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Predicting dementia risk using neuroimaging and cognitive assessment. 使用神经影像学和认知评估预测痴呆风险。
Pub Date : 2025-11-07 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100040
Yu Wang, William Guiler, Ankit Patel, Sam Pepper, Nithmi Walpitage, Isuru Ratnayake, Robyn Honea, Dinesh Pal Mudaranthakam

Introduction: Dementia affects over 55 million people globally, with numbers expected to double in the coming decades. Early detection is critical, yet traditional risk assessments relying on age, family history, and basic cognitive tests often fall short. This study explores whether combining structural brain imaging with brief cognitive assessments can more accurately predict dementia risk.

Method: Using data from 312 older adults enrolled in the KU Alzheimer's Disease Center cohort, researchers evaluated two modeling approaches: one based on a single clinic visit and another using longitudinal data across multiple visits. Participants underwent cognitive testing and MRI scans, including measures of hippocampal volume, gray matter, and Alzheimer's disease signature regions. Depressive symptoms were also assessed using the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS).

Results: Results showed that models incorporating neuroimaging significantly outperformed those using demographics or cognitive scores alone. The best-performing model combined imaging and cognitive data, achieving 77.6% accuracy in predicting dementia status. Longitudinal models further improved prediction by capturing changes over time, with imaging features contributing most to explained variance. Key predictors included reduced hippocampal volume, lower gray matter, and higher GDS scores. These findings align with known patterns of neurodegeneration and suggest that depression may interact with brain changes to influence dementia risk.

Conclusion: Importantly, the study demonstrates that a compact, multimodal approaching standard MRI scans with brief cognitive tests-can generate individualized risk profiles suitable for clinical use. This method offers a scalable path to early intervention, trial enrollment, and personalized care planning. Future work will focus on validating these models in more diverse populations and integrating fluid biomarkers to enhance precision. Ultimately, this research supports the development of practical tools for forecasting dementia risk and advancing preventive strategies in aging populations.

导言:痴呆症影响着全球5500多万人,预计未来几十年这一数字将翻一番。早期发现是至关重要的,但传统的风险评估依赖于年龄、家族史和基本的认知测试往往不足。本研究探讨脑结构成像与简短认知评估相结合是否能更准确地预测痴呆风险。方法:研究人员使用来自堪萨斯大学阿尔茨海默病中心队列的312名老年人的数据,评估了两种建模方法:一种基于单次门诊就诊,另一种使用多次就诊的纵向数据。参与者接受了认知测试和核磁共振扫描,包括测量海马体积、灰质和阿尔茨海默病的特征区域。抑郁症状也使用老年抑郁量表(GDS)进行评估。结果:结果表明,结合神经影像学的模型明显优于单独使用人口统计学或认知评分的模型。表现最好的模型结合了影像学和认知数据,预测痴呆状态的准确率达到77.6%。纵向模型通过捕获随时间的变化进一步改进了预测,成像特征对解释方差贡献最大。主要预测因素包括海马体积减少、灰质减少和GDS评分升高。这些发现与已知的神经变性模式一致,表明抑郁症可能与大脑变化相互作用,从而影响痴呆症的风险。结论:重要的是,该研究表明,一个紧凑的,多模态接近标准的MRI扫描与简短的认知测试,可以产生适合临床使用的个性化风险概况。这种方法为早期干预、试验登记和个性化护理计划提供了可扩展的途径。未来的工作将侧重于在更多样化的人群中验证这些模型,并整合流体生物标志物以提高精度。最终,这项研究支持了预测老年痴呆症风险和推进老年人群预防策略的实用工具的开发。
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引用次数: 0
A 10-week physical therapist-supervised exercise program for nursing home residents with dementia: a single arm, observational feasibility study. 一项为期10周的理疗师监督下的老年痴呆症养老院居民锻炼计划:单组观察性可行性研究。
Pub Date : 2025-11-03 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100043
Dennis Boer, Bente Winkler, Charlotte Schmidt, Shanty Sterke, Wilco Achterberg, Thea Vliet Vlieland

Background: Evidence on the effectiveness of exercise interventions for nursing home residence with dementia is scarce, with considerable practice variation with respect to their contents and dosage. This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of an adequately dosed, personalized exercise intervention with respect to the assessment instruments, participants' adherence and the occurrence of serious adverse events (primary feasibility outcomes) as well as the participant recruitment and participants' and supervisors' perceptions and experiences (secondary feasibility outcomes).

Design: Single-arm observational study.

Setting: Two nursing homes in Haarlem, the Netherlands.

Participants: Nursing home residents with a confirmed diagnosis of dementia who were able to walk 50 meters (with or without walking aid), without expected resistance to the intervention.

Intervention: 10-week program, with two group-based sessions including strength and balance exercises, and two individual exergaming cycling sessions per week. The sessions were tailored to the participant via standardized assessments and supervised by a physical therapist.

Results: Of 59 residents screened, 11 enrolled. Four of six clinical assessments were completed by all, and two by nine and ten participants, respectively. Nine participants completed both components, one only the individual exergaming part, and one participant dropped out. Adherence rates were 92 % for the group and 87 % for the individual sessions. Among 137 reported adverse events, nine were possibly related to the intervention, all minor and transient. The median participant appraisal score was 4.3 (out of five). Supervisors highlighted dementia-specific knowledge, individualized communication, and tailored approaches as facilitators, while scheduling conflicts posed challenges.

Conclusion: A 10-week, personalized, physical therapist-led exercise program for nursing home residents with dementia is feasible, with high adherence and positive evaluations. A pilot study to refine the recruitment and intervention procedures as well as pre-and post-intervention outcome measurements is needed prior to scaling up to a larger clinical trial assessing effectiveness.

背景:关于运动干预对养老院痴呆患者有效性的证据很少,在其内容和剂量方面存在相当大的实践差异。本研究旨在评估适当剂量的个性化运动干预的可行性,包括评估工具、参与者的依从性和严重不良事件的发生(主要可行性结果),以及参与者招募和参与者和主管的感知和经验(次要可行性结果)。设计:单臂观察性研究。背景:位于荷兰哈勒姆的两家养老院。参与者:被确诊为痴呆症的养老院居民,他们能够行走50米(有或没有助行器),对干预没有预期的抵抗。干预:为期10周的计划,包括两个小组会议,包括力量和平衡练习,以及每周两次个人健身自行车会议。这些课程是通过标准化评估为参与者量身定制的,并由物理治疗师监督。结果:59名住院医师中,11名入组。6项临床评估中的4项全部完成,2项分别由9名和10名参与者完成。九名参与者完成了两个部分,一人只完成了个人游戏部分,还有一名参与者退出了。小组的依从率为92%,个人疗程的依从率为87%。在137例报告的不良事件中,9例可能与干预有关,均为轻微且短暂的。参与者评价得分中位数为4.3分(满分5分)。作为辅导员,导师强调痴呆症的具体知识、个性化沟通和量身定制的方法,而安排冲突则构成挑战。结论:一个为期10周,个性化的,由物理治疗师主导的老年痴呆症养老院居民锻炼计划是可行的,具有很高的依从性和积极的评价。在扩大到评估有效性的更大规模临床试验之前,需要进行一项试点研究,以完善招募和干预程序以及干预前后的结果测量。
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引用次数: 0
Erratum regarding previously published articles. 关于以前发表的文章的勘误。
Pub Date : 2025-10-24 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100029

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100003.].

[这更正了文章DOI: 10.1016/j.j jarlif.2025.100003.]。
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引用次数: 0
Swallowing behavior response to semi-solid foods with different textural properties in healthy older adults: an open-label randomized crossover trial. 健康老年人对不同质地的半固体食物的吞咽行为反应:一项开放标签随机交叉试验
Pub Date : 2025-10-24 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100038
Masashi Tsujimoto, Tomoko Hisajima, Saho Matsuda, Keisuke Suzuki, Tomoya Shimokakimoto, Yoshio Toyama

Background: Semi-solid foods are widely consumed by older adults, yet the influence of their physical properties on swallowing remains unclear.

Objectives: To examine how variations in shape retention and spreadability affect swallowing in adults aged ≥75 years.

Design: An open-label randomized crossover trial with two food tests.

Setting: Controlled experimental setting.

Participants and numbers analyzed: Test 1 enrolled 21 adults and Test 2 enrolled 28; after exclusions, 14 and 16 were analyzed (mean ages 81.6 and 78.6 years).

Interventions: Participants ingested three semi-solid foods (P, Q, S) differing in physical properties.

Outcomes: Primary outcomes were oral processing time (OPT) and swallowing duration (SD), measured by a neck-worn electronic stethoscope and synchronized video. Secondary outcomes were subjective ratings of swallowing ease and food properties. Medians of five bites were analyzed, and first-fifth bite differences assessed.

Results: Subjective ratings differed only in collectability in Test 2. In Test 1, OPT was longer for P than Q (median difference 1.04 s, 95 % CI 0.15-2.04; p = 0.030). In Test 2, OPT was longer for S than P (median difference -1.88 s, -2.81 to -0.74; p = 0.001). SD did not differ significantly. With repeated swallows, OPT variance increased and SD variance decreased for P and Q, while both increased for S.

Harms: None observed.

Conclusions: Semi-solid food properties affect swallowing in older adults. Shape retention contributes to distinct swallowing patterns, supporting individualized food selection to promote safe intake.

Trial registration: UMIN000053442, UMIN000056840.

背景:老年人广泛食用半固体食物,但其物理性质对吞咽的影响尚不清楚。目的:研究≥75岁成人的形状保持和伸展变化对吞咽的影响。设计:开放标签随机交叉试验,两种食品试验。设置:受控实验设置。参与者和数据分析:测试1招募了21名成年人,测试2招募了28名;排除后,分析14例和16例(平均年龄81.6岁和78.6岁)。干预措施:参与者摄入三种物理性质不同的半固体食物(P, Q, S)。结果:主要结果是口腔处理时间(OPT)和吞咽持续时间(SD),由颈部佩戴的电子听诊器和同步视频测量。次要结果是主观评定吞咽容易程度和食物特性。分析五次咬伤的中位数,并评估第一至第五次咬伤的差异。结果:主观评分仅在测试2的可收集性上存在差异。在检验1中,P比Q的OPT更长(中位数差1.04 s, 95% CI 0.15-2.04; P = 0.030)。在测试2中,S比P的OPT时间更长(中位数差-1.88 S, -2.81至-0.74;P = 0.001)。SD无显著差异。重复吞咽后,P和Q的OPT方差增加,SD方差减少,而S.Harms的OPT方差和SD方差均增加。结论:半固体食物的特性影响老年人的吞咽。形状保留有助于独特的吞咽模式,支持个性化的食物选择,以促进安全摄入。试验注册:UMIN000053442、UMIN000056840。
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引用次数: 0
Interest of body composition assessment in the accuracy of the diagnosis of undernutrition in the older population in Senegal: A cross-sectional and prospective study. 身体成分评估对塞内加尔老年人营养不良诊断准确性的影响:一项横断面和前瞻性研究。
Pub Date : 2025-10-23 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100030
Sandra J Bitchoka Mbea, Maïmouna Touré, Claude Stephan Ohandza, Mamadou Coume

Introduction: In the absence of consensus on the diagnostic criteria for undernutrition in the elderly, there is a significant number of missing cases of disease in this target, particularly in areas with limited resources, including Senegal. We wanted to contribute to a better diagnostic approach to undernutrition in the elderly, by determining the relevance of body composition assessment using BIA.

Design: Cross-sectional and prospective study.

Setting and participants: Individuals aged ≥ 60 years old, attending outpatient consultations at Fann University Hospital and the Retirement Provident health Center (IPRES), who were able to stand for 3 min without technical and/or human assistance were included.

Methods: We used the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) and Body Mass Index (BMI) to determine the prevalence of undernutrition and a Tanita BC 601® brand body composition monitor to assess body composition. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 29.0.

Results: We included 73 individuals with a mean age of 72.48 ± 7.23 years old, predominantly male, with a sex ratio of 1.43. Undernutrition, the main geriatric syndrome, affected 46.6 % of the study subjects according to the MNA and/or BMI, including two- thirds in men. The mean lean mass index was 16.07 ± 3.03 kg/m² in men and 15.53 ± 2.51 kg/m² in women. It was significantly lower in cases of malnutrition, with an average of 14.38 ± 2.82 kg/m² among malnourished elderly individuals.

Conclusion: Malnutrition in the elderly is best assessed early by a combination of diagnostic tools including MNA, BMI and lean mass index assessed by BIA.

导言:由于对老年人营养不良的诊断标准缺乏共识,在这一目标中,特别是在资源有限的地区,包括塞内加尔,有大量的疾病病例未被发现。我们希望通过使用BIA确定身体成分评估的相关性,为老年人营养不良的更好诊断方法做出贡献。设计:横断面前瞻性研究。环境和参与者:年龄≥60岁,在范恩大学医院和退休保健中心(IPRES)参加门诊咨询的个人,在没有技术和/或人工帮助的情况下能够站立3分钟。方法:我们使用迷你营养评估(MNA)和身体质量指数(BMI)来确定营养不良的患病率,并使用Tanita BC 601®品牌身体成分监测仪来评估身体成分。数据分析采用SPSS 29.0版本。结果:纳入73例患者,平均年龄72.48±7.23岁,男性居多,性别比为1.43。根据MNA和/或BMI,营养不良,主要的老年综合症,影响了46.6%的研究对象,其中包括三分之二的男性。男性平均瘦体质指数为16.07±3.03 kg/m²,女性平均瘦体质指数为15.53±2.51 kg/m²。在营养不良的情况下,平均为14.38±2.82 kg/m²。结论:结合MNA、BMI和BIA评估的瘦质量指数等诊断工具,对老年人营养不良的早期诊断效果最好。
{"title":"Interest of body composition assessment in the accuracy of the diagnosis of undernutrition in the older population in Senegal: A cross-sectional and prospective study.","authors":"Sandra J Bitchoka Mbea, Maïmouna Touré, Claude Stephan Ohandza, Mamadou Coume","doi":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100030","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100030","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>In the absence of consensus on the diagnostic criteria for undernutrition in the elderly, there is a significant number of missing cases of disease in this target, particularly in areas with limited resources, including Senegal. We wanted to contribute to a better diagnostic approach to undernutrition in the elderly, by determining the relevance of body composition assessment using BIA.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Cross-sectional and prospective study.</p><p><strong>Setting and participants: </strong>Individuals aged ≥ 60 years old, attending outpatient consultations at Fann University Hospital and the Retirement Provident health Center (IPRES), who were able to stand for 3 min without technical and/or human assistance were included.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) and Body Mass Index (BMI) to determine the prevalence of undernutrition and a Tanita BC 601® brand body composition monitor to assess body composition. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 29.0.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We included 73 individuals with a mean age of 72.48 ± 7.23 years old, predominantly male, with a sex ratio of 1.43. Undernutrition, the main geriatric syndrome, affected 46.6 % of the study subjects according to the MNA and/or BMI, including two- thirds in men. The mean lean mass index was 16.07 ± 3.03 kg/m² in men and 15.53 ± 2.51 kg/m² in women. It was significantly lower in cases of malnutrition, with an average of 14.38 ± 2.82 kg/m² among malnourished elderly individuals.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Malnutrition in the elderly is best assessed early by a combination of diagnostic tools including MNA, BMI and lean mass index assessed by BIA.</p>","PeriodicalId":73537,"journal":{"name":"JAR life","volume":"14 ","pages":"100030"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12593688/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145484085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dementia risk prediction in the general population: external validation of a prediction model in the population-based LifeLines Cohort Study. 一般人群的痴呆风险预测:基于人群的生命线队列研究中预测模型的外部验证
Pub Date : 2025-09-26 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100028
Ingeborg Frentz, Sofia Marcolini, Silvan Licher, Peter Paul De Deyn, Mohammad Arfan Ikram

Background: Models for dementia prediction in primary care are necessary to identify individuals at risk for developing dementia, but their implementation in clinical practice is partly limited due to lack of external validation or use of high-cost variables. We externally validated the predictive performance of a simple yet promising dementia risk prediction model.

Methods: We assessed discriminative ability with a c-statistic with 95 % confidence interval, using age, history of stroke, subjective memory complaints and need for assistance with a relatively complex task as predictors. This was done on 10,007 individuals that participated in the Lifelines-cohort study. Assessment of dementia in the Lifelines Cohort Study is self-reported in the follow-up questionnaires.

Results: Mean follow-up at LifeLines timepoint 1b was 1.5 years, mean follow-up at LifeLines timepoint 2a was 3.3 years and mean follow-up at LifeLines timepoint 3a was 9.1 years. Overall, 36 participants self-reported dementia development. Discriminative ability of the model overall dementia development yielded a c-statistic of 0.62 [95 % CI=0.48-0.70], and performed slightly better at follow-up 2a 0.67 [95 % CI=0.57-0.78]. However, calibration of the model in this external validation cohort was poor, with systematic overestimation of the predicted risk.

Conclusion: In this study the basic dementia risk prediction model overestimated the risk of dementia, but had reasonable discriminative ability in the Lifelines cohort. Within this validation cohort the potential of the model is underestimated due to low incidence of reported dementia. Further validation is required to determine the true value of the model. Studies assessing its implementation feasibility in primary care should also be conducted.

背景:在初级保健中,痴呆预测模型对于识别有痴呆风险的个体是必要的,但由于缺乏外部验证或使用高成本变量,它们在临床实践中的实施在一定程度上受到限制。我们从外部验证了一个简单但有前途的痴呆症风险预测模型的预测性能。方法:以年龄、卒中史、主观记忆抱怨和相对复杂任务需要帮助为预测因素,采用95%置信区间的c统计量评估患者的判别能力。这是在10,007个人身上完成的,他们参加了生命线队列研究。在生命线队列研究中,痴呆的评估是在随访问卷中自我报告的。结果:基线时间点1b的平均随访时间为1.5年,基线时间点2a的平均随访时间为3.3年,基线时间点3a的平均随访时间为9.1年。总体而言,36名参与者自我报告了痴呆症的发展。模型总体痴呆发展的判别能力的c统计量为0.62 [95% CI=0.48-0.70],在随访2a时的判别能力略好,为0.67 [95% CI=0.57-0.78]。然而,在这个外部验证队列中,模型的校准很差,系统地高估了预测的风险。结论:在本研究中,基础痴呆风险预测模型高估了痴呆的风险,但在生命线队列中具有合理的判别能力。在这个验证队列中,由于报告的痴呆发病率低,该模型的潜力被低估了。需要进一步验证以确定模型的真实值。还应进行评估其在初级保健中实施可行性的研究。
{"title":"Dementia risk prediction in the general population: external validation of a prediction model in the population-based LifeLines Cohort Study.","authors":"Ingeborg Frentz, Sofia Marcolini, Silvan Licher, Peter Paul De Deyn, Mohammad Arfan Ikram","doi":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100028","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100028","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Models for dementia prediction in primary care are necessary to identify individuals at risk for developing dementia, but their implementation in clinical practice is partly limited due to lack of external validation or use of high-cost variables. We externally validated the predictive performance of a simple yet promising dementia risk prediction model.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We assessed discriminative ability with a <i>c</i>-statistic with 95 % confidence interval, using age, history of stroke, subjective memory complaints and need for assistance with a relatively complex task as predictors. This was done on 10,007 individuals that participated in the Lifelines-cohort study. Assessment of dementia in the Lifelines Cohort Study is self-reported in the follow-up questionnaires.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Mean follow-up at LifeLines timepoint 1b was 1.5 years, mean follow-up at LifeLines timepoint 2a was 3.3 years and mean follow-up at LifeLines timepoint 3a was 9.1 years. Overall, 36 participants self-reported dementia development. Discriminative ability of the model overall dementia development yielded a <i>c</i>-statistic of 0.62 [95 % CI=0.48-0.70], and performed slightly better at follow-up 2a 0.67 [95 % CI=0.57-0.78]. However, calibration of the model in this external validation cohort was poor, with systematic overestimation of the predicted risk.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In this study the basic dementia risk prediction model overestimated the risk of dementia, but had reasonable discriminative ability in the Lifelines cohort. Within this validation cohort the potential of the model is underestimated due to low incidence of reported dementia. Further validation is required to determine the true value of the model. Studies assessing its implementation feasibility in primary care should also be conducted.</p>","PeriodicalId":73537,"journal":{"name":"JAR life","volume":"14 ","pages":"100028"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12508850/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145281947","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Implementing ICOPE monitor digital for healthy longevity (intrinsic capacity) in clinical practice. 在临床实践中实施ICOPE数字化健康长寿监测(内在能力)。
Pub Date : 2025-09-18 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100014
Bruno Vellas
{"title":"Implementing ICOPE monitor digital for healthy longevity (intrinsic capacity) in clinical practice.","authors":"Bruno Vellas","doi":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100014","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73537,"journal":{"name":"JAR life","volume":"14 ","pages":"100014"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12510225/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145281925","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The role of multivitamins and minerals (MVM) supplementation in dementia risk reduction for older people in Taiwan: Insights from a population health and economic model. 补充多种维生素和矿物质(MVM)在降低台湾老年人痴呆风险中的作用:来自人口健康和经济模型的见解。
Pub Date : 2025-09-11 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100026
Ker Ro Toh, Jas Min Tan, Khee Suan Bang, Sirinthip Petcharapiruch, Supitchaya Changsatja, Sheryl Tan, Jerry Lin, Vandana Garg, Shelby Lee, Melody Huang

Objectives: To estimate the potential health and economic impact of regular multivitamin and mineral (MVM) supplementation in reducing dementia risk among Taiwanese adults aged ≥ 60 years old.

Methods: A population-based health economic model was developed to project dementia-related health and economic outcomes over a 10-year period (2024-2033) under two scenarios: current lack of MVM use versus expanded regular use (≥3 times/week). Model inputs were derived from Taiwanese demographic, epidemiological, and cost data, supplemented by published trials and expert validation. Outcomes included dementia cases prevented, premature deaths averted, years of life lost (YLL) averted, years lived with disability (YLD) averted, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and societal cost savings from reductions in direct medical, non-medical, and caregiver-related costs.

Results: Regular MVM use was projected to prevent 204,250 dementia cases and 23,649 premature deaths, gain 407,910 QALYs, avert 115,943 YLL and 597,978 YLD. Total cost savings were estimated at NT$1.41 trillion, comprising NT$1.19 trillion in direct costs and NT$220 billion in indirect costs. Sensitivity analysis identified dementia risk reduction of MVM supplementation as the most influential parameter, but benefits remained robust under conservative assumptions.

Conclusion: Regular MVM supplementation among older Taiwanese adults without prior MVM use could meaningfully reduce dementia burden and generate substantial healthcare and societal cost savings. These findings highlight regular MVM use as a pragmatic strategy to support cognitive health in aging populations and provide a transferable modelling framework for other Asia-Pacific settings.

目的:评估定期补充复合维生素和矿物质(MVM)在降低台湾≥60岁成人痴呆风险方面的潜在健康和经济影响。方法:建立了一个基于人群的健康经济模型,在两种情况下预测10年期间(2024-2033)与痴呆症相关的健康和经济结果:目前缺乏MVM使用与扩大常规使用(≥3次/周)。模型输入来自台湾人口统计、流行病学和成本数据,辅以已发表的试验和专家验证。结果包括预防痴呆病例,避免过早死亡,避免生命损失年数(YLL),避免残疾年数(YLD),获得质量调整生命年(QALYs),以及通过减少直接医疗,非医疗和护理人员相关成本而节省的社会成本。结果:定期使用MVM预计可预防204,250例痴呆病例和23,649例过早死亡,获得407,910个QALYs,避免115,943例YLL和597,978例YLD。总成本节省估计为新台币1.41万亿元,其中直接成本为新台币1.19万亿元,间接成本为新台币2200亿元。敏感性分析发现,补充MVM降低痴呆风险是最具影响力的参数,但在保守假设下,获益仍然强劲。结论:在台湾无MVM使用史的老年人中,定期补充MVM可显著减轻痴呆负担,并产生可观的医疗保健和社会成本节约。这些发现强调了定期使用MVM作为一种务实的策略来支持老龄化人口的认知健康,并为其他亚太地区的环境提供了可转移的建模框架。
{"title":"The role of multivitamins and minerals (MVM) supplementation in dementia risk reduction for older people in Taiwan: Insights from a population health and economic model.","authors":"Ker Ro Toh, Jas Min Tan, Khee Suan Bang, Sirinthip Petcharapiruch, Supitchaya Changsatja, Sheryl Tan, Jerry Lin, Vandana Garg, Shelby Lee, Melody Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100026","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100026","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To estimate the potential health and economic impact of regular multivitamin and mineral (MVM) supplementation in reducing dementia risk among Taiwanese adults aged ≥ 60 years old.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A population-based health economic model was developed to project dementia-related health and economic outcomes over a 10-year period (2024-2033) under two scenarios: current lack of MVM use versus expanded regular use (≥3 times/week). Model inputs were derived from Taiwanese demographic, epidemiological, and cost data, supplemented by published trials and expert validation. Outcomes included dementia cases prevented, premature deaths averted, years of life lost (YLL) averted, years lived with disability (YLD) averted, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and societal cost savings from reductions in direct medical, non-medical, and caregiver-related costs.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Regular MVM use was projected to prevent 204,250 dementia cases and 23,649 premature deaths, gain 407,910 QALYs, avert 115,943 YLL and 597,978 YLD. Total cost savings were estimated at NT$1.41 trillion, comprising NT$1.19 trillion in direct costs and NT$220 billion in indirect costs. Sensitivity analysis identified dementia risk reduction of MVM supplementation as the most influential parameter, but benefits remained robust under conservative assumptions.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Regular MVM supplementation among older Taiwanese adults without prior MVM use could meaningfully reduce dementia burden and generate substantial healthcare and societal cost savings. These findings highlight regular MVM use as a pragmatic strategy to support cognitive health in aging populations and provide a transferable modelling framework for other Asia-Pacific settings.</p>","PeriodicalId":73537,"journal":{"name":"JAR life","volume":"14 ","pages":"100026"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12717773/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145806688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessment of an automated telesurveillance system on the incidence of serious falls in nursing homes (TELEHPAD): Randomized controlled trial. 对养老院严重跌倒发生率的自动远程监测系统(TELEHPAD)的评估:随机对照试验。
Pub Date : 2025-09-09 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100025
Abdoul Razak Sawadogo, Jean-François Nys, Caroline Gayot, Gilles Kehoua, Achille Tchalla

Introduction: Early detection and management of falls is an important issue in nursing homes, and automated telesurveillance system (ATS) can help support these processes. The main aim of this study was to examine the impact of ATS on serious falls prevention in older adults (OA) living in Nursing Home (NH).

Materials and methods: This was a prospective, multicenter, randomized clinical trial. It involved 213 OA, 104 in the intervention group (IG) and 109 in the control group (CG).

Results: The OA had a mean age of 87.7 ± SD: 5.9 years, and were predominantly female (69.0 %). The annual incidence of serious falls was 0.37 ± SD: 0.76, respectively 0.24 ± SD: 0.53 and 0.49 ± SD: 0.92 in the IG and CG, p = 0.022. That for non-serious falls was 0.97 ± SD: 1.98, respectively 0.84 ± 2.04 and 1.09 ± SD: 1.91 in the IG and CG, p = 0.011. The incidence of total falls was 1.33 ± SD: 2.48, 1.08 ± SD: 2.35 in the IG and 1.58 ± SD: 2.58 in the CG, p = 0.004. The proportion of OA with at least one serious fall was 20.19 % in the IG versus 33.03 % in the CG, p = 0.034. The proportion of OA with at least one non-serious fall was 25.96 % in the IG versus 45.87 % in the CG, p = 0.002.

Conclusions: The ATS EDAO detects falls that are not serious, enabling personalized secondary prevention programs to be initiated to prevent serious falls.

早期发现和管理跌倒是养老院的一个重要问题,自动化远程监控系统(ATS)可以帮助支持这些过程。本研究的主要目的是研究ATS对养老院(NH)老年人(OA)严重跌倒预防的影响。材料和方法:这是一项前瞻性、多中心、随机临床试验。其中干预组(IG) 104例,对照组(CG) 109例。结果:OA患者平均年龄87.7±SD: 5.9岁,以女性为主(69.0%)。年严重跌倒发生率分别为0.37±SD: 0.76, IG组为0.24±SD: 0.53, CG组为0.49±SD: 0.92, p = 0.022。非严重跌倒组为0.97±SD: 1.98, IG组为0.84±2.04,CG组为1.09±SD: 1.91, p = 0.011。总跌倒发生率IG组为1.33±SD: 2.48, IG组为1.08±SD: 2.35, CG组为1.58±SD: 2.58, p = 0.004。OA至少有一次严重跌倒的比例在IG组为20.19%,而在CG组为33.03%,p = 0.034。OA至少有一次非严重跌倒的比例在IG组为25.96%,而在CG组为45.87%,p = 0.002。结论:ATS EDAO可以检测到不严重的跌倒,从而可以启动个性化的二级预防计划来预防严重的跌倒。
{"title":"Assessment of an automated telesurveillance system on the incidence of serious falls in nursing homes (TELEHPAD): Randomized controlled trial.","authors":"Abdoul Razak Sawadogo, Jean-François Nys, Caroline Gayot, Gilles Kehoua, Achille Tchalla","doi":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100025","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100025","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Early detection and management of falls is an important issue in nursing homes, and automated telesurveillance system (ATS) can help support these processes. The main aim of this study was to examine the impact of ATS on serious falls prevention in older adults (OA) living in Nursing Home (NH).</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>This was a prospective, multicenter, randomized clinical trial. It involved 213 OA, 104 in the intervention group (IG) and 109 in the control group (CG).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The OA had a mean age of 87.7 ± SD: 5.9 years, and were predominantly female (69.0 %). The annual incidence of serious falls was 0.37 ± SD: 0.76, respectively 0.24 ± SD: 0.53 and 0.49 ± SD: 0.92 in the IG and CG, <i>p</i> = 0.022. That for non-serious falls was 0.97 ± SD: 1.98, respectively 0.84 ± 2.04 and 1.09 ± SD: 1.91 in the IG and CG, <i>p</i> = 0.011. The incidence of total falls was 1.33 ± SD: 2.48, 1.08 ± SD: 2.35 in the IG and 1.58 ± SD: 2.58 in the CG, <i>p</i> = 0.004. The proportion of OA with at least one serious fall was 20.19 % in the IG versus 33.03 % in the CG, <i>p</i> = 0.034. The proportion of OA with at least one non-serious fall was 25.96 % in the IG versus 45.87 % in the CG, <i>p</i> = 0.002.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The ATS EDAO detects falls that are not serious, enabling personalized secondary prevention programs to be initiated to prevent serious falls.</p>","PeriodicalId":73537,"journal":{"name":"JAR life","volume":"14 ","pages":"100025"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12717776/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145806636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Association between hypertension and dementia risk in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review. 低收入和中等收入国家高血压和痴呆风险之间的关联:一项系统综述。
Pub Date : 2025-09-06 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jarlif.2025.100027
Josephine E Lindhout, Marieke P Hoevenaar-Blom, Jan Willem van Dalen, Manshu Song, Dong Lin, Wei Wang, Edo Richard, Eric P Moll van Charante, Tessa van Middelaar

Background: Dementia prevalence is rising most rapidly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), yet most evidence on risk factors such as hypertension stems from high-income settings. In LMICs, hypertension may have a greater impact due to its high prevalence and poor control. We systematically reviewed evidence on the association between blood pressure and dementia and cognition in LMICs, and compared findings across regions.

Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase, PsycINFO, and Global Index Medicus and reviewed reference lists for relevant studies. We included longitudinal studies (follow-up ≥6 months) from LMICs on the association between systolic blood pressure or hypertension and incident dementia, mild cognitive impairment (MCI), or cognition, with a sample size of ≥500 individuals. Risk of bias was assessed using a modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.

Results: Of 8709 screened articles, 26 were included: 19 from Asia, six from Latin America, and one from Africa. Operationalization of hypertension and cognitive outcome was heterogeneous across studies, ranging from using routine care data to triple blood pressure measurements and comprehensive cognitive screening with expert review and validation. Follow-up duration ranged from 7 months to 16 years. Hypertension was associated with a higher risk of incident dementia (RR 1.26, 95 %CI 1.03 - 1.53) and MCI (RR 1.19, 95 %CI 1.09 - 1.29). Due to limited number of studies per region, we were unable to compare effect sizes across geographical regions.

Conclusion: Hypertension is associated with an increased risk of dementia and cognitive impairment in LMICs, but limited studies from Latin America and especially from Africa prevented reliable regional comparisons.

背景:痴呆症患病率在低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)上升最快,但大多数关于高血压等风险因素的证据来自高收入环境。在中低收入国家,由于高血压的高患病率和较差的控制,其影响可能更大。我们系统地回顾了中低收入国家血压与痴呆和认知之间关联的证据,并比较了不同地区的研究结果。方法:检索PubMed、Embase、PsycINFO和Global Index Medicus,查阅相关文献。我们纳入了来自低收入国家的纵向研究(随访≥6个月),研究收缩压或高血压与痴呆、轻度认知障碍(MCI)或认知能力之间的关系,样本量≥500人。偏倚风险采用改良的纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表进行评估。结果:在筛选的8709篇文章中,纳入26篇:19篇来自亚洲,6篇来自拉丁美洲,1篇来自非洲。在不同的研究中,高血压和认知结果的操作化是不同的,从使用常规护理数据到三倍血压测量,再到经过专家审查和验证的综合认知筛查。随访时间从7个月到16年不等。高血压与发生痴呆(RR 1.26, 95% CI 1.03 - 1.53)和MCI (RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09 - 1.29)的高风险相关。由于每个地区的研究数量有限,我们无法比较不同地理区域的效应大小。结论:高血压与中低收入人群痴呆和认知障碍风险增加有关,但来自拉丁美洲,特别是非洲的有限研究妨碍了可靠的区域比较。
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