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Effectiveness of a personalised self-management intervention for people living with long covid (Listen trial): pragmatic, multicentre, parallel group, randomised controlled trial. 个性化自我管理干预对长期covid患者的有效性(Listen试验):务实、多中心、平行组、随机对照试验。
Pub Date : 2025-01-31 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001068
Monica Busse, Philip Pallmann, Muhammad Riaz, Claire Potter, Fiona J Leggat, Shaun Harris, Andrea Jane Longman, Rachel Lowe, Adrian Edwards, Aloysius Niroshan Siriwardena, Nick Sevdalis, Jackie McRae, Jessica Fish, Bernadette Sewell, Fiona Jones
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To evaluate the effectiveness of Listen, a self-management support intervention, for people living with long covid who were not in hospital.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Pragmatic, multicentre, parallel group, randomised controlled trial.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>Twenty four sites in England and Wales.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>Identified from long covid clinic waiting lists, word of mouth, and adverts/social media self-referred to the trial, 554 adults with long covid were randomised to receive either the Listen trial intervention or NHS usual care.</p><p><strong>Interventions: </strong>The Listen intervention involved up to six one-to-one personalised sessions with trained healthcare practitioners and an accompanying handbook co-designed by people with lived experience and health professionals. Usual NHS care was variable, ranging from no access, access to mobile applications and resources, and to specialist long covid clinics.</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>The primary outcome was the Oxford participation and activities questionnaire (Ox-PAQ) routine activities scale score at three months assessed in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary outcomes included Ox-PAQ emotional wellbeing and social engagement scale scores, the Short Form-12 (SF-12) health survey, the fatigue impact scale, and the generalised self-efficacy scale at three months. The EuroQol five-dimension five-level (EQ-5D-5L) assessed health utility. Serious adverse events were recorded.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Between 27 May 2022 and 15 September 2023, 554 people with long covid (mean age 50 (standard deviation 12.3) years; 394 (72.4%) women) were randomly assigned. At three months, participants assigned to the intervention group reported small non-significant improvements in the primary outcome of capacity for daily activities as assessed by Ox-PAQ routine activities scale score (adjusted mean difference -2.68 (95% confidence interval (CI) -5.38 to 0.02), P=0.052) compared with usual NHS care. For the secondary outcomes, people receiving the intervention also reported significant improvements in mental health (Ox-PAQ emotional wellbeing -5.29 (95% CI -8.37 to -2.20), P=0.001; SF-12 2.36 (95% CI 0.77 to 3.96), P=0.004), reductions in fatigue (fatigue impact score -7.93 (95% CI -11.97 to -3.88), P<0.001), and increases in self-efficacy (generalised self-efficacy scale 2.63 (95% CI 1.50 to 3.75), P<0.001). No differences were found in social engagement (-2.07 (95% CI -5.36 to 1.22), P=0.218) or SF-12 physical health (0.32 (95% CI -0.93 to 1.57), P=0.612). No intervention related serious adverse events were reported.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The personalised self-management support intervention of the Listen trial resulted in non-significant short term improvements in routine activities when compared with usual care. Improvements in emotional wellbeing, fatigue, quality of life, and self-effica
目的:评价自我管理支持干预Listen对长期住院的新冠肺炎患者的效果。设计:实用、多中心、平行组、随机对照试验。地点:英格兰和威尔士的24个地点。参与者:从长冠状病毒临床等待名单、口口相传和广告/社交媒体自我引用的试验中确定,554名长冠状病毒的成年人被随机分配,接受Listen试验干预或NHS常规护理。干预措施:聆听干预包括多达六次一对一的个性化会议,由训练有素的医疗保健从业人员和一本由有生活经验的人和卫生专业人员共同设计的手册。通常的NHS护理是可变的,从没有访问,访问移动应用程序和资源,以及专科长期covid诊所。主要结局指标:主要结局指标为牛津参与和活动问卷(Ox-PAQ)常规活动量表评分,在意向治疗人群中评估三个月。次要结果包括Ox-PAQ情绪健康和社会参与量表得分、短表格12 (SF-12)健康调查、疲劳影响量表和三个月时的广义自我效能量表。EuroQol五维五级(EQ-5D-5L)评估健康效用。严重不良事件均有记录。结果:在2022年5月27日至2023年9月15日期间,554例长冠状病毒感染者(平均年龄50岁(标准差12.3);394名(72.4%)女性被随机分配。在3个月时,被分配到干预组的参与者报告了日常活动能力的主要结局,由Ox-PAQ常规活动量表评分评估(调整平均差-2.68(95%置信区间(CI) -5.38至0.02),P=0.052),与常规NHS护理相比,有轻微的无显著改善。对于次要结果,接受干预的人也报告了心理健康的显著改善(Ox-PAQ情绪健康-5.29 (95% CI -8.37至-2.20),P=0.001;SF-12 2.36 (95% CI 0.77至3.96),P=0.004),疲劳减少(疲劳影响评分-7.93 (95% CI -11.97至-3.88),P结论:与常规护理相比,Listen试验的个性化自我管理支持干预导致日常活动的短期改善不显著。据报道,长期感染新冠病毒的人在情绪健康、疲劳、生活质量和自我效能方面都有所改善。身体健康和社会参与没有受到试验干预的影响。对该人群中有多少变化具有临床意义的有限理解以及非盲法设计,使用自我转诊作为招募方法和可变常规护理可能会引入意想不到的偏差,从而限制了对该干预措施的可靠结论。需要进一步的研究来充分确定干预措施的影响。试验注册号:ISRCTN36407216, ISRCTN注册,注册日期为2022年1月27日。
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引用次数: 0
Blood level of neurofilament light chain as a biomarker for neurological disorders. 血液中神经丝轻链水平作为神经系统疾病的生物标志物。
Pub Date : 2025-01-11 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-000958
Martin R Turner, Alexander G Thompson, Charlotte E Teunissen
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引用次数: 0
Use of sodium valproate and other antiseizure drug treatments in England and Wales: quantitative analysis of nationwide linked electronic health records. 在英格兰和威尔士使用丙戊酸钠和其他抗癫痫药物治疗:全国相关电子健康记录的定量分析。
IF 1 Pub Date : 2024-12-20 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2023-000760
Caroline E Dale, Rohan Takhar, Yat Yi Fan, Fatemeh Torabi, Michail Katsoulis, Samuel Kim, Andrew Lambarth, Christopher Tomlinson, Tim Wilkinson, Tanja Mueller, Amanj Kurdi, Mark Ashworth, Mamas A Mamas, Kamlesh Khunti, Ashley Akbari, Andrew D Morris, Munir Pirmohamed, Anthony G Marson, David Williams, David Hunt, Cathie Sudlow, Reecha Sofat
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the use of sodium valproate in England and Wales, including during pregnancy, compared with other antiseizure drug treatments, based on national level electronic health records.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Quantitative analysis of nationwide linked electronic health records.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>Individual level, population scale data from NHS England's Secure Data Environment, from the British Heart Foundation Data Science Centre's CVD-COVID-UK/COVID-IMPACT Consortium (for England), and the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank (for Wales), 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2023.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>1 200 000 individuals dispensed any selected antiseizure drug treatment (ie, sodium valproate, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, carbamazepine, or topiramate); 304 000 women, aged 15-49 years, dispensed any selected antiseizure drug treatment and 28 400 women, aged 15-49 years, dispensed sodium valproate.</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>Prevalent (current) and incident (new) uses of sodium valproate and other antiseizure drug treatments before and during the covid-19 pandemic (1 January 2019 to 31 December 2023), grouped by age and sex. Pregnancy rates per 1000 women, aged 15-49 years, who used antiseizure drug treatments, and timing and dose of sodium valproate dispensed during pregnancy. Geographical variation in use of sodium valproate and disease indications (epilepsy and bipolar affective disorder). Trends in deaths related to epilepsy for 2015-22.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Prevalent use of sodium valproate in women of childbearing potential decreased and use of most other antiseizure drug treatments increased between 2019 and 2023. Incident use of sodium valproate per 100 000 women decreased from seven to five in women aged 15-19 years, from 11 to seven in women aged 20-29 years, and from 14 to seven in women aged 30-39 years between 2019 and 2022. Incident use also decreased in men of the same age but remained at much higher levels (from 53 to 43 in men aged 15-19 years, 59 to 47 in men aged 20-29 years, and 57 to 42 in men aged 30-39 years, per 100 000 men). Pregnancy rates decreased from 6.0 to 5.2 per 1000 women of childbearing potential who were dispensed sodium valproate over the same period. The number of pregnant women who used sodium valproate during pregnancy decreased from 140 in 2019 to 85 in 2023. Epilepsy was the most common indication, followed by bipolar affective disorder (751 and 193 per 1000 women of childbearing potential dispensed sodium valproate, respectively, in 2023). No clear evidence was found that deaths related to epilepsy increased in women aged 15-49 during 2015-22, but a slight increase was found in men aged 15-49 during the later period between April 2018 and December 2022.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Based on comprehensive national records, changes in the dispensing of antiseizure drug treatments in response
目的:调查丙戊酸钠在英格兰和威尔士的使用情况,包括怀孕期间,与其他抗癫痫药物治疗相比,基于国家层面的电子健康记录。设计:对全国关联电子健康记录进行定量分析。环境:2019年1月1日至2023年12月31日,个人层面,人口规模数据来自英国国民保健服务英格兰安全数据环境,英国心脏基金会数据科学中心CVD-COVID-UK/COVID-IMPACT联盟(英格兰)和安全匿名信息链接数据库(威尔士)。参与者:120万人被分配了任何选定的抗癫痫药物治疗(即丙戊酸钠、拉莫三嗪、左乙拉西坦、卡马西平或托吡酯);304,000名15-49岁的妇女配发了任何选定的抗癫痫药物治疗,28400名15-49岁的妇女配发了丙戊酸钠。主要结局指标:在2019冠状病毒病大流行之前和期间(2019年1月1日至2023年12月31日)丙戊酸钠和其他抗癫痫药物治疗的流行(当前)和事件(新)使用,按年龄和性别分组。使用抗癫痫药物治疗的每1000名15-49岁妇女的妊娠率,以及妊娠期间丙戊酸钠的分配时间和剂量。丙戊酸钠使用的地理差异和疾病适应症(癫痫和双相情感障碍)。2015-22年癫痫相关死亡趋势。结果:2019年至2023年期间,育龄妇女丙戊酸钠的普遍使用减少,大多数其他抗癫痫药物治疗的使用增加。2019年至2022年期间,15-19岁女性丙戊酸钠的发生率从每10万名女性7人降至5人,20-29岁女性从11人降至7人,30-39岁女性从14人降至7人。同一年龄段男性的意外用药也有所减少,但仍处于较高水平(每10万名男性中,15-19岁男性从53人降至43人,20-29岁男性从59人降至47人,30-39岁男性从57人降至42人)。在同一时期,服用丙戊酸钠的育龄妇女的怀孕率从每1000名妇女6.0人降至5.2人。在怀孕期间使用丙戊酸钠的孕妇人数从2019年的140人减少到2023年的85人。癫痫是最常见的适应症,其次是双相情感障碍(2023年,每1000名育龄妇女中分别有751人和193人服用丙戊酸钠)。没有明确证据表明2015-22年期间15-49岁女性与癫痫相关的死亡人数有所增加,但在2018年4月至2022年12月期间,15-49岁男性与癫痫相关的死亡人数略有增加。结论:基于全面的国家记录,对监管行动对抗癫痫药物配药的变化进行了跟踪。妇女(包括怀孕期间)丙戊酸钠的使用率在covid-19大流行之前有所下降,并在此期间继续缓慢下降。男性的意外使用也有所减少,但仍比女性高得多。这种方法将国家配药数据与个人一级的健康记录联系起来,可以帮助监测受管制变化影响的药物的变化,包括在孕妇等特定人口群体中的变化,以及这些变化对健康结果的潜在影响。
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引用次数: 0
Pregnant women admitted to hospital with covid-19 in 10 European countries: individual patient data meta-analysis of population based cohorts in International Obstetric Survey Systems. 10个欧洲国家因covid-19入院的孕妇:国际产科调查系统中基于人口的队列的个体患者数据荟萃分析
Pub Date : 2024-12-12 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2023-000733
Hilde Marie Engjom, Odette de Bruin, Rema Ramakrishnan, Anna J M Aabakke, Outi Äyräs, Catherine Deneux-Tharaux, Serena Donati, Marian Knight, Eva Jonasdottir, Teresia Svanvik, An Vercoutere, Nicola Vousden, Kitty Wm Bloemenkamp
<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To assess the incidence of hospital admissions for covid-19 disease in pregnant women, severity of covid-19 disease, and medical treatment provided to pregnant women with moderate to severe covid-19 during the first 10 months of the pandemic.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Individual patient data meta-analysis of population based cohorts in International Obstetric Survey Systems.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>10 European countries with national or regional surveillance within the International Obstetric Survey Systems (INOSS) collaboration using aligned definitions and case report forms: Belgium, France (regional), Italy, the Netherlands, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden (regional), and the UK. The dominant variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was the wild-type variant in all countries during the study period (1 March 2020 to 31 December 2020).</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>The source population was 1.7 million women giving birth (maternities) from 1 March 2020 to 31 December 2020; pregnant women were included if they were admitted to hospital and had a positive polymerase chain reaction test for the SARS-CoV-2 virus ≤7 days before hospital admission, during admission, or up to two days after giving birth. We further categorised the hospital admission in two groups; covid-19 admission (hospital admission due to covid-19 or with reported symptoms of covid-19 disease) or non-covid-19 admission (admission to hospital for obstetric healthcare or no symptoms of covid-19 disease).</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>Incidence of hospital admissions for covid-19 per 1000 maternities, frequency of moderate to severe covid-19 disease, and number of women who received specific medical treatment for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Moderate to severe covid-19 disease was defined as maternal death, admission to an intensive care unit, or need for respiratory support.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 1.7 million maternities, 9003 women were included in the study: 2350 (26.1%) were admitted to hospital because of covid-19 disease or had symptoms of disease. The pooled incidence of hospital admissions for covid-19 per 1000 maternities was 0.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5 to 1.2, τ<sup>2</sup>=0.44), ranging from no hospital admissions in Iceland to 1.7 in France and 1.9 in the UK. 13 women died due to covid-19. Among 2219 women admitted to hospital for covid-19 in countries with complete information on respiratory support, 820 women (39.5%, 95% CI 34.6% to 44.4%, τ<sup>2</sup>=0.02) had moderate to severe covid-19 disease. At most, 16.8% (95% CI 7.7% to 32.9%, I<sup>2</sup>=81.8%, τ<sup>2</sup>=0.7) of women with moderate to severe covid-19 received specific medical treatment for SARS-CoV-2 infection with corticosteroids, although 66.6% (59.4% to 73.2%, I<sup>2</sup>=50.1, τ<sup>2</sup>=0.06) were given thromboprophylaxis.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Population based surveillance in 10 European count
目的:评估在大流行的前10个月期间,孕妇因covid-19疾病住院的发生率、covid-19疾病的严重程度以及为患有中度至重度covid-19的孕妇提供的医疗服务。设计:对国际产科调查系统中基于人群的队列进行个体患者数据荟萃分析。环境:在国际产科调查系统(INOSS)合作下使用统一定义和病例报告表格开展国家或区域监测的10个欧洲国家:比利时、法国(区域)、意大利、荷兰、丹麦、芬兰、冰岛、挪威、瑞典(区域)和英国。在研究期间(2020年3月1日至2020年12月31日),所有国家的主要SARS-CoV-2病毒变体为野生型变体。参与者:源人口为2020年3月1日至2020年12月31日期间分娩的170万妇女;如果孕妇入院并在入院前≤7天、入院期间或分娩后2天内SARS-CoV-2病毒聚合酶链反应试验呈阳性,则纳入孕妇。我们进一步将住院患者分为两组;COVID-19住院(因COVID-19或报告有COVID-19疾病症状入院)或非COVID-19住院(住院接受产科保健或无COVID-19疾病症状)。主要结局指标:每1000名产妇因covid-19住院的发生率、中至重度covid-19疾病的发生频率,以及因SARS-CoV-2感染而接受特定医疗治疗的妇女人数。中度至重度covid-19疾病被定义为孕产妇死亡、入住重症监护病房或需要呼吸支持。结果:在170万名产妇中,有9003名妇女被纳入研究:2350名(26.1%)因covid-19疾病或有疾病症状而住院。每1000名产妇因covid-19住院的总发生率为0.8(95%置信区间(CI) 0.5至1.2,τ2=0.44),范围从冰岛的零住院到法国的1.7和英国的1.9。13名妇女死于covid-19。在呼吸支持信息完整的国家中,因covid-19住院的2219名妇女中,有820名妇女(39.5%,95% CI 34.6%至44.4%,τ2=0.02)患有中度至重度covid-19疾病。最多16.8% (95% CI 7.7% ~ 32.9%, I2=81.8%, τ2=0.7)的中重度covid-19女性接受了糖皮质激素治疗,尽管66.6% (59.4% ~ 73.2%,I2=50.1, τ2=0.06)的女性接受了血栓预防治疗。结论:在covid-19大流行的前10个月,在10个欧洲国家进行的基于人群的监测显示,孕妇因covid-19住院的风险存在差异。这一发现表明,国家公共卫生政策可能在保护孕妇方面发挥了巨大的、以前未被认识到的作用。患有中至重度covid-19的孕妇很少接受针对SARS-CoV-2疾病的特定医疗治疗,即使没有或只有轻微的安全问题。对未来大流行的教训包括建立快速、强有力的孕产妇和围产期健康监测系统的重要性,以及在开发和测试用于突发公共卫生事件的药物和疫苗的早期阶段将孕妇纳入其中的重要性。
{"title":"Pregnant women admitted to hospital with covid-19 in 10 European countries: individual patient data meta-analysis of population based cohorts in International Obstetric Survey Systems.","authors":"Hilde Marie Engjom, Odette de Bruin, Rema Ramakrishnan, Anna J M Aabakke, Outi Äyräs, Catherine Deneux-Tharaux, Serena Donati, Marian Knight, Eva Jonasdottir, Teresia Svanvik, An Vercoutere, Nicola Vousden, Kitty Wm Bloemenkamp","doi":"10.1136/bmjmed-2023-000733","DOIUrl":"10.1136/bmjmed-2023-000733","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Objectives: &lt;/strong&gt;To assess the incidence of hospital admissions for covid-19 disease in pregnant women, severity of covid-19 disease, and medical treatment provided to pregnant women with moderate to severe covid-19 during the first 10 months of the pandemic.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Design: &lt;/strong&gt;Individual patient data meta-analysis of population based cohorts in International Obstetric Survey Systems.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Setting: &lt;/strong&gt;10 European countries with national or regional surveillance within the International Obstetric Survey Systems (INOSS) collaboration using aligned definitions and case report forms: Belgium, France (regional), Italy, the Netherlands, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden (regional), and the UK. The dominant variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was the wild-type variant in all countries during the study period (1 March 2020 to 31 December 2020).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Participants: &lt;/strong&gt;The source population was 1.7 million women giving birth (maternities) from 1 March 2020 to 31 December 2020; pregnant women were included if they were admitted to hospital and had a positive polymerase chain reaction test for the SARS-CoV-2 virus ≤7 days before hospital admission, during admission, or up to two days after giving birth. We further categorised the hospital admission in two groups; covid-19 admission (hospital admission due to covid-19 or with reported symptoms of covid-19 disease) or non-covid-19 admission (admission to hospital for obstetric healthcare or no symptoms of covid-19 disease).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Main outcome measures: &lt;/strong&gt;Incidence of hospital admissions for covid-19 per 1000 maternities, frequency of moderate to severe covid-19 disease, and number of women who received specific medical treatment for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Moderate to severe covid-19 disease was defined as maternal death, admission to an intensive care unit, or need for respiratory support.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Results: &lt;/strong&gt;Among 1.7 million maternities, 9003 women were included in the study: 2350 (26.1%) were admitted to hospital because of covid-19 disease or had symptoms of disease. The pooled incidence of hospital admissions for covid-19 per 1000 maternities was 0.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5 to 1.2, τ&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=0.44), ranging from no hospital admissions in Iceland to 1.7 in France and 1.9 in the UK. 13 women died due to covid-19. Among 2219 women admitted to hospital for covid-19 in countries with complete information on respiratory support, 820 women (39.5%, 95% CI 34.6% to 44.4%, τ&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=0.02) had moderate to severe covid-19 disease. At most, 16.8% (95% CI 7.7% to 32.9%, I&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=81.8%, τ&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=0.7) of women with moderate to severe covid-19 received specific medical treatment for SARS-CoV-2 infection with corticosteroids, although 66.6% (59.4% to 73.2%, I&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=50.1, τ&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=0.06) were given thromboprophylaxis.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Conclusions: &lt;/strong&gt;Population based surveillance in 10 European count","PeriodicalId":72433,"journal":{"name":"BMJ medicine","volume":"3 1","pages":"e000733"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12164325/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144303791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of national pandemic policies on maternal health. 国家大流行病政策对产妇保健的影响。
IF 1 Pub Date : 2024-12-12 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001235
Catherine McLean Pirkle
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引用次数: 0
Vaccine effectiveness against mild and severe covid-19 in pregnant individuals and their infants in England: test negative case-control study. 英国孕妇及其婴儿对轻、重度covid-19疫苗的有效性:检测阴性病例对照研究
Pub Date : 2024-12-05 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2023-000696
Freja C M Kirsebom, Nick Andrews, Anna A Mensah, Julia Stowe, Shamez Ladhani, Mary Ramsay, Jamie Lopez Bernal, Helen Julia Campbell
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To estimate real world vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease and hospital admission with the delta and omicron variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in pregnant individuals, and to estimate the protection conferred by previous infection and maternal vaccination in their infants.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Test negative case-control study.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>Community and hospital testing for covid-19, in England, 26 April 2021 to 9 January 2022 (delta variant period) and 29 November 2021 to 31 March 2022 (omicron variant period). Testing data were linked to Hospital Episode Statistics and Maternal Services Data Set (for data on pregnant individuals and infants), National Immunisation Management System (for covid-19 vaccinations), and Secondary Uses Service (for hospital admissions).</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>35 206 negative and 16 693 positive eligible test results in the delta variant period from pregnant individuals with symptoms of infection, aged 16-55 years, whose pregnancy ended in 2021, and 5974 negative and 4715 positive eligible test results in the omicron variant period. For infants born in 2021, 23 053 negative and 2924 positive eligible test results in the delta variant period and 13 908 negative and 5669 positive test results from infants in the omicron period.</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease and hospital admission with the delta and omicron variants of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in pregnant women. Also, effectiveness of maternal vaccination and the protection conferred by previous infection in mothers in preventing symptomatic disease and hospital admission in their infants in the first six months of life. Symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was confirmed by a positive polymerase chain reaction test result.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease (delta and omicron infection) and against hospital admission (delta infection only) in pregnant individuals was high, as seen in the general population. A booster dose of vaccine gave sustained protection, with no evidence of waning up to 15 weeks after vaccination. Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease peaked at 98.4% (95% confidence interval (CI) 88.4% to 99.8%) and 80.1% (73.8% to 84.9%) against the delta and omicron variants, respectively, after the booster dose of vaccine. Vaccine effectiveness after a two dose primary schedule against hospital admission with delta infection peaked at 92.7% (95% CI 79.9% to 97.4%) in pregnant individuals. Maternal vaccination during and after pregnancy also provided sustained protection from symptomatic disease and hospital admission after delta and omicron infection in infants aged up to six months, with the highest protection seen when maternal vaccination occurred during later pregnancy. The effectiveness of two maternal doses when the last dose was given in the third trimester
目的:评估实际疫苗在孕妇中对SARS-CoV-2病毒δ型和组粒型变体的症状性疾病和住院率的有效性,并评估既往感染和母亲接种疫苗对其婴儿的保护作用。设计:阴性病例对照研究。环境:2021年4月26日至2022年1月9日(delta变异期)和2021年11月29日至2022年3月31日(omicron变异期)在英格兰对covid-19进行社区和医院检测。检测数据与医院事件统计和孕产妇服务数据集(用于孕妇和婴儿的数据)、国家免疫管理系统(用于covid-19疫苗接种)和二级用途服务(用于住院)相关联。参与者:来自年龄在16-55岁、怀孕于2021年结束的有感染症状的孕妇的δ型变异期合格检测结果为35 206例阴性和16 693例阳性,组粒变异期合格检测结果为5974例阴性和4715例阳性。对于2021年出生的婴儿,delta变异期有23 053例阴性和2924例阳性合格检测结果,omicron期有13 908例阴性和5669例阳性检测结果。主要结局指标:疫苗对有症状疾病的有效性,以及孕妇携带SARS-CoV-2病毒δ型和组粒型变体的住院率。此外,母亲接种疫苗的有效性和母亲以前感染的保护在预防婴儿在出生后头六个月出现症状和住院方面的作用。聚合酶链反应阳性,证实有症状的SARS-CoV-2感染。结果:与一般人群一样,疫苗对孕妇的症状性疾病(丁型和组粒感染)和住院(仅丁型感染)的有效性很高。加强剂量的疫苗提供了持续的保护,在接种疫苗后15周内没有减弱的证据。在加强剂量疫苗后,对症状性疾病的疫苗有效性最高,分别为98.4%(95%可信区间(CI) 88.4%至99.8%)和80.1%(73.8%至84.9%)。在孕妇中,两次初级接种后预防住院感染的疫苗有效性最高为92.7%(95%可信区间为79.9%至97.4%)。孕妇在怀孕期间和怀孕后接种疫苗也为6个月以下婴儿提供了持续保护,使其免受丁型病毒和组粒病毒感染后的症状性疾病和住院,孕妇在怀孕后期接种疫苗的保护作用最高。在妊娠晚期给予最后一次剂量时,两次母亲剂量对婴儿三角洲和组粒感染的症状性疾病的有效性分别为86.5% (95% CI 81.9%至90.0%)和56.6%(46.7%至64.6%),对住院的有效性分别为94.7%(78.2%至98.7%)和78.7%(58.2%至89.1%)。先前感染过野生型、α型和δ型SARS-CoV-2病毒的孕妇对轻度和重度δ型感染的保护作用强于其婴儿的组粒感染。结论:本研究结果表明,母亲接种疫苗可预防孕妇及其婴儿出生后长达6个月的轻度和重度疾病。研究结果支持促进孕妇接种初级和加强疫苗,以保护自己和婴儿。
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引用次数: 0
Caesarean section and risk of infection in offspring: systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. 剖宫产与后代感染风险:观察性研究的系统回顾和荟萃分析。
Pub Date : 2024-11-27 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-000995
Isobel Masson Francis Todd, Maria Christine Magnus, Lars Henning Pedersen, David Burgner, Jessica Eden Miller

Objective: To compare the risk of hospital admissions with infections and infections not in hospital in children born by caesarean section with children born by vaginal birth.

Data sources: Medline, Embase, and PubMed were searched with no restriction on start date up to 12 February 2024.

Study selection: Observational studies were included that reported the association between caesarean section and vaginal birth in relation to the risk of infections (both those that lead to hospital admission and those that do not) up to 18 years of age. Studies were excluded if they were not representative of a general population or if they focused on congenital, neonatal, or vertically acquired infections. No restrictions were made for language, publication date, or setting.

Review methods: Findings for hospital admissions with infection were synthesised by meta-analyses of specific infection outcomes and type of caesarean birth (emergency v elective) and findings for other infections (ie, infection episodes reported by parents and primary care visits) by direction of effect. Risk of bias was assessed using the ROBINS-E tool and the overall certainty of evidence through the GRADE framework.

Results: 31 eligible studies of over 10 million children were included. Findings were from population-based birth cohorts and registry data linkage studies in high income countries. Cohort sizes ranged from 288 to 7.2 million and follow up age was from one to 18 years. Outcomes included overall and specific clinical categories of infection. From studies of overall admission to hospital with infection, the proportion of children admitted ranged between 9-29% across exposure groups. In random-effects meta-analyses combining hazard ratios, children delivered by caesarean section had an increased rate of hospital admission with infections overall and in three common clinical infection categories: (1) overall admissions to hospital with infection (emergency caesarean section: n=6 study populations, hazard ratio 1.10 (95% confidence interval 1.06 to 1.14), τ 2=0.0009, I2=96%; elective caesarean section: n=7, 1.12 (1.09 to 1.15), τ 2=0.0006, I2=88%); (2) admission to hospital for upper respiratory infections (emergency caesarean section: n=7, 1.11 (1.09 to 1.13), τ 2=0.0003, I2=73%; elective caesarean section: n=7, 1.16 (1.12 to 1.20), τ 2=0.0012, I2=89%); (3) admission to hospital for lower respiratory infections (emergency caesarean section: n=8, 1.09 (1.06 to 1.12), τ 2=0.0010, I2=88%; elective caesarean section: n=8, 1.13 (1.10 to 1.16), τ 2=0.0009, I2=84%); (4) admission to hospital for gastrointesti

目的:比较剖宫产与顺产患儿住院感染与非院内感染的风险。数据来源:检索Medline, Embase和PubMed,没有开始日期限制,截止日期为2024年2月12日。研究选择:纳入了观察性研究,这些研究报告了剖宫产和阴道分娩与18岁以下感染风险(包括导致住院和不导致住院的感染风险)之间的关联。如果研究不能代表一般人群,或者关注先天性、新生儿或垂直获得性感染,则排除研究。没有对语言、出版日期或设置进行限制。回顾方法:通过对特定感染结局和剖宫产类型(急诊或选择性)的荟萃分析,以及对其他感染(即父母报告的感染事件和初级保健就诊)的研究结果,综合了感染住院的研究结果。使用ROBINS-E工具评估偏倚风险,并通过GRADE框架评估证据的总体确定性。结果:纳入了31项符合条件的研究,涉及1000多万儿童。研究结果来自高收入国家基于人口的出生队列和登记数据链接研究。队列规模从288万到720万不等,随访年龄从1岁到18岁不等。结果包括总体和特定临床感染类别。从感染住院总人数的研究来看,暴露组中住院儿童的比例在9-29%之间。在结合风险比的随机效应荟萃分析中,剖腹产分娩的儿童总体感染住院率和三种常见临床感染类别的住院率增加:(1)总体感染住院率(紧急剖腹产:n=6个研究人群,风险比1.10(95%置信区间1.06至1.14),τ 2=0.0009, I2=96%;择期剖宫产:n=7, 1.12 (1.09 ~ 1.15), τ 2=0.0006, I2=88%);(2)因上呼吸道感染住院(紧急剖宫产:n=7, 1.11 (1.09 ~ 1.13), τ 2=0.0003, I2=73%;择期剖宫产:n=7, 1.16 (1.12 ~ 1.20), τ 2=0.0012, I2=89%);(3)因下呼吸道感染住院(急诊剖宫产:n=8, 1.09 (1.06 ~ 1.12), τ 2=0.0010, I2=88%;择期剖宫产:n=8, 1.13 (1.10 ~ 1.16), τ 2=0.0009, I2=84%);(4)因胃肠道感染住院(紧急剖宫产:n=7, 1.19 (1.13 ~ 1.26), τ 2=0.0025, I2=86%;择期剖宫产:n=7, 1.20 (1.15 ~ 1.25), τ 2=0.0009, I2=67%)。11项关于其他感染的研究中有8项表明,剖腹产出生的人原发性感染的风险增加。偏倚风险主要与混淆有关。结论:来自高收入国家的调查结果显示,在各种情况下,剖腹产分娩与儿童感染风险增加之间存在一致的关联。现有研究的局限性包括可能存在无法测量的混淆,特别是指征混淆,以及来自低收入和中等收入国家的研究稀缺。评审注册:PROSPERO (CRD42022369252)。
{"title":"Caesarean section and risk of infection in offspring: systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.","authors":"Isobel Masson Francis Todd, Maria Christine Magnus, Lars Henning Pedersen, David Burgner, Jessica Eden Miller","doi":"10.1136/bmjmed-2024-000995","DOIUrl":"10.1136/bmjmed-2024-000995","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To compare the risk of hospital admissions with infections and infections not in hospital in children born by caesarean section with children born by vaginal birth.</p><p><strong>Data sources: </strong>Medline, Embase, and PubMed were searched with no restriction on start date up to 12 February 2024.</p><p><strong>Study selection: </strong>Observational studies were included that reported the association between caesarean section and vaginal birth in relation to the risk of infections (both those that lead to hospital admission and those that do not) up to 18 years of age. Studies were excluded if they were not representative of a general population or if they focused on congenital, neonatal, or vertically acquired infections. No restrictions were made for language, publication date, or setting.</p><p><strong>Review methods: </strong>Findings for hospital admissions with infection were synthesised by meta-analyses of specific infection outcomes and type of caesarean birth (emergency <i>v</i> elective) and findings for other infections (ie, infection episodes reported by parents and primary care visits) by direction of effect. Risk of bias was assessed using the ROBINS-E tool and the overall certainty of evidence through the GRADE framework.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>31 eligible studies of over 10 million children were included. Findings were from population-based birth cohorts and registry data linkage studies in high income countries. Cohort sizes ranged from 288 to 7.2 million and follow up age was from one to 18 years. Outcomes included overall and specific clinical categories of infection. From studies of overall admission to hospital with infection, the proportion of children admitted ranged between 9-29% across exposure groups. In random-effects meta-analyses combining hazard ratios, children delivered by caesarean section had an increased rate of hospital admission with infections overall and in three common clinical infection categories: (1) overall admissions to hospital with infection (emergency caesarean section: n=6 study populations, hazard ratio 1.10 (95% confidence interval 1.06 to 1.14), <math><mi>τ</mi></math> <sup>2</sup>=0.0009, I<sup>2</sup>=96%; elective caesarean section: n=7, 1.12 (1.09 to 1.15), <math><mi>τ</mi></math> <sup>2</sup>=0.0006, I<sup>2</sup>=88%); (2) admission to hospital for upper respiratory infections (emergency caesarean section: n=7, 1.11 (1.09 to 1.13), <math><mi>τ</mi></math> <sup>2</sup>=0.0003, I<sup>2</sup>=73%; elective caesarean section: n=7, 1.16 (1.12 to 1.20), <math><mi>τ</mi></math> <sup>2</sup>=0.0012, I<sup>2</sup>=89%); (3) admission to hospital for lower respiratory infections (emergency caesarean section: n=8, 1.09 (1.06 to 1.12), <math><mi>τ</mi></math> <sup>2</sup>=0.0010, I<sup>2</sup>=88%; elective caesarean section: n=8, 1.13 (1.10 to 1.16), <math><mi>τ</mi></math> <sup>2</sup>=0.0009, I<sup>2</sup>=84%); (4) admission to hospital for gastrointesti","PeriodicalId":72433,"journal":{"name":"BMJ medicine","volume":"3 1","pages":"e000995"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11603743/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142752553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparative effectiveness of monovalent XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccines in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden: target trial emulation based on registry data. 含有covid-19 mRNA的单价XBB.1.5疫苗在丹麦、芬兰和瑞典的比较有效性:基于注册表数据的目标试验模拟
Pub Date : 2024-11-17 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001074
Niklas Worm Andersson, Emilia Myrup Thiesson, Nicklas Pihlström, Jori Perälä, Kristýna Faksová, Mie Agermose Gram, Eero Poukka, Tuija Leino, Rickard Ljung, Anders Hviid

Abstract:

Objective: To estimate the effectiveness of vaccination with a monovalent covid-19 mRNA vaccine containing the omicron XBB.1.5 subvariant against severe covid-19 disease in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden.

Design: Target trial emulation based on registry data.

Setting: Denmark, Finland, and Sweden, 1 October 2023 to 21 April 2024.

Participants: Source population of 3 898 264 individuals eligible for vaccination with the XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccine at the start of the study on 1 October 2023. Study cohort comprised 1 876 282 recipients of an XBB.1.5 containing vaccine during the study period matched with 1 876 282 non-recipients. Individuals were aged ≥65 years (mean age 75.4 years, standard deviation 7.4 years) and had received at least four doses of a previous covid-19 vaccine.

Main outcome measures: Cumulative incidences of hospital admissions and deaths related to covid-19 in a follow-up period of 24 weeks after immunisation (defined as one week after vaccination) in recipients of an XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccine and matched non-recipients. Cumulative incidences were used to calculate comparative vaccine effectiveness (1-risk ratio) and risk differences.

Results: The associated comparative vaccine effectiveness was 57.9% (95% confidence interval (CI) 49.9% to 65.8%) against hospital admission for covid-19 (1085 v 2635 events) and 75.2% (70.6% to 79.9%) against deaths related to covid-19 disease (348 v 1458 events) after 24 weeks of follow-up. This result corresponded to 154.7 (95% CI 78.3 to 231.0) hospital admissions for covid-19 and 120.3 (110.5 to 130.2) deaths prevented per 100 000 individuals who were vaccinated with an XBB.1.5 containing vaccine. The associated comparative vaccine effectiveness was similar irrespective of sex, age group (65-74 v ≥75 years), number of doses of previous covid-19 vaccines, subgroup of co-administered seasonal influenza vaccines, and period of when either the omicron XBB or BA.2.86 sublineage was predominant. Although the observed reduction in risk was highest during the first weeks after vaccination, comparative vaccine effectiveness was well maintained after 24 weeks of follow-up.

Conclusions: In this study, in adults aged ≥65 years, vaccination with a monovalent XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccine was associated with reduced rates of hospital admissions for covid-19 and deaths related to covid-19, during the autumn and winter of 2023-24 in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden.

摘要:目的:评估含有组粒XBB.1.5亚变体的单价covid-19 mRNA疫苗在丹麦、芬兰和瑞典对covid-19重症疾病的免疫效果。设计:基于注册表数据的目标试验仿真。地点:丹麦、芬兰和瑞典,2023年10月1日至2024年4月21日。参与者:在2023年10月1日研究开始时,有资格接种含有covid-19 mRNA的XBB.1.5疫苗的3 898 264人的源人群。研究队列包括1876282名在研究期间接种了含XBB.1.5疫苗的人,与1876282名未接种者相匹配。受试者年龄≥65岁(平均年龄75.4岁,标准差7.4岁),既往接种过至少4剂covid-19疫苗。主要结局指标:接种含有covid-19 mRNA的XBB.1.5疫苗的受者和匹配的非受者在免疫后24周(定义为接种后一周)随访期间与covid-19相关的累计住院率和死亡率。累积发生率用于计算比较疫苗有效性(1-风险比)和风险差异。结果:随访24周后,与covid-19住院(1085 v 2635事件)相关的比较疫苗有效性为57.9%(95%置信区间(CI) 49.9%至65.8%),与covid-19疾病相关的死亡(348 v 1458事件)相关的比较疫苗有效性为75.2%(70.6%至79.9%)。这一结果对应于接种含XBB.1.5疫苗的每10万人中有154.7人(95% CI 78.3至231.0)因covid-19住院,120.3人(110.5至130.2)死亡。相关的比较疫苗有效性与性别、年龄组(65-74 v≥75岁)、既往covid-19疫苗剂量、联合接种季节性流感疫苗亚组以及XBB或BA.2.86亚型占主导地位的时间无关。虽然观察到的风险降低在接种疫苗后的第一周内最高,但在24周的随访后,疫苗的相对有效性得到了很好的维持。结论:在这项研究中,在年龄≥65岁的成年人中,在2023-24年的秋冬期间,在丹麦、芬兰和瑞典接种含有covid-19 mRNA的单价XBB.1.5疫苗与covid-19住院率和与covid-19相关的死亡率降低相关。
{"title":"Comparative effectiveness of monovalent XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccines in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden: target trial emulation based on registry data.","authors":"Niklas Worm Andersson, Emilia Myrup Thiesson, Nicklas Pihlström, Jori Perälä, Kristýna Faksová, Mie Agermose Gram, Eero Poukka, Tuija Leino, Rickard Ljung, Anders Hviid","doi":"10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001074","DOIUrl":"10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001074","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Abstract: </strong></p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To estimate the effectiveness of vaccination with a monovalent covid-19 mRNA vaccine containing the omicron XBB.1.5 subvariant against severe covid-19 disease in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Target trial emulation based on registry data.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>Denmark, Finland, and Sweden, 1 October 2023 to 21 April 2024.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>Source population of 3 898 264 individuals eligible for vaccination with the XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccine at the start of the study on 1 October 2023. Study cohort comprised 1 876 282 recipients of an XBB.1.5 containing vaccine during the study period matched with 1 876 282 non-recipients. Individuals were aged ≥65 years (mean age 75.4 years, standard deviation 7.4 years) and had received at least four doses of a previous covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><strong>Main outcome measures: </strong>Cumulative incidences of hospital admissions and deaths related to covid-19 in a follow-up period of 24 weeks after immunisation (defined as one week after vaccination) in recipients of an XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccine and matched non-recipients. Cumulative incidences were used to calculate comparative vaccine effectiveness (1-risk ratio) and risk differences.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The associated comparative vaccine effectiveness was 57.9% (95% confidence interval (CI) 49.9% to 65.8%) against hospital admission for covid-19 (1085 <i>v</i> 2635 events) and 75.2% (70.6% to 79.9%) against deaths related to covid-19 disease (348 <i>v</i> 1458 events) after 24 weeks of follow-up. This result corresponded to 154.7 (95% CI 78.3 to 231.0) hospital admissions for covid-19 and 120.3 (110.5 to 130.2) deaths prevented per 100 000 individuals who were vaccinated with an XBB.1.5 containing vaccine. The associated comparative vaccine effectiveness was similar irrespective of sex, age group (65-74 <i>v</i> ≥75 years), number of doses of previous covid-19 vaccines, subgroup of co-administered seasonal influenza vaccines, and period of when either the omicron XBB or BA.2.86 sublineage was predominant. Although the observed reduction in risk was highest during the first weeks after vaccination, comparative vaccine effectiveness was well maintained after 24 weeks of follow-up.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this study, in adults aged ≥65 years, vaccination with a monovalent XBB.1.5 containing covid-19 mRNA vaccine was associated with reduced rates of hospital admissions for covid-19 and deaths related to covid-19, during the autumn and winter of 2023-24 in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden.</p>","PeriodicalId":72433,"journal":{"name":"BMJ medicine","volume":"3 1","pages":"e001074"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11789462/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143123031","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of multiple long term conditions on hospital admission and mortality during winter: importance of linked, population scale healthcare data. 多种长期病症对冬季入院和死亡率的影响:关联的人口规模医疗数据的重要性。
IF 1 Pub Date : 2024-11-12 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001114
Jonathan Adam Batty, Lesley Smith, Marlous Hall
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引用次数: 0
Combinations of multiple long term conditions and risk of hospital admission or death during winter 2021-22 in England: population based cohort study. 英格兰 2021-22 年冬季多种长期病症组合与入院或死亡风险:基于人群的队列研究。
Pub Date : 2024-11-12 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001016
Nazrul Islam, Sharmin Shabnam, Nusrat Khan, Clare Gillies, Francesco Zaccardi, Amitava Banerjee, Vahé Nafilyan, Kamlesh Khunti, Hajira Dambha-Miller

Objective: To describe which combinations of long term conditions were associated with a higher risk of hospital admission or death during winter 2021-22 (the third wave of the covid-19 pandemic) in adults in England.

Design: Population based cohort study.

Setting: Linked primary and secondary care data from the General Practice Extraction Service Data for Pandemic Planning and Research (GDPPR) database, Hospital Episode Statistics, and Office for National Statistics death registry, comprising pseudoanonymised routinely collected electronic medical records from the whole population of England registered at a general practice, 1 December 2021 to 31 March 2022.

Participants: 48 253 125 individuals, registered in GDPPR in England, aged ≥18 years, and alive on 1 December 2021.

Main outcomes measures: All cause hospital admissions and deaths associated with combinations of multiple long term conditions compared with those with no long term conditions, during the winter season (1 December 2021 to 31 March 2022). Overdispersed Poisson regression models were used to estimate the incidence rate ratios after adjusting for age, sex, ethnic group, and index of multiple deprivation.

Results: Complete data were available for 48 253 125 adults, of whom 15 million (31.2%) had multiple long term conditions. Rates of hospital admissions and deaths among individuals with no long term conditions were 96.3 and 0.8 per 1000 person years, respectively. Compared with those with no long term conditions, the adjusted incidence rate ratio of hospital admissions were 11.0 (95% confidence interval (CI) 9.4 to 12.7) for those with a combination of cancer, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, and type 2 diabetes mellitus; 9.8 (8.3 to 11.4) for those with cancer, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, and osteoarthritis; and 9.6 (8.6 to 10.7) for those with cancer, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease. Compared with those with no long term conditions, the adjusted rate ratio of death was 21.4 (17.5 to 26.0) for those with chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, and dementia; 23.2 (17.5 to 30.3) for those with cancer, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, and dementia; and 24.3 (19.1 to 30.4) for those with chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease, dementia, and osteoarthritis. Cardiovascular disease with dementia appeared in all of the top five combinations of multiple long term conditions for mortality, and this two disease combination was associated with a substantially higher rate of death than many three, four, and five disease combinations.

Conclusions: In this study, rates of hospital admission and death varied by combinations of multiple long term conditions and were substantially higher in those with than in those without any long term conditions. High risk

目的描述在2021-22年冬季(covid-19大流行的第三波),哪些长期病症组合与英格兰成年人较高的入院或死亡风险相关:设计:基于人群的队列研究:从全科医生提取服务数据用于大流行病规划和研究(GDPPR)数据库、医院病例统计和国家统计局死亡登记中获取的初级和二级医疗数据,包括2021年12月1日至2022年3月31日期间在全科医生处登记的全英格兰人口的假匿名常规收集电子病历:48 253 125人,在英格兰GDPPR登记,年龄≥18岁,2021年12月1日时健在:主要结果测量指标:冬季(2021 年 12 月 1 日至 2022 年 3 月 31 日)与无长期病症者相比,与多种长期病症组合相关的全因入院和死亡人数。在对年龄、性别、种族群体和多重贫困指数进行调整后,使用过度分散泊松回归模型估算发病率比:有 48 253 125 名成年人的完整数据,其中 1 500 万人(31.2%)患有多种长期疾病。无长期病症者的入院率和死亡率分别为每千人年 96.3 例和 0.8 例。与无长期病症者相比,合并患有癌症、慢性肾病、心血管疾病和 2 型糖尿病者的调整后入院发病率比为 11.0(95% 置信区间(CI)为 9.4 至 12.7);癌症、慢性肾病、心血管疾病和骨关节炎患者的调整后入院发病率比为 9.8(8.3 至 11.4);癌症、慢性肾病和心血管疾病患者的调整后入院发病率比为 9.6(8.6 至 10.7)。与无长期病症者相比,患有慢性肾脏疾病、心血管疾病和痴呆症者的调整后死亡比率为 21.4(17.5 至 26.0);患有癌症、慢性肾脏疾病、心血管疾病和痴呆症者的调整后死亡比率为 23.2(17.5 至 30.3);患有慢性肾脏疾病、心血管疾病、痴呆症和骨关节炎者的调整后死亡比率为 24.3(19.1 至 30.4)。心血管疾病合并痴呆症出现在死亡率最高的五种多种长期疾病组合中,这种两种疾病组合的死亡率远远高于许多三种、四种和五种疾病组合:结论:在这项研究中,入院率和死亡率因多种长期病症组合而异,患有多种长期病症者的入院率和死亡率远高于未患有任何长期病症者。研究强调了政策制定者需要优先考虑和采取预防措施的高风险组合,以帮助应对国家医疗服务体系冬季压力所带来的挑战。
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BMJ medicine
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