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Oil and gas development exposure and atrial fibrillation exacerbation: a retrospective study of atrial fibrillation exacerbation using Colorado's all payer claims dataset. 石油和天然气开发暴露与心房颤动加重:利用科罗拉多州所有支付方索赔数据集对心房颤动加重进行的回顾性研究。
Pub Date : 2024-06-19 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1379271
Lisa M McKenzie, William B Allshouse, Barbara Abrahams, Christine Tompkins

Introduction: Emerging risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence and episodes (exacerbation), the most common and clinically significant cardiac arrhythmia, include air and noise pollution, both of which are emitted during oil and natural gas (O&G) well site development.

Methods: We evaluated AF exacerbation risk and proximity to O&G well site development by employing a novel data source and interrupted time-series design. We retrospectively followed 1,197 AF patients living within 1-mile of an O&G well site (at-risk of exposure) and 9,764 patients living >2 miles from any O&G well site (unexposed) for AF claims in Colorado's All Payer Claims Dataset before, during, and after O&G well site development. We calculated AF exacerbation risk with multi-failure survival analysis.

Results: The analysis of the total study population does not provide strong evidence of an association between AF exacerbation and proximity to O&G wells sites during (HR = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.94, 1.22) or after (HR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.88, 1.16) development. However, AF exacerbation risk differed by patient age and sex. In patients >80 years living within 0.39 miles (2,059 feet) of O&G well site development, AF exacerbation risk increased by 83% (HR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.25, 2.66) and emergency room visits for an AF event doubled (HR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.50, 4.36) during development, with risk increasing with proximity. In female patients living within 0.39 miles of O&G well site development, AF exacerbation risk increased by 56% percent (95% CI: 1.13, 2.15) during development. AF exacerbation risk did not persist past the well development period. We did not observe increased AF exacerbation risk in younger or male patients.

Discussion: The prospect that proximity to O&G well site development, a significant noise and air pollution source, may increase AF exacerbation risk in older and female AF patients requires attention. These findings support appropriate patient education to help mitigate risk and development of mitigation strategies and regulations to protect the health of populations in O&G development regions.

导言:心房颤动是临床上最常见、最严重的心律失常,其发病和发作(加重)的新风险因素包括空气和噪声污染,而这两种污染都是在石油和天然气(O&G)井场开发过程中排放的:我们采用新颖的数据源和间断时间序列设计,评估了房颤恶化风险和邻近石油与天然气(O&G)井场开发的情况。我们对科罗拉多州所有支付者索赔数据集中的 1,197 名心房颤动患者和 9,764 名心房颤动患者进行了回顾性随访,前者居住在距离石油和天然气井场 1 英里范围内(有暴露风险),后者居住在距离任何石油和天然气井场 >2 英里范围内(未暴露),并在石油和天然气井场开发之前、期间和之后进行了心房颤动索赔。我们通过多失败生存分析计算了房颤恶化风险:对全部研究人群的分析并未提供有力证据证明房颤恶化与开发期间(HR = 1.07,95% CI:0.94, 1.22)或开发之后(HR = 1.01,95% CI:0.88, 1.16)邻近油气井地点之间存在关联。然而,房颤恶化的风险因患者的年龄和性别而异。对于年龄大于 80 岁、居住在距离油气井开发项目 0.39 英里(2,059 英尺)范围内的患者,心房颤动恶化风险在开发期间增加了 83%(HR = 1.83,95% CI:1.25, 2.66),因心房颤动事件前往急诊室就诊的人数增加了一倍(HR = 2.55,95% CI:1.50, 4.36),风险随距离的远近而增加。对于居住在距离油气井开发地 0.39 英里范围内的女性患者,开发期间房颤恶化风险增加了 56% (95% CI: 1.13, 2.15)。心房颤动恶化风险在油井开发期间并未持续。我们没有发现年轻或男性患者的房颤恶化风险增加:讨论:邻近油气井开发(一个重要的噪音和空气污染源)可能会增加老年和女性房颤患者房颤恶化的风险,这一前景需要引起重视。这些发现支持对患者进行适当的教育,以帮助降低风险,并制定缓解策略和法规,以保护石油和天然气开发地区居民的健康。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple sclerosis in Central America and Caribbean countries: frequency and clinical characterization of an emergent disease. 中美洲和加勒比国家的多发性硬化症:一种新兴疾病的发病率和临床特征。
Pub Date : 2024-06-17 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1368675
Fernando Gracia, Deyanira A Ramírez Navarro, Nicia E Ramírez Sánchez, Roberto Weiser, Alexander Parajeles-Vindas, Ligia I Portillo Rivera, Ericka López Torres, Luis A García Valle, Alfredo Sanabria-Castro, César Abdón López, Pahola Araujo, Maria J Ayerdis Zamora, Andrea Balmaceda-Meza, Aron Benzadon Cohen, Awilda Candelario Cueto, Diego Castillo, Romy Castro-Escobar, Karla Z Corea Urbina, Anyeri de Peña Rivas, Octavio Duarte Sotelo, Temís Enamorado Claros, José L Giroud Benítez, Karla Gracia, Mario Larreategui, Jorge A Martínez Cerrato, Josmarlin P Medina Báez, Carlos E Menjivar Samayoa, Gustavo Miranda-Loria, Priscilla Monterrey-Alvarez, Lilliam A Morales Arguello, Michelle Ortiz, Carlos D Pérez Baldioceda, Lizeth Pinilla Aguilar, Luis C Rodríguez Salinas, Virginia Rodríguez-Moreno, Sebastián Rojas-Chaves, Norbel Román-Garita, Biany Santos Pujols, Carlos Valderrama, Ivonne Van Sijtveld, Indhira Zabala Angeles, Victor M Rivera, Blas Armien

Background: Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a common neurological disease among white populations of European origin. Frequencies among Latin Americans continue to be studied, however, epidemiologic, and clinical characterization studies lack from Central American and Caribbean countries. Ethnicity in these countries is uniformly similar with a prevalent Mestizo population.

Methods and results: Data from January 2014 to December 2019 from Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Dominican Republic, and Aruba on demographic, clinical, MRI and phenotypic traits were determined in coordinated studies: ENHANCE, a population-based, retrospective, observational study on incidence and clinical characteristics, and from the subgroup with MS national registries (Aruba, Dominican Republic, Honduras, and Panama), data on prevalence, phenotypes and demographics. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and therapeutic schemes were included. ENHANCE data from 758 patients disclosed 79.8% of Mestizo ethnicity; 72.4% female; median age at onset 31.0 years and 33.2 at diagnosis. The highest incidence rate was from Aruba, 2.3-3.5 × 100,000 inhabitants, and the lowest, 0.07-0.15 × 100,000, from Honduras. Crude prevalence rates per 100,000 inhabitants fluctuated from 27.3 (Aruba) to 1.0 (Honduras). Relapsing MS accounted for 87.4% of cases; EDSS <3.0 determined in 66.6% (mean disease duration: 9.1 years, SD ± 5.0); CSF oligoclonal bands 85.7%, and 87% of subjects hydroxyvitamin D deficient. Common initial therapies were interferon and fingolimod. Switching from interferon to fingolimod was the most common escalation step. The COVID-19 pandemic affected follow-up aspects of these studies.

Conclusion: This is the first study providing data on frequencies and clinical characteristics from 8 countries from the Central American and Caribbean region, addressing MS as an emergent epidemiologic disorder. More studies from these areas are encouraged.

背景:多发性硬化症(MS多发性硬化症(MS)是欧洲裔白人中常见的神经系统疾病。然而,中美洲和加勒比海国家缺乏流行病学和临床特征研究。这些国家的人种与梅斯蒂索人(Mestizo)十分相似:通过协调研究确定了危地马拉、萨尔瓦多、洪都拉斯、尼加拉瓜、哥斯达黎加、巴拿马、多米尼加共和国和阿鲁巴在 2014 年 1 月至 2019 年 12 月期间的人口统计学、临床、核磁共振成像和表型特征数据:ENHANCE是一项关于发病率和临床特征的基于人群的回顾性观察研究,来自多发性硬化症国家登记处的亚组(阿鲁巴、多米尼加共和国、洪都拉斯和巴拿马)则提供了关于发病率、表型和人口统计学的数据。研究还包括扩展残疾状况量表(EDSS)和治疗方案。来自 758 名患者的 ENHANCE 数据显示,79.8% 的患者为混血儿;72.4% 为女性;发病时的中位年龄为 31.0 岁,确诊时的中位年龄为 33.2 岁。阿鲁巴岛的发病率最高,为 2.3-3.5 × 100,000 人,洪都拉斯的发病率最低,为 0.07-0.15 × 100,000 人。每 10 万居民的粗发病率从 27.3(阿鲁巴)到 1.0(洪都拉斯)不等。复发性多发性硬化症占病例总数的 87.4%;EDSS 结论:这是第一项提供中美洲和加勒比海地区 8 个国家多发性硬化症发病率和临床特征数据的研究,将多发性硬化症视为一种新出现的流行病。我们鼓励在这些地区开展更多研究。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of cholera surveillance systems in Africa: a systematic review 非洲霍乱监测系统评估:系统性审查
Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1353826
Kyeng Mercy, Ganesh Pokhariyal, Noah Takah Fongwen, Lucy Kivuti-Bitok
Despite several interventions on the control of cholera, it still remains a significant public health problem in Africa. According to the World Health Organization, 251,549 cases and 4,180 deaths (CFR: 2.9%) were reported from 19 African countries in 2023. Tools exist to enhance the surveillance of cholera but there is limited evidence on their deployment and application. There is limited evidence on the harmonization of the deployment of tools for the evaluation of cholera surveillance. We systematically reviewed available literature on the deployment of these tools in the evaluation of surveillance systems in Africa.Three electronic databases (PubMed, Medline and Embase) were used to search articles published in English between January 2012 to May 2023. Grey literature was also searched using Google and Google Scholar. Only articles that addressed a framework used in cholera surveillance in Africa were included. The quality of articles was assessed using the appropriate tools. Data on the use of surveillance tools and frameworks were extracted from articles for a coherent synthesis on their deployment.A total of 13 records (5 frameworks and 8 studies) were fit for use for this study. As per the time of the study, there were no surveillance frameworks specific for the evaluation of surveillance systems of cholera in Africa, however, five frameworks for communicable diseases and public health events could be adapted for cholera surveillance evaluation. None (0%) of the studies evaluated capacities on cross border surveillance, multisectoral one health approach and linkage of laboratory networks to surveillance systems. All (100%) studies assessed surveillance attributes even though there was no synergy in the attributes considered even among studies with similar objectives. There is therefore the need for stakeholders to harmoniously identify a spectrum of critical parameters and attributes to guide the assessment of cholera surveillance system performance.
尽管在控制霍乱方面采取了多项干预措施,但霍乱仍然是非洲的一个重大公共卫生问题。根据世界卫生组织的数据,2023 年,19 个非洲国家报告了 251549 例霍乱病例和 4180 例死亡病例(病死率:2.9%)。目前已有加强霍乱监测的工具,但有关其部署和应用的证据有限。关于统一部署霍乱监测评估工具的证据也很有限。我们系统地回顾了有关在非洲监测系统评估中部署这些工具的现有文献。我们使用三个电子数据库(PubMed、Medline 和 Embase)检索了 2012 年 1 月至 2023 年 5 月间发表的英文文章。此外,还使用谷歌和谷歌学术搜索灰色文献。只有涉及非洲霍乱监测框架的文章才被收录。文章的质量使用适当的工具进行评估。从文章中提取了有关使用监测工具和框架的数据,以便对这些工具和框架的部署情况进行连贯的综合分析。共有 13 条记录(5 个框架和 8 项研究)适合用于本研究。在研究期间,还没有专门用于评估非洲霍乱监测系统的监测框架,但有 5 个用于传染病和公共卫生事件的框架可用于霍乱监测评估。没有一项研究(0%)评估了跨境监测能力、多部门统一卫生方法以及实验室网络与监测系统的联系。所有研究(100%)都对监测属性进行了评估,但即使在目标相似的研究中,所考虑的属性也没有协同作用。因此,利益相关者需要协调确定一系列关键参数和属性,以指导霍乱监测系统性能的评估。
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引用次数: 0
Everyday discrimination and satisfaction with nature experiences. 日常歧视和对自然体验的满意度。
Pub Date : 2024-05-30 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1212114
Leah H Schinasi, Jourdyn A Lawrence

Introduction: There is growing interest in creating public green spaces to promote health. Yet, discussions about these efforts often overlook how experiences of chronic discrimination-which may manifest as racism, sexism, or homophobia, and more-could undermine satisfaction with nature experiences.

Methods: Using data from the 2018 wave of the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) General Social Survey (GSS), we quantified associations of frequency of everyday discrimination, operationalized using the Everyday Discrimination Scale (EDS, the primary independent variable), with respondents' perceptions of nature experiences and with their reported time spent in nature. Specifically, we quantified associations with the following three variables: (1) dissatisfaction with day-to-day experiences of nature, (2) not spending as much time as they would like in natural environments, and (3) usually spending at least one day per week in nature. We used survey-weighted robust Poisson models to estimate overall associations, and also stratified analyses by racial/ethnic and gender identity categories.

Results: Of 768 GSS respondents, 14% reported dissatisfaction with nature experiences, 36% reported not spending as much time as they would like in nature, and 33% reported that they did not spend at least one day per week in nature. The median non-standardized EDS, coded such that a higher value indicates greater frequency of discrimination, was 11 (interquartile range: 8, 15). Prevalence of reporting dissatisfaction with day-to-day experiences in nature was 7% higher in association with every one unit increase in EDS score above the median (PR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11). The prevalence of reporting not spending as much time as one would like in nature was 2% higher for every unit increase in higher than median everyday discrimination frequency (PR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.05). Higher than median frequency in everyday discrimination was not associated with spending less than one day per week in nature. Race/ethnicity and gender identity did not modify associations.

Conclusion: Greater frequency of everyday discrimination is associated with less satisfaction with experiences in nature. This relationship could undermine efforts to promote health equity through green interventions.

导言:人们对创造公共绿地以促进健康的兴趣与日俱增。然而,关于这些努力的讨论往往忽视了长期歧视的经历--可能表现为种族主义、性别歧视或仇视同性恋等--如何影响人们对自然体验的满意度:利用美国国家舆论研究中心(NORC)2018 年的一般社会调查(GSS)数据,我们量化了日常歧视频率(使用日常歧视量表(EDS,主要自变量)进行操作)与受访者对自然体验的感知及其报告的在自然中花费的时间之间的关联。具体来说,我们量化了与以下三个变量之间的关联:(1)对日常自然体验的不满意度;(2)在自然环境中花费的时间不如预期;(3)通常每周至少有一天在自然环境中度过。我们使用调查加权稳健泊松模型来估计总体关联,并按种族/族裔和性别认同类别进行分层分析:在 768 名 GSS 受访者中,14% 的人表示对大自然体验不满意,36% 的人表示在大自然中度过的时间不如预期,33% 的人表示每周至少有一天没有在大自然中度过。非标准化 EDS 的中位数为 11(四分位间范围:8-15)。当 EDS 分数比中位数每增加一个单位时,对每天在大自然中的经历表示不满意的比例就会增加 7%(PR:1.07,95% CI:1.02-1.11)。日常歧视频率高于中位数,每增加一个单位,表示在大自然中度过的时间不如意的发生率就会增加 2%(PR:1.02,95% CI:1.00-1.05)。日常歧视频率高于中位数与每周亲近自然的时间少于一天无关。种族/民族和性别认同并不会改变两者之间的关联:结论:日常歧视频率越高,对自然体验的满意度越低。这种关系可能会破坏通过绿色干预来促进健康公平的努力。
{"title":"Everyday discrimination and satisfaction with nature experiences.","authors":"Leah H Schinasi, Jourdyn A Lawrence","doi":"10.3389/fepid.2024.1212114","DOIUrl":"10.3389/fepid.2024.1212114","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>There is growing interest in creating public green spaces to promote health. Yet, discussions about these efforts often overlook how experiences of chronic discrimination-which may manifest as racism, sexism, or homophobia, and more-could undermine satisfaction with nature experiences.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using data from the 2018 wave of the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) General Social Survey (GSS), we quantified associations of frequency of everyday discrimination, operationalized using the Everyday Discrimination Scale (EDS, the primary independent variable), with respondents' perceptions of nature experiences and with their reported time spent in nature. Specifically, we quantified associations with the following three variables: (1) dissatisfaction with day-to-day experiences of nature, (2) not spending as much time as they would like in natural environments, and (3) usually spending at least one day per week in nature. We used survey-weighted robust Poisson models to estimate overall associations, and also stratified analyses by racial/ethnic and gender identity categories.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 768 GSS respondents, 14% reported dissatisfaction with nature experiences, 36% reported not spending as much time as they would like in nature, and 33% reported that they did not spend at least one day per week in nature. The median non-standardized EDS, coded such that a higher value indicates greater frequency of discrimination, was 11 (interquartile range: 8, 15). Prevalence of reporting dissatisfaction with day-to-day experiences in nature was 7% higher in association with every one unit increase in EDS score above the median (PR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11). The prevalence of reporting not spending as much time as one would like in nature was 2% higher for every unit increase in higher than median everyday discrimination frequency (PR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.05). Higher than median frequency in everyday discrimination was not associated with spending less than one day per week in nature. Race/ethnicity and gender identity did not modify associations.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Greater frequency of everyday discrimination is associated with less satisfaction with experiences in nature. This relationship could undermine efforts to promote health equity through green interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":73083,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in epidemiology","volume":"4 ","pages":"1212114"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11169619/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141319165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing breast self-examination knowledge, attitude and practice as a secondary prevention of breast cancer among female undergraduates at the University of Dodoma: a protocol of analytical cross-sectional study. 评估多多马大学女大学生将乳房自我检查作为乳腺癌二级预防措施的知识、态度和做法:分析性横断面研究方案。
Pub Date : 2024-05-30 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1227856
Glory Masawa, Joanes Faustine Mboineki

Background: Breast cancer is a global disease affecting an enormous number of women worldwide and a primary cause of cancer-related deaths in women. In Tanzania, women's breast cancer is the second-ranked among all types of cancers, with an incidence of 15.9%. Despite the Breast Self Examination (BSE) being one of the secondary prevention of breast cancer and an important measure for early diagnosis of breast cancer, little is known whether women could practice routine BSE.

Objectives: The study aims to Assess breast self-examination (BSE) knowledge, attitude, and practice among female undergraduates at the University of Dodoma.

Methodology: An institutionally-based analytical cross-sectional study will be carried out in the Dodoma region of Tanzania through a validated questionnaire. The study will involve 384 female undergraduate students aged 18 years. The data will be entered and analyzed in the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) Version 25. Descriptive analysis (frequencies and percentages) and inferential statistics [Cross-tabulation, Chi-square (χ 2), and Regression analysis] will be used.

Conclusion: The practice of BSE among women remains unsatisfactory, which is highly linked to the lack of BSE knowledge. The deficit knowledge is on how to perform BSE, the benefit of BSE, and the interval of doing BSE. Most of the women seem to possess a positive attitude towards BSE.

背景:乳腺癌是一种全球性疾病,影响着全球大量妇女,也是妇女因癌症死亡的主要原因。在坦桑尼亚,妇女乳腺癌的发病率为 15.9%,在各类癌症中排名第二。尽管乳房自我检查(BSE)是乳腺癌的二级预防措施之一,也是乳腺癌早期诊断的重要措施,但人们对妇女是否能进行常规乳房自我检查知之甚少:本研究旨在评估多多马大学女大学生的乳房自我检查(BSE)知识、态度和做法:将在坦桑尼亚多多马地区开展一项以机构为基础的横断面分析研究,采用经过验证的调查问卷。研究将涉及 384 名 18 岁的女大学生。数据将输入社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)第 25 版并进行分析。将使用描述性分析(频率和百分比)和推理统计[交叉表、卡方(χ 2)和回归分析]:妇女的 BSE 实践仍不尽如人意,这与缺乏 BSE 知识有很大关系。缺乏的知识包括如何进行 BSE、BSE 的好处以及进行 BSE 的间隔时间。大多数妇女似乎对 BSE 持积极态度。
{"title":"Assessing breast self-examination knowledge, attitude and practice as a secondary prevention of breast cancer among female undergraduates at the University of Dodoma: a protocol of analytical cross-sectional study.","authors":"Glory Masawa, Joanes Faustine Mboineki","doi":"10.3389/fepid.2024.1227856","DOIUrl":"10.3389/fepid.2024.1227856","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Breast cancer is a global disease affecting an enormous number of women worldwide and a primary cause of cancer-related deaths in women. In Tanzania, women's breast cancer is the second-ranked among all types of cancers, with an incidence of 15.9%. Despite the Breast Self Examination (BSE) being one of the secondary prevention of breast cancer and an important measure for early diagnosis of breast cancer, little is known whether women could practice routine BSE.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>The study aims to Assess breast self-examination (BSE) knowledge, attitude, and practice among female undergraduates at the University of Dodoma.</p><p><strong>Methodology: </strong>An institutionally-based analytical cross-sectional study will be carried out in the Dodoma region of Tanzania through a validated questionnaire. The study will involve 384 female undergraduate students aged 18 years. The data will be entered and analyzed in the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) Version 25. Descriptive analysis (frequencies and percentages) and inferential statistics [Cross-tabulation, Chi-square (<i>χ</i> <sup>2</sup>), and Regression analysis] will be used.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The practice of BSE among women remains unsatisfactory, which is highly linked to the lack of BSE knowledge. The deficit knowledge is on how to perform BSE, the benefit of BSE, and the interval of doing BSE. Most of the women seem to possess a positive attitude towards BSE.</p>","PeriodicalId":73083,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in epidemiology","volume":"4 ","pages":"1227856"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11169940/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141319164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
External exposome and all-cause mortality in European cohorts: the EXPANSE project. 欧洲队列中的外部暴露体和全因死亡率:EXPANSE 项目。
Pub Date : 2024-05-28 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1327218
Federica Nobile, Konstantina Dimakopoulou, Christofer Åström, Fabián Coloma, Payam Dadvand, Jeroen de Bont, Kees de Hoogh, Dorina Ibi, Klea Katsouyanni, Petter Ljungman, Erik Melén, Mark Nieuwenhuijsen, Regina Pickford, Johan Nilsson Sommar, Cathryn Tonne, Roel C H Vermeulen, Danielle Vienneau, Jelle J Vlaanderen, Kathrin Wolf, Evangelia Samoli, Massimo Stafoggia

Background: Many studies reported associations between long-term exposure to environmental factors and mortality; however, little is known on the combined effects of these factors and health. We aimed to evaluate the association between external exposome and all-cause mortality in large administrative and traditional adult cohorts in Europe.

Methods: Data from six administrative cohorts (Catalonia, Greece, Rome, Sweden, Switzerland and the Netherlands, totaling 27,913,545 subjects) and three traditional adult cohorts (CEANS-Sweden, EPIC-NL-the Netherlands, KORA-Germany, totaling 57,653 participants) were included. Multiple exposures were assigned at the residential addresses, and were divided into three a priori defined domains: (1) air pollution [fine particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), black carbon (BC) and warm-season Ozone (warm-O3)]; (2) land/built environment (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index-NDVI, impervious surfaces, and distance to water); (3) air temperature (cold- and warm-season mean and standard deviation). Each domain was synthesized through Principal Component Analysis (PCA), with the aim of explaining at least 80% of its variability. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were applied and the total risk of the external exposome was estimated through the Cumulative Risk Index (CRI). The estimates were adjusted for individual- and area-level covariates.

Results: More than 205 million person-years at risk and more than 3.2 million deaths were analyzed. In single-component models, IQR increases of the first principal component of the air pollution domain were associated with higher mortality [HRs ranging from 1.011 (95% CI: 1.005-1.018) for the Rome cohort to 1.076 (1.071-1.081) for the Swedish cohort]. In contrast, lower levels of the first principal component of the land/built environment domain, pointing to reduced vegetation and higher percentage of impervious surfaces, were associated with higher risks. Finally, the CRI of external exposome increased mortality for almost all cohorts. The associations found in the traditional adult cohorts were generally consistent with the results from the administrative ones, albeit without reaching statistical significance.

Discussion: Various components of the external exposome, analyzed individually or in combination, were associated with increased mortality across European cohorts. This sets the stage for future research on the connections between various exposure patterns and human health, aiding in the planning of healthier cities.

背景:许多研究报告了长期暴露于环境因素与死亡率之间的关系;然而,人们对这些因素与健康的综合影响知之甚少。我们的目的是评估欧洲大型行政和传统成人队列中外部暴露组与全因死亡率之间的关系:我们纳入了来自六个行政队列(加泰罗尼亚、希腊、罗马、瑞典、瑞士和荷兰,共计 27,913,545 名受试者)和三个传统成人队列(CEANS-瑞典、EPIC-NL-荷兰、KORA-德国,共计 57,653 名参与者)的数据。多重暴露被分配到居住地址,并分为三个先验定义域:(1) 空气污染 [细颗粒物 (PM2.5)、二氧化氮 (NO₂)、黑碳 (BC) 和暖季臭氧 (warm-O3)];(2) 土地/建筑环境 (归一化差异植被指数 (NDVI)、不透水表面和与水的距离);(3) 空气温度 (冷季和暖季平均值和标准偏差)。通过主成分分析(PCA)对每个域进行综合,目的是解释至少 80% 的变异性。采用 Cox 比例危害回归模型,并通过累积风险指数(CRI)估算外部暴露组的总风险。这些估计值根据个人和地区层面的协变量进行了调整:结果:分析了超过 2.05 亿人年的风险和超过 320 万人的死亡。在单分量模型中,空气污染域第一个主分量的 IQR 增加与死亡率升高有关[罗马队列的 HR 值为 1.011(95% CI:1.005-1.018),瑞典队列的 HR 值为 1.076(1.071-1.081)]。与此相反,土地/建筑环境域的第一个主成分水平较低,表明植被减少和不透水地面的百分比较高,与较高的风险有关。最后,在几乎所有队列中,外部暴露组的 CRI 都会增加死亡率。在传统成人队列中发现的关联与行政队列的结果基本一致,尽管没有达到统计学意义:讨论:单独或综合分析外部暴露组的各种成分,都与欧洲队列中死亡率的增加有关。这为今后研究各种暴露模式与人类健康之间的联系奠定了基础,有助于规划更健康的城市。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the dynamics of monkeypox transmission with data-driven methods and a deterministic model 用数据驱动方法和确定性模型探索猴痘传播动态
Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1334964
Haridas K. Das
Mpox (formerly monkeypox) is an infectious disease that spreads mostly through direct contact with infected animals or people's blood, bodily fluids, or cutaneous or mucosal lesions. In light of the global outbreak that occurred in 2022–2023, in this paper, we analyzed global Mpox univariate time series data and provided a comprehensive analysis of disease outbreaks across the world, including the USA with Brazil and three continents: North America, South America, and Europe. The novelty of this study is that it delved into the Mpox time series data by implementing the data-driven methods and a mathematical model concurrently—an aspect not typically addressed in the existing literature. The study is also important because implementing these models concurrently improved our predictions' reliability for infectious diseases.We proposed a traditional compartmental model and also implemented deep learning models (1D- convolutional neural network (CNN), long-short term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), hybrid CNN-LSTM, and CNN-BiLSTM) as well as statistical time series models: autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and exponential smoothing on the Mpox data. We also employed the least squares method fitting to estimate the essential epidemiological parameters in the proposed deterministic model.The primary finding of the deterministic model is that vaccination rates can flatten the curve of infected dynamics and influence the basic reproduction number. Through the numerical simulations, we determined that increased vaccination among the susceptible human population is crucial to control disease transmission. Moreover, in case of an outbreak, our model showed the potential for epidemic control by adjusting the key epidemiological parameters, namely the baseline contact rate and the proportion of contacts within the human population. Next, we analyzed data-driven models that contribute to a comprehensive understanding of disease dynamics in different locations. Additionally, we trained models to provide short-term (eight-week) predictions across various geographical locations, and all eight models produced reliable results.This study utilized a comprehensive framework to investigate univariate time series data to understand the dynamics of Mpox transmission. The prediction showed that Mpox is in its die-out situation as of July 29, 2023. Moreover, the deterministic model showed the importance of the Mpox vaccination in mitigating the Mpox transmission and highlighted the significance of effectively adjusting key epidemiological parameters during outbreaks, particularly the contact rate in high-risk groups.
痘(原猴痘)是一种传染病,主要通过直接接触受感染的动物或人的血液、体液或皮肤或粘膜病变而传播。鉴于 2022-2023 年发生的全球疫情,我们在本文中分析了全球猴痘单变量时间序列数据,并对包括美国、巴西和三大洲在内的全球疫情进行了全面分析:北美、南美和欧洲。这项研究的新颖之处在于,它通过同时实施数据驱动方法和数学模型,深入研究了天花时间序列数据--这是现有文献通常没有涉及的方面。我们提出了一个传统的分区模型,还在 Mpox 数据上实施了深度学习模型(一维卷积神经网络(CNN)、长短期记忆(LSTM)、双向 LSTM(BiLSTM)、混合 CNN-LSTM 和 CNN-BiLSTM)以及统计时间序列模型:自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)和指数平滑。确定性模型的主要发现是疫苗接种率可使感染动态曲线趋于平缓,并影响基本繁殖数量。通过数值模拟,我们确定在易感人群中增加疫苗接种是控制疾病传播的关键。此外,在疫情爆发时,我们的模型显示了通过调整关键流行病学参数(即基线接触率和人群中的接触者比例)来控制疫情的潜力。接下来,我们分析了有助于全面了解不同地区疾病动态的数据驱动模型。此外,我们还对模型进行了训练,以提供不同地理位置的短期(八周)预测,所有八个模型都得出了可靠的结果。这项研究利用了一个综合框架来研究单变量时间序列数据,以了解天花传播的动态。预测结果表明,截至 2023 年 7 月 29 日,天花已处于消亡状态。此外,确定性模型显示了接种麻痘疫苗在缓解麻痘传播方面的重要性,并强调了在疫情爆发期间有效调整关键流行病学参数,特别是高危人群接触率的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Vision impairment and food insecurity in the national health and aging trends study. 全国健康和老龄化趋势研究中的视力障碍和粮食不安全问题。
Pub Date : 2024-05-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1353083
Moon J Lee, Louay Almidani, Laura Samuel, Bonnielin K Swenor, Joshua R Ehrlich, Varshini Varadaraj

Introduction: Vision impairment (VI) may further exacerbate older adults' vulnerability to experiencing food insecurity and may be a unique and important target for policies addressing access to nutritional food. The purpose of this study is to determine the association of VI in older adults with food insecurity.

Methods: This is a cross-sectional analysis of round 11 (2021) of the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS), a nationally representative survey of U.S. Medicare beneficiaries ages 65 and older. Participants include 2,815 older adults with complete data on at least one objective measure of vision (distance, near or contrast sensitivity) and food insecurity. Food insecurity was assessed using a previously developed indicator of food insecurity in NHATS. VI was defined as binocular visual acuity (VA) worse than 0.3 logMAR (Snellen equivalent 20/40) at distance or its near equivalent, or contrast sensitivity (CS) worse than 1.55 logUnits. Continuous VI measures included distance and near VA (per 0.1 logMAR), and CS (per 0.1 logCS).

Results: Participants were majority White (82%) and female (55%), and 3% had food insecurity. Older adults with any VI had a greater prevalence of food insecurity than adults without VI (5.0% vs. 2.0%, p < 0.05). In fully adjusted regression analyses, individuals with any VI experienced double the odds of food insecurity than individuals without VI (OR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.2-3.6). Distance VI (measured continuously) was associated with 1.2 times the odds of food insecurity (OR = 1.2; 95% CI: 1.0-1.3, per 0.1 logMAR). All other vision measures trended towards higher odds of food insecurity, though not statistically significant.

Discussion: Older adults with VI experience higher rates of food insecurity than their peers. Interventions to improve food security should be targeted towards addressing the specific barriers faced by visually impaired older adults.

导言:视力障碍(VI)可能会进一步加剧老年人面临粮食不安全的脆弱性,并可能成为解决营养食品获取政策的一个独特而重要的目标。本研究旨在确定老年人视力障碍与粮食不安全之间的关系:这是对 "全国健康与老龄化趋势研究"(NHATS)第 11 轮(2021 年)的横断面分析,该研究是对 65 岁及以上的美国医疗保险受益人进行的一项具有全国代表性的调查。参与者包括 2815 名老年人,他们至少有一项客观视力测量(远、近或对比敏感度)和食物不安全的完整数据。食物不安全状况是使用之前在 NHATS 中开发的食物不安全指标进行评估的。视力障碍的定义是双眼远距离视力(VA)差于 0.3 logMAR(斯奈伦视力表等效值 20/40)或近距离视力差于 0.3 logMAR(斯奈伦视力表等效值 20/40),或对比敏感度(CS)差于 1.55 logUnits。连续 VI 测量包括远距离和近距离 VA(每 0.1 logMAR)和 CS(每 0.1 logCS):结果:参与者大多为白人(82%)和女性(55%),3%的人有粮食不安全问题。有任何视力障碍的老年人比没有视力障碍的老年人更容易陷入粮食不安全境地(5.0% 对 2.0%,P 讨论):与同龄人相比,患有视障的老年人的食物无保障率更高。改善食品安全的干预措施应针对视障老年人面临的特殊障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Representativeness of a national, probability-based panel survey of COVID-19 isolation practices-United States, 2020-2022. 2020-2022 年美国 COVID-19 隔离做法全国概率小组调查的代表性。
Pub Date : 2024-04-26 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1379256
Holly H Matulewicz, Divya Vohra, Willow Crawford-Crudell, John E Oeltmann, Patrick K Moonan, Melanie M Taylor, Chandra Couzens, Andy Weiss

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) received surveillance data on how many people tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, but there was little information about what individuals did to mitigate transmission. To fill the information gap, we conducted an online, probability-based survey among a nationally representative panel of adults living in the United States to better understand the behaviors of individuals following a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result. Given the low response rates commonly associated with panel surveys, we assessed how well the survey data aligned with CDC surveillance data from March, 2020 to March, 2022. We used CDC surveillance data to calculate monthly aggregated COVID-19 case counts and compared these to monthly COVID-19 case counts captured by our survey during the same period. We found high correlation between our overall survey data estimates and monthly case counts reported to the CDC during the analytic period (r: +0.94; p < 0.05). When stratified according to demographic characteristics, correlations remained high. These correlations strengthened our confidence that the panel survey participants were reflective of the cases reported to CDC and demonstrated the potential value of panel surveys to inform decision making.

美国疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)收到了关于有多少人SARS-CoV-2检测结果呈阳性的监测数据,但关于个人如何减少传播的信息却很少。为了填补这一信息空白,我们对居住在美国的具有全国代表性的成年人进行了一次基于概率的在线调查,以更好地了解个人在 SARS-CoV-2 检测结果呈阳性后的行为。鉴于小组调查的回复率通常较低,我们评估了调查数据与疾病预防控制中心 2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 3 月监测数据的吻合程度。我们使用疾病预防控制中心的监控数据计算每月的 COVID-19 病例总数,并将其与我们的调查在同一时期捕获的每月 COVID-19 病例总数进行比较。我们发现,我们的总体调查数据估计值与分析期间向疾病预防控制中心报告的每月病例数之间存在高度相关性(r:+0.94; p
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引用次数: 0
Association between SARS-CoV-2 gene specific Ct values and COVID-19 associated in-hospital mortality. SARS-CoV-2 基因特异性 Ct 值与 COVID-19 相关住院死亡率之间的关系。
Pub Date : 2024-04-26 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1375975
Mpho L Sikhosana, Richard Welch, Alfred Musekiwa, Zinhle Makatini, Joy Ebonwu, Lucille Blumberg, Waasila Jassat

Background: Since there are currently no specific SARS-CoV-2 prognostic viral biomarkers for predicting disease severity, there has been interest in using SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) cycle-threshold (Ct) values to predict disease progression.

Objective: This study assessed the association between in-hospital mortality of hospitalized COVID-19 cases and Ct-values of gene targets specific to SARS-CoV-2.

Methods: Clinical data of hospitalized COVID-19 cases from Gauteng Province from April 2020-July 2022 were obtained from a national surveillance system and linked to laboratory data. The study period was divided into pandemic waves: Asp614Gly/wave1 (7 June-22 Aug 2020); beta/wave2 (15 Nov 2020-6 Feb 2021); delta/wave3 (9 May-18 Sept 2021) and omicron/wave4 (21 Nov 2021-22 Jan 2022). Ct-value data of genes specific to SARS-CoV-2 according to testing platforms (Roche-ORF gene; GeneXpert-N2 gene; Abbott-RdRp gene) were categorized as low (Ct < 20), mid (Ct20-30) or high (Ct > 30).

Results: There were 1205 recorded cases: 836(69.4%; wave1), 122(10.1%;wave2) 21(1.7%; wave3) and 11(0.9%;in wave4). The cases' mean age(±SD) was 49 years(±18), and 662(54.9%) were female. There were 296(24.6%) deaths recorded: 241(81.4%;wave1), 27 (9.1%;wave2), 6 (2%;wave3), and 2 (0.7%;wave4) (p < 0.001). Sample distribution by testing platforms was: Roche 1,033 (85.7%), GeneXpert 169 (14%) and Abbott 3 (0.3%). The median (IQR) Ct-values according to testing platform were: Roche 26 (22-30), GeneXpert 38 (36-40) and Abbott 21 (16-24). After adjusting for sex, age and presence of a comorbidity, the odds of COVID-19 associated death were high amongst patients with Ct values 20-30[adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) 2.25; 95% CI: 1.60-3.18] and highest amongst cases with Ct-values <20 (aOR 3.18; 95% CI: 1.92-5.27), compared to cases with Ct-values >30.

Conclusion: Although odds of COVID19-related death were high amongst cases with Ct-values <30, Ct values were not comparable across different testing platforms, thus precluding the comparison of SARS-CoV-2 Ct-value results.

背景:由于目前还没有特异性的SARS-CoV-2预后病毒生物标志物来预测疾病的严重程度,因此人们对使用SARS-CoV-2聚合酶链反应(PCR)的周期阈值(Ct)来预测疾病进展产生了兴趣:本研究评估了 COVID-19 住院病例的院内死亡率与 SARS-CoV-2 特异基因靶标的 Ct 值之间的关系:从国家监测系统中获取了 2020 年 4 月至 2022 年 7 月期间豪滕省 COVID-19 住院病例的临床数据,并与实验室数据进行了关联。研究期间分为几个流行波:Asp614Gly/波1(2020 年 6 月 7 日至 8 月 22 日);beta/波2(2020 年 11 月 15 日至 2021 年 2 月 6 日);delta/波3(2021 年 5 月 9 日至 9 月 18 日)和 omicron/波4(2021 年 11 月 21 日至 2022 年 1 月 22 日)。根据检测平台(罗氏-ORF基因;GeneXpert-N2基因;雅培-RdRp基因),SARS-CoV-2特异基因的Ct值数据被归类为低值(Ct 30):有记录的病例为 1205 例:836例(69.4%;第1波)、122例(10.1%;第2波)、21例(1.7%;第3波)和11例(0.9%;第4波)。病例的平均年龄(±SD)为 49 岁(±18),662 人(54.9%)为女性。共记录了 296 例(24.6%)死亡病例:241 例(81.4%;第 1 波)、27 例(9.1%;第 2 波)、6 例(2%;第 3 波)和 2 例(0.7%;第 4 波)(P 30):尽管在 Ct 值为 1 的病例中,与 COVID19 相关的死亡几率较高,但在 Ct 值为 2 的病例中,与 COVID19 相关的死亡几率较低。
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引用次数: 0
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Frontiers in epidemiology
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