Over a range of topics (investigative strategies, the uses of models, and theoretical and conceptual structure), both scholars emphasize the functional messiness of science. This is complemented by a pragmatist-leaning philosophical methodology that recognizes that one of the core uses of knowledge is to scaffold the acquisition of more knowledge. The core of the paper traces the mutually supportive interplay between their philosophical doctrines and methods. We end with two brief discussions: one a defense of their winding, playful writing styles, the other a brief consideration of the relationship between their work and Arthur Fine’s natural ontological attitude.

比尔·温萨特(Bill Wimsatt)和马克·威尔逊(Mark Wilson)都写了大量的作品,其丰富性只能与令人生畏的作品相媲美。尽管人们对他们的方法和结论深表同情,但他们的工作尚未被放在一起阅读。本文为这样做提供了理由。我们在他们的工作中发现了一个共同的问题:像我们这样的有限生物是如何拥有一个复杂世界的真正知识的?然后我们表明,文萨特和威尔逊对这个问题得出了类似的答案。在一系列主题(调查策略、模型的使用、理论和概念结构)上,两位学者都强调了科学的功能混乱。这与实用主义倾向的哲学方法论相辅相成,该方法论认识到知识的核心用途之一是支撑更多知识的获取。本文的核心是追溯他们的哲学学说和方法之间相互支持的相互作用。我们以两个简短的讨论结束:一个是为他们曲折、有趣的写作风格辩护,另一个是对他们的作品与阿瑟·法恩自然本体论态度之间关系的简要考虑。
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引用次数: 0
The Emergence of Turing Instability and Pattern Formation in a Nonlinear Stochastic Spatiotemporal Epidemic Model with Reinfections 具有再感染的非线性随机时空流行病模型的图灵不稳定性和模式形成。
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-026-09518-7
Aman Kumar Singh, Rasha Almsheks, Manish Kumar, Subramanian Ramakrishnan

Instabilities and Turing patterns in stochastic spatiotemporal systems in which a fraction of an evolving population, after undergoing a series of dynamic transitions, returns to its original state, remain largely unexplored. Adopting an epidemic model incorporating reinfections as an exemplar of such a system, we present stability and pattern-formation analyses of the stochastic reaction-diffusion equations that represent the model. Saturation effects in epidemic spread lead to nonlinear considerations, while random environmental effects motivate a stochastic term. Turing bifurcation and the emergence of equilibrium patterns are analysed with respect to three fundamental parameters - reinfection, saturation, and noise intensity. Using higher-order stability analysis and stochastic averaging, we find the Turing instability and also uncover self–organized, distinct equilibrium patterns of infection spread. Additionally, results elucidating the effects of stochastic excitation and its intensity, as well as the competing influence of saturation and reinfection on stability and pattern formation, are presented. The results are also expected to be broadly significant beyond epidemic modelling, for studies of noise-induced instabilities and morphogenesis in spatiotemporal nonlinear dynamical systems.

随机时空系统中的不稳定性和图灵模式,其中一部分进化种群在经历了一系列动态转变后,返回到其原始状态,这在很大程度上仍未被探索。以一个包含再感染的流行病模型为例,我们给出了代表该模型的随机反应扩散方程的稳定性和模式形成分析。流行病传播中的饱和效应引起非线性考虑,而随机环境效应引起随机项。图灵分岔和平衡模式的出现分析了三个基本参数-再感染,饱和度和噪声强度。利用高阶稳定性分析和随机平均,我们发现了图灵不稳定性,并揭示了感染传播的自组织、独特的平衡模式。此外,还介绍了随机激励及其强度的影响,以及饱和和再感染对稳定性和模式形成的竞争影响。这些结果也有望在流行病建模之外具有广泛的意义,用于研究时空非线性动力系统中噪声引起的不稳定性和形态发生。
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引用次数: 0
FitzHugh–Nagumo Model in Neutral Delay Differential Equation Representation 中立型时滞微分方程表示中的FitzHugh-Nagumo模型。
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-025-09513-4
M. A. Elfouly, M. A. Sohaly, M. E. Fares

We present a neutral delay differential equation (NDDE) modification of the FitzHugh–Nagumo (FHN) model. One linear and three nonlinear variants are proposed to capture the interaction between delayed effects in the membrane potential and the stimulating current, including a delayed rate (neutral) term. We derive fixed points, compute eigenvalues, and obtain Hopf conditions to map regions of stability, instability, and oscillation. Parameter studies show how the neutral delay reorganizes dynamics and modulates the robustness of nerve firing. Numerical simulations quantify frequency, ISI, amplitude, and spike counts and reproduce canonical phenotypes: regular spiking adapts to large stimulus delays, intrinsic bursting yields rapid spikes, chattering shows high-frequency bursts with moderate delays, fast-spiking exhibits high rates, and low-threshold neurons adapt to high frequencies with small delays. Overall, the NDDE representation provides a compact, physically motivated framework in which time delay governs stability and synchronization, offering insight for diagnostic modeling and potential therapies for disorders with irregular firing.

我们提出了FitzHugh-Nagumo (FHN)模型的中性延迟微分方程(NDDE)修正。提出了一种线性和三种非线性变量来捕捉膜电位延迟效应和刺激电流之间的相互作用,包括延迟速率(中性)项。我们推导不动点,计算特征值,并得到Hopf条件来映射稳定、不稳定和振荡区域。参数研究显示了中性延迟如何重组动力学和调节神经放电的鲁棒性。数值模拟量化了频率、ISI、振幅和尖峰计数,并再现了典型表型:常规尖峰适应大的刺激延迟,内在爆发产生快速尖峰,颤振显示中等延迟的高频爆发,快速尖峰显示高速率,低阈值神经元适应小延迟的高频。总的来说,NDDE表示提供了一个紧凑的、物理驱动的框架,其中时间延迟控制稳定性和同步,为诊断模型和不规则放电疾病的潜在治疗提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Oxygen Distribution on the Tumor Necrotic Region: A Two-phase Model 氧分布对肿瘤坏死区的影响:一个两阶段模型。
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-026-09516-9
Gopinath Sadhu, K. S. Yadav, Siddhartha Sankar Ghosh, D. C. Dalal

In an in vivo situation, the tissue near a blood vessel is rich in oxygen supply compared to the one far from a blood vessel. In this article, our objective is to explore the effect of non-uniform oxygen supply on the development of the necrotic core of a tumor. We adopt a multiphase continuum-based approach to model the growth of a tumor. To simulate the model, a finite-difference-based numerical approach in line with the “Semi-Implicit Method for Pressure-Linked Equations" (SIMPLE) algorithm is adopted. Investigations reveal that the necrotic core develops near the boundary with lower oxygen concentration. The position of the necrotic core strongly depends on the oxygen supply through the tumor boundary. The results predict asymmetrical tumor growth under unequal oxygen supply at tumor boundaries. Also, it is hinted that a tumor with a larger necrotic core grows more slowly than a tumor containing a smaller necrotic core. The present model has the potential to anticipate in vivo and in vitro situations. The findings will be beneficial for clinicians and medical practitioners in predicting the stage of a tumor.

在体内情况下,血管附近的组织比远离血管的组织有丰富的氧气供应。在这篇文章中,我们的目的是探讨不均匀供氧对肿瘤坏死核心发展的影响。我们采用基于多相连续的方法来模拟肿瘤的生长。为了模拟该模型,采用了基于有限差分的数值方法和“压力链接方程半隐式方法”(SIMPLE)算法。研究表明,坏死岩心在氧浓度较低的边界附近发育。坏死核心的位置很大程度上取决于通过肿瘤边界的供氧情况。结果预测在肿瘤边界不均匀供氧条件下,肿瘤生长不对称。此外,还提示具有较大坏死核心的肿瘤比具有较小坏死核心的肿瘤生长更慢。目前的模型具有预测体内和体外情况的潜力。研究结果将有利于临床医生和医疗从业者预测肿瘤的阶段。
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引用次数: 0
A Crisis of Population Genetics Statistics 人口遗传学统计的危机
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-026-09517-8
Matthew J. Maxwell

Population genetics relies heavily on homozygosity statistics. Over the past two decades, however, as the number and applications of homozygosity-based statistics has increased, there has been a crisis of confidence. Homozygosity statistics are mathematically constrained by other population genetics statistics, such as maximum allele frequency, creating problems for interpretation and portability. Mathematical investigations into these constraints have been criticized for being irrelevant to biology. Noah Rosenberg’s new book Mathematical Properties of Population-Genetic Statistics is his response to these concerns. While accepting many of the criticisms, Rosenberg shows that careful attention to purely mathematical constraints on homozygosity can be leveraged to design new statistics to achieve new goals.

群体遗传学在很大程度上依赖于纯合子统计。然而,在过去的二十年里,随着纯合子统计的数量和应用的增加,出现了信任危机。纯合子统计在数学上受到其他群体遗传学统计的限制,例如最大等位基因频率,这给解释和可移植性带来了问题。对这些约束的数学研究被批评为与生物学无关。诺亚·罗森伯格的新书《群体遗传统计的数学特性》就是他对这些担忧的回应。在接受许多批评的同时,Rosenberg表明,对纯合性的纯粹数学约束的仔细关注可以用来设计新的统计数据来实现新的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Biological Systems Depend on Communication Over Distances: A Review of the Fundamental Mechanisms, Associated challenges, and the Potential Effect of the Constrained Disorder Principle 生物系统依赖于远距离通信:约束无序原理的基本机制、相关挑战和潜在影响的综述
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-026-09515-w
Yaron Ilan

Biological systems depend on communication over distances, ranging from molecular gradients to systemic neuroendocrine and neuroimmune circuits. While many distance effects in biology are explained by well-established mechanisms such as diffusion, paracrine signaling, neural conduction, and extracellular vesicle trafficking, there are also claims of long-distance influences that may be mediated by consciousness, electromagnetic fields, or hypothesized morphic fields. This review synthesizes controlled laboratory evidence, evaluates speculative mechanisms, including quantum field effects and morphic resonance, and compares them with well-replicated findings in immunology and bioelectromagnetics. The Constrained Disorder Principle (CDP) is a novel theoretical framework that posits variability within constraints as essential for biological function and may underlie some of these effects. The paper discusses the debate over methodological rigor and replicability in research on nonlocal biological effects. While evidence supports the importance of distance in biological communication through known carriers, claims regarding consciousness and morphic resonance remain unverified, despite challenges to their validity. Future research must strike a balance between openness and rigorous experimental standards.

生物系统依赖于远距离通信,从分子梯度到系统神经内分泌和神经免疫回路。虽然生物学中的许多距离效应可以通过扩散、旁分泌信号、神经传导和细胞外囊泡运输等完善的机制来解释,但也有人声称长距离影响可能由意识、电磁场或假设的形态场介导。这篇综述综合了受控的实验室证据,评估了推测机制,包括量子场效应和形态共振,并将它们与免疫学和生物电磁学中得到充分复制的发现进行了比较。约束紊乱原理(CDP)是一个新的理论框架,它假设约束内的可变性是生物功能的必要条件,并且可能是其中一些影响的基础。本文讨论了在非局部生物效应研究中关于方法严谨性和可复制性的争论。虽然有证据支持距离在通过已知载体进行生物交流中的重要性,但关于意识和形态共振的说法仍然未经证实,尽管它们的有效性受到挑战。未来的研究必须在开放性和严格的实验标准之间取得平衡。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying Uncertainty and Sensitivity in an Alzheimer’s Disease Model: A Mathematical Approach 量化阿尔茨海默病模型的不确定性和敏感性:数学方法。
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-025-09514-3
Mitali Maji, Laurent Pujo-Menjouet, Subhas Khajanchi

To understand the dynamics of Alzheimer’s disease, we formulate a generalized mathematical model based on three events: aggregation of disease-related proteins, activation of immune cells and initiation of inflammation. We incorporate functional forms in the model to represent the complex biological interactions between components related to Alzheimer’s disease. We take explicit forms depending on the properties of functions in the model. We describe the system dynamics by locating biologically feasible steady states, determining stability properties and identifying the effective parameters. Parameters are estimated using two methods: biological literature and data fitting. We perform sensitivity and uncertainty analyses to identify the most influential parameters. Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient and scatter plots are used to visualize global sensitivity. Our results reveal that lower activation rate and higher proliferation rate of microglia may contribute to a reduction in toxic protein aggregate levels, thus slowing the disease’s early progression.

为了了解阿尔茨海默病的动力学,我们基于三个事件制定了一个广义的数学模型:疾病相关蛋白质的聚集,免疫细胞的激活和炎症的开始。我们将功能形式纳入模型,以表示与阿尔茨海默病相关的组件之间复杂的生物相互作用。我们根据模型中函数的性质采取显式形式。我们通过定位生物可行的稳态,确定稳定性特性和识别有效参数来描述系统动力学。参数估计采用两种方法:生物学文献和数据拟合。我们进行敏感性和不确定性分析,以确定最具影响力的参数。偏秩相关系数和散点图用于可视化全局灵敏度。我们的研究结果表明,小胶质细胞的低激活率和高增殖率可能有助于降低毒性蛋白聚集水平,从而减缓疾病的早期进展。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of Dinucleotide Circular Codes Based on Nucleotide Probabilities 基于核苷酸概率的二核苷酸环码构造。
IF 1.5 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10441-025-09509-0
Elena Fimmel, Christian J. Michel, Lutz Strüngmann

The construction of a circular code through a biological process, particularly a primitive one in the absence of the protein world, has remained an open problem since the discovery of a maximal (C^3) self-complementary trinucleotide circular code in genes in 1996 (Arquès and Michel, 1996). Circular codes are defined by their ability to recover the correct reading frame of genes at any position. While a class of 216 such trinucleotide codes has been identified, the KL method (Koch and Lehman, 1997), based on nucleotide probability products, generates only a restricted subclass of 88 (C^3)-codes (Lacan and Michel, 2001). Revisiting this probabilistic framework 25 years later, we demonstrate that various classes of dinucleotide circular codes can be generated using a nucleotide probability product model (called Construction 2). We introduce the concept of transitive dinucleotide codes and prove new theorems characterizing their circularity and comma-free properties. Using codon usage from bacteria, archaea, and eukaryotes, 2 “universal” maximal dinucleotide circular codes are observed: (D_{1,2}={AT, CA, CT, GA, GC, GT}) in the codon site (1-2) and (D_{2,3}) in the codon site (2-3) which can be deduced from (D_{1,2}) by 1-letter cyclical permutation (alpha _{1}) or identically by reversing permutation (D_{2,3} = alpha _{1}(D_{1,2}) = overset{longleftarrow }{D_{1,2}}). Unexpectedly, we then show that, under the independence assumption, the dinucleotide code (E_{1,2}) through Construction 2 from nucleotide frequencies in the codon sites 1 and 2, is a maximal dinucleotide circular code and is equal to the observed dinucleotide code: (E_{1,2} = D_{1,2}). These findings support a theoretical model in which dinucleotide circular codes may have originated from statistical properties of primitive nucleotide distributions, providing insights into the possible emergence of the genetic code.

自1996年在基因中发现最大的自互补三核苷酸环状密码(arqu和米歇尔,1996年)以来,通过生物过程构建环状密码,特别是在没有蛋白质世界的原始过程中构建环状密码,一直是一个开放的问题。循环代码的定义是它们能够恢复基因在任何位置的正确阅读框。虽然已经确定了一类216个这样的三核苷酸代码,但基于核苷酸概率乘积的KL方法(Koch和Lehman, 1997)只生成了一个有限的子类,即88个代码(公式:见文本)(Lacan和Michel, 2001)。25年后重新审视这个概率框架,我们证明了可以使用核苷酸概率积模型(称为Construction 2)生成各种类型的二核苷酸环状代码。我们引入了传递二核苷酸码的概念,并证明了表征其循环性和无逗号性的新定理。使用来自细菌、古细菌和真核生物的密码子,可以观察到2个“普遍的”最大二核苷酸环状密码子:密码子位点[公式:见文]中的[公式:见文]和密码子位点[公式:见文]中的[公式:见文],它们可以从[公式:见文]中通过1个字母的循环排列[公式:见文]或同样通过反向排列[公式:见文]推断出来。出乎意料的是,我们随后证明,在独立性假设下,从密码子1和2位点的核苷酸频率来看,通过构造2得到的二核苷酸编码[公式:见文]是一个最大的二核苷酸环状编码,并且等于观察到的二核苷酸编码:[公式:见文]。这些发现支持了一个理论模型,其中二核苷酸环状密码可能起源于原始核苷酸分布的统计特性,为遗传密码的可能出现提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
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