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Genetic and biomarker modulation of arterial stiffness change in the SardiNIA population cohort SardiNIA 人口队列中动脉僵化变化的基因和生物标志物调节作用
Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1295209
N. Asefa, O. Meirelles, Edward Lakatta, E. Fiorillo, A. Scuteri, F. Cucca, Michele Marongiu, A. Delitala, D. Schlessinger, L. Launer
Arterial stiffness (AS), quantified by pulse wave velocity (PWV), arises due to impaired arterial elastic tissue and smooth muscle dysfunction. We aimed to examine the longitudinal association of genetic, lipid and inflammation biomarkers with PWV and how these associations may change with aging.We utilized genotype and four time-point biomarker data from the SardiNIA cohort [n = 6,301; mean baseline age 43.3 (SD 17.3); 58% females]. To investigate the association of PWV with genetic variants, lipid, and inflammation biomarkers, we employed linear mixed modeling, using age as the time scale. Biomarkers exhibiting significant longitudinal associations were categorized into tertiles and individuals within the second tertile or those with heterozygous alleles were excluded, leaving a cohort of 2,000 individuals. This cohort was further divided into four risk groups: low genetic and low biomarker (L-L), low genetic and high biomarker (L-H), high genetic and low biomarker (H-L), and high genetic and high biomarker risk (H-H). Subsequent analyses focused on these risk groups to assess their association to PWV with time.Using the complete dataset, we found a significant longitudinal association of total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG), fibrinogen (FGN), and total white blood cell count (TWBC) with PWV, all with p < 3.33 × 10−3. After grouping, individuals with homogeneous risk alleles of SNP rs3742207 and high baseline TG levels (H-H group) exhibited a 1.39-fold higher PWV (m/s) (95% CI, 1.17–1.64, p = 1.21 × 10−4) compared to the L-L group. Similarly, individuals in the H-H group of rs3742207-TWBC combination showed 1.75 times higher PWV (95% CI, 1.48–0.2.07, p = 1.01 × 10−10) compared to the L-L group. Similar patterns were observed for groups based on SNP rs7152623-TWBC risk. Furthermore, these associations became more pronounced with increasing age (p < 3.33 × 10−3).The longitudinal association of TG and TWBC biomarkers with PWV varied by SNPs rs3742207 and rs7152623 genotype. Further studies are warranted to investigate the function of genetics, lipids, and inflammation biomarkers on PWV change.
动脉僵化(AS)由脉搏波速度(PWV)量化,是由于动脉弹性组织受损和平滑肌功能障碍引起的。我们利用 SardiNIA 队列 [n = 6301;平均基线年龄 43.3 (SD 17.3);58% 为女性] 中的基因型和四个时间点生物标记物数据,研究了脉搏波速度与遗传变异、血脂和炎症生物标记物的纵向联系,以及这些联系如何随着年龄的增长而变化。为了研究脉搏波速度与遗传变异、血脂和炎症生物标志物的关系,我们采用了线性混合模型,并以年龄作为时间尺度。表现出显著纵向关联的生物标志物被分为三等分,第二等分内的个体或具有杂合等位基因的个体被排除在外,从而形成了一个包含 2,000 名个体的队列。该队列进一步分为四个风险组:低遗传和低生物标志物(L-L)、低遗传和高生物标志物(L-H)、高遗传和低生物标志物(H-L)以及高遗传和高生物标志物风险(H-H)。通过使用完整的数据集,我们发现总胆固醇(TC)、甘油三酯(TG)、纤维蛋白原(FGN)和白细胞总数(TWBC)与脉搏波速度有显著的纵向联系,P 均小于 3.33 × 10-3。分组后,与 L-L 组相比,具有 SNP rs3742207 同源风险等位基因和高基线 TG 水平的个体(H-H 组)的脉搏波速度(m/s)高 1.39 倍(95% CI,1.17-1.64,p = 1.21 × 10-4)。同样,rs3742207-TWBC 组合的 H-H 组与 L-L 组相比,脉搏波速度高出 1.75 倍(95% CI,1.48-0.2.07,p = 1.01 × 10-10)。在基于 SNP rs7152623-TWBC 风险的组别中也观察到类似的模式。TG和TWBC生物标志物与脉搏波速度的纵向关联因SNPs rs3742207和rs7152623基因型而异。需要进一步研究遗传学、血脂和炎症生物标志物对脉搏波速度变化的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence of asymptomatic cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection in newborns in northeast Florida 佛罗里达州东北部新生儿无症状巨细胞病毒(CMV)感染率
Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1270374
R. Alissa, Nizar Maraqa, Patty D. Williams, Jennifer A. Hipp, Sfurti Nath, Nicole S. Torres, Tiffany Lee, Amr Matoq, Mobeen Rathore
Congenital cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection is the leading cause of hearing loss and neurocognitive delay among children. Affected infants may be asymptomatic at birth and even pass their universal hearing screen. Early identification of CMV-infected infants will allow earlier detection, evaluation and management. The prevalence of congenital CMV infection in the developed world varies geographically from 0.6% to 0.7% of all deliveries and certain regions are at higher risk. The prevalence of congenital CMV is unknown for our region.The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of CMV infection among the neonatal population at an urban, tertiary hospital in northeast Florida which serves a large population of patients with low socioeconomic status to assess if universal screening program for congenital asymptomatic CMV infection can be determined.The study was submitted and approved by our Institutional Review Board. We tested the urine for CMV infection in 100 asymptomatic newborns (>32 weeks gestational age and >1,750 g weight at the time of delivery) delivered between June 2016 and July 2017.Urine CMV was tested on 100 infants. One infant had a positive urine NAAT for CMV, making the prevalence of congenital CMV infection among asymptomatic newborns in our hospitals' population 1%.CMV prevalence in our setting of an urban, tertiary hospital is relatively consistent with the national average of all congenital CMV infections. A policy of universal screening for congenital CMV may be necessary.
先天性巨细胞病毒(CMV)感染是导致儿童听力损失和神经认知发育迟缓的主要原因。受感染的婴儿出生时可能没有症状,甚至可以通过通用听力筛查。及早发现 CMV 感染婴儿将有助于更早地进行检测、评估和治疗。在发达国家,先天性巨细胞病毒感染的发病率因地域而异,占所有分娩的 0.6% 至 0.7%,某些地区的发病风险更高。本研究的目的是确定佛罗里达州东北部一家城市三级医院新生儿中 CMV 感染的流行率,该医院为大量社会经济地位低下的患者提供服务,以评估是否可以确定先天性无症状 CMV 感染的普遍筛查计划。我们对2016年6月至2017年7月间分娩的100名无症状新生儿(胎龄>32周,分娩时体重>1750克)进行了尿液CMV感染检测。有一名婴儿的尿液CMV NAAT呈阳性,因此在我们医院的无症状新生儿人群中,先天性CMV感染率为1%.我们所在的城市三级医院的CMV感染率与全国所有先天性CMV感染的平均水平相对一致。可能有必要制定一项普遍筛查先天性巨细胞病毒的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Fecal carriage and genetic characteristics of carbapenem-resistant enterobacterales among adults from four provinces of China 中国四省成人耐碳青霉烯类肠杆菌的粪便携带和遗传特征
Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1304324
Yuanyuan Li, Lan Ma, Xinying Ding, Rong Zhang
Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) is a global concern. This study investigated the prevalence of fecal colonization carriage and clonal dissemination of CRE among population in four provinces of China. A total of 685 stool samples were collected from four provinces in China. Among these samples, 141 and 544 were obtained from healthy and hospitalized individuals, respectively. The overall fecal carriage rate was 9.6% (65/685) with 4.26% (95% CI: 0.9–7.6) in healthy individuals and 10.84% (95% CI: 8.2–13.5) in hospitalized patients. The highest prevalence was in Henan province (18.35%, 95% CI: 9%–18.7%). Sixty-six CRE isolates were identified in Escherichia coli (56.06%, 37/66), Klebsiella (15.15%, 10/66), Citrobacter (13.63%, 9/66), Enterobacter (12.12%, 8/66), and Atlantibacter (1.51%, 1/66). All CRE strains carried carbapenemase genes and multiple antibiotics resistance genes, blaNDM−5 (77.27%, 51/66) was the most common carbapenemase gene, followed by blaNDM−1 (19.69%, 13/66). Antibiotic resistance genes, including blaIMP−4, and the colistin colistin resistance (mcr-1) gene were also identified. All CRE isolates belonged to different sequence types (STs). ST206 (36.84%, 14/38) in E. coli and ST2270 (60%, 6/10) in Klebsiella were significantly dominant clones. The results indicated the prevalence of CRE fecal carriage among adults of China, mostly blaNDM-producing E coli, which pose significant challenges for clinical management. Screening for CRE colonization is necessary to control infection.
耐碳青霉烯类肠杆菌(CRE)是一个全球关注的问题。本研究调查了中国四个省份人群中 CRE 的粪便定植携带率和克隆传播情况。本研究从中国四个省份共采集了 685 份粪便样本。其中,141 份和 544 份分别来自健康人和住院病人。总体粪便携带率为 9.6%(65/685),其中健康人为 4.26%(95% CI:0.9-7.6),住院病人为 10.84%(95% CI:8.2-13.5)。河南省的发病率最高(18.35%,95% CI:9%-18.7%)。66 株 CRE 分离物被鉴定为大肠埃希菌(56.06%,37/66)、克雷伯氏菌(15.15%,10/66)、枸橼酸杆菌(13.63%,9/66)、肠杆菌(12.12%,8/66)和亚特兰蒂斯杆菌(1.51%,1/66)。所有 CRE 菌株都携带碳青霉烯酶基因和耐多种抗生素基因,其中 blaNDM-5 (77.27%,51/66)是最常见的碳青霉烯酶基因,其次是 blaNDM-1(19.69%,13/66)。此外,还发现了抗生素耐药基因,包括 blaIMP-4 和可乐定耐药(mcr-1)基因。所有 CRE 分离物都属于不同的序列类型(ST)。大肠杆菌中的 ST206(36.84%,14/38)和克雷伯菌中的 ST2270(60%,6/10)是明显的优势克隆。结果表明,中国成年人中普遍存在 CRE 粪便携带现象,其中大部分是产 blaNDM 的大肠杆菌,这给临床治疗带来了巨大挑战。有必要对 CRE 定植进行筛查,以控制感染。
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引用次数: 0
A community health promotion project: Amazing Race for Heart Health 社区健康促进项目:心脏健康极速赛
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1278672
Jessica A. Reese, Carla Guy, Halana Jay, T. Ali, Elisa T. Lee, Ying Zhang
American Indians have higher rates of cardiovascular disease (CVD), likely due to disproportionate burden of diabetes and limited access to widespread CVD prevention programs such as Honoring the Gift of Heart Health (HGHH), a 10-week CVD risk factor awareness curriculum. Due to its length, HGHH may be difficult to complete; therefore, we aimed to evaluate a shortened CVD risk factor awareness program based on the HGHH educational materials for American Indians residing in southwest Oklahoma, entitled “The Amazing Race for Heart Health.”We conducted an interventional study where each participant served as their own control (n = 61), with pre- and post-intervention measurements. We included American Indians from seven tribal nations in southwest Oklahoma. At two interventional meetings we used educational materials and activities from HGHH focusing on nutrition, cholesterol, diabetes, hypertension, physical activity, and heart attack warning signs. McNemar's test was used to determine the effectiveness of the intervention on raising CVD risk factor awareness.When comparing the pre- and post-survey responses, the percentage of correct responses either stayed the same or increased. Knowledge improved in 11/25 (44%, p < 0.05) domains including the difference between good and bad cholesterol and types of physical activity that can prevent CVD. When considering diabetes, knowledge increased regarding the interaction between diabetes and cholesterol in the association with CVD.These results demonstrate that the “Amazing Race for Heart Health,” a shortened CVD risk factor educational program based on the HGHH educational materials, was effective at increasing awareness regarding CVD risk factors.
美国印第安人罹患心血管疾病(CVD)的比例较高,这可能是由于他们的糖尿病负担过重,而且难以获得广泛的心血管疾病预防计划,例如为期 10 周的心血管疾病风险因素认知课程 "Honoring the Gift of Heart Health (HGHH)"。由于 HGHH 太长,可能难以完成;因此,我们的目标是评估一项基于 HGHH 教育材料的、针对居住在俄克拉荷马州西南部的美国印第安人的心血管疾病风险因素认知项目,该项目名为 "心脏健康极速竞赛"。我们的研究对象包括来自俄克拉荷马州西南部七个部落的美国印第安人。在两次干预会议上,我们使用了来自 HGHH 的教育材料和活动,重点关注营养、胆固醇、糖尿病、高血压、体育锻炼和心脏病发作的预警信号。McNemar 检验用于确定干预对提高心血管疾病风险因素认识的效果。11/25(44%,P < 0.05)个领域的知识有所提高,包括好胆固醇和坏胆固醇的区别以及可预防心血管疾病的体育锻炼类型。这些结果表明,"心脏健康极速赛跑 "是一项基于 HGHH 教育材料的心血管疾病风险因素简短教育计划,它能有效提高人们对心血管疾病风险因素的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Greedy knot selection algorithm for restricted cubic spline regression 限制性三次样条回归的贪婪节点选择算法
Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1283705
J. Arnes, Alexander Hapfelmeier, Alexander Horsch, Tonje Braaten
Non-linear regression modeling is common in epidemiology for prediction purposes or estimating relationships between predictor and response variables. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression is one such method, for example, highly relevant to Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis. RCS regression uses third-order polynomials joined at knot points to model non-linear relationships. The standard approach is to place knots by a regular sequence of quantiles between the outer boundaries. A regression curve can easily be fitted to the sample using a relatively high number of knots. The problem is then overfitting, where a regression model has a good fit to the given sample but does not generalize well to other samples. A low knot count is thus preferred. However, the standard knot selection process can lead to underperformance in the sparser regions of the predictor variable, especially when using a low number of knots. It can also lead to overfitting in the denser regions. We present a simple greedy search algorithm using a backward method for knot selection that shows reduced prediction error and Bayesian information criterion scores compared to the standard knot selection process in simulation experiments. We have implemented the algorithm as part of an open-source R-package, knutar.
非线性回归模型在流行病学中很常见,用于预测或估计预测变量与反应变量之间的关系。受限三次样条曲线(RCS)回归就是这样一种方法,例如,它与 Cox 比例危险回归模型分析高度相关。RCS 回归使用在结点处连接的三阶多项式来模拟非线性关系。标准的方法是在外侧边界之间按定量的规则序列放置结点。使用相对较多的结点可以很容易地将回归曲线拟合到样本中。这样就会出现过度拟合的问题,即回归模型与给定样本拟合良好,但不能很好地推广到其他样本。因此,我们倾向于使用较少的结点数。然而,标准的结点选择过程可能会导致预测变量的稀疏区域表现不佳,尤其是在使用较少的结点数时。在密度较高的区域,它还可能导致过度拟合。我们介绍了一种简单的贪婪搜索算法,该算法使用了一种用于选择结点的后向方法,在模拟实验中,与标准结点选择过程相比,预测误差和贝叶斯信息标准得分都有所降低。我们已将该算法作为开源 R 软件包 knutar 的一部分加以实现。
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引用次数: 0
A stronger association of depression with rheumatoid arthritis in presence of obesity and hypertriglyceridemia. 肥胖和高甘油三酯血症患者的抑郁症与类风湿性关节炎的关系更为密切。
Pub Date : 2023-12-15 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1216497
Grayden Shand, Daniel T Fuller, Leon Lufkin, Carly Lovelett, Nabendu Pal, Sumona Mondal, Shantanu Sur

Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is an autoimmune disorder characterized by chronic and systemic inflammation. Recent research underscores the role of chronic inflammation in multiple common RA comorbidities such as depression, obesity, and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), suggesting a potential overlap of the pathogenic mechanisms for RA. However, it is not well understood how the coexistence of these comorbid conditions impacts the risk of RA and whether any such association relates to body's inflammatory state.

Methods: We used data from the 2007-2010 United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database and compared RA prevalence between subsamples with the presence of any two conditions among depression, obesity, and hypertriglyceridemia (HTG). Each subsample was further divided into three categories based on the serum level of the inflammatory marker C-reactive protein (CRP) and analyzed for statistically significant differences using three-way χ2 tests of independence.

Results: The study was conducted on 4,136 patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria (representing 163,540,241 individuals after adjustment for sampling weights). Rates of depression, obesity, and HTG were found to be significantly higher (P < 0.001) among the subjects with RA compared with the control population with no arthritis. The presence of depression along with obesity or HTG showed a noticeably higher RA prevalence but such an association was not observed for the combination of obesity and HTG. The synergistic effect of HTG with depression was found to be most prominent at a medium CRP level (1-3 mg/L), while for obesity, the effect was observed across all CRP levels examined. These findings were further confirmed by the three-way χ2 test for independence.

Conclusions: The presence of obesity or HTG in subjects suffering from depression might pose an increased risk of RA. Inflammatory mechanisms potentially play an important underlying role as suggested by the strong dependency of the association to CRP level. Identification of synergistic associations between RA risk conditions could provide useful information to predict the development and progress of RA.

背景:类风湿性关节炎(RA)是一种以慢性和全身性炎症为特征的自身免疫性疾病。最近的研究强调了慢性炎症在多种常见的类风湿性关节炎合并症(如抑郁症、肥胖症和心血管疾病)中的作用,这表明类风湿性关节炎的致病机制可能存在重叠。然而,人们对这些并发症如何影响RA的患病风险,以及这些并发症是否与身体的炎症状态有关并不十分清楚:我们使用了 2007-2010 年美国国家健康与营养调查(NHANES)数据库的数据,比较了患有抑郁症、肥胖症和高甘油三酯血症(HTG)中任何两种疾病的子样本之间的 RA 患病率。根据血清中炎症标志物C反应蛋白(CRP)的水平,将每个子样本进一步分为三类,并使用三向χ2独立性检验分析其统计学差异:研究对象为符合纳入标准的 4,136 名患者(调整抽样权重后代表 163,540,241 人)。研究发现,抑郁症、肥胖症和高血压的发病率明显较高(P χ2独立性检验):结论:患有抑郁症的受试者如果存在肥胖或高血压,可能会增加罹患 RA 的风险。炎症机制可能起着重要的潜在作用,这一点从与 CRP 水平的强相关性中可以看出。确定 RA 风险条件之间的协同关联可为预测 RA 的发展和进展提供有用信息。
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引用次数: 0
Tracking SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity in rural communities using blood-fed mosquitoes: a proof-of-concept study. 利用喂血蚊子追踪农村社区的 SARS-CoV-2 血清阳性反应:概念验证研究。
Pub Date : 2023-12-13 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1243691
Benjamin J Krajacich, Djibril Samaké, Adama Dao, Moussa Diallo, Zana Lamissa Sanogo, Alpha Seydou Yaro, Amatigue Zeguime, Josué Poudiougo, Kadiatou Cissé, Mamadou Traoré, Alassane Dit Assitoun, Roy Faiman, Irfan Zaidi, John Woodford, Patrick E Duffy, Tovi Lehmann

Background: The spread of SARS-CoV-2 cannot be well monitored and understood in areas without capacity for effective disease surveillance. Countries with a young population will have disproportionately large numbers of asymptomatic or pauci-symptomatic infections, further hindering detection of infection. Sero-surveillance on a country-wide scale by trained medical professionals may be limited in a resource-limited setting such as Mali. Novel ways of broadly sampling the human population in a non-invasive method would allow for large-scale surveillance at a reduced cost.

Approach: Here we evaluate the collection of naturally blood-fed mosquitoes to test for human anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the laboratory and at five field locations in Mali.

Results: Immunoglobulin-G antibodies to multiple SARS-CoV-2 antigens were readily detected in mosquito bloodmeals by bead-based immunoassay through at least 10 h after feeding [mean sensitivity of 0.92 (95% CI 0.78-1) and mean specificity of 0.98 (95% CI 0.88-1)], indicating that most blood-fed mosquitoes collected indoors during early morning hours (and likely to have fed the previous night) are viable samples for analysis. We found that reactivity to four SARS-CoV-2 antigens rose during the pandemic from pre-pandemic levels. The crude seropositivity of blood sampled via mosquitoes was 6.3% in October and November 2020 across all sites, and increased to 25.1% overall by February 2021, with the most urban site reaching 46.7%, consistent with independent venous blood-based sero-surveillance estimates.

Conclusions: We have demonstrated that using mosquito bloodmeals, country-wide sero-surveillance of human diseases (both vector-borne and non-vector-borne) is possible in areas where human-biting mosquitoes are common, offering an informative, cost-effective, and non-invasive sampling option.

背景:在没有能力进行有效疾病监测的地区,无法很好地监测和了解 SARS-CoV-2 的传播情况。在人口年轻的国家,无症状或症状轻微的感染者人数会特别多,这进一步阻碍了对感染的检测。在马里这样资源有限的环境中,由训练有素的专业医务人员在全国范围内进行血清监测可能会受到限制。采用无创方法对人群进行广泛采样的新方法可以降低成本,进行大规模监测:方法:我们在马里的实验室和五个实地地点对采集自然采血蚊子以检测人类抗 SARS-CoV-2 抗体的方法进行了评估:结果:通过基于珠子的免疫测定法,在蚊子喂食后至少 10 小时内的血浆中很容易检测到多种 SARS-CoV-2 抗原的免疫球蛋白-G 抗体[平均灵敏度为 0.92 (95% CI 0.78-1),平均特异性为 0.98 (95% CI 0.88-1)],这表明大多数清晨在室内采集的喂血蚊子(很可能在前一天晚上喂食过)都是可以进行分析的样本。我们发现,在大流行期间,对四种 SARS-CoV-2 抗原的反应性比大流行前的水平有所上升。2020 年 10 月和 11 月,所有地点通过蚊子采样的血液粗血清阳性率为 6.3%,到 2021 年 2 月,总体血清阳性率上升到 25.1%,其中最城市的地点达到 46.7%,与独立的静脉血血清监测估计值一致:我们已经证明,在蚊虫叮咬常见的地区,利用蚊子血样可以在全国范围内对人类疾病(病媒传播和非病媒传播)进行血清监测,提供了一种信息丰富、成本效益高且非侵入性的采样选择。
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引用次数: 0
State-level public health preparedness indices as predictors of COVID-19 mortality outcomes: results from the United States of America in 2020 州一级公共卫生准备指数作为 COVID-19 死亡结果的预测因素:2020 年美利坚合众国的结果
Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1229718
Matthew R. Boyce
This study evaluates associations between state-level preparedness indices and reported COVID-19-related mortality outcomes in all 50 states and the District of Columbia in the United States of America during three distinct time periods throughout the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. State-level preparedness data for the year 2019 were gathered from the National Health Security Preparedness and Trust for America's Health Indices, and COVID-19-related mortality data for March–December 2020 (i.e., excess mortality and reported COVID-19 mortality rates) were collected in May 2022. Linear regression analyses were conducted to examine associations during three distinct time periods. Statistically significant positive associations were observed between both indices and reported COVID-19 mortality rates during the first time period. A statistically significant negative association was observed between one preparedness index and excess mortality during the second time period. No other significant associations existed for the outcomes or time periods considered in this analysis. These results demonstrate that state-level preparedness indices were not well attuned to COVID-19-related mortality outcomes during the first year of the pandemic. This suggests that current measures of state-level preparedness may be underinclusive and require a reconceptualization to improve their utility for public health practice.
本研究评估了在 COVID-19 大流行的第一年,美国所有 50 个州和哥伦比亚特区在三个不同时间段内的州级准备指数与所报告的 COVID-19 相关死亡率结果之间的关联。2019 年的州一级准备情况数据收集自国家卫生安全准备情况和美国健康信托指数,2020 年 3 月至 12 月的 COVID-19 相关死亡率数据(即超额死亡率和报告的 COVID-19 死亡率)收集自 2022 年 5 月。我们进行了线性回归分析,以研究三个不同时间段内的关联。在第一个时间段内,两个指数与报告的 COVID-19 死亡率之间存在统计意义上的正相关。在第二个时间段内,一项准备指数与超额死亡率之间存在具有统计学意义的负相关。在本分析所考虑的结果或时间段内,不存在其他重大关联。这些结果表明,在大流行的第一年,州一级的准备指数与 COVID-19 相关的死亡率结果并不匹配。这表明,目前的州级防备措施可能缺乏包容性,需要重新构思以提高其在公共卫生实践中的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Incidence and predictors of treatment interruption among patients on anti-tuberculosis treatment in Nekemte public healthcare facilities, Oromia, Western Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西部奥罗米亚州 Nekemte 公共医疗机构中接受抗结核治疗的患者中断治疗的发生率和预测因素
Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1234865
Robsan Gudeta Getachew, Tadesse Tolossa, Z. Teklemariam, Angefa Ayele, H. S. Roba
Tuberculosis treatment interruption increases the risk of poor treatment outcomes and the occurrence of drug resistant Tuberculosis. However, data on the incidence and predictors of tuberculosis treatment interruption are still scarce in Ethiopia, as well as in the study area. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of treatment interruption among patients on tuberculosis treatment in Nekemte public healthcare facilities, Oromia region, Western Ethiopia, from July 1, 2017, to June 30, 2021.A retrospective cohort study design was conducted among 800 patients enrolled in anti-tuberculosis treatment during the study period. Data were collected from patient cards who were enrolled in treatment from July 1, 2017 to June 30, 2021. Epidata version 3.2 was used for data entry, and STATA version 14 was used for analysis. A multivariable Cox regression model with a 95% confidence interval (CI) and adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) was used to identify the significant predictors at a p value < 0.05. Finally, the log likelihood ratio, and a Cox-Snell residual graph was used to check the adequacy of the model.A total of 800 patients were followed for a median time of 2.3 (95% CI: 2.20–2.36) months, and with a maximum follow-up time of 11.7 months. The overall incidence rate of treatment interruption was 27.4 per 1000 (95% CI: 22.8–32.8) person-month observations. Age 18–34 years (AHR = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.02–3.18), male (AHR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.1–2.42), rural residence (AHR = 3, 95% CI: 1.98–4.64), presence of comorbidity (AHR = 10, 95% CI: 5.47–18.27) and lack of treatment supporters on the treatment follow-up (AHR = 2.82, 95% CI: 1.9–4.41) were found to be significant predictors of treatment interruption.A high incidence rate of interruption was observed among TB patients in public health facilities in Nekemte town. Health facilities should provide supportive care for patients with co-morbidities and consider interventions that target middle-aged patients from rural areas that reduce treatment interruptions.
结核病治疗中断增加了不良治疗结果和耐药结核病发生的风险。然而,在埃塞俄比亚和研究地区,关于结核病治疗中断的发病率和预测因素的数据仍然很少。因此,本研究旨在评估2017年7月1日至2021年6月30日在埃塞俄比亚西部奥罗米亚地区Nekemte公共医疗机构接受结核病治疗的患者中治疗中断的发生率和预测因素。在研究期间,对800名接受抗结核治疗的患者进行了回顾性队列研究设计。数据收集自2017年7月1日至2021年6月30日登记治疗的患者卡。数据录入采用Epidata 3.2版本,分析采用STATA 14版本。采用95%置信区间(CI)和校正风险比(AHR)的多变量Cox回归模型识别p值< 0.05的显著性预测因子。最后,使用对数似然比和Cox-Snell残差图来检验模型的充分性。共有800例患者被随访,中位时间为2.3个月(95% CI: 2.20-2.36),最长随访时间为11.7个月。治疗中断的总发生率为27.4 / 1000 (95% CI: 22.8-32.8)人月观察。年龄18-34岁(AHR = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.02-3.18)、男性(AHR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.1-2.42)、农村居住(AHR = 3, 95% CI: 1.98-4.64)、是否存在共病(AHR = 10, 95% CI: 5.47-18.27)和在治疗随访中缺乏治疗支持者(AHR = 2.82, 95% CI: 1.9-4.41)是治疗中断的重要预测因素。在Nekemte镇的公共卫生设施中,结核病患者中断治疗的发生率很高。卫生机构应为患有合并症的患者提供支持性护理,并考虑针对农村地区中年患者的干预措施,以减少治疗中断。
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引用次数: 0
Prognostic algorithms for post-discharge readmission and mortality among mother-infant dyads: an observational study protocol 母婴二人组出院后再入院和死亡率的预后算法:观察研究方案
Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2023.1233323
M. Wiens, J. Trawin, Yashodani Pillay, Vuong Nguyen, C. Komugisha, N. Kenya-Mugisha, Angella Namala, L. Bebell, J. Ansermino, N. Kissoon, Beth Payne, M. Vidler, Astrid Christoffersen-Deb, Pascal M. Lavoie, J. Ngonzi
In low-income country settings, the first six weeks after birth remain a critical period of vulnerability for both mother and newborn. Despite recommendations for routine follow-up after delivery and facility discharge, few mothers and newborns receive guideline recommended care during this period. Prediction modelling of post-delivery outcomes has the potential to improve outcomes for both mother and newborn by identifying high-risk dyads, improving risk communication, and informing a patient-centered approach to postnatal care interventions. This study aims to derive post-discharge risk prediction algorithms that identify mother-newborn dyads who are at risk of re-admission or death in the first six weeks after delivery at a health facility.This prospective observational study will enroll 7,000 mother-newborn dyads from two regional referral hospitals in southwestern and eastern Uganda. Women and adolescent girls aged 12 and above delivering singletons and twins at the study hospitals will be eligible to participate. Candidate predictor variables will be collected prospectively by research nurses. Outcomes will be captured six weeks following delivery through a follow-up phone call, or an in-person visit if not reachable by phone. Two separate sets of prediction models will be built, one set of models for newborn outcomes and one set for maternal outcomes. Derivation of models will be based on optimization of the area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC) and specificity using an elastic net regression modelling approach. Internal validation will be conducted using 10-fold cross-validation. Our focus will be on the development of parsimonious models (5–10 predictor variables) with high sensitivity (>80%). AUROC, sensitivity, and specificity will be reported for each model, along with positive and negative predictive values.The current recommendations for routine postnatal care are largely absent of benefit to most mothers and newborns due to poor adherence. Data-driven improvements to postnatal care can facilitate a more patient-centered approach to such care. Increasing digitization of facility care across low-income settings can further facilitate the integration of prediction algorithms as decision support tools for routine care, leading to improved quality and efficiency. Such strategies are urgently required to improve newborn and maternal postnatal outcomes. https://clinicaltrials.gov/, identifier (NCT05730387).
在低收入国家的环境中,产后六周仍然是母亲和新生儿易受伤害的关键时期。尽管建议在分娩和出院后进行常规随访,但很少有母亲和新生儿在此期间接受指南推荐的护理。产后结果预测模型可通过识别高危人群、改善风险沟通以及为以患者为中心的产后护理干预提供信息,从而改善产妇和新生儿的预后。这项前瞻性观察研究将从乌干达西南部和东部的两家地区转诊医院招募 7000 名产妇和新生儿。在研究医院分娩单胎和双胞胎的 12 岁及以上妇女和少女均有资格参与。候选预测变量将由研究护士进行前瞻性收集。结果将在分娩后六周通过电话随访收集,如果电话联系不上,则进行面访。将建立两套独立的预测模型,一套用于预测新生儿的结果,另一套用于预测产妇的结果。模型的推导将基于使用弹性网回归建模方法对接收者运算曲线下面积(AUROC)和特异性的优化。内部验证将采用 10 倍交叉验证。我们将重点开发灵敏度高(>80%)的简约模型(5-10 个预测变量)。我们将报告每个模型的 AUROC、灵敏度和特异性,以及阳性和阴性预测值。以数据为导向的产后护理改进措施可以促进以患者为中心的产后护理。在低收入环境中,设施护理的数字化程度不断提高,可进一步促进预测算法的整合,使其成为常规护理的决策支持工具,从而提高护理质量和效率。https://clinicaltrials.gov/, identifier (NCT05730387)。
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Frontiers in epidemiology
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