Agroforestry is widely recognized as a promising strategy for mitigating climate change impacts and restoring degraded lands. Nonetheless, adoption rates remain low in low- and middle-income countries. This limited uptake is largely attributed to the insufficient design of context-specific initiatives, stemming from a lack of understanding of farmers’ knowledge, perceptions, and attitudes toward integrating tree planting into agricultural systems. This paper seeks to predict farmers’ intentions to adopt agroforestry practices in Rwanda’s Eastern Province and to elucidate the underlying decision-making processes shaping these intentions. Grounded in the Theory of Planned Behaviour as primary analytical framework, the study drew on data from 940 households, which were analysed using structural equation modelling. Results indicate that farmers’ intentions toward agroforestry are predicted by attitudes and perceived behavioural control. Various background factors also play a significant role. Overall, only the number of agricultural plots managed by farmers demonstrates significant total effects on their intentions. Awareness of agroforestry technology positively influences intention through attitude and perceived behavioural control. Age and food insecurity negatively influence intention through attitude, while membership in saving groups has a positive influence. Additionally, gender and family size negatively affect intention through perceived behavioural control. This study suggests that policy efforts should consider programs that foster positive attitudes and enhance perceived control regarding agroforestry adoption among farmers. It further recommends promoting community awareness of agroforestry technology, focusing on farmer demographics, including women, the elderly, impoverished households, and those experiencing food insecurity.
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