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A second demographic transition in Indonesia? 印尼的第二次人口转型?
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-022-00115-y
Ariane Utomo, Aris Ananta, Diahhadi Setyonaluri, Calvin Aryaputra

As a predominantly Muslim and ethnically diverse new democracy in Asia, Indonesia is a timely case to study how the contending forces of development and social change are reflected in changing norms and practices around family formation. This paper examines the extent to which the second demographic transition (SDT) theory can provide a primary framework to understand contemporary patterns of fertility, marriage and family change in Indonesia. Against the backdrop of socio-political change following Reformasi in 1998, we found emerging demographic features typically associated with societies in later stages of fertility transition. These include fertility below replacement in some regions; increasing age at first marriage, non-marriage, and divorce rates; and growing diversity in household/family forms. As the vast regions of Indonesia is economically, culturally, and demographically heterogeneous, these key features of SDT are not likely to emerge and unfold in a uniform manner. Further, these demographic shifts are taking place amidst multiple tensions and contradictions in the nature and direction of ideational change pertaining to marriage and the family. We argue that the prevailing ideational change driving the shifts in marriage, fertility, and the family within Indonesia is neither unilinear nor singular in nature. Emerging ideational change embodying individualism, secularism, and post-materialism-originally proposed in SDT theory to be the primary drivers of fertility decline in post-industrial Western Europe-can overlap with popular values promoting de-secularization and the strengthening of familial institutions. As a demographic framework, the SDT theory is an important and useful starting point. But it needs to be reevaluated by considering the complex socio-political and increasingly precarious economic terrains behind fertility transition, as well as marriage and family change in post-Reformasi Indonesia.

作为一个以穆斯林为主、种族多元化的亚洲新兴民主国家,印度尼西亚是一个及时的案例,可以用来研究发展和社会变革的竞争力量如何反映在围绕家庭形成的不断变化的规范和实践中。本文考察了第二次人口转型(SDT)理论在多大程度上可以为理解印度尼西亚当代生育、婚姻和家庭变化模式提供一个主要框架。在1998年改革之后的社会政治变革的背景下,我们发现新兴的人口特征通常与生育过渡后期的社会相关。其中包括一些地区生育率低于更替水平;初婚年龄、未婚年龄和离婚率不断上升;家庭/家庭形式日益多样化。由于印度尼西亚的广大地区在经济、文化和人口上都是异质的,SDT的这些关键特征不太可能以统一的方式出现和发展。此外,这些人口变化是在与婚姻和家庭有关的观念变化的性质和方向的多重紧张和矛盾中发生的。我们认为,在印度尼西亚,推动婚姻、生育和家庭转变的主流观念变化既不是线性的,也不是单一的。体现个人主义、世俗主义和后物质主义的新兴观念变化——最初在SDT理论中被提出,是后工业西欧生育率下降的主要驱动因素——可以与促进非世俗化和加强家庭制度的流行价值观重叠。作为一个人口统计学框架,SDT理论是一个重要而有用的起点。但是,考虑到生育率转变背后复杂的社会政治和日益不稳定的经济环境,以及改革后印度尼西亚的婚姻和家庭变化,需要对其进行重新评估。
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引用次数: 1
Research on the health of senior citizens from an interdisciplinary perspective: framework, core topics, and prospects 跨学科视角下的老年人健康研究:框架、核心议题和前景
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00098-2
Xiaodan Wei
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引用次数: 1
Quality of life among elderly in developing countries: issues and challenges 发展中国家老年人的生活质量:问题和挑战
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00099-1
N. Mondal
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引用次数: 4
Sleep quality and mental health of the elderly in China: evidence from longitudinal data 中国老年人睡眠质量与心理健康:来自纵向数据的证据
Pub Date : 2021-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00096-4
Jiehua Lu, Keqi Liu
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引用次数: 1
Geography matters to disability: regional disparity of bathing difficulty among older adults in China 地理因素影响残疾:中国老年人洗澡困难的地区差异
Pub Date : 2021-11-18 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00097-3
J. Hoh, Qiushi Feng
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引用次数: 1
Declining number of births in China: a decomposition analysis 中国出生率下降:一个分解分析
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00094-6
Wei Chen
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引用次数: 4
Drinking alcohol increased the possibility of self-rated poor health and mortality risk among middle-aged and seniors: a longitudinal study conducted in China 在中国进行的一项纵向研究表明,饮酒增加了中老年人群自评健康状况不佳和死亡风险的可能性
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00092-8
Jinhui Zhao, Yana Ma, Hongpeng Sun
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引用次数: 0
Gender gap in life expectancy in Hong Kong, 1986–2016 1986-2016年香港预期寿命的性别差异
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00090-w
Yan Zheng, Mengni Chen, P. Yip
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引用次数: 0
The changing trends of internal migration and urbanization in China: new evidence from the seventh National Population Census 中国境内移民与城市化的变化趋势——来自第七次全国人口普查的新证据
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00093-7
Meng-Tse Cheng, Chengrong Duan
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引用次数: 27
Drastic changes in fertility level and timing in response to marriage and fertility policies: evidence from Shandong province, China 婚姻和生育政策对生育水平和时间的巨大变化:来自中国山东省的证据
Pub Date : 2021-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s42379-021-00089-3
Cuiling Zhang, T. Sobotka
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引用次数: 1
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China population and development studies
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