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Forests, Coca, and Conflict: Grass Frontier Dynamics and Deforestation in the Amazon-Andes 森林、古柯和冲突:亚马逊-安第斯山脉的草地边界动态和森林砍伐
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.31389/jied.87
L. Dávalos, Eleonora Dávalos, J. Holmes, Clara Tucker, D. Armenteras
Population growth with weak economic development can promote tropical deforestation, but government infrastructure investment can also open new frontiers and thus increase deforestation. In the Andean region of South America, population growth has been a leading explanation for both deforestation and coca cultivation, but coca generates armed conflict and attracts counter-drug measures, obscuring the differences between population-driven and frontier-opening models of deforestation. Using a 15-year panel from Colombia, we model deforestation, coca cultivation, and conflict victims as interrelated responses with a suite of covariates encompassing land cover, land cover changes, population, population changes, counter-drug measures, and government infrastructure spending. Infrastructure spending suppresses coca, coca and eradication by aerial fumigation both increase conflict, and conflict promotes deforestation and is associated with depopulation. But the strongest predictor of deforestation is pasture growth, which covaries with coca. While these models show that infrastructure spending can help reduce coca, and coca’s influence on deforestation is indirect and mediated by conflict, the models also reveal the most important challenge to forest conservation is neither coca nor conflict, but an insatiable appetite for land that expresses itself through pasture growth.
经济发展疲软的人口增长可以促进热带森林砍伐,但政府基础设施投资也可以开辟新的领域,从而增加森林砍伐。在南美洲安第斯地区,人口增长一直是森林砍伐和古柯种植的主要原因,但古柯引发了武装冲突,并吸引了禁毒措施,掩盖了人口驱动和边境开放的森林砍伐模式之间的差异。利用哥伦比亚一个为期15年的小组,我们将森林砍伐、古柯种植和冲突受害者建模为相互关联的反应,并使用一系列协变量,包括土地覆盖、土地覆盖变化、人口、人口变化、禁毒措施和政府基础设施支出。基础设施支出抑制了古柯,古柯和通过空中熏蒸根除都会增加冲突,冲突会助长森林砍伐,并与人口减少有关。但最能预测森林砍伐的是牧场的生长,而牧场的生长与古柯共存。虽然这些模型表明,基础设施支出有助于减少古柯,而古柯对森林砍伐的影响是间接的,并通过冲突来调节,但这些模型也表明,森林保护面临的最重要挑战既不是古柯,也不是冲突,而是对土地的贪得无厌,而土地是通过牧场生长来表达的。
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引用次数: 4
Addressing Socio-Environmental Challenges and Unintended Consequences of Peruvian Drug Policy: An Analysis in Two Former Cocalero Valleys 应对秘鲁毒品政策的社会环境挑战和意外后果——对两个前Cocalero山谷的分析
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.31389/jied.92
L. Grillo, Allison Kendra, Alvaro Pastor, H. Manrique
For decades, international governments and the Peruvian state have worked to reduce illicit coca cultivation in valleys that were once among the largest global producers of coca. The principal strategies used in these interventions are drug crop eradication and alternative development (AD), both of which have been operating for over forty years in Peru. These interventions have decreased illicit coca cultivation in targeted areas and increased the number of farmers engaged in alternative crops. However, socio-environmental factors affect farmer’s experiences of these interventions at a micro level, sometimes causing unintended negative consequences. Drawing on qualitative research in the Upper Huallaga and Monzon Valleys, this article details the mechanisms through which socio-environmental vulnerabilities shaped how coca eradication and AD policies are experienced by current and former cocalero farmers. We argue that long-term coca eradication and AD policies in both valleys reproduced social and environmental precarities. In particular, we found that: participation in AD programs was commonly more attainable for farmers who had relatively higher access to resources; successful alternative crop cultivation was often limited by socio-environmental conditions; and ongoing coca eradication continued to push marginalized coca growers into more precarious positions, often leading them to replant coca in more distant forests. For these reasons, illicit coca cultivation continued, albeit at a lower scale and under greater challenges for farmers, alongside attempts to combat it. We conclude the article by discussing these findings in the context of recent scholarship and ongoing supply-side drug policies that claim to support social equity and environmental well-being.
几十年来,国际政府和秘鲁政府一直致力于减少山谷中的非法古柯种植,这些山谷曾经是全球最大的古柯生产国之一。这些干预措施中使用的主要战略是根除毒品作物和替代发展,这两项战略在秘鲁已经实施了40多年。这些干预措施减少了目标地区的非法古柯种植,增加了种植替代作物的农民人数。然而,社会环境因素在微观层面影响农民对这些干预措施的体验,有时会造成意想不到的负面后果。本文借鉴了上Huallaga和Monzon山谷的定性研究,详细介绍了社会环境脆弱性如何影响当前和以前的古柯种植者如何经历古柯根除和AD政策的机制。我们认为,这两个山谷的长期古柯根除和AD政策再现了社会和环境的不稳定。特别是,我们发现:对于获得资源的机会相对较高的农民来说,参与AD项目通常更容易实现;成功的替代作物种植往往受到社会环境条件的限制;正在进行的古柯根除继续将边缘化的古柯种植者推向更加危险的境地,往往导致他们在更远的森林中重新种植古柯。出于这些原因,非法古柯种植仍在继续,尽管规模较小,农民面临更大的挑战,同时也在努力打击古柯种植。我们在文章的结尾部分,结合最近的学术研究和正在进行的旨在支持社会公平和环境福祉的供应方毒品政策,讨论了这些发现。
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引用次数: 4
Comparative Analysis of Illicit Supply Network Structure and Operations: Cocaine, Wildlife, and Sand 非法供应网络结构和运作的比较分析:可卡因、野生动物和沙子
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.31389/jied.76
N. Magliocca, A. Torres, Jared D. Margulies, K. McSweeney, Inés Arroyo-Quiroz, N. Carter, Kevin M. Curtin, Tara Easter, Meredith L. Gore, Annette Hübschle, Francis Massé, Aunshul Rege, Elizabeth Tellman
Illicit supply networks (ISNs) are composed of coordinated human actors that source, transit, and distribute illicitly traded goods to consumers, while also creating widespread social and environmental harms. Despite growing documentation of ISNs and their impacts, efforts to understand and disrupt ISNs remain insufficient due to the persistent lack of knowledge connecting a given ISN’s modus operandi and its patterns of activity in space and time. The core challenge is that the data and knowledge needed to integrate it remain fragmented and/or compartmentalized across disciplines, research groups, and agencies tasked with understanding or monitoring one or a few specific ISNs. One path forward is to conduct comparative analyses of multiple diverse ISNs. We present and apply a conceptual framework for linking ISN modus operandi to spatial-temporal dynamics and patterns of activity. We demonstrate this through a comparative analysis of three ISNs – cocaine, illegally traded wildlife, and illegally mined sand – which range from well-established to emergent, global to domestic in geographic scope, and fully illicit to de facto legal. The proposed framework revealed consistent traits related to geographic price structure, value capture at different supply chain stages, and key differences among ISN structure and operation related to commodity characteristics and their relative illicitness. Despite the diversity of commodities and ISN attributes compared, social and environmental harms inflicted by the illicit activity consistently become more widespread with increasing law enforcement disruption. Drawing on these lessons from diverse ISNs, which varied in their histories and current sophistication, possible changes in the structure and function of nascent and/or low salience ISNs may be anticipated if future conditions or law enforcement pressure change.
非法供应网络由协调一致的人类行为者组成,他们采购、转运和向消费者分销非法贸易商品,同时也造成广泛的社会和环境危害。尽管对ISN及其影响的记录越来越多,但由于持续缺乏将特定ISN的运作方式及其在空间和时间上的活动模式联系起来的知识,理解和破坏ISN的努力仍然不够。核心挑战是,整合所需的数据和知识仍然是分散的和/或划分的,跨学科、研究小组和负责理解或监测一个或几个特定ISN的机构。前进的一条道路是对多种不同的ISN进行比较分析。我们提出并应用了一个概念框架,将ISN的工作方式与时空动态和活动模式联系起来。我们通过对三种ISN——可卡因、非法交易的野生动物和非法开采的沙子——的比较分析证明了这一点,这些ISN从成熟到新兴,从全球到国内,从完全非法到事实上合法。所提出的框架揭示了与地理价格结构、不同供应链阶段的价值捕获相关的一致特征,以及与商品特征及其相对非法性相关的ISN结构和运营之间的关键差异。尽管商品和ISN的属性有所不同,但随着执法混乱的加剧,非法活动造成的社会和环境危害始终变得更加普遍。根据不同ISN的这些经验教训,如果未来的条件或执法压力发生变化,可以预见新生和/或低显著性ISN的结构和功能可能会发生变化。
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引用次数: 18
Illicit Economies Through the Lens of Urban Peace: Towards a New Policy Agenda 城市和平视角下的非法经济:迈向新的政策议程
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-23 DOI: 10.31389/JIED.89
Achim Wennmann
This article draws together and discusses the key practical lessons of this Special Issue as a means to revisit ‘urban peace’ as a policy framework. It positions responses to illicit economies within a broader socio-economic agenda for which the notion of ‘urban peace’ acts as an umbrella for expanding the toolbox for dealing with illicit economies and as a signpost for the direction of policies to achieve greater levels of negative and positive peace. The agenda prioritizes the expansion of economic opportunities in informal economies as a critical strategic objective to manage the pressures within rapidly growing cities and to ensure peaceful urban politics in turbulent times. The article starts by charting the current mainstream responses to illicit economies before discussing the lessons of alternatives to law and order approaches of different case studies. It highlights multidimensional approaches and strong coordination mechanisms, as well as the potential of platform models as governance mechanisms for programmes to transform illicit economies. The article also underlines how illicit economies create their own non-state forms of order in which violence has a functional purpose. Building on a political economy perspective, the article proposes pragmatic peacebuilding and urban political settlements as a means to regulate and transform illicit economies. In the face of major systemic shifts happening over the next decade, the article underlines the need for a more fundamental rethink about how cities should address the multitude of challenges they are facing.
本文汇集并讨论了本期特刊的主要实践经验教训,以此作为重新审视“城市和平”作为政策框架的一种手段。它将应对非法经济的措施置于更广泛的社会经济议程中,“城市和平”的概念作为扩大处理非法经济工具箱的保护伞,并作为实现更高水平的消极和积极和平的政策方向的路标。该议程优先考虑扩大非正规经济的经济机会,将其作为一项关键的战略目标,以管理迅速发展的城市内部的压力,并确保动荡时期的和平城市政治。本文首先列出了目前对非法经济的主流反应,然后讨论了不同案例研究中法律和秩序方法的替代办法的教训。它强调了多方面的方法和强有力的协调机制,以及平台模式作为改造非法经济方案的治理机制的潜力。这篇文章还强调了非法经济如何创造自己的非国家形式的秩序,在这种秩序中,暴力具有功能性目的。本文从政治经济学的角度出发,提出了务实的建设和平和城市政治解决方案,作为规范和改造非法经济的手段。面对未来十年将发生的重大系统性转变,文章强调需要从根本上重新思考城市应如何应对它们所面临的众多挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Drugs and Development in the Urban Setting—Expanding Development-Oriented Interventions Beyond Illicit Drug Crop Cultivation 城市环境中的药物与发展——在非法药物作物种植之外扩大以发展为导向的干预措施
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-23 DOI: 10.31389/JIED.73
M. L. D. Diskul, J. Collins, Daniel Brombacher
This paper highlights the complex and contested relationship between drugs and development policies globally. It uses a recent experience in Thailand to showcase the link between drugs and development policies while highlighting the difficult international terrain for forging a common United Nations (UN) position. It examines the challenging transition underway within Thailand as practitioners of rural development policies in drug crop affected regions seek to translate the lessons of traditional ‘alternative development’ to urban and borderland areas affected by drug trafficking, arguing that many of the underlying principles are the same. It provides a practitioner-led overview of the recent experiences of Thailand and the global drug debates. It then takes a step into the literature on peacebuilding, examining the possible positioning of drugs and development debates relative to the field of peacebuilding studies. It concludes by highlighting the numerous areas of overlap between the new drugs and development debates and existing peacebuilding discussions.
本文强调了药物与全球发展政策之间复杂而有争议的关系。报告利用泰国最近的一个经验,展示了毒品与发展政策之间的联系,同时强调了在国际上形成联合国共同立场的困难。它考察了泰国国内正在进行的具有挑战性的转型,在受毒品作物影响的地区,农村发展政策的实践者试图将传统的“替代发展”的经验转化为受毒品贩运影响的城市和边境地区,认为许多基本原则是相同的。它以医生为主导,概述了泰国最近的经验和全球毒品辩论。然后,它进入建设和平的文献,审查相对于建设和平研究领域的药物和发展辩论的可能定位。报告最后强调了新药与发展辩论与现有建设和平讨论之间的许多重叠领域。
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引用次数: 2
Mafia Organizations: The Visible Hand of Criminal Enterprise 黑手党组织:犯罪企业的有形之手
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-15 DOI: 10.31389/JIED.78
Frederick T. Martens
The author, Maurizio Catino, has undertaken a meticulous examination of criminal organizations that dominate the illicit marketplace throughout the world. The Mafia, Cosa Nostra, Camorra, ‘Ndrangheta, Triads, Yakuza, and the South American cartels are dissected and their respective nomenclatures compared and contrasted. Catino addresses their relationship to the illicit markets that they operate within and organize in order to minimize risks and maximize profits. Relying upon electronic surveillances, investigative reports, and intelligence sources, Catino takes this ethnographic data and molds it into a series of principles that govern each criminal organization. His research has profoundly advanced our understanding of criminal organizations and the illicit markets they supply. It will likely go down as the most seminal piece of research in the past thirty or more years.
作者毛里齐奥·卡蒂诺对控制全世界非法市场的犯罪组织进行了细致的研究。对黑手党、科萨·诺斯特拉、克莫拉、恩德拉赫塔、三合会、Yakuza和南美卡特尔进行了剖析,并对他们各自的名称进行了比较和对比。卡提诺解决了他们与非法市场的关系,他们在其中运作和组织,以尽量减少风险和最大化利润。依靠电子监控、调查报告和情报来源,卡蒂诺将这些人种学数据塑造成一系列管理每个犯罪组织的原则。他的研究深刻地促进了我们对犯罪组织及其提供的非法市场的理解。它很可能成为过去三十多年来最具开创性的研究成果。
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引用次数: 0
Time to Invest in Medicines Resilience 是时候投资药品弹性了
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-15 DOI: 10.31389/JIED.75
Ravina Barrett
The Falsified Medicines Directive (FMD 2011/62/EC) (European Commission 2011) is designed to eliminate counterfeit medication and limit potential risk of harm to the public. We know that the world has changed since this directive was conceived. While enshrined in law (Moore 2019), we risk not being able to deliver on this directive (Barrett & Al-Mousawi 2018; Barrett 2020). The UK leaves the Europe Union on the 31st of December 2020, with it access to the ‘national verification system’ whereby dispensed medicines get verified against a European central database for their authenticity is lost. This makes the UK a target for flow of falsified medicines into its domestic market and as a route into Europe. Nobody wants this, except the spurious agents involved in the business of providing substandard medication. The UK also provides globally admired universal care and is responsible for securing and supplying medicines to patients via the NHS. Medicine costs have been rising (Acosta et al. 2019; Batista et al. 2019; European Medicines Agency 2018; Hughes 2019; Miljković et al. 2019) and can be linked to currency fluctuations and policy (Ewbank 2018; Kanavos et al. 2011; Kanavos et al. 2020). The concern is that there will be potential trade wars and with them, further volatility (e.g., currency, geopolitics, supply routes, and natural resources) putting medicine access at risk. Globally, we face increasingly difficult choices with concern about patients’ access to medicines. The path to regulatory approval also seems convoluted and expensive for most small-scale manufacturers. Increasingly, there are fewer large manufacturing sites and these are controlled by a few market participants. Looking at strategic, regional, and political pressures is vital when thinking about securing medicine supply across the world. Resources and research need to be dedicated to this area, as its importance is likely to grow.
《防伪药品指令》(FMD 2011/62/EC)(欧盟委员会2011)旨在消除假药并限制对公众造成伤害的潜在风险。我们知道,自从这个指令诞生以来,世界已经发生了变化。虽然法律明文规定(Moore 2019),但我们可能无法履行这一指令(Barrett & Al-Mousawi 2018;巴雷特2020年)。英国将于2020年12月31日离开欧盟,届时将进入“国家验证系统”,通过该系统,配药将根据欧洲中央数据库进行验证,但其真实性将丢失。这使得英国成为假冒药品流入其国内市场和进入欧洲的一个途径的目标。没有人希望这样,除了那些提供不合格药物的冒牌代理商。英国还提供全球钦佩的全民保健,并负责通过NHS向患者提供药品。药品成本一直在上升(Acosta et al. 2019;Batista et al. 2019;欧洲药品管理局2018;休斯2019;miljkovovic等人,2019),并可与货币波动和政策相关联(Ewbank 2018;Kanavos et al. 2011;Kanavos et al. 2020)。令人担忧的是,可能会发生贸易战,随之而来的是进一步的波动(如货币、地缘政治、供应路线和自然资源),使药品获取面临风险。在全球范围内,我们面临着越来越困难的选择,对患者获得药物感到担忧。对于大多数小型制造商来说,获得监管部门批准的道路似乎也很复杂,成本也很高。大型制造基地越来越少,这些基地由少数市场参与者控制。在考虑确保全球药品供应时,考虑战略、区域和政治压力至关重要。这一领域的资源和研究需要投入,因为它的重要性可能会增加。
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引用次数: 0
Access to Controlled Medications: Three Country Case Reports 获得管制药物:三个国家病例报告
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-15 DOI: 10.31389/JIED.86
Ebtesam I. Ahmed
Three country case reports are presented on patient access to medications controlled under the international substance control treaties. The countries discussed are Egypt, Kyrgyzstan and Guatemala. They are compared between themselves and with a small number of other countries. Actions to overcome the impeded access in these countries are suggested. This manuscript elaborates further on a review published in this journal in 2020.
介绍了关于患者获得国际药物管制条约管制的药物的三个国家病例报告。讨论的国家是埃及、吉尔吉斯斯坦和危地马拉。他们在自己和少数其他国家之间进行比较。建议采取行动,克服这些国家的进入障碍。这份手稿进一步阐述了2020年发表在该杂志上的一篇综述。
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引用次数: 0
Fulfilling the Promise of Palermo? A Political History of the UN Convention Against Transnational Organized Crime 履行巴勒莫的承诺?《联合国打击跨国有组织犯罪公约》政治史
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-15 DOI: 10.31389/JIED.90
I. Tennant
UNTOC created a legally binding instrument governing international cooperation between law enforcement and judicial authorities to share evidence and pursue international criminal actors, and a framework for countries to update their legislation to be better able to investigate and prosecute such criminals. Its impact as a step-change in the legal framework against transnational organized crime is widely acknowledged. The paper highlights that the UNTOC did in fact bring those anti-drug and anti-crime efforts at the UN closer together, in spite of their different histories and personnel. However, the disparity between the political momentum and achievements of the late 1990s, compared to the Convention’s journey since its entry into force in 2003 is stark. Further, the level of coordination amongst all UN processes on drugs and crime issues still leave significant room for improvement. This paper analyses the political history of UNTOC, using an array of newly conducted in-depth interviews with key protagonists to understand their views on its development, subsequent implementation and potential future promise. The paper offers some suggestions on how the international community can move forward its collective efforts on achieving the Convention’s aims and thereby fulfilling the promises made in Palermo.
《联合国反腐败公约》制定了一项具有法律约束力的文书,规范执法和司法当局之间在分享证据和追捕国际犯罪行为者方面的国际合作,并制定了一个框架,供各国更新其立法,以便更好地调查和起诉这类罪犯。它作为打击跨国有组织犯罪的法律框架的一个阶段性变化所产生的影响已得到广泛承认。该文件强调,尽管联合国毒品和犯罪问题办公室的历史和人员各不相同,但它确实使联合国禁毒和打击犯罪的工作更加紧密地联系在一起。然而,与《公约》自2003年生效以来的历程相比,1990年代后期的政治势头和成就之间的差距是明显的。此外,联合国所有有关毒品和犯罪问题的进程之间的协调水平仍有很大的改进余地。本文分析了UNTOC的政治历史,使用了一系列最新进行的深入访谈,以了解他们对其发展,后续实施和潜在未来前景的看法。该文件就国际社会如何能够推进其实现《公约》目标的集体努力,从而履行在巴勒莫作出的承诺提出了一些建议。
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引用次数: 4
Hazy Borders: Legality and Illegality across the US-Mexico Border 朦胧的边界:美墨边境的合法性与非法性
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31389/jied.109
Alberto Hernández
This paper analyzes the different trading networks, the flux of merchandise, and the actors involved in the act of crossing goods through the United States-Mexico border, particularly in the Tijuana-San Diego region. It argues that the line dividing both countries works differently depending on who travels through it, what kind of items are brought across, and which direction a person is going. These different patterns can be further analyzed when comparing northbound and southbound traffic; roughly speaking, products crossed into the US are usually prescription drugs, herbs, food, and cigarettes, among others; whereas, items crossed into Mexico are usually construction materials, electronics and electrodomestics, toys, marijuana, guns, and so forth. This paper proposes that the border is not a well-defined barrier when it comes to different types of merchandise, instead becoming hazy and allowing for the small-scale smuggling of products without incurring legal and/or problematic situations.
本文分析了不同的贸易网络,商品的流动,以及涉及通过美国-墨西哥边境,特别是在蒂华纳-圣地亚哥地区的货物过境行为的行动者。该研究认为,两国之间的分界线不同,取决于旅行的人、携带的物品种类以及旅行的方向。当比较南北向交通时,可以进一步分析这些不同的模式;粗略地说,进入美国的产品通常是处方药、草药、食品和香烟等;然而,进入墨西哥的物品通常是建筑材料、电子产品和家用电器、玩具、大麻、枪支等。本文提出,当涉及到不同类型的商品时,边界并不是一个定义明确的障碍,而是变得模糊,允许小规模的走私产品,而不会引起法律和/或问题。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of illicit economies and development
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